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Assessing the Feasibility of Impact-
Based Forecasting For Seasonal
Influxes of Sargassum Seaweed on
the Coastlines of Caribbean Small
Island Developing States
Grahame Niles
Remote Sensing and GIS Specialist
Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and
Hydrology
2 4 / 1 0 / 2 0 1 9
(SAR for Sargassum)
Agenda
 Introduction
 The Sargassum Threat
 Trending Sargassum Early Warning Methodologies
 The CIMH Proposal
 Preliminary Research Results
 Next Steps
 Research Challenges
 Summary
Introduction
 WMO Regional Training Centre
 Centre for Research in Meteorology, Hydrology and
Climatology
 Regional Data Centre
 Regional Instruments Centre
 Regional Centre of Excellence in Satellite Meteorology
 Advisor to regional governments
The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology
Introduction
“… to assist in improving and developing Meteorological and Hydrological
Services as well as providing the awareness of the benefits of Meteorology
and Hydrology for the economic well-being of the CIMH member states.
This is achieved through training, research, investigations and the
provision of related specialized services and advice”.
The Sargassum Threat
 Floating masses of
algae
 Term (Sargassum)
originally coined by
Portuguese Sailors
 Commonly associated
with the Sargasso Sea
where it is found in
abundance
(Image Source: WWW, 2018)i
 A marine ecosystem
 Reproduction haven and home to smaller species
 Nursing habitat for larger fish species
What is Sargassum?
The Sargassum Threat
Source: (University of South Florida, 2019)
 Since 2011, SIDS of the Caribbean have seen an
increasing abundance of Sargassum
The Sargassum Threat
Source: NASA, EARTH Observatory, 2019
 In excess of 20 million metric tonnes reported in June of
2018.
(Wang et.al., 2019)1
The Sargassum Threat
(Image Source: WWW, 2018)iii
(Image Source: WWW, 2015)iv
 In overly abundant
masses, Sargassum
will impact marine life:
 Entangle
(suffocate) wild-life
 Block beach
nesting sites
 Transport invasive
species
 Damage coral reef
habitats
The Sargassum Threat
(Image source: WWW, 2019)v
(Image Source: WWW, 2018)vi
 In overly abundant masses it
will also:
 Impact fisheries and
tourism:
 Damage boat motors
 Delay/prevent fishing
launches
 Impact coastal
environments
 Possible respiratory
ailments
 Hydrogen Sulphide
(decomposed)
 Erodes beaches in clean
up effort
Trending Early Warning
Methodologies
 Optical Satellite data often used for detection
 Example – Landsat, VIIRS, MODIS
 Modelling of ocean currents (direction and speeds) for landfall
prediction
Examples
 Sargassum Watch System (SaWs)
 Developed by University of Florida (Optical Oceanography
Laboratory)
 Produces monthly Sargassum impact forecast bulletins
 Sargassum Early Advisory System (SEAS)
 Developed by Texas A&M University Galveston
The CIMH Research Proposal
The CIMH Research Proposal
Detect Seaweed
Estimate
volume/mass
Model direction
and speed
Predict beaching
location and
timing
Quantify
potential
impacts?
Can the chain be extended to include quantification of impacts?
The CIMH Research Proposal
Why SAR?
Optical Imagery is typically used for Sargassum Detection
Landsat OLI and TIRS Detected Image (Bands red (655 nm),
green (655 nm) and near-infrared (865 nm))
 Optical sensors rely
on energy in the
visible to the infrared
portion of the
electromagnetic
wave spectrum
 Clouds reflect
shorter wavelengths
in this range of the
spectrum
 Optical sensors
cannot penetrate
clouds and some
may rely on sunlight
to detect objects
Source: (NASA, 2018)vii
The CIMH Research Proposal
Why SAR?
