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SAP IBP USE CASE SCENERIOS
Presenter: Ayan Bishnu
2
WHAT IS BEING COVERED
Pain Areas Addressed with IBP (High Level).
IBP Landscape Architecture (High Level).
XYZ Inc Use Case Scenario for IBP Demand Planning.
ABC Group Use Case Scenario for IBP Demand.
ABC Group Use Case Scenario for IBP Inventory.
Wrap Up.
AREAS ADDRESSED WITH IBP ( A HAWK EYE VIEW )
Operational Validation Demand Validation
Demand and Supply Review S&OP Meeting
IBP PLANNING ARCHITECTURE
Use of IBP for demand (demand sensing) with APO (DP and SNP)
XYZ INC IMPLEMENTATION
THE CHALLENGE
Highly Manual & Time
consuming Process
Financial Planning not
integrated in S&OP
Inefficient data
visualization
THE SOLUTION
SAP IBP solution implementation
leveraging supply optimizer
Integrated with SAP APO, SAP
BI, COPA systems
THE BENEFIT
Excel Based User
Interface
Effective KPI
tracking
Integrated with
multiple stakeholders
Quick what-if
Analysis
XYZ INC DEMAND PLANNING FLOW
Step1:
Gather &
cleanse
historic data
Run or schedule the
statistical forecasting
job for background
processing
Solve potential
issues or
inconsistencies
within the
forecast and
overwrite the
created values
manually if
needed
Use the Demand
Plan that is
generated in SAP
APO DP for further
processing
in APO SNP
Load historic sales
data and use SAP
BW functionality &
to correct outliers or
substitute missing
values
Define the way the
forecast should be
calculated,
parameters,
algorithms, etc.
Step2:
Simulate &
select forecast
models
Step3:
Run mid / long
term
forecasting
Step4:
Review alerts
& adjust
forecast
Step5:
Reuse forecast
for other
process
XYZ INC PAIN AREAS IN DEMAND PLANNING
Step1:
Gather &
cleanse historic
data
Step2:
Simulate &
select forecast
models
Step3:
Run mid / long
term
forecasting
Step4:
Review alerts &
adjust forecast
Step5:
Reuse forecast
for other
process
1) Multiple data sources.
2) Issue with Integration.
3) Data Accuracy.
1) No S&OP process in APO.
2) Limited Disaggregation capabilities.
3) Limited WHAT IF simulations.
1) Limited alert based actions.
2) Manual adjustments based on gut fill.
3) Demand Sensing not available in APO.
LOADING HISTORICAL DATA
Step2:
Simulate &
select forecast
models
Load historic sales information
(e.g. Confirmed QTY, Delivered QTY,
etc) via the HANA Cloud Integration
(HCI)
Load historic sales information
(e.g. Sales Orders, Confirmed QTY,
Delivered QRY, etc) via the WebUI
Step1:
Gather &
cleanse historic
data
1) Multiple data sources.
2) Issue with Integration.
3) Data Accuracy.
CLEANSING HISTORICAL DATA
Step2:
Simulate &
select forecast
models
Step3:
Run mid / long
term
forecasting
Step4:
Review alerts &
adjust forecast
Interactive charts provides better
visualization to users for the
changes done in the historical data.
Excel based UI provides better
flexibility to planners to perform
data cleansing
Step1:
Gather &
cleanse historic
data
1) Multiple data sources.
2) Issue with Integration.
3) Data Accuracy.
SAP Integrated Business Planning for sales and operations
 Create the optimal business plan
to drive revenue growth and
increase market share
 Effectively balance demand and
supply and attain financial targets
 Increase speed and agility of
planning and drive most profitable
responses
 Improve forecast accuracy and on-
time delivery across all levels
Deliver a cross departmental sales and
operations plan balancing the impact on
inventory, service levels and profitability
Step2:
Simulate &
select forecast
models
1) No S&OP process in APO.
2) Limited Disaggregation capabilities.
3) Limited WHAT IF simulations.
WHAT-IF SCENARIO MODELING
• Tactically review monthly supply imbalances at a facility and conduct gap
closure
• New forward warehouse and assess cost/margin impacts
• New products and associated prospective customer demand, with cost and
revenue impacts
• New customer and associated demand to support revenue scenarios
• Alternative cost and pricing inputs
• Compare multiple scenarios
Step2:
Simulate &
select forecast
models
1) No S&OP process in APO.
