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OUTLOOK FOR 2015 - 2020
THE FUTURE OF THAILAND’S
HEALTHCARE INDUSTRY
IN TIER 2 CITIES
TABLE OF
CONTENTS
3
52
4
60
29
67
40
73
ABSTRACT
TOP DISEASES IN
THAILAND TIER 2 CITIES
THAILAND
HEALTHCARE
OVERVIEW
KEY CHALLENGES IN
HEALTHCARE INDUSTRY IN
THAILAND TIER 2 CITIES
DRIVERS FOR MEDICAL
SERVICES IN THAILAND
TIER 2 CITIES
FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES
IN THAILAND TIER 2 CITIES
THAILAND
HEALTHCARE
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
AUTHORS
2 www.solidiance.com
ABSTRACT
Thailand is among the Southeast Asian countries with
advanced economic development and healthcare
infrastructure. Bangkok has been the center of both
economic and social development in Thailand over the
past decade. However, Tier 2 cities or smaller cities outside
Bangkok are increasingly expanding with the growth of
private and public sectors. These cities generally serve as
regional hubs and have common characteristics of being
highly urbanized compared to other provinces in the same
region.
As Tier 2 cities have been urbanized, their population has
grown more affluent. They are accustomed to better living
standard and demanding more. Healthcare services are
among many services that people in these cities, with
better income and education, would be willing to pay for.
As geographical landscape of investment changes, it is
crucial for healthcare businesses to act according to this
future change.
3 www.solidiance.com
THAILAND
HEALTHCARE
OVERVIEW
4 www.solidiance.com
HEALTHCARE SPENDING,
BY COUNTRIES
(% OF GDP)
THAILAND HEALTHCARE
EXPENDITURES (IN BILLION THB)
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, WHO
THAILAND HEALTHCARE
SPENDING
Private Healthcare Expenditure
Government Healthcare Expenditure
2.6
8.2 8.2 9.3 10.1 9.9 10.5 11.4 12.5
2.8 3.1
3.3 3.3
3.4
3.7
4.0
5 www.solidiance.com
Healthcare expenditure in Thailand is still
very low in comparison to Organization for
Economic Cooperation and Development
(OECD) countries and China. However, the
country’s health expenditure is slightly
higher than its peers in AEC.
Publicsectoristhemaindriverofhealthcare
spending in Thailand. Spending comes
mainly from the Ministry of Public Health
and from insurance schemes i.e. national
universal healthcare, social security and
civil service scheme.
Urbanization and medical tourism are
the main drivers for investment in private
sector, especially in cities outside Bangkok.
6 www.solidiance.com
PER CAPITA HEALTH EXPENDITURE
(PPP*) COMPARISON,
2011
GOVERNMENT SHARE OF TOTAL
HEALTHCARE EXPENDITURE,
2011
Source: WHO World Health Statistics 2014
Singapore, Brunei, and Malaysia are the only AEC countries with per capital
health expenditure (PPP) above global median. While Thailand is slightly below
global median, it is still higher than its peers in AEC.
Unlike in Singapore where private sector is the main contributor to healthcare
expenditure, in Thailand and other leading AEC nations in this category such as
Brunei, the government plays an important role in healthcare expenditure.
Universal Coverage and Civil Servant Medical Benefit Scheme account for the
bulk of the Thai government’s spending in healthcare.
7 www.solidiance.com
* CSMBS’s dependents coverage includes parents, spouse, and children under 18
** Beneficiaries in private insurance are also covered by public scheme
Source: Ministry of Public Health, National Economic and Social Development, National Health Security Office
UC, SSS and CSMBS are three main health insurance schemes. A combination of
these health insurance schemes, resulting in a 99.47% universal coverage among the
entire population.
THAI HEALTHCARE
SCHEME
Citizen entitlement
Thai citizen
47 Million
Government
(USD 62/ Cap)
National Health Security
Office, Ministry of Public
Health
Social Security Office,
Ministry of Labour and
Welfare
Controller General,
Ministry of Finance
Private Insurance
Companies
Government
(USD 320/ Cap)
Insurance buyers
Tri-party: employer,
employee, government
(USD 63/Cap)
10 Million 5-6 Million 6-9 Million**
Mandatory
Private sector employee
Fringe benefit
Government employee,
dependents * and retirees
Private contract
Insured employees and
employers
MANAGEMENT
ORGANIZATION
8 www.solidiance.com
INCREASING GOVERNMENT’S SPENDING TO STRENGTHEN
THE UNIVERSAL COVERAGE SCHEME FOR THE PAST 10
YEARS:
Total government budget for Universal Healthcare Scheme was 51 billion baht in 2002 (USD
1.6 billion), 91 billion baht in 2007 (USD 2.9 billion) and up to 106 billion baht in 2009 (USD
3.4 billion). The budget was spent primarily for patient treatments, hospital facilities and
medical equipment expenditures.
Privately-insured patients are also covered by the public healthcare scheme but they do not
regularly use it.
Source: Ministry of Public Health, National Economic and Social Development, National Health Security Office
UNIVERSAL
HEALTHCARE SCHEME
STRUCTURE IN
THAILAND
9 www.solidiance.com
2002 2009 2012
PM Thaksin (Thai Rak
Thai party) initiated
the 30-baht per visit
universal healthcare
scheme. The program
had increased access
to healthcare from
76% of the population
to 96%.
The Democrat Party
was in power. It
scrapped the 30-baht
per visit program,
changing it to free
universal healthcare
for the public.
Pheu Thai Party
reinstituted the 30
bahtprogram,claiming
that the program
would reduce burden
on the government’s
budget. However,
many observers said
that the party simply
wanted to revive the
image of its populist
scheme.
Source: The Nation, Bangkok Post
MILESTONES
OF UNIVERSAL
HEALTHCARE
SCHEME IN THAILAND
10 www.solidiance.com
The National Health Security Fund (NHSF) that manages the most population
coverage of 47 million on Universal Coverage (UC) received the biggest share of
funds allocated by the government. However, only 32.8 million out of 47 million have
received services under the universal healthcare scheme, according to the Ministry of
Healthcare (MoH).
The government is trying to limit the budget for the country’s medical insurance after
healthcare costs have been skyrocketing in the past few years.
After the reform of healthcare coverage in 2002, UC has become the most important
social tool in the health system and this policy will likely continue in the future. The
question remains whether the quality will be still be there as the cost rises.
Source: The Nation, Bangkok Post
BUDGET ALLOCATION PLAN
(IN BILLION USD),
2013
GOVERNMENT’S HEALTHCARE BUDGET
: USD 6.5 BILLION IN 2013
11 www.solidiance.com
Hospital beds per population in AEC nations are still below the global median, except
for Brunei. This provides more room for expansion in healthcare sectors.
While Thailand is among other AEC nations whose numbers of hospital beds stand
is lower than global median, the country’s number of hospital beds is significantly
higher than AEC median.
Source: WHO World Health Statistics 2014
THAILAND
HEALTHCARE
INFRASTRUCTURE
NUMBER OF HOSPITAL BEDS
PER 10,000 POPULATION,
2013
12 www.solidiance.com
Despite having relatively advanced economies in comparison to other AEC nations,
Thailand’s number of doctors per 10,000 population is below average.
The limited number of doctors in Thailand is one of the major hurdles that hamper the
growth of its healthcare industry.
Source: WHO World Health Statistics 2014
NUMBER OF DOCTORS
PER 10,000 POPULATION,
2013
13 www.solidiance.com
Thailand covers an area of
approximately 514,000 square
kilometers which consists of 77
provinces (note that in this paper
we will refer more as cities rather
than provinces). The country is
divided into 4 regions: North,
Northeast, Central and South, in
which at least one of the Tier 2
cities is located.
As of December 2013, Thailand had
a total population of 64.9 million,
more than 95% of which is covered
by health insurance schemes.
Thailand demographic comprises
of 31.53 million males and 32.55
million females with a growth rate
of 0.3- 0.6% per annum over the
past decade.
Source: Population Registration based on National Statistics Office
Total population in Thailand was 64.9 Million in 2013
HOW LARGE IS
THAILAND’S
HEALTHCARE MARKET?
TOTAL POPULATION (IN MILLION)
BY GENDER
14 www.solidiance.com
1. CANCERS
2. ACCIDENTS AND POISONINGS
3. HYPERTENSION AND
CEREBROVASCULAR DISEASES
Source: Ministry of Public Health, Bureau of Policy and Strategy, 2013
THAILAND HEALTHCARE
SITUATION: TOP 5 CAUSES
OF DEATH
15 www.solidiance.com
5. PNEUMONIA AND OTHER LUNG
DISEASES
4. HEART DISEASES
There is an increasing numbers of deaths from heart disease,
hypertension, and stroke.
Declining numbers of deaths from accidents and poisonings are
due to better education about road safety and driving behavior and
stricter regulations from the government.
Source: Ministry of Public Health, Bureau of Policy and Strategy, 2013
16 www.solidiance.com
1. RESPIRATORY SYSTEM DISEASE
2. CIRCULATORY SYSTEM DISEASES
3. ENDOCRINE, NUTRITIONAL AND
METABOLIC DISEASES
Source: Ministry of Public Health, Bureau of Policy and Strategy, 2013
TOP 5 CAUSES OF
OUTPATIENT VISITS IN
THAILAND (MILLIONS)
2004 - 2012
17 www.solidiance.com
5. MUSCULOSKELETAL SYSTEM AND
CONNECTIVE TISSUE DISEASES
4. DIGESTIVE SYSTEM DISEASES
Diseases of the respiratory system is the main cause of OPD (out-
patient department) visits in Thailand.
Number of OPD is in an upward trend as a result of healthcare scheme,
covering medical expense of most population.
Source: Ministry of Public Health, Bureau of Policy and Strategy, 2013
18 www.solidiance.com
1. HYPERTENSIVE DISEASES
2. HEMORRHAGIC CONDITIONS AND OTHER
DISEASES OF BLOOD AND IMMUNE MECHANISM
3. DISEASES OF THE DIGESTIVE SYSTEM
Source: Ministry of Public Health, Bureau of Policy and Strategy, 2013
TOP 5 CAUSES OF
INPATIENT IN THAILAND
(THOUSANDS) 2004 - 2012
19 www.solidiance.com
4. DIABETES MELLITUS
5. OTHER HEART DISEASES AND
DISEASES OF PULMONARY CIRCULATION
Endocrine, nutritional and metabolic diseases have the highest growth
rate. The number of patient because of the disease have increased
approximately 4 times since 2006.
All top-five diseases show a growing trend with a rapid change in 2011.
Source: Ministry of Public Health, Bureau of Policy and Strategy, 2013
20 www.solidiance.com
Source: WHO World Health Statistics 2014
Life expectancy of Thailand population has increased as healthcare services
improve. This will push up Thailand’s aging population by 2020.
WHAT ARE THE DRIVERS
OF FUTURE DEMAND
FOR HEALTH SERVICES?
LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH,
2012
21 www.solidiance.com
Thai’s life expectancy is slightly higher
than the average of its AEC peers.
Like other countries, aging population
comes with geriatric diseases. Hence,
this is becoming a critical concern for
the already under-budgeted healthcare
system.
The next charts depict Thailand population
by age group in 2000 and projected
population in 2020 respectively, it is
clear that aging population will become a
significant issue in the next decades.
22 www.solidiance.com
23 www.solidiance.com
AGING POPULATION IS EXPECTED TO DRIVE
DEMAND FOR HEALTHCARE SERVICES IN THE NEXT
10 YEARS AS AGED POPULATION IS FORECAST TO
ACCOUNT FOR 19% OF THE POPULATION.
According to National Economic and Social Development Board (NESDB), aged
population in Thailand is expected to account for 19% of the total population by 2020.
The number of people aged 60 years and above is expected to grow rapidly at 5.5%
annually.
WHO also forecasts that aging population will account for 30% of the population by
2050.
As a result, demand for healthcare services whether for maintaining or treating of
elderly health will surge in the near future. This also puts a challenge for both public
and private healthcare stakeholders when planning to invest for facilities, medical
equipment and medical workers.
2012 2022
Source: National Economic and Social Development Board, 2013
PERCENTAGE OF THAI POPULATION
BY AGE GROUP
24 www.solidiance.com
“Urbanization is the main
driver of future demand for
healthcare services. As urban
population generally possess
higher purchasing power,
they demand better level of
services and willing to pay for
services in private hospitals”,
Assistant Managing Director of a Private Chain-hospital,
Health Focus.org
“
“
25 www.solidiance.com
Urbanization in Thailand has been growing rapidly since 1990s. Over the past decade,
the country has experienced booming economic development through exports and
industrialization.
