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India Competitiveness Report 2014
Presentation
Structure of Selected Economies
5.3
10.1
0.9 1.8 0.7
18.0
4.0 1.2 3.1
28.1
46.6
27.9
19.1 21.6
27.6
35.4
19.8
26.9
66.6
43.4
71.2
79.2 77.7
54.4
60.6
79.0
69.9
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
Brazil China Germany France * United Kingdom India Russian
Federation
United States World
Source: WDI, 2010.
* Indiacates figures as of 2009, All the other figures as of 2010.
Structure of Selected Economies
Agriculture Value Added as a percentage of GDP Industry Value Added as a percentage of GDP
Sectoral Composition of World Economy
6.21
33.12
60.66
World GDP in 1990
Agriculture, value added (% of GDP) Industry, value added (% of GDP) Services, etc., value added (% of GDP)
9.74
37.58
52.68
World GDP in 1970
3.14
26.95
69.92
World GDP in 2010
Rank on Human Development Index
104
59
98
136
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1996 2000 2005 2013
India's Rank on HDI
GDP and GDP Per Capita
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
GDP and GDP per Capita over the Years
Indian GDP per capita in current USD GDP at current prices in current billion of US Dollars
Poverty Headcount Ratio
53.59
49.4
41.64
32.68
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1988 1994 2005 2010
Poverty Headcount Ratio
Poverty headcount ratio (%of population living on less than a 1.25 dollar a day on current prices
Poverty Headcount Ratios
6.14
11.8
32.68
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Brazil
China
India
Russian Federation
* Figures for India as of 2010
# Figures for rest of the countries as of 2011
Poverty Headcount ratio (%of Population living on less than 1.25 dollars a day in
current prices
Poverty Headcount ratio (%of Population living on less than 1.25 dollars a day in current prices
Growth in Various Industries over the years
Agriculture & allied activities
Mining & Quarrying
Manufacturing
Electricity, Gas & Water
Supply
Construction
Trade, Hotel, Transport and
Communications
Finance, Insurance, Real
Estate & Business Services
Community, Social & Personal
Services
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00 10.00
ShareintotalGDPoftheCountryin2012-13
CAGR Growth rate of sectors from 1990-91 to 2012-13
Structural Analysis of the Various sectors of the Indian Economy
Area and GDP of States
19.2% of the world
population and 11.62%
of world GDP
China
India17.6% of the world
population and
2.56% of world GDP
0.90% of the world
population and 3.39%
of world GDP
United Kingdom
United States of
America
4.5% of the world
population and 21.11
% of world GDP
Japan
1.8% of the world
population and 8.29%
of world GDP
Trade as a percentage of GDP over the years
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Trade as a percentage of GDP
Brazil China Hong Kong SAR, China India Russian Federation
Singapore South Africa United Kingdom United States World
Trade as a percentage of GDP
21.12
24.75
42.49
42.92
47.00
47.17
50.60
54.65
286.90
397.93
0.00 50.00 100.00 150.00 200.00 250.00 300.00 350.00 400.00 450.00
Brazil
United States
India
Russian Federation
China
United Kingdom
World
South Africa
Singapore
Hong Kong SAR, China
Trade as a percentage of GDP (As of 2012)
Export-Import Ratios
0.36
1.03
1.26
0.23
0.03
1.38
0.57
1.1
0.57
0.08
0.59
0.67
0.18
0.36
0.19
0.31
1
1.42
0.18
0.03
1.96
0.49
1.21
0.46
0.04
0.52
0.69
0.07
0.33
0.18
0.23
0.92
1.51
0.28
0.04
1.75
0.48
1.51
0.34
0.07
0.47
0.52
0.06
0.29
0.2
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1. China
2. UAE
3. USA
4. Saudi Arabia
5. Switzerland
6. Singapore
7. Germany
8. Hong Kong
9. Indonesia
10. Iraq
11. Japan
12. Belgium
13. Kuwait
14. Korea RP
15. Nigeria
Export/Import Ratio 2010-11 Export/Import Ratio 2011-12 Export/Import Ratio 2012-13 Apr- Nov
MPCA according to NSS
860
930
828
778
738
1,145
1,090
932
1,015
913
891
748
902
1,018
771
967
1,118
888
1,066
1,270
695
1,054
905
930
880
798
880
768
783
1,301
816
1,009
1,060
1,008
923
849
1,134
1,134
1,152
1,169
1,064
988
974
1,089
987
897
1,126
1,170
1,154
1,155
1,302
861
1,155
1,002
1,226
937
920
1,082
941
981
1,309
1,000
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
RURAL (Monthly per capita (Rs.) ) URBAN (Monthly per capita (Rs.) )
Percentage of Population below poverty line
29.6
31.4
34.4
54.4
49.4
13
24.9
31.6
24.1
22.9
13.1
45.3
33.3
19.6
48.6
38.2
37.9
16.1
15.4