2) Limited Disaggregation capabilities.
3) Limited WHAT IF simulations.
BETTER FORECASTING METHODS
Features
Demand sensing algorithms (short term
forecasting)
Statistical Methods (mid- / long-term forecasting)
 Pre-Processing algorithms
 Time series algorithms
 Regression based methods
Integration with ERP and APO
Exception management
Fiori Apps and Excel as a planning front-end
Data model: Key figures and attributes
Key figure calculations
Aggregation/Disaggregation rules
User management and authorizations
Pre-Processing algorithms:
 Substitute missing values
 Outlier correction with interquartile range test and variance
test
Time series algorithms:
 Simple moving average
 Weighted moving average
 Single exponential smoothing
 Double exponential smoothing
 Triple exponential smoothing
 Automated triple exponential smoothing with parameter
optimization
 1st order exponential smoothing with adaptive alpha
 Croston’s method for intermittent demand
Combination of these algorithms
(similar to composite forecasting in APO)
or
Pick the best
Regression based algorithms:
 Multiple linear regression (MLR)
More flexibility & options in terms of Statistical
forecasting & regression
based methods
MANAGING FORECAST MODELS
RUNNING FORECASTING IN EXCEL
IBP SUPPLY CHAIN CONTROL TOWER
Supply Chain Monitoring
Enable supply chain professionals to
navigate, analyze and profitably manage
the end-to-end supply chain in real-time
Integrated Business Planning (IBP)
•
•
Increase end-to-end visibility
Increase on-time delivery performance to
customer
Increased forecast accuracy. More
accurate sales evolution reporting
•
• Increase supply chain agility and reduce
supply chain cost
User Experience
IBP for sales & operations
IBP for demand IBP for supply IBP for inventory
IBP for response
SAP HANA Platform
Supply Chain Control Tower
Step4:
Review alerts &
adjust forecast
1) Limited alert based actions.
2) Manual adjustments based on gut fill.
3) Demand Sensing not available in APO.
ADVANCED ALERT MANAGEMENT
• Alerts that were raised for statistical
forecasts can be monitored via the
Monitor or Alerts app. Those are
dependent on the user’s or company’s
alert definition and thresholds.
• Based on alerts, from concerned
departments, the mid-to long-term
demand forecast can then be manually
adjusted via the SAP IBP add-in for
Microsoft Excel.
• The outcome is a consensus demand
plan that acts as the final mid-to long-
term demand forecast, as agreed
between the different departments.
Step4:
Review alerts &
adjust forecast
1) Limited alert based actions.
2) Manual adjustments based on gut fill.
3) Demand Sensing not available in APO.
DEMAND SENSING FOR OPTIMAL BLENDS & BETTER PREDICTION
Weekly Adjustments
Open Order data
correlation
corrections Output
Optimal blend by lag patterns
Bias Tracking
Controls
Intelligent forecast
consumption logic
Optimal weighting
and pattern
recognition
Daily Disaggregation
Daily outputs for execution
systems
Aggregated weekly or
monthly values for
planning and reporting
Bias and variability
calculations
•
Forecast patterns
•
Shipment patterns
•
Demand Signal
data patterns
Step4:
Review alerts &
adjust forecast
1) Limited alert based actions.
2) Manual adjustments based on gut fill.
3) Demand Sensing not available in APO.
DEMAND SENSING USING EXCEL
Navigation for demand Sensing Issues
from the Fiori Launchpad
ABC GROUP - PROTOTYPE DRIVEN ENGAGEMENT
OBJECTIVE
Evaluation: Transition from
SAP APO to SAP IBP
Integrated with SAP APO
(transition phase),
SAP BPC, SAP ECC
ENVISIONED SOLUTION
SAP IBP solution
implementation leveraging
IBP Demand, Response &
Supply, Supply Chain Control
Tower
SOLUTION BENEFITS
Tight integration
between logistical and
financial planning
Increased
collaboration and
progress tracking
Ability to balance
demand supply in a
user friendly way
Enable greater
planning flexibility:
Rapid scenario
analysis
ABC GROUP DEMAND PLANNING FLOW
Step1:
Gather &
cleanse
historic data
Run or schedule the
statistical forecasting
job for background
processing
Solve potential
issues or
inconsistencies
within the
forecast and
overwrite the
created values
manually if
needed
Use the Demand
Plan that is
generated in SAP
APO DP for further
processing
in APO SNP
Load historic sales
data and use SAP
BW functionality &
to correct outliers or
substitute missing
values
Define the way the
forecast should be
calculated,
parameters,
algorithms, etc.
