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Beyond access: the impact of Africa’s
agriculture research outputs and literature

                  A keynote address at the
         Third IAALD African Chapter Conference
 e-Agriculture for improved livelihoods and food security in
                           Africa
                      21-23 May, 2012
                 Johannesburg, South Africa

                  Andrew M. Kaniki, PhD
       Executive Director: Knowledge Fields Development
    Research and Innovation Support and Advancement (RISA)
                 National Research Foundation
                    Andrew@nrf.ac.za
Strategic Context:
Towards the knowledge society/economy
• African Governments have set themselves the
  objective of transforming their countries and the
  continent into a knowledge society that
  competes effectively in a global system

• The agenda… to become a knowledge society is
  increasingly driven by Africans. The African
  Union and more specifically NEPAD are setting
  the agenda (Africa as a knowledge society: a reality
  check Int. Info & Lib Review. Britz et. al 2006)
                                                     2
Knowledge Society Indicators:
    Towards the knowledge society/economy

• Qualitative measurement of the use of, and
  access to, modern ICTs;

• The number of scientists in a country;

• The amount spent on R&D as a percentage
  of the gross domestic product (GDP)
  – Executive Council 8th Ordinary Session of AU 16-21 Jan, 2006, 1% of
    GDP spend;
  – Maputo declaration 2003 directed AU member countries national    3
    agricultural investment to at least 10%
Knowledge Society Indicators:
Towards the knowledge society/economy

• The ability to produce and export high
  technology;

• The number of patents filed in a country;
  and

• The number [and impact] of articles
  published in highly ranked [impact]
  scholarly journals.                         4
Why the knowledge economy?

   Sustainable wealth




                        Source: DA King, Nature 430 (2004) 311 (15 July 2004)
Why the Knowledge Economy


More than 50% of new wealth creation in the world’s
largest economies is ascribed to knowledge based
industries, where the major proportion of the
workforce is employed in knowledge-based jobs and
the major proportion of firms that innovate use
technology to do so. The DST aims to lead a
programme of interventions over the next ten years to
drive the transformation of the South African
economy to a knowledge economy.
Innovation towards a knowledge economy: The ten year plan for South
Africa (2008-2018) pp. 4-5
Drivers of Economic
            Competitiveness
• Drivers of competitiveness:
   – Investing in human beings is the best way to enhance
      productive capacities – profits and efficiencies
              (Riane Esler 2007 – The real wealth of nations)

• Economic studies indicate that even before the IT
  revolution as much as 85% of measured US growth per
  capita was due to technological change (US National
  Academy of Science)

1. Human Capital
2. Technological change (Knowledge production, Innovation:
  US study on Productivity Growth)
Impact of Africa’s agriculture research
  outputs and literature - Indicators

 • Essential Science Indicators & Journal
   Citation Index (Thomson Reuters: Journal Citation
   Report)


 • Agricultural Science and Technology
   Indicators (ASTI) (managed by the International
   Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) of the
   Consultative Group on International Agriculture
   Research (CGIAR) – http://www.asti.cgiar.org)

                                                       8
Thomas Reuters examples of
productivity and impact measures
• Journal Impact Factor: Average number of
  times articles from a jnal published in past
  2 yrs have been cited
• Impact Factor of 1.0: on average articles
  published one or two years ago have been
  cited at least once
• 5 year impact factor: average number of
  times articles from a journal published in
  past 5 yrs
                                             9
Big 8 Share of Agric R&D spending and
             staff in 2008
               Country   % Share Spending   %Share of
                                            Staff

Nigeria                        23.2             17.0

South Africa                   15.6              6.5

Kenya                           9.8              8.4

Ghana                           5.5              4.4

Uganda                          5.0              2.2

Tanzania                        4.4              5.6

Ethiopia                        3.9             10.9

Sudan                           3.0              8.4

Total                          70.4             63.7    10
11 Yr Country Rankings in Ag Science
According to Number of Citations per paper
 Ranking(out- Country 98      Papers         Citations         Citations/
 puts ranking                                                  Paper
    1 (36     Scotland             1 794           24 007              13.38

    2 (29)    Finland              2 087           25 822              12.37

    6 (12)    England              8 297           95 605              11.52

    14 (1)    USA                 46 251          460 698               9.96

   26 (73)    Zimbabwe                 258          2 128               8.25

   33 (62)    Morocco                  357          2 681               7.51

   38 (88)    Cote d’IVoire            130               850            6.54

   41 (37)    S Africa             1 545            9 526               6.17
                                                                               11
   44 (80)    Senegal                  171          1 050               6.14
11 Yr Country Rankings in Ag Science
According to Number of Citations per paper
 Ranking(out- Country 98     Papers         Citations         Citations/
 puts ranking                                                 Paper
   46 (46)    Kenya                   865          5 034               5.38

