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Koris International 
2014 European INstitutional 
RISK-BASED INVESTING survey 
FOR INSTITUTIONAL AND PROFESIONAL INVESTORS ONLY 
In partnership with
Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 
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Summary 
Introduction 
key Findings 
The Respondents 
Use and Perception of Risk-Based Investing Approaches 
The Specific Case of Systematic Loss Control Strategies 
references 
About Koris International
INTRODUCTION
Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 
Koris International would like to thank all institutional investors that participated in the first 
Koris International 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey. 
Over 70 CFOs, CIOs, CROs and other senior decision makers across 12 European countries 
took part in this online and telephone survey, representing pension funds, insurance firms, 
family offices, corporates, endowments and other institutional investors. 
We recognise that this year investors have received numerous requests to complete surveys. 
Bearing this in mind, we kindly thank these institutions for taking the time to share with us 
some invaluable insights regarding how they comprehend and manage the investment risk. 
Finally, we would like to thank our partners, who helped us in reaching their institutional 
client base, and our colleagues for their sound contribution. 
We hope you will find the survey of interest and look forward to pursuing discussions 
regarding investment risk practices with you. 
2 
Jean-René GIRAUD 
CEO and co-Founder 
INTRODUCTION
Key Findings
Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 
Key findings 
Institutions say “Managing investment risks first and foremost” 
Almost 9 out of 10 institutional investors surveyed define their asset allocation using risk-based 
approaches, whether entirely or limited to certain buckets. It should not come as 
a surprise given the increased resources the financial industry invests in sound risk 
management practices. 
Board’s decision key in adopting risk-based investing approaches 
Despite tightening regulatory requirements, 62% of organisations state that the rationale 
behind adopting a risk-based investing approach relates to their board’s decision. The risk 
awareness among board members has risen significantly in recent years as much as the 
importance of CROs within institutions. 
Controlling the maximum drawdown and the volatility comes first 
Institutional investors seek to control as much a direct downside risk measure (58% mention 
the maximum drawdown) as an indirect one (56% cite the volatility). While the first enables 
capturing the tail risk, the second (empirically) provides serious hints when it exhibits 
significantly increasing levels. 
No ‘perfect’ strategy to control risks but hedging overlays offer broad possibilities 
It is commonly agreed that the diversity of investment risks an institution faces generally 
requires combining several strategies to efficiently hedge them. Nonetheless, 42% of investors 
favour the numerous risk mitigating possibilities offered by hedging overlay approaches. 
Risk awareness = Frequent risk monitoring 
Nearly half of the respondents monitor their portfolios’ risk at least on a weekly basis whereas 
only 17% do so four times a year or less. Whether driven by internal or external factors, 
institutions are more and more incentivised to better assess the various risks they face. 
ETFs / Index funds and derivatives best suited for systematic loss control strategies 
A little less than half of the informants consider ETFs / Index funds as the most appropriate 
investment vehicles to incorporate within systematic loss mitigating solutions. Exchange-traded 
derivatives are mentioned by 35% of investors in this regard, about twice the figure 
4 
for OTC derivatives.
The Respondents
Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 
Koris International 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey was undertaken 
between September 29th and October 15th, 2014. During this period, 74 decision makers from 12 
countries representative of the main European institutional investors (pension schemes, insurance 
firms, family offices, corporate treasuries, endowments / foundations and other institutions) have 
kindly contributed to our online and telephone survey. This publication incorporates responses 
from European institutions that collectively manage EUR 250bn. 
Geographic Breakdown 
27% 
Of the respondents, we notice strong participation from two countries: France and Switzerland 
with 27% and 26% respectively. The other informants are based in the United Kingdom (14%), 
in Benelux countries (11%), in Germany (8%), with the remaining being based in Italy, Nordic 
and other European countries (14%). 
6 
Industry Breakdown 
4% 
5% 
5% 
8% 
11% 
14% 26% 
France 
Switzerland 
United Kingdom 
Benelux 
Germany 
Italy 
Nordic countries 
Other European countries 
49% 
9% 
30% 
5% 
4% 
3% 
Pension scheme 
Insurance company 
Family office / Multi-family office 
Corporate treasury 
Endowment and foundation 
Other 
the respondents
Pension schemes and insurance companies make the bulk of participants, respectively 
representing 49% and 30% of the overall institutions polled. The remaining institutions 
that participated in our survey include family offices / multi-family offices (9%), corporate 
treasuries (5%), endowments / foundations (4%) and other organisations (e.g., state 
investment companies, pension administrators, etc. 3%). 
Pension Scheme Breakdown 
Focusing on the sub-sectors for pension plans that provided responses, defined contribution 
(DC) schemes represent around half of the total. Defined benefits (DB) plans roughly account 
for a third and hybrid plans take the remaining share. DC schemes are gaining ground in 
Europe, and elsewhere, as a growing number of public and private sponsors cannot bear 
anymore the burden of final salary pension schemes. According to the European Insurance 
and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA), 58% of pension plans in Europe are DC based, 
including 17% of ‘DC with guarantees’. 
7 
Insurance Company Breakdown 
11% 
53% 
36% 
Defined Contribution (DC) 
Defined Benefit (DB) 
Both DB and DC 
14% 
27% 
32% 
27% 
Composite 
Life / Pensions 
Health 
P&C
Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 
When it comes to insurance companies, the split is quite even among composite, life / 
pensions and health with slightly less than a third for each sub-category. P&C insurers are 
less represented, accounting for 14% of the insurance firms polled. 
Assets under Management Breakdown 
The institutions that participated in our survey have average assets under management 
(AuM) of approximately EUR 4bn. Large investors are significantly represented among the 
respondents with two third of the institutions holding more than EUR 1bn and 35% more 
than EUR 2.5bn. 
8 
Average Target Asset Allocation for Pension Schemes 
35% 
31% 
16% 
12% 
5% 
40% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
Greater than €2.5bn 
Between €1bn and €2.5bn 
Between €500m and €1bn 
Between €250m and €500m 
Less than €250m 
3% 2% 
3% 
5% 
18% 
29% 
40% 
Fixed-income 
Equity 
Real estate 
Other (Balanced funds, commodities etc.) 
Hedge funds 
Money market instruments 
Private equity 
Pension schemes are free of any Solvency II like regulation for the moment. Yet, the IORP II 
Directive that will comprehend the amended / new requirements they will face may bring 
some surprises. Instead of focusing on the ‘three pillars’ of pension plans (i.e., fixed-income, 
equity and real estate), having a closer look at hedge funds is not without interest.
Indeed, one may wonder whether the 3% average allocation to hedge funds would persist in 
the coming months given the quite poor performance exhibited recently (as of 31/10/2014, 
the HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index is down by -0.5% year-to-date versus +10.4% for the 
S&P 500 NTR). To illustrate this, most have in mind some event driven funds that posted 
substantial losses (i.e., double digits) after the failure of a number of tax inversion deals, 
especially AbbVie finally removing its offer to buy Shire. Moreover, it is worth mentioning 
that a portion of long / short equity funds equally yielded pronounced negative performance 
as they did not perceive soon enough the growth-value rotation that occurred in the second 
quarter of 2014. 
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Average Target Asset Allocation for Insurance Companies 
58% 
8% 
11% 
15% 
6% 
2%1% 
Fixed-income 
Equity 
Real estate 
Money market instruments 
Other (Balanced funds, commodities etc.) 
Private equity 
Hedge funds 
Prior to the Solvency II implementation date (January 1st, 2016), we notice the relatively high 
average level of equity holdings for insurers polled. Given the punitive charges imposed by 
the Solvency capital requirements on stocks, excluding so-called “strategic participation”, it 
would be of interest whether the allocation to this asset class remains the same in a year’s 
time, a few months before day one.
Use and Perception of 
Risk-Based Investing 
Approaches
Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 
Use and Perception of Risk-Based Investing 
Approaches 
It is commonly accepted among institutional investors that taking risks is pivotal in meeting their 
long term return objectives. However, investing in non-risk-free assets, though their “nil riskiness” 
can be much discussed (cf Eurozone sovereign debt crisis), without adopting a robust risk 
management framework may yield serious disenchantment when markets tumble. The aftermath 
of the Lehman Brothers collapse has definitely changed how institutions regard investment risk. 