8.8
57.2
20.9
34.4
30.9
29.4
40
40.9
32.7
34.2
9.2
34.7
32.0
33.7
39.9
9.9
5.1
16.6
11.2
8.1
10.4
37.0
20.9
7.1
31.7
17.4
36.9
11.9
20.4
18.9
32.6
8.3
14.7
8.2
11.3
14.1
11.3
29.4
20.0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Andhra Pradesh
Arunachal Pradesh
Assam
Bihar
Chhattisgarh
Delhi
Goa
Gujarat
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Jharkhand
Karnataka
Kerala
Madhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
Manipur
Meghalaya
Mizoram
Nagaland
Odisha
Punjab
Rajasthan
Sikkim
Tamil Nadu
Tripura
Uttarakhand
Uttar Pradesh
West Bengal
Percentage of Population below poverty line by states - 2004-05 and 2011-12 (Tendulkar Methodology)
Percentage of Population below poverty line by states - 2004-05 (Tendulkar Methodology)
Population Below $1.25 a day
68
13.8
0.05
63.2
32.7
11.8
6.1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Nigeria (2010)
South Africa (2009)
Russian Federation (2009)
Rwanda (2011)
India(2010)
China (2008)
Brazil (2008)
Population below $ 1.25 a day
Population Below $2 a Day
84.5
31.3
0
82.4
68.7
27.2
10.8
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Nigeria (2010)
South Africa (2009)
Russian Federation (2009)
Rwanda (2011)
India(2010)
China (2008)
Brazil (2008)
Population below $ 2 a day
Population below $ 2 a day
GINI Index
55
42
34
40
51
63
49
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Brazil (2009) China (2009) India (2010) Russian Federation
(2009)
Rwanda (2011) South Africa (2009) Nigeria (2010)
GINI Index
GINI Index
Wealth in Nations
65,505
4980
4015
3365
17820
10910
14270
10675
7895
1390
1355
775
600
9,085
595
770
445
2345
1375
2335
1515
935
265
160
100
80
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000
USA
Canada
Brazil
Mexico
Germany
United Kingdom
Japan
China
India
South Korea
Singapore
South Africa
Nigeria
Wealth in Nations
Total Wealth Billion USD UNHW Population
103
26
131
200
665
855
2,270
3,600
180
21
82 77
160 140 145 130
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
$1 billion + $750 million to $999
million
$500 million to $749
million
$250 million to $499
million
$200 million to $249
million
$100 million to $199
million
$50 million to $99
million
$30 million to $49
million
Wealth In India
UHNW POPULATION TOTAL WEALTH US$ billion
Per Capita GDP under Various Scenarios of Growth
51.9
47.6
41.7
35.7
29.5
22.3
13.7
11.1
13.7
16.0
18.0
20.6 20.7
18.9
34.6
36.6
40.9
45.3
49.6
57.0
67.4
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
1950-51 1960-61 1970-71 1980-81 1990-91 2000-01 2012-13
PercentageContributionofVariousSectorstoGDP
Percentage contribution to GDP over the years
Agriculture & allied activities Industry Services
Percentage Contribution to GDP
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
1960
1962
1964
1966
1968
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
2032
2034
2036
2038
2040
2042
2044
2046
2048
2050
PerCapitaGDPatCurrentPricesinUSD
Per capita GDP of India Under Various Scenarios of Growth
India (Institute for Competitiveness Model) India (6% Growth Rate) India (8% Growth Rate) India (10% Growth Rate)
GDP/Capita to
grow six times to
9005 USD/capita
Per Capita GDP under Various Scenarios of Growth
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
AxisTitle
Billions
GDP of India Under Various Scenarios of Growth
India (Institute for Competitiveness Model) India (6% Growth Rate) India (8% Growth Rate) India (10% Growth Rate)
GDP to grow eight
times to 14.97
trillion USD
GDP under Various Scenarios of Growth
1489
9005
10135
20621
41411
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
GDP 2012 India (Institute for
Competitiveness Model)
(2050)
India (6% Growth Rate)
(2050)
India (8% Growth Rate)
(2050)
India (10% Growth Rate)
(2050)
PerCapitaGDPinCurrentUSD
Per Capita GDP Growth Now and in 2050
Per Capita GDP now and in 2050
GDP now and in 2050
1841.71
14979.36
16859.48
34302.36
68887.95
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
GDP 2012 India (Institute for
Competitiveness Model)
(2050)
India (6% Growth Rate)
(2050)
India (8% Growth Rate)
(2050)
India (10% Growth Rate)
(2050)
Billions
GDP Now and in 2050
Per Capita NSDP
201083
167838
142625
122660
107670
98550
92607
89668
88783
82611
80924
78177
77647
77015
68757
62831
60156
59535
55004
54689
53735
52689
50641
49489
43864
43384
42036
36290
33269
28317
0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000
Delhi
Sikkim
