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1. International Country Risk Guide
The world of country and political risk assessment has changed significantly over the last decade, with a plethora of views
and approaches that can often obfuscate clear and balanced investment analyses. Since its beginning in the early 1980s as
International Reports, a widely respected weekly newsletter on international finance and economics, the International Country
Risk Guide (ICRG) has provided hedge funds, risk managers, and traders with data and insights vital to their exposures and
longer-term positions in developed and emerging markets.
Each Issue of ICRG Includes:
• Country analyses focusing on key events affecting
political, financial and economic risk, and 27 statistical
tables on GDP growth, inflation, the current account,
external debt, liquidity, and exchange rate stability.
• Country risk assessments that account for the occurrence
of Type-2 errors by posing alternative risk scores over
one- and five-year time horizons.
• Overviews of political and country risk trends affecting
each of the regions covered (Asia, Africa, Americas,
Middle East, Eastern Europe, and Western Europe), and
commentary on the changes to the country ratings for the
month.
• Global Maps of Political Risk giving a visual of key risks,
by region and by country.
ICRG Risk Data Series:
• Dates to the early 1980s, and incorporates over 40 risk
metrics affecting political, financial, and economic risk for
140 countries, which is compiled into a composite risk
score and overall country rating.
• Has been back-tested by academics and IMF
researchers, and found to have correlations with future
equity returns globally, sovereign spreads, bank lending
volume, and IMF program implementation, among other
items.*
• Has been used to determine the effectiveness of
capital controls in a range of emerging markets, explain
manufacturing productivity trends in Asia, and illuminate
the effect of financial-sector reform on bank performance
in selected Middle Eastern and North African countries.*
About the Editor:
Christopher McKee, PhD, is a former faculty member at the
University of British Columbia, and has worked in the country
risk and financing field in the private and government sectors
for almost two decades. Christopher is the author of a range
of publications dealing with issues affecting international
business and risk, has lived and worked in a number of
emerging market regions, including Latin America, South
East Asia and North Africa, and has been interviewed or
quoted by such publications as LatinFinance, Institutional
Investor,Euromoney, Reuters, CIO, and has appeared on
CNBC.
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* For a citation see www.prsgroup.com