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NGAs : which public policies to
foster investments
and accelerate deployments?



Gabrielle Gauthey – Senior Vice-President Public Affairs
Leeds - November 17, 2009
Summary



 Very High Speed broadband market overview

 Broadband policies and local authorities intervention in France

 Next generation Access networks policies and regulation

 Next Generation Access networks & public/private initiatives




2 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009   © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
1                                          Very High Speed broadband market
                                              overview




3 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009   © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
Very High Speed broadband is a booming market
  Number of residential subscribers worldwide                                               Growth of FTTH/B* and VDSL** subscribers
                                                                                            around the world between 2008 and 2014




                                                                                   Source: IDATE – September 2009


 A market of 140 million subscribers in 2014 (vs. 31 million in 2008)

 Western Europe on a par with North America with more than 20 million residential subscribers
                                                                                                 * Fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) et Fiber-to-the-building (FTTB)
 A great opportunity for Europe                                                                 ** Fiber-to-the curb (FTTC) et Fiber-to-the-node (FTTN)



4 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009   © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
Figures on Very High Speed broadband in Western Europe
      Very High Speed deployments per types of                                                     Number of FTTH/B subscribers in key
             architecture – end of 2008                                                             European countries – end of 2008
                               66%


                                                                                                                      32 %
                                            66 %
                                                                                                     7%
                                                                                                                                24 %
                                                                                                       9%

                                                34 %                                                           14 %
                                                                                                                         14 %


                                             34%
                                                                       Sw eden             Italy       France     Norw ay    Netherlands   Denmark
             Source: IDATE and FTTH Council Europe

             VDSL FTTH/B
 FTTH/B are the prevailing architectures for Very High Speed broadband in Western Europe
 6 countries represent 81% of the installed base




  5 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009   © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
European FTTH market breakdown : the weight of municipal networks in access

                                                                 FTTH market shares in Europe:
         80.0%

         60.0%

         40.0%

         20.0%

            0.0%
                                                  ILEC                                       CLEC                     Muni/Utility
               2007                               8.5%                                       21.4%                      70.2%
               2012                             43.0%                                        23.0%                      34.0%

           Sources: IDATE & Heavy Reading, 2008


   According to forecasts, municipalities and power utilities will still have - in Western
    Europe - 1/3 of fiber access market share by 2012


Note:
FTTH (Fiber-to-the-Home) = fiber to the boundary of the home living space or business office space
(FTTH Council definition)
ILEC = former incumbent monopoly telco (PTT)
CLEC = competitive or alternative telco or broadband provider
Muni/Utility = network built by municipal local authority or by a power utility


6 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009            © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
2                                          Broadband policies and local authorities
                                              intervention in France




7 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009   © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
The key drivers of a successful Broadband policy in France


Competition through active infrastructures has been the main driver behind
the development of broadband:

 Geographic extension of local loop unbundling has encouraged France Telecom to
  equip all of its MDF (Main Distribution Frames) for ADSL

 France has joined European leaders in terms of penetration…

 …and is in first place for "triple play"



Three major drivers have made this increase in investments possible

 Dynamic operators, both incumbent and new entrants

 Regulation : LLU first, bitstream as a complement

 Local authorities intervention has been crucial in the expansion of broadband coverage



8 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009   © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
Dynamic of the French broadband market

                                       Growth of the broadband                                                                           DSL coverage as of June 30 2009
                                            access base




1999…              2002       2003        2004         2005        2006   2007      2008/2009
                                                       1st fixed-mobile
                                  1st TV/DSL offer       Convergent
                                                              offer
1st broadband/                                                            1st Very high speed
   DSL offer           1st telephony                                           FTTH offer
                        /DSL offer
                                                                                  100 Mb/s
         512kb/s




                                                        24Mb/s
                                           8Mb/s
                    1Mb/s




        ADSL                                       ADSL2+                        FTTH

                    Evolution of broadband technologies and services


        9 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009                       © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
French local authorities have played a crucial role in Broadband coverage

 In recent years, local authorities have played a key role in the digital
  development of their regions in partnership with operators