Step2:
Simulate &
select forecast
models
Step3:
Run mid / long
term
forecasting
Step4:
Review alerts
& adjust
forecast
Step5:
Reuse forecast
for other
process
APTERGROUP PAIN AREAS IN DEMAND PLANNING
Step1:
Gather &
cleanse historic
data
Step2:
Simulate &
select forecast
models
Step3:
Run mid / long
term
forecasting
Step4:
Review alerts &
adjust forecast
Step5:
Reuse forecast
for other
process
1) Multiple data sources.
2) Issue with Integration.
3) Data Accuracy.
1) No S&OP process in APO.
2) Limited Disaggregation capabilities.
3) Limited WHAT IF simulations.
1) Limited alert based actions.
2) Manual adjustments based on gut fill.
3) Demand Sensing not available in APO.
ABC GROUP PRESENT SUPPLY PROCESS FLOW
Step1:
Inputs / PIR
from Demand
module
• Update Resource
Capacity
• Update other
constraints for
optimization
• Identify Resource
overloads
• Identify other
constraints
thresholds
• Solve
potential
issues or
overloads
within the
generated
plan.
• manual
Planner
Intervention
for
correction.
• Use the agreed
supply plan that
is generated in
SAP APO SNP
for further
processing in
APO Deployment
/ TLB.
• Forecasted
demand from
Demand
Planning
• Target inventory
requirements
(Master data)
• On hand
inventory
including stocks
in transit
• Execute net
demand planning
• Unconstrained
production plan.
Step2:
Net Demand
Planning
(Unconstrained
Plan)
Step3:
Capacity
leveling /
Optimization
Step4:
Review alerts
& adjust supply
plan
Step5:
Reuse supply
plan for other
process
ABC GROUP PAIN AREAS IN SUPPLY PLANNING
Step1:
Inputs /
PIR from
Demand
module
Step2:
Net
Demand
Planning
(Unconstra
ined Plan)
Step3:
Capacity
leveling /
Optimization
Step4:
Review alerts &
adjust supply
plan
Step5:
Reuse supply
plan for other
process
1) High or uncontrolled inventory levels.
2) Inadequate customer service levels or inventory
availability.
3) Multiple planning and inventory target setting
processes.
1) How often can we plan production?
2) Do we have to order in specific batch sizes?
3) Are supplies commonly on time, early, or late?
4) What are the bottlenecks ?
Already addressed in IBP
Demand Planning
Already addressed in IBP
SCCT
SAP IBP FOR INVENTORY OPTIMIZATION
Optimize inventory targets to
increase service levels, considering
supply chain uncertainties
• Improve customer service levels
• Maximize the efficiency of inventory
and working capital
• Standardize planning processes for
inventory targets
• Improve planner productivity (planning
time reduced by 2 days)
• Reduce production and distribution
costs (approx. 2.6 %**)
Achieving the right balance
between inventory and service
levels
Step2:
Net Demand
Planning
(Unconstrai
ned Plan)
1) High or uncontrolled inventory levels.
2) Inadequate customer service levels or inventory availability.
3) Multiple planning and inventory target setting processes.
INTEGRATED INVENTORY KPI DASHBOARD
Step2:
Net Demand
Planning
(Unconstrai
ned Plan)
1) High or uncontrolled inventory levels.
2) Inadequate customer service levels or inventory availability.
3) Multiple planning and inventory target setting processes.
INVENTORY BUILT UP SCENERIO
Build inventory
0
As we are already throttling
at 100% capacity is not
possible to build inventory
1
Setting inventory targets
based on available capacity2
DEMO
SCENARIO
Step2:
Net Demand
Planning
(Unconstrai
ned Plan)
1) High or uncontrolled inventory levels.
2) Inadequate customer service levels or inventory availability.
3) Multiple planning and inventory target setting processes.
