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Daily Derivatives Outlook


                                                                                                   24 December 2012



Short Strangles & Straddles
    Sell Calls & Sell Puts
      Simultaneously                                        Bullish Call Option Trades
   Nifty( Dec, Jan, Feb)
    Highest Call OI at 6000
    Highest Put OI at 5800                             Buy Pantaloon Retail 240 CALL at 5.3
      Equilibrium at 5900
        5900C & 5900P                                    Buy Bank of India 340 CALL at 3.5
        6000C & 5800P
                                                                Buy TCS 1300 CALL at 3.3
        6100C & 5700P
        6200C & 5600P                                            Buy Zee 230 CALL at 1.3
        6300C & 5500P
        6400C & 5400P                                            Buy HDFC 840 CALL at 6
        6500C & 5300P
      Bank Nifty(Dec)                                        Buy Axis Bank 1350 CALL at 9
   Highest Call OI at 12500
   Highest Put OI at 12000
    Equilibrium at 12400                                    Bearish Put Option Trades
       12400C & 12400P
       12500C & 12300P
                                                           Buy Union Bank 260 PUT at 2.85
       12600C & 12200P
       12700C & 12100P                                        Buy Yes Bank 460 PUT at 4.8
       12800C & 12000P
       12900C & 11900P                                          Buy Bharti 300 PUT at 1.95
   USD/INR(Dec & Jan)
                                                                 Buy HDIL 105 PUT at 0.85
     Highest Call OI at 55
     Highest Put OI at 55                                  Buy Tata Motors 300 PUT at 4.25
     Equilibrium at 55.25
       55.25C & 55.25P                                    Buy Reliance Power 90 PUT at 0.8
         55.5C& 55P
       55.75C & 54.25P
          56C & 54P
       56.25C & 53.75P
        56.5C & 53.5P




                                                  Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                      th
           The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
NOTES ON OPTION STRATEGIES :

1. Advantages of Options – Profit from Trading range Markets, High Leverage, Built-in
    Stop Loss, Higher Probability of Profit using Spread Trades and Increase in trading
    opportunities due to multiple legs.
2. Stop Loss : Use 50% stop loss for bought options and 100% stop loss for sold options.
3. Profit Taking : Book profits at 100% for bought options and 50% for sold options.
4. Put Call Ratio ( Open Interest) is bullish at levels between 0.8 to 1.2 and bearish
    between 1.75 to 2.
5. Equilibrium strike is with equal Call and Put Open interest with Highest Call Open
    interest strike as resistance and Highest Put Open interest as support.
6. Long Call (+C) and Long Put (+P) (OTM, ATM and ITM) are Limited Risk and Unlimited
    Reward strategies.
7. Short Call (-C) and Short Put (-P) (OTM, ATM and ITM) are Unlimited Risk and Limited
    Reward strategies.
8. Long Synthetic (+C-P) and Short Synthetic (+P-C) (OTM, ATM and ITM) are Unimited
    Risk and Unlimited Reward strategies used instead of futures to save margin. They are
    useful during expiry week and for long dated options.
9. Long Straddle(ATM +C+P), Long Strangle(OTM +C + P) and Long Guts(ITM +C+P) are
    long volatility strategies ahead of events/results etc.
10. Short Straddle(ATM –C-P), Long Strangle(OTM -C - P) and Long Guts(ITM –C-P) are
    Short volatility strategies when range-bound action is anticipated.
11. Protective Put (+F+P OTM, ATM, ITM) and Protective Call(-F+C OTM, ATM, ITM)
    protect futures positions by buying options. They involve limited risk and unlimited
    reward.
12. Covered Call/Ratio Call Write Put (+F-C or -2C OTM, ATM, ITM) and Covered Put/Ratio
    Put Write (-F-P or -2P OTM, ATM, ITM) cover futures positions by selling options. They
    involve unlimited risk and limited reward.
13. Bull Spread (+C-C), Ratio Bull Spread (+C-2C) and Bull Ladder(+C-C-C) involve buying
    a lower call option and selling upper call options.
14. Bear Spread (+P-P), Ratio Bear Spread(+P-2P) and Bear Ladder(+P-P-P) involve
    buying a upper Put option and selling a lower Put option.
15. Long Term Options can be used to create investment grade positions using spreads,
    synthetics and covered /protective positions.




