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Flexible fees from a strategic sustainability
                 perspective
       Logics revolving around defined purpose

                       Karl-Henrik Robèrt
          Blekinge Institute of Technology, Karlskrona Sweden
                 The Natural Step, Stockholm Sweden




                                                                © 2011 The Natural Step
                            September 2011
Sustainable Development
                                                                    - A Dynamic Challenge

The ’funnel ’of declining potential to sustain human society
                                                               Systematic decline
                                                               Forests
                                                               Agriculture
                                                               Fisheries
                                                               Ground water
                                                               Climate
                                                               Metals
                                                               POP’s
                                                               Eutrophy
                                                               Hormones
                                                               Loss of trust
                                                               Segregation
                                                               Corruption
                                                       time    Epidemias
                                                               Poverty
                                                               ...
                                                                               © 2011 The Natural Step
Profitable Also in Loneliness


         Opportunities
          Resource management
          Waste management
          Tax, legislation,
          insurance, loans
          New markets
          Innovation/design
          Trust
          Productivity,
          Transaction costs
          Brand
          Stories of meaning
          Team building
  time    Community
          …

                       © 2011 The Natural Step
So, what’s the problem?



                     © 2011 The Natural Step
1. The power of old paradigm assumptions




                                  © 2011 The Natural Step
Cylinder vs Funnel paradigm
                   An Impact perspective                            A Systems perspective
           It is believed that...                            In reality...

...sustainable development is to fix                ...costs move towards infinity so S.D
   social/ecological damage when the costs           is to strategically eradicate the systemic
   for this are lower than the economic utility      errors at the best prize.



...the incetives to undertake measures             ...the incentives to undertake measures
   are mainly based on ethics                      are ethical and self-beneficial



...competetive edge is lost when                   ...role models get competetive advantage
   measures are not launched with                  and create momentum for international
   international agreements and policies           agreements and policies

                                                                               © 2011 The Natural Step
1. The power of old paradigm assumptions
2. Reductionism




                                  © 2011 The Natural Step
ate
                                            s clim




                                                              alth
                                                                                                           ue”
                                                                                       ”




                             distru ol cause
                                                                                                ”
                                                                                     ue effect?




                                                            he
                                                                                  iss use
                                                                                                      re sc




                                        ”
                                                                                n




                                   ption



                                                          or
                                                                             t a reenho
                                                                                             the




                                    n
                                                                           no he g




                                                    Cf
                              “Etha
                                                                         g
                                                                       n
                                                                     mi ron out
                                                                                t
                                                                                          to




                                                 -PV
                                                                    r
                                                                  wa e i       ol
                                                                            han
                                                              l         nw                            ter?
                                                            ba                                  r win
                                                                          Et
                                                           o          Ca
                                                         Gl
                                                                     “
                                                                                            clea
                                                        “               “        rming
                                                                                     wa
                                                                                       or nu
                                                                             G lobal                     proces
                                                                                                                s”
                                                                                                    ural
                                                                                    tion    is a nat
                                                                            s extinc
                                                                    “Specie

                                                                                    or health”
                                                                     “PVC                 ”
                                                                           en -house gases
                                                         “Whole list of gre
                                               “Electric cars too
Reductionism                                                                 expensive.”
                                                                  “Mankind can not save ev
                                                                                          ery       other beetle”
getting lost in the leaves
                                                                                            © 2011 The Natural Step
No unifying framework




   Reductionism




            © 2011 The Natural Step
Unifying framework

Structured overview, like in a clinical conference




                                                     © 2011 The Natural Step
Backcasting from Principles



Principles for
  success

                        •   Necessary
                        •   Enough
                        •   General
                        •   Concrete
                        •   Non-overlapping




                 time


                                     © 2011 The Natural Step
Unique deliverables of such principles

                                    • Systematic and strict, yet open ended approach
                                    • Trade-offs manageable
                                    • System boundaries are set by purpose
                                    • Resource potentials calculable
                                    • Avoiding unknown problems
                                    • Effective cooperation across value chains and stakeholders
                                    • Community building
                                    • Optimization of bottom line chances

                                                                                  © 2011 The Natural Step
Copyright © 2004 The Natural Step
Testning i bolag...




                      © 2011 The Natural Step
Billions earned…



“   It was not until at least ten years later we
    understood how much money Electrolux
    had saved and earned from applying the
    framework to foresee changes on the
    market and in legislation.
                               ”
                                               © 2011 The Natural Step
Billions earned…



“   As we climb mount Sustainability, with the four
    sustainability principles at the top, we are doing better
    than ever on bottom line business.
    This is not at the cost of social or ecological systems,
    but at the cost of our competitors who still haven’t got it.


