Chapter 1
The History and Scope of Epidemiology
Learning Objectives
• Define the term epidemiology
• Define the components of epidemiology
  (determinants, distribution, morbidity, and mortality)
• Name and describe characteristics of the epidemiologic
  approach
• Discuss the importance of Hippocrates’ hypothesis and
  how it differed from the common beliefs of the time
• Discuss Graunt’s contributions to biostatistics and how
  they affected modern epidemiology
• Explain what is meant by the term natural
  experiments, and give at least one example
Epidemiology Defined
• Epidemiology derives from "epidemic," a
  term which provides an immediate clue to
  its subject matter. Epidemiology originates
  from the Greek words, epi (upon) + demos
  (people) + logy (study of).
Definition of Epidemiology

• Epidemiology is concerned with the
  distribution and determinants of health and
  diseases, morbidity, injuries, disability, and
  mortality in populations.
• Epidemiologic studies are applied to the
  control of health problems in populations.
Key Aspects of This Definition
•   Determinants
•   Distribution
•   Population
•   Health phenomena
•   Morbidity and mortality
Determinants

• Factors or events that are capable of
  bringing about a change in health.
Examples of Determinants
– Biologic agents--bacteria
– Chemical agents--carcinogens
– Less specific factors--
  stress, drinking, sedentary lifestyle, or high-fat
  diet
The Search for Determinants
• Anthrax outbreak
• Outbreak of Fear--Ebola virus in Kikwit,
  Zaire
• Fear on Seventh Ave.--Legionnaires’
  disease in New York City
• Red Spots on Airline Flight Attendants--
  dye from life vests
• Bioterrorism-Associated Anthrax Cases
Distribution
• Frequency of disease occurrence may
  vary from one population group to another.
Disease Distribution Examples
• Hypertension more common among young
  black men than among young white men.
• Coronary heart disease occurrence differs
  between Hispanics and non-Hispanics.
Population
• Epidemiology examines disease
  occurrence among population
  groups, not individuals.
• Epidemiology is often referred to as
  population medicine.
• The epidemiologic description indicates
  variation by age
  groups, time, geographic location, and
  other variables.
Health Phenomena
• Epidemiology investigates many
  different kinds of health outcomes:
  – Infectious diseases
  – Chronic diseases
  – Disability, injury, limitation of activity
  – Mortality
  – Active life expectancy
  – Mental illness, suicide, drug addiction
Morbidity and Mortality
• Morbidity--designates illness.
• Mortality--refers to deaths that occur in a
  population or other group.
• Note that most measures of morbidity and
  mortality are defined for specific types of
  morbidity or causes of death.
Aims and Levels
• To describe the health status of
  populations.
• To explain the etiology of disease.
• To predict the occurrence of disease.
• To control the occurrence of disease.
Foundations of Epidemiology
•   Interdisciplinary
•   Methods and procedures—quantification
•   Use of special vocabulary
•   Epidemic frequency of disease
Epidemiology Is Interdisciplinary

• Epidemiology is an interdisciplinary field
  that draws from biostatistics and the social
  and behavioral sciences, as well as from
  the medically related fields of toxicology,
  pathology, virology, genetics,
  microbiology, and clinical medicine.
Quantification
• Quantification is a central activity of
  epidemiology.
• Epidemiologic measures often require
  counting the number of cases of disease.
• Disease distributions are examined
  according to demographic variables such
  as age, sex, and race.
Epidemic
• ―The occurrence in a community or region
  of cases of an illness (or an outbreak)
  clearly in excess of expectancy…‖
• Relative to usual frequency of the disease.
Infectious Disease Epidemics
• A single case of a long absent
  communicable disease.
• First invasion of a communicable
  disease.
• Two cases of such a disease associated
  in time and place are sufficient evidence
  of transmission to be considered an
  epidemic.
Concept of Epidemic and Non-
     Infectious Diseases
• Some examples that use the concept of an
  epidemic are:
  – Love Canal
  – Brown lung disease
  – Asbestosis among shipyard workers
  – Diseases associated with lifestyle
Pandemic
• ― . . . an epidemic on a worldwide scale;
  during a pandemic, large numbers of
  persons may be affected and a disease
  may cross international borders.‖ An
  example is a flu pandemic.
Ascertainment of Epidemics

