As scientists in the post-normal age, we no longer simply do research, but are expected to act as catalysts for change. We are often required to support the integration of multiple knowledge cultures, and enable stakeholders to learn and act collectively to promote resilience or transformation. Collective responses are necessary to address the roots of complex ‘wicked’ problems and find potential solutions, requiring participatory research and planning processes which can simultaneously bridge stakeholders’ world views, encourage cross-scale partnerships and innovation, and generate social learning and collective action. However, this presents fundamental challenges for scientists. Often we have to facilitate multi-stakeholder processes and act as objective knowledge brokers, but also have to manage and integrate our own disciplinary paradigms and value systems. The power dynamics of different knowledge systems can influence process and outcomes, and in cross-cultural situations, concepts can be lost in translation. Furthermore, we need to learn ourselves by evaluating the impact of such processes on knowledge integration, learning and collective action, but this is difficult to address methodologically, and learning may be constrained by structured thinking and institutionalised barriers.
The Torres Strait Islands on Australia’s northern border are undergoing rapid change from the global to local scale, creating new pressures for the remote island communities. I present an approach and some findings during the past three years from a project funded by the National Environmental Research Program (NERP) called “Building Resilient Communities for Torres Strait Futures”. I reflect on challenges we’ve encountered as scientists facilitating ‘resilience thinking’ in the field, and our learning about how to more effectively design, implement and evaluate knowledge co-production processes.
Lyons et al - Protecting what is left - making local perspectives of uncertai...STEPS Centre
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
Sumetee Pahwa Gajjar - Uncertainty from withinSTEPS Centre
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
Lyons et al - Protecting what is left - making local perspectives of uncertai...STEPS Centre
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
Sumetee Pahwa Gajjar - Uncertainty from withinSTEPS Centre
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
"Integrated science for integrated management: fairy tale or finally here?" by Phillip Levin, Northwest Fisheries Science Center, USA
ICES ASC Plenary lecture Thursday 18 September 2014
Human transformation of freshwater ecosystems is rapidly exceeding capacity required to sustain the conditions we need to survive and thrive. Water crises are already impacting people around the globe—from river basins in California and China, to the cities of São Palo and Bangkok. Under current population and growth trends, the 2030 Water Resources Group predicts global water demand will exceed available supply by 40 percent by 2030.
Scanning the landscape by Ryan Rosauro for Mindanao Leg of Philippine Press Institute Seminar on Environmental Reporting at Almont Inland Hotel, Butuan City
o Spatially explicit data from various contexts in Indonesia shows that a very specific understanding of drivers of deforestation and recovery of tree cover is needed as they vary from context to context. Specific leverage points can be identified by understanding this interconnectedness and variation amongst the drivers
Risk and Resilience in Three Southeast Asian Cross-Border Areas: The Greater ...Fitrian Ardiansyah
A working paper written by Fitrian Ardiansyah and Desak Putu Adhityani Putri, published as Asia Security Initiative Policy Series Working Paper No. 11 February 2011 by RSIS-NTU, Singapore
The Ocean Watch open data platform delivers science to policy makers developing sustainable ocean economies and operationalizing integrated ocean management.
Learn more: https://oceanwatchdata.org
Three presentations from session 13 of the Greater Mekong Forum on Water, Food and Energy, hosted by the Stockholm Environment Institute, the Myanmar Environment Institute, the Dragon Institute, and SUMERNET on October 25th in Yangon. This session was targeted at policy stakeholders tasked with developing safe and sustainable food systems through a discussion of proven approaches and policy options with the aim of creating a community of practice across deltas within the region.
Australia’s food and land use system faces
a storm of converging pressures. The world’s
population is growing, expected to reach close
to 10 billion by 2050, and will have growing and
changing demands for food and fibre. At the
same time, the accelerating impacts of climate
change present major risks for farming – without
adaptive action climate change could reduce
agricultural productivity and farmer profitability
by up to 40-60 per cent by 2060i.
Meanwhile, competing demands could reduce
the amount of land available for food production.
This includes demands for timber production,
bioenergy, and urban and industrial development.
Climate change will also have profound impacts
on natural systems2. There is an urgent need for
land management changes to reduce emissions,
sequester carbon in soils, trees and other
vegetation, and to protect, restore and build
resilience of natural systems. How will we
meet these competing demands on a limited
land resource?