                                                              ”
Ray Andersson
President, Founder and CEO, Interface. Inc.
Portland US, October 2007,
                                                    © 2011 The Natural Step
Clinical conference from value chains to
               communities and cities…




                              © 2011 The Natural Step
Hundreds of Municipalities/Cities
                  Hu

• Övertorneå        • Ottawa
• Robertsfors       • Saskatoon
• Morbegno          • Wolfville
• Valtellina        • Madison
• Livigno           • Ashland
• Dublin            • Portsmouth
• Whistler          • Lawrence Township
• North Vancouver   • Twin Ports
• Canmore           • Duluth
• Halifax           • County of Hawaii
                    • ...
 time


                        © 2011 The Natural Step
“This simple, science- and systems-
                   based framework is the best out there.
                   It needs to become part of a new
                   common language, as well understood
Ken Melamed        worldwide as the rules of soccer”.
Mayor
Whistler, Canada




                                               © 2011 The Natural Step
1. The power of old paradigm assumptions
2. Reductionism
3. Also with very clever systems thinkers and
   strategic planners: pace of transition too slow*



                  * Learning curve, scale, market-assumptions etc.
                                                      © 2011 The Natural Step
Examples of outreach from proactive corporations
           – knowledge in combination with pragmatism –

   • Asking for higher tax
   • Asking for tougher legislation
   • Complementary currencies (local, regional, global)


   Differentiated fees...



                                                    © 2011 The Natural Step
© 2011 The Natural Step
Strategic Sustainable Development and
                            Flexible Fees
•     The current new-paradigm incompetence amongst our leaders implies an
      unexploited competitive opportunity also within current economic system.

•     However, new economic means are needed to increase pace of S.D, and to move
      latecomers.

•     No silver bullet, but combined with robust sustainability on the table and a balance
      between magnitude and timing of prizing, flexible fees offers an elegant pragmatic
      means for policy making to support strategic sustainable development.

•     Flexible fees would benefit from:

(i)   Further exploration of underpinning assumptions e.g. a fairer outline of green
      taxes.

(ii) Exploration of other objectives than those linked to flows e.g. halting encroaching and
       mismanagement of fertile land and waters, and a "humanization" of the economy.
       You cannot play chess against one principle of checkmate at a time.

(iii) Exploration of the landscape for policy making, and how this could be improved for
                                                                          © 2011 The Natural Step
        the implementation of flexible fees.
“Would you tell me, please, which way I
ought to go from here?” asked Alice.
“That depends a good deal on where you
want to get to,” said the cat. “I don’t much
care where,” said Alice. “Then it doesn’t
matter which way you go,” said the cat.




                        © 2011 The Natural Step
Applying the Framework in four steps
                                               - ABCD planning process
                         The funnel


                                                A    Understanding
                                                     sustainability

                                  Brainstorm
                            C     solutions             Vision
                                                        Mission         Vision within
                                                      Core values
                                                                        sustainability
                                                      Strategic goals   principles
            Today

    Baseline analysis
B Whereisare we today?                         Prioritization & action planning
  What the gap?
                                         D • Right direction?
                                               • Flexible?
                                               • Economic enough?
                                                                           © 2011 The Natural Step
Modelling… from the Globe down
into Drillholes
         A                                 B               C
                      C                   ...              ...
     B
         D                                ...              ...
                                          ...              ...




                              J  &&
             m2u3 +  m2 rw +
               &&                φ = ci u1 − ci u3 + k iu1 − ki u3 ...
                                         &       &
                             rw 



                                             Actions




                                                                          © 2011 The Natural Step
© 2011 The Natural Step
Forecasting: Planning from trends in rear-
view mirror, minus problems (”Cylinder
paradigm”)

                            •”Nothing is harmless”

                            •”Little harm as possible”

                            •”X% better than before”

                            •”More science needed”


                            ”Expert-drift” and
                            detachment from
                            leadership



                                             © 2011 The Natural Step
Backcasting: Success in whole
system through front screen (Funnel
paradigm)
                   • ”These are our objectives…”
                   • ”This is the gap…”
                   • ”We have done this…”
                   • ”We are going to do this…”

                   Leadership from overview (vision),
                   community (shepard) and support
                   (coach)
                   Begin game immidiately
                   Celebrate early wins
                   Gray areas from experience
                   Develop tools as needed (and ask
                   masters students for help)

                                           © 2011 The Natural Step
Indicators

  METAL      IN TOP           WEATHERING             MINING              FOSSIL F           (M+F) / W
              SOIL                (W)                 (M)                   (F)
             (MG/KG)          (KTON/YEAR)         (KTON/YEAR            (KTON/YEAR)
                                                       )
    Al       72 000            1 100 000              18 000              34 000               0,047