Unsurprisingly, a vast majority of the survey participants (almost 90%) define their asset 
allocation using a risk-based approach, whether entirely or limited to certain buckets. Another 
7% are not yet implementing risk-driven investment strategies (e.g., minimum variance, VaR / 
CVaR target or hedging overlay) but are willing to do so. 
Putting risk at the forefront when allocating assets instead of expected returns only is 
gaining popularity among European asset owners and is reflected here. Given the difficulty 
of estimating returns, even more in the current market’s environment, it should not come as 
a surprise. 
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Do you use a risk-based approach when defining your asset allocation? 
61% 
28% 
7% 
4% 
Yes, on your entire asset allocation 
Yes, on certain portions of your asset allocation 
No, but you are willing to do so 
No, you only focus on expected returns
70% 
60% 
50% 
40% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
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Rationale behind the use of an investment approach based on risk 
62% 
24% 
10% 
4% 
Board / Investment committee decision 
Regulatory requirements (e.g., capital requirements) 
Client pressure or requirements 
Other 
Mentioned by 62% of respondents, the board / investment committee decision comes 
comfortably first in the reasons why their institutions have implemented an investment 
approach based on risk. As we have seen an increased involvement of boards in understanding 
and addressing risk over the years, it seems to be a logical step. Indeed, the rising importance 
of risk management in organisations is well corroborated by the significant resources they 
devote to the risk department (staff and technology) and the key role occupied by CROs 
who, more often than not, directly report to their CEOs. The recurring market bubbles and 
subsequent bursts may have just achieved convincing companies to focus first and foremost 
on risk. 
To a lesser extent, regulatory requirements are another reason motivating the adoption of 
risk-based approaches for 24% of participants. The unprecedented wave of regulations in the 
21st century has yielded significant changes in the ways businesses operate and European 
institutional investors are not immune. Especially hit, insurance companies have little more 
than a year to comply with the Solvency II regulatory requirements. Pension schemes will 
be subjected to (the still much discussed) IORP II in the forthcoming years once a consensus 
is reached among involved parties. Both regulations state the protection of members and 
beneficiaries / policy holders as the utmost objective yet solely Solvency II as for now imposes 
stringent risk-based capital requirements. 
Mostly faced by family offices and private banks, client pressure appears a less important 
driver, cited by 10% of investors. However, risk awareness seems to have made its way to 
wealthy clients with more and more requiring to understand how investment solutions 
control risk, especially the drawdown risk, prior to considering whether or not to invest.
Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 
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Which risk measure are you aiming to control? 
Several answers possible 
58% 
56% 
17% 
8% 
60% 
50% 
40% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
Maximum drawdown 
Volatility 
Tracking-error 
Other 
Initially used by proprietary traders and derivative fund managers, the maximum drawdown 
has now gained popularity among institutional investors. Relatively easy to understand, 
aiming to measure the loss (absolute or relative) suffered by a given portfolio or bucket 
allows capturing the tail risk unlike volatility, though extreme levels are a strong hint. The 
investors that took part in our survey placed maximum drawdown as the main indicator they 
are willing to monitor (almost 60%). An interesting empirical fact is that controlling the loss of 
a portfolio also generally (but not systematically) results in containing its volatility, the latter 
having proved higher throughout down cycles. 
Obviously, volatility is all but abandoned by institutional investors, with 56% of our survey 
informants seeking to control this risk measure. Volatility peaks we have recently experienced 
can prove particularly damaging as they usually come along with pronounced drops in asset 
values. Having to soundly balance cash inflows and investment revenues with cash outflows 
to beneficiaries / policy holders, institutions understandably want to have an overall variance 
as little as possible without impairing their ability to meet return objectives. It is worth noting 
that different volatility measures exist: ‘basic’ variance estimates, the most widely used in 
the financial industry, does not distinguish between positive and negative returns, whereas 
semi-variance estimates only consider the deviations below the mean or a set target (e.g., 
below zero). 
Lagging behind is the tracking error (cited by fewer than 20% of respondents), which is a 
measure simply consisting of an estimate of the standard deviation of excess returns with 
regards to a given benchmark. Recent developments in the financial industry, such as Core- 
Satellite approaches where the Core is made of safer assets, often passive vehicles, and
the satellite seeks to generate alpha via active strategies, strongly incite pension schemes, 
insurers and other institutions to unleash the tracking error constraints put on active 
managers. However, one must not overlook that this indicator is very much considered 
by a number of investors allocating to ETFs / Index funds (especially those holding such 
instruments for short term purposes). 
Other risk measures firms aim to control principally include credit risk in that they can 
only invest in notes, bonds or asset backed securities benefiting from a minimum rating. 
Corporates allocating their cash reserves represent the majority of institutions falling in that 
category. They very often establish investment guidelines prohibiting investing in securities 
rated below A- (long term) and A-2 (short term) as they seek to optimise their cash balances; 
their core business does not entail managing financial assets. 
Which risk-based approach have you implemented within your portfolios? 
There is a wide set of investment approaches based on risk control and we consider three 
categories: static risk optimisation, derivatives and dynamic-risk control. It should nonetheless 
be mentioned that derivatives ‘alone’ are not restricted to a specific strategy. In fact, they can 
be only used as investment vehicles to implement a specific strategy (e.g., through a target 
VaR solution or a hedging overlay) 
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Static Risk Optimisation 
A static risk optimisation program relies on a single-period model and is based on the 
assumption that optimal portfolio weights are constant over time. To this end, the rebalancing 
process has to be determined at the managers’ discretion. Moreover, it must be noted that the 
strategies considered within this category (‘smart betas’, max. Sharpe ratio etc.) are assumed 
to use a static approach, as illustrated in the academia, yet they can also be implemented in 
a dynamic fashion.
28% 
27% 
Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 
24% 
14% 
7% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
Minimum variance 
Maximum diversification 
Markowitz (max. Sharpe ratio) 
Risk parity 
Other 
Several answers possible 
Investing in smart beta strategies has increasingly been embraced by institutional investors 
as they are willing to diversify their exposures from the over-concentration features inherent 
in traditional indices (i.e., price or market cap weighted). Three techniques belonging to the 
smart beta fields are mentioned by the survey respondents: minimum variance (used by 28%), 
maximum diversification (27%) and risk parity (14%). Individually, such strategies may face 
prolonged periods of underperformance relative to their cap-weighted index universe (e.g., 
S&P 500 min variance strategy vs. the S&P 500 Index). Carried out potentially to mitigate this 
risk, 5% of investors declared allocating to solutions using several risk factors (e.g., quality, 
momentum and volatility). Furthermore, as the Markowitz approach (maximisation of the 
Sharpe ratio) is still common place in the active management field, it is logically cited by a 
quarter of participants. 
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Derivatives 
Derivatives are very flexible instruments able to hedge a significant number of specific 
risk exposures (without potentially costly divestments): inflation, currency, interest rates, 
volatility, longevity, tail risk etc. Traded on exchanges or over-the-counter (OTC), they consist 
of a large range of instruments: Options, credit default swaps, total return swaps, futures 
forwards and swaptions among others.
42% 
25% 
50% 
40% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
Hedging overlay 
(interest rate risk, FX risk, inflation risk etc.) 
Structured products 
Several answers possible 
Partly reflecting the large proportion of pension schemes and insurers that took part in this 
survey, hedging overlay strategies appear as the most commonly utilised when it comes to 
controlling risks with derivatives (implemented by 42% of investors). As a reminder, overlays 
designed for hedging purposes are strategies that employ derivative instruments to offset 
certain portfolio exposures, whether partially or entirely. In addition to usually preventing 
divestments (i.e., selling an asset or a portfolio), hedging overlays offer a wide range of risk 
mitigating possibilities (e.g., currency, inflation, interest rates, volatility or tail risks). They 
may appeal to many institutional investors other than their main users, pension plans and 
insurance firms, and are mostly put into effect via futures, forwards and total return swaps 
(linear payoff structure) and options (asymmetric payoff structure). 
