Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 1
Interaction between Marine Sectors
using System Dynamics for Patimban
Deep Sea Port as a Green Port:
A Proposed Model
T. Suheri1, M. B. Alexandri2, S. J. Raharja2, M. Purnomo2, S. Viridi3
1Department of Urban and Regional Planning, Faculty of Engineering and Computer Science,
Universitas Komputer Indonesia, Bandung 40132, Indonesia
2Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Social and Political Science, Universitas Padjajaran,
Sumedang 45363, Indonesia
3Departement of Physics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Institut Teknologi Bandung,
Bandung 40132, Indonesia
v20201130_2
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 2
Outline
• System dynamics
• Model
• Results and discussion
• Summaries
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 3
System dynamics
System dynamics applications
• System Dynamics (SD) has been used a lot in
coastal area, e.g.
– for improving value of ecosystem services in
Shinduri coastal area in South Korea (You et al.,
2018)
– for managing sustainable tourism using a decision
support system in Cijin, Kaohsiung, Taiwan (Tan et
al., 2018)
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 4
.. applications (cont.)
– for predicting the sustainablity of tuna ranching
industry in Mexico (Robadue & del Moral
Simanek, 2007)
– for simulating forward scenario of sustainability
landscape in Cimandiri Estuary, West Java,
Indonesia (Supriatna et al., 2016)
– for assessing of the impacts of storm damage on
coastal communities in Chabahar Bay, Iran
(Moradi et al., 2020)
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 5
.. applications (cont.)
– for observing appropriate technology application
in Aboriginal New South Wales coastal
community, Australia (Jokhu & Kutay, 2020)
– for analysing the eco-aquaculture system of integra-
ted aquaculture park in Malaysia (Isa et al., 2020)
– for conceptualizing social-ecological system dyna-
mics in the Bangladesh delta (Hossain et al., 2020)
– for simulating of a port–city green cooperative
development, Shanghai Port, China (Li et al., 2019)
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 6
.. applications (cont.)
– for assessing surface water resource of paddy rice
production under climate change in Mekong
Delta, Vienam (Tuu et al., 2020)
– for increasing ocean literacy (Brennan et al., 2019)
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 7
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 8
Model
Model
• There five main nodes
– Green Technology
– Population
– Interstate Infrastructure / Industry
– Port-driven GDP
– Urban GDP
• The last two are the central nodes, while the
first three supporting nodes
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 9
..
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 10
Causal
loop
diagram
Typical nodes relations
• There are three types of typical relations
between nodes
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 11
Linear Reciprocal Sigmoid
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 12
Results and discussion
Parameters
• Not using real parameters
• Many assumptions due to lack of data
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 13
In-house software
• GDPP, GDPU, .., SHOC are related to the causal
loop
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 14
Without Green Technology Policy
• GDP Port (GDPP) and GDP Urban (GDPU)
• GDPP (blue) left axis, GDPU (red) right axis
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 15
0
500
1000
1500
2000
0
500
1000
1500
2000
0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216 240
GDPU
GDPP
TIME
With Green Technology Policy
• GDP Port (GDPP) and GDP Urban (GDPU)
• GDPP (blue) left axis, GDPU (red) right axis
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 16
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216 240
GDPU
GDPP
TIME
Green technology can increase urban and port GDP
Without Green Technology Policy
• Population (POPU) and Life quality (LIFQ)
• POPU (blue) left axis, LIFQ (red) right axis
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 17
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216 240
LIFQ
POPU
TIME
With Green Technology Policy
• Population (POPU) and Life quality (LIFQ)
• POPU (blue) left axis, LIFQ (red) right axis
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 18
Green technology does not affect population-life quality relation
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216 240
LIFQ
POPU
TIME
• Environment quality (ENVQ) and Health risk (HRIS)
• ENVQ (blue) left axis, HRIS (red) right axis
Without Green Technology Policy
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 19
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216 240
HRIS
ENVQ
TIME
• Environment quality (ENVQ) and Health risk (HRIS)
• ENVQ (blue) left axis, HRIS (red) right axis
With Green Technology Policy
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 20
Green technology does affect relation between ENVQ and HRIS
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216 240
HRIS
ENVQ
TIME
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 21
Summaries
Summaries
• A model to simulate interaction between
marine sectors in future Patimbang Deep Sea
Port using system dynamics with an in-house
software has been performed
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 22
Summaries (cont.)
• It shows that implementation of Green Tech-
nology policy give some benefits than the con-
ventional one, such as higher GDP for port and
the city nearby but with relatively the same
population
• These results show a promising future of the
development of a green port for Patimbang
Deep Sea Port
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 23
Conference on Sustainability and
Resilience of Coastal Management
2020
30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 24
Thank you

Interaction between Marine Sectors using System Dynamics for Patimban Deep Sea Port as a Green Port: A Proposed Model