SAR for Sargassum Detection and Early Warning
Sentinel 1 detected image (processed from SLC image July 16, 2018)
 SAR pulses penetrate cloud masses
 SAR sensors are also uninhibited by darkness
 Surface wind (direction and speed) data can be derived from SAR
Source: (ESA, 2018)viii
Preliminary Research Results
Detection Process for SAR Images
Preprocess
SLC to GRD
Radiometrically Calibrate Speckle Filtering
 Speckle is
reduced
 Creates square
pixels
 Loses phase
info
 Retains
magnitude info
(ESA, 2019)3
 Create Sigma Nought (𝛔0)
bands – Strength of
backscatter energy (db)
per unit ground area
 Supports quantitative
analysis of SAR image
 Makes corrections for
inherent variations within
components of the radar
equation – a form of
normalization
(Sarmap, 2009)4
 Further
removal of
speckle
 Easier to
interpret
features in
the image
Preliminary Research Results
Sentinel 1 SLC image (June 4, 2018)
RGB Composite (Sigma_0 VH, Sigma_0 VV, Sigma_0 VV/ Sigma_0 VH)
Detection Process for SAR Images
Source: (ESA, 2019)ix
Preliminary Research Results
Classification Process
Segment Mean Shift Analysis Generate Signature Files Supervised Classification
 Creates segmented
regions across the
pixels, thus
simplifying the image
 Useful for separating
pixels which
represent different
objects despite
having similar values
 Makes classification
step easier to
accomplish
 Take training
samples from
segmented regions
 Statistically
significant samples
only!
 Use samples to
train various
classification
algorithms and
create signature
files
 Use signature files
to test various
classification
routines
 Compare results
Preliminary Research Results
Classification Example
Source: (ESA, 2019)ix
Source: (ESA, 2019)ix
Next Steps
Modelling Movements
Source: (ESA, 2019)x
Surface wind direction as derived from Sentinel 1 OCN
product
(Meteorological Convention)
 Research on
techniques for surface
wind (speed and
direction) from SAR is
underway
 These variables can
serve as input to
existing ocean current
modelling
approaches.
Next Steps
Source: (ESA, 2019)x
Roadmap to Operational Detection and Early Warning
Refine Classification Routine
Automate Detection Routine
(Python?, R?, Machine
Learning?)
Integrate seaweed movement
modelling
(landfall prediction research is
ongoing)
Develop and integrate impacts
model
(Quantification of impacts from
landfall)
Research Challenges
Source: (ESA, 2019)x
 We need more data!
 Spatially and temporally compatible optical imagery
needed for positive verification
 Alterative SAR data sources required for improved
detection and tracking efforts
 Freely available repositories are often missing images
for critical location and time stamps
 Satellite tasking services are prohibitively expensive
 Sargassum mats are sometimes difficult to detect under
rough sea conditions
Summary
Source: (ESA, 2019)x
We don’t intend to reinvent the wheel but only to see where
SAR can add value:
 Detection
 Tracking and prediction of movement
 We intend to take the research question a step further by
quantifying Sargassum impacts after forecasting landfall.
 More data please!!!!
 Spatially and temporally consistent data are required
for verification
 Alternative SAR and optical data sources are required
for effective detection and tracking to account for gaps
in repeat cycles
Questions??
Source: (ESA, 2019)x
Email: gniles@cimh.edu.bb
Web: www.cimh.edu.bb
Facebook: www.facebook.com/CIMHbb
Twitter: @CIMHbb
YouTube: www.youtube.com/user/CIMHTV
References
Source: (ESA, 2019)x
1. Wang, M., Hu, C., Barnes, B., Mitchum, G., Lapointe, B. and Montoya,
J. (2019). The great Atlantic Sargassum belt. Science, 365(6448), pp.83-
87.
2. Nation Publishing Co. Limited (2019). Sargassum a big threat to
Caribbean economies. [online] Available at:
https://www.nationnews.com/nationnews/news/240606/sargassum-
threat-caribbean-economies [Accessed 16 Jul. 2019].
3. European Space Agency (2019). Ground Range Detected - Sentinel-1
SAR Technical Guide - Sentinel Online. [online] Available at:
https://sentinel.esa.int/web/sentinel/technical-guides/sentinel-1-
sar/products-algorithms/level-1-algorithms/ground-range-detected
[Accessed 16 Jul. 2019].
4. Sarmap. (2019). [ebook] SAR-Guidebook, pg 88 - pg 94. Available at:
http://www.sarmap.ch/pdf/SAR-Guidebook.pdf [Accessed 16 Jul.
2019].