A structured product is generally a pre-packaged investment strategy created by the 
combination of at least two vehicles (e.g., one or several securities, index products, 
derivatives, etc.) in order to adjust the underlying assets’ initial risk and return structure. Of 
the investors surveyed, a fourth claimed using structured strategies, which, by definition, 
can be tailored to a large set of asset classes and specific risk criteria. Indeed, some products 
offer risk mitigation via principal protection (e.g., zero coupon bond combined with a call 
option) or collar strategies (e.g., equity index floor protection financed by a cap on the upside 
gains). However, structured products can be very costly and somehow opaque; they may 
incorporate leveraged / short, hard-to-price underlying assets and ‘exotic derivatives’. 
16 
Dynamic-Risk Control 
Dynamic-risk control can be referred to as a multi-period risk optimisation. Using constantly 
updated data, dynamic-risk control programs aim to determine the portfolio’s optimal asset 
allocation in the subsequent period (i.e., post rebalancing, triggered by objective pre-set 
criteria) as it assumes the probability distribution of asset returns and risk factors vary over 
time conditional upon information availability.
Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 
17 
30% 
25% 
21% 
8% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
Target volatility 
Dynamic loss control strategies 
(e.g., portfolio insurance techniques) 
Target VaR / CVaR 
Target tracking error 
Controlling the variance of a portfolio remains determinant in most investment decisions 
as confirmed by 30% of respondents implementing target volatility strategies. A strategy 
following a target volatility approach will move from risky assets (e.g., stocks) to safer assets 
(e.g., government and investment grade bonds) in order to achieve the desired volatility 
level. To a much lesser extent, 8% of informants replied using target tracking error strategies. 
To a certain extent, the rise of passive investing (from 8% of Global AuM in 2003 to 15% in 
2013, according to the Boston Consulting Group) has probably led to target tracking-error 
approaches being less praised by investors assuming an index vehicle delivers a return more 
or less equal to the underlying index minus the expense ratio1. 
The target VaR / CVaR (employed by 21% of investors) is a more advanced risk control 
technique as it enables gauging the potential absolute or relative loss a portfolio may suffer 
within a given likelihood and horizon. As a reminder, the Value-at-Risk measures the potential 
loss in value of a portfolio over a defined period for a given confidence interval. On its end, 
the CVaR estimates the expected loss in excess of the Value-at-Risk. Some target volatility 
strategies aim at approaching a long term volatility level deemed optimal with regards to the 
underlying assets. The rationale behind Target VaR / CVaR approaches is always to ensure 
that the risk inherent in the fund remains below the target set ex ante (no one willing to 
experiment higher potential loss above what is considered as ‘acceptable’). 
Mr Jean-Louis Blanc, director at Caisse de Pensions Bobst Mex SA, a private Swiss DC pension 
scheme, tells us that “The risk framework implemented by our institution, and defined by the 
Board, aims to control the drawdown risk with the use of consolidated reporting. As such, it is 
based on a quantitative risk measurement, inherent in our strategic allocation, and on an annual 
risk ceiling in compliance with the return target. The risk approach we have chosen is a target CVaR 
(Conditional Value-at-Risk) with a 95% confidence level over a one-year horizon.” Moreover, he 
adds that, “The investment committee assesses the diverse tactical asset allocation opportunities 
according to its market views based on a set of indicators (e.g., European and US key rates, PMI 
levels, market valuations, etc.) while keeping a close watch on the scheme’s risk exposure.” 
1 Readers may refer to Bonelli (2014) which discusses this specific issue. 
Several answers possible
The fact that dynamic loss control strategies have been adopted by one fourth of institutions 
surveyed is of particular interest. Such strategies aim to limit the absolute or relative loss a 
portfolio may suffer. The drawdown estimates enable rebalancing the portfolio with a view to 
ensure the risk budget is preserved and the money allocated in a risk efficient fashion. Lastly, 
institutional investors have benefited from much sounder dynamic loss control strategies 
with regards to the portfolio insurance techniques that appeared in the eighties. The several 
pronounced drawdown episodes we have experienced in the past years may be a driver for 
dynamic loss control strategies to be more widely adopted. 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
18 
How often do you monitor the risk of your portfolios? 
32% 
26% 
25% 
14% 
3% 
Monthly basis 
Daily basis 
Weekly basis 
Quarterly / Semi-annual basis 
Annual basis 
Monitoring the risk of investment portfolios is a challenging task that requires institutional 
investors devoting significant financial, technological and human resources. Increasingly 
demanding regulatory requirements coupled with fast-paced market environments have 
strongly incentivised financial actors to better, and more regularly, assess the risks to which 
they are exposed to. Of the companies surveyed, 51% admit watching their portfolios’ risk 
at least every week, whereas only 17% do so four times a year or less. In between, 32% of 
informants monitor risk on a monthly basis, also a rather famous rebalancing frequency. 
Furthermore, risk monitoring can obviously range from ‘basic’ observations (e.g., volatility, 
tracking error or maximum loss suffered on a given period) to more complex projections 
(e.g., yield curve or CVaR). 
Consultancy firms are frequently involved in the risk monitoring and assessment of 
institutional portfolios. Indeed, “The risk exposure of our pension scheme is evaluated quarterly 
by an independent external consultant who produces a report for the investment committees,” says 
Mr Blanc of Caisse de Pensions Bobst Mex SA. He continues, “Then, the exposure determined 
by the consultant is compared with our risk ceiling (CVaR with a 95% confidence level over a one-year 
rolling horizon), hence enabling the investment committee to take allocation decisions.”
Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 
Moreover, prudential regulations such as the Solvency II Directive may have a significant 
impact on the nature and frequency of risk controls implemented by institutions. Mr Alban 
Jarry, Head of Solvency II Program at La Mutuelle Générale, the third French mutual insurance 
company, tells us that “Own Risk and Solvency Assessment (ORSA) becomes the reference document 
in risk management for insurance firms. Aimed at firms’ governance and supervisory authorities, it 
provides a clear picture of current and forecasted risks.” He adds, “In general, Solvency II second 
pillar facilitates the analysis of the risks inherent in an entity as it is based upon decision and 
monitoring processes. As such, it enables producing bespoke indicators for the governance.” 
19
The Specific Case 
of Systematic Loss 
Control Strategies
The Specific Case of Systematic Loss Control 
Strategies 
Systematic loss control strategies are rule-based mechanisms aiming to hedge the potential 
(absolute or relative) loss of a portfolio / bucket. To do so, investors may use specific hedging 
overlays, portfolio insurance strategies or structured products. 
Drawbacks of systematic loss control strategies perceived 
It is commonly accepted that the timing of rebalancing is a key parameter for preserving 
a portfolio’s value. Of the investors polled, 45% regard the bad rebalancing timing as the 
main drawback weighing on systematic loss control strategies. Readjusting the asset mix 
when markets are stressed (e.g., significant price drops in one or more asset classes) can 
significantly damage the potential benefits of asset allocation / security selection decisions. 
Either calendar-based (e.g., monthly basis) or risk-based (e.g., trading bands), portfolio 
rebalancing carried out in overbought / oversold markets may bring important costs (mainly 
opportunity and transaction costs) if not designed with sufficient care. 
Weak participation to the upside is also mentioned as a major disadvantage of such strategies 
(cited by 42% of respondents). Controlling the potential loss a portfolio may endure via rule-based 
approaches implies giving up a portion of the upside gains (e.g., versus a market index) 
to enable a downside protection. Nonetheless, the amount given up must be ‘acceptable’ 
(according to each institution’s specific needs) as benefiting from asymmetric payoffs is the 
main reason why investors chose systematic loss control strategies. 
21 
45% 
42% 
24% 
21% 
14% 
50% 
40% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
Bad rebalancing timing 
(e.g., buy high / sell low in oscillating markets) 
Weak participation to the upside 
Possibility of being locked up in cash 
(e.g., risk budget fully consumed) 
Systematic approach lacking of 
‘human rational thinking’ 
Other 
Several answers possible 
Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014
The fundamentals of risk-driven investment strategies, limiting losses, may rely upon a risk 
budget (e.g., a level of VaR or maximum drawdown set ex-ante) to determine the allocation to 
the performance assets (e.g., equity). The inherent mechanism incorporates a reserve asset 
(e.g., cash or derivatives used to diminish the exposure to an underlying portfolio) whose 
role is to ensure the respect of the risk control objective. When ill-conceived, systematic 
loss control strategies can end up being ‘crystallised’ in the reserve asset if the risk budget 
becomes fully consumed, a downside mentioned by 24% of participants. 