Producers of food, fibre and timber manage more
than half of Australia’s landmass, and are therefore
critical to any future change in land use3.
Awareness and adoption of sustainable
practices is increasing in the face of climate
risks, unreliable weather patterns, competition
for water, consumer concerns about health,
environmental and animal welfare impacts of
farming, and increasing accountability
demands from governments. Indeed, some of
the most innovative and inspiring examples
of sustainable food production and land use
originate in Australia.
The finance sector is also beginning to shift, with
investment in sustainable land use increasing
eightfold globally in the decade to 20154, and
$4.5 trillion annual global business opportunities
from investment in sustainable food and land use
identified by 20305.
This momentum is positive. However, a barrier
to improving the sustainability of land use is
the immaturity of tools and systems to enable
adequate, consistent measurement of ‘natural
capital’. These tools are a way to value the
environment and integrate this value as part
of land management, financial and policy
decision-making.
Summary presentation on the case study on approaches for supporting pastorali...IIED
This is a presentation of the report 'Case study on approaches for supporting pastoralists groups facing climate change effects in Tanzania'.
Published June 2015
Further information: https://www.iied.org/climate-learning-partnership
"Integrated science for integrated management: fairy tale or finally here?" by Phillip Levin, Northwest Fisheries Science Center, USA
ICES ASC Plenary lecture Thursday 18 September 2014
Human transformation of freshwater ecosystems is rapidly exceeding capacity required to sustain the conditions we need to survive and thrive. Water crises are already impacting people around the globe—from river basins in California and China, to the cities of São Palo and Bangkok. Under current population and growth trends, the 2030 Water Resources Group predicts global water demand will exceed available supply by 40 percent by 2030.
Scanning the landscape by Ryan Rosauro for Mindanao Leg of Philippine Press Institute Seminar on Environmental Reporting at Almont Inland Hotel, Butuan City
o Spatially explicit data from various contexts in Indonesia shows that a very specific understanding of drivers of deforestation and recovery of tree cover is needed as they vary from context to context. Specific leverage points can be identified by understanding this interconnectedness and variation amongst the drivers
Risk and Resilience in Three Southeast Asian Cross-Border Areas: The Greater ...Fitrian Ardiansyah
A working paper written by Fitrian Ardiansyah and Desak Putu Adhityani Putri, published as Asia Security Initiative Policy Series Working Paper No. 11 February 2011 by RSIS-NTU, Singapore
The Ocean Watch open data platform delivers science to policy makers developing sustainable ocean economies and operationalizing integrated ocean management.
Learn more: https://oceanwatchdata.org
Three presentations from session 13 of the Greater Mekong Forum on Water, Food and Energy, hosted by the Stockholm Environment Institute, the Myanmar Environment Institute, the Dragon Institute, and SUMERNET on October 25th in Yangon. This session was targeted at policy stakeholders tasked with developing safe and sustainable food systems through a discussion of proven approaches and policy options with the aim of creating a community of practice across deltas within the region.
Australia’s food and land use system faces
a storm of converging pressures. The world’s
population is growing, expected to reach close
to 10 billion by 2050, and will have growing and
changing demands for food and fibre. At the
same time, the accelerating impacts of climate
change present major risks for farming – without
adaptive action climate change could reduce
agricultural productivity and farmer profitability
by up to 40-60 per cent by 2060i.
Meanwhile, competing demands could reduce
the amount of land available for food production.
This includes demands for timber production,
bioenergy, and urban and industrial development.
Climate change will also have profound impacts
on natural systems2. There is an urgent need for
land management changes to reduce emissions,
sequester carbon in soils, trees and other
vegetation, and to protect, restore and build
resilience of natural systems. How will we
meet these competing demands on a limited
land resource?
Producers of food, fibre and timber manage more
than half of Australia’s landmass, and are therefore
critical to any future change in land use3.
Awareness and adoption of sustainable
practices is increasing in the face of climate
risks, unreliable weather patterns, competition
for water, consumer concerns about health,
environmental and animal welfare impacts of
farming, and increasing accountability
demands from governments. Indeed, some of
the most innovative and inspiring examples
of sustainable food production and land use
originate in Australia.
The finance sector is also beginning to shift, with
investment in sustainable land use increasing
eightfold globally in the decade to 20154, and
$4.5 trillion annual global business opportunities
from investment in sustainable food and land use
identified by 20305.