• Surveillance
• Epidemic threshold
Surveillance
• The systematic collection of data
  pertaining to the occurrence of specific
  diseases.
• Analysis and interpretation of these data.
• Dissemination of disease-related
  information.
Epidemic Threshold
• The minimum number of cases (or deaths)
  that would support the conclusion than an
  epidemic was underway.
Historical Antecedents
•   Environment and disease
•   The Black Death
•   Use of mortality counts
•   Smallpox vaccination
•   Use of natural experiments
•   Identification of specific agents of disease
•   The 1918 influenza pandemic
The Environment
• Hippocrates wrote On Airs, Waters, and
  Places in 400 BC.
• He suggested that disease might be
  associated with the physical environment.
• This represented a movement away from
  supernatural explanations of disease
  causation.
Use of Natural Experiments
• John Snow was an English physician and
  anesthesiologist.
• He investigated a cholera outbreak that
  occurred during the mid-19th century in
  Broad Street, Golden Square, London.
Snow’s Contributions
• Linked the cholera epidemic to
  contaminated water supplies.
• Used a spot map of cases and tabulation
  of fatal attacks and deaths.
Snow’s Natural Experiment
• Two different water companies supplied
  water from the Thames River to houses
  in the same area.
• The Lambeth Company moved its
  source of water to a less polluted
  portion of the river.
• Snow noted that during the next cholera
  outbreak those served by the Lambeth
  Company had fewer cases of cholera.
Natural Experiment

• Definition: The epidemiologist does not
  manipulate a risk factor but rather
  observes the changes in an outcome as
  the result of a naturally occurring
  situation.
Contemporary Natural
           Experiments

• Currently, natural experiments may be
  the result of legislation, policy changes
  or environmental interventions.
Examples of Contemporary
      Natural Experiments
• Seat Belt Law--Did seat belt use reduce
  fatalities from motor vehicle accidents?
• Tobacco Tax--Did the increase in cigarette
  price decrease the sale of cigarettes?
• Helmet Law--Did requiring the use of
  helmets by motorcyclists reduce the
  number of head injuries sustained?
Recent Applications of
          Epidemiology
• Framingham Heart Study (since 1948)
  investigates coronary heart disease risk
  factors.
• Smoking and lung cancer; e.g., Doll and
  Peto’s study of British doctors’ smoking.
• AIDS, chemical spills, breast cancer
  screening, secondhand smoke.
Additional Applications of
            Epidemiology
• Infectious diseases
    – Avian influenza
•   Environmental health
•   Chronic diseases
•   Lifestyle and health promotion
•   Psychiatric and social epidemiology
•   Molecular and genetic epidemiology