References
Source: (ESA, 2019)x
Images and Data
i. The South Carolina Department of Natural Resources
(2018). Sargassum. [image] Available at:
https://oceanexplorer.noaa.gov/facts/sargassum.html [Accessed 16
Jul. 2019].
ii. NASA/Earth Observatory (2019). Image/Map illustrating Sargassum
biomass density within the "Great Atlantic Sargassum Belt". Image
was generated with Data provided by Mengqiu Wang and Chuanmin
Hu, USF College of Marine Science.. [image] Available at:
https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2019/nasa-satellites-find-
biggest-seaweed-bloom-in-the-world [Accessed 16 Jul. 2019].
iii. Hakai Magazine (2018). [image] Available at:
https://www.hakaimagazine.com/news/the-eastern-caribbean-is-
swamped-by-a-surge-of-seaweed/ [Accessed 16 Jul. 2019].
References
Source: (ESA, 2019)x
iv. Daniel, C. (2015). Sea Turtle Drowned due to Sargassum Seaweed in
Barbados.. [image] Available at:
http://pearlfmradio.sx/2015/07/07/nature-foundation-warns-of-
increased-influx-of-sargasso-seaweed-in-the-coming-weeks-concerned-
with-the-effects-on-nesting-sea-turtle-populations/ [Accessed 16 Jul.
2019].
v. Caribbean Regional Fisheries Mechanism (2019). Sargassum inundation.
[image] Available at:
http://crfm.int/~uwohxjxf/index.php?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task
=tag&tag=iuu%20fishing&Itemid=189http://crfm.int/~uwohxjxf/images/S
argassum_inundation_--
_seen_here_in_Saint_Vincent_and_the_Grenadines_--
_continues_to_affect_countries_across_the_Caribbean.jpg [Accessed 16
Jul. 2019].
vi. Barbados Sea Turtle Project (2018). This year sargassum is again
washing up on Caribbean shores. [image] Available at:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-45044513 [Accessed 16
Jul. 2019].
References
Source: (ESA, 2019)x
vii. NASA (2018). Data - (Landsat OLI and TIRS). [image] Available at:
https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov/ [Accessed 16 Jul. 2019].
viii. European Space Agency (ESA) (2018). Data – (Sentinel 1). [image]
Available at: https://scihub.copernicus.eu/dhus/#/home [Accessed 16 Jul.
2019].
ix. European Space Agency (ESA) (2018). Data - Sentinel 1. [image]
Available at: https://scihub.copernicus.eu/dhus/#/home [Accessed 16 Jul.
2019].
x. European Space Agency (ESA) (2019). Data - Sentinel 1. [image]
Available at: https://scihub.copernicus.eu/dhus/#/home [Accessed 16 Jul.
2019].

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Grahame Niles Assessing the Feasibility of Impact-Based Forecasting For Seasonal Influxes of Sargassum Seaweehe Coastlines of Caribbean Small Island Developing Statesd on t

  • 1. Assessing the Feasibility of Impact- Based Forecasting For Seasonal Influxes of Sargassum Seaweed on the Coastlines of Caribbean Small Island Developing States Grahame Niles Remote Sensing and GIS Specialist Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology 2 4 / 1 0 / 2 0 1 9 (SAR for Sargassum)
  • 2. Agenda  Introduction  The Sargassum Threat  Trending Sargassum Early Warning Methodologies  The CIMH Proposal  Preliminary Research Results  Next Steps  Research Challenges  Summary
  • 3. Introduction  WMO Regional Training Centre  Centre for Research in Meteorology, Hydrology and Climatology  Regional Data Centre  Regional Instruments Centre  Regional Centre of Excellence in Satellite Meteorology  Advisor to regional governments The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology
  • 4. Introduction “… to assist in improving and developing Meteorological and Hydrological Services as well as providing the awareness of the benefits of Meteorology and Hydrology for the economic well-being of the CIMH member states. This is achieved through training, research, investigations and the provision of related specialized services and advice”.
  • 5. The Sargassum Threat  Floating masses of algae  Term (Sargassum) originally coined by Portuguese Sailors  Commonly associated with the Sargasso Sea where it is found in abundance (Image Source: WWW, 2018)i  A marine ecosystem  Reproduction haven and home to smaller species  Nursing habitat for larger fish species What is Sargassum?