Would a systematic approach enjoy greater efficiency if supplemented with ‘human rationale 
thinking’? A fifth of the institutional investors that participated in this survey tend to believe it 
would. ‘Blindly’ following a model’s decision to increase risk when markets are ‘overbought’, 
for instance, may not be the wisest decision. Notwithstanding, should human choices get the 
upper hand on a rule-based loss control strategy, it could not be labelled ‘strictly systematic’. 
To investors wanting the “best of both worlds” (i.e., an approach based on systematic and 
discretionary processes), well-designed hybrid strategies may be an appealing option. 
Which vehicle(s) would you use to implement systematic loss control strategies? 
Several answers possible 
As discussed before, Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) and index funds are increasingly used by 
institutional investors willing to easily and at little cost benefit from the returns of a wide set 
of indices / strategies. Of the respondents, 45% regard those vehicles as the most appropriate 
when it comes to implementing systematic loss control strategies. On the one hand, long-only 
ETFs, the overwhelming majority of such instruments traded in Europe, may be a particularly 
good fit for structured products and portfolio insurance strategies. However, the latter need 
to incorporate a reserve asset (e.g., cash or low-duration / zero coupon bonds) in order to 
control the potential absolute or relative loss. On the other hand, inverse or short ETFs can 
be used to hedge a given portfolio’s risk exposure. It is worth noting that only a few of those 
22 
15% 
8% 
18% 17% 
35% 
45% 
50% 
40% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
ETFs / Index funds 
Exchange-traded derivatives 
OTC derivatives 
Active funds 
Securities 
Other
Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 
specific instruments are available in Europe and are not as heavily traded as their US peers, 
hence providing an insufficient liquidity for most European institutions. 
Not only are derivative flexible instruments able to possibly hedge even very specific 
risk exposures but they also can provide a synthetic exposure to a given asset class etc. 
Among the investors surveyed, 35% consider exchange-traded derivatives (ETD) as very 
suitable instruments for rule-based strategies mitigating losses, whereas 18% mentioned 
OTC derivatives in this regard. When trading ETD, the clearing house acts as a central 
counterparty, thereby mitigating the consequences should one counterparty (the buyer or 
the seller) defaults. Conversely, the counterparty risk is inherent in OTC derivative contracts 
– even if the vast majority of financial firms establish a list of authorised counterparties 
following due diligence. In addition, it may cause serious harm should this risk materialise 
(e.g., when it collapsed, Lehman Brothers participated in more than 900,000 outstanding 
derivative contracts involving 8,000 different counterparties). 
Centralised derivatives are most fit for institutional investors willing to hedge, or synthetically 
replicate liquid exposures, and mostly include options and futures on interest rates, 
currencies and equity indices. Regarding OTC derivatives, they offer investors a wider range 
of instruments covering almost any asset class: ‘vanilla’ or non-standard underlying assets. 
Notwithstanding, it must be noted that the European Markets Infrastructure Regulation 
(EMIR) will impose mandatory clearing to certain ‘basic’ OTC contracts (e.g., basis swaps, 
fixed-to-float interest rate swaps or untranched Index CDS, for two indices). Broadly 
speaking, derivatives can be employed in hedging overlays, portfolio insurance strategies 
and structured products. 
Active funds are evoked by 17% of the informants as particularly suited instruments for 
systematic loss control mechanisms. The rationale for investing in such funds, money market 
funds apart, is the desire to generate alpha yet they may also constitute a cheaper, more 
efficient and liquid alternative to Delta-1 products covering certain asset classes (e.g., high-yield 
bonds or emerging market debt). Active funds would be likely to be employed within 
23 
portfolio insurance strategies. 
Finally, securities are the vehicles the least mentioned as being tailored for systematic risk-based 
strategies controlling the loss. Combined with derivatives, they are typically used in 
structured products (e.g., an investment grade bond coupled with a call option). Moreover, 
they may also be employed to synthetically replicate an index with few constituents (e.g., 
such as the SBI Domestic 1-3Y CHF) and implemented in portfolio insurance strategies, a less 
likely outcome though.
References
references 
Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 
Accenture. 2013. Global Risk Management Study. Risk management for an era of greater uncertainty 
– September 2013. 
Amenc, N., P. Malaise, and L. Martellini (2004). Revisiting core-satellite investing: a dynamic model 
of relative risk management. Journal of Portfolio Management 31 (1), 64–75. 
Bonelli, M. 2014. Exchange Traded Funds: Toward a Tailored Selection Approach. Inria Research 
Centre Sophia Antipolis – Méditerranée. 
Blommestein, H. J. The Debate over Sovereign Risk, Safe Assets, and the Risk-Free Rate: What are 
the Implications for Sovereign Issuers? Ekonomi-tek Volume / Cilt: 1 No: 3 September / Eylül 2012, 55-70. 
Boston Consulting Group. 2014. Global Asset Management 2014: Steering the Course to Growth – 
July 2014. 
European Commission. 2009. Directive 2009/138/EC of the European Parliament and of The Council 
of 25 November 2009 on the taking-up and pursuit of the business of Insurance and Reinsurance 
(Solvency II). 
European Commission. 2013. Directive 2013/58/EU of the European Parliament and of The Council 
of 11 December 2013 amending Directive 2009/138/EC (Solvency II) as regards the date for its 
transposition and the date of its application, and the date of repeal of certain Directives (Solvency I). 
European Commission. 2013. Report from the Commission to the European Parliament and the 
Council. The International Treatment of Central Banks and Public Entities Managing Public Debt 
with regard to OTC Derivatives Transactions. 
European Commission. 2014. Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of The 
Council on the activities and supervision of institutions for occupational retirement provision (IORP II). 
European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EOIPA). 2013. Database of pension 
plans and products in the EEA: Statistical Summary. 
Fleming M., A. Sarkar. 2014. Federal Reserve Bank of New-York – Economic Policy Review – The 
Failure Resolution of Lehman Brothers. Volume 20 Number 2. 
25 
iShares. 2009. Core-Satellite Investing (March). 
Mantilla-Garcia, D. (2014). Dynamic Allocation Strategies for Absolute and Relative Loss Control. 
Working Paper, EDHEC Risk and Asset Management Research Center.
About Koris 
International
Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 
about koris international 
Koris International (“Koris”) is a duly registered financial investment advisory firm dedicated 
to designing and developing dynamic asset allocation models controlling the drawdown 
risk. The company operates with a team of 14 professionals, with backgrounds in the asset 
management industry and academia, and benefits from the latest advances in financial 
engineering. 
Located in Sophia-Antipolis in France (head office) and in London, Koris is wholly owned by 
its founders and has been operating for 12 years with key players in the asset management 
industry through an ‘advisory’ business model entirely dedicated to asset allocation. 
Koris offers solutions that meet the needs of asset management companies, private banks 
and institutional investors throughout Europe. These advanced quantitative techniques are 
designed to satisfy investors’ appetite for better risk control. 
The strategies developed are implemented by renowned partner investment managers (Bank 
of America Merrill Lynch, Lyxor AM, Rothschild & Cie Gestion, Fédéris GA, Banque Bonhôte 
& Cie, etc.) via ETFs, index funds, securities, active funds, futures, total return swaps as well 
as liquid alternative investment strategies through managed accounts. 
27 
w w w.koris - intl.com
For more information, 
please contact the authors 
Jérôme Malaise 
Institutional Client Solutions 
Gauthier Leibenguth 
Marketing & Sales 
Koris International 
Espace Saint Philippe - Immeuble Néri 
200 Avenue de Roumanille 
06410 Biot, France 
46 New Broad Street 
London EC2M 1JH 
United Kingdom 
jerome.malaise@koris-intl.com 
+33 (0) 4 88 72 88 41 / +44 (0) 7584 654 827 
gauthier.leibenguth@koris-intl.com 
+33 (0) 4 88 72 88 36 
Important Information 
These materials (“Materials”) have been prepared by Koris International (“Koris”) for informational purposes only. The Materials are intended to serve solely as a summary of survey responses provided 
to Koris by European institutional investors that took part in Koris International Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey 2014 (the “RBIS Survey”). The number of European institutional investors 
polled for these Materials is small relative to the size of the European institutional investor marketplace, and these Materials are not intended to summarise the views of the European institutional 
investor marketplace at large. Furthermore, the information presented in these Materials does not represent any assumptions, estimates, views, predictions or opinions of Koris. 