                                                  Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                      th
           The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
Disclaimer
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redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report
is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or
solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal
recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its
accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability
arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own
professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide
for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment
grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying
charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not
match with a report on a company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a
reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us
from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be
subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are
inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein.
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or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities
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The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the
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related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent.




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                            th
               The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322

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Keynote derivatives daily report for 241212

  • 1. Daily Derivatives Outlook 24 December 2012 Short Strangles & Straddles Sell Calls & Sell Puts Simultaneously Bullish Call Option Trades Nifty( Dec, Jan, Feb) Highest Call OI at 6000 Highest Put OI at 5800 Buy Pantaloon Retail 240 CALL at 5.3 Equilibrium at 5900 5900C & 5900P Buy Bank of India 340 CALL at 3.5 6000C & 5800P Buy TCS 1300 CALL at 3.3 6100C & 5700P 6200C & 5600P Buy Zee 230 CALL at 1.3 6300C & 5500P 6400C & 5400P Buy HDFC 840 CALL at 6 6500C & 5300P Bank Nifty(Dec) Buy Axis Bank 1350 CALL at 9 Highest Call OI at 12500 Highest Put OI at 12000 Equilibrium at 12400 Bearish Put Option Trades 12400C & 12400P 12500C & 12300P Buy Union Bank 260 PUT at 2.85 12600C & 12200P 12700C & 12100P Buy Yes Bank 460 PUT at 4.8 12800C & 12000P 12900C & 11900P Buy Bharti 300 PUT at 1.95 USD/INR(Dec & Jan) Buy HDIL 105 PUT at 0.85 Highest Call OI at 55 Highest Put OI at 55 Buy Tata Motors 300 PUT at 4.25 Equilibrium at 55.25 55.25C & 55.25P Buy Reliance Power 90 PUT at 0.8 55.5C& 55P 55.75C & 54.25P 56C & 54P 56.25C & 53.75P 56.5C & 53.5P Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
  • 2. NOTES ON OPTION STRATEGIES : 1. Advantages of Options – Profit from Trading range Markets, High Leverage, Built-in Stop Loss, Higher Probability of Profit using Spread Trades and Increase in trading opportunities due to multiple legs. 2. Stop Loss : Use 50% stop loss for bought options and 100% stop loss for sold options. 3. Profit Taking : Book profits at 100% for bought options and 50% for sold options. 4. Put Call Ratio ( Open Interest) is bullish at levels between 0.8 to 1.2 and bearish between 1.75 to 2. 5. Equilibrium strike is with equal Call and Put Open interest with Highest Call Open interest strike as resistance and Highest Put Open interest as support. 6. Long Call (+C) and Long Put (+P) (OTM, ATM and ITM) are Limited Risk and Unlimited Reward strategies. 7. Short Call (-C) and Short Put (-P) (OTM, ATM and ITM) are Unlimited Risk and Limited Reward strategies. 8. Long Synthetic (+C-P) and Short Synthetic (+P-C) (OTM, ATM and ITM) are Unimited Risk and Unlimited Reward strategies used instead of futures to save margin. They are useful during expiry week and for long dated options. 9. Long Straddle(ATM +C+P), Long Strangle(OTM +C + P) and Long Guts(ITM +C+P) are long volatility strategies ahead of events/results etc. 10. Short Straddle(ATM –C-P), Long Strangle(OTM -C - P) and Long Guts(ITM –C-P) are Short volatility strategies when range-bound action is anticipated. 11. Protective Put (+F+P OTM, ATM, ITM) and Protective Call(-F+C OTM, ATM, ITM) protect futures positions by buying options. They involve limited risk and unlimited reward. 12. Covered Call/Ratio Call Write Put (+F-C or -2C OTM, ATM, ITM) and Covered Put/Ratio Put Write (-F-P or -2P OTM, ATM, ITM) cover futures positions by selling options. They involve unlimited risk and limited reward. 13. Bull Spread (+C-C), Ratio Bull Spread (+C-2C) and Bull Ladder(+C-C-C) involve buying a lower call option and selling upper call options. 14. Bear Spread (+P-P), Ratio Bear Spread(+P-2P) and Bear Ladder(+P-P-P) involve buying a upper Put option and selling a lower Put option. 15. Long Term Options can be used to create investment grade positions using spreads, synthetics and covered /protective positions. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322