SUPPLY SHORTAGE SCENERIO
• Business Event: Demand Loss or Production/Capacity Reduction
Production loss leading to
drop in fulfilment
1
Production loss of 300 TPD
0
DEMO
SCENARIO
SAP IBP FOR SUPPLY OPTIMIZATION
Create advanced supply planning
simulations for S&OP based on
forecasts, orders, and inventory or
safety stock targets
• Simulate either constrained or
unconstrained production and
distribution plans, using heuristics or
optimization based algorithms
• Multi level sourcing determination for
both distribution and Bills of Material
• Development of rough cut capacity
plan in a times series bucketed
supply plan
• Simulation capabilities for scenario
planning
Step3:
Capacity
leveling /
Optimization
1) How often can we plan production?
2) Do we have to order in specific batch sizes?
3) Are supplies commonly on time, early, or late?
4) What are the bottlenecks ?
PRODUCTION / RESOURCE VIEW
• Analyze Production Goods Receipt and Issue in Daily Buckets
• Ability to Review Resource Capacities and Consumption
WAREHOUSE VIEW
• Analyze Warehouse Goods Issue and Receipt along with Inventory Targets and
Projections
SOURCING VIEW
• Ability to Track Sources Among Locations and Between Customer and Locations
Step3:
Capacity
leveling /
Optimization
1) How often can we plan production?
2) Do we have to order in specific batch sizes?
3) Are supplies commonly on time, early, or late?
4) What are the bottlenecks ?
OPTIMIZER COST VIEW
• Ability to build ahead only runner items as there is more certainty of demand
Step3:
Capacity
leveling /
Optimization
1) How often can we plan production?
2) Do we have to order in specific batch sizes?
3) Are supplies commonly on time, early, or late?
4) What are the bottlenecks ?
IBP SUPPLY CHAIN CONTROL TOWER
Supply Chain Monitoring
Enable supply chain professionals to
navigate, analyze and profitably manage
the end-to-end supply chain in real-time
Integrated Business Planning (IBP)
•
•
Increase end-to-end visibility
Increase on-time delivery performance to
customer
Decrease overall inventory levels while
reducing risk
•
• Increase supply chain agility and reduce
supply chain cost
User Experience
IBP for sales & operations
IBP for demand IBP for supply IBP for inventory
IBP for response
SAP HANA Platform
Supply Chain Control Tower
Step4:
Review
alerts &
adjust
supply plan
1) No end-to-end visibility
2) No on-time delivery performance
3) High inventory levels
ADVANCED ALERT MANAGEMENT
• Alerts that were raised for stock outage or low stock can be monitored
via the Monitor or Alerts app. Those are dependent on the user’s or
company’s alert definition and thresholds.
• Based on alerts, from concerned departments, the mid-to long-term plan
can then be adjusted via the SAP IBP add-in for Microsoft Excel.
• The outcome is a moderately constrained supply plan that takes into
consideration, overall S&OP, inventory policies at all level of the supply
chain.
IBP PLANNING OUTCOME
IBP will be used in parallel with existing APO solution
APO Responsibilities IBP Responsibilities
Customer sourcing optimization
Demand and supply planning
including order generation
Production scheduling and
deployment planning
Integration with ECC
S&OP support tool, facilitate
execution and data visualization
What-if scenario modeling,
including revenue and cost
analysis
Aggregate product line supply
planning
Tenets for parallel solutions:
Supply optimization results in IBP must be as closely aligned to APO SNP
optimization results as possible:
Relative cost structure for optimization must be aligned
Master data for supply chain network must be aligned
IBP JOURNEY – OVERALL IMPRESSIONS
• User interface – both Excel and Web UI easier to learn than
other traditional SAP applications
• Merging supply chain, commercial and financial information
can be challenging
• Business needs to agree on fundamentals of how the data
aligns between each group
• Level of detail required by all groups needs to be considered
up front to ensure proper design and configuration
IBP JOURNEY – OVERALL IMPRESSIONS
• Data integration always takes extra time and refinement
• Data modeling differences between IBP and APO to
overcome
• Some learning curve with aggregating/disaggregating
planning views
within
• Data management can be underestimated –
•
•
Need to consider full lifecycle of data in the design
IBP is really both a planning tool and a reporting/analytics
tool all in one
IBP JOURNEY – EARLY SUCCESSES
• Excessive downtime issue was discovered and corrected within minutes in
IBP. This allowed business to move forward in addressing capacity questions
and building a scenario.