This momentum is positive. However, a barrier
to improving the sustainability of land use is
the immaturity of tools and systems to enable
adequate, consistent measurement of ‘natural
capital’. These tools are a way to value the
environment and integrate this value as part
of land management, financial and policy
decision-making.
Summary presentation on the case study on approaches for supporting pastorali...IIED
This is a presentation of the report 'Case study on approaches for supporting pastoralists groups facing climate change effects in Tanzania'.
Published June 2015
Further information: https://www.iied.org/climate-learning-partnership
ANAMOLOUS SECONDARY GROWTH IN DICOT ROOTS.pptxRASHMI M G
Abnormal or anomalous secondary growth in plants. It defines secondary growth as an increase in plant girth due to vascular cambium or cork cambium. Anomalous secondary growth does not follow the normal pattern of a single vascular cambium producing xylem internally and phloem externally.
ISI 2024: Application Form (Extended), Exam Date (Out), EligibilitySciAstra
The Indian Statistical Institute (ISI) has extended its application deadline for 2024 admissions to April 2. Known for its excellence in statistics and related fields, ISI offers a range of programs from Bachelor's to Junior Research Fellowships. The admission test is scheduled for May 12, 2024. Eligibility varies by program, generally requiring a background in Mathematics and English for undergraduate courses and specific degrees for postgraduate and research positions. Application fees are ₹1500 for male general category applicants and ₹1000 for females. Applications are open to Indian and OCI candidates.
Professional air quality monitoring systems provide immediate, on-site data for analysis, compliance, and decision-making.
Monitor common gases, weather parameters, particulates.
hematic appreciation test is a psychological assessment tool used to measure an individual's appreciation and understanding of specific themes or topics. This test helps to evaluate an individual's ability to connect different ideas and concepts within a given theme, as well as their overall comprehension and interpretation skills. The results of the test can provide valuable insights into an individual's cognitive abilities, creativity, and critical thinking skills
What is greenhouse gasses and how many gasses are there to affect the Earth.moosaasad1975
What are greenhouse gasses how they affect the earth and its environment what is the future of the environment and earth how the weather and the climate effects.
Observation of Io’s Resurfacing via Plume Deposition Using Ground-based Adapt...Sérgio Sacani
Since volcanic activity was first discovered on Io from Voyager images in 1979, changes
on Io’s surface have been monitored from both spacecraft and ground-based telescopes.
Here, we present the highest spatial resolution images of Io ever obtained from a groundbased telescope. These images, acquired by the SHARK-VIS instrument on the Large
Binocular Telescope, show evidence of a major resurfacing event on Io’s trailing hemisphere. When compared to the most recent spacecraft images, the SHARK-VIS images
show that a plume deposit from a powerful eruption at Pillan Patera has covered part
of the long-lived Pele plume deposit. Although this type of resurfacing event may be common on Io, few have been detected due to the rarity of spacecraft visits and the previously low spatial resolution available from Earth-based telescopes. The SHARK-VIS instrument ushers in a new era of high resolution imaging of Io’s surface using adaptive
optics at visible wavelengths.
ESR spectroscopy in liquid food and beverages.pptxPRIYANKA PATEL
With increasing population, people need to rely on packaged food stuffs. Packaging of food materials requires the preservation of food. There are various methods for the treatment of food to preserve them and irradiation treatment of food is one of them. It is the most common and the most harmless method for the food preservation as it does not alter the necessary micronutrients of food materials. Although irradiated food doesn’t cause any harm to the human health but still the quality assessment of food is required to provide consumers with necessary information about the food. ESR spectroscopy is the most sophisticated way to investigate the quality of the food and the free radicals induced during the processing of the food. ESR spin trapping technique is useful for the detection of highly unstable radicals in the food. The antioxidant capability of liquid food and beverages in mainly performed by spin trapping technique.
This presentation explores a brief idea about the structural and functional attributes of nucleotides, the structure and function of genetic materials along with the impact of UV rays and pH upon them.
The ability to recreate computational results with minimal effort and actionable metrics provides a solid foundation for scientific research and software development. When people can replicate an analysis at the touch of a button using open-source software, open data, and methods to assess and compare proposals, it significantly eases verification of results, engagement with a diverse range of contributors, and progress. However, we have yet to fully achieve this; there are still many sociotechnical frictions.
Inspired by David Donoho's vision, this talk aims to revisit the three crucial pillars of frictionless reproducibility (data sharing, code sharing, and competitive challenges) with the perspective of deep software variability.