In 2020, urban population is expected to account for 38% of the overall population
in Thailand.
Source: United Nations, World Urbanization prospects database
FORECAST OF URBAN AND RURAL
POPULATION IN THAILAND
1990 - 2020
26 www.solidiance.com
The former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra initiated the medical tourism in 2003.
The Medical Tourism Promotion project highlighted Thailand’s high quality medical
services at relatively more competitive prices compared to medical services in
developed countries.
The Tourism Authority of Thailand targets high growth for medical tourism. It expects
the AEC agreements to boost the growth of foreign patients while facilitating the
flow of people within ASEAN countries.
Source: Ministry of Public Health
NUMBER OF FOREIGN PATIENTS
ARRIVING IN THAILAND &
GENERATED REVENUE 2007 - 2012
MEDICAL TOURISM IN THAILAND HAS BEEN
GROWING RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST 5 YEARS FOR
THE NUMBER OF PATIENTS AND REVENUE.
Revenue (Million THB)Number of foreign patients
27 www.solidiance.com
THREE GROUPS OF FOREIGNERS
POPULAR MEDICAL TREATMENTS
Foreign Residents
Orthopedics
Tourists
Heart Surgery
Visitors Seeking Specific
Medical Treatments
Cosmetic Surgery
Dental Works
1
1
2
2
3
3
4
THERE WERE ESTIMATED 2.53 MILLION FOREIGN
PATIENTS COMING TO THAILAND IN 2012 FOR ITS
HEALTHCARE SERVICES, GENERATING INCOME OF
USD 4.9 BILLION.
28 www.solidiance.com
DRIVERS FOR
MEDICAL
SERVICES IN
THAILAND
TIER 2 CITIES
29 www.solidiance.com
CHARACTERISTICS OF TIER 2 CITIES:
•	 Ranked among the top 20 most populous city in the country (>1 million of
population size)
•	 Ranked among the highest GDP per capita in each region
•	 Ranked among the top 20 city with the highest numbers of medical institutes
•	 Ranked among the top 20 city with the highest numbers of in-patient beds
(>2,500 in-patient beds)
What are Thailand Tier 2 Cities? Chiang Mai, Khon Kaen, Surat Thani, Ubon
Ratchathani, Nakhon Ratchasrima, Chonburi and Songkhla.
CHARACTERISTICS
OF TIER 2 CITIES
30 www.solidiance.com
CHIANG MAI
•	 Population: 1.65 million (49% male, 51% female), 56% urban population
•	 Average monthly income: 18,323 baht
•	 Medical facility: 58 institutions/ 6,617 inpatient beds
•	 The top 3 causes of death: Cancer, Nephritis and nephritic syndrome,
Hypertension and cerebrovascular diseases
KHON KAEN
•	 Population: 1.78 million (50% male, 50% female), 40% urban population
•	 Average monthly income: 16,030 baht
•	 Medical facility: 33 institutions/ 4,000 inpatient beds
•	 The top 3 causes of death: Cancer, Nephritis and nephritic syndrome,
Hypertension and cerebrovascular diseases
UBON RATCHATHANI
•	 Population: 1.82million (50% male, 50% female), 24% urban population
•	 Average monthly income: 21,660 baht
•	 Medical facility: 30 institutions/ 3,260 in-patient beds
•	 The top 3 causes of death: Cancer, Nephritis and nephritic syndrome,
Hypertension and cerebrovascular diseases
Source: National STatistics Office 2010, 2011, 2013
THAILAND TIER 2
CITIES’ PROFILES
31 www.solidiance.com
CHONBURI
•	 Population: 1.34 million (49% male, 51% female), 75% urban population
•	 Average monthly income: 23,007 baht
•	 Medical facility: 36 institutions/ 3,893 inpatient beds
•	 The top 3 causes of death: Cancer, heart diseases, pneumonia and other
lung diseases
SURAT THANI
•	 Population: 1.01million (49% male, 51% female), 41% urban population
•	 Average monthly income: 34,417 baht
•	 Medical facility: 34 institutions/ 2,806 inpatient beds
•	 The top 3 causes of death: Cancer, heart diseases, hypertension and
cerebrovascular diseases
SONGKHLA
•	 Population: 1.37 million (49% male, 51% female), 54% urban population
•	 Average monthly income: 21,711 baht
•	 Medical facility: 52 institutions/ 3,257 inpatient beds
•	 The top 3 causes of death: Cancer, heart diseases, hypertension and
cerebrovascular diseases
NAKHON RATCHASIMA
•	 Population: 2.59 million (49% male, 51% female), 26% urban population
•	 Average monthly income: 19,399 baht
•	 Medical facility: 48 institutions/ 3,928 inpatient beds
•	 The top 3 causes of death: Cancer, Nephritis and nephritic syndrome,
Hypertension and cerebrovascular diseases
Source: National STatistics Office 2010, 2011, 2013
32 www.solidiance.com
2002 2012
Source: National Statistical Office
Bangkok accounted for 35% of Thailand’s GDP in 2002 while other provinces made up
6% of the country’s GDP. In 2012, Bangkok GDP was estimated at THB 3,550 million
(USD 118 million), representing only 29% of the country’s GDP.
Over the decade, Bangkok’s maturing economy had lost its pace of economic growth
to the urbanizing provinces. While Bangkok GDP grows at average of 3.7% annually,
overall Thailand GDP grows at 4.2% which represents significant growth contribution
from other provinces.
THE ECONOMY OUTSIDE BANGKOK AND VICINITIES
HAS BECOME MORE RELEVANT TO THE OVERALL
THAILAND GDP OVER THE PAST DECADE.
SHARES OF GDP (%)
33 www.solidiance.com
Note: Population Census is conducted every 10 years.
Source: Population Census based on National Statistical Office
The graph above represents percentage of urbanized population in Bangkok vicinities
and other Tier 2 Cities in 2000 and 2010.
During the decade, Tier 2 Cities had an average of 57% growth in urbanized population
compared to a single digit growth in Bangkok vicinities.
As a matter of fact, Chonburi is significantly more urbanized than Bangkok vicinities
with approximately 3 out of 4 population living in urban areas.
TIER 2 CITIES IN THAILAND HAVE EXPERIENCED
THE EXPLOSION OF URBANIZATION IN THE LAST
DECADE.
URBANIZATION IN TIER 2 CITIES
34 www.solidiance.com
Note: Population Census is conducted every 10 years.
Source: Population Census based on National Statistical Office
Compared to Bangkok, most of the Tier 2 Cities have experienced high growth in
household income. This is also one of the results of the fast growing urbanization
outside Bangkok which is increasing jobs and purchasing power to local people.
IN LINE WITH THE INCREASE OF URBANIZATION,
THAILAND TIER 2 CITIES HAVE EXPERIENCED
SIGNIFICANT GROWTH IN HOUSEHOLD INCOME
35 www.solidiance.com
Note: vicinities include Nonthaburi, Pathum Thani, Nokorn Pathom, Samut Prakarn and Samut Sakorn
THAILAND TIER 2
CITIES BACKGROUND
NUMBER OF POPULATION IN
BANGKOK VS. TIER 2 CITIES (‘000)
BY GENDER,
2011
36 www.solidiance.com
Note: Population Census is conducted every 10 years
Source: National Statistic Office
Approximately 19% of the total population lives in these Tier 2 Cities, compare to
13% in Bangkok. As the country continues to become urbanized, the number of urban
population in Tier 2 Cities is now reaching 5 million, which accounts for almost 10% of
the total population in 2010.
NUMBER OF URBAN POPULATION IN
BANGKOK VS. TIER 2 CITIES (‘000),
2010
37 www.solidiance.com
Source: Ministry of Public Health
CHIANG MAI
42
13
27
3
UBON RATCHATHANI
32
3
KHON KAEN
25
7
SURAT THANI
24
5
SONGKHLA
20
11
CHONBURI
35
8
NAKHON RATCHASIMA
Public Hospitals
Private Hospitals
NUMBER OF
HOSPITALS IN THAI
TIER 2 CITIES (2013)
38 www.solidiance.com
39 www.solidiance.com
THAILAND
HEALTHCARE
INDUSTRY
OVERVIEW
40 www.solidiance.com
PUBLIC HOSPITALS
The main investment objective of the government is to provide nationwide healthcare
service coverage. Hospitals are divided according to the level of the sophistication
of services. Patients with severe cases will be referred to the nearest and better-
equipped facilities.
REGIONAL HOSPITAL
GENERAL HOSPITAL
COMMUNITY HOSPITAL
PUBLIC HEALTHCARE CENTER
• Bed: > 500
• 26 regional hospitals, serving healthcare in 4 regions
• Tertiary Care
• Bed: 120 - 500
• 71 general hospitals nationwide
• Secondary Care
• Bed: 10 - 120
• 723 community hospitals nationwide
• Secondary Care
• Primary Care
• Bed: 0
• Primary Care
Note: Shows patient referral route
HOSPITAL
SEGMENTATION IN
THAILAND
41 www.solidiance.com
PRIVATE HOSPITALS
Currently, there are 321 private hospitals nationwide. Similar to other businesses,
private hospitals aim to maximize their resources to generate income. Providing
services for treatments and maintaining health have become key selling points of
private hospitals.
LISTED-CHAIN HOSPITAL
PROVINCIAL PRIVATE HOSPITAL
There are 8 hospitals listed in the Stock Exchange of Thailand:
•   Aikchol Hospital (AHC)
•   Bangkok Dusit Medical Services(BGH)
•   Krungdhon Hospital (KDH)
•   Lanna Hospital(LNH)
•   Mahachai Hospital (M-CHAI)
•   Ramkhanhaeng Hospital (RAM)
•   Samitivej Hospital (SVH)
•   Vibhavadi Hospital (VIBHA)
As of 2014, provincial private hospitals are generally medium-to-small size hospitals,
facilitating needs for faster and more comfortable services compared to public
hospitals.
42 www.solidiance.com
Public hospital system is the backbone of healthcare system in Thailand for the
majority of Thai people. Public hospital system can be classified into 2 main categories
according to their respective authority:
Apart from public hospitals, the government is also responsible for funding most of
specialized medical research institutions in Thailand.
MINISTRY OF PUBLIC HEALTH
Supervising most public hospitals in Thailand. They can also be classified
into 2 main subcategories according to their jurisdiction:
MINISTRY OF EDUCATION
Governing most medical schools which have Super Tertiary Care ca-
pacities.
CENTRAL JURISDICTION
A number of public hospitals or medical institutions are
under central jurisdiction. Most of them are public hospitals
in Bangkok or special medical institutions devoting to certain
types of diseases such as National Cancer Institute.
PROVINCIAL JURISDICTION
Governing the largest number of hospitals in Thailand. Nearly
all public hospitals in Thailand outside Bangkok are under
this category.
MOST HOSPITALS IN THAILAND ARE PROVINCIAL
PUBLIC HOSPITALS AND UNDER SUPERVISION OF
MINISTRY OF PUBLIC HEALTH.
43 www.solidiance.com
Medical schools in Thailand have the most advanced medical capacities (Super
Tertiary Care) as they are fully equipped with skilled medical experts or workers and
medical equipment/devices.
As of 2013, they are considered the best in public health system and yet affordable
among Thais. Currently, there are 13 medical schools in Thailand:
HOSPITALS LOCATIONUNIVERSITIES
HOSPITAL
BEDS
Maharaj Nakorn Chiang Mai Hospital
Siriraj Hospital
King Chulalongkorn Memorial Hospital
Phramongkutklao Hospital
Ramathibodi Hospital
Vajira Hospital
Srinagarind Hospital
Songklanagarind Hospital
HRH Princess Maha Chakri
Sirindhorn Medical Center
Thammasat University Hospital
Panyananthaphikkhu Chonprathan
Medical Center
Mae Fah Luang University Hospital
Naresuan University Hospital
Chaing Mai University
Mahidol University
Thai Red Cross Society
Royal Thai Army
Mahidol University
Navamindradhiraj University
Khon Kaen University
Prince of Songkla University
Srinakharinwirot University
Thammasat University
Srinakharinwirot University
Mae Fah Luang University
Naresuan University
Chaing Mai
Bangkok
Bangkok
Bangkok
Bangkok
Bangkok
Khon Kaen
Songkhla
Nakhon Nayok
Pathum Thani
Nonthaburi
Chiang Rai
Nakhon Sawan
1,375
2,221
1,439
1,236
1,378
875
991
855
500
439
320
107
400
Source: Solidiance interviews and medical institutes’ online websites
THAILAND HAS 13 MEDICAL SCHOOLS WITH MOST
ADVANCED MEDICAL CAPABILITY AND EQUIPPED
WITH THE BEST MEDICAL WORKERS AS WELL AS
DEVICES.
