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Issues and Trends in
   the Balance of
     Payments
1. The structure of
   Australia’s export base

• Australia’s export base includes all of the
  products that Australia produces for export

• Australia’s export base has a significant
  impact on the inflow of funds on the current
  account

• Australia’s export base is heavily weighted
  towards primary products, commodities etc
The structure of Australia’s
             export base
• This is often termed a “narrow” export base
   because we are relying on a few products
   for export $$

• a “narrow” export base is not good for the
   CAD as we are exposed to large fluctuations
   in commodity prices

• Despite the fact that this has been
   increasingly seen as a problem for Australia,
   exports have been become more heavily
   focused on these products
The structure of Australia’s
       export base
• Concern is also sometimes raised that
  Australia does not have an adequate IT
  sector or manufacturing sector and this
  means that we are two reliant on imports
  (meaning a higher CAD)

• many economists suggest that Australia
  needs to broaden its “export base” by
  producing more manufactured goods and
  exporting many more services
2. International
         competitiveness
• If Australia is not competitive on an
  international scale, it will be very difficult to
  improve trade performance

• Australian exports have typically not been
  very competitive on an international level

• Improving the international competitiveness
  of Australian businesses ultimately depends
  upon paying attention to specific industries
  and their performance
3. Structural Change
• Microeconomic reform policies are those
  government policies which aim to improve the
  efficiency and productivity of producers
  within individual industries

• Australian governments have implemented
  extensive microeconomic reforms over the
  past 20 years in an attempt to broaden our
  “export base”

• these reforms have attempted to address
  structual factors which affect our
Structural Change

• These microeconomic reforms have attempted
  to address structural factors which affect
  our international competitiveness such as:

   • inflation
   • wages growth
   • productivity levels
   • efficiency of the public sector
4. Terms of Trade
• The Terms of Trade shows the relationship
  between the prices that Australia receives
  for its exports and the prices that it pays
  for its imports



TERMS OF   EXPORT PRICE INDEX
         =                             x 100/1
  TRADE    IMPORT PRICE INDEX
Terms of Trade

• E.g. if export prices are increasing relative
  to import prices then Australia’s terms of
  trade will improve

• On the other hand, if import prices are
  increasing relative to export prices then
  Australia’s terms of trade will deteriorate

• Australia’s narrow export base has been a
  consistent problem for Australia’s Terms of
  Trade in recent years

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Issues and trends in the balance of payments

  • 1. Issues and Trends in the Balance of Payments
  • 2. 1. The structure of Australia’s export base • Australia’s export base includes all of the products that Australia produces for export • Australia’s export base has a significant impact on the inflow of funds on the current account • Australia’s export base is heavily weighted towards primary products, commodities etc
  • 3. The structure of Australia’s export base • This is often termed a “narrow” export base because we are relying on a few products for export $$ • a “narrow” export base is not good for the CAD as we are exposed to large fluctuations in commodity prices • Despite the fact that this has been increasingly seen as a problem for Australia, exports have been become more heavily focused on these products
  • 4. The structure of Australia’s export base • Concern is also sometimes raised that Australia does not have an adequate IT sector or manufacturing sector and this means that we are two reliant on imports (meaning a higher CAD) • many economists suggest that Australia needs to broaden its “export base” by producing more manufactured goods and exporting many more services
  • 5. 2. International competitiveness • If Australia is not competitive on an international scale, it will be very difficult to improve trade performance • Australian exports have typically not been very competitive on an international level • Improving the international competitiveness of Australian businesses ultimately depends upon paying attention to specific industries and their performance
  • 6. 3. Structural Change • Microeconomic reform policies are those government policies which aim to improve the efficiency and productivity of producers within individual industries • Australian governments have implemented extensive microeconomic reforms over the past 20 years in an attempt to broaden our “export base” • these reforms have attempted to address structual factors which affect our
  • 7. Structural Change • These microeconomic reforms have attempted to address structural factors which affect our international competitiveness such as: • inflation • wages growth • productivity levels • efficiency of the public sector
  • 8. 4. Terms of Trade • The Terms of Trade shows the relationship between the prices that Australia receives for its exports and the prices that it pays for its imports TERMS OF EXPORT PRICE INDEX = x 100/1 TRADE IMPORT PRICE INDEX
  • 9. Terms of Trade • E.g. if export prices are increasing relative to import prices then Australia’s terms of trade will improve • On the other hand, if import prices are increasing relative to export prices then Australia’s terms of trade will deteriorate • Australia’s narrow export base has been a consistent problem for Australia’s Terms of Trade in recent years