Final presentation (1)

Final Presentation
April 9, 2015

11/14:
Draft
Research
Timeline
12/12:
Final
Research
4/17:
Final
Design
2/20:
Draft
Design
Research Design
All deliverables viewable at gudp.stanford.edu

○ Place: Land use and building
development.
○ Movement: Streets, traffic, and
transport.
○ Environment: Natural features
and natural disaster concerns.
○ Health and Safety: Civic
services (fire, police, etc), health
care, and food sources.
○ Youth and Education: Schools
and demographics of the area.
○ Housing: Homeownership,
foreclosures, and property value.
○ Economic Development:
Industry and opportunity.
Research Topics
Place

“What would you change about the community?”
Community

Projects
Industry
Revitalization
Environmental
Resiliency
Airport Way
Revitalization
CSU Stockton
Proposal

Industry Revitalization
Industry Revitalization Environmental Resiliency Airport Way Revitalization CSU Stockton Proposal

Food Processing - employment
• Food manufacturing accounts for 14% of all U.S. manufacturing
employees,
• The US food industry represents around 16.5 million jobs, and the
population spends around $1 trillion per year on food products.
• Average middle size factory in the industry employs 100-250 people.
• Various sub-industries require different investments in equipment
and fulfillment of regulations; the number of employees and the
investment : new jobs created ratio also vary
Industry Revitalization Environmental Resiliency Airport Way Revitalization CSU Stockton ProposalIndustry Revitalization Environmental Resiliency Airport Way Revitalization CSU Stockton Proposal

Food Processing - why Stockton?
• Good location
• Proximity of inputs
• Connection to state roads
• Know how
• Affordable workforce

Tire recycling
Waste tires:
● export,
● reuse,
● ground rubber,
● ADC,
● civil engineering,
● landfill disposal,
● TDF.

Tire recycling
● Benefits to the city: tax revenue, decreased
unemployment, increased mean income
● Tire Incentive Program (grants up to 40 cents per
pound)
● $1 million invested = 6 jobs
● Synergies with logistics
● Possible upgrade to tire
manufacturing

Logistics
• Fast-growing industry
• US logistics jobs growth by 2022 – 21.9%, 27,600 new jobs in total
• Large share of jobs with low requirements – opportunity for unskilled
workers
• $1 million investment creates 3.8 jobs
• Multiplier effect – 1 job in logistics creates 3.47 jobs in the economy
• Synergy possibilities with CSU

Logistics - why Stockton?
• Location – proximity to Bay Area, Greater Sacramento
• Lower operating costs than Bay Area
• Excellent transport links – highways, railways,
intermodal yards, deep-water port
• Suitable workforce
• Less expensive and plentiful land

Industry Growth Projections

Environmental effects of industries
Food processing:
● wastewater - recycling, reuse, effective water treatment
system
● solid waste - source reduction, animal feed,
composting, small recycling plants on site
● clean technologies - closed loop/zero emission systems
● FDA and EPA regulations

Waste tires:
● problems - “overcrowded” landfills, toxin release, pest
issue
● solutions - production of scrap tires (shredding)
● usage - tire-derived fuel, civil engineering applications,
ground rubber applications

Logistics:
● occupying land due to transport and storage
● consuming fuel, transport and storage equipment
● producing loss and waste due to distribution processing
● consuming material and processing waste

Industries locations
The selection was made upon:
● existing land use
● location of existing nearby
industries
● location of existing industries
in Stockton with similar
program
● public transport/ cycling
accessibility
● spatial needs of industry
● transportation requirements
● technology requirements
● agricultural preservation
limitations
● South Stockton Land Use
Strategy

● systematic development
of land use
● infill, revitalization and
mixed use
● compact shape
● coherent, heterogeneous
program
● can be developed in
real development plan
Land Use Strategy

CSU Study Programmes
● creation of study programmes as a direct connection to
the proposed industries
● chance for employment or working experience
● generation of jobs demanding a higher education (“Job
Multiplier Effect”)
● employment of young personnel from local student base

Energy Efficiency
Why energy efficiency?
Social Equity
Environment
& Resources
Economic
Benefits

Energy Efficiency
Goal: Improve home energy efficiency to
1. Help city meet Climate Action Plan goals
2. Better meet needs of South Stockton / low-
mid income residents: affordability, comfort
Model Context