Friis chapter 1 slides

  • 1.
    Chapter 1 The Historyand Scope of Epidemiology
  • 2.
    Learning Objectives • Definethe term epidemiology • Define the components of epidemiology (determinants, distribution, morbidity, and mortality) • Name and describe characteristics of the epidemiologic approach • Discuss the importance of Hippocrates’ hypothesis and how it differed from the common beliefs of the time • Discuss Graunt’s contributions to biostatistics and how they affected modern epidemiology • Explain what is meant by the term natural experiments, and give at least one example
  • 3.
    Epidemiology Defined • Epidemiologyderives from "epidemic," a term which provides an immediate clue to its subject matter. Epidemiology originates from the Greek words, epi (upon) + demos (people) + logy (study of).
  • 4.
    Definition of Epidemiology •Epidemiology is concerned with the distribution and determinants of health and diseases, morbidity, injuries, disability, and mortality in populations. • Epidemiologic studies are applied to the control of health problems in populations.
  • 5.
    Key Aspects ofThis Definition • Determinants • Distribution • Population • Health phenomena • Morbidity and mortality
  • 6.
    Determinants • Factors orevents that are capable of bringing about a change in health.
  • 7.
    Examples of Determinants –Biologic agents--bacteria – Chemical agents--carcinogens – Less specific factors-- stress, drinking, sedentary lifestyle, or high-fat diet
  • 8.
    The Search forDeterminants • Anthrax outbreak • Outbreak of Fear--Ebola virus in Kikwit, Zaire • Fear on Seventh Ave.--Legionnaires’ disease in New York City • Red Spots on Airline Flight Attendants-- dye from life vests • Bioterrorism-Associated Anthrax Cases
  • 9.
    Distribution • Frequency ofdisease occurrence may vary from one population group to another.
  • 10.
    Disease Distribution Examples •Hypertension more common among young black men than among young white men. • Coronary heart disease occurrence differs between Hispanics and non-Hispanics.
  • 11.
    Population • Epidemiology examinesdisease occurrence among population groups, not individuals. • Epidemiology is often referred to as population medicine. • The epidemiologic description indicates variation by age groups, time, geographic location, and other variables.
  • 12.
    Health Phenomena • Epidemiologyinvestigates many different kinds of health outcomes: – Infectious diseases – Chronic diseases – Disability, injury, limitation of activity – Mortality – Active life expectancy – Mental illness, suicide, drug addiction
  • 13.
    Morbidity and Mortality •Morbidity--designates illness. • Mortality--refers to deaths that occur in a population or other group. • Note that most measures of morbidity and mortality are defined for specific types of morbidity or causes of death.
  • 14.
    Aims and Levels •To describe the health status of populations. • To explain the etiology of disease. • To predict the occurrence of disease. • To control the occurrence of disease.
  • 15.
    Foundations of Epidemiology • Interdisciplinary • Methods and procedures—quantification • Use of special vocabulary • Epidemic frequency of disease
  • 16.
    Epidemiology Is Interdisciplinary •Epidemiology is an interdisciplinary field that draws from biostatistics and the social and behavioral sciences, as well as from the medically related fields of toxicology, pathology, virology, genetics, microbiology, and clinical medicine.
  • 17.
    Quantification • Quantification isa central activity of epidemiology. • Epidemiologic measures often require counting the number of cases of disease. • Disease distributions are examined according to demographic variables such as age, sex, and race.
  • 18.
    Epidemic • ―The occurrencein a community or region of cases of an illness (or an outbreak) clearly in excess of expectancy…‖ • Relative to usual frequency of the disease.
  • 19.
    Infectious Disease Epidemics •A single case of a long absent communicable disease. • First invasion of a communicable disease. • Two cases of such a disease associated in time and place are sufficient evidence of transmission to be considered an epidemic.
  • 20.
    Concept of Epidemicand Non- Infectious Diseases • Some examples that use the concept of an epidemic are: – Love Canal – Brown lung disease – Asbestosis among shipyard workers – Diseases associated with lifestyle
  • 21.
    Pandemic • ― .. . an epidemic on a worldwide scale; during a pandemic, large numbers of persons may be affected and a disease may cross international borders.‖ An example is a flu pandemic.
  • 22.
    Ascertainment of Epidemics •Surveillance • Epidemic threshold
  • 23.
    Surveillance • The systematiccollection of data pertaining to the occurrence of specific diseases. • Analysis and interpretation of these data. • Dissemination of disease-related information.
  • 24.
    Epidemic Threshold • Theminimum number of cases (or deaths) that would support the conclusion than an epidemic was underway.
  • 25.
    Historical Antecedents • Environment and disease • The Black Death • Use of mortality counts • Smallpox vaccination • Use of natural experiments • Identification of specific agents of disease • The 1918 influenza pandemic
  • 26.
    The Environment • Hippocrateswrote On Airs, Waters, and Places in 400 BC. • He suggested that disease might be associated with the physical environment. • This represented a movement away from supernatural explanations of disease causation.
  • 27.
    Use of NaturalExperiments • John Snow was an English physician and anesthesiologist. • He investigated a cholera outbreak that occurred during the mid-19th century in Broad Street, Golden Square, London.
  • 28.
    Snow’s Contributions • Linkedthe cholera epidemic to contaminated water supplies. • Used a spot map of cases and tabulation of fatal attacks and deaths.
  • 29.
    Snow’s Natural Experiment •Two different water companies supplied water from the Thames River to houses in the same area. • The Lambeth Company moved its source of water to a less polluted portion of the river. • Snow noted that during the next cholera outbreak those served by the Lambeth Company had fewer cases of cholera.
  • 30.
    Natural Experiment • Definition:The epidemiologist does not manipulate a risk factor but rather observes the changes in an outcome as the result of a naturally occurring situation.
  • 31.
    Contemporary Natural Experiments • Currently, natural experiments may be the result of legislation, policy changes or environmental interventions.
  • 32.
    Examples of Contemporary Natural Experiments • Seat Belt Law--Did seat belt use reduce fatalities from motor vehicle accidents? • Tobacco Tax--Did the increase in cigarette price decrease the sale of cigarettes? • Helmet Law--Did requiring the use of helmets by motorcyclists reduce the number of head injuries sustained?
  • 33.
    Recent Applications of Epidemiology • Framingham Heart Study (since 1948) investigates coronary heart disease risk factors. • Smoking and lung cancer; e.g., Doll and Peto’s study of British doctors’ smoking. • AIDS, chemical spills, breast cancer screening, secondhand smoke.
  • 34.
    Additional Applications of Epidemiology • Infectious diseases – Avian influenza • Environmental health • Chronic diseases • Lifestyle and health promotion • Psychiatric and social epidemiology • Molecular and genetic epidemiology