44 www.solidiance.com
National Cancer Institute, Central Chest Institute of Thailand, Queen Sirikit National
Institute of Child Health, Institute of Dermatology, and Neurological Institute are some
examples of specialized hospitals or institutions in Thailand.
Specialized hospitals / institutions are established to develop academic knowledge,
to provide advanced medical treatments for their respective diseases.
Hence, these specialized hospitals / institutions are better-equipped with relatively
advanced medical devices and personnel for their respective disease. It is also a part
of their scope of work to keep up with advancements in their respective fields.
SPECIALIZED HOSPITALS USUALLY HAVE MORE
ADVANCED MEDICAL EQUIPMENT AND PERSONNEL
FOR THEIR RESPECTIVE DISEASES.
45 www.solidiance.com
Recent trend of leading medical schools participation in private hospital businesses
has been a controversial issue.
Critics view this trend as switching government resources to serve the needs of few.
THESE MEDICAL SCHOOLS’ MOVEMENTS HAVE BEEN
AIMED FOR:
•   Preventing highly trained medical staffs from serving 100% in public sectors by
offering them an opportunity to make money within the private business units of its
medical school
•   Developing superior medical expertise with better facilities
•   Coping with the insufficient subsidy received from government healthcare scheme
MEDICAL SCHOOL BUDGET
PRIVATE
HOSPITAL BUSINESS
Faculty of Medicine
Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University
Faculty of Medicine,
Khon Kaen University
Faculty of Medicine,
Chiang Mai University
Faculty of Medicine,
Prince of Songkla University
Faculty of Medicine, Ramathibodi
Hospital, Mahidol University
Siriraj Piyamaharajkarun
Hospital
Srinagarind Hospital
Maharaj Nakorn Chiang Mai
Hospital (Suandok Hospital)
Songklanagarind Hospital
Ramathibodi Hospital
THB 7 billion (USD 233mn)
Opened 26 April 2013
THB 2.4 billion (USD 80mn)
(to be opened soon)
Under construction
Under construction
Under construction
Source: Thailand Information Center for Civil Rights And Investigative Journalism
GOVERNMENT’S MEDICAL SCHOOLS ARE NOW
VENTURING INTO PRIVATE HOSPITAL BUSINESS, NOT
ONLY IN BANGKOK BUT ALSO IN OTHER CITIES.
46 www.solidiance.com
Urbanization in Thailand’s Tier 2 Cities is expected to surge as one of the impacts of
AEC in line with the investment in transportation infrastructure. As in evidence from
the past decade, “Ribbon development” is the main urban development in Thailand.
Most of urban areas happened along with the transportation infrastructure.
The urbanization in Tier 2 Cities has resulted in population with higher purchasing
power, leading to demand for better healthcare. These recent trends have led to
aggressive expansion of private hospitals in Tier 2 and border cities. Large private
hospitals (mostly based in Bangkok) are expanding to capture the health care
demands in Tier 2 Cities which are growing at a fast pace.
AEC
URBANIZATION
DEMAND FOR BETTER HEALTHCARE
HIGHER PURCHASING POWER
Source: Health Focus, Thailand
PRIVATE HOSPITALS IN THAILAND ARE TARGETING
TIER 2 CITIES BECAUSE OF THE EXPECTED GROWING
DEMAND FOR HEALTHCARE SERVICES BOOSTED BY
THE ASEAN ECONOMIC COMMUNITY (AEC) AND
INCREASING URBANIZATION.
47 www.solidiance.com
•	 Chiang Mai Ram Hospital
•	 Khon Kaen Ram Hospital
•	 Lanna Hospital
•	 Udon Thani Hospital
•	 Ubon Ratchanthani Hospital
•	 World Medical Center Pattaya
•	 Kasemrad Sriburin Hospital
•	 Bangkok Hospital Chiangmai
•	 Sri-Rayong Hospital
•	 Dibuk Hospital (Phuket)
•	 Bangkok Hospital Khon Kaen
•	 Samitivej Chonburi Hospital
•	 Jomtien Hospital (Pattaya)
Mae Hong Son
Koh Chang
Koh Samui
Chumphon
Phuket
Krabi
Khao Lak
Hua Hin
Koh Samet
Kanchanaburi
Chaing Mai
Pattaya
Bangkok
Khon Kaen
Chaing Rai
Source: Hospitals’ investor relation document,
Q3 2013
PRIVATE HOSPITALS IN THAILAND ARE TARGETING
TIER 2 CITIES BECAUSE OF THE EXPECTED GROWING
DEMAND FOR HEALTHCARE SERVICES FROM
THE ASEAN ECONOMIC COMMUNITY (AEC) AND
URBANIZATION.
48 www.solidiance.com
BGH, the owner of Bangkok group hospital, currently operates 29 hospitals located
in Bangkok and other provinces. Bangkok remains BGH’s main revenue source,
accounting for 66% of its total revenue. However, revenue from other provinces is
growing at much faster rate.
In 2012, BGH’s revenue from Bangkok’s operation grew by 14% while the revenue from
operations outside Bangkok grew by 17-18%. BGH believes there is plenty of room for
expansion, considering the number of hospital beds per population (300 population
per hospital beds in Bangkok, 500 – 600 population per hospital beds in Bangkok).
•	 It aims to increase its hospitals to 50 hospitals in 2015 from 21 in line with
AEC
•	 BGH also planned to open Sunthornpoo Hospital in Khonkaen in 2013
1. BANGKOK DUSIT MEDICAL SERVICES
(“BGH”)
INVESTMENT PLAN
Source: Health Focus, Thailand
THAILAND PRIVATE HOSPITALS’ ARE APPROACHING
TO TIER 2 CITIES – TO SERVE NOT ONLY THE NEEDS
IN TIER 2 CITIES BUT ALSO THOSE OF NEIGHBORING
COUNTRIES.
49 www.solidiance.com
Ramkhamhaeng Hospital Chain comprises 25
hospitals with 6 hospitals are in Bangkok. Remaining
19 hospitals are in other provinces. 9 hospitals are
located in the North, 3 in the Northeast, 1 in the
West, and 6 in the Middle.
Ramkhamhaeng Hospital Chain’s growth will be
coming from the renovation of existing hospitals
and expansion of new branches through business
partnership. Expansion will focus in the North and
Northeast where Ramkhamhaeng is more familiar,
while there is no expansion plan in South and the
East.
Ramkhamhaeng Hospital Chain currently controls
85% market share of private hospital in the north.
It aims to expand in the Northeast, targeting high
potential provinces without big hospitals such as
Udonthani and Ubonratchatha.
•	 The chain plans to spend THB 0.6 billion (USD
20mn) to improve 3 of its existing operations
in provinces:
•	 THB 50 million (USD 1.6mn) for Chiangmairam
Hospital to revamp servicing area to attract
young customers and foreigners
•	 THB 400 million (USD 13mn) for Lanna
Hospital to add 100 hospital beds
•	 THB100million(USD3.3mn)forKhonkaenram
Hospital to purchase medical equipment for
specific practices
2. RAMKHAMHAENG
HOSPITAL CHAIN
INVESTMENT PLAN
Source: Health Focus, Thailand
50 www.solidiance.com
Bangkok Chain Hospital is the owner of Kasemrad
Hospital. Bangkok Chain Hospital has operations in 3
provinces outside Bangkok: Nonthaburi, Saraburi and
Chaingrai.
While they continue to look for expansion opportunities,
they spent their 2013 budget of THB 3.1 billion (USD
103mn) budget primarily on existing operations:It
plans to allocate THB 0.72 billion (USD 24mn) for
KasemradSriburin Hospital and Sriburin Clinic both in
Chaingrai. The fund will be used by the two hospitals to
meet the demand from patients in both domestic and
neighboring countries such as Myanmar and Laos.
THB 1.5 billion (USD 50mn) is also allocated
for construction of a new hospital which will
be named `World Medical Center Pattaya’
following the success of the first one in
Chaengwattana. These two are fully dedicated
to serve foreigners.
INVESTMENT PLAN
Source: Health Focus, Thailand
3. BANGKOK CHAIN
HOSPITAL
51 www.solidiance.com
TOP
DISEASES IN
THAILAND
TIER 2 CITIES
52 www.solidiance.com
Cancer is an increasing health problem in Thailand (no.1 cause of death). Colorectal,
liver, lung, breast and cervical cancers are the most common in the country. They
account for approximately 50% of all cancer cases. Many studies have shown that
colorectal and breast cancers will become increasingly important in the coming years.
Source: National Statistics Office, Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention and Solidiance analysis
HISTORICAL NUMBER OF DEATH
FROM CANCER IN TIER 2 CITIES
2004 VS. 2011
Incidence of cancers in Thailand is increasing gradually in most Tier 2 Cities.
CANCERS
53 www.solidiance.com
Thailand Ministry of Public Health’s report shows that the number of people suffering
from acute ischemic heart disease increases by 21,700 people annually or two per
hour.
Source: National Statistics Office, Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention and Solidiance analysis
INCIDENCE OF HEART DISEASES VS.
POPULATION SIZE (IN THOUSANDS),
2012
WHO Forecasts that heart diseases will be ranked first on the morbidity table in
the global scale and third in the local/Thailand scale by 2030.
HEART DISEASES
54 www.solidiance.com
Source: Institute for Population and Social Research, Mahidol University, Bureau of Non-Communicable Disease
HYPERTENSION VS. AGING POPULATION:
Hypertension is the most common (14-27%) among the
top chronic diseases in the elderly.
In addition, Thailand has entered the aging society since 2004 and is aging faster than
the average Southeast Asian countries. According to the Ministry of Public Health, 72-
80% of the older population suffers from chronic diseases and hypertension is the
biggest group (14-27%) among the top chronic diseases in the elderly.
HISTORICAL NUMBER OF
HYPERTENSIVE DISEASES INCIDENCE
IN TIER 2 CITIES (IN THOUSANDS)
2008- 2012
Rising number of patients suffering from hypertension and cerebrovascular diseases
in some Thailand Tier 2 Cities.
HYPERTENSION AND
CEREBROVASCULAR
DISEASES
55 www.solidiance.com
TOTAL PERCENTAGE OF OLDER POPULATION IN
THAILAND
2005REGION 2015 2025
Source: Institute for Population and Social Research, Mahidol University, Bureau of Non-Communicable Disease
8.6 %
10.8%
12.1%
9.6%
10.4%
BANGKOK
CENTRAL EXCL. BANGKOK
NORTH
NORTHEAST
SOUTH
11.9%
13.1%
16.0%
14.7%
13.2%
18.6%
17.9%
23.9%
21.4%
17.8%
56 www.solidiance.com
Source: National Statistics Office, National News Bureau of Thailand
HISTORICAL NUMBER OF IN-PATIENTS
FROM PNEUMONIA AND OTHER LUNG
DISEASES IN THAILAND TIER 2 CITIES
2007 - 2011
In 2012 nearly 200,000 people were diagnosed with pneumonia diseases, 1,200
of whom died.
PNEUMONIA AND OTHER
LUNG DISEASES
57 www.solidiance.com
“The Public Health Ministry is
warning the people of catching
pneumoniaduringtheprevailing
cold weather while revealing
over 1,000 people died of the
disease last year. Dr. Narong
S a h a m e t a p a t , P e r m a n e n t
Secretary for Public Health, is
warningtheThaipeopletowatch
out for respiratory diseases,
especially flu and pneumonia,
which are caused by viruses
that are very productive in cold
weather.”
National News Bureau of Thailand
January 22, 2013
“
“
58 www.solidiance.com
Source: National Statistics Office
Liver and pancreatic diseases include Hepatitis A, B, C, D and E; liver abnormality
due to excessive consumption of alcoholic drinks, drugs and herbs; infections on the
liver, fatty liver disease and pancreatitis. Besides liver cancer, alcoholic liver diseases
and viral hepatitis are among the top 20 cases of inpatients (~10,000 cases in 2010)
in Thailand.