These Materials have not been verified for accuracy or completeness by Koris, and Koris does not guarantee these Materials in any respect, including but not limited to, their accuracy, completeness or 
timeliness. Information for these Materials was collected and compiled during the stated timeframe. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results and Koris in no way guarantees the 
investment performance, earnings or return of capital invested in any of the products or securities discussed in the Materials. These Materials may not be relied upon as definitive, and shall not form 
the basis of any decisions contemplated thereby. It is the responsibility of the recipients of these Materials (and the information therein) to consult with their own financial, tax, legal, or equivalent 
advisers prior to making any investment decision. 
These Materials do not constitute, and shall not be construed as an offer to sell, an investment advice or a recommendation on specific investments by Koris. 
ORIAS n° 13000579 (www.orias.fr). 
Koris International is a Financial Investment Adviser registered under No. D011872 by the CNCIF, Association approved by the French financial markets authority (AMF).

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Koris international - 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey

  • 1. Koris International 2014 European INstitutional RISK-BASED INVESTING survey FOR INSTITUTIONAL AND PROFESIONAL INVESTORS ONLY In partnership with
  • 2. Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 1 3 5 10 20 24 26 Summary Introduction key Findings The Respondents Use and Perception of Risk-Based Investing Approaches The Specific Case of Systematic Loss Control Strategies references About Koris International
  • 4. Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 Koris International would like to thank all institutional investors that participated in the first Koris International 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey. Over 70 CFOs, CIOs, CROs and other senior decision makers across 12 European countries took part in this online and telephone survey, representing pension funds, insurance firms, family offices, corporates, endowments and other institutional investors. We recognise that this year investors have received numerous requests to complete surveys. Bearing this in mind, we kindly thank these institutions for taking the time to share with us some invaluable insights regarding how they comprehend and manage the investment risk. Finally, we would like to thank our partners, who helped us in reaching their institutional client base, and our colleagues for their sound contribution. We hope you will find the survey of interest and look forward to pursuing discussions regarding investment risk practices with you. 2 Jean-René GIRAUD CEO and co-Founder INTRODUCTION
  • 6. Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 Key findings Institutions say “Managing investment risks first and foremost” Almost 9 out of 10 institutional investors surveyed define their asset allocation using risk-based approaches, whether entirely or limited to certain buckets. It should not come as a surprise given the increased resources the financial industry invests in sound risk management practices. Board’s decision key in adopting risk-based investing approaches Despite tightening regulatory requirements, 62% of organisations state that the rationale behind adopting a risk-based investing approach relates to their board’s decision. The risk awareness among board members has risen significantly in recent years as much as the importance of CROs within institutions. Controlling the maximum drawdown and the volatility comes first Institutional investors seek to control as much a direct downside risk measure (58% mention the maximum drawdown) as an indirect one (56% cite the volatility). While the first enables capturing the tail risk, the second (empirically) provides serious hints when it exhibits significantly increasing levels. No ‘perfect’ strategy to control risks but hedging overlays offer broad possibilities It is commonly agreed that the diversity of investment risks an institution faces generally requires combining several strategies to efficiently hedge them. Nonetheless, 42% of investors favour the numerous risk mitigating possibilities offered by hedging overlay approaches. Risk awareness = Frequent risk monitoring Nearly half of the respondents monitor their portfolios’ risk at least on a weekly basis whereas only 17% do so four times a year or less. Whether driven by internal or external factors, institutions are more and more incentivised to better assess the various risks they face. ETFs / Index funds and derivatives best suited for systematic loss control strategies A little less than half of the informants consider ETFs / Index funds as the most appropriate investment vehicles to incorporate within systematic loss mitigating solutions. Exchange-traded derivatives are mentioned by 35% of investors in this regard, about twice the figure 4 for OTC derivatives.
  • 8. Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 Koris International 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey was undertaken between September 29th and October 15th, 2014. During this period, 74 decision makers from 12 countries representative of the main European institutional investors (pension schemes, insurance firms, family offices, corporate treasuries, endowments / foundations and other institutions) have kindly contributed to our online and telephone survey. This publication incorporates responses from European institutions that collectively manage EUR 250bn. Geographic Breakdown 27% Of the respondents, we notice strong participation from two countries: France and Switzerland with 27% and 26% respectively. The other informants are based in the United Kingdom (14%), in Benelux countries (11%), in Germany (8%), with the remaining being based in Italy, Nordic and other European countries (14%). 6 Industry Breakdown 4% 5% 5% 8% 11% 14% 26% France Switzerland United Kingdom Benelux Germany Italy Nordic countries Other European countries 49% 9% 30% 5% 4% 3% Pension scheme Insurance company Family office / Multi-family office Corporate treasury Endowment and foundation Other the respondents
  • 9. Pension schemes and insurance companies make the bulk of participants, respectively representing 49% and 30% of the overall institutions polled. The remaining institutions that participated in our survey include family offices / multi-family offices (9%), corporate treasuries (5%), endowments / foundations (4%) and other organisations (e.g., state investment companies, pension administrators, etc. 3%). Pension Scheme Breakdown Focusing on the sub-sectors for pension plans that provided responses, defined contribution (DC) schemes represent around half of the total. Defined benefits (DB) plans roughly account for a third and hybrid plans take the remaining share. DC schemes are gaining ground in Europe, and elsewhere, as a growing number of public and private sponsors cannot bear anymore the burden of final salary pension schemes. According to the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA), 58% of pension plans in Europe are DC based, including 17% of ‘DC with guarantees’. 7 Insurance Company Breakdown 11% 53% 36% Defined Contribution (DC) Defined Benefit (DB) Both DB and DC 14% 27% 32% 27% Composite Life / Pensions Health P&C
  • 10. Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 When it comes to insurance companies, the split is quite even among composite, life / pensions and health with slightly less than a third for each sub-category. P&C insurers are less represented, accounting for 14% of the insurance firms polled. Assets under Management Breakdown The institutions that participated in our survey have average assets under management (AuM) of approximately EUR 4bn. Large investors are significantly represented among the respondents with two third of the institutions holding more than EUR 1bn and 35% more than EUR 2.5bn. 8 Average Target Asset Allocation for Pension Schemes 35% 31% 16% 12% 5% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Greater than €2.5bn Between €1bn and €2.5bn Between €500m and €1bn Between €250m and €500m Less than €250m 3% 2% 3% 5% 18% 29% 40% Fixed-income Equity Real estate Other (Balanced funds, commodities etc.) Hedge funds Money market instruments Private equity Pension schemes are free of any Solvency II like regulation for the moment. Yet, the IORP II Directive that will comprehend the amended / new requirements they will face may bring some surprises. Instead of focusing on the ‘three pillars’ of pension plans (i.e., fixed-income, equity and real estate), having a closer look at hedge funds is not without interest.
  • 11. Indeed, one may wonder whether the 3% average allocation to hedge funds would persist in the coming months given the quite poor performance exhibited recently (as of 31/10/2014, the HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index is down by -0.5% year-to-date versus +10.4% for the S&P 500 NTR). To illustrate this, most have in mind some event driven funds that posted substantial losses (i.e., double digits) after the failure of a number of tax inversion deals, especially AbbVie finally removing its offer to buy Shire. Moreover, it is worth mentioning that a portion of long / short equity funds equally yielded pronounced negative performance as they did not perceive soon enough the growth-value rotation that occurred in the second quarter of 2014. 9 Average Target Asset Allocation for Insurance Companies 58% 8% 11% 15% 6% 2%1% Fixed-income Equity Real estate Money market instruments Other (Balanced funds, commodities etc.) Private equity Hedge funds Prior to the Solvency II implementation date (January 1st, 2016), we notice the relatively high average level of equity holdings for insurers polled. Given the punitive charges imposed by the Solvency capital requirements on stocks, excluding so-called “strategic participation”, it would be of interest whether the allocation to this asset class remains the same in a year’s time, a few months before day one.