Able to make quick changes to demand and see impact to supply which has
saved hours of work for the Demand Planner.
Completed several what-if analysis scenarios which provided very realistic
output on impact to gross profit and results shared in Executive review
process.
Provided decision support on a project factoring in things like a new
location, new demand, and sourcing changes.
As proficiency continues to build expect to do scenarios and gross
profit/margin analysis much more efficiently than in the past.
•
•
•
•
•
24
“All in all we are feeling pretty excited about what we will be
able to accomplish.” {Operational Planning Manager in XYZ INC}
CLOSING
Questions ?

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SAP IBP Use Case Scenarios for Demand and Inventory Planning

  • 1. SAP IBP USE CASE SCENERIOS Presenter: Ayan Bishnu
  • 2. 2 WHAT IS BEING COVERED Pain Areas Addressed with IBP (High Level). IBP Landscape Architecture (High Level). XYZ Inc Use Case Scenario for IBP Demand Planning. ABC Group Use Case Scenario for IBP Demand. ABC Group Use Case Scenario for IBP Inventory. Wrap Up.
  • 3. AREAS ADDRESSED WITH IBP ( A HAWK EYE VIEW ) Operational Validation Demand Validation Demand and Supply Review S&OP Meeting
  • 4. IBP PLANNING ARCHITECTURE Use of IBP for demand (demand sensing) with APO (DP and SNP)
  • 5. XYZ INC IMPLEMENTATION THE CHALLENGE Highly Manual & Time consuming Process Financial Planning not integrated in S&OP Inefficient data visualization THE SOLUTION SAP IBP solution implementation leveraging supply optimizer Integrated with SAP APO, SAP BI, COPA systems THE BENEFIT Excel Based User Interface Effective KPI tracking Integrated with multiple stakeholders Quick what-if Analysis
  • 6. XYZ INC DEMAND PLANNING FLOW Step1: Gather & cleanse historic data Run or schedule the statistical forecasting job for background processing Solve potential issues or inconsistencies within the forecast and overwrite the created values manually if needed Use the Demand Plan that is generated in SAP APO DP for further processing in APO SNP Load historic sales data and use SAP BW functionality & to correct outliers or substitute missing values Define the way the forecast should be calculated, parameters, algorithms, etc. Step2: Simulate & select forecast models Step3: Run mid / long term forecasting Step4: Review alerts & adjust forecast Step5: Reuse forecast for other process
  • 7. XYZ INC PAIN AREAS IN DEMAND PLANNING Step1: Gather & cleanse historic data Step2: Simulate & select forecast models Step3: Run mid / long term forecasting Step4: Review alerts & adjust forecast Step5: Reuse forecast for other process 1) Multiple data sources. 2) Issue with Integration. 3) Data Accuracy. 1) No S&OP process in APO. 2) Limited Disaggregation capabilities. 3) Limited WHAT IF simulations. 1) Limited alert based actions. 2) Manual adjustments based on gut fill. 3) Demand Sensing not available in APO.
  • 8. LOADING HISTORICAL DATA Step2: Simulate & select forecast models Load historic sales information (e.g. Confirmed QTY, Delivered QTY, etc) via the HANA Cloud Integration (HCI) Load historic sales information (e.g. Sales Orders, Confirmed QTY, Delivered QRY, etc) via the WebUI Step1: Gather & cleanse historic data 1) Multiple data sources. 2) Issue with Integration. 3) Data Accuracy.
  • 9. CLEANSING HISTORICAL DATA Step2: Simulate & select forecast models Step3: Run mid / long term forecasting Step4: Review alerts & adjust forecast Interactive charts provides better visualization to users for the changes done in the historical data. Excel based UI provides better flexibility to planners to perform data cleansing Step1: Gather & cleanse historic data 1) Multiple data sources. 2) Issue with Integration. 3) Data Accuracy.
  • 10. SAP Integrated Business Planning for sales and operations  Create the optimal business plan to drive revenue growth and increase market share  Effectively balance demand and supply and attain financial targets  Increase speed and agility of planning and drive most profitable responses  Improve forecast accuracy and on- time delivery across all levels Deliver a cross departmental sales and operations plan balancing the impact on inventory, service levels and profitability Step2: Simulate & select forecast models 1) No S&OP process in APO. 2) Limited Disaggregation capabilities. 3) Limited WHAT IF simulations.
