This document provides projections for internet bandwidth needs in Bangladesh through 2022. It finds that bandwidth requirements will grow substantially, from 653 Gbps in 2018 to over 3,288 Gbps by 2022. This growth is driven by increasing internet and broadband penetration rates, as well as the launch of new technologies like 4G mobile networks. The document also outlines Bangladesh's national broadband policy and analyzes bandwidth usage trends for internet service providers, mobile operators, and the international internet gateway. It proposes some initiatives to help reduce demand on the international gateway bandwidth.

1. HadiPersonal Analysis
Internet Bandwidth Projection
(Bangladesh)

2. HadiPersonal Analysis
The Emerging Economy and ICT Contribution
Bangladesh among
Goldman Sachs
“Next 11”Emerging
Economies
Bangladesh among
Citigroup ‘3G’
(Global Growth
Generators)
countries
6%+
GDP growth
annually
since 2010
#2
Garments
Exporter in the
world
3%
Contribution of
ICT & Telecom
Sector to GDP

3. HadiPersonal Analysis
Key Index : Telecom and ICT Sectors 2016
79%Voice
Penetration
%50 of
Total FDI
%3
Contribution
to GDP
m1.5 +
Employment
%42Internet
Penetration

4. HadiPersonal Analysis
Governing Framework

5. HadiPersonal Analysis
National Broadband Policy -2009 : Key Highlights
Broadband Redefined : 1 Mbps+
+
Fundamental Broadband Policy Objectives
✓ Reliable & affordable
broadband service
✓ Improvement of access network &
facilitate interconnection
✓ Encourage PPP in
Broadband service
✓ Promote local/Bangla contents &
encourage investment in VAS &
Broadband
Journey Towards Broadband
ISPs
Launched Technology and Services License Phase

6. HadiPersonal Analysis
Services /
Application
Corporate /
Professional
Youth &
Early Adop
Mid-Market
Segment
Rural / Low
End Subs
Opportunities Emerging in Data Markets
Web-Based
Services
Information Search
SNC / Blogging
News Feeds
Immediate Adaptation Near-Term Adaptation Medium-Term Adaptation Long-Term Adaptation
Utility
E-Commerce
Location Based Services
Enterprise Application
Video
Clip Casting
Downloading
Calling / Conferencing
Email
On the Web
Client (Push Email)
Music
Music Downloads
Live Streaming
Games
Online Games
Games Download

7. HadiPersonal Analysis
Internet Advancing Digital Transformation
Demand for Internet
Coverage
fixed or wireless
coverage is
Required in
the area
Platforms &
Devices
Services to be
affordable
Awareness
Benefits of Internet
To be deiminated
to stakeholders
Affordability
Stakeholders
Should get
Purchase
benefits
Adaptation
Adopt customer
Value Chain of the Digital Economy
Content
Creation
Regulates public
demand and value
creation
Applications
Partial Liberalization
& Privatization
Equipment
Enabling investment
Innovation &
access
Transport
Flexible &
integrated
regulation
Devices
Content transport
to the user
devices
Internet Adaptation in Firm Level
Content
Creation
Applications
development
E-Commerce
E-Invoices
E-Supply Chain
E-Signature
E-Management
ERP & CRM
Data Storage &
Cloud Computing
Disaster
Recovery

8. HadiPersonal Analysis
Bangladesh Govt. Master Plan in Broadband
2015 2018 2021
35%
BB penetration
50%
BB penetration
70%
Internet
Penetration
48%
Internet
Penetration
2017AUG
34%
Internet
Penetration
100%
Internet
Penetration
10%
BB penetration
18%
BB penetration

9. HadiPersonal Analysis
Convergence Roadmap

10. HadiPersonal Analysis
Overall BW Requirement (Gbps)
(Organic Growth and 4G Launching)
40 86 183
522
653
914
1,326
2,055
3,288
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
35% 35%
42% 46%
50%
20%
35% 38%
44%
50%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022
Technology Based Internet Penetration
General Internet Penetration (EDGE, GPRS) Broadband Internet Penetration (3G, 4G, ISP)

