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Gold Demand Trends
Third Quarter 2015
12th November 2015
Agenda
2World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
• Review of Q3 demand
• Review of Q3 supply
• Summary
Q3 2015 Demand
3World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
The price dip buoyed consumer demand
4World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
Sentiment fell in July before picking up in August
5World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
ETF outflows in July; inflows from August to October
6World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
Gold price fell to its lowest level in six years in July
7World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
Bar and coin drove gains in gold demand, +33% YoY
8World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
Heightened price-sensitivity by US consumers
9World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
The price fall gave jewellery a shot in the arm
10World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
Chinese consumers acutely aware of price changes
11World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
Indian jewellery consumers reacted to price dip
12World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
Central banks continue to buy, greater transparency
13World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
Q3 2015 Supply
14World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
Mine production remains on course to plateau
15World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
Reductions in costs slowing
16World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
Summary
17
• Demand rose 8% to 1,121t. The global consumer response to the July price dip was strong
• Bar and coin demand rose by 33% year-on-year to 296t
- China’s bar and coin demand increased 70%. India’s bar and coin demand grew 6%, the first time in four quarters
- US bar and coin demand rose 207%, reaching levels last seen during the financial crisis. European bar and coin
demand increased 35%
• Jewellery demand rose 6% to 632t, an impressive performance in what is a traditionally
quiet time of the year for jewellery
- India’s jewellery demand rose by 15% and China by 4%. Iranian jewellery demand increased 40%, supported by the
price drop and thawing US-Iranian relations
• ETFs saw outflows of 66t.
• Central bank demand continues; 19 consecutive quarters of net purchases
• Total supply was steady at 1,100t; 1% contraction in mine production and 6% fall in
recycling was off-set by an increase in net producer hedging
World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
Disclaimer
18
COPYRIGHT AND OTHER RIGHTS
© 2015 World Gold Council. All rights reserved. World Gold Council and the Circle device are trademarks of the World Gold Council or its affiliates. All references to
LBMA Gold Price are used with the permission of ICE Benchmark Administration Limited and have been provided for informational purposes only. ICE Benchmark
Administration Limited accepts no liability or responsibility for the accuracy of the prices or the underlying product to which the prices may be referenced.
Other third party data and content is the intellectual property of the respective third party and all rights are reserved to them.
Any copying, republication or redistribution of content, to reproduce, distribute or otherwise use the statistics and information in this report including by framing or
similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of the World Gold Council or the appropriate copyright owners except as provided below. The
use of the statistics in this report is permitted for the purposes of review and commentary (including media commentary) in line with fair industry practice, subject to the
following two pre-conditions: (i) only limited extracts of data or analysis be used; and (ii) any and all use of these statistics is accompanied by a clear
acknowledgement of the World Gold Council and, where appropriate, of Thomson Reuters, as their source. Brief extracts from the analysis, commentary and other
World Gold Council material are permitted provided World Gold Council is cited as the source. It is not permitted to reproduce, distribute or otherwise use the whole or
a substantial part of this report or the statistics contained within it. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information in this document, the
World Gold Council does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, completeness or reliability of this information. The World Gold Council does not accept responsibility
for any losses or damages arising directly or indirectly, from the use of this document.
The material contained in this document is provided solely for general information and educational purposes and is not, and should not be construed as, an offer to
buy or sell, or as a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, gold, any gold related products or any other products, securities or investments. Nothing in this document
should be taken as making any recommendations or providing any investment or other advice with respect to the purchase, sale or other disposition of gold, any gold
related products or any other products, securities or investments, including without limitation, any advice to the effect that any gold related transaction is appropriate
for any investment objective or financial situation of a prospective investor. A decision to invest in gold, any gold related products or any other products, securities or
investments should not be made in reliance on any of the statements in this document. Before making any investment decision, prospective investors should seek
advice from their financial advisers, take into account their individual financial needs and circumstances and carefully consider the risks associated with such
investment decision.
Without limiting any of the foregoing, in no event will the World Gold Council or any of its affiliates be liable for any decision made or action taken in reliance on the
information in this document and, in any event, the World Gold Council and its affiliates shall not be liable for any consequential, special, punitive, incidental, indirect or
similar damages arising from, related to or connected with this document, even if notified of the possibility of such damages.
This document contains forward-looking statements. The use of the words “believes,” “expects,” “may,” or “suggests,” or similar terminology, identifies a statement as
“forward-looking.” The forward-looking statements included in this document are based on current expectations that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. These
forward-looking statements are based on the analysis of World Gold Council of the statistics available to it. Assumptions relating to the forward-looking statement
involve judgments with respect to, among other things, future economic, competitive and market conditions all of which are difficult or impossible to predict accurately.
In addition, the demand for gold and the international gold markets are subject to substantial risks which increase the uncertainty inherent in the forward-looking
statements. In light of the significant uncertainties inherent in the forward-looking information included herein, the inclusion of such information should not be regarded
as a representation by the World Gold Council that the forward-looking statements will be achieved. The World Gold Council cautions you not to place undue reliance
on its forward-looking statements. Except in the normal course of our publication cycle, we do not intend to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether
as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, and we assume no responsibility for updating any forward-looking statements.