HISTORICAL NUMBER OF IN-PATIENTS
FROM LIVER AND PANCREAS
DISEASES IN THAILAND TIER 2 CITIES
2007 - 2011
LIVER AND PANCREAS
DISEASES
59 www.solidiance.com
KEY
CHALLENGES
IN HEALTHCARE
INDUSTRY IN
THAILAND TIER
2 CITIES
60 www.solidiance.com
THE SHORTAGE OF SPECIALISTS IS THE MAIN
CHALLENGE FOR HEALTHCARE SERVICES IN TIER 2
CITIES.
The shortage affects directly the demand for sophisticated medical devices as there
are insufficient resources to operate them. In 2011, Thailand has 42,890 physicians
with 59% or 25,185 of them are specialists.
Source: Thailand Information Center for Civil Rights And Investigative Journalism
THAILAND IS FACING SHORTAGE AND IMBALANCE
IN THE NUMBER OF MEDICAL SPECIALISTS, BOTH IN
THE CAPITAL AND TIER 2 CITIES.
NUMBER OF PHYSICIANS IN
THAILAND BY SPECIALTIES,
2011
61 www.solidiance.com
Physicians, surgeons, and anesthetists are on the list of top three specialists that
will be in shortage for now and within the next the 6 years. Considering population
structure and medical school attendants, shortage in the number of physicians will
surge due to aging population. Universal health care scheme, expansion of private
hospitals, rising number of chronic disease patients along with rising expectations
to receive treatments from specialists are all aggravating the specialist shortage
situations.
PHYSICIANS, SURGEONS, AND ANESTHETISTS ARE
TOP THREE SPECIALISTS WHICH ARE IN SHORTAGES
IN THAILAND.
62 www.solidiance.com
Source: Thailand Information Center for Civil Rights And Investigative Journalism
CURRENT MEDICAL
SPECIALIST SHORTAGE
FUTURE MEDICAL
SPECIALIST SHORTAGE,
2019
63 www.solidiance.com
Currently, any patients in Thailand can access medical specialists without having prior
consultation by general practitioners or family physicians – this has led to inefficiency,
redundancy, as well as unnecessary diagnostic and treatments.
To increase the efficiency and effectiveness of medical specialists role, the country
needs 5,600 family physicians. Family physician’s role is to provide primary and
secondary care while reducing burden or tertiary care providers by preventing
patients from unnecessary access to tertiary care.
PATIENTS
FAMILY PHYSICIAN
SPECIALISTS
5,600 FAMILY PHYSICIANS ARE REQUIRED IN
PUBLIC HOSPITALS FOR BETTER EFFICIENCY AND
EFFECTIVENESS OF USING MEDICAL SPECIALISTS
64 www.solidiance.com
NOVEMBER 2013
JANUARY - APRIL 2014
MAY - AUGUST 2014
DECEMBER 2013
•	 Protests broke out after the government proposed an amnesty
bill that allowed Thaksin Shinawatra to return home without
facing jail time.
•	 Protesters occupied several ministries and attacked a bus that
carried government supporters. Several people were killed and
wounded in street violence.
•	 Protestors occupied major streets in Bangkok in an attempt to
“Shut Down” Bangkok .
•	 Constitutional court annulled general election and removed Ms.
Yingluck from being a Prime Minister.
•	 State of emergency was declared in Bangkok.
•	 Military leader, Gen Prayuth Chan-ocha declared Martial law,
then seized power in coup.
•	 The king of Thailand officially endorsed the coup leader as prime
minister in August.
•	 Government announced a general election which was then
boycotted by opposition.
•	 Protesters staged massive anti-government rallies in Bangkok.
A gunman killed protestors and wounded others, escalating
political tension.
SHORT-TERM DEMANDS IN HEALTHCARE INDUSTRY
ARE EXPECTED TO BE AFFECTED BY PROLONGED
POLITICAL TURMOIL IN THAILAND.
TIMELINE ON THAILAND’S
POLITICAL CRISIS,
2013 - 2014
65 www.solidiance.com
•	 Growth of GDP is expected to decrease in short-term
•	 Investors withdrew and paused their direct/indirect investment in Thailand
•	 Demands for tourism industry, account for approx. 10% of Thai GDP, declined in
short-term
DOMESTIC SEGMENT
Foreign investments in Thai healthcare industry are paused and withdrew: foreign
investors considered moving their investments to other attractive medical tourism
markets such as India, Singapore and Philippines.
Domestic patients decreased their spending on healthcare by having medical services
in less expensive hospitals or choosing substitute medical treatments that are
comparatively at lower costs due to decreasing purchasing power from low economic
activities. However, healthcare policies have not been changed since the military coup
has seized the power.
MEDICAL TOURISM SEGMENT
Medical tourism demands decreased due to political instabilities: Medical tourists
shifted their treatments to other medical tourism countries but some still chose
to have their medical treatments in Thailand. However, instead of Bangkok, these
international patients choose hospitals in other cities/provinces that have not had any
political movement.
Source: Thailand Information Center for Civil Rights And Investigative Journalism
EXPECTED EFFECT OF COUP ON
GDP GROWTH (HYPOTHESIS)
EFFECTS ON THAILAND’S
ECONOMY
EFFECTS ON THAILAND’S
ECONOMY, POST-COUP
IN 2014
66 www.solidiance.com
FUTURE
OPPORTUNITIES
IN THAILAND
TIER 2 CITIES
67 www.solidiance.com
•	 Demand for healthcare services is expected to grow as aging
population will increase the demand for both medical treatment
and care.
•	 Treatment and care for chronic diseases will be among the primary
focus for maintaining elder citizens.
•	 Aging population boom puts pressure for the government to plan
for facilitating the change by improving medical facilities and
personnel in public hospitals
IMPLICATION:
Source: National Statistic Office, Socio Economic Survey, 2011
KEY TREND 1:
Thailand will become an aged society by 2022 as the number of senior citizen is
expected to account for 19% of the total population
SUMMARY OF
THAILAND’S HEALTHCARE
INDUSTRY TRENDS AND
IMPLICATIONS
68 www.solidiance.com
•	 Urbanization outside Bangkok is one of the key drivers for private
hospitals investment.
•	 Higher purchasing power allows consumers to request better and
faster healthcare services.
•	 People are more willing to pay extra for similar healthcare services
in private hospitals as services come faster and with better-
standard.
IMPLICATION:
Source: National Statistic Office, Socio Economic Survey, 2011
KEY TREND 2:
Urbanization in Tier 2 cities boosts the purchasing power of local people. Urban
population earns 71.9% more than those in rural area.
69 www.solidiance.com
Medical tourism is one of the main drivers for private hospital
investment in the future. In 2012, the number of foreigners seeking
medical treatment in Thailand reached 2.53 million and brought THB
121.6 billion (USD 4 billion) to the country.
•	 AEC is expected to accelerate the urbanization in Thailand Tier 2
cities and border provinces, resulting in higher number of patients
who could afford premium medical care.
•	 However, better connectivity with neighbor countries could lead
to influx of labors. This puts stress to the government’s plans of
transmitted disease control.
•	 Scarcity of medical personnel, especially specialist, outside
Bangkok will be more critical in border provinces.
IMPLICATION
IMPLICATION
KEY TREND 3:
Medical tourism in Thailand grew by 17.5% CAGR from 2007- 2011. In addition, Thai
government is promoting Thailand as a hub for medical.
KEY TREND 4:
AEC is expected to encourage “Ribbon Development” of urbanization in Tier 2 cities
and border provinces, as it happened in Bangkok and vicinities over the past decade.
Source: National Statistic Office, Socio Economic Survey, 2011
70 www.solidiance.com
MEDICAL
SCHOOL
SPECIAL REGIONAL
AND GENERAL
HOSPITAL
LISTED-CHAIN
PRIVATE HOSPITAL
OTHER PUBLIC
HOSPITAL
PROVINCIAL
PRIVATE HOSPITAL
HOSPITAL SEGMENT
GENERAL PROFILE
OPPORTUNITY FOR MEDICAL TREATMENT
PUBLIC HOSPITALS PRIVATE HOSPITALS
•	 Both medical
schools and
specialized
medical
research
institutions.
•	 Equipped
with leading
personnel
and advanced
medical
devices for
super tertiary
care
•	 A starting point
for medical
students to
do training
and research;
pivotal influence
in choices of
medical devices.
•	 Requires
medical device
and procedures
with advanced
technology
to be used
for education
and treatment
purpose.
•	 Purchasing
equipment
through tender
process,
allowing medical
school to get
more choices of
brand.
•	 Holding tender
to purchase
medical
equipment,
allowing to buy
multi-brands
•	 More special
regional and
general hospitals
can meet the
demand of
producing local
doctors outside
Bangkok
•	 More advanced
medical
equipment is
expected for
training tools
•	 Tender
purchasing
process, enable
multi-brand
purchasing.
•	 Telemedicine
is expected
to play an
important
part in lesson
the stress
of specialist
shortage
outside
Bangkok.
•	 JCI standard
is expected to
drive investment
in facilities and
medical devices
in order to stay
on top of the
competition and
also to become
destination for
medical tourism.
•	 M&A of provincial
private hospital
is expected to
drive investment
in facilities,
equipment and
personnel to
maintain standard.
•	 Minimal
opportunity,
due to
shortage of
specialists and
low demand
for investment.
•	 Serving
government’s
policy in
healthcare
service
coverage both
as treatment
provider and
training facility
for medical
student.
•	 Equipped with
medium-quality
medical devices
•	 Large private
hospitals, mostly
have headquarter
in Bangkok and
vicinities.
•	 Centralized
purchasing
decision, generally
focus on one
brand
•	 Providing
mostly general
secondary care
to the public
•	 Generally, there
are very limited
number of
specialists
•	 Medium and
small scale
hospitals;
operating
independently
without
branches. Some
hospitals have
less equipment
compared
to regional
hospitals
•	 Some hospitals
are less
equipped
than regional
hospitals
71 www.solidiance.com
? KEY TAKEAWAYS
•	 Thailand is among the top AEC countries in healthcare
infrastructure.
•	 Widening gaps of affordability for upper-middle to premium
healthcare services in tier 2 cities due to urbanization boom
over the past decade.
•	 Medical tourism is expected to continue growing in major
touristic locations across the country, away from disturbance
in the capital.
•	 Aging population raises incidence of chronic non-
communicable diseases across the country.
•	 Private healthcare players are focusing on Tier 2 Cities that
are bordering with the neighboring countries to serve wider
markets in response to approaching AEC trade.
THAILAND HEALTHCARE
VIDEO PODCAST
72 www.solidiance.com
MICKAEL FEIGE
ASSOCIATE PARTNER
Mickael Feige is an Associate Partner based
in Thailand. Mickael has more than 10 years
of professional experience. He manages large
projects for Fortune 500 in various sectors such
as automotive, chemicals, construction, energy,
heavy industries and healthcare. His expertise
lies mostly in market entry, growth strategy,
industry and competitive benchmarking, and
commercial problems diagnostics. Mickael
speaks French and conversational Japanese.
He holds a Masters Degree from a joint program
between Lyon Political Science Institute and
Senshu University. He holds an MBA from
INSEAD.
WANWADEE
TIAVONGSUVAN
CONSULTANT
Wanwadee is a Consultant in Solidiance’s
Thailand office. She has more than 5 years
of experience in industry research and
consulting. Wanwadee’s expertise revolves
around applying industry information and
data to project execution for leading MNCs.
Her previous projects are such as market
entry strategy, potential partner matching,
initiatives involving scenario modeling and
data modeling. Before joining Solidiance,
Wanwadee worked with the ICT global research
and consulting companies. Wanwadee holds
a MSc (with Merit) in Marketing Management
from University of Surrey, United Kingdom and
a BA in Economics from Thammasat University,
majoring Industrial Economics.
AUTHORS
73 www.solidiance.com
WHAT WE DO
Soldiance is a corporate strategy consulting
firm with focus on Asia Pacific. We advise
CEOs on make-or-break deals, define new
business models and accelerate Asia growth.
Through our 10 offices across Asia, we provide
our clients with a better understanding of
intrinsic regional issues. To learn more about
how Solidiance has helped many Fortune 500
& Asian Conglomerates to succeed in Asia,
please visit: http://www.solidiance.com/clients.