Maharashtra
Uttarakhand
Punjab
Kerala*
Arunachal Pradesh
All-India Per Capita NNI(2004-05 base)
Meghalaya
Tripura
Rajasthan*
Jammu & Kashmir
Madhya Pradesh
Assam
Uttar Pradesh
Figures taken as on 01.08.2013
*Represents figures for 2011-12 all other figures for 2012-13
Per Capita NSDP at Current Prices
Urbanization Rate
84.6032
73.8244
31.295
50.5008
61.9868
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Brazil Russian Federation India China South Africa
Urbanization Rate
Per capita GDP versus Urbanization
APAR
AS
BR
CH
DL
GA*
GJ*
HR
HP
JK
JH
KA
KL*
MP
MH
MN
ML
MZ*
NL
OR
PB
RJ*
SK
TN
TR
UP
UK
WB
y = 1731.3x + 19928
R² = 0.5605
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
0.00 20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00
NSDPpercapita(at2004-05prices)in201-11
% of People residing in Urban Areas in 2011
* depicts states with NSDP per capita in 2011-12 all other figures for 2012-13
Total Census Towns
7935
468
53 3
311 264.9 160.7 48.8
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
Total census towns ,Class I UAs/Towns(Atleast
1,00,000 persons)
0Million Plus UAs/Towns (At least
10 lakh people)
,Mega Cities ( Greater than 10
millon people)
Source : Census 2011
Number of towns Number of people living in these areas (In Millions)
Statewise Distribution of Million Plus UA’s/Towns
7
7
6
4
4
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Uttar Pradesh
Kerala
Maharashtra
Madhya Pradesh
Gujarat
Tamil Nadu
Rajsthan
Jharkhand
Andhra Pradesh
Punjab
West Bengal
Chhattisgarh
Jammu and Kashmir
Chandigarh
Haryana
NCT Delhi
Bihar
Karnataka
Number of Milion Plus UAs/ Cities
Statewise Distribution of Million Plus UA's/ Towns
Cities with Population > 4 million by 2026
15.7
16.1
13.1
6.4
5.6
5.4
4.4
3.7
2.7
2.0
2.3
28.6
25.8
20.1
9.9
9.5
8.9
7.6
6.6
5.6
4.5
4.2
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0
Delhi
Mumbai
Kolkata
Chennai
Bangalore
Hyderabad
Ahmedabad
Pune
Surat
Kanpur
Jaipur
Source: World Cities, UN-Habitat, 2012-13
Cities with population > 4 million by 2026
Population in 2000 (in Million) Population in 2025 (in Million)
Growth rate of Segments of Services from 2007-08 to 2012-13
25.1
15.1
12.5
8.5
25.1
17.2
14.3
8.2
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Trade, hotels, & restaurants
(Including Transport, storage, &
communication)
Financing, insurance, real estate,
& business services
Community, social, & personal
services
Construction
ServiceContributiontoGDPasapercentageofGDP
Growth rate of segments of Services from 2007-08 to 2012-13
2007-08 2012-13
CAGR in Service Sectors from 2001-11
0.4
0.6
1.3
1.4
2.1
2.3
2.7
2.8
2.9
3.3
3.5
3.8
5.5
9.2
11.1
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Japan
Italy
Germany
France
US
UK
Canada
Spain
Mexico
Australia
South Korea
Brazil
Russia
India
China
CAGR in Service GDP from 2001-11
Share of Services over the years
77
40.6
70.6
70
76.8
65.4
74
70.9
50.1
56.3
65
67.9
63.7
61.4
60.5
78.4
41.7
70.5
70
79.2
66.5
76
73.1
58.2
62.1
69.7
69.2
70
64.2
56.6
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
US
China
Japan
Germany
France
Brazil
UK
Italy
India
Russia
Canada
Australia
Spain
Mexico
South Korea
Share of Services in 2011 (as a % of GDP) Share of Services in 2001 (as a % of GDP)
FDI Flows in services sector
38,713.32
12,888.72 12,220.28
22,969.45
2,332.80
0.00
5,000.00
10,000.00
15,000.00
20,000.00
25,000.00
30,000.00
35,000.00
40,000.00
45,000.00
Services Sector (financial
and Non-Financial)
Telecommunications (radio
paging, cellular mobile,
basic telephone services)
Computer software and
hardware
Construction Development
(Townships, housing, built-
up
infrastructure and
construction-development
projects)
construction actvities
FDIInflowsinmillionofUSDfromApril2000-Nov2013
FDI Inflows in the services sector
Cropping Intensity
111.07
114.69
117.70
123.05
129.89
131.11
133.79
132.55
135.04
135.69
136.66
137.50
138.50
138.01
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
1950-51 1960-61 1970-71 1980-81 1990-91 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09
Cropping Intensity
Agricultural System
Input for
Agriculture
Output of
Agriculture
Crops and Foodgrains
Agricultural Byproducts
Irrigation
Seeds
land
Fertilizer
Rainfall
Machinery and Equipment/
Agricultural Labour
Agricultural Credit
Research Institutions
Per Capita Net Availability of Foodgrains
172.5
186.2
171.1
169.4
172
180.8
173.5
183.6
163.2
170
165.9