 Arcep first impact assessment:                                                            Réseaux d'initiative publique à fin juillet 2008
                                                                                             (projets couvrant plus de 60.000 habitants)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Projets régionaux L.1425-1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Hors DOM
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     1) Etudes préalables             (3)
                                                                                                                                       Oise
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2) Appel public Ă  candidatures   (0)


      86 projects – 53 of which are running
                                                                                                             Val-d'Oise                                                                                                                                                                                              3) Délégataires retenus          (2)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     4) Offres commercialisées        (2)
                                                                                                                                                                                                         CU Dunkerque
                                                                                                                                                                                                         CU Dunkerque                CA Valenciennes
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Projets départem entaux L.1425-1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    CU Arras
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    CU Arras
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    CU Arras
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    CU Arras
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    CU Arras
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    CU Arras
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Hors DOM
                                                                                                                Hauts-de-Seine                                                            CA Amiens
                                                                                                                                                   CA Caen la Mer
                                                                                                                                                   CA Caen la Mer
                                                                                                                                                   CA Caen la Mer
                                                                                                                                                   CA Caen la Mer
                                                                                                                                                   CA Caen la Mer
                                                                                                                                                   CA Caen la Mer                                                                                                     SI Sipperec (Irisé)                            1) Etudes préalables           (10)


      2 billion € invested
                                                                                                                                                                                 CA Le Hav re
                                                                                                         Yvelines                                                            CA Seine Eure
                                                                                                                                                                             CA Seine Eure
                                                                                                                                                                             CA Seine Eure
                                                                                                                                                                             CA Seine Eure
                                                                                                                                                                             CA Seine Eure
                                                                                                                                                                             CA Seine Eure                                                                                    SI Sipperec (CPL)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              SI Sipperec (CPL)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              SI Sipperec (CPL)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              SI Sipperec (CPL)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              SI Sipperec (CPL)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              SI Sipperec (CPL)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2) Appel public Ă  candidatures (7)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Somme
                                                                                                                                              Seine-et-Marne                                                                                                                                                         3) Délégataires retenus        (14)
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Seine-Maritime                          Ardennes                              SAN Sénart (Ville Nouv elle)       4) Offres commercialisées      (11)
                                                                                                                                 RĂ©gie du Pay s chartrain
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Oise
                                                                                                                                                                              Manche                                                                                                                             Projets infra départem entaux L.1425-1
                                                                                                                                                                                        Calv ados        Eure          Val-d'Oise                   Meuse         Moselle                                        Hors DOM
                                                                                                                            CR Bretagne

                                                                                                                                              Finistère                                                         Y v elines                                              Bas-Rhin
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Meurthe-et-Moselle                                            1) Etudes préalables            (3)
                                                                                                                                                                                              Orne                Essonne
                                                                                                                                                          CĂ´tes-d Armor                                                    Seine-et-Marne                                                                            2) Appel public Ă  candidatures (5)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        CR Alsace
                                                                                                                      CA Quimper                                      Ille-et-Vilaine                                                             Haute-Marne                                                        3) Délégataires retenus        (14)
                                                                                                                                                                                               Sarthe                                                                 Haut-Rhin                                      4) Offres commercialisées      (10)



 Major consequences :
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Loiret                                                               SM Belfort Montbelliard HĂ©ricourt
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            SM Belfort Montbelliard HĂ©ricourt
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Marchés de services départem entaux
                                                                                                                                                                                  Maine-et-Loire
                                                                                                                            CA Rennes MĂ©tropole                                                                                      CR Bourgogne                                                                Hors DOM
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Nièv re                     Doubs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Cher                                                       CA Chalon Val de Bourgogne
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Jura
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     4) Offres commercialisées (4)
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Indre
                                                                                                                                                      CA Vannes              Vendée
                                                                                            MARTINIQUE
                                                                                            MARTINIQUE
                                                                                            MARTINIQUE
                                                                                            MARTINIQUE




     ď‚ź Less expensive coverage of rural areas
                                                                                                                                                               CA Tours                                                                                                                     CU Le Creusot Montceau
                                                                                                                                                                             Charente-Maritime                                         Loire
                                                                                                                                    CA AngoulĂŞme                                                         CR Limousin         CR Auv ergne
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       CA Voiron
                                                                                                                                                          CA Perigueux

