1. Gender Budgeting 101:
Why Greater Equality Pays Off
And Why It’s So Hard to Do
World Bank-sponsored Global
Network of PBOs Webinar
April 24, 2017
Armine Yalnizyan
2. The New Abnormal: “Slowth”
Gender Budgeting 101 GN-PBO Webinar
April 24, 2017 Armine Yalnizyan
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3. Why Practice Gender Budgeting?
• Economic optimization
– Growth from better resource allocation (L, K, tech)
• Social efficiencies
– Paid and unpaid labour, lower risk from broader
access to basics
• Fiscal improvements
– Higher revenues, lower costs, less inequitable
results
• Greater Political Accountability
– Ex ante target setting, ex post review, better data
Gender Budgeting 101 GN-PBO Webinar
April 24, 2017 Armine Yalnizyan
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4. Who Practices Gender Budgeting?
• OECD 2016 survey: 12 nations (plus 1)
– Austria, Belgium, Finland, Iceland, Israel, Japan,
Korea, Mexico, Netherlands, Norway, Spain,
Sweden….since 2017 Canada
• IMF survey: 23 nations, mostly non-OECD
– Australia, India, Philippines, Bangladesh, Rep. of
Korea, Albania, Macedonia, Ukraine, Morocco,
Afghanistan, Timor, Leste, Rwanda, Uganda,
Mexico, Ecuador, Bolivia, El Salvador
Gender Budgeting 101 GN-PBO Webinar
April 24, 2017 Armine Yalnizyan
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5. How To Do Gender Budgeting?
Ex Ante
• Establish baseline: who gets what?
• Needs assessment
• Develop strategy: targets/timelines, resources
• Indicators to change: VAW Rates, Access to Utilities
(water, fuel/energy, telcom); Health/education
outcomes; % Budget on Housing, Child Care,
Education; Labour Force Participation Rates; Wage
Gap; Social Security (Pensions, jobless benefits); %
of tax expenditures
Gender Budgeting 101 GN-PBO Webinar
April 24, 2017 Armine Yalnizyan
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6. How To Do Gender Budgeting?
Ex Post
• Shape budgetary process by assigning performance
expectations (cf. fiscal “anchor” concept of debt to
GDP), review resource allocation, measure
incidence of budgetary measures
• Within Finance, outside Finance
(government/opposition/civil society); gender audit
• Separate gendered analysis/documents or built into
budget that review outcomes from previous
budgets; progress on targets/timelines
Gender Budgeting 101 GN-PBO Webinar
April 24, 2017 Armine Yalnizyan
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7. Prioritize Focus on Expenses or Revenues?
Cost/Benefit of Federal Spending
• Women use/provide more public services BUT
• Easier to calculate costs than benefits
• Focus on taxes/tax expenditures more easily
measured; can see who pays/gets tax cuts (“winners
and losers”)
• Incidence of benefits of services, costs of service loss
harder to measure (time frame of benefit;
distribution x age, gender, income, immigration,
racial status)
Gender Budgeting 101 GN-PBO Webinar
April 24, 2017 Armine Yalnizyan
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8. Vermaeten: Fed Spending on Housing in 1994
was Redistributive, in $ or by % of Income
Gender Budgeting 101 GN-PBO Webinar
April 24, 2017 Armine Yalnizyan
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9. CCPA: Government Services Worth >2x
Incomes of Poorest Households, 2006
Gender Budgeting 101 GN-PBO Webinar
April 24, 2017 Armine Yalnizyan
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10. “More Money In Your Pockets” –
Whose Pockets?
Who Do Tax Cuts Reach?
• As of 2015 final tax
statistics (2013 incomes)
–27.7% of men did not
have taxable income
–38.9%of women did not
have taxable income
• Since 2008, data on income
class plus gender no longer
published
Who do Services Reach?