Measure Typical difficulty Typical Payback
Seal small air leaks Average homeowner 1-2 years
Insulate water heater Average homeowner 1-2 years
Energy-saving
showerhead
Average homeowner 1-3 years
Seal large air leaks Skilled homeowner 1-2 years
Seal ducts Skilled homeowner 1-2 years
Thermostat Skilled homeowner 1-2 years
Heating tune-up Expert technician 1-3 years
Source: https://www.xcelenergy.com/staticfiles/xe/Marketing/Files/SmartEnergyGuide.pdf

Cases:
●Old home (baseline)
●Only weatherstripping
●Only wall+roof insulation
●Only window improvement (film +
insulation)
●Weatherstripping + insulation + window
improvement
●New home
●Solar required to cover energy use of old
home, improved home, and new home

Window
Film
Air Leak
Sealing
(weather
strip +
caulk)
Attic +
WallInsula
tion

Window
Film
Air Leak
Sealing
(weather
strip +
caulk)
Attic +
Wall
Insulation

Characteristics of baseline home
● Built in 1970’s/80’s before energy codes
● No wall/attic insulation
● Furnace/water heater has poor efficiency
● Very leaky (1 ACH)
● ~1000 square feet

Results

Results cont’d

Modeling Challenges and Shortcomings
● Limited data for comparison of lifecycle costs
● Wide range in cost estimates
● Replacement analysis not conducted
● No predictions made for changes in fuel or
electricity prices

Community Engagement
“These homes have been here for over 50 years, these homes have been here for a while. How often do
people check out these homes? ... Let’s do an evaluation of how homes are built, is there mold, are the heaters
working? If people don’t come out and do that, that’s a big issue”
“There’s this mentality of ‘Keep the lights off!’ ‘Don’t turn that
on!’”
“‘Who’s gonna pay for it?’ This committee of environmentalists and
developers.. this has been one of the central things they’ve been
fighting over”

Trust
Disconnect
Outreach
Priorities

Stakeholder Analysis
Energy Efficiency
Stakeholders
Residents
Contractors
City
Utility
Non Profits
Financial Institutions
Landlords
Homeowners
Renters

Existing incentives/assistance programs
Name Sponsor Benefits Requirements
San Joaquin
County
Weatherization
Program
San Joaquin
County
Human
Services
Agency
Free weatherizations - measures
include insulation, repairs,
improved appliances, etc.
A member of the household receives temporary
Aid for Needy Families (TANF), Food Stamps, SSI
or SSP, Veterans and Survivors Pension or if the
household income does not exceed a certain
amount
http://www.benefits.gov/benefits/benefit-
details/1844
Energy Savings
Assistance
Program
PG&E Repair or replacement of
refrigerators, furnaces or water
heaters, insulation/
weatherproofing, efficient light
bulbs, showerheads, etc
Home 5 years or older, meets CARE guidelines
http://goo.gl/8zvcu3
Valid through May 2015
Energy Upgrade
California - whole
house
PG&E Up to $2500 in rebates PG&E Customers with single family homes
Choose measures from a menu of options
Appliance rebates PG&E Depends on the appliance Purchase of Energy Star or approved appliance

Financing Options
Program type Pro Con
PACE (HERO, Figtree) ● Approved in Stockton
● No upfront cost- pay with additional property taxes
● Vetted contractors (3 in Stockton)
● Choice of payback (5/10/15/20 years)
● Higher property tax bills
● Must pay property tax (ineligible to
renters)
On-bill financing ● No upfront cost - pay using portion of energy savings
● Good for renters- financing can stay with the property
● Not currently available
● Risk for utility if bills are not paid
Loan (i.e. from the
Golden State Finance
Authority)
● Up to $50,000 financing, 6.5% interest for 15 yr loan
● Partner with approved contractor
http://www.chfloan.org/programs/energy/overview.shtml
● Only one Stockton based contractor
● No flexibility for loan length
Warehouse for Energy
Efficiency Loans (WHEEL)
● More scalable than other approaches due to investments
from large institutions
● Pool loans (investment grade capital)
Source: WSGR White Paper
● New and unfamiliar
● Public agency approval needed
Crowdfunding (i.e.
Village Power Finance,
Mosaic)
● Community building
● More flexible
● Requires strong community
partner- may or may not exist

Outreach strategy (ESA)

Outreach cont’d
Penetration - low
● Only 1.1% of eligible customers actually
enrolled
● 11% of spending on customer enrollment
● Moderate income program unavailable in
the county
Job training
● YTD - 48 people trained for ESA program
● Typically from the local area

Demonstration Home Cases
● Better Buildings Neighborhood Program:
o Chula Vista: 25% of tour participants in a demonstration
home signed up for energy assessment with a
contractor
● Michigan: has 8 Energy Demonstration Centers
● San Diego Center: tours, kiosks, library, rainwater
harvesting, demo garden, food service demo kitchen

