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Interests vs Values
The EU’s policy towards
Central Asia

Vanessa Boas

26/03/2012     IAI, Rome.
Introduction

 “In its relations with the wider world, the Union
      shall uphold and promote its values and
                      interests”

                Article 3.5 Lisbon Treaty




  How to balance interests and values in energy-
 rich dictatorships?
Why Turkmenistan?
1. Ranked among the world’s most authoritarian
    regimes on earth

2. Potentially one of the world’s most gas rich
    nations on earth

3. Its current relevance in light of the Trans-
    Caspian pipeline.
Authoritarianism
• Basic freedoms denied

• Personality cult

• Power through fear
Gas wealth
• 71.21 billion tons of natural gas, 4th largest in the
  world (Gaffney, Cline and Associates)

• EU- Turkmen political relations are
  underdeveloped.

• Both the EU and Turkmenistan want to
  diversify away from Russia.
The Trans- Caspian pipeline
The EU’s dilemma


 How can the EU work with Turkmenistan which
 violates all basic EU values but has the gas
 Brussels needs in order to diversify away from
 Russia?
How should the EU deal with Turkmenistan?


               Engagement
The NGO response
How should the EU deal with Turkmenistan?



      Human rights based conditionality
Why conditionality will not work
1. Lack of leverage/ incentives

2. EU credibility

3. Situation on the ground
Lack of Leverage
• Neither Russia nor China impose any normative
  conditions on their commercial deals.
Lack of credibility
 “Instead of leading to a visible improvement in
  the field of human rights in Uzbekistan, the
  sanctions have become a demonstration of the
  ineffectiveness   of    EU      human   rights
  conditionality.”
Situation on the ground
• Patrimonial-authoritarian clan structures

• Basic welfare guaranteed in return for political
  loyalty.
Combining interests + values
• Including minimum requirements in its energy
  deal.

• Companies must be allowed to meet their
  international obligations.

• Normative provisions in sectoral policies.
Combining interests + values
• Invest in local education and infrastructure.

• Capacity building
Combining interests + values

• Environmental Protection (equipment,
  awareness, training, monitoring, clean up)
Conclusion
• Engagement + minimum conditions+ normative
  provisions.

• Increase interdependence -> increased leverage

• Focus on a bottom- up approach which is less
  threatening than conditionality.
Thank You!

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Interests vs Values - The EU's policy towards Central Asia

  • 1. Interests vs Values The EU’s policy towards Central Asia Vanessa Boas 26/03/2012 IAI, Rome.
  • 2. Introduction “In its relations with the wider world, the Union shall uphold and promote its values and interests” Article 3.5 Lisbon Treaty How to balance interests and values in energy- rich dictatorships?
  • 3. Why Turkmenistan? 1. Ranked among the world’s most authoritarian regimes on earth 2. Potentially one of the world’s most gas rich nations on earth 3. Its current relevance in light of the Trans- Caspian pipeline.
  • 4. Authoritarianism • Basic freedoms denied • Personality cult • Power through fear
  • 5. Gas wealth • 71.21 billion tons of natural gas, 4th largest in the world (Gaffney, Cline and Associates) • EU- Turkmen political relations are underdeveloped. • Both the EU and Turkmenistan want to diversify away from Russia.
  • 7. The EU’s dilemma How can the EU work with Turkmenistan which violates all basic EU values but has the gas Brussels needs in order to diversify away from Russia?
  • 8. How should the EU deal with Turkmenistan? Engagement
  • 10. How should the EU deal with Turkmenistan? Human rights based conditionality
  • 11. Why conditionality will not work 1. Lack of leverage/ incentives 2. EU credibility 3. Situation on the ground
  • 12. Lack of Leverage • Neither Russia nor China impose any normative conditions on their commercial deals.
  • 13. Lack of credibility “Instead of leading to a visible improvement in the field of human rights in Uzbekistan, the sanctions have become a demonstration of the ineffectiveness of EU human rights conditionality.”
  • 14. Situation on the ground • Patrimonial-authoritarian clan structures • Basic welfare guaranteed in return for political loyalty.
  • 15. Combining interests + values • Including minimum requirements in its energy deal. • Companies must be allowed to meet their international obligations. • Normative provisions in sectoral policies.
  • 16. Combining interests + values • Invest in local education and infrastructure. • Capacity building
  • 17. Combining interests + values • Environmental Protection (equipment, awareness, training, monitoring, clean up)
  • 18. Conclusion • Engagement + minimum conditions+ normative provisions. • Increase interdependence -> increased leverage • Focus on a bottom- up approach which is less threatening than conditionality.