Our observation is that multiple layers — hardware, operating systems, third-party libraries, software versions, input data, compile-time options, and parameters — are subject to variability that exacerbates frictions but is also essential for achieving robust, generalizable results and fostering innovation. I will first review the literature, providing evidence of how the complex variability interactions across these layers affect qualitative and quantitative software properties, thereby complicating the reproduction and replication of scientific studies in various fields.
I will then present some software engineering and AI techniques that can support the strategic exploration of variability spaces. These include the use of abstractions and models (e.g., feature models), sampling strategies (e.g., uniform, random), cost-effective measurements (e.g., incremental build of software configurations), and dimensionality reduction methods (e.g., transfer learning, feature selection, software debloating).
I will finally argue that deep variability is both the problem and solution of frictionless reproducibility, calling the software science community to develop new methods and tools to manage variability and foster reproducibility in software systems.
Exposé invité Journées Nationales du GDR GPL 2024
Deep Behavioral Phenotyping in Systems Neuroscience for Functional Atlasing a...Ana Luísa Pinho
Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) provides means to characterize brain activations in response to behavior. However, cognitive neuroscience has been limited to group-level effects referring to the performance of specific tasks. To obtain the functional profile of elementary cognitive mechanisms, the combination of brain responses to many tasks is required. Yet, to date, both structural atlases and parcellation-based activations do not fully account for cognitive function and still present several limitations. Further, they do not adapt overall to individual characteristics. In this talk, I will give an account of deep-behavioral phenotyping strategies, namely data-driven methods in large task-fMRI datasets, to optimize functional brain-data collection and improve inference of effects-of-interest related to mental processes. Key to this approach is the employment of fast multi-functional paradigms rich on features that can be well parametrized and, consequently, facilitate the creation of psycho-physiological constructs to be modelled with imaging data. Particular emphasis will be given to music stimuli when studying high-order cognitive mechanisms, due to their ecological nature and quality to enable complex behavior compounded by discrete entities. I will also discuss how deep-behavioral phenotyping and individualized models applied to neuroimaging data can better account for the subject-specific organization of domain-general cognitive systems in the human brain. Finally, the accumulation of functional brain signatures brings the possibility to clarify relationships among tasks and create a univocal link between brain systems and mental functions through: (1) the development of ontologies proposing an organization of cognitive processes; and (2) brain-network taxonomies describing functional specialization. To this end, tools to improve commensurability in cognitive science are necessary, such as public repositories, ontology-based platforms and automated meta-analysis tools. I will thus discuss some brain-atlasing resources currently under development, and their applicability in cognitive as well as clinical neuroscience.
Nutraceutical market, scope and growth: Herbal drug technologyLokesh Patil
As consumer awareness of health and wellness rises, the nutraceutical market—which includes goods like functional meals, drinks, and dietary supplements that provide health advantages beyond basic nutrition—is growing significantly. As healthcare expenses rise, the population ages, and people want natural and preventative health solutions more and more, this industry is increasing quickly. Further driving market expansion are product formulation innovations and the use of cutting-edge technology for customized nutrition. With its worldwide reach, the nutraceutical industry is expected to keep growing and provide significant chances for research and investment in a number of categories, including vitamins, minerals, probiotics, and herbal supplements.
Phenomics assisted breeding in crop improvementIshaGoswami9
As the population is increasing and will reach about 9 billion upto 2050. Also due to climate change, it is difficult to meet the food requirement of such a large population. Facing the challenges presented by resource shortages, climate
change, and increasing global population, crop yield and quality need to be improved in a sustainable way over the coming decades. Genetic improvement by breeding is the best way to increase crop productivity. With the rapid progression of functional
genomics, an increasing number of crop genomes have been sequenced and dozens of genes influencing key agronomic traits have been identified. However, current genome sequence information has not been adequately exploited for understanding
the complex characteristics of multiple gene, owing to a lack of crop phenotypic data. Efficient, automatic, and accurate technologies and platforms that can capture phenotypic data that can
be linked to genomics information for crop improvement at all growth stages have become as important as genotyping. Thus,
high-throughput phenotyping has become the major bottleneck restricting crop breeding. Plant phenomics has been defined as the high-throughput, accurate acquisition and analysis of multi-dimensional phenotypes
during crop growing stages at the organism level, including the cell, tissue, organ, individual plant, plot, and field levels. With the rapid development of novel sensors, imaging technology,
and analysis methods, numerous infrastructure platforms have been developed for phenotyping.