  • 11. WHAT-IF SCENARIO MODELING • Tactically review monthly supply imbalances at a facility and conduct gap closure • New forward warehouse and assess cost/margin impacts • New products and associated prospective customer demand, with cost and revenue impacts • New customer and associated demand to support revenue scenarios • Alternative cost and pricing inputs • Compare multiple scenarios Step2: Simulate & select forecast models 1) No S&OP process in APO. 2) Limited Disaggregation capabilities. 3) Limited WHAT IF simulations.
  • 12. BETTER FORECASTING METHODS Features Demand sensing algorithms (short term forecasting) Statistical Methods (mid- / long-term forecasting)  Pre-Processing algorithms  Time series algorithms  Regression based methods Integration with ERP and APO Exception management Fiori Apps and Excel as a planning front-end Data model: Key figures and attributes Key figure calculations Aggregation/Disaggregation rules User management and authorizations Pre-Processing algorithms:  Substitute missing values  Outlier correction with interquartile range test and variance test Time series algorithms:  Simple moving average  Weighted moving average  Single exponential smoothing  Double exponential smoothing  Triple exponential smoothing  Automated triple exponential smoothing with parameter optimization  1st order exponential smoothing with adaptive alpha  Croston’s method for intermittent demand Combination of these algorithms (similar to composite forecasting in APO) or Pick the best Regression based algorithms:  Multiple linear regression (MLR) More flexibility & options in terms of Statistical forecasting & regression based methods
  • 15. IBP SUPPLY CHAIN CONTROL TOWER Supply Chain Monitoring Enable supply chain professionals to navigate, analyze and profitably manage the end-to-end supply chain in real-time Integrated Business Planning (IBP) • • Increase end-to-end visibility Increase on-time delivery performance to customer Increased forecast accuracy. More accurate sales evolution reporting • • Increase supply chain agility and reduce supply chain cost User Experience IBP for sales & operations IBP for demand IBP for supply IBP for inventory IBP for response SAP HANA Platform Supply Chain Control Tower Step4: Review alerts & adjust forecast 1) Limited alert based actions. 2) Manual adjustments based on gut fill. 3) Demand Sensing not available in APO.
  • 16. ADVANCED ALERT MANAGEMENT • Alerts that were raised for statistical forecasts can be monitored via the Monitor or Alerts app. Those are dependent on the user’s or company’s alert definition and thresholds. • Based on alerts, from concerned departments, the mid-to long-term demand forecast can then be manually adjusted via the SAP IBP add-in for Microsoft Excel. • The outcome is a consensus demand plan that acts as the final mid-to long- term demand forecast, as agreed between the different departments. Step4: Review alerts & adjust forecast 1) Limited alert based actions. 2) Manual adjustments based on gut fill. 3) Demand Sensing not available in APO.
  • 17. DEMAND SENSING FOR OPTIMAL BLENDS & BETTER PREDICTION Weekly Adjustments Open Order data correlation corrections Output Optimal blend by lag patterns Bias Tracking Controls Intelligent forecast consumption logic Optimal weighting and pattern recognition Daily Disaggregation Daily outputs for execution systems Aggregated weekly or monthly values for planning and reporting Bias and variability calculations • Forecast patterns • Shipment patterns • Demand Signal data patterns Step4: Review alerts & adjust forecast 1) Limited alert based actions. 2) Manual adjustments based on gut fill. 3) Demand Sensing not available in APO.
