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November 2008
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[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
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[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Stage 1: Clarifying that Riba carries no reward with Allah
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Stage 2: Outright ban on Interest but not retrospectively
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],Stage 3: Reiterating the ban on Interest and imposing it retrospectively on all loans
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Islam considers lending as a charitable, not commercial transaction
[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Modern-day capitalism has mastered the art of stealing a man’s rights, and then selling them back to him as a privilege
[object Object],[object Object],Depositors of PRs10,000 to PRs100,000 make up 60% of total depositor base, but their share of total deposit amount is only 17%
The distribution of deposits and advances reveals that the elite few are the main beneficiaries of our banking system while all others are systematically excluded from access to capital and opportunity Source: State Bank of Pakistan Monthly Bulletin; data as at 31 December 2007
[object Object],[object Object]
Of the US$54 trillion global external debt, top 20 countries account for 90%; including 14 European countries External debt (public + private) as a % of GDP Source: CIA Factbook
Source: Wikipedia The biggest economy in the world is also the world’s most debtor nation ever, vulnerable to a major financial crisis
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Effect of low/high interest rate over short/long periods  The power of compounding plays havoc with borrowers at high interest rates over long periods of time  0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 1  10,000,000  10,500,000  11,000,000  11,500,000  12,000,000  12,500,000  13,000,000  2  10,000,000  11,025,000  12,100,000  13,225,000  14,400,000  15,625,000  16,900,000  3  10,000,000  11,576,250  13,310,000  15,208,750  17,280,000  19,531,250  21,970,000  4  10,000,000  12,155,063  14,641,000  17,490,063  20,736,000  24,414,063  28,561,000  5  10,000,000  12,762,816  16,105,100  20,113,572  24,883,200  30,517,578  37,129,300  10  10,000,000  16,288,946  25,937,425  40,455,577  61,917,364  93,132,257  137,858,492  15  10,000,000  20,789,282  41,772,482  81,370,616  154,070,216  284,217,094  511,858,930  20  10,000,000  26,532,977  67,274,999  163,665,374  383,375,999  867,361,738  1,900,496,377
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],“ The collapse of the global marketplace would be a traumatic event with unimaginable consequences. Yet I find this easier to imagine than the continuation of the present regime” George Soros
Source: Independent Strategy Interest-based system has created a mega liquidity bubble which can burst any time
Source: Independent Strategy Derivatives market has skyrocketed since 1990s due to globalization of capital and technological advancements
From US$20bn to US$230m in 14 months; Bear Stearns experienced a 99% free fall in share price  Bear Stearns 1-year share price performance  US$
[object Object],[object Object]
Inflation 1923-24: A German woman feeding a stove with currency notes, which burned longer than the amount of firewood they could buy Source: Wikipedia Hyperinflation in 20 th  century
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[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
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[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],For unsophisticated investors Islamic mutual funds are an excellent way to earn decent returns at a manageable level of risk
Low risk, Liquid High risk, Illiquid Muslims today should be ready to forego some return in order to comply with Shariah Deposit in an Islamic bank Shares (via mutual funds) Shares (direct investment) Real estate funds or Islamic REITs Real estate (direct investment) Non-essential Commodities (buy & hold) Private Equity funds Private business as a partner
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Today’s Islamic banking does not fulfill the objectives of Shariah; it is a start but not the end
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Leasing a car for personal or company use from a conventional bank under conventional finance lease arrangement is prohibited
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Obtaining a mortgage for house / commercial property from a conventional bank under conventional mortgage schemes is not permissible
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Murabaha is not an ideal mode of Islamic financing, but it is a good first step to get out of absolute haram
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],US is drowned under US$915bn credit card debt; Pakistan has started with US$1bn and will follow the same path if people do not resist
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The essence of Islam is Halal & Haram; the one who does not follow the essence is likely to lose out even if he is particular about the details
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Islam & Interest

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  • 19. The distribution of deposits and advances reveals that the elite few are the main beneficiaries of our banking system while all others are systematically excluded from access to capital and opportunity Source: State Bank of Pakistan Monthly Bulletin; data as at 31 December 2007
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  • 21. Of the US$54 trillion global external debt, top 20 countries account for 90%; including 14 European countries External debt (public + private) as a % of GDP Source: CIA Factbook
  • 22. Source: Wikipedia The biggest economy in the world is also the world’s most debtor nation ever, vulnerable to a major financial crisis
  • 23.
  • 24. Effect of low/high interest rate over short/long periods The power of compounding plays havoc with borrowers at high interest rates over long periods of time 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 1 10,000,000 10,500,000 11,000,000 11,500,000 12,000,000 12,500,000 13,000,000 2 10,000,000 11,025,000 12,100,000 13,225,000 14,400,000 15,625,000 16,900,000 3 10,000,000 11,576,250 13,310,000 15,208,750 17,280,000 19,531,250 21,970,000 4 10,000,000 12,155,063 14,641,000 17,490,063 20,736,000 24,414,063 28,561,000 5 10,000,000 12,762,816 16,105,100 20,113,572 24,883,200 30,517,578 37,129,300 10 10,000,000 16,288,946 25,937,425 40,455,577 61,917,364 93,132,257 137,858,492 15 10,000,000 20,789,282 41,772,482 81,370,616 154,070,216 284,217,094 511,858,930 20 10,000,000 26,532,977 67,274,999 163,665,374 383,375,999 867,361,738 1,900,496,377
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  • 26. Source: Independent Strategy Interest-based system has created a mega liquidity bubble which can burst any time
  • 27. Source: Independent Strategy Derivatives market has skyrocketed since 1990s due to globalization of capital and technological advancements
  • 28. From US$20bn to US$230m in 14 months; Bear Stearns experienced a 99% free fall in share price Bear Stearns 1-year share price performance US$
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  • 30. Inflation 1923-24: A German woman feeding a stove with currency notes, which burned longer than the amount of firewood they could buy Source: Wikipedia Hyperinflation in 20 th century
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  • 44. Low risk, Liquid High risk, Illiquid Muslims today should be ready to forego some return in order to comply with Shariah Deposit in an Islamic bank Shares (via mutual funds) Shares (direct investment) Real estate funds or Islamic REITs Real estate (direct investment) Non-essential Commodities (buy & hold) Private Equity funds Private business as a partner
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