151.9
180.4
159.7
168.9
154.2
162.5
161.6
159.2
162.1
159.5
169
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011 (P)
Per Capita Net Availbility of Foodgrains (Per Annum) in Kg in India
Exports per Capita 2012
1424 1665
21682
355
155
4132
103759
2121
12340
6995
1
10
100
1000
10000
100000
1000000
Brazil China Germany India Pakistan Russian
Federation
Singapore South Africa UK USA
ExportsperCapitaincureentUSDonalogarithmicscale
Exports per capita, 2012
Region Wise Share of Indian Exports
25.9
24.2
19
18.7
5.3
6.8
8.1
9.6
24.7
20.7
16.4
19.5
37.4
46.9
50
50.4
2.3
1.2 1 1.3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2000-1 2005-06 2011-12 2012-13 (Apr.-Nov)
Region-wise Share of India's Exports
Europe Africa America Asia CIS and Baltics
Composition of Exports in World Markets
14
2
23.6
16.6 15.7
10.4
4.4
12.4
2.8
8.7
14.7
19.2
12.2
1.6
14
2
8.7
15.4
19.3
13.7
1.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Agri and Allied
Products
Ores and minerals Textiles incl. RMG Gems & jewellery Engineering goods Chemicals & related
products
Leather & leather
manufacturers
Composition of Exports in World Market
2000-01 2011-12 2012-13 (April-Nov. )
Trade Share with Major Economies
China
10%
UAE
9%
USA
7%
Saudi Arabia
5%
Switzerland
4%
Singapore
3%
Germany
3%
Hong Kong
3%
Indonesia
3%
Iraq
3%
Japan
2%
Rest of the world
48%
Trade share with Major economies
Total Number of MSME’s
101.1
105.21
109.49
113.95
118.59
123.42
361.76
377.37
393.7
410.82
428.77
447.73
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08# 2008-09# 2009-10# 2010-11# 2011-12#
Total MSME's (Nos. in lakh)
CAGR
4.36%
CAGR
4.07%
Fixed investment in MSME’s
146845
154349
162317
170219
178699
188113
868544
917437
971407
1029331
1094893
1176939
0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 1200000 1400000
2000-01
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07*
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
Fixed Investment (Rs. Crore)
CAGR
6.27%
MSME’s Employment and Gross Output
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07*
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
1400000
1600000
1800000
2000000
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200
Employment(Lakhpersons)
Gross Output (Rs. Crore) at Current Prices
Credit Availability to MSME’s
67,800 82,434
102,550
151,137
191,408
278,398
376,625
395,976
8,592
10,421
13,136
46,912
46,656
64,534
87,857
105,085
6,907
8,430
11,637
15,489
18,063
21,069
21,461
19,839
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
(Provisional)
Credit Availability To MSME's
Public Sector Banks Private Sector Banks Foreign Banks
Offices of Commercial Banks over the Years
14691 15870 16940 18392 19341 20260 21315
37437
39287
41027
43675
46461
50729
54528
4840
4725
4955
5276
5093
5678
6290
2599
3638
4336
5243
7009
8298
9718
14810
15054
15484
15776
16267
17032
17564
48
48
48
49
54
57
62
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
OFFICES OF COMMERCIAL BANKS IN INDIA - 2006 TO 2012
State Bank of India and its Associates Nationalised Banks Old Private Sector Banks
New Private Sector Banks Foreign Banks Regional Rural Banks
Local Area Banks
Total Number of employees in Banks
684
770
845
874
1144
2361
2395
5487
8584
12173
12281
12495
16794
18976
33170
34013
37091
41746
44713
51026
57201
59498
69723
76899
80872
86007
107695
118417
171309
0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 140000 160000 180000
Sikkim
Mizoram
Manipur
Arunachal Pradesh
Nagaland
Tripura
Meghalaya
Goa
Himachal Pradesh
Chhattisgarh
Jammu & Kashmir
Uttarakhand
Assam
Jharkhand
Haryana
Odisha
Bihar
Rajasthan
Madhya Pradesh
Kerala
Delhi
Gujarat
Punjab
Karnataka
Andhra Pradesh
Tamil Nadu
Uttar Pradesh
West Bengal
Maharashtra
Total number of Employees include Officers, Clerks and Subordinates
Total Number of employees
Gross NPA
4.42
3.24
1.76
1.91
2.96
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
SBI and its Associates Nationalised Banks New Private Sector Banks Old Private Sector Banks Foreign Banks
Gross NPA's to Gross Advances ratio (%) as on 31st March 2013
Bank Profitability
9.5 9.1 9.3
10.9
15.2
14.2
20.1
11.0
9.7
7.7
8.3
11.2
15.8
14.8
21.7
10.6
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
SBI and its
Associates
Nationalised
Banks
Public Sector
Banks
Old Private
Sector Banks
New Private
Sector Banks
Private Sector
Banks
Foreign Banks All Scheduled
Commercial
Banks
