●




    A tradegy from 2008.
Financial crisis.
● Something lose a large part of
    their value.
● It has effect on the real economy

    if a recession or depressión
    follows it.
Types of financial crisis.
●   Banking run:
    - A bank suffers a sudden rush of withdrawals by
       depositors.
✔   It hasn´t enough funds available for everyone.
✔   The fear of losing their savings is the reason.
✔   Usually occur after periods of risky lending and
     heightened loan defaults.
✔
Stock market crash and buble.
-It happens when the present value of something
           exceeds the future income.
Causes:
●   Participants buy the asset primarily in hopes
     of selling it later at a higher price.
●   They will go on buying only as they expect
     others to buy.
●   Examples. Crash of 1929.
               Dot-com of 2000/1.
               Housing Bubble in USA. (2007).
Consequences:
1. When many participants decide to sell the
    price will fall.
2.Everyone do the same in order not to reduce
   his profit.
3.The price of the asset goes down one and
   another.
Currency crisis and Sovereign
           default.
●   It happens when a        ●   European Exchange
       country devalue its        Rate mechanism
       currency, because          were forced to
       or a speculative           devalue in 1992/3.
       attack.               ●

●   It happens when a
       country fails to
       payback its
       sovereign debt
Recession and Economic
        stagnation.
Recession.              Economic
It happens when a        stagnation.
   negative growth      It happens when a
   have placed in two      long period of slow
   or more quarters.       growth hace
   (GDP).                  placed.
Depresion.
 It happens alfer a long period of recession.

Usually a recession became as a depression due to
     wrong decitions, which are taken by the
    Goverments, many of them can´t avoid it.
Example of how the crises
                                s

                 works.
                                                            Demand goes down
12



10   Negative growth              unemployment

8


                                                                  Columna 1
6                                                         Less money to spend
                                                                  Columna 2
                                                                  Columna 3

4



2



0
         Fila 1          Fila 2     Fila 3       Fila 4

                                                     Sales go down
Fewer items to produce
Causes and consequences of
          financial crises.
●   Strategic               ●   Herd behaviour.
     complementary.         ●   Regulatory failures.
●   Self-fulling markets.   ●   Fraud.
●   Leverage.               ●   Contagion.
●   Aset-Liability          ●   Recessionary
     mismatch.                   effects.
Strategic complementarity.
●   Some investors have incentives to coordinate their choices.
●   Others do the same thing that the others are expected to to, then
      the self-fulfillling prophecies occur.
●   A vicious circle is made, they is no economical asset to follow.
●   Investors mimic the strategie of others in order to reduce their
       wrong decitions.
●
Leverage.
●   It happens when a          ●   Leverage can
       financial institution        increase the profit
       borrows in order to          but the loss too.
       invest more.
●   Leverage magnifies
     the potential
     returns from
     investment.
Example of leverage.
   Bank A                                               Invert in
                            Ask for 100 to Bank B          Factory B




Profit 4%
                                              Bank A pay a rate of 5% to B




 Factory B pay a rate of 9% to bank A
Asset-liability mismatch
●   It happens when a degree of mismatch
       between the banks short-term
       liabilities(deposits) and its long-term assets
       (loans) take place.
●   The problem burst when depositors decide to
     withdraw their funds suddenly and quickly.
Herd behaviour.
●   1-First        ●   2-Many         ●   3-Others go
      investors          overestim          on buying
      in a new           ate asset          driving up
      assets.            values.            the price.
●   4-Soething     ●   5-All the      ●   6-The sales
      could              investors          decreases
      happen             sell, then         the price
      and the            the spiral         one and
      price goes         go into            another.
      down.              reverse.
Financial regulation .
●   Goverments try to
     regulate the
     markets:
    -Transparency.
    -Publicity.
    -Capital
     requirements.
Wrong regulations.
●   If the capital requirement is too much, the
       banks won´t be able to borrow loans to the
       people.
●   When the capital is scarce, the crisis go on
     for ages.
Recessionary effects.
●   Fraud.               ●   Contagion
●   Take place when a    ●   Take place when a
     company attracted        financial crises
     depositors with          spread from one
     misleading claims        institution to
     about their              another.
     strategies.
●   Subprime mortage.
Financial crisis
Financial crisis
Financial crisis
Financial crisis
Financial crisis
Financial crisis
Financial crisis
Financial crisis