  • 12. Use and Perception of Risk-Based Investing Approaches
  • 13. Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 Use and Perception of Risk-Based Investing Approaches It is commonly accepted among institutional investors that taking risks is pivotal in meeting their long term return objectives. However, investing in non-risk-free assets, though their “nil riskiness” can be much discussed (cf Eurozone sovereign debt crisis), without adopting a robust risk management framework may yield serious disenchantment when markets tumble. The aftermath of the Lehman Brothers collapse has definitely changed how institutions regard investment risk. Unsurprisingly, a vast majority of the survey participants (almost 90%) define their asset allocation using a risk-based approach, whether entirely or limited to certain buckets. Another 7% are not yet implementing risk-driven investment strategies (e.g., minimum variance, VaR / CVaR target or hedging overlay) but are willing to do so. Putting risk at the forefront when allocating assets instead of expected returns only is gaining popularity among European asset owners and is reflected here. Given the difficulty of estimating returns, even more in the current market’s environment, it should not come as a surprise. 11 Do you use a risk-based approach when defining your asset allocation? 61% 28% 7% 4% Yes, on your entire asset allocation Yes, on certain portions of your asset allocation No, but you are willing to do so No, you only focus on expected returns
  • 14. 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 12 Rationale behind the use of an investment approach based on risk 62% 24% 10% 4% Board / Investment committee decision Regulatory requirements (e.g., capital requirements) Client pressure or requirements Other Mentioned by 62% of respondents, the board / investment committee decision comes comfortably first in the reasons why their institutions have implemented an investment approach based on risk. As we have seen an increased involvement of boards in understanding and addressing risk over the years, it seems to be a logical step. Indeed, the rising importance of risk management in organisations is well corroborated by the significant resources they devote to the risk department (staff and technology) and the key role occupied by CROs who, more often than not, directly report to their CEOs. The recurring market bubbles and subsequent bursts may have just achieved convincing companies to focus first and foremost on risk. To a lesser extent, regulatory requirements are another reason motivating the adoption of risk-based approaches for 24% of participants. The unprecedented wave of regulations in the 21st century has yielded significant changes in the ways businesses operate and European institutional investors are not immune. Especially hit, insurance companies have little more than a year to comply with the Solvency II regulatory requirements. Pension schemes will be subjected to (the still much discussed) IORP II in the forthcoming years once a consensus is reached among involved parties. Both regulations state the protection of members and beneficiaries / policy holders as the utmost objective yet solely Solvency II as for now imposes stringent risk-based capital requirements. Mostly faced by family offices and private banks, client pressure appears a less important driver, cited by 10% of investors. However, risk awareness seems to have made its way to wealthy clients with more and more requiring to understand how investment solutions control risk, especially the drawdown risk, prior to considering whether or not to invest.
  • 15. Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 13 Which risk measure are you aiming to control? Several answers possible 58% 56% 17% 8% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Maximum drawdown Volatility Tracking-error Other Initially used by proprietary traders and derivative fund managers, the maximum drawdown has now gained popularity among institutional investors. Relatively easy to understand, aiming to measure the loss (absolute or relative) suffered by a given portfolio or bucket allows capturing the tail risk unlike volatility, though extreme levels are a strong hint. The investors that took part in our survey placed maximum drawdown as the main indicator they are willing to monitor (almost 60%). An interesting empirical fact is that controlling the loss of a portfolio also generally (but not systematically) results in containing its volatility, the latter having proved higher throughout down cycles. Obviously, volatility is all but abandoned by institutional investors, with 56% of our survey informants seeking to control this risk measure. Volatility peaks we have recently experienced can prove particularly damaging as they usually come along with pronounced drops in asset values. Having to soundly balance cash inflows and investment revenues with cash outflows to beneficiaries / policy holders, institutions understandably want to have an overall variance as little as possible without impairing their ability to meet return objectives. It is worth noting that different volatility measures exist: ‘basic’ variance estimates, the most widely used in the financial industry, does not distinguish between positive and negative returns, whereas semi-variance estimates only consider the deviations below the mean or a set target (e.g., below zero). Lagging behind is the tracking error (cited by fewer than 20% of respondents), which is a measure simply consisting of an estimate of the standard deviation of excess returns with regards to a given benchmark. Recent developments in the financial industry, such as Core- Satellite approaches where the Core is made of safer assets, often passive vehicles, and
  • 16. the satellite seeks to generate alpha via active strategies, strongly incite pension schemes, insurers and other institutions to unleash the tracking error constraints put on active managers. However, one must not overlook that this indicator is very much considered by a number of investors allocating to ETFs / Index funds (especially those holding such instruments for short term purposes). Other risk measures firms aim to control principally include credit risk in that they can only invest in notes, bonds or asset backed securities benefiting from a minimum rating. Corporates allocating their cash reserves represent the majority of institutions falling in that category. They very often establish investment guidelines prohibiting investing in securities rated below A- (long term) and A-2 (short term) as they seek to optimise their cash balances; their core business does not entail managing financial assets. Which risk-based approach have you implemented within your portfolios? There is a wide set of investment approaches based on risk control and we consider three categories: static risk optimisation, derivatives and dynamic-risk control. It should nonetheless be mentioned that derivatives ‘alone’ are not restricted to a specific strategy. In fact, they can be only used as investment vehicles to implement a specific strategy (e.g., through a target VaR solution or a hedging overlay) 14 Static Risk Optimisation A static risk optimisation program relies on a single-period model and is based on the assumption that optimal portfolio weights are constant over time. To this end, the rebalancing process has to be determined at the managers’ discretion. Moreover, it must be noted that the strategies considered within this category (‘smart betas’, max. Sharpe ratio etc.) are assumed to use a static approach, as illustrated in the academia, yet they can also be implemented in a dynamic fashion.
  • 17. 28% 27% Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 24% 14% 7% 30% 20% 10% 0% Minimum variance Maximum diversification Markowitz (max. Sharpe ratio) Risk parity Other Several answers possible Investing in smart beta strategies has increasingly been embraced by institutional investors as they are willing to diversify their exposures from the over-concentration features inherent in traditional indices (i.e., price or market cap weighted). Three techniques belonging to the smart beta fields are mentioned by the survey respondents: minimum variance (used by 28%), maximum diversification (27%) and risk parity (14%). Individually, such strategies may face prolonged periods of underperformance relative to their cap-weighted index universe (e.g., S&P 500 min variance strategy vs. the S&P 500 Index). Carried out potentially to mitigate this risk, 5% of investors declared allocating to solutions using several risk factors (e.g., quality, momentum and volatility). Furthermore, as the Markowitz approach (maximisation of the Sharpe ratio) is still common place in the active management field, it is logically cited by a quarter of participants. 15 Derivatives Derivatives are very flexible instruments able to hedge a significant number of specific risk exposures (without potentially costly divestments): inflation, currency, interest rates, volatility, longevity, tail risk etc. Traded on exchanges or over-the-counter (OTC), they consist of a large range of instruments: Options, credit default swaps, total return swaps, futures forwards and swaptions among others.
  • 18. 42% 25% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Hedging overlay (interest rate risk, FX risk, inflation risk etc.) Structured products Several answers possible Partly reflecting the large proportion of pension schemes and insurers that took part in this survey, hedging overlay strategies appear as the most commonly utilised when it comes to controlling risks with derivatives (implemented by 42% of investors). As a reminder, overlays designed for hedging purposes are strategies that employ derivative instruments to offset certain portfolio exposures, whether partially or entirely. In addition to usually preventing divestments (i.e., selling an asset or a portfolio), hedging overlays offer a wide range of risk mitigating possibilities (e.g., currency, inflation, interest rates, volatility or tail risks). They may appeal to many institutional investors other than their main users, pension plans and insurance firms, and are mostly put into effect via futures, forwards and total return swaps (linear payoff structure) and options (asymmetric payoff structure). A structured product is generally a pre-packaged investment strategy created by the combination of at least two vehicles (e.g., one or several securities, index products, derivatives, etc.) in order to adjust the underlying assets’ initial risk and return structure. Of the investors surveyed, a fourth claimed using structured strategies, which, by definition, can be tailored to a large set of asset classes and specific risk criteria. Indeed, some products offer risk mitigation via principal protection (e.g., zero coupon bond combined with a call option) or collar strategies (e.g., equity index floor protection financed by a cap on the upside gains). However, structured products can be very costly and somehow opaque; they may incorporate leveraged / short, hard-to-price underlying assets and ‘exotic derivatives’. 16 Dynamic-Risk Control Dynamic-risk control can be referred to as a multi-period risk optimisation. Using constantly updated data, dynamic-risk control programs aim to determine the portfolio’s optimal asset allocation in the subsequent period (i.e., post rebalancing, triggered by objective pre-set criteria) as it assumes the probability distribution of asset returns and risk factors vary over time conditional upon information availability.
