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Internet business models
1.
© 2012 Architelos
and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 1 Agenda • Introduction • Understanding the DNS Market and the opportunities • Recent market trends of ccTLDs and gTLDs • Why these changes? and what does it say about the market • What are the evolving business models
2.
© 2012 Architelos
and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 2 Today: Top Level Domains • Original TLDs: com, .org, .net, .edu, .gov, .mil, .int plus others (e.g., country-code TLDs) • 2000 Expansion: Round 1 aero, .biz, .coop, .info, .pro, .name, museum • 2004 Expansion: Round 2 .mobi, .tel, .asia, .cat, .jobs, .post, .travel, .xxx • 2012: 1930 New applications received • Today: Over 250M Domain Names, 7% annual growth 7 gTLDs, 15 Sponsored TLDs, & 255 ccTLDs, 40 IDN TLDs • 2014 and beyond ~ 1,000s of TLDs to be added When will the next expansion round occur? Source: Verisign Domain Industry Report 4Q 2012
3.
© 2012 Architelos
and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 3 What could change domain name and TLD market? • Internet end users Behavioral changes in the way they browse, look/up, navigate and search Increased desire for self-expression and communication with like-minded individuals or community (Twitter, FB, Pinterest, Tumblr) Increased desire for “More, Better, Faster, Cheaper, Easier” • Disruptive technologies Eliminating traditional input methods (i.e. type-in address in a browser, versus natural language search such as SIRI) Means of access, i.e. mobile versus pc • Regulation or de-regulation • Change is inevitable
4.
© 2012 Architelos
and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 4 But what is a Domain Name? – Really… • An ASCII “label” on an IP address • Label = Human recognizable and memorable hence some names more valuable that others • Basic utility of a domain name is the same regardless if its a ccTLD or a gTLD • Pointer to a resource on the Internet • Necessary for routing traffic (because linked to IP address) • Used for identity and communication • The market value of a domain name has less to do with its functional utility and more to do with its perceived or created value • Ultimately it the DNS and IP that matters!
5.
© 2012 Architelos
and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 5 The Domain Name Business Models Haven’t Changed • Web 1.0 - $ value to VRSN wishmorepeoplecouldenjoythefunaticannn.com = $7.85 Google.com = $7.85 Gambling.com = $7.85 • Web 3.0 - $ Market Value wishmorepeoplecouldenjoythefunaticannn.com = $2.99 at Godaddy Gambling.com = $20M at Sedo auction in 2005 But only $2.5 Million in 2011 Google.com = $$$$$? # 1 site in terms of traffic. 2013 Market Cap = $264 Billion * * Source: Yahoo Finance April 1, 2013 This works if a TLD has scale and longevity. But how many have or will have longevity AND scale?
6.
© 2012 Architelos
and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 6 Names Have value 10B apps D/L from Apple Large Brands Adopt & Enforce IP Domainname growth 200M+ 1999 2011 Domain Tasting & Adwords Beyond Web 2.0 20092002 2005 2008 Directories Google Rises Google as Ad platform MobileTwitter Facebook & User Generated Content PC dominated world ends Web 3.0 Brands use facebook.com/brand On ads Community Has value Web 1.0 Mobile /Social computing begins Mobile apps take off Traffic has value Targeted traffic to Pre-existing user FB eclipses Google as Most popular site 2010 Whereas the Web’s Business Models Have 2012 1930 new gTLD Apps Google applies for 101 and Amazon for 76 new gTLDs 2013 ? FB IPO Gambling.com sells for $20M Gambling.com sells for $2.5M Highest secondary market sale in 2012 is $1M personalloan.com 46B apps D/L from Apple
7.
© 2012 Architelos
and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 7 Names Have value 10B apps D/L from Apple Large Brands Adopt & Enforce IP Domainname growth 200M+ 1999 2011 Domain Tasting & Adwords Beyond Web 2.0 20092002 2005 2008 Directories Google Rises Google as Ad platform MobileTwitter Facebook & User Generated Content PC dominated world ends Web 3.0 Brands use facebook.com/brand On ads Community Has value Web 1.0 Mobile apps take off Traffic has value Targeted traffic to Pre-existing user What has value? Trusted, secure & consistent communication in a defined community FB eclipses Google as Most popular site 2010 New Business Model for gTLDs? 2012 1930 new gTLD Apps Google applies for 101 and Amazon for 76 new gTLDs 2013 ? FB IPO Gambling.com sells for $20M 46B apps D/L from Apple Mobile /Social computing begins
8.
© 2012 Architelos
and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 8 Distinguish the Why? From the What? Or How? • The WHY? - These human needs are long-held and immutable: • Identify • Inform • Communicate • Entertain • The WHAT? – The means to satisfy the needs are subject to change (technology, culture/preference, economics, etc.). • Domain Names • Keywords • Apps • QR codes, etc. • The HOW? - How the “means” are used to satisfy the need. Also subject to change • Search engines, Websites • Email • Social Media Domain Names are just one of the “means” of satisfying immutable needs
9.
© 2012 Architelos
and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 9
10.
© 2012 Architelos
and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 10
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