  • 6. The Sargassum Threat Source: (University of South Florida, 2019)  Since 2011, SIDS of the Caribbean have seen an increasing abundance of Sargassum
  • 7. The Sargassum Threat Source: NASA, EARTH Observatory, 2019  In excess of 20 million metric tonnes reported in June of 2018. (Wang et.al., 2019)1
  • 8. The Sargassum Threat (Image Source: WWW, 2018)iii (Image Source: WWW, 2015)iv  In overly abundant masses, Sargassum will impact marine life:  Entangle (suffocate) wild-life  Block beach nesting sites  Transport invasive species  Damage coral reef habitats
  • 9. The Sargassum Threat (Image source: WWW, 2019)v (Image Source: WWW, 2018)vi  In overly abundant masses it will also:  Impact fisheries and tourism:  Damage boat motors  Delay/prevent fishing launches  Impact coastal environments  Possible respiratory ailments  Hydrogen Sulphide (decomposed)  Erodes beaches in clean up effort
  • 10. Trending Early Warning Methodologies  Optical Satellite data often used for detection  Example – Landsat, VIIRS, MODIS  Modelling of ocean currents (direction and speeds) for landfall prediction Examples  Sargassum Watch System (SaWs)  Developed by University of Florida (Optical Oceanography Laboratory)  Produces monthly Sargassum impact forecast bulletins  Sargassum Early Advisory System (SEAS)  Developed by Texas A&M University Galveston
  • 11. The CIMH Research Proposal
  • 12. The CIMH Research Proposal Detect Seaweed Estimate volume/mass Model direction and speed Predict beaching location and timing Quantify potential impacts? Can the chain be extended to include quantification of impacts?
  • 13. The CIMH Research Proposal Why SAR? Optical Imagery is typically used for Sargassum Detection Landsat OLI and TIRS Detected Image (Bands red (655 nm), green (655 nm) and near-infrared (865 nm))  Optical sensors rely on energy in the visible to the infrared portion of the electromagnetic wave spectrum  Clouds reflect shorter wavelengths in this range of the spectrum  Optical sensors cannot penetrate clouds and some may rely on sunlight to detect objects Source: (NASA, 2018)vii
  • 14. The CIMH Research Proposal Why SAR? SAR for Sargassum Detection and Early Warning Sentinel 1 detected image (processed from SLC image July 16, 2018)  SAR pulses penetrate cloud masses  SAR sensors are also uninhibited by darkness  Surface wind (direction and speed) data can be derived from SAR Source: (ESA, 2018)viii
  • 15. Preliminary Research Results Detection Process for SAR Images Preprocess SLC to GRD Radiometrically Calibrate Speckle Filtering  Speckle is reduced  Creates square pixels  Loses phase info  Retains magnitude info (ESA, 2019)3  Create Sigma Nought (𝛔0) bands – Strength of backscatter energy (db) per unit ground area  Supports quantitative analysis of SAR image  Makes corrections for inherent variations within components of the radar equation – a form of normalization (Sarmap, 2009)4  Further removal of speckle  Easier to interpret features in the image
  • 16. Preliminary Research Results Sentinel 1 SLC image (June 4, 2018) RGB Composite (Sigma_0 VH, Sigma_0 VV, Sigma_0 VV/ Sigma_0 VH) Detection Process for SAR Images Source: (ESA, 2019)ix
  • 17. Preliminary Research Results Classification Process Segment Mean Shift Analysis Generate Signature Files Supervised Classification  Creates segmented regions across the pixels, thus simplifying the image  Useful for separating pixels which represent different objects despite having similar values  Makes classification step easier to accomplish  Take training samples from segmented regions  Statistically significant samples only!  Use samples to train various classification algorithms and create signature files  Use signature files to test various classification routines  Compare results
  • 18. Preliminary Research Results Classification Example Source: (ESA, 2019)ix Source: (ESA, 2019)ix
  • 19. Next Steps Modelling Movements Source: (ESA, 2019)x Surface wind direction as derived from Sentinel 1 OCN product (Meteorological Convention)  Research on techniques for surface wind (speed and direction) from SAR is underway  These variables can serve as input to existing ocean current modelling approaches.