• Often we don’t know, by
Age, By Sex, by Income; but
typically women are more
reliant on public services
• Long-form Census is one
source of data
• Administrative data (ex.
health care, education,
social housing)
• Only Census provides race,
immigration status data
Gender Budgeting 101 GN-PBO Webinar
April 24, 2017 Armine Yalnizyan
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11. What Do You Need?
• Ability to track past program
specific spending
– Public Accounts, Tax
Expenditures
• Ability to model
costs/benefits of future
proposals
• Data
• Interest of
government/opposition
• Resources: no $, no strategy
Gender Budgeting 101 GN-PBO Webinar
April 24, 2017 Armine Yalnizyan
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13. Gender Budgeting 101 Takeaways
• Within context of slowth and increasingly fractious
politics, distributional considerations in budgets
matter more than ever
• Gender budgeting can improve economic
performance, political accountability, but it requires
more public spending
• Budget measures that tackle gender inequality could
become politically popular … but maybe not quickly
Gender Budgeting 101 GN-PBO Webinar
April 24, 2017 Armine Yalnizyan 13
Armine Yalnizyan is a public economist and associate with the Institute for Fiscal Studies and Democracy at the University of Ottawa, under the leadership of Canada’s inaugural Parliamentary Budget Officer, Kevin Page.
Armine was senior economist at the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives, hired in 2006 to help advance the work of the Income Inequality project.
Chart from Chapter 3 of the Economic Report of the President [of the United States], February 2016. https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/ERP-2016/pdf/ERP-2016.pdf
The phrase “serial disappointment”, initially coined by Stephen Poloz, Governor of the Bank of Canada, to describe the lack of export-driven growth in the wake of Canada’s falling currency value was used by Bank of England governor, Mark Carney (also a Canadian) to describe the slowing pace of G20 growth http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/speeches/2016/speech885.pdf
It is an apt phrase, on many levels.
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/02/26/bank-of-englands-mark-carney-says-lack-of-structural-reforms-to-blame-for-weak-growth.html
OECD 2016 survey: https://www.oecd.org/gender/Gender-Budgeting-in-OECD-countries.pdf The 12 who do have it in this survey have “enshrined the principles of equality”
Non OECD from Janet Stotsky IMF presentation at Rotman School of Management, Institute for Gender and the Economy, University of Toronto, Workshop on Gender Budgeting April 4, 2017 https://www.dropbox.com/sh/0582di3vn72n9rq/AAACLgbGAJuXkuc-w3LwSelJa?dl=0
Showcased among these initiatives was the inspirational case of Rwanda, which has marshalled scant resources to achieve truly significant results, targeting women to achieve society-wide impact.
With permission, I am sharing the following presentations given at a session on gender budgeting at Rotman School of Management’s Institute for Gender and the Economy, University of Toronto on April 4, 2017
https://www.dropbox.com/sh/0582di3vn72n9rq/AAACLgbGAJuXkuc-w3LwSelJa?dl=0
Attempts in Canada to measure benefits: Irwin Gillespie (1964, 1980); David Dodge (1975); Frank Vermaeten (1997); Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives (2009)
Unpublished documentation from Department of Finance, 1994.
Incidence of taxation from http://www.cra-arc.gc.ca/gncy/stts/t1fnl-eng.html
Cover on right-hand panel from Yalnizyan, Armine; Canada's Commitment to Equality (1995-2004), Ottawa. 2006: : http://www.urbancentre.utoronto.ca/pdfs/elibrary/FAFIA_Gender-Aanlysis-Canad.pdf
My most recent piece on the topic in Macleans‘ Magazine, March 2017, just before the federal budget:
http://www.macleans.ca/economy/economicanalysis/its-time-for-a-gender-equality-budget-because-its-2017
3. Focus on incidence of benefit and cost of tax cuts in Budget 2008 What's in it for women? http://www.policyalternatives.ca/sites/default/files/uploads/publications/National_Office_Pubs/2008/Budget_2008_Whats_in_it_for_women.pdf