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Predictive Lead 
Scoring 
A guide for vendor evaluation and 
selection 
1
Demystifying Predictive Lead Scoring Vendors 
What We’ll Cover Today: 
• What differentiates predictive from traditional lead scoring? 
• What are important questions to ask when evaluating vendors? 
• What are the potential use cases to consider when evaluating vendors? 
• What are some pitfalls to avoid when considering predictive lead 
scoring? 
© 2013 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 2
Traditional Lead Scoring 
What’s the problem?
Traditional Lead Scoring Fosters This View: 
Implicit Explicit 
© 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 4
Reality Looks Much More Like This: 
Implicit Explicit 
Behavior 
- Hiring 
- Expansion 
- New products 
- Social media 
- Communities 
© 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 5 
Fit 
- C-level attitudes 
- Tech Ecosystem 
- Financial Health 
- Competition 
- Positioning
Beware of The Next Big Thing 
1. Conceptualize and prioritize use 
© 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 6 
cases 
2. Understand vendor differences 
3. Be honest about support and 
maintenance needs 
4. Understand your technology current 
stack
Prioritizing Your Need 
What are the typical use cases that allow you to compare 
vendors?
Predictive Scoring Has Uses Throughout Waterfall 
For most, there’s a substantial 
drop-off between TQL/TGL 
and SQL qualification… 
Traditional Lead Scoring 
Predictive 
Predictive 
© 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 8 
Predictive 
Predictive 
Source net-new 
inquiry based on 
ideal buyers 
Uncover upsell and 
cross-sell 
opportunities during 
the active sales 
cycle 
Upsell and 
renewals 
Enhance accuracy 
of traditional 
model
Top Use Cases 
SiriusPerspective: 
There are several different needs or use cases that predictive scoring 
can help with. 
Find Net New Find Existing Find Other 
Opportunities 
© 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 9 
Improve 
Accuracy of 
Existing 
Scoring 
Gain insights
Model 
Use Case 
Starting 
Point 
Entity 
Predicted 
© 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 10 
Source of 
Predictors 
Data 
Building a Model
What Questions Should You Ask? 
Understand the differences between vendors and avoid some 
common pitfalls.
Question 1: Model Design and Development 
• How is the model designed and 
refined? 
• Current Data 
• Feedback incorporation 
• Black Box vs. White Box? 
• Explicit and Implicit? 
• Number of Models 
• Change protocol 
• Entity 
• Time to market 
© 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 12
Question 2: Data Sources 
• What are the primary sources 
of external data? 
• How do external data sources 
align with your ideal prospects? 
• Job postings, business transactions 
• Social listening and semantic 
analysis 
• Publisher sites 
• Understand data storage/ 
security implications 
© 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 13
Question 3: Integration 
• How will the vendor’s predictions 
be shown or integrated? 
• Real-time or batch Integrations 
• Field types 
• Interface 
• Reporting 
© 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 14
Question 4: Experience and Partnership 
• What is the vendor’s experience 
with similar clients? 
• Experience level 
• Service model 
• Support structure 
© 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 15
The Most Common Pitfalls of Predictions 
The promise of “big data” 
Lack of useful insights 
Deals like snowflakes 
© 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 16 
Data Set = Dirty & Small 
Unpredictable future 
Time and length 
Accuracy testing
Know the Lingo 
Certain terminology is used by predictive lead scoring vendors 
17
Terminology 
•BIG DATA
Terminology 
•“Training the 
Model”
Terminology 
•Machine 
learning
Terminology 
•Propensity 
Modeling
Key Take-aways 
• Beware of the next big thing! Be clear about the need 
for predictive scoring before pursuing the solution. 
• Get your (data) house in order to give your vendor the 
best chance to create an accurate model. 
• Develop a plan for socializing a new scoring 
approach to peripheral stakeholders, ESPECIALLY if 
you’ve had adoption problems in the past. 
© 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 22
Rishi Kumar 
Head of Customer Success 
@rishimkumar
Where to Begin?
What is predictive lead scoring? 
How predictive models are 
built 
Getting buy-in on predictive 
Predictive playbooks
Home Run Initiative 
Risk 
Go-Live 
Model Customer Value 
Build 
Instant Adoption 
Day 30 
+100% increase in 
win rates and 
conversion
Look for the Success Stories
It took us two weeks to get stared 
and less than a month for Infer to 
pay for itself. 
Kevin Gaither, VP of Inside Sales 
ZipRecruiter 
“ 
”
Net Promoter Score 
How likely would you be to recommend this product? 
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 
Detractors Neutral Promoters 
90% of our promoters come from 
our Infer A-Leads 
Randhir Vieira, VP of Product and Marketing 
Mindflash 
“ 
”
Rishi Kumar 
Head of Customer Success 
@rishimkumar 
Questions 
Ashley Paris 
Research Analyst 
@ashesvv