   55 (81)    Burkina Faso            170               932            5.48

   60 (72)    Tanzania                268          1 344               5.01

   63 (74)    Algeria                 251          1 230                   4.9

   64 (76)    Uganda                  234          1 142               4.88

   69 (87)    Malawi                  133               616            4.63

   70 (48)    Tunisia                 767          3 415               4.45

   71 (90)    Mali                    129               570            4.42
                                                                                 12
   73 (41)    Egypt               1 299            5 393               4.15
11 Yr Country Rankings in Ag Science
According to Number of Citations per paper
 Ranking(out- Country 98   Papers         Citations         Citations/
 puts ranking                                               Paper
   76 (66)    Cameroon              324          1 329                   4.1

   78 (60)    Ghana                 381          1 547               4.06

   79 (59)    Ethiopia              392          1 564               3.99

   81 (94)    Botswana              92                365            3.97

   83 (79)    Sudan                 178               698            3.92

   84 (797)   Benin                 226               879            3.89

   86 (93)    Niger                 107               392            3.66

   94 (34)    Nigeria           1 932            5 925               3.07
                                                                               13
Country               Journal Title           Impact      5yr IF
                                                  Factor (IF)

Egypt          Int. Jnal Photoenergy                   1.345   1.363

Ethiopia       Bulletin of the chemical Society        0.277   0.298

Kenya          African Jnal of biotechnology           0.573   0.794

Libya          Libya Jnal of Medicine                  0.169     No
                                                                data
Nigeria        African Jnal of Agric Research          0.263   0.203

South Africa   SA Jnal of Animal Sciences              0.416   0.717
               SA Jnal Botany                          1.106   1.144
                                                                   14
What can we say about this?
• A key input for development and innovation is
  research and literature;
• Research output and impactful literature;
• Access to literature cannot be over-
  emphasised and of course ICT provide great
  opportunity for access;
• Only about 1/3 of African countries have
  produced agriculture research
• Impact factor of top journals ½ that of the top
                                                15
  journals in agriculture.
In Conclusion
What does this mean/shoul we be doing?
• Improve visibility and use of African Agric literature
  (SciELO –SA Scientific Electronic Library Online);
• Keep track on the performance of these literature and
  provide feed back to decision makers and
  researchers;
• Facilitate the improvement of quality of agric research
  literature
• As African countries work towards investing 1% of
  GDP into R&D, what % goes into Agricultural R&D,
  what’s the return on investment?
                                                     16
Enkosi, Thank you, Asante, Re a leboga, Siyabonga, Dankie,
Merci, Zikomo
Andrew@nrf.ac.za