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       CA Clermont Ferrand
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       CA Clermont Ferrand
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       CA Clermont Ferrand
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       CA Clermont Ferrand
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       CA Clermont Ferrand
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       CA Clermont Ferrand
                                                                                              REUNION
                                                                                              REUNION
                                                                                              REUNION                                                CU Bordeaux                                                                            Ardèche
                                                                                              REUNION
                                                                                              REUNION
                                                                                              REUNION



     ď‚ź Expansion of LLU
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Lot
                                                                                                                                                                   CR Aquitaine
                                                                                                                                                                                            Lot-et-Garonne
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Av ey ron
                                                                                                                                         CA Bay onne Anglet Biarritz
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Gard
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Tarn
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 HĂ©rault
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Haute-Garonne
                                                                                                                                                                  Py rénées-Atlantiques




     ď‚ź Fostering of local operators
                                                                                           GUADELOUPE
                                                                                           GUADELOUPE
                                                                                           GUADELOUPE
                                                                                           GUADELOUPE
                                                                                           GUADELOUPE
                                                                                           GUADELOUPE
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Ariège

                                                                                                                                                          CA Pau
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Py rénées-Orientales                    CA Aix en Provence
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              CA Aix en Provence               CR Corse

                                                                                                                                                                    CU Grand Toulouse
                                                                                                                                                                                                                CA Sicov al
                                                                                                                                                                                                                CA Sicov al
                                                                                                                                                                                                                CA Sicov al
                                                                                                                                                                                                                CA Sicov al
                                                                                                                                                                                                                CA Sicov al
                                                                                                                                                                                                                CA Sicov al                CA Castres Mazamet


                                                                                             GUY ANE
                                                                                             GUY ANE
                                                                                             GUY ANE
                                                                                             GUY ANE
                                                                                             GUY ANE
                                                                                             GUY ANE




10 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009   © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
Impact of local authorities backhaul networks on unbundling in France

     37% of French central offices are unbundled through
            Local Communities backhaul networks

                                                                                                                    20,9 M households




               CO unbunling : local
                                                                                                   988              4,0 M households
               community backhaul
               network




               CO unbundling : alternative
               carriers backhaul networks                                        773                                2,4 M households
               + France Telecom dark
               fiber rental



               CO unbundling : alternative
               carriers backhaul networks                         913                                               14,4 M households




                                               Number of unbundled CO’s according to backhaul network ownership




11 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009         © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
Open Wireline backhaul networks are key to handle both mobile and fixed
  access traffic growth

   Typical telecommunications network architecture
                                                                                                              Role of backhaul networks:

                                                                                                              Cost effective coverage of
                                                                                                              medium and low density areas;

                                                                                                              Stimulate competition and
                                                                                                              innovation – on DSL first and fibre
                                                                                                              next;

                                                                                                              Anticipate bandwidth demand
                                                                                                              increase for all access
                                                                                                              technologies (fibre, LTE,
                                                                                                              Wimax,…);

                                                                                                              Backhaul networks are future
                                                                                                              proof investments - can be easily
                                                                                                              funded through PPPs;

                                                                                                              Enhanced connectivity for
                                                                                                              public services (schools,
                                                                                                              hospitals, universities,…) and
                                                                                                              business parks

12 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009   © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
3                                         Next generation Access networks
                                             policies and regulation




13 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009   © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
Which competition model for NGA ? How to promote investments?
   No doubt Very High Speed broadband is the technological evolution in the medium term

    To meet growing demand for content
    To assist the concomitant rise in speeds


   All countries are facing the challenge. Some are ahead like Japan and the US. In the EU
   major players have announced fiber deployments

   Investments are huge – 10 to 20 times copper broadband - and will need to be spread over
   several years

    Several hundred euros per connectable home
    Investments will happen differently according to country specificities and legacy
     networks topography (FTTN, FTTH)


   The questions are:

    How to promote investments and allow reasonable return?
    How to adapt regulation and public intervention to market, risk and policy driven areas?
    How to prevent regression of competition and even foreclosure of the market?

