1. IDMP/DMCSEE
FOLLOW-UP
TOPICS
From ideas to proposal
4th Workshop
Integrated Drought Management
Programme in Central and Eastern Europe
Bucharest, Romania, April 19-22, 2015
dr. Andreja Sušnik
Meteorological Office
Drought management center for SEE Europe
andreja.susnik@gov.si

2. IDMP follow-up & joint efforts with DMCSEE
Widden the pool
Main topics
Discussion and ideas
1st round of discussion

3. DMCSEE course
of activities
2013-2015

4. Widden the pool
4th DMCSEE International Steering Committee
meeting and 3rd Global Water Partnership
IDMP-CEE workshop,
Hungary, Budapest, 2 – 4 October 2014

5. Document (project topics) launched by GWP & DMCSEE –
February 2015 (deadline for comments, suggestions until
31st March 2015).
o IDMP GWP CEE partners & DMCSEE steering committee
(including ad hoc working group) were invited to
participate;
o Project consultant funded by GWP;
o Content: results of IDMP CEE with the goal to increase the
capacity of CEE to adapt to climatic variability by
enhancing resilience to drought;
o Outcomes of DMCSEE projects & operational work.
4 major thematic areas were proposed:
o DROUGHT MONITORING
o UPGRADING DROUGHT RISK ASSESSMENT (DROUGHT RISK
ATLAS FOR CEE/SEE)
o DROUGHT COST ASSESSMENT
o DROUGHT MANAGEMENT
DISSEMINATION
Project topics/ideas
5

6. 3rd PRG comments & suggestions:
o IDMP CEE Activities: Lot of work is half-way, but very valuable
and can easily be lost. Follow-up is urgently required.
o Development pro-active Drought Management Plan in an
integrated land and water management framework, incl.
WFD RBMPs
o Thinking in a two temporal scales modes
- Operational mode (ongoing (multiple-year) drought, next
year drought)
- Strategic mode (far future drought, prepared for global
change).
o Corner stones activities (10 steps of drought DMP)
o How to write winning proposal? (again steps),
consortium, core group/coordinator, guidelines…
IDMP wrap up for follow-up
6

7. Let‘s
check our
draft
concept!

8. IDMP follow-up & joint efforts with DMCSEE
Widden the pool
Main topics
Discussion and ideas
1st round of discussion

9. Description:
o Development of products for improved drought monitoring end early warning
system (operational mode?) in CEE and SEE – connection to DMCSEE and EDO
platforms. All types of drought monitoring!
o Focus on REMOTE SENSING (Eumetsat – Land monitoring services,
Copernicus, higher spatial/temporal resolution).
o IDMP CEE: demonstration project 5.5 (agricultural drought) & follow up ideas
Implementation in follow-up project:
o State-of-the-art analysis (CEE /SEE RS monitoring, case studies).
o Promote new RS products (experimental fields/verification).
o Analysis of existing RS methodologies in the region (case studies).
o Combining various approaches (RS, field measurements, crop simulation
models) to estimate vegetation drought status.
o Recommendations for operational use of RS in drought monitoring in the region.
Thematic area 1: Drought
monitoring („working title“)
9

11. Situation of Combined Drought Indicator in Europe - 3rd ten-day period of March 2015

12. EDO key points/next steps
o EDO is implemented as a multi-scale distributed system based on
interoperable map servers.
o Core indicators are implemented at all scales. They are
complemented by regionally relevant indicators.
o Continuous stakeholder involvement ensures both sound results
and the acceptance of the system.
EDO next Steps:
o Increase the number of indicators at European level.
o Enlarge the number of interoperable observatories.
o Improve medium to long-range forecasting
o Hazard & risk analysis (incl. CC scenarios)

13. Description:
o Civil Protection Mechanism, EC decision (No. 1313/2013/EU) requires from
the Member States (in Article 6) to prepare RISK ASSESSMENTS on
national and sub national levels ( by the end of 2015); update every three
years.
o Obligation of each government to prepare the disaster risk assessment. List of
disasters are left to decision of the member states (next reporting cycle – end
of 2018).
Implementation in follow-up project (outcomes):
o State-of–the-art analysis.
o Promotion of the same approach - drought risk assessment according to ECs
Risk Assessment and Mapping Guidelines for Disaster Management (3 steps
approach: risk identification - risk analysis – risk evaluation).
o Cooperation with “Civil protection” - responsible for preparation of the “risk
assessment plans” in countries.
Thematic area 2: Upgrading
drought risk assessment
13

14. Regional multisectoral drought impacts
In past decades the drought-related damages in
the region of South-Eastern Europe (SEE) have
had large impact on the economy and welfare,
mainly reflected in destroyed crops and
devastaded farmland, disturbed water-supply,
hydroenergy, transport, ….
Vir: Tuzla – problemi sa
vodoopskrbo. Sutra, 2011
Last DMCSEE projects
mainly focused on
agriculture, limited in
forestry.

15. From droughts to floods in SEE
World Bank. 2015.
SEE Regular Economic Report
Obrenovac, Serbia
Obrenovac, Serbia

16. Description:
o Developing Drought Risk Atlas for SEE and CEE.
o While this process can take up to 3 years (example from USA) it is envisaged
to first choose “pilot areas” where foundations for such an atlas will be
developed.
o Drought Risk Atlas as a web-based tool that provides visualizations of historic
drought data for specific locations.
Implementation in the follow-up project (outcomes):
o Selection of a pilot areas.
o Selections of drought indices.
o Climate change projections.
Thematic area 2.1: Drought risk
atlas for CEE/SEE
16

17. Including climate change
projections(EEA, 2012)
Mean relative changes in water-
limited crop yield simulated by
the ClimateCrop model for
the 2050s compared with
1961–1990 for 12 different
climate models projections
under the A1B emission
scenario.

