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2. BULLION:
The gold import curbs implemented by the India Government has helped in containing Current
Account Deficit (CAD) and balance of payments position, according to P Chidambaram, Finance
Minister.
Addressing a function to celebrate the International Customs Day, Chidambaram pointed otu that
the restrictions on gold impoarts may be revisted at the end of the current fiscal.
The CAD in the current fiscal is expected to soften significantly to USD 50 billion. Gold imports,
which had peaked to 162 tonnes in May 2013, declined sharply to 19.3 tonnes in November after
the government hiked import duty thrice in 2013, taking it to 10 per cent.
BASE METAL:
Supply concerns along with weakness in emerging markets are current factors weighing on
commodity prices. This is seen in base metals where stronger supplies amidst a progressing
economy is causing bearish sentiments to prevail In, 2014, however there could be a more
supportive environment for base metals.
Commodities tend to underperform in this part of business cycle when there is low GDP growth
and low interest rates.This coupled with supply overhang means that commodities may continue to
underperform over the next few months.
ENERGY:
Natural gas, the best performing commodity in energy complex so far this year , has risen sharply
due to colder weather in US which raises demand for heating.
US Natural Gas futures rose sharply to $5.4 per MMBTU while MCX Nat Gas futures rose 6.74% to
Rs 340 per MMBTU after hitting a high of Rs 341.70. MCX Natural Gas has exceeded predicitons of
most analysts who expected it to trade in 300-330 range.
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