Fourth IDMP CEE workshop: 3rd PRG Reporting by Janusz Kindler & Henny A.J. van Lanen

1. www.gwpcee.org
3rd PRG Reporting
Janusz Kindler & Henny A.J. van Lanen

2. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20152/17 www.gwpcee.org
3rd PRG Report (planned)
Contents:
- General observations
(whole IDMP CEE project lifetime)
- Brief assessment Activities
(Oct 2014 – March 2015)
- PRG Assessment reports (Annex)

3. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20153/17 www.gwpcee.org
PRG assessment procedure
Milestone 1
report
Output
report 2
Milestone 2
report
Output
report 1
Activity
Milestone 3
report
Output
report 3
Milestone/
Output
Progress
report 1
Milestone/
Output
Progress
report 2
Milestone/
Output
Progress
report 3
Final Activity
report
(FAR)
PRGAssessment
brief
brief
comprehensive comprehensive
Assess-
ment
reports

4. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20154/17 www.gwpcee.org
General observations
Where are we at the end? (responsibility of IDMP CEE consortium):
 many written comprehensive Milestone / Output reports
 scientific / professional content: varying
 language; none-native speakers
 restricted referencing; some refer to old literature
from the region and do not relate to recent literature
 not all focus on drought, but have a wider perspective
 some duplication; not always consistent

5. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20155/17 www.gwpcee.org
General observations
IDMP CEE Activities (responsibility GWP):
very ambitious and limited in budget
rather short lifetime (1.5 – 2 yr)
supply-driven (“what can we offer”) rather than balanced between
demand (“what does CEE need”) and supply. Priorities of countries
were only considered to a certain extend

6. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20156/17 www.gwpcee.org
General observations
IDMP CEE Activities (responsibility GWP cont’d):
not consistent in terms of Milestones (steps toward final product)
and Outputs (IDMP programme structure)
last Output did not cover/synthesize the whole activity (was not
planned)
very limited interaction across activities (cross-cutting needs to be
organized and planned)

7. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20157/17 www.gwpcee.org
General observations
IDMP CEE Activities (responsibility GWP cont’d):
 Lot of work is half-way, but very valuable and can easily be lost.
Follow-up is urgently required
 Dissemination plan is not well described; is it beyond the lifetime
of the project? Follow-up needed.
 Good start was consultation of CEE countries (Inception Report).
How do we close circle (back to countries)? Follow-up

8. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20158/17 www.gwpcee.org
FOLLOW-UP - IDMP CEE
ACTIVITIES clustered
5.1 Agricultural practices (incl. increase WHC)
5.2 Impacts on Forest ecosystems
5.3 Natural small water retention measures
1.3 Drought Information Platform
5.4 Risk Management, Decision support system
5.5 Remote sensing agricultural drought
monitoring
5.6 Upgrading agricultural drought monitoring
and forecasting
1.3 Guidelines for DM Plans, NCDs
7.1 Compendium Good Practices
1.1 International Cooperation beyond CEE
7.2 Capacity building / Awareness rising
ROLE of your Activity in whole?
 Which step out of 7 steps
Guidelines DMP (Act. 2.1)?
 Operational or strategic mode?
 What do you address:
- Monitoring, Early Warning
- forecasting / prediction
- impacts, incl. threshold
- vulnerability
- measures
- management
- risk management

9. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20159/17 www.gwpcee.org
Seven steps Drought Management
1. Develop a drought policy and establish a
Drought Committee
2. Define objectives of drought risk-based
management policy
3. Data inventory for the development the
Drought Management Plan
4. Produce/update the Drought Management
Plan
- Define content of Drought Management
Plan
- Characterise and evaluate historical
drought events
- Establish indicators and thresholds for
drought classification
- Establish drought early warning system
- Develop a programme of measures
- Establish organizational framework for
production, implementation and updating
of Drought Management Plan
- Identify gaps and uncertainties
5. Publicize Drought Management Plan for
public involvement
6. Develop scientific/research programme
7. Develop educational programmes
Act. 2.1: Fatulova et al. 2015
CORNER STONES:
 Activity 2.1: Guidelines for Drought Management
 Activity 7.1: Good practice Compendium

10. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201510/17 www.gwpcee.org
Seven steps Drought Management
1. Develop a drought policy and establish a
Drought Committee
2. Define objectives of drought risk-based
management policy
3. Data inventory for the development the
Drought Management Plan
4. Produce/update the Drought Management
Plan
- Define content of Drought Management
Plan
- Characterise and evaluate historical
drought events
- Establish indicators and thresholds for
drought classification
- Establish drought early warning system
- Develop a programme of measures
- Establish organizational framework for
production, implementation and updating
of Drought Management Plan
- Identify gaps and uncertainties
5. Publicize Drought Management Plan for
public involvement
6. Develop scientific/research programme
7. Develop educational programmes
Act. 2.1: Fatulova et al. 2015
Where fits your Activity in?

11. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201511/17 www.gwpcee.org
Drought management, monitoring
and early warning
Current
situation
- Soil moisture
- Groundwater
- Surface water
- Impacted sectors
n-day
weather
forecast
- e.g. ECMWF
- National
Hydrometeo
Services
- ...
Hydrological
Modeling
- Soil moisture
- Groundwater
- Surface water
Impact
Modeling
- Agricultural
- Energy
- Ecosystem services
- Navigation
- ....
Potential short-term
measures
National Drought Committee
- Water managers
- Stakeholders
- Policy makers
Outlook
- Snow stock
- Reservoir storage
- Time of year
- ......
DSS (incl. risk management

12. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201512/17 www.gwpcee.org
Drought management, monitoring
and early warning
Current
situation
- Soil moisture
- Groundwater
- Surface water
- Impacted sectors
n-day
weather
forecast
- e.g. ECMWF
- National
Hydrometeo
Services
- ...
Hydrological
Modeling
- Soil moisture
- Groundwater
- Surface water
Impact
Modeling
- Agricultural
- Energy
- Ecosystem services
- Navigation
- ....
Potential short-term
measures
National Drought Committee
- Water managers
- Stakeholders
- Policy makers
Outlook
- Snow stock
- Reservoir storage
- Time of year
- ......
Priority ranking sectors
(prior to drought)
DSS (incl. risk management

13. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201513/17 www.gwpcee.org
Drought management, monitoring
and early warning
Current
situation
- Soil moisture
- Groundwater
- Surface water
- Impacted sectors
n-day
weather
forecast
- e.g. ECMWF
- National
Hydrometeo
Services
- ...
Hydrological
Modeling
- Soil moisture
- Groundwater
- Surface water
Impact
Modeling
- Agricultural
- Energy
- Ecosystem services
- Navigation
- ....
Potential short-term
measures
National Drought Committee
- Water managers
- Stakeholders
- Policy makers
Outlook
- Snow stock
- Reservoir storage
- Time of year
- ......
DSS (incl. risk management
ACTIVITIES (where?):
1.3 Drought data exchange Platform
5.2 Assessment of drought impact on
forests
5.4 Drought Risk Management Scheme: a
decision support system
5.5 Policy oriented study on remote
sensing agricultural drought
monitoring methods
5.6 Upgrading agricultural drought
monitoring and forecasting: the case of
Ukraine and Moldova

14. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201514/17 www.gwpcee.org
Putting IDMP CEE Activities
in a context
AMBITION: development pro-active Drought Management Plan in an
integrated land and water management framework, incl. WFD RBMPs
Two temporal scales
 Operational mode (ongoing (multiple-year) drought, next year drought)
 Strategic mode (far future drought, prepared for global change)

15. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201515/17 www.gwpcee.org
Drought management,
long-term planning
Current
situation
- Soil moisture
- Groundwater
- Surface water
- Impacted sectors
n-day
weather
forecast
- e.g. ECMWF
- National
Hydrometeo
Services
- ...
Hydrological
Modeling
- Soil moisture
- Groundwater
- Surface water
Impact
Modeling
- Agricultural
- Energy
- Ecosystem services
- Navigation
- ....
Potential long-term
measures
National Drought Committee
- Water managers
- Stakeholders
- Policy makers
Outlook
- Snow stock
- Reservoir storage
- Time of year
- ......
Climate
projections
Possible futures
Current water
infrastructure
- Demographic
developments
- RCPs
DSS (incl. risk management

16. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201516/17 www.gwpcee.org
Drought management,
long-term planning
Current
situation
- Soil moisture
- Groundwater
- Surface water
- Impacted sectors
n-day
weather
forecast
- e.g. ECMWF
- National
Hydrometeo
Services
- ...
Hydrological
Modeling
- Soil moisture
- Groundwater
- Surface water
Impact
Modeling
- Agricultural
- Energy
- Ecosystem services
- Navigation
- ....
Potential long-term
measures
National Drought Committee
- Water managers
- Stakeholders
- Policy makers
Outlook
- Snow stock
- Reservoir storage
- Time of year
- ......
Climate
projections
Possible futures
Current water
infrastructure
- Demographic
developments
- RCPs
DSS (incl. risk management
ACTIVITIES (where?):
5.1 Drought management by agricultural
practices and measures-increasing soil
water holding capacity
5.2 Assessment of drought impact on
forests
5.3 Natural small water retention
measures
5.4 Drought Risk Management Scheme: a
decision support system
5.6 Precipitation harvesting and practices
for moisture conservation

17. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201517/17 www.gwpcee.org
Seven steps Drought Management
1. Develop a drought policy and establish a
Drought Committee
2. Define objectives of drought risk-based
management policy
3. Data inventory for the development the
Drought Management Plan
4. Produce/update the Drought Management
Plan
- Define content of Drought Management
Plan
- Characterise and evaluate historical
drought events
- Establish indicators and thresholds for
drought classification
- Establish drought early warning system
- Develop a programme of measures
- Establish organizational framework for
production, implementation and updating
of Drought Management Plan
- Identify gaps and uncertainties
5. Publicize Drought Management Plan for
public involvement
6. Develop scientific/research programme
7. Develop educational programmes Act. 2.1: Fatulova et al. 2015