WHAT WE ARE FOCUSING ON
Our industry experience is centered on
industrial applications, chemicals, downstream
oil, lubricants and the automotive industry.
Our Asian market entry and growth strategy
services provide the required insights and the
necessary roadmap to capture a profitable
market share in the region.
ADDITIONAL DETAILS
Solidiance has offices in China, India,
Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines,
Singapore, Thailand, UAE and Vietnam. We are
fast expanding and always on the lookout for
exceptional people.
ABOUT US
74 www.solidiance.com
CHINA
Suite 516, Fuxing Plaza 109
Yan Dang Road
Shanghai 200020
P.R.China
t : +86 21 5301 9980
MALAYSIA
5th Floor, Menara Hap Seng
Jalan P.Ramlee
Kuala Lumpur 50250
t :  +60 32022 1400
SINGAPORE
Suite 07-05
High Street Centre
1 North Bridge Road
Singapore 179094
t : +65 3152 0301
VIETNAM
Suite 704,
Satra Dong Khoi Building
58 Dong Khoi Street District 1,
Ho Chi Minh City
t : +84 8 3521 8639
INDONESIA
Oleos I Building
6th FLoor - Unit 612
Jl. Mampang Prapatan Raya
No. 139A, Jakarta 12950
t : +62 21 7918 0330
MYANMAR
4th Floor, Shwe Gon Plaza
Kabar Aye Pagoda Road
Bahan Township,
Yangon 11201
t : +95 1 556076
THAILAND
Interchange Tower 21
#2109 - 21F399
Sukhumvit Road
North Klongtoey, Wattana
Bangkok 10110
t : +66-2 611 2665
INDIA
A-9, Third Avenue,
Bandh Road
New Delhi
t : +91 999 99 88859 
PHILIPPINES
Unit 2105, Tycoon Centre
Pearl Drive, Ortigas Centre
Pasig City, Metro Manila
t : +63 2531 8346
UAE
Suite 10044B - TwoFour54
Park Rotana Building
Khalifa Park Road
Eastern Ring Rd - Abu Dhabi
United Arab Emirates
PO Box 769338
t : +971 50 834 3971
WWW.SOLIDIANCE.COM INFO@SOLIDIANCE.COM
75 www.solidiance.com

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Future of Thailand's Healthcare Industry in tier 2 cities

  • 1. Solidiance has produced this white paper for information purposes only. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information and data contained herein, Solidiance bears no responsibility for any possible errors and omissions. All information, views, and advice are given in good faith but without any legal responsibility; the information contained should not be regarded as a substitute for legal and/or commercial advice. Copyright restrictions (including those of third parties) are to be observed. OUTLOOK FOR 2015 - 2020 THE FUTURE OF THAILAND’S HEALTHCARE INDUSTRY IN TIER 2 CITIES
  • 2. TABLE OF CONTENTS 3 52 4 60 29 67 40 73 ABSTRACT TOP DISEASES IN THAILAND TIER 2 CITIES THAILAND HEALTHCARE OVERVIEW KEY CHALLENGES IN HEALTHCARE INDUSTRY IN THAILAND TIER 2 CITIES DRIVERS FOR MEDICAL SERVICES IN THAILAND TIER 2 CITIES FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES IN THAILAND TIER 2 CITIES THAILAND HEALTHCARE INDUSTRY OVERVIEW AUTHORS 2 www.solidiance.com
  • 3. ABSTRACT Thailand is among the Southeast Asian countries with advanced economic development and healthcare infrastructure. Bangkok has been the center of both economic and social development in Thailand over the past decade. However, Tier 2 cities or smaller cities outside Bangkok are increasingly expanding with the growth of private and public sectors. These cities generally serve as regional hubs and have common characteristics of being highly urbanized compared to other provinces in the same region. As Tier 2 cities have been urbanized, their population has grown more affluent. They are accustomed to better living standard and demanding more. Healthcare services are among many services that people in these cities, with better income and education, would be willing to pay for. As geographical landscape of investment changes, it is crucial for healthcare businesses to act according to this future change. 3 www.solidiance.com
  • 5. HEALTHCARE SPENDING, BY COUNTRIES (% OF GDP) THAILAND HEALTHCARE EXPENDITURES (IN BILLION THB) Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, WHO THAILAND HEALTHCARE SPENDING Private Healthcare Expenditure Government Healthcare Expenditure 2.6 8.2 8.2 9.3 10.1 9.9 10.5 11.4 12.5 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.7 4.0 5 www.solidiance.com
  • 6. Healthcare expenditure in Thailand is still very low in comparison to Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries and China. However, the country’s health expenditure is slightly higher than its peers in AEC. Publicsectoristhemaindriverofhealthcare spending in Thailand. Spending comes mainly from the Ministry of Public Health and from insurance schemes i.e. national universal healthcare, social security and civil service scheme. Urbanization and medical tourism are the main drivers for investment in private sector, especially in cities outside Bangkok. 6 www.solidiance.com
  • 7. PER CAPITA HEALTH EXPENDITURE (PPP*) COMPARISON, 2011 GOVERNMENT SHARE OF TOTAL HEALTHCARE EXPENDITURE, 2011 Source: WHO World Health Statistics 2014 Singapore, Brunei, and Malaysia are the only AEC countries with per capital health expenditure (PPP) above global median. While Thailand is slightly below global median, it is still higher than its peers in AEC. Unlike in Singapore where private sector is the main contributor to healthcare expenditure, in Thailand and other leading AEC nations in this category such as Brunei, the government plays an important role in healthcare expenditure. Universal Coverage and Civil Servant Medical Benefit Scheme account for the bulk of the Thai government’s spending in healthcare. 7 www.solidiance.com
  • 8. * CSMBS’s dependents coverage includes parents, spouse, and children under 18 ** Beneficiaries in private insurance are also covered by public scheme Source: Ministry of Public Health, National Economic and Social Development, National Health Security Office UC, SSS and CSMBS are three main health insurance schemes. A combination of these health insurance schemes, resulting in a 99.47% universal coverage among the entire population. THAI HEALTHCARE SCHEME Citizen entitlement Thai citizen 47 Million Government (USD 62/ Cap) National Health Security Office, Ministry of Public Health Social Security Office, Ministry of Labour and Welfare Controller General, Ministry of Finance Private Insurance Companies Government (USD 320/ Cap) Insurance buyers Tri-party: employer, employee, government (USD 63/Cap) 10 Million 5-6 Million 6-9 Million** Mandatory Private sector employee Fringe benefit Government employee, dependents * and retirees Private contract Insured employees and employers MANAGEMENT ORGANIZATION 8 www.solidiance.com
  • 9. INCREASING GOVERNMENT’S SPENDING TO STRENGTHEN THE UNIVERSAL COVERAGE SCHEME FOR THE PAST 10 YEARS: Total government budget for Universal Healthcare Scheme was 51 billion baht in 2002 (USD 1.6 billion), 91 billion baht in 2007 (USD 2.9 billion) and up to 106 billion baht in 2009 (USD 3.4 billion). The budget was spent primarily for patient treatments, hospital facilities and medical equipment expenditures. Privately-insured patients are also covered by the public healthcare scheme but they do not regularly use it. Source: Ministry of Public Health, National Economic and Social Development, National Health Security Office UNIVERSAL HEALTHCARE SCHEME STRUCTURE IN THAILAND 9 www.solidiance.com
  • 10. 2002 2009 2012 PM Thaksin (Thai Rak Thai party) initiated the 30-baht per visit universal healthcare scheme. The program had increased access to healthcare from 76% of the population to 96%. The Democrat Party was in power. It scrapped the 30-baht per visit program, changing it to free universal healthcare for the public. Pheu Thai Party reinstituted the 30 bahtprogram,claiming that the program would reduce burden on the government’s budget. However, many observers said that the party simply wanted to revive the image of its populist scheme. Source: The Nation, Bangkok Post MILESTONES OF UNIVERSAL HEALTHCARE SCHEME IN THAILAND 10 www.solidiance.com
  • 11. The National Health Security Fund (NHSF) that manages the most population coverage of 47 million on Universal Coverage (UC) received the biggest share of funds allocated by the government. However, only 32.8 million out of 47 million have received services under the universal healthcare scheme, according to the Ministry of Healthcare (MoH). The government is trying to limit the budget for the country’s medical insurance after healthcare costs have been skyrocketing in the past few years. After the reform of healthcare coverage in 2002, UC has become the most important social tool in the health system and this policy will likely continue in the future. The question remains whether the quality will be still be there as the cost rises. Source: The Nation, Bangkok Post BUDGET ALLOCATION PLAN (IN BILLION USD), 2013 GOVERNMENT’S HEALTHCARE BUDGET : USD 6.5 BILLION IN 2013 11 www.solidiance.com
  • 12. Hospital beds per population in AEC nations are still below the global median, except for Brunei. This provides more room for expansion in healthcare sectors. While Thailand is among other AEC nations whose numbers of hospital beds stand is lower than global median, the country’s number of hospital beds is significantly higher than AEC median. Source: WHO World Health Statistics 2014 THAILAND HEALTHCARE INFRASTRUCTURE NUMBER OF HOSPITAL BEDS PER 10,000 POPULATION, 2013 12 www.solidiance.com
  • 13. Despite having relatively advanced economies in comparison to other AEC nations, Thailand’s number of doctors per 10,000 population is below average. The limited number of doctors in Thailand is one of the major hurdles that hamper the growth of its healthcare industry. Source: WHO World Health Statistics 2014 NUMBER OF DOCTORS PER 10,000 POPULATION, 2013 13 www.solidiance.com
  • 14. Thailand covers an area of approximately 514,000 square kilometers which consists of 77 provinces (note that in this paper we will refer more as cities rather than provinces). The country is divided into 4 regions: North, Northeast, Central and South, in which at least one of the Tier 2 cities is located. As of December 2013, Thailand had a total population of 64.9 million, more than 95% of which is covered by health insurance schemes. Thailand demographic comprises of 31.53 million males and 32.55 million females with a growth rate of 0.3- 0.6% per annum over the past decade. Source: Population Registration based on National Statistics Office Total population in Thailand was 64.9 Million in 2013 HOW LARGE IS THAILAND’S HEALTHCARE MARKET? TOTAL POPULATION (IN MILLION) BY GENDER 14 www.solidiance.com
  • 15. 1. CANCERS 2. ACCIDENTS AND POISONINGS 3. HYPERTENSION AND CEREBROVASCULAR DISEASES Source: Ministry of Public Health, Bureau of Policy and Strategy, 2013 THAILAND HEALTHCARE SITUATION: TOP 5 CAUSES OF DEATH 15 www.solidiance.com
  • 16. 5. PNEUMONIA AND OTHER LUNG DISEASES 4. HEART DISEASES There is an increasing numbers of deaths from heart disease, hypertension, and stroke. Declining numbers of deaths from accidents and poisonings are due to better education about road safety and driving behavior and stricter regulations from the government. Source: Ministry of Public Health, Bureau of Policy and Strategy, 2013 16 www.solidiance.com
  • 17. 1. RESPIRATORY SYSTEM DISEASE 2. CIRCULATORY SYSTEM DISEASES 3. ENDOCRINE, NUTRITIONAL AND METABOLIC DISEASES Source: Ministry of Public Health, Bureau of Policy and Strategy, 2013 TOP 5 CAUSES OF OUTPATIENT VISITS IN THAILAND (MILLIONS) 2004 - 2012 17 www.solidiance.com
  • 18. 5. MUSCULOSKELETAL SYSTEM AND CONNECTIVE TISSUE DISEASES 4. DIGESTIVE SYSTEM DISEASES Diseases of the respiratory system is the main cause of OPD (out- patient department) visits in Thailand. Number of OPD is in an upward trend as a result of healthcare scheme, covering medical expense of most population. Source: Ministry of Public Health, Bureau of Policy and Strategy, 2013 18 www.solidiance.com
  • 19. 1. HYPERTENSIVE DISEASES 2. HEMORRHAGIC CONDITIONS AND OTHER DISEASES OF BLOOD AND IMMUNE MECHANISM 3. DISEASES OF THE DIGESTIVE SYSTEM Source: Ministry of Public Health, Bureau of Policy and Strategy, 2013 TOP 5 CAUSES OF INPATIENT IN THAILAND (THOUSANDS) 2004 - 2012 19 www.solidiance.com
  • 20. 4. DIABETES MELLITUS 5. OTHER HEART DISEASES AND DISEASES OF PULMONARY CIRCULATION Endocrine, nutritional and metabolic diseases have the highest growth rate. The number of patient because of the disease have increased approximately 4 times since 2006. All top-five diseases show a growing trend with a rapid change in 2011. Source: Ministry of Public Health, Bureau of Policy and Strategy, 2013 20 www.solidiance.com