  • 19. Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 17 30% 25% 21% 8% 30% 20% 10% 0% Target volatility Dynamic loss control strategies (e.g., portfolio insurance techniques) Target VaR / CVaR Target tracking error Controlling the variance of a portfolio remains determinant in most investment decisions as confirmed by 30% of respondents implementing target volatility strategies. A strategy following a target volatility approach will move from risky assets (e.g., stocks) to safer assets (e.g., government and investment grade bonds) in order to achieve the desired volatility level. To a much lesser extent, 8% of informants replied using target tracking error strategies. To a certain extent, the rise of passive investing (from 8% of Global AuM in 2003 to 15% in 2013, according to the Boston Consulting Group) has probably led to target tracking-error approaches being less praised by investors assuming an index vehicle delivers a return more or less equal to the underlying index minus the expense ratio1. The target VaR / CVaR (employed by 21% of investors) is a more advanced risk control technique as it enables gauging the potential absolute or relative loss a portfolio may suffer within a given likelihood and horizon. As a reminder, the Value-at-Risk measures the potential loss in value of a portfolio over a defined period for a given confidence interval. On its end, the CVaR estimates the expected loss in excess of the Value-at-Risk. Some target volatility strategies aim at approaching a long term volatility level deemed optimal with regards to the underlying assets. The rationale behind Target VaR / CVaR approaches is always to ensure that the risk inherent in the fund remains below the target set ex ante (no one willing to experiment higher potential loss above what is considered as ‘acceptable’). Mr Jean-Louis Blanc, director at Caisse de Pensions Bobst Mex SA, a private Swiss DC pension scheme, tells us that “The risk framework implemented by our institution, and defined by the Board, aims to control the drawdown risk with the use of consolidated reporting. As such, it is based on a quantitative risk measurement, inherent in our strategic allocation, and on an annual risk ceiling in compliance with the return target. The risk approach we have chosen is a target CVaR (Conditional Value-at-Risk) with a 95% confidence level over a one-year horizon.” Moreover, he adds that, “The investment committee assesses the diverse tactical asset allocation opportunities according to its market views based on a set of indicators (e.g., European and US key rates, PMI levels, market valuations, etc.) while keeping a close watch on the scheme’s risk exposure.” 1 Readers may refer to Bonelli (2014) which discusses this specific issue. Several answers possible
  • 20. The fact that dynamic loss control strategies have been adopted by one fourth of institutions surveyed is of particular interest. Such strategies aim to limit the absolute or relative loss a portfolio may suffer. The drawdown estimates enable rebalancing the portfolio with a view to ensure the risk budget is preserved and the money allocated in a risk efficient fashion. Lastly, institutional investors have benefited from much sounder dynamic loss control strategies with regards to the portfolio insurance techniques that appeared in the eighties. The several pronounced drawdown episodes we have experienced in the past years may be a driver for dynamic loss control strategies to be more widely adopted. 30% 20% 10% 0% 18 How often do you monitor the risk of your portfolios? 32% 26% 25% 14% 3% Monthly basis Daily basis Weekly basis Quarterly / Semi-annual basis Annual basis Monitoring the risk of investment portfolios is a challenging task that requires institutional investors devoting significant financial, technological and human resources. Increasingly demanding regulatory requirements coupled with fast-paced market environments have strongly incentivised financial actors to better, and more regularly, assess the risks to which they are exposed to. Of the companies surveyed, 51% admit watching their portfolios’ risk at least every week, whereas only 17% do so four times a year or less. In between, 32% of informants monitor risk on a monthly basis, also a rather famous rebalancing frequency. Furthermore, risk monitoring can obviously range from ‘basic’ observations (e.g., volatility, tracking error or maximum loss suffered on a given period) to more complex projections (e.g., yield curve or CVaR). Consultancy firms are frequently involved in the risk monitoring and assessment of institutional portfolios. Indeed, “The risk exposure of our pension scheme is evaluated quarterly by an independent external consultant who produces a report for the investment committees,” says Mr Blanc of Caisse de Pensions Bobst Mex SA. He continues, “Then, the exposure determined by the consultant is compared with our risk ceiling (CVaR with a 95% confidence level over a one-year rolling horizon), hence enabling the investment committee to take allocation decisions.”
  • 21. Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 Moreover, prudential regulations such as the Solvency II Directive may have a significant impact on the nature and frequency of risk controls implemented by institutions. Mr Alban Jarry, Head of Solvency II Program at La Mutuelle Générale, the third French mutual insurance company, tells us that “Own Risk and Solvency Assessment (ORSA) becomes the reference document in risk management for insurance firms. Aimed at firms’ governance and supervisory authorities, it provides a clear picture of current and forecasted risks.” He adds, “In general, Solvency II second pillar facilitates the analysis of the risks inherent in an entity as it is based upon decision and monitoring processes. As such, it enables producing bespoke indicators for the governance.” 19
  • 22. The Specific Case of Systematic Loss Control Strategies
  • 23. The Specific Case of Systematic Loss Control Strategies Systematic loss control strategies are rule-based mechanisms aiming to hedge the potential (absolute or relative) loss of a portfolio / bucket. To do so, investors may use specific hedging overlays, portfolio insurance strategies or structured products. Drawbacks of systematic loss control strategies perceived It is commonly accepted that the timing of rebalancing is a key parameter for preserving a portfolio’s value. Of the investors polled, 45% regard the bad rebalancing timing as the main drawback weighing on systematic loss control strategies. Readjusting the asset mix when markets are stressed (e.g., significant price drops in one or more asset classes) can significantly damage the potential benefits of asset allocation / security selection decisions. Either calendar-based (e.g., monthly basis) or risk-based (e.g., trading bands), portfolio rebalancing carried out in overbought / oversold markets may bring important costs (mainly opportunity and transaction costs) if not designed with sufficient care. Weak participation to the upside is also mentioned as a major disadvantage of such strategies (cited by 42% of respondents). Controlling the potential loss a portfolio may endure via rule-based approaches implies giving up a portion of the upside gains (e.g., versus a market index) to enable a downside protection. Nonetheless, the amount given up must be ‘acceptable’ (according to each institution’s specific needs) as benefiting from asymmetric payoffs is the main reason why investors chose systematic loss control strategies. 21 45% 42% 24% 21% 14% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Bad rebalancing timing (e.g., buy high / sell low in oscillating markets) Weak participation to the upside Possibility of being locked up in cash (e.g., risk budget fully consumed) Systematic approach lacking of ‘human rational thinking’ Other Several answers possible Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014
  • 24. The fundamentals of risk-driven investment strategies, limiting losses, may rely upon a risk budget (e.g., a level of VaR or maximum drawdown set ex-ante) to determine the allocation to the performance assets (e.g., equity). The inherent mechanism incorporates a reserve asset (e.g., cash or derivatives used to diminish the exposure to an underlying portfolio) whose role is to ensure the respect of the risk control objective. When ill-conceived, systematic loss control strategies can end up being ‘crystallised’ in the reserve asset if the risk budget becomes fully consumed, a downside mentioned by 24% of participants. Would a systematic approach enjoy greater efficiency if supplemented with ‘human rationale thinking’? A fifth of the institutional investors that participated in this survey tend to believe it would. ‘Blindly’ following a model’s decision to increase risk when markets are ‘overbought’, for instance, may not be the wisest decision. Notwithstanding, should human choices get the upper hand on a rule-based loss control strategy, it could not be labelled ‘strictly systematic’. To investors wanting the “best of both worlds” (i.e., an approach based on systematic and discretionary processes), well-designed hybrid strategies may be an appealing option. Which vehicle(s) would you use to implement systematic loss control strategies? Several answers possible As discussed before, Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) and index funds are increasingly used by institutional investors willing to easily and at little cost benefit from the returns of a wide set of indices / strategies. Of the respondents, 45% regard those vehicles as the most appropriate when it comes to implementing systematic loss control strategies. On the one hand, long-only ETFs, the overwhelming majority of such instruments traded in Europe, may be a particularly good fit for structured products and portfolio insurance strategies. However, the latter need to incorporate a reserve asset (e.g., cash or low-duration / zero coupon bonds) in order to control the potential absolute or relative loss. On the other hand, inverse or short ETFs can be used to hedge a given portfolio’s risk exposure. It is worth noting that only a few of those 22 15% 8% 18% 17% 35% 45% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% ETFs / Index funds Exchange-traded derivatives OTC derivatives Active funds Securities Other