  • 18. DEMAND SENSING USING EXCEL Navigation for demand Sensing Issues from the Fiori Launchpad
  • 19. ABC GROUP - PROTOTYPE DRIVEN ENGAGEMENT OBJECTIVE Evaluation: Transition from SAP APO to SAP IBP Integrated with SAP APO (transition phase), SAP BPC, SAP ECC ENVISIONED SOLUTION SAP IBP solution implementation leveraging IBP Demand, Response & Supply, Supply Chain Control Tower SOLUTION BENEFITS Tight integration between logistical and financial planning Increased collaboration and progress tracking Ability to balance demand supply in a user friendly way Enable greater planning flexibility: Rapid scenario analysis
  • 20. ABC GROUP DEMAND PLANNING FLOW Step1: Gather & cleanse historic data Run or schedule the statistical forecasting job for background processing Solve potential issues or inconsistencies within the forecast and overwrite the created values manually if needed Use the Demand Plan that is generated in SAP APO DP for further processing in APO SNP Load historic sales data and use SAP BW functionality & to correct outliers or substitute missing values Define the way the forecast should be calculated, parameters, algorithms, etc. Step2: Simulate & select forecast models Step3: Run mid / long term forecasting Step4: Review alerts & adjust forecast Step5: Reuse forecast for other process
  • 21. APTERGROUP PAIN AREAS IN DEMAND PLANNING Step1: Gather & cleanse historic data Step2: Simulate & select forecast models Step3: Run mid / long term forecasting Step4: Review alerts & adjust forecast Step5: Reuse forecast for other process 1) Multiple data sources. 2) Issue with Integration. 3) Data Accuracy. 1) No S&OP process in APO. 2) Limited Disaggregation capabilities. 3) Limited WHAT IF simulations. 1) Limited alert based actions. 2) Manual adjustments based on gut fill. 3) Demand Sensing not available in APO.
  • 22. ABC GROUP PRESENT SUPPLY PROCESS FLOW Step1: Inputs / PIR from Demand module • Update Resource Capacity • Update other constraints for optimization • Identify Resource overloads • Identify other constraints thresholds • Solve potential issues or overloads within the generated plan. • manual Planner Intervention for correction. • Use the agreed supply plan that is generated in SAP APO SNP for further processing in APO Deployment / TLB. • Forecasted demand from Demand Planning • Target inventory requirements (Master data) • On hand inventory including stocks in transit • Execute net demand planning • Unconstrained production plan. Step2: Net Demand Planning (Unconstrained Plan) Step3: Capacity leveling / Optimization Step4: Review alerts & adjust supply plan Step5: Reuse supply plan for other process
  • 23. ABC GROUP PAIN AREAS IN SUPPLY PLANNING Step1: Inputs / PIR from Demand module Step2: Net Demand Planning (Unconstra ined Plan) Step3: Capacity leveling / Optimization Step4: Review alerts & adjust supply plan Step5: Reuse supply plan for other process 1) High or uncontrolled inventory levels. 2) Inadequate customer service levels or inventory availability. 3) Multiple planning and inventory target setting processes. 1) How often can we plan production? 2) Do we have to order in specific batch sizes? 3) Are supplies commonly on time, early, or late? 4) What are the bottlenecks ? Already addressed in IBP Demand Planning Already addressed in IBP SCCT
  • 24. SAP IBP FOR INVENTORY OPTIMIZATION Optimize inventory targets to increase service levels, considering supply chain uncertainties • Improve customer service levels • Maximize the efficiency of inventory and working capital • Standardize planning processes for inventory targets • Improve planner productivity (planning time reduced by 2 days) • Reduce production and distribution costs (approx. 2.6 %**) Achieving the right balance between inventory and service levels Step2: Net Demand Planning (Unconstrai ned Plan) 1) High or uncontrolled inventory levels. 2) Inadequate customer service levels or inventory availability. 3) Multiple planning and inventory target setting processes.
  • 25. INTEGRATED INVENTORY KPI DASHBOARD Step2: Net Demand Planning (Unconstrai ned Plan) 1) High or uncontrolled inventory levels. 2) Inadequate customer service levels or inventory availability. 3) Multiple planning and inventory target setting processes.
  • 26. INVENTORY BUILT UP SCENERIO Build inventory 0 As we are already throttling at 100% capacity is not possible to build inventory 1 Setting inventory targets based on available capacity2 DEMO SCENARIO Step2: Net Demand Planning (Unconstrai ned Plan) 1) High or uncontrolled inventory levels. 2) Inadequate customer service levels or inventory availability. 3) Multiple planning and inventory target setting processes.
  • 27. SUPPLY SHORTAGE SCENERIO • Business Event: Demand Loss or Production/Capacity Reduction Production loss leading to drop in fulfilment 1 Production loss of 300 TPD 0 DEMO SCENARIO
  • 28. SAP IBP FOR SUPPLY OPTIMIZATION Create advanced supply planning simulations for S&OP based on forecasts, orders, and inventory or safety stock targets • Simulate either constrained or unconstrained production and distribution plans, using heuristics or optimization based algorithms • Multi level sourcing determination for both distribution and Bills of Material • Development of rough cut capacity plan in a times series bucketed supply plan • Simulation capabilities for scenario planning Step3: Capacity leveling / Optimization 1) How often can we plan production? 2) Do we have to order in specific batch sizes? 3) Are supplies commonly on time, early, or late? 4) What are the bottlenecks ?
