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Kinder brauchen Schule
Die langen Schatten von Schulschließungen
Andreas Schleicher, 23 October 2020
PISA 2018 Results
Programme for International Student Assessment
• 1.5bn students were impacted by school closures
• Remote learning has become the lifeline for learning
but doesn’t address the social functions of schools
• Access, use and quality of online resources amplify inequality
• Accreditation at stake
• Huge needs for just-in-time professional development
• Re-prioritisation of curricula and strategies for re-opening of
schools needed
• But lots of highly innovative learning environments emerging
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Existing online
instructional
resources
Online instruction
delivered by the
same teachers of
the students
learning
Instructional
packages
(textbooks,
worksheets,
printouts)
Educational
television
Radio education Online instruction
provided by private
tutors
%
Instructional resources used (Averages across 36 countries, May 2020)
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
An effective online learning support platform is available
The school has sufficient qualified technical assistant staff
Teachers are provided with incentives to integrate digital devices in their
teaching
The number of digital devices for instruction is sufficient
Teachers have sufficient time to prepare lessons integrating digital
devices
Teachers have the necessary technical and pedagogical skills to
integrate digital devices in instruction
Effective professional resources for teachers to learn how to use digital
devices are available
The number of digital devices connected to the Internet is sufficient
The school’s Internet bandwidth or speed is sufficient
Digital devices at the school are sufficiently powerful in terms of
computing capacity
The availability of appropriate software is sufficient
Percentage of students in schools whose principal agreed with the following statements
OECD average Germany
School's capacity to enhance teaching and learning using digital devices
Fig V.5.7
OECD average
Lost individual income due to Corona-induced learning loss
Present value of lost GDP due to Corona-induced learning loss
(average 1/3 school year lost)
-Bn $16,000
-Bn $14,000
-Bn $12,000
-Bn $10,000
-Bn $8,000
-Bn $6,000
-Bn $4,000
-Bn $2,000
Bn $0
Source: Hanushek and Woessmann (OECD, 2020)
Germany average reading score
340
350
360
370
380
390
400
410
420
430
440
450
460
470
480
490
500
510
520
530
540
550
560
Reading literacy in PISAStudentperformance
2009 2012 20152006 20182000 2003
11%…can distinguish between fact and opinion,
based on implicit cues pertaining to the content or source of the information
7%
2000
OECD average
340
350
360
370
380
390
400
410
420
430
440
450
460
470
480
490
500
510
520
530
540
550
560
2009 2012 20152006 20182000 2003
36% enrolled
73% enrolled
Studentperformance
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANG[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRA[CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE]
Reading literacy in PISA
Re-opening schools
Strategies for the new normal
Evidence from previous epidemics suggests
school-closure can prevent < 15% of infections
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
International
travel
restrictions
Mass gatherings Internal travel
restrictions
Environmental
hygiene
School closure Community
contact
reduction
Household
quarantine
Case isolation Workplace social
distancing
Source: OECD, Flattening the covid-19 peak: Containment and mitigation policies
Reduction in the share (%) of the population contracting the disease
Reopening Schools May have A Different Impact Across Countries
Contact matrices for home interaction
Source: github.com/sbfnk/socialmixr
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Closure of all common areas in school
Mandatory use of antiseptic wipes for students and
teachers to clean their desks every day
Mandatory use of masks for all students, teachers and
school staff
Mandatory application of social distancing protocols
Training students, teachers and staff on basic hygiene
and barrier gestures
Extremely likely Somewhat likely Neither likely nor unlikely Somewhat unlikely Extremely unlikely No answer
Health measures included in the reopening plans
(Averages across 36 countries, May 2020)
Table 22
%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Schools will re-open on different
dates based on the levels of
education they cover
Schools will re-open on different
schedules based on the grade
Schools will re-open on different
dates based on their
geographical location
All schools will re-open on the
same date
When do schools plan to reopen? (Averages across 36 countries, May 2020)
Table 16
%
What strategies will be used for school reopening?