Bank Profitability (Profit as a percentage of Total Income)
2012
2013
The End

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India Competitiveness Report 2014

  • 1. India Competitiveness Report 2014 Presentation
  • 2. Structure of Selected Economies 5.3 10.1 0.9 1.8 0.7 18.0 4.0 1.2 3.1 28.1 46.6 27.9 19.1 21.6 27.6 35.4 19.8 26.9 66.6 43.4 71.2 79.2 77.7 54.4 60.6 79.0 69.9 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 Brazil China Germany France * United Kingdom India Russian Federation United States World Source: WDI, 2010. * Indiacates figures as of 2009, All the other figures as of 2010. Structure of Selected Economies Agriculture Value Added as a percentage of GDP Industry Value Added as a percentage of GDP
  • 3. Sectoral Composition of World Economy 6.21 33.12 60.66 World GDP in 1990 Agriculture, value added (% of GDP) Industry, value added (% of GDP) Services, etc., value added (% of GDP) 9.74 37.58 52.68 World GDP in 1970 3.14 26.95 69.92 World GDP in 2010
  • 4. Rank on Human Development Index 104 59 98 136 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 1996 2000 2005 2013 India's Rank on HDI
  • 5. GDP and GDP Per Capita 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 GDP and GDP per Capita over the Years Indian GDP per capita in current USD GDP at current prices in current billion of US Dollars
  • 6. Poverty Headcount Ratio 53.59 49.4 41.64 32.68 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 1988 1994 2005 2010 Poverty Headcount Ratio Poverty headcount ratio (%of population living on less than a 1.25 dollar a day on current prices
  • 7. Poverty Headcount Ratios 6.14 11.8 32.68 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Brazil China India Russian Federation * Figures for India as of 2010 # Figures for rest of the countries as of 2011 Poverty Headcount ratio (%of Population living on less than 1.25 dollars a day in current prices Poverty Headcount ratio (%of Population living on less than 1.25 dollars a day in current prices
  • 8. Growth in Various Industries over the years Agriculture & allied activities Mining & Quarrying Manufacturing Electricity, Gas & Water Supply Construction Trade, Hotel, Transport and Communications Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Business Services Community, Social & Personal Services -5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00 10.00 ShareintotalGDPoftheCountryin2012-13 CAGR Growth rate of sectors from 1990-91 to 2012-13 Structural Analysis of the Various sectors of the Indian Economy
  • 9. Area and GDP of States 19.2% of the world population and 11.62% of world GDP China India17.6% of the world population and 2.56% of world GDP 0.90% of the world population and 3.39% of world GDP United Kingdom United States of America 4.5% of the world population and 21.11 % of world GDP Japan 1.8% of the world population and 8.29% of world GDP
  • 10. Trade as a percentage of GDP over the years 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Trade as a percentage of GDP Brazil China Hong Kong SAR, China India Russian Federation Singapore South Africa United Kingdom United States World
  • 11. Trade as a percentage of GDP 21.12 24.75 42.49 42.92 47.00 47.17 50.60 54.65 286.90 397.93 0.00 50.00 100.00 150.00 200.00 250.00 300.00 350.00 400.00 450.00 Brazil United States India Russian Federation China United Kingdom World South Africa Singapore Hong Kong SAR, China Trade as a percentage of GDP (As of 2012)
  • 12. Export-Import Ratios 0.36 1.03 1.26 0.23 0.03 1.38 0.57 1.1 0.57 0.08 0.59 0.67 0.18 0.36 0.19 0.31 1 1.42 0.18 0.03 1.96 0.49 1.21 0.46 0.04 0.52 0.69 0.07 0.33 0.18 0.23 0.92 1.51 0.28 0.04 1.75 0.48 1.51 0.34 0.07 0.47 0.52 0.06 0.29 0.2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 1. China 2. UAE 3. USA 4. Saudi Arabia 5. Switzerland 6. Singapore 7. Germany 8. Hong Kong 9. Indonesia 10. Iraq 11. Japan 12. Belgium 13. Kuwait 14. Korea RP 15. Nigeria Export/Import Ratio 2010-11 Export/Import Ratio 2011-12 Export/Import Ratio 2012-13 Apr- Nov
  • 13. MPCA according to NSS 860 930 828 778 738 1,145 1,090 932 1,015 913 891 748 902 1,018 771 967 1,118 888 1,066 1,270 695 1,054 905 930 880 798 880 768 783 1,301 816 1,009 1,060 1,008 923 849 1,134 1,134 1,152 1,169 1,064 988 974 1,089 987 897 1,126 1,170 1,154 1,155 1,302 861 1,155 1,002 1,226 937 920 1,082 941 981 1,309 1,000 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 RURAL (Monthly per capita (Rs.) ) URBAN (Monthly per capita (Rs.) )