14 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009   © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
NGA deployments : investment model according to geographical segmentation




                    Private investments will prevail in “market driven” whereas public
                        intervention will be needed in low density “policy driven” areas


15 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009   © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
Europe trends for NGA roll-out :
Public Policy levers to foster NGA investments and PPPs

  Legislative lever in many countries (France, Spain, Italy, Portugal, …)
   Sharing of the fiber last drop through mandatory agreements between operators and landlords
   “right to fiber”
   Mandatory fiber pre-cabling for new buildings

  Regulatory lever
   Regulator’s concern is to make sure competition is preserved on the active part of the network to
    stimulate differentiation and innovation
   Asymmetrical regulation (duct access)
   Symmetrical regulation (last drop and in house wiring)
   Bitstream as a complement in low density areas

  Public policy lever
   Economy recovery package
   Digital Economy plans
   Intervention of local authorities (PPPs)


16 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009   © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
How to encourage investments and competition through
active infrastructures while tackling economical and operational concerns?

The last drop : an essential infrastructure- but where from?

Sharing of in-house wiring at the level of the building and access to ducts alone will not be
sufficient to guarantee sustainable competition in low density areas:
     it is useless and too costly to roll out serial networks inside and towards each building
     the natural monopoly is not limited to the fiber within the building
     risk of an irreversible situation

Having a point of sharing higher up in the network raises a few issues :
     in terms of technology, it has to be compatible with different technologies : PON and point-to-point
     the physical location of the point of sharing depends of the topography, of the density and of the architecture of the
      operator’s network



                                                                                                     point of sharing higher up in the
                                                                                                                 network
                                          copper                  copper
                                           MDF                      SC




                                                      ducts                ducts



                                                                  availability of ducts offer


17 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009              © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
4                                         NGAs & public/private initiatives




18 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009   © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
How to combine public and private initiatives?
    Transition from broadband to Next Generation Access networks is a revolution
     which represents a dramatic change in the level of investments: 250 to 300 B€
     will be required to roll-out NGA in the EU, 23 B€ in Australia.

    Risk of broadening the digital gap between regions is high and this is why many
     nations have decided to put this issue high on their recovery agenda and digital
     economy plans.

    From a policy perspective the key driver of NGA success is a close collaboration
     between all stakeholders -incumbents and new entrants, national and local
     government, vendors and users.

    From an NGA investment perspective, Public Private Partnerships are gaining
     worldwide traction both at national and local level if they allow :
        ď‚ź Anticipation of the future by rolling-out of backhaul capacities
        ď‚ź Cost-effective roll-outs in lowering market entry barriers, preserving diversity and innovation
        ď‚ź More competition and differentiation
        ď‚ź Acceleration of NGA coverage in grey and white areas


19 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009   © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
South Yorkshire Digital Region

                                                                             SYDR
                                                                                  Thales, Alcatel-Lucent and Kingston
                                                                                  Communications

                                                                                        Alcatel-Lucent is the design authority

                                                                                        Alcatel-Lucent also responsible for all
                                                                                        equipment, network management platforms
  one of the largest public sector-led open                                            OSS and majority of BSS, installation,
  broadband infrastructure initiatives in the                                           commissioning, and maintenance of the
  world.                                                                                network
   Covering the urban and rural populations of                                         54 exchange sites, 1589 Street Cabinets
  Sheffield, Doncaster, Barnsley and Rotherham
                                                                                        VDSL based, but with 1,200 km of fibre
   a brand new, high speed open-access                                                 (700km new dig)
  infrastructure
                                                                                        Multiple Service Providers to the same end
  Covers majority of homes and businesses in                                           user
  the region - some 1.2 million people.
“Businesses in South Yorkshire will be able to increase their competitiveness, develop new products
and business models and use IT in a variety of different ways as a result of this initiative – something
we can be proud of as a catalyst for this project.” Trevor Shaw, Executive Director of Finance for
Yorkshire Forward

20 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009   © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
The Baltic Business Quarter – a model for the future for Gateshead Council

                                                                              Gateshead technology innovation

                                                                                  A unique business model for the UK

                                                                                  Designed from the start to give the highest
                                                                                       levels of built-in resilience

                                                                                  Capable of offering flexible and tailored
                                                                                       services