(Averages across 36 countries, May 2020)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Progressive return of
students (e.g. by age
cohorts)
Classroom based
teaching and learning
in shifts
Hybrid model of
distance and
classroom based
teaching and learning
Return to normal
scheduling and
student attendance
Student and teacher
returns contingent
upon results of
antibody testing
Classroom teaching
conducted in schools’
outdoor spaces
Table 17
%
Find out more about our work at www.oecd.org/pisa
 PISA 2018: Insights and Implications
 PISA 2018 Results (Volume I): What Students Know and Can Do
 PISA 2018 Results (Volume II): Where All Students Can Succeed
 PISA 2018 Results (Volume III): What School Life Means for Students’ Lives
Take the test: www.oecd.org/pisa/test
FAQs: www.oecd.org/pisa/pisafaq
PISA indicators on Education GPS: http://gpseducation.oecd.org
PISA Data Explorer: www.oecd.org/pisa/data
Email: Andreas.Schleicher@OECD.org
Thank you

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Kinder brauchen Schule

  • 1. Kinder brauchen Schule Die langen Schatten von Schulschließungen Andreas Schleicher, 23 October 2020
  • 2. PISA 2018 Results Programme for International Student Assessment • 1.5bn students were impacted by school closures • Remote learning has become the lifeline for learning but doesn’t address the social functions of schools • Access, use and quality of online resources amplify inequality • Accreditation at stake • Huge needs for just-in-time professional development • Re-prioritisation of curricula and strategies for re-opening of schools needed • But lots of highly innovative learning environments emerging
  • 3. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Existing online instructional resources Online instruction delivered by the same teachers of the students learning Instructional packages (textbooks, worksheets, printouts) Educational television Radio education Online instruction provided by private tutors % Instructional resources used (Averages across 36 countries, May 2020)
  • 4. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 An effective online learning support platform is available The school has sufficient qualified technical assistant staff Teachers are provided with incentives to integrate digital devices in their teaching The number of digital devices for instruction is sufficient Teachers have sufficient time to prepare lessons integrating digital devices Teachers have the necessary technical and pedagogical skills to integrate digital devices in instruction Effective professional resources for teachers to learn how to use digital devices are available The number of digital devices connected to the Internet is sufficient The school’s Internet bandwidth or speed is sufficient Digital devices at the school are sufficiently powerful in terms of computing capacity The availability of appropriate software is sufficient Percentage of students in schools whose principal agreed with the following statements OECD average Germany School's capacity to enhance teaching and learning using digital devices Fig V.5.7 OECD average
  • 5. Lost individual income due to Corona-induced learning loss
  • 6. Present value of lost GDP due to Corona-induced learning loss (average 1/3 school year lost) -Bn $16,000 -Bn $14,000 -Bn $12,000 -Bn $10,000 -Bn $8,000 -Bn $6,000 -Bn $4,000 -Bn $2,000 Bn $0 Source: Hanushek and Woessmann (OECD, 2020)
  • 7. Germany average reading score 340 350 360 370 380 390 400 410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530 540 550 560 Reading literacy in PISAStudentperformance 2009 2012 20152006 20182000 2003 11%…can distinguish between fact and opinion, based on implicit cues pertaining to the content or source of the information 7% 2000
  • 8. OECD average 340 350 360 370 380 390 400 410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530 540 550 560 2009 2012 20152006 20182000 2003 36% enrolled 73% enrolled Studentperformance [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANG[CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRA[CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE][CELLRANGE] Reading literacy in PISA
  • 10. Evidence from previous epidemics suggests school-closure can prevent < 15% of infections 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% International travel restrictions Mass gatherings Internal travel restrictions Environmental hygiene School closure Community contact reduction Household quarantine Case isolation Workplace social distancing Source: OECD, Flattening the covid-19 peak: Containment and mitigation policies Reduction in the share (%) of the population contracting the disease
  • 11. Reopening Schools May have A Different Impact Across Countries Contact matrices for home interaction Source: github.com/sbfnk/socialmixr
  • 12. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Closure of all common areas in school Mandatory use of antiseptic wipes for students and teachers to clean their desks every day Mandatory use of masks for all students, teachers and school staff Mandatory application of social distancing protocols Training students, teachers and staff on basic hygiene and barrier gestures Extremely likely Somewhat likely Neither likely nor unlikely Somewhat unlikely Extremely unlikely No answer Health measures included in the reopening plans (Averages across 36 countries, May 2020) Table 22 %
  • 13. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Schools will re-open on different dates based on the levels of education they cover Schools will re-open on different schedules based on the grade Schools will re-open on different dates based on their geographical location All schools will re-open on the same date When do schools plan to reopen? (Averages across 36 countries, May 2020) Table 16 %
  • 14. What strategies will be used for school reopening? (Averages across 36 countries, May 2020) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Progressive return of students (e.g. by age cohorts) Classroom based teaching and learning in shifts Hybrid model of distance and classroom based teaching and learning Return to normal scheduling and student attendance Student and teacher returns contingent upon results of antibody testing Classroom teaching conducted in schools’ outdoor spaces Table 17 %
  • 15. Find out more about our work at www.oecd.org/pisa  PISA 2018: Insights and Implications  PISA 2018 Results (Volume I): What Students Know and Can Do  PISA 2018 Results (Volume II): Where All Students Can Succeed  PISA 2018 Results (Volume III): What School Life Means for Students’ Lives Take the test: www.oecd.org/pisa/test FAQs: www.oecd.org/pisa/pisafaq PISA indicators on Education GPS: http://gpseducation.oecd.org PISA Data Explorer: www.oecd.org/pisa/data Email: Andreas.Schleicher@OECD.org Thank you