Financial crisis

  • 1.
    A tradegy from 2008.
  • 2.
    Financial crisis. ● Somethinglose a large part of their value. ● It has effect on the real economy if a recession or depressión follows it.
  • 3.
    Types of financialcrisis. ● Banking run: - A bank suffers a sudden rush of withdrawals by depositors. ✔ It hasn´t enough funds available for everyone. ✔ The fear of losing their savings is the reason. ✔ Usually occur after periods of risky lending and heightened loan defaults. ✔
  • 4.
    Stock market crashand buble. -It happens when the present value of something exceeds the future income.
  • 5.
    Causes: ● Participants buy the asset primarily in hopes of selling it later at a higher price. ● They will go on buying only as they expect others to buy. ● Examples. Crash of 1929. Dot-com of 2000/1. Housing Bubble in USA. (2007).
  • 6.
    Consequences: 1. When manyparticipants decide to sell the price will fall. 2.Everyone do the same in order not to reduce his profit. 3.The price of the asset goes down one and another.
  • 7.
    Currency crisis andSovereign default. ● It happens when a ● European Exchange country devalue its Rate mechanism currency, because were forced to or a speculative devalue in 1992/3. attack. ● ● It happens when a country fails to payback its sovereign debt
  • 8.
    Recession and Economic stagnation. Recession. Economic It happens when a stagnation. negative growth It happens when a have placed in two long period of slow or more quarters. growth hace (GDP). placed.
  • 9.
    Depresion. It happensalfer a long period of recession. Usually a recession became as a depression due to wrong decitions, which are taken by the Goverments, many of them can´t avoid it.
  • 10.
    Example of howthe crises s works. Demand goes down 12 10 Negative growth unemployment 8 Columna 1 6 Less money to spend Columna 2 Columna 3 4 2 0 Fila 1 Fila 2 Fila 3 Fila 4 Sales go down Fewer items to produce
  • 11.
    Causes and consequencesof financial crises. ● Strategic ● Herd behaviour. complementary. ● Regulatory failures. ● Self-fulling markets. ● Fraud. ● Leverage. ● Contagion. ● Aset-Liability ● Recessionary mismatch. effects.
  • 12.
    Strategic complementarity. ● Some investors have incentives to coordinate their choices. ● Others do the same thing that the others are expected to to, then the self-fulfillling prophecies occur. ● A vicious circle is made, they is no economical asset to follow. ● Investors mimic the strategie of others in order to reduce their wrong decitions. ●
  • 13.
    Leverage. ● It happens when a ● Leverage can financial institution increase the profit borrows in order to but the loss too. invest more. ● Leverage magnifies the potential returns from investment.
  • 14.
    Example of leverage. Bank A Invert in Ask for 100 to Bank B Factory B Profit 4% Bank A pay a rate of 5% to B Factory B pay a rate of 9% to bank A
  • 15.
    Asset-liability mismatch ● It happens when a degree of mismatch between the banks short-term liabilities(deposits) and its long-term assets (loans) take place. ● The problem burst when depositors decide to withdraw their funds suddenly and quickly.
  • 16.
    Herd behaviour. ● 1-First ● 2-Many ● 3-Others go investors overestim on buying in a new ate asset driving up assets. values. the price. ● 4-Soething ● 5-All the ● 6-The sales could investors decreases happen sell, then the price and the the spiral one and price goes go into another. down. reverse.
  • 17.
    Financial regulation . ● Goverments try to regulate the markets: -Transparency. -Publicity. -Capital requirements.
  • 18.
    Wrong regulations. ● If the capital requirement is too much, the banks won´t be able to borrow loans to the people. ● When the capital is scarce, the crisis go on for ages.
  • 19.
    Recessionary effects. ● Fraud. ● Contagion ● Take place when a ● Take place when a company attracted financial crises depositors with spread from one misleading claims institution to about their another. strategies. ● Subprime mortage.