                                                                                  Fair and open access to all service providers

   Alcatel-Lucent to deploy a blown fibre                                        A compelling business case for everyone
  solution to link individual buildings
                                                                                  The BBQ network to operate as an Open Access
   Services with bandwidths of up to 10Gb/s
  available within the business park and up to                                         Network & to provide last mile backhaul
  2.5Gb/s off park                                                                     services


  “The launch of this new partnership is an exciting and ground breaking step
   forwards in our continuing drive to bring more top quality businesses and
    jobs to Gateshead” Councillor Mick Henry, Leader of Gateshead Council
21 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009   © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
Overview of Recovery, Digital Economy plans & Public Private initiatives
     worldwide
                                                                                                       EU recovery plan
                                                                        Achieve 100% broadband coverage in EU by 2010
                                                                        1 B € earmarked for rural broadband
                                                                        Creation and/or upgrade of access, backhaul and passive
                                                                        infrastructure




                                                                                                                                      China’s recovery plan
                                                                                                                                      4 Trillion RMB 09-10
                                                                                                                                      ICT included in pillar industries program
                                                                                                                                      Australian National Broadband Network
American Recovery and Reinvestment Act                                  Greek FTTH Public-Private Partnership
                                                                                                                                      100 MB/s to 90% of subscribers
7.4 B $ to provide broadband to rural,                                 2.1 B€ investment
                                                                                                                                      43 B A$ ( 23 B€)
unserved and underserved areas                                          Target : 2 million homes passed by 2012
                                                                                                                                      New Zealand “Broadband Investment Initiative”
4.5 B$ for electric grid modernization                                 Digital Britain
(“smart grids”)                                                                                                                       1.5 B NZ$ investment plan announced in March
                                                                        •2 Mb/s universal broadband access service in 2012            09
2 B $ for health IT programs
                                                                        •200 M£ NGA fund is created to speed-up deployments
29 B $ for transportation programs
(highways safety, fraffic monitoring,...)                               Italian broadband plan
                                                                        800 M€ to be allocated to achieve broadband coverage in Italy
                                                                        French digital plan
                                                                        750 M€ will be invested by CDC to roll-out shared optical loops
                                                                        + German BB plan and coming bradband plans in Poland,
                                                                        Russia,...




      22 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009                     © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
www.alcatel-lucent.com




23 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009   © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved

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Gabrielle Gauthey NextGen 09

