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‐Penalized Logistic Regression

               Setia Pramana
Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics Department, 
          Karolinska Institute, Stockholm




                                                      1
Introduction
• Logistic regression is a supervised method for binary 
  or multi‐class classification.
• Logistic regression models the probability of 
  membership of a class with transforms of linear 
  combinations of explanatory variables.




                                                       2
Introduction
• In high‐dimensional data (e.g., microarray):  More 
  variables than the observations  Classical logistic 
  regression does not work.
• Other problems: Variables are correlated 
  (multicolinierity) and overfitting.
• Solution: Introduce a penalty for complexity in the 
  model.




                                                          3
Logistic Regression
• Let is an array of binary (e.g., malaria types) and 
  is expression level of the j‐th protein. We can fit the 
  following logistic model:



•       probability that an array with measured 
  expression  represents a class of type      .
• Maximize the log‐likelihood:


                                                             4
Penalized Logistic Regression
• Penalized log‐likelihood:

•   : Tuning parameter
•       : a penalty function
•     ‐penalization (Lasso):




                                     5
‐Penalized Logistic Regression
• Shrinks all regression coefficients () toward zero and 
  set some of them to zero. 
• Performs parameter estimation and variable 
  selection at the same time.
• L1‐penalized log‐likelihood  is maximized using full 
  gradient algorithm (Goeman, 2010).
• The choice of λ is crucial and chosen via cross‐
  validation procedure.
• The procedure is implemented in an R package called 
  penalized.

                                                         6
K‐fold Cross Validation
                     test           train
                   Test     Train on (k   - 1) splits




         k-fold




• Randomly divide your data into K pieces/folds
• Treat 1st fold as the test dataset. Fit the model to the 
  other folds (training data). 
• Apply the model to the test data and repeat k times.
• Calculate statistics of model accuracy and fit from the 
  test data only.
                                                         7
Obtaining The Optimal 
• Plot of cross‐validated likelihood against :




• In this example, the optimal = 4.11 gives the 
  maximum log‐likelihood.                           8
Obtaining The Optimal 
• Note that in k‐fold CV method, allocation of the 
  sample into k folds are perform randomly.
• Different randomization may lead to slightly different 
  results ().
• To obtain more robust λ value, a hundred different 
  cross validations were performed.
• Take the average of         ,…,     ( ). 
• Use  for fitting the final L1‐penalized logistic model.


                                                        9
Validation?
• Use another experiment for validation




                                          10
Thank you for your attention !




                                 11

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