11. HadiPersonal Analysis
Internet Connectivity and BW Distribution
(Organic Growth and 4G Launching)
Internet Connectivity (mn)
Technology Type Service Provider Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022
3G and 4G Mobile Mobile Internet MNO 49 50 56 62 68
3G and 4G Mobile Mobile Broadband MNO 22 31 36 39 41
WiMax Broadband WiMax 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4
ISP (NTTN+Wireless+WiFi) Broadband ISP 6 10 14 20 27
Internet Connectivity (Overall) 78 91 106 121 136
27
32
44
56
68
16
32
40
53
68
42
64
85
109
136
0
50
100
150
Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022
Internet Connectivity (mn)
General Internet Connectivity (mn) Broadband Internet Connectivity (mn) Total Internet Connectivity (mn)

12. HadiPersonal Analysis
Service Based BW Requirement (Gbps)
Technology Type Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022
Mobile Network Operator 298 494 690 943 1,283
Internet Service Provider 339 399 608 1,073 1,960
International Gateways 7.13 7.63 8.16 8.74 9.36
International Enterprise Companies 3.29 3.78 4.48 5.18 5.88
Broadband Wireless Access 5 10 15 25 30
Total BW 653 914 1,326 2,055 3,288
339
399
608
1,073
1,960
298
494
690
943
1,283
5
10
15
25
30
7.13
7.63 8.16 8.74 9.36
3.29 3.78 4.48 5.18 5.88
1
5
25
125
625
3,125
Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022
Service Based BW Requirement (Gbps)
MNO ISP IGW Enterprise BWA

13. HadiPersonal Analysis
SMC/ITC ISP End User
NTTN
IIG ISP
Stakeholders & Value Chain

14. HadiPersonal Analysis
ISP Bandwidth Distribution (Category wise) in Gbps
ISP Type Quantity Market Share Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022
Nationwide 70 80% 246 403 559 761 1,033
Central Zone 30 15% 47 77 108 147 199
Zonal 20 5% 16 26 36 49 66
Total ISP BW (Gbps)= 309 506 702 957 1,298
309
506
702
957
1,298
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022
ISP BW Forecast (Gbps)

15. HadiPersonal Analysis
154
181
276
486
888
79
92
141
248
454
99
116
178
313
572
8 9
14
25
45
339
399
608
1,073
1,960
1
5
25
125
625
3,125
Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022
Mobile Operator BW Usage Forecast (Gbps)
Grameen Phone Banglalink Robi TeleTalk Total

16. HadiPersonal Analysis
IIG Bandwidth Forecast
Description Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022
Mobile Operator BW Requirement (Gbps) 339 399 608 1,073 1,960
Internet Service Prodiver BW Requirement (Gbps) 298 494 690 943 1,283
Broadband Wireless Access Requirement (Gbps) 5 10 15 25 30
Total IIG BW Requirement (Gbps) 643 903 1313 2041 3273
643
903
1,313
2,041
3,273
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022
IIG BW Forecast (Gbps)

17. HadiPersonal Analysis
23 30
130
205
3
18
48
80
12
28
38
75
3 8 13
20
2 3 4 10
66
138
266
405
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017
SMC/ITC BW Market Share (Gbps): 2013Q3 to 2017Q2
BSCCL Summit Fiber@Home NovoCom
Mango BDLink 1 Aisa Total Data BW (Gbps)

18. HadiPersonal Analysis
300
402
583
904
1,447
118
174
252
390
625
111 165
239
370
592
20
64
93
144
230
46 55 80
123
197
26 27 40 62
99
5
205
405
605
805
1,005
1,205
1,405
Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022
SMC/ITC BW Market Share (Gbps): 2018 to 2022
BSCCL Summit Fiber@Home NovoCom Mango BDLink 1 Aisa

19. HadiPersonal Analysis
653
914
1,326
2,055
3,288
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022
SMC+ITC BW Projecttion (Gbps)
SMC/ITC Bandwidth Projection (Gbps)
Service Provider Category Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022
IIG BW 642.70 902.96 1,313.18 2,041.11 3,272.81
IGW BW 7.13 7.63 8.16 8.74 9.36
Enterprise BW 3.29 3.78 4.48 5.18 5.88
Total SMC / ITC BW 653 914 1,326 2,055 3,288

20. HadiPersonal Analysis
Initiatives to reduce international BW
1. Local Hosting Service
2. Split DNS
3. IXP Peering Region based and Revenue Sharing Concept with BDIX / NIX
4. Content Delivery Network Peering
5. Public Server mirror

21. HadiPersonal Analysis
Thank You