  • 21. Source: WHO World Health Statistics 2014 Life expectancy of Thailand population has increased as healthcare services improve. This will push up Thailand’s aging population by 2020. WHAT ARE THE DRIVERS OF FUTURE DEMAND FOR HEALTH SERVICES? LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH, 2012 21 www.solidiance.com
  • 22. Thai’s life expectancy is slightly higher than the average of its AEC peers. Like other countries, aging population comes with geriatric diseases. Hence, this is becoming a critical concern for the already under-budgeted healthcare system. The next charts depict Thailand population by age group in 2000 and projected population in 2020 respectively, it is clear that aging population will become a significant issue in the next decades. 22 www.solidiance.com
  • 24. AGING POPULATION IS EXPECTED TO DRIVE DEMAND FOR HEALTHCARE SERVICES IN THE NEXT 10 YEARS AS AGED POPULATION IS FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR 19% OF THE POPULATION. According to National Economic and Social Development Board (NESDB), aged population in Thailand is expected to account for 19% of the total population by 2020. The number of people aged 60 years and above is expected to grow rapidly at 5.5% annually. WHO also forecasts that aging population will account for 30% of the population by 2050. As a result, demand for healthcare services whether for maintaining or treating of elderly health will surge in the near future. This also puts a challenge for both public and private healthcare stakeholders when planning to invest for facilities, medical equipment and medical workers. 2012 2022 Source: National Economic and Social Development Board, 2013 PERCENTAGE OF THAI POPULATION BY AGE GROUP 24 www.solidiance.com
  • 25. “Urbanization is the main driver of future demand for healthcare services. As urban population generally possess higher purchasing power, they demand better level of services and willing to pay for services in private hospitals”, Assistant Managing Director of a Private Chain-hospital, Health Focus.org “ “ 25 www.solidiance.com
  • 26. Urbanization in Thailand has been growing rapidly since 1990s. Over the past decade, the country has experienced booming economic development through exports and industrialization. In 2020, urban population is expected to account for 38% of the overall population in Thailand. Source: United Nations, World Urbanization prospects database FORECAST OF URBAN AND RURAL POPULATION IN THAILAND 1990 - 2020 26 www.solidiance.com
  • 27. The former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra initiated the medical tourism in 2003. The Medical Tourism Promotion project highlighted Thailand’s high quality medical services at relatively more competitive prices compared to medical services in developed countries. The Tourism Authority of Thailand targets high growth for medical tourism. It expects the AEC agreements to boost the growth of foreign patients while facilitating the flow of people within ASEAN countries. Source: Ministry of Public Health NUMBER OF FOREIGN PATIENTS ARRIVING IN THAILAND & GENERATED REVENUE 2007 - 2012 MEDICAL TOURISM IN THAILAND HAS BEEN GROWING RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST 5 YEARS FOR THE NUMBER OF PATIENTS AND REVENUE. Revenue (Million THB)Number of foreign patients 27 www.solidiance.com
  • 28. THREE GROUPS OF FOREIGNERS POPULAR MEDICAL TREATMENTS Foreign Residents Orthopedics Tourists Heart Surgery Visitors Seeking Specific Medical Treatments Cosmetic Surgery Dental Works 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 THERE WERE ESTIMATED 2.53 MILLION FOREIGN PATIENTS COMING TO THAILAND IN 2012 FOR ITS HEALTHCARE SERVICES, GENERATING INCOME OF USD 4.9 BILLION. 28 www.solidiance.com
  • 29. DRIVERS FOR MEDICAL SERVICES IN THAILAND TIER 2 CITIES 29 www.solidiance.com
  • 30. CHARACTERISTICS OF TIER 2 CITIES: • Ranked among the top 20 most populous city in the country (>1 million of population size) • Ranked among the highest GDP per capita in each region • Ranked among the top 20 city with the highest numbers of medical institutes • Ranked among the top 20 city with the highest numbers of in-patient beds (>2,500 in-patient beds) What are Thailand Tier 2 Cities? Chiang Mai, Khon Kaen, Surat Thani, Ubon Ratchathani, Nakhon Ratchasrima, Chonburi and Songkhla. CHARACTERISTICS OF TIER 2 CITIES 30 www.solidiance.com
  • 31. CHIANG MAI • Population: 1.65 million (49% male, 51% female), 56% urban population • Average monthly income: 18,323 baht • Medical facility: 58 institutions/ 6,617 inpatient beds • The top 3 causes of death: Cancer, Nephritis and nephritic syndrome, Hypertension and cerebrovascular diseases KHON KAEN • Population: 1.78 million (50% male, 50% female), 40% urban population • Average monthly income: 16,030 baht • Medical facility: 33 institutions/ 4,000 inpatient beds • The top 3 causes of death: Cancer, Nephritis and nephritic syndrome, Hypertension and cerebrovascular diseases UBON RATCHATHANI • Population: 1.82million (50% male, 50% female), 24% urban population • Average monthly income: 21,660 baht • Medical facility: 30 institutions/ 3,260 in-patient beds • The top 3 causes of death: Cancer, Nephritis and nephritic syndrome, Hypertension and cerebrovascular diseases Source: National STatistics Office 2010, 2011, 2013 THAILAND TIER 2 CITIES’ PROFILES 31 www.solidiance.com
  • 32. CHONBURI • Population: 1.34 million (49% male, 51% female), 75% urban population • Average monthly income: 23,007 baht • Medical facility: 36 institutions/ 3,893 inpatient beds • The top 3 causes of death: Cancer, heart diseases, pneumonia and other lung diseases SURAT THANI • Population: 1.01million (49% male, 51% female), 41% urban population • Average monthly income: 34,417 baht • Medical facility: 34 institutions/ 2,806 inpatient beds • The top 3 causes of death: Cancer, heart diseases, hypertension and cerebrovascular diseases SONGKHLA • Population: 1.37 million (49% male, 51% female), 54% urban population • Average monthly income: 21,711 baht • Medical facility: 52 institutions/ 3,257 inpatient beds • The top 3 causes of death: Cancer, heart diseases, hypertension and cerebrovascular diseases NAKHON RATCHASIMA • Population: 2.59 million (49% male, 51% female), 26% urban population • Average monthly income: 19,399 baht • Medical facility: 48 institutions/ 3,928 inpatient beds • The top 3 causes of death: Cancer, Nephritis and nephritic syndrome, Hypertension and cerebrovascular diseases Source: National STatistics Office 2010, 2011, 2013 32 www.solidiance.com
  • 33. 2002 2012 Source: National Statistical Office Bangkok accounted for 35% of Thailand’s GDP in 2002 while other provinces made up 6% of the country’s GDP. In 2012, Bangkok GDP was estimated at THB 3,550 million (USD 118 million), representing only 29% of the country’s GDP. Over the decade, Bangkok’s maturing economy had lost its pace of economic growth to the urbanizing provinces. While Bangkok GDP grows at average of 3.7% annually, overall Thailand GDP grows at 4.2% which represents significant growth contribution from other provinces. THE ECONOMY OUTSIDE BANGKOK AND VICINITIES HAS BECOME MORE RELEVANT TO THE OVERALL THAILAND GDP OVER THE PAST DECADE. SHARES OF GDP (%) 33 www.solidiance.com
  • 34. Note: Population Census is conducted every 10 years. Source: Population Census based on National Statistical Office The graph above represents percentage of urbanized population in Bangkok vicinities and other Tier 2 Cities in 2000 and 2010. During the decade, Tier 2 Cities had an average of 57% growth in urbanized population compared to a single digit growth in Bangkok vicinities. As a matter of fact, Chonburi is significantly more urbanized than Bangkok vicinities with approximately 3 out of 4 population living in urban areas. TIER 2 CITIES IN THAILAND HAVE EXPERIENCED THE EXPLOSION OF URBANIZATION IN THE LAST DECADE. URBANIZATION IN TIER 2 CITIES 34 www.solidiance.com
  • 35. Note: Population Census is conducted every 10 years. Source: Population Census based on National Statistical Office Compared to Bangkok, most of the Tier 2 Cities have experienced high growth in household income. This is also one of the results of the fast growing urbanization outside Bangkok which is increasing jobs and purchasing power to local people. IN LINE WITH THE INCREASE OF URBANIZATION, THAILAND TIER 2 CITIES HAVE EXPERIENCED SIGNIFICANT GROWTH IN HOUSEHOLD INCOME 35 www.solidiance.com
  • 36. Note: vicinities include Nonthaburi, Pathum Thani, Nokorn Pathom, Samut Prakarn and Samut Sakorn THAILAND TIER 2 CITIES BACKGROUND NUMBER OF POPULATION IN BANGKOK VS. TIER 2 CITIES (‘000) BY GENDER, 2011 36 www.solidiance.com
  • 37. Note: Population Census is conducted every 10 years Source: National Statistic Office Approximately 19% of the total population lives in these Tier 2 Cities, compare to 13% in Bangkok. As the country continues to become urbanized, the number of urban population in Tier 2 Cities is now reaching 5 million, which accounts for almost 10% of the total population in 2010. NUMBER OF URBAN POPULATION IN BANGKOK VS. TIER 2 CITIES (‘000), 2010 37 www.solidiance.com
  • 38. Source: Ministry of Public Health CHIANG MAI 42 13 27 3 UBON RATCHATHANI 32 3 KHON KAEN 25 7 SURAT THANI 24 5 SONGKHLA 20 11 CHONBURI 35 8 NAKHON RATCHASIMA Public Hospitals Private Hospitals NUMBER OF HOSPITALS IN THAI TIER 2 CITIES (2013) 38 www.solidiance.com
  • 41. PUBLIC HOSPITALS The main investment objective of the government is to provide nationwide healthcare service coverage. Hospitals are divided according to the level of the sophistication of services. Patients with severe cases will be referred to the nearest and better- equipped facilities. REGIONAL HOSPITAL GENERAL HOSPITAL COMMUNITY HOSPITAL PUBLIC HEALTHCARE CENTER • Bed: > 500 • 26 regional hospitals, serving healthcare in 4 regions • Tertiary Care • Bed: 120 - 500 • 71 general hospitals nationwide • Secondary Care • Bed: 10 - 120 • 723 community hospitals nationwide • Secondary Care • Primary Care • Bed: 0 • Primary Care Note: Shows patient referral route HOSPITAL SEGMENTATION IN THAILAND 41 www.solidiance.com
  • 42. PRIVATE HOSPITALS Currently, there are 321 private hospitals nationwide. Similar to other businesses, private hospitals aim to maximize their resources to generate income. Providing services for treatments and maintaining health have become key selling points of private hospitals. LISTED-CHAIN HOSPITAL PROVINCIAL PRIVATE HOSPITAL There are 8 hospitals listed in the Stock Exchange of Thailand: • Aikchol Hospital (AHC) • Bangkok Dusit Medical Services(BGH) • Krungdhon Hospital (KDH) • Lanna Hospital(LNH) • Mahachai Hospital (M-CHAI) • Ramkhanhaeng Hospital (RAM) • Samitivej Hospital (SVH) • Vibhavadi Hospital (VIBHA) As of 2014, provincial private hospitals are generally medium-to-small size hospitals, facilitating needs for faster and more comfortable services compared to public hospitals. 42 www.solidiance.com
  • 43. Public hospital system is the backbone of healthcare system in Thailand for the majority of Thai people. Public hospital system can be classified into 2 main categories according to their respective authority: Apart from public hospitals, the government is also responsible for funding most of specialized medical research institutions in Thailand. MINISTRY OF PUBLIC HEALTH Supervising most public hospitals in Thailand. They can also be classified into 2 main subcategories according to their jurisdiction: MINISTRY OF EDUCATION Governing most medical schools which have Super Tertiary Care ca- pacities. CENTRAL JURISDICTION A number of public hospitals or medical institutions are under central jurisdiction. Most of them are public hospitals in Bangkok or special medical institutions devoting to certain types of diseases such as National Cancer Institute. PROVINCIAL JURISDICTION Governing the largest number of hospitals in Thailand. Nearly all public hospitals in Thailand outside Bangkok are under this category. MOST HOSPITALS IN THAILAND ARE PROVINCIAL PUBLIC HOSPITALS AND UNDER SUPERVISION OF MINISTRY OF PUBLIC HEALTH. 43 www.solidiance.com