  • 25. Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 specific instruments are available in Europe and are not as heavily traded as their US peers, hence providing an insufficient liquidity for most European institutions. Not only are derivative flexible instruments able to possibly hedge even very specific risk exposures but they also can provide a synthetic exposure to a given asset class etc. Among the investors surveyed, 35% consider exchange-traded derivatives (ETD) as very suitable instruments for rule-based strategies mitigating losses, whereas 18% mentioned OTC derivatives in this regard. When trading ETD, the clearing house acts as a central counterparty, thereby mitigating the consequences should one counterparty (the buyer or the seller) defaults. Conversely, the counterparty risk is inherent in OTC derivative contracts – even if the vast majority of financial firms establish a list of authorised counterparties following due diligence. In addition, it may cause serious harm should this risk materialise (e.g., when it collapsed, Lehman Brothers participated in more than 900,000 outstanding derivative contracts involving 8,000 different counterparties). Centralised derivatives are most fit for institutional investors willing to hedge, or synthetically replicate liquid exposures, and mostly include options and futures on interest rates, currencies and equity indices. Regarding OTC derivatives, they offer investors a wider range of instruments covering almost any asset class: ‘vanilla’ or non-standard underlying assets. Notwithstanding, it must be noted that the European Markets Infrastructure Regulation (EMIR) will impose mandatory clearing to certain ‘basic’ OTC contracts (e.g., basis swaps, fixed-to-float interest rate swaps or untranched Index CDS, for two indices). Broadly speaking, derivatives can be employed in hedging overlays, portfolio insurance strategies and structured products. Active funds are evoked by 17% of the informants as particularly suited instruments for systematic loss control mechanisms. The rationale for investing in such funds, money market funds apart, is the desire to generate alpha yet they may also constitute a cheaper, more efficient and liquid alternative to Delta-1 products covering certain asset classes (e.g., high-yield bonds or emerging market debt). Active funds would be likely to be employed within 23 portfolio insurance strategies. Finally, securities are the vehicles the least mentioned as being tailored for systematic risk-based strategies controlling the loss. Combined with derivatives, they are typically used in structured products (e.g., an investment grade bond coupled with a call option). Moreover, they may also be employed to synthetically replicate an index with few constituents (e.g., such as the SBI Domestic 1-3Y CHF) and implemented in portfolio insurance strategies, a less likely outcome though.
  • 27. references Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 Accenture. 2013. Global Risk Management Study. Risk management for an era of greater uncertainty – September 2013. Amenc, N., P. Malaise, and L. Martellini (2004). Revisiting core-satellite investing: a dynamic model of relative risk management. Journal of Portfolio Management 31 (1), 64–75. Bonelli, M. 2014. Exchange Traded Funds: Toward a Tailored Selection Approach. Inria Research Centre Sophia Antipolis – Méditerranée. Blommestein, H. J. The Debate over Sovereign Risk, Safe Assets, and the Risk-Free Rate: What are the Implications for Sovereign Issuers? Ekonomi-tek Volume / Cilt: 1 No: 3 September / Eylül 2012, 55-70. Boston Consulting Group. 2014. Global Asset Management 2014: Steering the Course to Growth – July 2014. European Commission. 2009. Directive 2009/138/EC of the European Parliament and of The Council of 25 November 2009 on the taking-up and pursuit of the business of Insurance and Reinsurance (Solvency II). European Commission. 2013. Directive 2013/58/EU of the European Parliament and of The Council of 11 December 2013 amending Directive 2009/138/EC (Solvency II) as regards the date for its transposition and the date of its application, and the date of repeal of certain Directives (Solvency I). European Commission. 2013. Report from the Commission to the European Parliament and the Council. The International Treatment of Central Banks and Public Entities Managing Public Debt with regard to OTC Derivatives Transactions. European Commission. 2014. Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of The Council on the activities and supervision of institutions for occupational retirement provision (IORP II). European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EOIPA). 2013. Database of pension plans and products in the EEA: Statistical Summary. Fleming M., A. Sarkar. 2014. Federal Reserve Bank of New-York – Economic Policy Review – The Failure Resolution of Lehman Brothers. Volume 20 Number 2. 25 iShares. 2009. Core-Satellite Investing (March). Mantilla-Garcia, D. (2014). Dynamic Allocation Strategies for Absolute and Relative Loss Control. Working Paper, EDHEC Risk and Asset Management Research Center.
  • 29. Koris International | 2014 European Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey | December 2014 about koris international Koris International (“Koris”) is a duly registered financial investment advisory firm dedicated to designing and developing dynamic asset allocation models controlling the drawdown risk. The company operates with a team of 14 professionals, with backgrounds in the asset management industry and academia, and benefits from the latest advances in financial engineering. Located in Sophia-Antipolis in France (head office) and in London, Koris is wholly owned by its founders and has been operating for 12 years with key players in the asset management industry through an ‘advisory’ business model entirely dedicated to asset allocation. Koris offers solutions that meet the needs of asset management companies, private banks and institutional investors throughout Europe. These advanced quantitative techniques are designed to satisfy investors’ appetite for better risk control. The strategies developed are implemented by renowned partner investment managers (Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Lyxor AM, Rothschild & Cie Gestion, Fédéris GA, Banque Bonhôte & Cie, etc.) via ETFs, index funds, securities, active funds, futures, total return swaps as well as liquid alternative investment strategies through managed accounts. 27 w w w.koris - intl.com
  • 30. For more information, please contact the authors Jérôme Malaise Institutional Client Solutions Gauthier Leibenguth Marketing & Sales Koris International Espace Saint Philippe - Immeuble Néri 200 Avenue de Roumanille 06410 Biot, France 46 New Broad Street London EC2M 1JH United Kingdom jerome.malaise@koris-intl.com +33 (0) 4 88 72 88 41 / +44 (0) 7584 654 827 gauthier.leibenguth@koris-intl.com +33 (0) 4 88 72 88 36 Important Information These materials (“Materials”) have been prepared by Koris International (“Koris”) for informational purposes only. The Materials are intended to serve solely as a summary of survey responses provided to Koris by European institutional investors that took part in Koris International Institutional Risk-Based Investing Survey 2014 (the “RBIS Survey”). The number of European institutional investors polled for these Materials is small relative to the size of the European institutional investor marketplace, and these Materials are not intended to summarise the views of the European institutional investor marketplace at large. Furthermore, the information presented in these Materials does not represent any assumptions, estimates, views, predictions or opinions of Koris. These Materials have not been verified for accuracy or completeness by Koris, and Koris does not guarantee these Materials in any respect, including but not limited to, their accuracy, completeness or timeliness. Information for these Materials was collected and compiled during the stated timeframe. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results and Koris in no way guarantees the investment performance, earnings or return of capital invested in any of the products or securities discussed in the Materials. These Materials may not be relied upon as definitive, and shall not form the basis of any decisions contemplated thereby. It is the responsibility of the recipients of these Materials (and the information therein) to consult with their own financial, tax, legal, or equivalent advisers prior to making any investment decision. These Materials do not constitute, and shall not be construed as an offer to sell, an investment advice or a recommendation on specific investments by Koris. ORIAS n° 13000579 (www.orias.fr). Koris International is a Financial Investment Adviser registered under No. D011872 by the CNCIF, Association approved by the French financial markets authority (AMF).