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SiriusDecisions Webinar: How to Evaluate Predictive Lead Scoring Vendors

  • 1. Predictive Lead Scoring A guide for vendor evaluation and selection 1
  • 2. Demystifying Predictive Lead Scoring Vendors What We’ll Cover Today: • What differentiates predictive from traditional lead scoring? • What are important questions to ask when evaluating vendors? • What are the potential use cases to consider when evaluating vendors? • What are some pitfalls to avoid when considering predictive lead scoring? © 2013 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 2
  • 3. Traditional Lead Scoring What’s the problem?
  • 4. Traditional Lead Scoring Fosters This View: Implicit Explicit © 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 4
  • 5. Reality Looks Much More Like This: Implicit Explicit Behavior - Hiring - Expansion - New products - Social media - Communities © 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 5 Fit - C-level attitudes - Tech Ecosystem - Financial Health - Competition - Positioning
  • 6. Beware of The Next Big Thing 1. Conceptualize and prioritize use © 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 6 cases 2. Understand vendor differences 3. Be honest about support and maintenance needs 4. Understand your technology current stack
  • 7. Prioritizing Your Need What are the typical use cases that allow you to compare vendors?
  • 8. Predictive Scoring Has Uses Throughout Waterfall For most, there’s a substantial drop-off between TQL/TGL and SQL qualification… Traditional Lead Scoring Predictive Predictive © 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 8 Predictive Predictive Source net-new inquiry based on ideal buyers Uncover upsell and cross-sell opportunities during the active sales cycle Upsell and renewals Enhance accuracy of traditional model
  • 9. Top Use Cases SiriusPerspective: There are several different needs or use cases that predictive scoring can help with. Find Net New Find Existing Find Other Opportunities © 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 9 Improve Accuracy of Existing Scoring Gain insights
  • 10. Model Use Case Starting Point Entity Predicted © 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 10 Source of Predictors Data Building a Model
  • 11. What Questions Should You Ask? Understand the differences between vendors and avoid some common pitfalls.
  • 12. Question 1: Model Design and Development • How is the model designed and refined? • Current Data • Feedback incorporation • Black Box vs. White Box? • Explicit and Implicit? • Number of Models • Change protocol • Entity • Time to market © 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 12
  • 13. Question 2: Data Sources • What are the primary sources of external data? • How do external data sources align with your ideal prospects? • Job postings, business transactions • Social listening and semantic analysis • Publisher sites • Understand data storage/ security implications © 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 13
  • 14. Question 3: Integration • How will the vendor’s predictions be shown or integrated? • Real-time or batch Integrations • Field types • Interface • Reporting © 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 14
  • 15. Question 4: Experience and Partnership • What is the vendor’s experience with similar clients? • Experience level • Service model • Support structure © 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 15
  • 16. The Most Common Pitfalls of Predictions The promise of “big data” Lack of useful insights Deals like snowflakes © 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 16 Data Set = Dirty & Small Unpredictable future Time and length Accuracy testing
  • 17. Know the Lingo Certain terminology is used by predictive lead scoring vendors 17
  • 22. Key Take-aways • Beware of the next big thing! Be clear about the need for predictive scoring before pursuing the solution. • Get your (data) house in order to give your vendor the best chance to create an accurate model. • Develop a plan for socializing a new scoring approach to peripheral stakeholders, ESPECIALLY if you’ve had adoption problems in the past. © 2014 SiriusDecisions. All Rights Reserved 22
  • 23. Rishi Kumar Head of Customer Success @rishimkumar
  • 25. What is predictive lead scoring? How predictive models are built Getting buy-in on predictive Predictive playbooks
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28. Home Run Initiative Risk Go-Live Model Customer Value Build Instant Adoption Day 30 +100% increase in win rates and conversion
  • 29. Look for the Success Stories
  • 30.
  • 31. It took us two weeks to get stared and less than a month for Infer to pay for itself. Kevin Gaither, VP of Inside Sales ZipRecruiter “ ”
  • 32. Net Promoter Score How likely would you be to recommend this product? 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Detractors Neutral Promoters 90% of our promoters come from our Infer A-Leads Randhir Vieira, VP of Product and Marketing Mindflash “ ”
  • 33. Rishi Kumar Head of Customer Success @rishimkumar Questions Ashley Paris Research Analyst @ashesvv

Editor's Notes

  1. Now hopefully everyone in this room is bought in that predictive lead scoring is a home run initiative. Any company can implement it in a matter of weeks, and it’ll have an instant impact on sales performance.
  2. Now hopefully everyone in this room is bought in that predictive lead scoring is a home run initiative. Any company can implement it in a matter of weeks, and it’ll have an instant impact on sales performance.