  • 44. Medical schools in Thailand have the most advanced medical capacities (Super Tertiary Care) as they are fully equipped with skilled medical experts or workers and medical equipment/devices. As of 2013, they are considered the best in public health system and yet affordable among Thais. Currently, there are 13 medical schools in Thailand: HOSPITALS LOCATIONUNIVERSITIES HOSPITAL BEDS Maharaj Nakorn Chiang Mai Hospital Siriraj Hospital King Chulalongkorn Memorial Hospital Phramongkutklao Hospital Ramathibodi Hospital Vajira Hospital Srinagarind Hospital Songklanagarind Hospital HRH Princess Maha Chakri Sirindhorn Medical Center Thammasat University Hospital Panyananthaphikkhu Chonprathan Medical Center Mae Fah Luang University Hospital Naresuan University Hospital Chaing Mai University Mahidol University Thai Red Cross Society Royal Thai Army Mahidol University Navamindradhiraj University Khon Kaen University Prince of Songkla University Srinakharinwirot University Thammasat University Srinakharinwirot University Mae Fah Luang University Naresuan University Chaing Mai Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Bangkok Khon Kaen Songkhla Nakhon Nayok Pathum Thani Nonthaburi Chiang Rai Nakhon Sawan 1,375 2,221 1,439 1,236 1,378 875 991 855 500 439 320 107 400 Source: Solidiance interviews and medical institutes’ online websites THAILAND HAS 13 MEDICAL SCHOOLS WITH MOST ADVANCED MEDICAL CAPABILITY AND EQUIPPED WITH THE BEST MEDICAL WORKERS AS WELL AS DEVICES. 44 www.solidiance.com
  • 45. National Cancer Institute, Central Chest Institute of Thailand, Queen Sirikit National Institute of Child Health, Institute of Dermatology, and Neurological Institute are some examples of specialized hospitals or institutions in Thailand. Specialized hospitals / institutions are established to develop academic knowledge, to provide advanced medical treatments for their respective diseases. Hence, these specialized hospitals / institutions are better-equipped with relatively advanced medical devices and personnel for their respective disease. It is also a part of their scope of work to keep up with advancements in their respective fields. SPECIALIZED HOSPITALS USUALLY HAVE MORE ADVANCED MEDICAL EQUIPMENT AND PERSONNEL FOR THEIR RESPECTIVE DISEASES. 45 www.solidiance.com
  • 46. Recent trend of leading medical schools participation in private hospital businesses has been a controversial issue. Critics view this trend as switching government resources to serve the needs of few. THESE MEDICAL SCHOOLS’ MOVEMENTS HAVE BEEN AIMED FOR: • Preventing highly trained medical staffs from serving 100% in public sectors by offering them an opportunity to make money within the private business units of its medical school • Developing superior medical expertise with better facilities • Coping with the insufficient subsidy received from government healthcare scheme MEDICAL SCHOOL BUDGET PRIVATE HOSPITAL BUSINESS Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University Faculty of Medicine, Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University Siriraj Piyamaharajkarun Hospital Srinagarind Hospital Maharaj Nakorn Chiang Mai Hospital (Suandok Hospital) Songklanagarind Hospital Ramathibodi Hospital THB 7 billion (USD 233mn) Opened 26 April 2013 THB 2.4 billion (USD 80mn) (to be opened soon) Under construction Under construction Under construction Source: Thailand Information Center for Civil Rights And Investigative Journalism GOVERNMENT’S MEDICAL SCHOOLS ARE NOW VENTURING INTO PRIVATE HOSPITAL BUSINESS, NOT ONLY IN BANGKOK BUT ALSO IN OTHER CITIES. 46 www.solidiance.com
  • 47. Urbanization in Thailand’s Tier 2 Cities is expected to surge as one of the impacts of AEC in line with the investment in transportation infrastructure. As in evidence from the past decade, “Ribbon development” is the main urban development in Thailand. Most of urban areas happened along with the transportation infrastructure. The urbanization in Tier 2 Cities has resulted in population with higher purchasing power, leading to demand for better healthcare. These recent trends have led to aggressive expansion of private hospitals in Tier 2 and border cities. Large private hospitals (mostly based in Bangkok) are expanding to capture the health care demands in Tier 2 Cities which are growing at a fast pace. AEC URBANIZATION DEMAND FOR BETTER HEALTHCARE HIGHER PURCHASING POWER Source: Health Focus, Thailand PRIVATE HOSPITALS IN THAILAND ARE TARGETING TIER 2 CITIES BECAUSE OF THE EXPECTED GROWING DEMAND FOR HEALTHCARE SERVICES BOOSTED BY THE ASEAN ECONOMIC COMMUNITY (AEC) AND INCREASING URBANIZATION. 47 www.solidiance.com
  • 48. • Chiang Mai Ram Hospital • Khon Kaen Ram Hospital • Lanna Hospital • Udon Thani Hospital • Ubon Ratchanthani Hospital • World Medical Center Pattaya • Kasemrad Sriburin Hospital • Bangkok Hospital Chiangmai • Sri-Rayong Hospital • Dibuk Hospital (Phuket) • Bangkok Hospital Khon Kaen • Samitivej Chonburi Hospital • Jomtien Hospital (Pattaya) Mae Hong Son Koh Chang Koh Samui Chumphon Phuket Krabi Khao Lak Hua Hin Koh Samet Kanchanaburi Chaing Mai Pattaya Bangkok Khon Kaen Chaing Rai Source: Hospitals’ investor relation document, Q3 2013 PRIVATE HOSPITALS IN THAILAND ARE TARGETING TIER 2 CITIES BECAUSE OF THE EXPECTED GROWING DEMAND FOR HEALTHCARE SERVICES FROM THE ASEAN ECONOMIC COMMUNITY (AEC) AND URBANIZATION. 48 www.solidiance.com
  • 49. BGH, the owner of Bangkok group hospital, currently operates 29 hospitals located in Bangkok and other provinces. Bangkok remains BGH’s main revenue source, accounting for 66% of its total revenue. However, revenue from other provinces is growing at much faster rate. In 2012, BGH’s revenue from Bangkok’s operation grew by 14% while the revenue from operations outside Bangkok grew by 17-18%. BGH believes there is plenty of room for expansion, considering the number of hospital beds per population (300 population per hospital beds in Bangkok, 500 – 600 population per hospital beds in Bangkok). • It aims to increase its hospitals to 50 hospitals in 2015 from 21 in line with AEC • BGH also planned to open Sunthornpoo Hospital in Khonkaen in 2013 1. BANGKOK DUSIT MEDICAL SERVICES (“BGH”) INVESTMENT PLAN Source: Health Focus, Thailand THAILAND PRIVATE HOSPITALS’ ARE APPROACHING TO TIER 2 CITIES – TO SERVE NOT ONLY THE NEEDS IN TIER 2 CITIES BUT ALSO THOSE OF NEIGHBORING COUNTRIES. 49 www.solidiance.com
  • 50. Ramkhamhaeng Hospital Chain comprises 25 hospitals with 6 hospitals are in Bangkok. Remaining 19 hospitals are in other provinces. 9 hospitals are located in the North, 3 in the Northeast, 1 in the West, and 6 in the Middle. Ramkhamhaeng Hospital Chain’s growth will be coming from the renovation of existing hospitals and expansion of new branches through business partnership. Expansion will focus in the North and Northeast where Ramkhamhaeng is more familiar, while there is no expansion plan in South and the East. Ramkhamhaeng Hospital Chain currently controls 85% market share of private hospital in the north. It aims to expand in the Northeast, targeting high potential provinces without big hospitals such as Udonthani and Ubonratchatha. • The chain plans to spend THB 0.6 billion (USD 20mn) to improve 3 of its existing operations in provinces: • THB 50 million (USD 1.6mn) for Chiangmairam Hospital to revamp servicing area to attract young customers and foreigners • THB 400 million (USD 13mn) for Lanna Hospital to add 100 hospital beds • THB100million(USD3.3mn)forKhonkaenram Hospital to purchase medical equipment for specific practices 2. RAMKHAMHAENG HOSPITAL CHAIN INVESTMENT PLAN Source: Health Focus, Thailand 50 www.solidiance.com
  • 51. Bangkok Chain Hospital is the owner of Kasemrad Hospital. Bangkok Chain Hospital has operations in 3 provinces outside Bangkok: Nonthaburi, Saraburi and Chaingrai. While they continue to look for expansion opportunities, they spent their 2013 budget of THB 3.1 billion (USD 103mn) budget primarily on existing operations:It plans to allocate THB 0.72 billion (USD 24mn) for KasemradSriburin Hospital and Sriburin Clinic both in Chaingrai. The fund will be used by the two hospitals to meet the demand from patients in both domestic and neighboring countries such as Myanmar and Laos. THB 1.5 billion (USD 50mn) is also allocated for construction of a new hospital which will be named `World Medical Center Pattaya’ following the success of the first one in Chaengwattana. These two are fully dedicated to serve foreigners. INVESTMENT PLAN Source: Health Focus, Thailand 3. BANGKOK CHAIN HOSPITAL 51 www.solidiance.com
  • 52. TOP DISEASES IN THAILAND TIER 2 CITIES 52 www.solidiance.com
  • 53. Cancer is an increasing health problem in Thailand (no.1 cause of death). Colorectal, liver, lung, breast and cervical cancers are the most common in the country. They account for approximately 50% of all cancer cases. Many studies have shown that colorectal and breast cancers will become increasingly important in the coming years. Source: National Statistics Office, Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention and Solidiance analysis HISTORICAL NUMBER OF DEATH FROM CANCER IN TIER 2 CITIES 2004 VS. 2011 Incidence of cancers in Thailand is increasing gradually in most Tier 2 Cities. CANCERS 53 www.solidiance.com
  • 54. Thailand Ministry of Public Health’s report shows that the number of people suffering from acute ischemic heart disease increases by 21,700 people annually or two per hour. Source: National Statistics Office, Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention and Solidiance analysis INCIDENCE OF HEART DISEASES VS. POPULATION SIZE (IN THOUSANDS), 2012 WHO Forecasts that heart diseases will be ranked first on the morbidity table in the global scale and third in the local/Thailand scale by 2030. HEART DISEASES 54 www.solidiance.com
  • 55. Source: Institute for Population and Social Research, Mahidol University, Bureau of Non-Communicable Disease HYPERTENSION VS. AGING POPULATION: Hypertension is the most common (14-27%) among the top chronic diseases in the elderly. In addition, Thailand has entered the aging society since 2004 and is aging faster than the average Southeast Asian countries. According to the Ministry of Public Health, 72- 80% of the older population suffers from chronic diseases and hypertension is the biggest group (14-27%) among the top chronic diseases in the elderly. HISTORICAL NUMBER OF HYPERTENSIVE DISEASES INCIDENCE IN TIER 2 CITIES (IN THOUSANDS) 2008- 2012 Rising number of patients suffering from hypertension and cerebrovascular diseases in some Thailand Tier 2 Cities. HYPERTENSION AND CEREBROVASCULAR DISEASES 55 www.solidiance.com
  • 56. TOTAL PERCENTAGE OF OLDER POPULATION IN THAILAND 2005REGION 2015 2025 Source: Institute for Population and Social Research, Mahidol University, Bureau of Non-Communicable Disease 8.6 % 10.8% 12.1% 9.6% 10.4% BANGKOK CENTRAL EXCL. BANGKOK NORTH NORTHEAST SOUTH 11.9% 13.1% 16.0% 14.7% 13.2% 18.6% 17.9% 23.9% 21.4% 17.8% 56 www.solidiance.com
  • 57. Source: National Statistics Office, National News Bureau of Thailand HISTORICAL NUMBER OF IN-PATIENTS FROM PNEUMONIA AND OTHER LUNG DISEASES IN THAILAND TIER 2 CITIES 2007 - 2011 In 2012 nearly 200,000 people were diagnosed with pneumonia diseases, 1,200 of whom died. PNEUMONIA AND OTHER LUNG DISEASES 57 www.solidiance.com
  • 58. “The Public Health Ministry is warning the people of catching pneumoniaduringtheprevailing cold weather while revealing over 1,000 people died of the disease last year. Dr. Narong S a h a m e t a p a t , P e r m a n e n t Secretary for Public Health, is warningtheThaipeopletowatch out for respiratory diseases, especially flu and pneumonia, which are caused by viruses that are very productive in cold weather.” National News Bureau of Thailand January 22, 2013 “ “ 58 www.solidiance.com
  • 59. Source: National Statistics Office Liver and pancreatic diseases include Hepatitis A, B, C, D and E; liver abnormality due to excessive consumption of alcoholic drinks, drugs and herbs; infections on the liver, fatty liver disease and pancreatitis. Besides liver cancer, alcoholic liver diseases and viral hepatitis are among the top 20 cases of inpatients (~10,000 cases in 2010) in Thailand. HISTORICAL NUMBER OF IN-PATIENTS FROM LIVER AND PANCREAS DISEASES IN THAILAND TIER 2 CITIES 2007 - 2011 LIVER AND PANCREAS DISEASES 59 www.solidiance.com
  • 60. KEY CHALLENGES IN HEALTHCARE INDUSTRY IN THAILAND TIER 2 CITIES 60 www.solidiance.com