  • 1. NGAs : which public policies to foster investments and accelerate deployments? Gabrielle Gauthey – Senior Vice-President Public Affairs Leeds - November 17, 2009
  • 2. Summary  Very High Speed broadband market overview  Broadband policies and local authorities intervention in France  Next generation Access networks policies and regulation  Next Generation Access networks & public/private initiatives 2 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 3. 1 Very High Speed broadband market overview 3 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 4. Very High Speed broadband is a booming market Number of residential subscribers worldwide Growth of FTTH/B* and VDSL** subscribers around the world between 2008 and 2014 Source: IDATE – September 2009  A market of 140 million subscribers in 2014 (vs. 31 million in 2008)  Western Europe on a par with North America with more than 20 million residential subscribers * Fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) et Fiber-to-the-building (FTTB)  A great opportunity for Europe ** Fiber-to-the curb (FTTC) et Fiber-to-the-node (FTTN) 4 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 5. Figures on Very High Speed broadband in Western Europe Very High Speed deployments per types of Number of FTTH/B subscribers in key architecture – end of 2008 European countries – end of 2008 66% 32 % 66 % 7% 24 % 9% 34 % 14 % 14 % 34% Sw eden Italy France Norw ay Netherlands Denmark Source: IDATE and FTTH Council Europe VDSL FTTH/B  FTTH/B are the prevailing architectures for Very High Speed broadband in Western Europe  6 countries represent 81% of the installed base 5 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 6. European FTTH market breakdown : the weight of municipal networks in access FTTH market shares in Europe: 80.0% 60.0% 40.0% 20.0% 0.0% ILEC CLEC Muni/Utility 2007 8.5% 21.4% 70.2% 2012 43.0% 23.0% 34.0% Sources: IDATE & Heavy Reading, 2008  According to forecasts, municipalities and power utilities will still have - in Western Europe - 1/3 of fiber access market share by 2012 Note: FTTH (Fiber-to-the-Home) = fiber to the boundary of the home living space or business office space (FTTH Council definition) ILEC = former incumbent monopoly telco (PTT) CLEC = competitive or alternative telco or broadband provider Muni/Utility = network built by municipal local authority or by a power utility 6 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 7. 2 Broadband policies and local authorities intervention in France 7 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 8. The key drivers of a successful Broadband policy in France Competition through active infrastructures has been the main driver behind the development of broadband:  Geographic extension of local loop unbundling has encouraged France Telecom to equip all of its MDF (Main Distribution Frames) for ADSL  France has joined European leaders in terms of penetration…  …and is in first place for "triple play" Three major drivers have made this increase in investments possible  Dynamic operators, both incumbent and new entrants  Regulation : LLU first, bitstream as a complement  Local authorities intervention has been crucial in the expansion of broadband coverage 8 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 9. Dynamic of the French broadband market Growth of the broadband DSL coverage as of June 30 2009 access base 1999… 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008/2009 1st fixed-mobile 1st TV/DSL offer Convergent offer 1st broadband/ 1st Very high speed DSL offer 1st telephony FTTH offer /DSL offer 100 Mb/s 512kb/s 24Mb/s 8Mb/s 1Mb/s ADSL ADSL2+ FTTH Evolution of broadband technologies and services 9 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 10. French local authorities have played a crucial role in Broadband coverage  In recent years, local authorities have played a key role in the digital development of their regions in partnership with operators  Arcep first impact assessment: RĂ©seaux d'initiative publique Ă  fin juillet 2008 (projets couvrant plus de 60.000 habitants) Projets rĂ©gionaux L.1425-1 Hors DOM 1) Etudes prĂ©alables (3) Oise 2) Appel public Ă  candidatures (0) ď‚ź 86 projects – 53 of which are running Val-d'Oise 3) DĂ©lĂ©gataires retenus (2) 4) Offres commercialisĂ©es (2) CU Dunkerque CU Dunkerque CA Valenciennes Projets dĂ©partem entaux L.1425-1 CU Arras CU Arras CU Arras CU Arras CU Arras CU Arras Hors DOM Hauts-de-Seine CA Amiens CA Caen la Mer CA Caen la Mer CA Caen la Mer CA Caen la Mer CA Caen la Mer CA Caen la Mer SI Sipperec (IrisĂ©) 1) Etudes prĂ©alables (10) ď‚ź 2 billion € invested CA Le Hav re Yvelines CA Seine Eure CA Seine Eure CA Seine Eure CA Seine Eure CA Seine Eure CA Seine Eure SI Sipperec (CPL) SI Sipperec (CPL) SI Sipperec (CPL) SI Sipperec (CPL) SI Sipperec (CPL) SI Sipperec (CPL) 2) Appel public Ă  candidatures (7) Somme Seine-et-Marne 3) DĂ©lĂ©gataires retenus (14) Seine-Maritime Ardennes SAN SĂ©nart (Ville Nouv elle) 4) Offres commercialisĂ©es (11) RĂ©gie du Pay s chartrain Oise Manche Projets infra dĂ©partem entaux L.1425-1 Calv ados Eure Val-d'Oise Meuse Moselle Hors DOM CR Bretagne Finistère Y v elines Bas-Rhin Meurthe-et-Moselle 