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Keynote address 2 kaniki

  • 1. Beyond access: the impact of Africa’s agriculture research outputs and literature A keynote address at the Third IAALD African Chapter Conference e-Agriculture for improved livelihoods and food security in Africa 21-23 May, 2012 Johannesburg, South Africa Andrew M. Kaniki, PhD Executive Director: Knowledge Fields Development Research and Innovation Support and Advancement (RISA) National Research Foundation Andrew@nrf.ac.za
  • 2. Strategic Context: Towards the knowledge society/economy • African Governments have set themselves the objective of transforming their countries and the continent into a knowledge society that competes effectively in a global system • The agenda… to become a knowledge society is increasingly driven by Africans. The African Union and more specifically NEPAD are setting the agenda (Africa as a knowledge society: a reality check Int. Info & Lib Review. Britz et. al 2006) 2
  • 3. Knowledge Society Indicators: Towards the knowledge society/economy • Qualitative measurement of the use of, and access to, modern ICTs; • The number of scientists in a country; • The amount spent on R&D as a percentage of the gross domestic product (GDP) – Executive Council 8th Ordinary Session of AU 16-21 Jan, 2006, 1% of GDP spend; – Maputo declaration 2003 directed AU member countries national 3 agricultural investment to at least 10%
  • 4. Knowledge Society Indicators: Towards the knowledge society/economy • The ability to produce and export high technology; • The number of patents filed in a country; and • The number [and impact] of articles published in highly ranked [impact] scholarly journals. 4
  • 5. Why the knowledge economy? Sustainable wealth Source: DA King, Nature 430 (2004) 311 (15 July 2004)
  • 6. Why the Knowledge Economy More than 50% of new wealth creation in the world’s largest economies is ascribed to knowledge based industries, where the major proportion of the workforce is employed in knowledge-based jobs and the major proportion of firms that innovate use technology to do so. The DST aims to lead a programme of interventions over the next ten years to drive the transformation of the South African economy to a knowledge economy. Innovation towards a knowledge economy: The ten year plan for South Africa (2008-2018) pp. 4-5
  • 7. Drivers of Economic Competitiveness • Drivers of competitiveness: – Investing in human beings is the best way to enhance productive capacities – profits and efficiencies (Riane Esler 2007 – The real wealth of nations) • Economic studies indicate that even before the IT revolution as much as 85% of measured US growth per capita was due to technological change (US National Academy of Science) 1. Human Capital 2. Technological change (Knowledge production, Innovation: US study on Productivity Growth)
  • 8. Impact of Africa’s agriculture research outputs and literature - Indicators • Essential Science Indicators & Journal Citation Index (Thomson Reuters: Journal Citation Report) • Agricultural Science and Technology Indicators (ASTI) (managed by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) of the Consultative Group on International Agriculture Research (CGIAR) – http://www.asti.cgiar.org) 8
  • 9. Thomas Reuters examples of productivity and impact measures • Journal Impact Factor: Average number of times articles from a jnal published in past 2 yrs have been cited • Impact Factor of 1.0: on average articles published one or two years ago have been cited at least once • 5 year impact factor: average number of times articles from a journal published in past 5 yrs 9
  • 10. Big 8 Share of Agric R&D spending and staff in 2008 Country % Share Spending %Share of Staff Nigeria 23.2 17.0 South Africa 15.6 6.5 Kenya 9.8 8.4 Ghana 5.5 4.4 Uganda 5.0 2.2 Tanzania 4.4 5.6 Ethiopia 3.9 10.9 Sudan 3.0 8.4 Total 70.4 63.7 10
  • 11. 11 Yr Country Rankings in Ag Science According to Number of Citations per paper Ranking(out- Country 98 Papers Citations Citations/ puts ranking Paper 1 (36 Scotland 1 794 24 007 13.38 2 (29) Finland 2 087 25 822 12.37 6 (12) England 8 297 95 605 11.52 14 (1) USA 46 251 460 698 9.96 26 (73) Zimbabwe 258 2 128 8.25 33 (62) Morocco 357 2 681 7.51 38 (88) Cote d’IVoire 130 850 6.54 41 (37) S Africa 1 545 9 526 6.17 11 44 (80) Senegal 171 1 050 6.14
  • 12. 11 Yr Country Rankings in Ag Science According to Number of Citations per paper Ranking(out- Country 98 Papers Citations Citations/ puts ranking Paper 46 (46) Kenya 865 5 034 5.38 55 (81) Burkina Faso 170 932 5.48 60 (72) Tanzania 268 1 344 5.01 63 (74) Algeria 251 1 230 4.9 64 (76) Uganda 234 1 142 4.88 69 (87) Malawi 133 616 4.63 70 (48) Tunisia 767 3 415 4.45 71 (90) Mali 129 570 4.42 12 73 (41) Egypt 1 299 5 393 4.15
  • 13. 11 Yr Country Rankings in Ag Science According to Number of Citations per paper Ranking(out- Country 98 Papers Citations Citations/ puts ranking Paper 76 (66) Cameroon 324 1 329 4.1 78 (60) Ghana 381 1 547 4.06 79 (59) Ethiopia 392 1 564 3.99 81 (94) Botswana 92 365 3.97 83 (79) Sudan 178 698 3.92 84 (797) Benin 226 879 3.89 86 (93) Niger 107 392 3.66 94 (34) Nigeria 1 932 5 925 3.07 13
  • 14. Country Journal Title Impact 5yr IF Factor (IF) Egypt Int. Jnal Photoenergy 1.345 1.363 Ethiopia Bulletin of the chemical Society 0.277 0.298 Kenya African Jnal of biotechnology 0.573 0.794 Libya Libya Jnal of Medicine 0.169 No data Nigeria African Jnal of Agric Research 0.263 0.203 South Africa SA Jnal of Animal Sciences 0.416 0.717 SA Jnal Botany 1.106 1.144 14
  • 15. What can we say about this? • A key input for development and innovation is research and literature; • Research output and impactful literature; • Access to literature cannot be over- emphasised and of course ICT provide great opportunity for access; • Only about 1/3 of African countries have produced agriculture research • Impact factor of top journals ½ that of the top 15 journals in agriculture.
  • 16. In Conclusion What does this mean/shoul we be doing? • Improve visibility and use of African Agric literature (SciELO –SA Scientific Electronic Library Online); • Keep track on the performance of these literature and provide feed back to decision makers and researchers; • Facilitate the improvement of quality of agric research literature • As African countries work towards investing 1% of GDP into R&D, what % goes into Agricultural R&D, what’s the return on investment? 16
  • 17. Enkosi, Thank you, Asante, Re a leboga, Siyabonga, Dankie, Merci, Zikomo