DERIVATION OF MODIFIED BERNOULLI EQUATION WITH VISCOUS EFFECTS AND TERMINAL V...Wasswaderrick3
In this book, we use conservation of energy techniques on a fluid element to derive the Modified Bernoulli equation of flow with viscous or friction effects. We derive the general equation of flow/ velocity and then from this we derive the Pouiselle flow equation, the transition flow equation and the turbulent flow equation. In the situations where there are no viscous effects , the equation reduces to the Bernoulli equation. From experimental results, we are able to include other terms in the Bernoulli equation. We also look at cases where pressure gradients exist. We use the Modified Bernoulli equation to derive equations of flow rate for pipes of different cross sectional areas connected together. We also extend our techniques of energy conservation to a sphere falling in a viscous medium under the effect of gravity. We demonstrate Stokes equation of terminal velocity and turbulent flow equation. We look at a way of calculating the time taken for a body to fall in a viscous medium. We also look at the general equation of terminal velocity.
DERIVATION OF MODIFIED BERNOULLI EQUATION WITH VISCOUS EFFECTS AND TERMINAL V...
Building resilience of what, for whom?: Navigating the challenges of participatory adaptation research in the Torres Strait
1. Building resilience of what, for whom?: Navigating the challenges of
participatory adaptation research in the Torres Strait
ATSIP Seminar • Townsville • 23 September 2014
Erin Bohensky, James Butler, Yiheyis Maru, Sara Busillachi – CSIRO Land and Water
Tim Skewes – CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Cass Hunter – James Cook University
Vic McGrath, John Rainbird – Torres Strait Regional Authority
Fraser Nai – Torres Strait Island Regional Council
3. CSIRO Environment & Development Team
•Supporting decision-making in developing regions of Australian strategic interest
•Cross-site comparison of empirical data and methods
4. Towards complexity thinking in R4D
• Shove (2010): beyond the
‘ABC’ (attitude-behaviour-choice)
– governments too
have a hand in structuring
options and possibilities
• Shift from tool-centred to
process-centred
approaches with ‘change
agents’
5. resilience
[ri-zil-yuh ns, -zil-ee-uh ns]
Noun
1.the power or ability to return to the original form,
position, etc., after being bent, compressed, or
stretched; elasticity.
2.ability to recover readily from illness, depression,
adversity, or the like; buoyancy.
Definition: http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/resilience
6. Social-ecological system resilience
Resilience - the capacity of a
system to absorb disturbance
and reorganize while
undergoing change so as to
still retain essentially the
same function, structure,
identity, and feedbacks
(The Resilience Alliance
website glossary at
www.resalliance.org/)
10. Resilience thinking for what, for whom?
• (Implicit) goal to broaden mental models and effect cognitive,
behavioural, and policy change through a participatory,
deliberative process
• Integrating knowledge cultures of multiple stakeholders
• Scientists need to be aware of our own ‘knowledge cultures’ when
we are initiating or facilitating change processes
• Thus a need for “research fields that study the process of research
itself” in multi-stakeholder contexts (Fazey et al. 2014)
11. Questions to consider
• What processes and methods are being used to catalyse and
operationalise resilience thinking?
• Are they actually working, and how do we know?
• What roles do we as scientists play? How do we assess these
roles?
Illustration: Oren Ginzburg
12. Comparative study sites: livelihoods and change
Nusa Tenggara
Barat (NTB)
West New Britain
(WNB)
Torres Strait
14. Torres Strait Islands
• 150 islands, 15 permanently inhabited (pop = 7000)
• Pre-contact Melanesian culture subsumed by European
colonization and Australian government and law
• Cultural and economic significance of marine environment
• Growing motivation to regain sovereignty over resources and
restore ‘Ailan Kastom’
• Evolution of co-management of commercial fisheries - knowledge
integration for research and monitoring
Butler, J. R. A., A. Tawake, T. Skewes, L. Tawake, and V. McGrath. 2012.
Integrating traditional ecological knowledge and fisheries management in the
Torres Strait, Australia: the catalytic role of turtles and dugong as cultural
keystone species. Ecology and Society 17(4): 34.