   Fe        26 000             390 000              540 000              34 000                 1,5

    Ti       2 900               44 000               2 500                1 700               0,095

   Cr          54                  830                3 800                  34                  4,6

   Cu          25                  380                9 000                  55                  24

   Pb          19                  290                3 300                  85                  12

   Cd         0,35                  5,3                 20                  3,4                  4,4

   Hg         0,09                  1,4                 5,2                  10                  11


             (table from Azar, C., J. Holmberg and K. Lindgren. 1996. Socio-ecological indicators for
             sustainability. Ecological Economics 18: 89-112, listed in Course Outline: Additional
             Readings)
                                                                                                © 2011 The Natural Step
Put into Clinical Conference in
                                                    International Research: Real Change

  Volume: from 1 to10 M USD in 3 years
  Not counting education                                  Product-Service Innovation (Sweden)
  Not counting partners input
  New Research Alliance launched
                                                                      Business development (Sweden)


Eco-efficiency (Finland)                                                        Algae biomass (Australia)

    Energy systems (Sweden)                                           Conflict resolution (Israel)


    Traffic systems (Sweden)                                              Industrial metal flows (Norway)

               Rainforest ecosystems (Brazil)              Green Science / Chemistry (USA)
                                         Water management (Netherlands)
                                                                                        © 2011 The Natural Step
• Purpose: To explore, test and
  share unifying framework.

• International NGO
• Role models
• Areas of action:
   –   Research
   –   Training
   –   Coaching
   –   Advice


                                  © 2011 The Natural Step

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Strategic sustainability perspectives from flexible fee logics