  • 14. Percentage of Population below poverty line 29.6 31.4 34.4 54.4 49.4 13 24.9 31.6 24.1 22.9 13.1 45.3 33.3 19.6 48.6 38.2 37.9 16.1 15.4 8.8 57.2 20.9 34.4 30.9 29.4 40 40.9 32.7 34.2 9.2 34.7 32.0 33.7 39.9 9.9 5.1 16.6 11.2 8.1 10.4 37.0 20.9 7.1 31.7 17.4 36.9 11.9 20.4 18.9 32.6 8.3 14.7 8.2 11.3 14.1 11.3 29.4 20.0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Andhra Pradesh Arunachal Pradesh Assam Bihar Chhattisgarh Delhi Goa Gujarat Haryana Himachal Pradesh Jammu & Kashmir Jharkhand Karnataka Kerala Madhya Pradesh Maharashtra Manipur Meghalaya Mizoram Nagaland Odisha Punjab Rajasthan Sikkim Tamil Nadu Tripura Uttarakhand Uttar Pradesh West Bengal Percentage of Population below poverty line by states - 2004-05 and 2011-12 (Tendulkar Methodology) Percentage of Population below poverty line by states - 2004-05 (Tendulkar Methodology)
  • 15. Population Below $1.25 a day 68 13.8 0.05 63.2 32.7 11.8 6.1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Nigeria (2010) South Africa (2009) Russian Federation (2009) Rwanda (2011) India(2010) China (2008) Brazil (2008) Population below $ 1.25 a day
  • 16. Population Below $2 a Day 84.5 31.3 0 82.4 68.7 27.2 10.8 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Nigeria (2010) South Africa (2009) Russian Federation (2009) Rwanda (2011) India(2010) China (2008) Brazil (2008) Population below $ 2 a day Population below $ 2 a day
  • 17. GINI Index 55 42 34 40 51 63 49 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Brazil (2009) China (2009) India (2010) Russian Federation (2009) Rwanda (2011) South Africa (2009) Nigeria (2010) GINI Index GINI Index
  • 18. Wealth in Nations 65,505 4980 4015 3365 17820 10910 14270 10675 7895 1390 1355 775 600 9,085 595 770 445 2345 1375 2335 1515 935 265 160 100 80 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 USA Canada Brazil Mexico Germany United Kingdom Japan China India South Korea Singapore South Africa Nigeria Wealth in Nations Total Wealth Billion USD UNHW Population
  • 19. 103 26 131 200 665 855 2,270 3,600 180 21 82 77 160 140 145 130 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 $1 billion + $750 million to $999 million $500 million to $749 million $250 million to $499 million $200 million to $249 million $100 million to $199 million $50 million to $99 million $30 million to $49 million Wealth In India UHNW POPULATION TOTAL WEALTH US$ billion Per Capita GDP under Various Scenarios of Growth
  • 20. 51.9 47.6 41.7 35.7 29.5 22.3 13.7 11.1 13.7 16.0 18.0 20.6 20.7 18.9 34.6 36.6 40.9 45.3 49.6 57.0 67.4 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 1950-51 1960-61 1970-71 1980-81 1990-91 2000-01 2012-13 PercentageContributionofVariousSectorstoGDP Percentage contribution to GDP over the years Agriculture & allied activities Industry Services Percentage Contribution to GDP
  • 21. 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 2042 2044 2046 2048 2050 PerCapitaGDPatCurrentPricesinUSD Per capita GDP of India Under Various Scenarios of Growth India (Institute for Competitiveness Model) India (6% Growth Rate) India (8% Growth Rate) India (10% Growth Rate) GDP/Capita to grow six times to 9005 USD/capita Per Capita GDP under Various Scenarios of Growth
  • 22. 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 AxisTitle Billions GDP of India Under Various Scenarios of Growth India (Institute for Competitiveness Model) India (6% Growth Rate) India (8% Growth Rate) India (10% Growth Rate) GDP to grow eight times to 14.97 trillion USD GDP under Various Scenarios of Growth
  • 23. 1489 9005 10135 20621 41411 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000 GDP 2012 India (Institute for Competitiveness Model) (2050) India (6% Growth Rate) (2050) India (8% Growth Rate) (2050) India (10% Growth Rate) (2050) PerCapitaGDPinCurrentUSD Per Capita GDP Growth Now and in 2050 Per Capita GDP now and in 2050
  • 24. GDP now and in 2050 1841.71 14979.36 16859.48 34302.36 68887.95 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 GDP 2012 India (Institute for Competitiveness Model) (2050) India (6% Growth Rate) (2050) India (8% Growth Rate) (2050) India (10% Growth Rate) (2050) Billions GDP Now and in 2050