15. Rapidly undergoing
change from:
• Climate change
• Peak oil
• Population change
• Resources boom
• Disease and biosecurity
• Migration
• International markets
Fishermen declare war on Cape
York sea pirates, backed by
Chinese crime gangs, who are
plundering Great Barrier Reef
•by: Peter Michael
•From: The Sunday Mail (Qld)
•1 day ago January 05, 2014 1:00AM
16. Human Development Index
Low
High
Norway (1) 0.943
Torres Strait (73) 0.729^
Australia (2) 0.929
Afghanistan (172) 0.398
DR Congo (187) 0.286
Western Province PNG (188) 0.260*
Human Development Report, 2011. *McGillivray, M. 2012. http://www.deakin.edu.au/news/2012/23042012PNGMarkIndexresults.php
^ Estimated using ABS 2006 & 2011 census data
17. Proactive participatory planning - applied
research questions
1. What are possible future changes in the
Torres Strait?
2. How will they affect communities and their
livelihoods?
3. Which communities are most likely to be
impacted by changes?
4. What is their capacity to adapt? How
resilient are they?
5. What are the priority ‘no regrets’ strategies
that will enhance communities’ capacity to
adapt?
18. Theoretical foundations
• Millennium Ecosystem Assessment
Outputs
Outcomes
Impacts
Adaptive co-management
Community stakeholders
Torres Strait
stakeholders
Drivers of change
• Population
• Economy
• Climate change
Rural communities and
livelihoods
Ecosystem goods and
services
• Agriculture
• Fisheries
• Freshwater
Biodiversity and ecosystems
• Terrestrial
• Freshwater
• Marine
Adaptation strategies
Government
stakeholders
Participatory scenario planning
Cross-scale integration
• Well-being
• Adaptive capacity
19. Theoretical foundations
• Sustainable Livelihoods Framework
But no consideration of scientist as an agent
20. Integration of knowledge cultures
Individual
Local
Specialised
Strategic
Integrated
Adapted from Brown (2005)
Knowledge hierarchy
Networked knowledge
cultures
Knowledge cultures
Collective action
21. 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14
Torres Strait
scenario
planning
Community scenario planning
Climate projection downscaling
Ecosystem services modelling and livelihoods typology
Resilience assessment
Comparison and
evaluation of adaptation
strategies
Adaptive co-management evaluation
8 km projections
Ecosystem services impact model
Livelihoods typology
Case studies
Adaptation strategies
Adaptation strategies
Resilience assessment
Ecosystem services impact model
Drivers of change Resilience assessment
Resilience assessment
Drivers of change
Drivers of change
2014-15
Activities and Timetable
22. Partners & Stakeholders
Federal, State, Regional
Government & Industry
Communities
• Torres Strait Regional Authority
• Torres Strait Regional Island Council
• Department of Foreign Affairs & Trade
• Department of Environment
• Australian Fisheries Management Authority
23. Scenario workshop process
Adaptive capacity &
resilience
TS LIVELIHOODS
VISION
DRIVERS OF
CHANGE
TS LIVELIHOODS
2012 2060 2090
‘Best Case’
Scenario
Scenario
Scenario
‘Business as
Usual’ Scenario
2030
+
-
Impact on
livelihoods
Threshold
27. Green Growth global economy
+1.50C by 2090
No change wet season rainfall
Controlled PNG population growth
Regulated PNG development
Green Asian economic growth
Carbon intensive global economy
+2.50C by 2090
-3% rainfall p.a. by 2090
PNG population growth
Uncontrolled PNG development
1.3 m sea level rise by 2090
Rapid Asian economic growth
Strong TS culture
Stable population
Ailan Kastom
Local resource control and
management
Strong leadership
Political support and funding
Weak TS culture
Emigration
Loss of language
No local control
Fractured and weak leadership
Less political support and
funding
3 “Best Case”
1 “Business as Usual” 4
2
Scenarios matrix:
two axes,
four pathways for the
future
29. Regional scenarios
3 “Best Case”
4
2
Carbon intensive global economy
+2.50C by 2090
-3% rainfall p.a. by 2090
PNG population growth
Uncontrolled PNG development
1.3 m sea level rise by 2090
Rapid Asian economic growth
Strong TS culture
Stable population
Ailan Kastom
Local resource control and
management
Strong leadership
Political support and funding
3 ‘Best Case’ Hope Island
2 Doug’s World
4 Torres Strait Territory
1 ‘Business as Usual’
Northern Exposure
Regional scenarios
Green Growth glob al economy
+1.50C by 2090
No change wet season rainfall
Controlled PNG population growth
Regulated PNG development
Green Asian economic growth
Weak TS culture
Emigration
Loss of language
No local control
Fractured and weak leadership