World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015

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GDT Q3 2015 Analyst Presentation

  • 1. Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 12th November 2015
  • 2. Agenda 2World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015 • Review of Q3 demand • Review of Q3 supply • Summary
  • 3. Q3 2015 Demand 3World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
  • 4. The price dip buoyed consumer demand 4World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
  • 5. Sentiment fell in July before picking up in August 5World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
  • 6. ETF outflows in July; inflows from August to October 6World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
  • 7. Gold price fell to its lowest level in six years in July 7World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
  • 8. Bar and coin drove gains in gold demand, +33% YoY 8World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
  • 9. Heightened price-sensitivity by US consumers 9World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
  • 10. The price fall gave jewellery a shot in the arm 10World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
  • 11. Chinese consumers acutely aware of price changes 11World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
  • 12. Indian jewellery consumers reacted to price dip 12World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
  • 13. Central banks continue to buy, greater transparency 13World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
  • 14. Q3 2015 Supply 14World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
  • 15. Mine production remains on course to plateau 15World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
  • 16. Reductions in costs slowing 16World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
  • 17. Summary 17 • Demand rose 8% to 1,121t. The global consumer response to the July price dip was strong • Bar and coin demand rose by 33% year-on-year to 296t - China’s bar and coin demand increased 70%. India’s bar and coin demand grew 6%, the first time in four quarters - US bar and coin demand rose 207%, reaching levels last seen during the financial crisis. European bar and coin demand increased 35% • Jewellery demand rose 6% to 632t, an impressive performance in what is a traditionally quiet time of the year for jewellery - India’s jewellery demand rose by 15% and China by 4%. Iranian jewellery demand increased 40%, supported by the price drop and thawing US-Iranian relations • ETFs saw outflows of 66t. • Central bank demand continues; 19 consecutive quarters of net purchases • Total supply was steady at 1,100t; 1% contraction in mine production and 6% fall in recycling was off-set by an increase in net producer hedging World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015
  • 18. Disclaimer 18 COPYRIGHT AND OTHER RIGHTS © 2015 World Gold Council. All rights reserved. World Gold Council and the Circle device are trademarks of the World Gold Council or its affiliates. All references to LBMA Gold Price are used with the permission of ICE Benchmark Administration Limited and have been provided for informational purposes only. ICE Benchmark Administration Limited accepts no liability or responsibility for the accuracy of the prices or the underlying product to which the prices may be referenced. Other third party data and content is the intellectual property of the respective third party and all rights are reserved to them. Any copying, republication or redistribution of content, to reproduce, distribute or otherwise use the statistics and information in this report including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of the World Gold Council or the appropriate copyright owners except as provided below. The use of the statistics in this report is permitted for the purposes of review and commentary (including media commentary) in line with fair industry practice, subject to the following two pre-conditions: (i) only limited extracts of data or analysis be used; and (ii) any and all use of these statistics is accompanied by a clear acknowledgement of the World Gold Council and, where appropriate, of Thomson Reuters, as their source. Brief extracts from the analysis, commentary and other World Gold Council material are permitted provided World Gold Council is cited as the source. It is not permitted to reproduce, distribute or otherwise use the whole or a substantial part of this report or the statistics contained within it. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information in this document, the World Gold Council does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, completeness or reliability of this information. The World Gold Council does not accept responsibility for any losses or damages arising directly or indirectly, from the use of this document. The material contained in this document is provided solely for general information and educational purposes and is not, and should not be construed as, an offer to buy or sell, or as a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, gold, any gold related products or any other products, securities or investments. Nothing in this document should be taken as making any recommendations or providing any investment or other advice with respect to the purchase, sale or other disposition of gold, any gold related products or any other products, securities or investments, including without limitation, any advice to the effect that any gold related transaction is appropriate for any investment objective or financial situation of a prospective investor. A decision to invest in gold, any gold related products or any other products, securities or investments should not be made in reliance on any of the statements in this document. Before making any investment decision, prospective investors should seek advice from their financial advisers, take into account their individual financial needs and circumstances and carefully consider the risks associated with such investment decision. Without limiting any of the foregoing, in no event will the World Gold Council or any of its affiliates be liable for any decision made or action taken in reliance on the information in this document and, in any event, the World Gold Council and its affiliates shall not be liable for any consequential, special, punitive, incidental, indirect or similar damages arising from, related to or connected with this document, even if notified of the possibility of such damages. This document contains forward-looking statements. The use of the words “believes,” “expects,” “may,” or “suggests,” or similar terminology, identifies a statement as “forward-looking.” The forward-looking statements included in this document are based on current expectations that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements are based on the analysis of World Gold Council of the statistics available to it. Assumptions relating to the forward-looking statement involve judgments with respect to, among other things, future economic, competitive and market conditions all of which are difficult or impossible to predict accurately. In addition, the demand for gold and the international gold markets are subject to substantial risks which increase the uncertainty inherent in the forward-looking statements. In light of the significant uncertainties inherent in the forward-looking information included herein, the inclusion of such information should not be regarded as a representation by the World Gold Council that the forward-looking statements will be achieved. The World Gold Council cautions you not to place undue reliance on its forward-looking statements. Except in the normal course of our publication cycle, we do not intend to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, and we assume no responsibility for updating any forward-looking statements. World Gold Council | Gold Demand Trends Third Quarter 2015 | September 2015