  • 25. Per Capita NSDP 201083 167838 142625 122660 107670 98550 92607 89668 88783 82611 80924 78177 77647 77015 68757 62831 60156 59535 55004 54689 53735 52689 50641 49489 43864 43384 42036 36290 33269 28317 0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 Delhi Sikkim Maharashtra Uttarakhand Punjab Kerala* Arunachal Pradesh All-India Per Capita NNI(2004-05 base) Meghalaya Tripura Rajasthan* Jammu & Kashmir Madhya Pradesh Assam Uttar Pradesh Figures taken as on 01.08.2013 *Represents figures for 2011-12 all other figures for 2012-13 Per Capita NSDP at Current Prices
  • 27. Per capita GDP versus Urbanization APAR AS BR CH DL GA* GJ* HR HP JK JH KA KL* MP MH MN ML MZ* NL OR PB RJ* SK TN TR UP UK WB y = 1731.3x + 19928 R² = 0.5605 0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 0.00 20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00 NSDPpercapita(at2004-05prices)in201-11 % of People residing in Urban Areas in 2011 * depicts states with NSDP per capita in 2011-12 all other figures for 2012-13
  • 28. Total Census Towns 7935 468 53 3 311 264.9 160.7 48.8 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 Total census towns ,Class I UAs/Towns(Atleast 1,00,000 persons) 0Million Plus UAs/Towns (At least 10 lakh people) ,Mega Cities ( Greater than 10 millon people) Source : Census 2011 Number of towns Number of people living in these areas (In Millions)
  • 29. Statewise Distribution of Million Plus UA’s/Towns 7 7 6 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Uttar Pradesh Kerala Maharashtra Madhya Pradesh Gujarat Tamil Nadu Rajsthan Jharkhand Andhra Pradesh Punjab West Bengal Chhattisgarh Jammu and Kashmir Chandigarh Haryana NCT Delhi Bihar Karnataka Number of Milion Plus UAs/ Cities Statewise Distribution of Million Plus UA's/ Towns
  • 30. Cities with Population > 4 million by 2026 15.7 16.1 13.1 6.4 5.6 5.4 4.4 3.7 2.7 2.0 2.3 28.6 25.8 20.1 9.9 9.5 8.9 7.6 6.6 5.6 4.5 4.2 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 Delhi Mumbai Kolkata Chennai Bangalore Hyderabad Ahmedabad Pune Surat Kanpur Jaipur Source: World Cities, UN-Habitat, 2012-13 Cities with population > 4 million by 2026 Population in 2000 (in Million) Population in 2025 (in Million)
  • 31. Growth rate of Segments of Services from 2007-08 to 2012-13 25.1 15.1 12.5 8.5 25.1 17.2 14.3 8.2 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Trade, hotels, & restaurants (Including Transport, storage, & communication) Financing, insurance, real estate, & business services Community, social, & personal services Construction ServiceContributiontoGDPasapercentageofGDP Growth rate of segments of Services from 2007-08 to 2012-13 2007-08 2012-13
  • 32. CAGR in Service Sectors from 2001-11 0.4 0.6 1.3 1.4 2.1 2.3 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.3 3.5 3.8 5.5 9.2 11.1 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Japan Italy Germany France US UK Canada Spain Mexico Australia South Korea Brazil Russia India China CAGR in Service GDP from 2001-11
  • 33. Share of Services over the years 77 40.6 70.6 70 76.8 65.4 74 70.9 50.1 56.3 65 67.9 63.7 61.4 60.5 78.4 41.7 70.5 70 79.2 66.5 76 73.1 58.2 62.1 69.7 69.2 70 64.2 56.6 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 US China Japan Germany France Brazil UK Italy India Russia Canada Australia Spain Mexico South Korea Share of Services in 2011 (as a % of GDP) Share of Services in 2001 (as a % of GDP)
  • 34. FDI Flows in services sector 38,713.32 12,888.72 12,220.28 22,969.45 2,332.80 0.00 5,000.00 10,000.00 15,000.00 20,000.00 25,000.00 30,000.00 35,000.00 40,000.00 45,000.00 Services Sector (financial and Non-Financial) Telecommunications (radio paging, cellular mobile, basic telephone services) Computer software and hardware Construction Development (Townships, housing, built- up infrastructure and construction-development projects) construction actvities FDIInflowsinmillionofUSDfromApril2000-Nov2013 FDI Inflows in the services sector
  • 36. Agricultural System Input for Agriculture Output of Agriculture Crops and Foodgrains Agricultural Byproducts Irrigation Seeds land Fertilizer Rainfall Machinery and Equipment/ Agricultural Labour Agricultural Credit Research Institutions
  • 37. Per Capita Net Availability of Foodgrains 172.5 186.2 171.1 169.4 172 180.8 173.5 183.6 163.2 170 165.9 151.9 180.4 159.7 168.9 154.2 162.5 161.6 159.2 162.1 159.5 169 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (P) Per Capita Net Availbility of Foodgrains (Per Annum) in Kg in India