  • 1.
    Conference on Sustainabilityand Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 1 Interaction between Marine Sectors using System Dynamics for Patimban Deep Sea Port as a Green Port: A Proposed Model T. Suheri1, M. B. Alexandri2, S. J. Raharja2, M. Purnomo2, S. Viridi3 1Department of Urban and Regional Planning, Faculty of Engineering and Computer Science, Universitas Komputer Indonesia, Bandung 40132, Indonesia 2Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Social and Political Science, Universitas Padjajaran, Sumedang 45363, Indonesia 3Departement of Physics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Institut Teknologi Bandung, Bandung 40132, Indonesia v20201130_2
  • 2.
    Conference on Sustainabilityand Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 2 Outline • System dynamics • Model • Results and discussion • Summaries
  • 3.
    Conference on Sustainabilityand Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 3 System dynamics
  • 4.
    System dynamics applications •System Dynamics (SD) has been used a lot in coastal area, e.g. – for improving value of ecosystem services in Shinduri coastal area in South Korea (You et al., 2018) – for managing sustainable tourism using a decision support system in Cijin, Kaohsiung, Taiwan (Tan et al., 2018) Conference on Sustainability and Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 4
  • 5.
    .. applications (cont.) –for predicting the sustainablity of tuna ranching industry in Mexico (Robadue & del Moral Simanek, 2007) – for simulating forward scenario of sustainability landscape in Cimandiri Estuary, West Java, Indonesia (Supriatna et al., 2016) – for assessing of the impacts of storm damage on coastal communities in Chabahar Bay, Iran (Moradi et al., 2020) Conference on Sustainability and Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 5
  • 6.
    .. applications (cont.) –for observing appropriate technology application in Aboriginal New South Wales coastal community, Australia (Jokhu & Kutay, 2020) – for analysing the eco-aquaculture system of integra- ted aquaculture park in Malaysia (Isa et al., 2020) – for conceptualizing social-ecological system dyna- mics in the Bangladesh delta (Hossain et al., 2020) – for simulating of a port–city green cooperative development, Shanghai Port, China (Li et al., 2019) Conference on Sustainability and Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 6
  • 7.
    .. applications (cont.) –for assessing surface water resource of paddy rice production under climate change in Mekong Delta, Vienam (Tuu et al., 2020) – for increasing ocean literacy (Brennan et al., 2019) Conference on Sustainability and Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 7
  • 8.
    Conference on Sustainabilityand Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 8 Model
  • 9.
    Model • There fivemain nodes – Green Technology – Population – Interstate Infrastructure / Industry – Port-driven GDP – Urban GDP • The last two are the central nodes, while the first three supporting nodes Conference on Sustainability and Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 9 ..
  • 10.
    Conference on Sustainabilityand Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 10 Causal loop diagram
  • 11.
    Typical nodes relations •There are three types of typical relations between nodes Conference on Sustainability and Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 11 Linear Reciprocal Sigmoid
  • 12.
    Conference on Sustainabilityand Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 12 Results and discussion
  • 13.
    Parameters • Not usingreal parameters • Many assumptions due to lack of data Conference on Sustainability and Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 13
  • 14.
    In-house software • GDPP,GDPU, .., SHOC are related to the causal loop Conference on Sustainability and Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 14
  • 15.
    Without Green TechnologyPolicy • GDP Port (GDPP) and GDP Urban (GDPU) • GDPP (blue) left axis, GDPU (red) right axis Conference on Sustainability and Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 15 0 500 1000 1500 2000 0 500 1000 1500 2000 0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216 240 GDPU GDPP TIME
  • 16.
    With Green TechnologyPolicy • GDP Port (GDPP) and GDP Urban (GDPU) • GDPP (blue) left axis, GDPU (red) right axis Conference on Sustainability and Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 16 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216 240 GDPU GDPP TIME Green technology can increase urban and port GDP
  • 17.
    Without Green TechnologyPolicy • Population (POPU) and Life quality (LIFQ) • POPU (blue) left axis, LIFQ (red) right axis Conference on Sustainability and Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 17 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216 240 LIFQ POPU TIME
  • 18.
    With Green TechnologyPolicy • Population (POPU) and Life quality (LIFQ) • POPU (blue) left axis, LIFQ (red) right axis Conference on Sustainability and Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 18 Green technology does not affect population-life quality relation 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216 240 LIFQ POPU TIME
  • 19.
    • Environment quality(ENVQ) and Health risk (HRIS) • ENVQ (blue) left axis, HRIS (red) right axis Without Green Technology Policy Conference on Sustainability and Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 19 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216 240 HRIS ENVQ TIME
  • 20.
    • Environment quality(ENVQ) and Health risk (HRIS) • ENVQ (blue) left axis, HRIS (red) right axis With Green Technology Policy Conference on Sustainability and Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 20 Green technology does affect relation between ENVQ and HRIS 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168 192 216 240 HRIS ENVQ TIME
  • 21.
    Conference on Sustainabilityand Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 21 Summaries
  • 22.
    Summaries • A modelto simulate interaction between marine sectors in future Patimbang Deep Sea Port using system dynamics with an in-house software has been performed Conference on Sustainability and Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 22
  • 23.
    Summaries (cont.) • Itshows that implementation of Green Tech- nology policy give some benefits than the con- ventional one, such as higher GDP for port and the city nearby but with relatively the same population • These results show a promising future of the development of a green port for Patimbang Deep Sea Port Conference on Sustainability and Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 23
  • 24.
    Conference on Sustainabilityand Resilience of Coastal Management 2020 30 November 2020, Surabaya, Indonesia 24 Thank you

Editor's Notes