  • 29. PRODUCTION / RESOURCE VIEW • Analyze Production Goods Receipt and Issue in Daily Buckets • Ability to Review Resource Capacities and Consumption
  • 30. WAREHOUSE VIEW • Analyze Warehouse Goods Issue and Receipt along with Inventory Targets and Projections
  • 31. SOURCING VIEW • Ability to Track Sources Among Locations and Between Customer and Locations Step3: Capacity leveling / Optimization 1) How often can we plan production? 2) Do we have to order in specific batch sizes? 3) Are supplies commonly on time, early, or late? 4) What are the bottlenecks ?
  • 32. OPTIMIZER COST VIEW • Ability to build ahead only runner items as there is more certainty of demand Step3: Capacity leveling / Optimization 1) How often can we plan production? 2) Do we have to order in specific batch sizes? 3) Are supplies commonly on time, early, or late? 4) What are the bottlenecks ?
  • 33. IBP SUPPLY CHAIN CONTROL TOWER Supply Chain Monitoring Enable supply chain professionals to navigate, analyze and profitably manage the end-to-end supply chain in real-time Integrated Business Planning (IBP) • • Increase end-to-end visibility Increase on-time delivery performance to customer Decrease overall inventory levels while reducing risk • • Increase supply chain agility and reduce supply chain cost User Experience IBP for sales & operations IBP for demand IBP for supply IBP for inventory IBP for response SAP HANA Platform Supply Chain Control Tower Step4: Review alerts & adjust supply plan 1) No end-to-end visibility 2) No on-time delivery performance 3) High inventory levels
  • 34. ADVANCED ALERT MANAGEMENT • Alerts that were raised for stock outage or low stock can be monitored via the Monitor or Alerts app. Those are dependent on the user’s or company’s alert definition and thresholds. • Based on alerts, from concerned departments, the mid-to long-term plan can then be adjusted via the SAP IBP add-in for Microsoft Excel. • The outcome is a moderately constrained supply plan that takes into consideration, overall S&OP, inventory policies at all level of the supply chain.
  • 35. IBP PLANNING OUTCOME IBP will be used in parallel with existing APO solution APO Responsibilities IBP Responsibilities Customer sourcing optimization Demand and supply planning including order generation Production scheduling and deployment planning Integration with ECC S&OP support tool, facilitate execution and data visualization What-if scenario modeling, including revenue and cost analysis Aggregate product line supply planning Tenets for parallel solutions: Supply optimization results in IBP must be as closely aligned to APO SNP optimization results as possible: Relative cost structure for optimization must be aligned Master data for supply chain network must be aligned
  • 36. IBP JOURNEY – OVERALL IMPRESSIONS • User interface – both Excel and Web UI easier to learn than other traditional SAP applications • Merging supply chain, commercial and financial information can be challenging • Business needs to agree on fundamentals of how the data aligns between each group • Level of detail required by all groups needs to be considered up front to ensure proper design and configuration
  • 37. IBP JOURNEY – OVERALL IMPRESSIONS • Data integration always takes extra time and refinement • Data modeling differences between IBP and APO to overcome • Some learning curve with aggregating/disaggregating planning views within • Data management can be underestimated – • • Need to consider full lifecycle of data in the design IBP is really both a planning tool and a reporting/analytics tool all in one
  • 38. IBP JOURNEY – EARLY SUCCESSES • Excessive downtime issue was discovered and corrected within minutes in IBP. This allowed business to move forward in addressing capacity questions and building a scenario. Able to make quick changes to demand and see impact to supply which has saved hours of work for the Demand Planner. Completed several what-if analysis scenarios which provided very realistic output on impact to gross profit and results shared in Executive review process. Provided decision support on a project factoring in things like a new location, new demand, and sourcing changes. As proficiency continues to build expect to do scenarios and gross profit/margin analysis much more efficiently than in the past. • • • • • 24 “All in all we are feeling pretty excited about what we will be able to accomplish.” {Operational Planning Manager in XYZ INC}