1) Etudes prĂ©alables (3) Orne Essonne CĂ´tes-d Armor Seine-et-Marne 2) Appel public Ă  candidatures (5) CR Alsace CA Quimper Ille-et-Vilaine Haute-Marne 3) DĂ©lĂ©gataires retenus (14) Sarthe Haut-Rhin 4) Offres commercialisĂ©es (10)  Major consequences : Loiret SM Belfort Montbelliard HĂ©ricourt SM Belfort Montbelliard HĂ©ricourt MarchĂ©s de services dĂ©partem entaux Maine-et-Loire CA Rennes MĂ©tropole CR Bourgogne Hors DOM Nièv re Doubs Cher CA Chalon Val de Bourgogne Jura 4) Offres commercialisĂ©es (4) Indre CA Vannes VendĂ©e MARTINIQUE MARTINIQUE MARTINIQUE MARTINIQUE ď‚ź Less expensive coverage of rural areas CA Tours CU Le Creusot Montceau Charente-Maritime Loire CA AngoulĂŞme CR Limousin CR Auv ergne CA Voiron CA Perigueux CA Clermont Ferrand CA Clermont Ferrand CA Clermont Ferrand CA Clermont Ferrand CA Clermont Ferrand CA Clermont Ferrand REUNION REUNION REUNION CU Bordeaux Ardèche REUNION REUNION REUNION ď‚ź Expansion of LLU Lot CR Aquitaine Lot-et-Garonne Av ey ron CA Bay onne Anglet Biarritz Gard Tarn HĂ©rault Haute-Garonne Py rĂ©nĂ©es-Atlantiques ď‚ź Fostering of local operators GUADELOUPE GUADELOUPE GUADELOUPE GUADELOUPE GUADELOUPE GUADELOUPE Ariège CA Pau Py rĂ©nĂ©es-Orientales CA Aix en Provence CA Aix en Provence CR Corse CU Grand Toulouse CA Sicov al CA Sicov al CA Sicov al CA Sicov al CA Sicov al CA Sicov al CA Castres Mazamet GUY ANE GUY ANE GUY ANE GUY ANE GUY ANE GUY ANE 10 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 11. Impact of local authorities backhaul networks on unbundling in France 37% of French central offices are unbundled through Local Communities backhaul networks 20,9 M households CO unbunling : local 988 4,0 M households community backhaul network CO unbundling : alternative carriers backhaul networks 773 2,4 M households + France Telecom dark fiber rental CO unbundling : alternative carriers backhaul networks 913 14,4 M households Number of unbundled CO’s according to backhaul network ownership 11 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 12. Open Wireline backhaul networks are key to handle both mobile and fixed access traffic growth Typical telecommunications network architecture Role of backhaul networks: Cost effective coverage of medium and low density areas; Stimulate competition and innovation – on DSL first and fibre next; Anticipate bandwidth demand increase for all access technologies (fibre, LTE, Wimax,…); Backhaul networks are future proof investments - can be easily funded through PPPs; Enhanced connectivity for public services (schools, hospitals, universities,…) and business parks 12 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 13. 3 Next generation Access networks policies and regulation 13 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 14. Which competition model for NGA ? How to promote investments? No doubt Very High Speed broadband is the technological evolution in the medium term  To meet growing demand for content  To assist the concomitant rise in speeds All countries are facing the challenge. Some are ahead like Japan and the US. In the EU major players have announced fiber deployments Investments are huge – 10 to 20 times copper broadband - and will need to be spread over several years  Several hundred euros per connectable home  Investments will happen differently according to country specificities and legacy networks topography (FTTN, FTTH) The questions are:  How to promote investments and allow reasonable return?  How to adapt regulation and public intervention to market, risk and policy driven areas?  How to prevent regression of competition and even foreclosure of the market? 14 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 15. NGA deployments : investment model according to geographical segmentation Private investments will prevail in “market driven” whereas public intervention will be needed in low density “policy driven” areas 15 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 16. Europe trends for NGA roll-out : Public Policy levers to foster NGA investments and PPPs Legislative lever in many countries (France, Spain, Italy, Portugal, …)  Sharing of the fiber last drop through mandatory agreements between operators and landlords  “right to fiber”  Mandatory fiber pre-cabling for new buildings Regulatory lever  Regulator’s concern is to make sure competition is preserved on the active part of the network to stimulate differentiation and innovation  Asymmetrical regulation (duct access)  Symmetrical regulation (last drop and in house wiring)  Bitstream as a complement in low density areas Public policy lever  Economy recovery package  Digital Economy plans  Intervention of local authorities (PPPs) 16 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 17. How to encourage investments and competition through active infrastructures while tackling economical and operational concerns? The last drop : an essential infrastructure- but where from? Sharing of in-house wiring at the level of the building and access to ducts alone will not be sufficient to guarantee sustainable competition in low density areas:  it is useless and too costly to roll out serial networks inside and towards each building  the natural monopoly is not limited to the fiber within the building  risk of an irreversible situation Having a point of sharing higher up in the network raises a few issues :  in terms of technology, it has to be compatible with different technologies : PON and point-to-point  the physical location of the point of sharing depends of the topography, of the density and of the architecture of the operator’s network point of sharing higher up in the network copper copper MDF SC ducts ducts availability of ducts offer 17 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 18. 