  • 1. Flexible fees from a strategic sustainability perspective Logics revolving around defined purpose Karl-Henrik Robèrt Blekinge Institute of Technology, Karlskrona Sweden The Natural Step, Stockholm Sweden © 2011 The Natural Step September 2011
  • 2. Sustainable Development - A Dynamic Challenge The ’funnel ’of declining potential to sustain human society Systematic decline Forests Agriculture Fisheries Ground water Climate Metals POP’s Eutrophy Hormones Loss of trust Segregation Corruption time Epidemias Poverty ... © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 3. Profitable Also in Loneliness Opportunities Resource management Waste management Tax, legislation, insurance, loans New markets Innovation/design Trust Productivity, Transaction costs Brand Stories of meaning Team building time Community … © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 4. So, what’s the problem? © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 5. 1. The power of old paradigm assumptions © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 6. Cylinder vs Funnel paradigm An Impact perspective A Systems perspective It is believed that... In reality... ...sustainable development is to fix ...costs move towards infinity so S.D social/ecological damage when the costs is to strategically eradicate the systemic for this are lower than the economic utility errors at the best prize. ...the incetives to undertake measures ...the incentives to undertake measures are mainly based on ethics are ethical and self-beneficial ...competetive edge is lost when ...role models get competetive advantage measures are not launched with and create momentum for international international agreements and policies agreements and policies © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 7. 1. The power of old paradigm assumptions 2. Reductionism © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 8. ate s clim alth ue” ” distru ol cause ” ue effect? he iss use re sc ” n ption or t a reenho the n no he g Cf “Etha g n mi ron out t to -PV r wa e i ol han l nw ter? ba r win Et o Ca Gl “ clea “ “ rming wa or nu G lobal proces s” ural tion is a nat s extinc “Specie or health” “PVC ” en -house gases “Whole list of gre “Electric cars too Reductionism expensive.” “Mankind can not save ev ery other beetle” getting lost in the leaves © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 9. No unifying framework Reductionism © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 10. Unifying framework Structured overview, like in a clinical conference © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 11. Backcasting from Principles Principles for success • Necessary • Enough • General • Concrete • Non-overlapping time © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 12. Unique deliverables of such principles • Systematic and strict, yet open ended approach • Trade-offs manageable • System boundaries are set by purpose • Resource potentials calculable • Avoiding unknown problems • Effective cooperation across value chains and stakeholders • Community building • Optimization of bottom line chances © 2011 The Natural Step Copyright © 2004 The Natural Step
  • 13. Testning i bolag... © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 14. Billions earned… “ It was not until at least ten years later we understood how much money Electrolux had saved and earned from applying the framework to foresee changes on the market and in legislation. ” © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 15. Billions earned… “ As we climb mount Sustainability, with the four sustainability principles at the top, we are doing better than ever on bottom line business. This is not at the cost of social or ecological systems, but at the cost of our competitors who still haven’t got it. ” Ray Andersson President, Founder and CEO, Interface. Inc. Portland US, October 2007, © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 16. Clinical conference from value chains to communities and cities… © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 17. Hundreds of Municipalities/Cities Hu • Övertorneå • Ottawa • Robertsfors • Saskatoon • Morbegno • Wolfville • Valtellina • Madison • Livigno • Ashland • Dublin • Portsmouth • Whistler • Lawrence Township • North Vancouver • Twin Ports • Canmore • Duluth • Halifax • County of Hawaii • ... time © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 18. “This simple, science- and systems- based framework is the best out there. It needs to become part of a new common language, as well understood Ken Melamed worldwide as the rules of soccer”. Mayor Whistler, Canada © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 19. 1. The power of old paradigm assumptions 2. Reductionism 3. Also with very clever systems thinkers and strategic planners: pace of transition too slow* * Learning curve, scale, market-assumptions etc. © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 20. Examples of outreach from proactive corporations – knowledge in combination with pragmatism – • Asking for higher tax • Asking for tougher legislation • Complementary currencies (local, regional, global) Differentiated fees... © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 21. © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 22. Strategic Sustainable Development and Flexible Fees • The current new-paradigm incompetence amongst our leaders implies an unexploited competitive opportunity also within current economic system. • However, new economic means are needed to increase pace of S.D, and to move latecomers. • No silver bullet, but combined with robust sustainability on the table and a balance between magnitude and timing of prizing, flexible fees offers an elegant pragmatic means for policy making to support strategic sustainable development. • Flexible fees would benefit from: (i) Further exploration of underpinning assumptions e.g. a fairer outline of green taxes. (ii) Exploration of other objectives than those linked to flows e.g. halting encroaching and mismanagement of fertile land and waters, and a "humanization" of the economy. You cannot play chess against one principle of checkmate at a time. (iii) Exploration of the landscape for policy making, and how this could be improved for © 2011 The Natural Step the implementation of flexible fees.
  • 23. “Would you tell me, please, which way I ought to go from here?” asked Alice. “That depends a good deal on where you want to get to,” said the cat. “I don’t much care where,” said Alice. “Then it doesn’t matter which way you go,” said the cat. © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 24. Applying the Framework in four steps - ABCD planning process The funnel A Understanding sustainability Brainstorm C solutions Vision Mission Vision within Core values sustainability Strategic goals principles Today Baseline analysis B Whereisare we today? Prioritization & action planning What the gap? D • Right direction? • Flexible? • Economic enough? © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 25. Modelling… from the Globe down into Drillholes A B C C ... ... B D ... ... ... ...  J  && m2u3 +  m2 rw + && φ = ci u1 − ci u3 + k iu1 − ki u3 ... & &  rw  Actions © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 26. © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 27. Forecasting: Planning from trends in rear- view mirror, minus problems (”Cylinder paradigm”) •”Nothing is harmless” •”Little harm as possible” •”X% better than before” •”More science needed” ”Expert-drift” and detachment from leadership © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 28. Backcasting: Success in whole system through front screen (Funnel paradigm) • ”These are our objectives…” • ”This is the gap…” • ”We have done this…” • ”We are going to do this…” Leadership from overview (vision), community (shepard) and support (coach) Begin game immidiately Celebrate early wins Gray areas from experience Develop tools as needed (and ask masters students for help) © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 29. Indicators METAL IN TOP WEATHERING MINING FOSSIL F (M+F) / W SOIL (W) (M) (F) (MG/KG) (KTON/YEAR) (KTON/YEAR (KTON/YEAR) ) Al 72 000 1 100 000 18 000 34 000 0,047 Fe 26 000 390 000 540 000 34 000 1,5 Ti 2 900 44 000 2 500 1 700 0,095 Cr 54 830 3 800 34 4,6 Cu 25 380 9 000 55 24 Pb 19 290 3 300 85 12 Cd 0,35 5,3 20 3,4 4,4 Hg 0,09 1,4 5,2 10 11 (table from Azar, C., J. Holmberg and K. Lindgren. 1996. Socio-ecological indicators for sustainability. Ecological Economics 18: 89-112, listed in Course Outline: Additional Readings) © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 30. Put into Clinical Conference in International Research: Real Change Volume: from 1 to10 M USD in 3 years Not counting education Product-Service Innovation (Sweden) Not counting partners input New Research Alliance launched Business development (Sweden) Eco-efficiency (Finland) Algae biomass (Australia) Energy systems (Sweden) Conflict resolution (Israel) Traffic systems (Sweden) Industrial metal flows (Norway) Rainforest ecosystems (Brazil) Green Science / Chemistry (USA) Water management (Netherlands) © 2011 The Natural Step
  • 31. • Purpose: To explore, test and share unifying framework. • International NGO • Role models • Areas of action: – Research – Training – Coaching – Advice © 2011 The Natural Step