Less political support and
funding
34. ‘No regrets’ adaptation strategies for Masig
Torres Strait Region stakeholders
1. Marine resource conservation
2. Promote tourism and sponge aquaculture
3. Climate-change proof terrestrial EGS against sea level rise
1. Cultural renewal strategy
2. Build community financial management capacity, including eco-tourism
3. Improve Masig Turtle and Dugong Management Plan to control the over-harvest of green
turtles
4. Improve garden food production, including hydroponics
5. Meetings to improve community communication
6. More coordination among central islands, which face same issues
Masig Community stakeholders
35. Researchers
PROCESS
Data and
systems tools
Change agents Beneficiaries
Adaptive capacity of the system
Participatory
planning
Policy and program
development
Implementation, adoption
and scaling-out
1
2
3
4
6
5
8
9
7
10
11
12
13 14 15 17
18 19
20
21 22
23
24 25
26
27
29
30
31 32
33
34
35
36
37
39
38
Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3
Participatory
modelling tools
and training
Vulnerability
Atlas, NTB
Food Security
Strategies
WFP
Adaptation
Fund project
Adaptation
strategy
implementation
in case studies
UNRAM
Adaptation
Research
Centre not
established
Some
strategies
included in NTB
Regional
Development
Plan
Theory of Change and Impact Pathway
PROJECT
Capacity building
36. Evaluation survey
• What effect did participatory process have on participant
perceptions of the future, and thinking about resilience?
• What kinds of information and knowledge did participants
respond to?
1. Perceptions of challenges
2. Perceptions of resilience
3. Impact of workshop information
37. Participants’ perceptions of challenges
Participant responses to the survey question “What is the greatest problem for
livelihoods on Masig?” before (left; n=12) and after (right; n=17) Integration Workshop.
Responses were coded and similar responses were grouped into themes (i.e. “the
rising of the sea” was grouped with the theme “climate change”).
Before workshop (n=12) After workshop (n=17)
38. What does community “resilience” mean to you?
“the ability to 'bounce back' to a functional state (may or may
not be the same state as previously)”
“ability of a community to preserve cultural protocols and
remain viable in today's environment”
“a community that meets its own needs without impacting on
the capacity of future generations to meet their needs”
Participants’ perceptions of resilience
39. Why or why not?
Don’t know: “communities have endured for many generations but current
and future threats may be more rapid - not sure of capacity to adapt - but
there is will to adapt”
Why?: “an adaptable people”
“all human cultures adapt”
Why Not?: “unsure of how to become resilient
and do not have the necessary resources”
“lack of knowledge of consequences of
change”
Participants’ perceptions of resilience
40. Expected Outcomes
1. Provision of information to
communities and regional
stakeholders to inform adaptation
decisions
2. Identification of alternative
livelihoods and ‘no regrets’ strategies
3. Increased capacity for communities
and stakeholders to adapt and avoid
mal-adaptive strategies
4. Support the development of Torres
Strait community adaptation and
resilience planning
41. Participatory adaptation research: tensions &
paradoxes
• Robust research or livelihood impacts? (Fazey et al. 2014)
• Transformation or empowerment?
• Science as framing partner, not distant deterministic authority:
scientists to provide facts, lay out options for policy actors to
debate (Melissa Leach at Resilience 2014 Conference)
42. Bridging knowledge cultures: tensions &
paradoxes
• Knowledge brokers and “intercultural bridgers” important in multi-stakeholder
integration processes (Bohensky and Maru 2011)
• But need to consider representational roles these “community
champions” play: who and what is excluded, whose resilience, whose
sustainability?
43. Scientists as catalysts
• Are we contributing to positive change?
• How do we know?
• Do we really want to know?
• Implications for responsibility
• Mutual trust (time, sensitivity, adaptability)
44. Dr. Erin Bohensky
Senior Research Scientist
Adaptive Social and Economic Systems
CSIRO LAND AND WATER
Townsville
erin.bohensky@csiro.au
Thanks to the many participants in this
project, and especially the Masig, Erub and
Mabuiag communities
“Building Resilient Communities for Torres Strait Futures”
is funded by the National Environmental Research
Program and CSIRO’s Oceans and Atmosphere Flagship