4 NGAs & public/private initiatives 18 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 19. How to combine public and private initiatives?  Transition from broadband to Next Generation Access networks is a revolution which represents a dramatic change in the level of investments: 250 to 300 B€ will be required to roll-out NGA in the EU, 23 B€ in Australia.  Risk of broadening the digital gap between regions is high and this is why many nations have decided to put this issue high on their recovery agenda and digital economy plans.  From a policy perspective the key driver of NGA success is a close collaboration between all stakeholders -incumbents and new entrants, national and local government, vendors and users.  From an NGA investment perspective, Public Private Partnerships are gaining worldwide traction both at national and local level if they allow : ď‚ź Anticipation of the future by rolling-out of backhaul capacities ď‚ź Cost-effective roll-outs in lowering market entry barriers, preserving diversity and innovation ď‚ź More competition and differentiation ď‚ź Acceleration of NGA coverage in grey and white areas 19 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 20. South Yorkshire Digital Region SYDR Thales, Alcatel-Lucent and Kingston Communications Alcatel-Lucent is the design authority Alcatel-Lucent also responsible for all equipment, network management platforms one of the largest public sector-led open OSS and majority of BSS, installation, broadband infrastructure initiatives in the commissioning, and maintenance of the world. network  Covering the urban and rural populations of 54 exchange sites, 1589 Street Cabinets Sheffield, Doncaster, Barnsley and Rotherham VDSL based, but with 1,200 km of fibre  a brand new, high speed open-access (700km new dig) infrastructure Multiple Service Providers to the same end Covers majority of homes and businesses in user the region - some 1.2 million people. “Businesses in South Yorkshire will be able to increase their competitiveness, develop new products and business models and use IT in a variety of different ways as a result of this initiative – something we can be proud of as a catalyst for this project.” Trevor Shaw, Executive Director of Finance for Yorkshire Forward 20 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 21. The Baltic Business Quarter – a model for the future for Gateshead Council Gateshead technology innovation  A unique business model for the UK  Designed from the start to give the highest levels of built-in resilience  Capable of offering flexible and tailored services  Fair and open access to all service providers  Alcatel-Lucent to deploy a blown fibre  A compelling business case for everyone solution to link individual buildings  The BBQ network to operate as an Open Access  Services with bandwidths of up to 10Gb/s available within the business park and up to Network & to provide last mile backhaul 2.5Gb/s off park services “The launch of this new partnership is an exciting and ground breaking step forwards in our continuing drive to bring more top quality businesses and jobs to Gateshead” Councillor Mick Henry, Leader of Gateshead Council 21 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 22. Overview of Recovery, Digital Economy plans & Public Private initiatives worldwide EU recovery plan Achieve 100% broadband coverage in EU by 2010 1 B € earmarked for rural broadband Creation and/or upgrade of access, backhaul and passive infrastructure China’s recovery plan 4 Trillion RMB 09-10 ICT included in pillar industries program Australian National Broadband Network American Recovery and Reinvestment Act Greek FTTH Public-Private Partnership 100 MB/s to 90% of subscribers 7.4 B $ to provide broadband to rural, 2.1 B€ investment 43 B A$ ( 23 B€) unserved and underserved areas Target : 2 million homes passed by 2012 New Zealand “Broadband Investment Initiative” 4.5 B$ for electric grid modernization Digital Britain (“smart grids”) 1.5 B NZ$ investment plan announced in March •2 Mb/s universal broadband access service in 2012 09 2 B $ for health IT programs •200 MÂŁ NGA fund is created to speed-up deployments 29 B $ for transportation programs (highways safety, fraffic monitoring,...) Italian broadband plan 800 M€ to be allocated to achieve broadband coverage in Italy French digital plan 750 M€ will be invested by CDC to roll-out shared optical loops + German BB plan and coming bradband plans in Poland, Russia,... 22 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved
  • 23. www.alcatel-lucent.com 23 | NGA policies & Public Private Partnerships | November 2009 © Alcatel-Lucent 2009 All Rights Reserved