  • 38. Exports per Capita 2012 1424 1665 21682 355 155 4132 103759 2121 12340 6995 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000 Brazil China Germany India Pakistan Russian Federation Singapore South Africa UK USA ExportsperCapitaincureentUSDonalogarithmicscale Exports per capita, 2012
  • 39. Region Wise Share of Indian Exports 25.9 24.2 19 18.7 5.3 6.8 8.1 9.6 24.7 20.7 16.4 19.5 37.4 46.9 50 50.4 2.3 1.2 1 1.3 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 2000-1 2005-06 2011-12 2012-13 (Apr.-Nov) Region-wise Share of India's Exports Europe Africa America Asia CIS and Baltics
  • 40. Composition of Exports in World Markets 14 2 23.6 16.6 15.7 10.4 4.4 12.4 2.8 8.7 14.7 19.2 12.2 1.6 14 2 8.7 15.4 19.3 13.7 1.7 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Agri and Allied Products Ores and minerals Textiles incl. RMG Gems & jewellery Engineering goods Chemicals & related products Leather & leather manufacturers Composition of Exports in World Market 2000-01 2011-12 2012-13 (April-Nov. )
  • 41. Trade Share with Major Economies China 10% UAE 9% USA 7% Saudi Arabia 5% Switzerland 4% Singapore 3% Germany 3% Hong Kong 3% Indonesia 3% Iraq 3% Japan 2% Rest of the world 48% Trade share with Major economies
  • 42. Total Number of MSME’s 101.1 105.21 109.49 113.95 118.59 123.42 361.76 377.37 393.7 410.82 428.77 447.73 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08# 2008-09# 2009-10# 2010-11# 2011-12# Total MSME's (Nos. in lakh) CAGR 4.36% CAGR 4.07%
  • 43. Fixed investment in MSME’s 146845 154349 162317 170219 178699 188113 868544 917437 971407 1029331 1094893 1176939 0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 1200000 1400000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07* 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 Fixed Investment (Rs. Crore) CAGR 6.27%
  • 44. MSME’s Employment and Gross Output 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07* 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 1200000 1400000 1600000 1800000 2000000 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 Employment(Lakhpersons) Gross Output (Rs. Crore) at Current Prices
  • 45. Credit Availability to MSME’s 67,800 82,434 102,550 151,137 191,408 278,398 376,625 395,976 8,592 10,421 13,136 46,912 46,656 64,534 87,857 105,085 6,907 8,430 11,637 15,489 18,063 21,069 21,461 19,839 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (Provisional) Credit Availability To MSME's Public Sector Banks Private Sector Banks Foreign Banks
  • 46. Offices of Commercial Banks over the Years 14691 15870 16940 18392 19341 20260 21315 37437 39287 41027 43675 46461 50729 54528 4840 4725 4955 5276 5093 5678 6290 2599 3638 4336 5243 7009 8298 9718 14810 15054 15484 15776 16267 17032 17564 48 48 48 49 54 57 62 0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 OFFICES OF COMMERCIAL BANKS IN INDIA - 2006 TO 2012 State Bank of India and its Associates Nationalised Banks Old Private Sector Banks New Private Sector Banks Foreign Banks Regional Rural Banks Local Area Banks
  • 47. Total Number of employees in Banks 684 770 845 874 1144 2361 2395 5487 8584 12173 12281 12495 16794 18976 33170 34013 37091 41746 44713 51026 57201 59498 69723 76899 80872 86007 107695 118417 171309 0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 140000 160000 180000 Sikkim Mizoram Manipur Arunachal Pradesh Nagaland Tripura Meghalaya Goa Himachal Pradesh Chhattisgarh Jammu & Kashmir Uttarakhand Assam Jharkhand Haryana Odisha Bihar Rajasthan Madhya Pradesh Kerala Delhi Gujarat Punjab Karnataka Andhra Pradesh Tamil Nadu Uttar Pradesh West Bengal Maharashtra Total number of Employees include Officers, Clerks and Subordinates Total Number of employees
  • 48. Gross NPA 4.42 3.24 1.76 1.91 2.96 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 SBI and its Associates Nationalised Banks New Private Sector Banks Old Private Sector Banks Foreign Banks Gross NPA's to Gross Advances ratio (%) as on 31st March 2013
  • 49. Bank Profitability 9.5 9.1 9.3 10.9 15.2 14.2 20.1 11.0 9.7 7.7 8.3 11.2 15.8 14.8 21.7 10.6 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 SBI and its Associates Nationalised Banks Public Sector Banks Old Private Sector Banks New Private Sector Banks Private Sector Banks Foreign Banks All Scheduled Commercial Banks Bank Profitability (Profit as a percentage of Total Income) 2012 2013