  • 20. Next Steps Source: (ESA, 2019)x Roadmap to Operational Detection and Early Warning Refine Classification Routine Automate Detection Routine (Python?, R?, Machine Learning?) Integrate seaweed movement modelling (landfall prediction research is ongoing) Develop and integrate impacts model (Quantification of impacts from landfall)
  • 21. Research Challenges Source: (ESA, 2019)x  We need more data!  Spatially and temporally compatible optical imagery needed for positive verification  Alterative SAR data sources required for improved detection and tracking efforts  Freely available repositories are often missing images for critical location and time stamps  Satellite tasking services are prohibitively expensive  Sargassum mats are sometimes difficult to detect under rough sea conditions
  • 22. Summary Source: (ESA, 2019)x We don’t intend to reinvent the wheel but only to see where SAR can add value:  Detection  Tracking and prediction of movement  We intend to take the research question a step further by quantifying Sargassum impacts after forecasting landfall.  More data please!!!!  Spatially and temporally consistent data are required for verification  Alternative SAR and optical data sources are required for effective detection and tracking to account for gaps in repeat cycles
  • 23. Questions?? Source: (ESA, 2019)x Email: gniles@cimh.edu.bb Web: www.cimh.edu.bb Facebook: www.facebook.com/CIMHbb Twitter: @CIMHbb YouTube: www.youtube.com/user/CIMHTV
  • 24. References Source: (ESA, 2019)x 1. Wang, M., Hu, C., Barnes, B., Mitchum, G., Lapointe, B. and Montoya, J. (2019). The great Atlantic Sargassum belt. Science, 365(6448), pp.83- 87. 2. Nation Publishing Co. Limited (2019). Sargassum a big threat to Caribbean economies. [online] Available at: https://www.nationnews.com/nationnews/news/240606/sargassum- threat-caribbean-economies [Accessed 16 Jul. 2019]. 3. European Space Agency (2019). Ground Range Detected - Sentinel-1 SAR Technical Guide - Sentinel Online. [online] Available at: https://sentinel.esa.int/web/sentinel/technical-guides/sentinel-1- sar/products-algorithms/level-1-algorithms/ground-range-detected [Accessed 16 Jul. 2019]. 4. Sarmap. (2019). [ebook] SAR-Guidebook, pg 88 - pg 94. Available at: http://www.sarmap.ch/pdf/SAR-Guidebook.pdf [Accessed 16 Jul. 2019].
  • 25. References Source: (ESA, 2019)x Images and Data i. The South Carolina Department of Natural Resources (2018). Sargassum. [image] Available at: https://oceanexplorer.noaa.gov/facts/sargassum.html [Accessed 16 Jul. 2019]. ii. NASA/Earth Observatory (2019). Image/Map illustrating Sargassum biomass density within the "Great Atlantic Sargassum Belt". Image was generated with Data provided by Mengqiu Wang and Chuanmin Hu, USF College of Marine Science.. [image] Available at: https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2019/nasa-satellites-find- biggest-seaweed-bloom-in-the-world [Accessed 16 Jul. 2019]. iii. Hakai Magazine (2018). [image] Available at: https://www.hakaimagazine.com/news/the-eastern-caribbean-is- swamped-by-a-surge-of-seaweed/ [Accessed 16 Jul. 2019].
  • 26. References Source: (ESA, 2019)x iv. Daniel, C. (2015). Sea Turtle Drowned due to Sargassum Seaweed in Barbados.. [image] Available at: http://pearlfmradio.sx/2015/07/07/nature-foundation-warns-of- increased-influx-of-sargasso-seaweed-in-the-coming-weeks-concerned- with-the-effects-on-nesting-sea-turtle-populations/ [Accessed 16 Jul. 2019]. v. Caribbean Regional Fisheries Mechanism (2019). Sargassum inundation. [image] Available at: http://crfm.int/~uwohxjxf/index.php?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task =tag&tag=iuu%20fishing&Itemid=189http://crfm.int/~uwohxjxf/images/S argassum_inundation_-- _seen_here_in_Saint_Vincent_and_the_Grenadines_-- _continues_to_affect_countries_across_the_Caribbean.jpg [Accessed 16 Jul. 2019]. vi. Barbados Sea Turtle Project (2018). This year sargassum is again washing up on Caribbean shores. [image] Available at: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-45044513 [Accessed 16 Jul. 2019].
  • 27. References Source: (ESA, 2019)x vii. NASA (2018). Data - (Landsat OLI and TIRS). [image] Available at: https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov/ [Accessed 16 Jul. 2019]. viii. European Space Agency (ESA) (2018). Data – (Sentinel 1). [image] Available at: https://scihub.copernicus.eu/dhus/#/home [Accessed 16 Jul. 2019]. ix. European Space Agency (ESA) (2018). Data - Sentinel 1. [image] Available at: https://scihub.copernicus.eu/dhus/#/home [Accessed 16 Jul. 2019]. x. European Space Agency (ESA) (2019). Data - Sentinel 1. [image] Available at: https://scihub.copernicus.eu/dhus/#/home [Accessed 16 Jul. 2019].