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Gold Demand Trends
Second Quarter 2016
11 August 2016
Gold demand reached 2,336t in H1, up 18% YoY
2World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
Record H1 investment – 16% higher than H1 2009
3World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
Demand for ETFs reached 579t, exceeding H1 2009
4World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
Chinese gold ETFs: from US$215mn to over US$1bn
5World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
Sovereign yields fall, investible assets shrink
6World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
Brexit adds to NIRP challenges for central banks
7World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
Note: Sovereign debt from Australia, Canada, Denmark, Euro area (investment grade), Japan, Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kingdom and the
United States. May not equal 100% due to rounding.
APP: Sovereign debt held by the Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, ECB, Bank of England under their respective Asset Purchase Programs (APP)
for monetary policy
Source: Bloomberg, author's calculations, data as of August 9, 2016
Advanced Economy Sovereign Debt
Higher demand from smaller-scale investors
8World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
Gold up 25%: strongest H1 price gain since 1980
9World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
Jewellery consumers have faced a tough 2016 so far
10World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
Indian jewellery demand continues to struggle
11World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
China’s jewellery market evolves to reflect changing
consumer tastes
12World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
Total supply up 10% YoY, led by higher recycling
13World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
Further hedging in response to higher gold prices
14World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
Recycled gold +23% YoY as price climbs further
15World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
Q2 2016 Summary
16
• H1 2016 demand of 2,335t was the second highest H1 on record.
• Gold up 25% in US$: strongest H1 price gain since 1980.
• ETFs inflows of 579t exceeded the previous high of 523t in H1 2009.
• Jewellery demand fell 14% year-on-year, as the higher price weighed on consumers:
- India’s demand declined by 20%, impacted by the gold price, weaker rural incomes and government regulation
- China’s jewellery demand was down 15% to 144t
• H1 central bank demand was 185t, down 23% on H1 2015
• Bar and coin demand grew marginally – led by positive sentiment in Western markets:
- US demand in H1 was 75% higher than in H1 2015
- Europe’s bar and coin demand was broadly stable at 44.7t
- China and India’s weaker in Q2, Japan the star performer among smaller Asian markets
• Total supply up 10%, driven by increased recycling and further hedging.
World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
Disclaimer
17
COPYRIGHT AND OTHER RIGHTS
© 2016 World Gold Council. All rights reserved. World Gold Council and the Circle device are trademarks of the World Gold Council or its affiliates. All references to
LBMA Gold Price are used with the permission of ICE Benchmark Administration Limited and have been provided for informational purposes only. ICE Benchmark
Administration Limited accepts no liability or responsibility for the accuracy of the prices or the underlying product to which the prices may be referenced.
Other third party data and content is the intellectual property of the respective third party and all rights are reserved to them.
Any copying, republication or redistribution of content, to reproduce, distribute or otherwise use the statistics and information in this report including by framing or
similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of the World Gold Council or the appropriate copyright owners except as provided below. The
use of the statistics in this report is permitted for the purposes of review and commentary (including media commentary) in line with fair industry practice, subject to the
following two pre-conditions: (i) only limited extracts of data or analysis be used; and (ii) any and all use of these statistics is accompanied by a clear
acknowledgement of the World Gold Council and, where appropriate, of Thomson Reuters, as their source. Brief extracts from the analysis, commentary and other
World Gold Council material are permitted provided World Gold Council is cited as the source. It is not permitted to reproduce, distribute or otherwise use the whole or
a substantial part of this report or the statistics contained within it. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information in this document, the
World Gold Council does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, completeness or reliability of this information. The World Gold Council does not accept responsibility
for any losses or damages arising directly or indirectly, from the use of this document.
The material contained in this document is provided solely for general information and educational purposes and is not, and should not be construed as, an offer to
buy or sell, or as a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, gold, any gold related products or any other products, securities or investments. Nothing in this document
should be taken as making any recommendations or providing any investment or other advice with respect to the purchase, sale or other disposition of gold, any gold
related products or any other products, securities or investments, including without limitation, any advice to the effect that any gold related transaction is appropriate
for any investment objective or financial situation of a prospective investor. A decision to invest in gold, any gold related products or any other products, securities or
investments should not be made in reliance on any of the statements in this document. Before making any investment decision, prospective investors should seek
advice from their financial advisers, take into account their individual financial needs and circumstances and carefully consider the risks associated with such
investment decision.
Without limiting any of the foregoing, in no event will the World Gold Council or any of its affiliates be liable for any decision made or action taken in reliance on the
information in this document and, in any event, the World Gold Council and its affiliates shall not be liable for any consequential, special, punitive, incidental, indirect or
similar damages arising from, related to or connected with this document, even if notified of the possibility of such damages.
This document contains forward-looking statements. The use of the words “believes,” “expects,” “may,” or “suggests,” or similar terminology, identifies a statement as
“forward-looking.” The forward-looking statements included in this document are based on current expectations that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. These
forward-looking statements are based on the analysis of World Gold Council of the statistics available to it. Assumptions relating to the forward-looking statement
involve judgments with respect to, among other things, future economic, competitive and market conditions all of which are difficult or impossible to predict accurately.
In addition, the demand for gold and the international gold markets are subject to substantial risks which increase the uncertainty inherent in the forward-looking
statements. In light of the significant uncertainties inherent in the forward-looking information included herein, the inclusion of such information should not be regarded
as a representation by the World Gold Council that the forward-looking statements will be achieved. The World Gold Council cautions you not to place undue reliance
on its forward-looking statements. Except in the normal course of our publication cycle, we do not intend to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether
as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, and we assume no responsibility for updating any forward-looking statements.
World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016

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Gold Demand Trends Q2 2016 - Analyst report