  • 61. THE SHORTAGE OF SPECIALISTS IS THE MAIN CHALLENGE FOR HEALTHCARE SERVICES IN TIER 2 CITIES. The shortage affects directly the demand for sophisticated medical devices as there are insufficient resources to operate them. In 2011, Thailand has 42,890 physicians with 59% or 25,185 of them are specialists. Source: Thailand Information Center for Civil Rights And Investigative Journalism THAILAND IS FACING SHORTAGE AND IMBALANCE IN THE NUMBER OF MEDICAL SPECIALISTS, BOTH IN THE CAPITAL AND TIER 2 CITIES. NUMBER OF PHYSICIANS IN THAILAND BY SPECIALTIES, 2011 61 www.solidiance.com
  • 62. Physicians, surgeons, and anesthetists are on the list of top three specialists that will be in shortage for now and within the next the 6 years. Considering population structure and medical school attendants, shortage in the number of physicians will surge due to aging population. Universal health care scheme, expansion of private hospitals, rising number of chronic disease patients along with rising expectations to receive treatments from specialists are all aggravating the specialist shortage situations. PHYSICIANS, SURGEONS, AND ANESTHETISTS ARE TOP THREE SPECIALISTS WHICH ARE IN SHORTAGES IN THAILAND. 62 www.solidiance.com
  • 63. Source: Thailand Information Center for Civil Rights And Investigative Journalism CURRENT MEDICAL SPECIALIST SHORTAGE FUTURE MEDICAL SPECIALIST SHORTAGE, 2019 63 www.solidiance.com
  • 64. Currently, any patients in Thailand can access medical specialists without having prior consultation by general practitioners or family physicians – this has led to inefficiency, redundancy, as well as unnecessary diagnostic and treatments. To increase the efficiency and effectiveness of medical specialists role, the country needs 5,600 family physicians. Family physician’s role is to provide primary and secondary care while reducing burden or tertiary care providers by preventing patients from unnecessary access to tertiary care. PATIENTS FAMILY PHYSICIAN SPECIALISTS 5,600 FAMILY PHYSICIANS ARE REQUIRED IN PUBLIC HOSPITALS FOR BETTER EFFICIENCY AND EFFECTIVENESS OF USING MEDICAL SPECIALISTS 64 www.solidiance.com
  • 65. NOVEMBER 2013 JANUARY - APRIL 2014 MAY - AUGUST 2014 DECEMBER 2013 • Protests broke out after the government proposed an amnesty bill that allowed Thaksin Shinawatra to return home without facing jail time. • Protesters occupied several ministries and attacked a bus that carried government supporters. Several people were killed and wounded in street violence. • Protestors occupied major streets in Bangkok in an attempt to “Shut Down” Bangkok . • Constitutional court annulled general election and removed Ms. Yingluck from being a Prime Minister. • State of emergency was declared in Bangkok. • Military leader, Gen Prayuth Chan-ocha declared Martial law, then seized power in coup. • The king of Thailand officially endorsed the coup leader as prime minister in August. • Government announced a general election which was then boycotted by opposition. • Protesters staged massive anti-government rallies in Bangkok. A gunman killed protestors and wounded others, escalating political tension. SHORT-TERM DEMANDS IN HEALTHCARE INDUSTRY ARE EXPECTED TO BE AFFECTED BY PROLONGED POLITICAL TURMOIL IN THAILAND. TIMELINE ON THAILAND’S POLITICAL CRISIS, 2013 - 2014 65 www.solidiance.com
  • 66. • Growth of GDP is expected to decrease in short-term • Investors withdrew and paused their direct/indirect investment in Thailand • Demands for tourism industry, account for approx. 10% of Thai GDP, declined in short-term DOMESTIC SEGMENT Foreign investments in Thai healthcare industry are paused and withdrew: foreign investors considered moving their investments to other attractive medical tourism markets such as India, Singapore and Philippines. Domestic patients decreased their spending on healthcare by having medical services in less expensive hospitals or choosing substitute medical treatments that are comparatively at lower costs due to decreasing purchasing power from low economic activities. However, healthcare policies have not been changed since the military coup has seized the power. MEDICAL TOURISM SEGMENT Medical tourism demands decreased due to political instabilities: Medical tourists shifted their treatments to other medical tourism countries but some still chose to have their medical treatments in Thailand. However, instead of Bangkok, these international patients choose hospitals in other cities/provinces that have not had any political movement. Source: Thailand Information Center for Civil Rights And Investigative Journalism EXPECTED EFFECT OF COUP ON GDP GROWTH (HYPOTHESIS) EFFECTS ON THAILAND’S ECONOMY EFFECTS ON THAILAND’S ECONOMY, POST-COUP IN 2014 66 www.solidiance.com
  • 67. FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES IN THAILAND TIER 2 CITIES 67 www.solidiance.com
  • 68. • Demand for healthcare services is expected to grow as aging population will increase the demand for both medical treatment and care. • Treatment and care for chronic diseases will be among the primary focus for maintaining elder citizens. • Aging population boom puts pressure for the government to plan for facilitating the change by improving medical facilities and personnel in public hospitals IMPLICATION: Source: National Statistic Office, Socio Economic Survey, 2011 KEY TREND 1: Thailand will become an aged society by 2022 as the number of senior citizen is expected to account for 19% of the total population SUMMARY OF THAILAND’S HEALTHCARE INDUSTRY TRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS 68 www.solidiance.com
  • 69. • Urbanization outside Bangkok is one of the key drivers for private hospitals investment. • Higher purchasing power allows consumers to request better and faster healthcare services. • People are more willing to pay extra for similar healthcare services in private hospitals as services come faster and with better- standard. IMPLICATION: Source: National Statistic Office, Socio Economic Survey, 2011 KEY TREND 2: Urbanization in Tier 2 cities boosts the purchasing power of local people. Urban population earns 71.9% more than those in rural area. 69 www.solidiance.com
  • 70. Medical tourism is one of the main drivers for private hospital investment in the future. In 2012, the number of foreigners seeking medical treatment in Thailand reached 2.53 million and brought THB 121.6 billion (USD 4 billion) to the country. • AEC is expected to accelerate the urbanization in Thailand Tier 2 cities and border provinces, resulting in higher number of patients who could afford premium medical care. • However, better connectivity with neighbor countries could lead to influx of labors. This puts stress to the government’s plans of transmitted disease control. • Scarcity of medical personnel, especially specialist, outside Bangkok will be more critical in border provinces. IMPLICATION IMPLICATION KEY TREND 3: Medical tourism in Thailand grew by 17.5% CAGR from 2007- 2011. In addition, Thai government is promoting Thailand as a hub for medical. KEY TREND 4: AEC is expected to encourage “Ribbon Development” of urbanization in Tier 2 cities and border provinces, as it happened in Bangkok and vicinities over the past decade. Source: National Statistic Office, Socio Economic Survey, 2011 70 www.solidiance.com
  • 71. MEDICAL SCHOOL SPECIAL REGIONAL AND GENERAL HOSPITAL LISTED-CHAIN PRIVATE HOSPITAL OTHER PUBLIC HOSPITAL PROVINCIAL PRIVATE HOSPITAL HOSPITAL SEGMENT GENERAL PROFILE OPPORTUNITY FOR MEDICAL TREATMENT PUBLIC HOSPITALS PRIVATE HOSPITALS • Both medical schools and specialized medical research institutions. • Equipped with leading personnel and advanced medical devices for super tertiary care • A starting point for medical students to do training and research; pivotal influence in choices of medical devices. • Requires medical device and procedures with advanced technology to be used for education and treatment purpose. • Purchasing equipment through tender process, allowing medical school to get more choices of brand. • Holding tender to purchase medical equipment, allowing to buy multi-brands • More special regional and general hospitals can meet the demand of producing local doctors outside Bangkok • More advanced medical equipment is expected for training tools • Tender purchasing process, enable multi-brand purchasing. • Telemedicine is expected to play an important part in lesson the stress of specialist shortage outside Bangkok. • JCI standard is expected to drive investment in facilities and medical devices in order to stay on top of the competition and also to become destination for medical tourism. • M&A of provincial private hospital is expected to drive investment in facilities, equipment and personnel to maintain standard. • Minimal opportunity, due to shortage of specialists and low demand for investment. • Serving government’s policy in healthcare service coverage both as treatment provider and training facility for medical student. • Equipped with medium-quality medical devices • Large private hospitals, mostly have headquarter in Bangkok and vicinities. • Centralized purchasing decision, generally focus on one brand • Providing mostly general secondary care to the public • Generally, there are very limited number of specialists • Medium and small scale hospitals; operating independently without branches. Some hospitals have less equipment compared to regional hospitals • Some hospitals are less equipped than regional hospitals 71 www.solidiance.com
  • 72. ? KEY TAKEAWAYS • Thailand is among the top AEC countries in healthcare infrastructure. • Widening gaps of affordability for upper-middle to premium healthcare services in tier 2 cities due to urbanization boom over the past decade. • Medical tourism is expected to continue growing in major touristic locations across the country, away from disturbance in the capital. • Aging population raises incidence of chronic non- communicable diseases across the country. • Private healthcare players are focusing on Tier 2 Cities that are bordering with the neighboring countries to serve wider markets in response to approaching AEC trade. THAILAND HEALTHCARE VIDEO PODCAST 72 www.solidiance.com
  • 73. MICKAEL FEIGE ASSOCIATE PARTNER Mickael Feige is an Associate Partner based in Thailand. Mickael has more than 10 years of professional experience. He manages large projects for Fortune 500 in various sectors such as automotive, chemicals, construction, energy, heavy industries and healthcare. His expertise lies mostly in market entry, growth strategy, industry and competitive benchmarking, and commercial problems diagnostics. Mickael speaks French and conversational Japanese. He holds a Masters Degree from a joint program between Lyon Political Science Institute and Senshu University. He holds an MBA from INSEAD. WANWADEE TIAVONGSUVAN CONSULTANT Wanwadee is a Consultant in Solidiance’s Thailand office. She has more than 5 years of experience in industry research and consulting. Wanwadee’s expertise revolves around applying industry information and data to project execution for leading MNCs. Her previous projects are such as market entry strategy, potential partner matching, initiatives involving scenario modeling and data modeling. Before joining Solidiance, Wanwadee worked with the ICT global research and consulting companies. Wanwadee holds a MSc (with Merit) in Marketing Management from University of Surrey, United Kingdom and a BA in Economics from Thammasat University, majoring Industrial Economics. AUTHORS 73 www.solidiance.com
  • 74. WHAT WE DO Soldiance is a corporate strategy consulting firm with focus on Asia Pacific. We advise CEOs on make-or-break deals, define new business models and accelerate Asia growth. Through our 10 offices across Asia, we provide our clients with a better understanding of intrinsic regional issues. To learn more about how Solidiance has helped many Fortune 500 & Asian Conglomerates to succeed in Asia, please visit: http://www.solidiance.com/clients. WHAT WE ARE FOCUSING ON Our industry experience is centered on industrial applications, chemicals, downstream oil, lubricants and the automotive industry. Our Asian market entry and growth strategy services provide the required insights and the necessary roadmap to capture a profitable market share in the region. ADDITIONAL DETAILS Solidiance has offices in China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, UAE and Vietnam. We are fast expanding and always on the lookout for exceptional people. ABOUT US 74 www.solidiance.com
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