18. Description:
o Classification of the costs related to droughts; fixed, direct and indirect,
non-market.
o Comparison in different pilot areas, development of common
methodology.
o Cost of mitigation and climate change adaptation costs.
Implementation in the follow-up project (outcomes):
o Methodology for assessment of the drought costs will be developed (or
test already developed methodology – CONHAZ project).
o Innovative financial instruments for drought risk management (insurance)
o Few pilot areas within partners’ countries will be selected where
methodology will be tested.
o Cooperation with “economists”.
o Common platform for financial instruments.
Thematic area 3: Drought cost
assesment
18

19. How to manage water suficit/deficit?

20. Description:
o Some of the information about the current status for CEE countries can be
taken for example from the two IDMP CEE outputs – Review of the
current status (act. 1.2) and the Guidelines for preparation of the
Drought Management Plan according to the WFD (act. 2.1)
Implementation in the follow-up project:
o Proposed scheme would be adjusted for the region CEE&SEE.
o Partners within the project/activity will update the scheme according to their
current status.
o Policy recommendations for improvement of the current drought
management within each country will be prepared and presented to the
decision-makers (on a regional and national level).
Thematic area 4: Drought
management
20

21. Where to include drought
management?
o The integrated water resources management is advocated in EU WFD, and
number of policies however the implementation of that approach is missing;
o to propose management options (decision support for suppliers and
authorities).

22. …based on identified weaknesses
Guidelines for DMP
o To launch the initiatives focused on harmonization of methods used
for development of the main elements of DMP:
o assessment of historical drought events,
o drought indicator system in connection with drought
monitoring,
o thresholds for classification of drought stages,
o early warning system.
o To develop guidelines for the weakest elements of planning
process:
o risk assessment (single and multiply risks assessment)
o climate change assessment
o To initiate demonstration projects focused on quantitative water
management issues (e.g. e-flows, water accounts)

23. http://www.droughtmanagement.info/
Activity 7.1: Developing a
Compendium of good
practices
10 Countries that form GWP Central and
Eastern Europe (CEE) – 7 steps???

24. Description:
o New approaches how to get to the end users; how to transfer the
knowledge, experiences, products not only to research institutes, ministries,
etc. but to the stakeholders which can use the products (farmers, insurance
companies, water managers, public authorities, …).
o From experiences in IDMP CEE - still a lot to do also in terms of raising
awareness about drought conditions in the region (IDMP Helpdesk)
Implementation in the follow-up project:
o Raising awareness campaigns (involving national TVs, radios, social media)
o Journalist workshop
o Decision makers workshop (WMO, FAO?)
o Specialized seminars for end users (e.g. farmers), open days
o Organize a field visit to an already working project
o Social media campaign
o Toolbox for children
Thematic area (1-4):
Dissemination – end users
24

25. Dissemination
platforms
http://www.gwp.org/en/GWP-CEE/IDMPCEE/

26. www.dmcsee.org

27.  Hot spot - short summary, short
insight of possible circumstances of
drought at the time of issue.
 Additional and auxiliary information
(such as methodology used, more
detailed information on water
balance or temperature situation)
 Report on impacts (more about
agricultural drought impacts is
missing!)
 Outlook
Drought Bulletin for
SE Europe (mission
of DMCSEE adhoc
group)

29. Instructions for
better drought
management and
drought policy

30. IDMP follow-up & joint efforts with DMCSEE
Widden the pool
Main topics
Discussion and ideas (work in groups)
1st round of discussion

31. Partners
proposals
31

32. 1. Monitoring : Early drought warning in Europe/SEE (drought & floods)
o active countries participation in existing platforms (global, regional – EDO,
DMCSEE), exchange information inside/outside the countries;
o making best use of existing structures and water management instruments
(River Basin and Flood Risk Management Plans, Drought and water scarcity)
o further research requirements – e.g. remote sensing, drought forecast...
2. Drought risk assessment
2.1 Drought Atlas (SE Europe)!!
3. Drought costs
o Economic costs of drought /adaptation
o Financial instruments.
Ideas for discussion – working in
4 groups
32

33. Ideas for discussion
4. Drought management as a part of national legislation (national commitments)
o Europe/WFD/EU policy, UNCCD/NAP/RAP, Danube strategy;
o Joint understanding (i.e. on scenarios and related impacts) and shared
knowledge base is essential for joint decision making (flood & drought
management synergies);
o Socio-economic developments should be included;
o How to reach political commitment? Support of WMO, UNCCD, FAO,….
Common projects/calls
o GWP/IDMP, EUMETSAT, Danube, ARIMNET, Interreg, Horizon 2020, LIFE+;
o secondment of staff (WMO support),
o training schools (G-WADI, DMCSEE).
Public awareness and stakeholders cooperation
o drought news/information sharing/campaigns;
o networks/publications .

35. From project idea…
Do you have a great project idea based on a demand
from the community and it fits into the thematic areas of
project calls?
35http://www.migration4development.org/docs/planning_and_design_process.jpg
IDMP/CEE
follow-up
project
proposal