  • 1. Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 11 August 2016
  • 2. Gold demand reached 2,336t in H1, up 18% YoY 2World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
  • 3. Record H1 investment – 16% higher than H1 2009 3World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
  • 4. Demand for ETFs reached 579t, exceeding H1 2009 4World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
  • 5. Chinese gold ETFs: from US$215mn to over US$1bn 5World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
  • 6. Sovereign yields fall, investible assets shrink 6World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
  • 7. Brexit adds to NIRP challenges for central banks 7World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016 Note: Sovereign debt from Australia, Canada, Denmark, Euro area (investment grade), Japan, Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kingdom and the United States. May not equal 100% due to rounding. APP: Sovereign debt held by the Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, ECB, Bank of England under their respective Asset Purchase Programs (APP) for monetary policy Source: Bloomberg, author's calculations, data as of August 9, 2016 Advanced Economy Sovereign Debt
  • 8. Higher demand from smaller-scale investors 8World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
  • 9. Gold up 25%: strongest H1 price gain since 1980 9World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
  • 10. Jewellery consumers have faced a tough 2016 so far 10World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
  • 11. Indian jewellery demand continues to struggle 11World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
  • 12. China’s jewellery market evolves to reflect changing consumer tastes 12World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
  • 13. Total supply up 10% YoY, led by higher recycling 13World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
  • 14. Further hedging in response to higher gold prices 14World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
  • 15. Recycled gold +23% YoY as price climbs further 15World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
  • 16. Q2 2016 Summary 16 • H1 2016 demand of 2,335t was the second highest H1 on record. • Gold up 25% in US$: strongest H1 price gain since 1980. • ETFs inflows of 579t exceeded the previous high of 523t in H1 2009. • Jewellery demand fell 14% year-on-year, as the higher price weighed on consumers: - India’s demand declined by 20%, impacted by the gold price, weaker rural incomes and government regulation - China’s jewellery demand was down 15% to 144t • H1 central bank demand was 185t, down 23% on H1 2015 • Bar and coin demand grew marginally – led by positive sentiment in Western markets: - US demand in H1 was 75% higher than in H1 2015 - Europe’s bar and coin demand was broadly stable at 44.7t - China and India’s weaker in Q2, Japan the star performer among smaller Asian markets • Total supply up 10%, driven by increased recycling and further hedging. World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016
  • 17. Disclaimer 17 COPYRIGHT AND OTHER RIGHTS © 2016 World Gold Council. All rights reserved. World Gold Council and the Circle device are trademarks of the World Gold Council or its affiliates. All references to LBMA Gold Price are used with the permission of ICE Benchmark Administration Limited and have been provided for informational purposes only. ICE Benchmark Administration Limited accepts no liability or responsibility for the accuracy of the prices or the underlying product to which the prices may be referenced. Other third party data and content is the intellectual property of the respective third party and all rights are reserved to them. Any copying, republication or redistribution of content, to reproduce, distribute or otherwise use the statistics and information in this report including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of the World Gold Council or the appropriate copyright owners except as provided below. The use of the statistics in this report is permitted for the purposes of review and commentary (including media commentary) in line with fair industry practice, subject to the following two pre-conditions: (i) only limited extracts of data or analysis be used; and (ii) any and all use of these statistics is accompanied by a clear acknowledgement of the World Gold Council and, where appropriate, of Thomson Reuters, as their source. Brief extracts from the analysis, commentary and other World Gold Council material are permitted provided World Gold Council is cited as the source. It is not permitted to reproduce, distribute or otherwise use the whole or a substantial part of this report or the statistics contained within it. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information in this document, the World Gold Council does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, completeness or reliability of this information. The World Gold Council does not accept responsibility for any losses or damages arising directly or indirectly, from the use of this document. The material contained in this document is provided solely for general information and educational purposes and is not, and should not be construed as, an offer to buy or sell, or as a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, gold, any gold related products or any other products, securities or investments. Nothing in this document should be taken as making any recommendations or providing any investment or other advice with respect to the purchase, sale or other disposition of gold, any gold related products or any other products, securities or investments, including without limitation, any advice to the effect that any gold related transaction is appropriate for any investment objective or financial situation of a prospective investor. A decision to invest in gold, any gold related products or any other products, securities or investments should not be made in reliance on any of the statements in this document. Before making any investment decision, prospective investors should seek advice from their financial advisers, take into account their individual financial needs and circumstances and carefully consider the risks associated with such investment decision. Without limiting any of the foregoing, in no event will the World Gold Council or any of its affiliates be liable for any decision made or action taken in reliance on the information in this document and, in any event, the World Gold Council and its affiliates shall not be liable for any consequential, special, punitive, incidental, indirect or similar damages arising from, related to or connected with this document, even if notified of the possibility of such damages. This document contains forward-looking statements. The use of the words “believes,” “expects,” “may,” or “suggests,” or similar terminology, identifies a statement as “forward-looking.” The forward-looking statements included in this document are based on current expectations that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements are based on the analysis of World Gold Council of the statistics available to it. Assumptions relating to the forward-looking statement involve judgments with respect to, among other things, future economic, competitive and market conditions all of which are difficult or impossible to predict accurately. In addition, the demand for gold and the international gold markets are subject to substantial risks which increase the uncertainty inherent in the forward-looking statements. In light of the significant uncertainties inherent in the forward-looking information included herein, the inclusion of such information should not be regarded as a representation by the World Gold Council that the forward-looking statements will be achieved. The World Gold Council cautions you not to place undue reliance on its forward-looking statements. Except in the normal course of our publication cycle, we do not intend to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, and we assume no responsibility for updating any forward-looking statements. World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Second Quarter 2016 | August 2016

Editor's Notes

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