Chula Vista Home
Phoenix: Meritage
Deconstructed Home
SDG&E Energy
Innovation Center
SDG&E Energy
Innovation Center
Detroit Ecoworks Center

Conclusions
● Many efficiency projects with quick payback
● Improved outreach necessary
● Demonstration home / Energy Center Potential
o Outreach and education
o Access to subsidized materials for DIY
o Potential community space for local groups
o For residents ineligible for ESA: access to subsidized
materials for DIY projects and support may be useful
 Potential for building contractor-resident relationships

Conclusions
● Partnerships with other projects
o Integration w/ Airport Way temporary structures +
tool sharing, potential for more permanent services
 Community garden, home improvement resource center
o CSU : potential to provide education in a growing field
o Industry analysis of Stockton’s energy efficiency job
market

Airport Way

Insights on Airport Way
What would you change about the community?”

Case Studies
People’s St.
Los Angeles
Federal
Credit
Union
Prostoroz,
Ljubljana
Superkilen,
Copenhagen

Green Spaces

KaBOOM!
KaBOOM! provides:
- Funding assistance
- Experienced Project
Manager
- Build Day training/assistance
The Community provides:
- 250 sf of land
- Partial funding
- Volunteers for Community
Build Day
- Everyday play!
- Maintenance
Promote play
Build a playground in a day

Temporary Program Concept
Street Art
Sports Areas
Outdoor Festivals

Temporary Structure Concept
Option 1: Home Depot Shed Option 2: Shipping Containers

Option 3: Build it Yourself
Adaptable Structure

Community
Center
Section
Floor Plan

Community
Center
Structural Layering

Community Center

Master Plan Description
Phase 1: 10%
green areas:
● community gardens
● children’s playground
● public park
community area:
● temporary sports court
● community events
● temporary structures
Phase 2: 50%
● community center
● police station
● grocery store
Phase 3: 100%
● commercial programs

10%
50% 100%

Proposed Phases
for Development
Phase 1
Phase 3
Phase 2

Having the physical campus in Stockton would visually reinforce the
possibility of going to college to people driving by it every day.
Seeing Stocktonians who went to
well-regarded schools and came
back to Stockton served as an
inspiration to students.
The CSU could offer cultural
studies, since Stockton is a diverse
city and help citizens learn more
about the background of others.

Economic benefits of a CSU
Economic Benefits Impact on Regional
Economy Spending
Supports Regional
Jobs
Local Tax Revenue
CSU Stanislaus $169 million >2000 ~$8 million

L1: MLK / Highway 99
PROs: central location, close to residential areas, good accessibility, close to
commercial activities, incoherent current land use
CONs: less space for expansion, a few existing residents, no public transit route,
safety may be an issue, close to industrial lands

L1: MLK / Highway 99 Alternative

L4: North Stockton
PROs: a lot of space, close to residential
areas, empty lot is not suitable for low
residential housing, easily approachable by
car, safe neighborhood
CONs: nowhere near city center, almost no
commercial activities nearby, no transit
options (only car oriented)

Decision Matrix
Location 1:
MLK + H99
Location 2:
Airport Way
Location 3:
R4 + FW5
Location 4:
North Stockton
Location + - o o
Accessibility + - + +
Size o + + +
Public transport - + + +
Surrounding areas + - o o
Safety o o - +
Infrastructure + o - o
Place for expansion o + o +
Nearby residents + - o +
Close to services + o - o
Table of comparison of the three locations
(+ means good, o means neutral, - means bad // parameters that are higher are more important)

Breakdown of GSF of CSU Stanislaus
Instructional GSF 623,482 Instructional GSF / student 51.96 gsf / student
Library 123,319 Library / student 10.28 gsf / student
Housing / Dining 226,292 Housing / Dining / student 18.86 gsf / student
Administrative / Student Services 227,642 Administrative / student 18.97 gsf / student
Other Support 66,939 Other Support / Student 5.58 gsf / student
Parking spots 2908 Parking / student 24.23%
# of beds 656 Beds / students 5.47%

Calculated GSF of CSU Stockton
Instructional 519,568.33 gsf
Library 102,765.83 gsf
Housing / Dining 188,576.67 gsf
Administrative / Student Services 189,701.67 gsf
Other Support 55,782.50 gsf
Parking spots 2423
# of beds 546.7
Grand total 1,056,395 gsf

Table of construction costs
Construction Costs per GSF
for CSUs General Contractor
Costs
Classroom $352 $182,888,052.2
Library $311 $31,960,173.13
Housing / Dining $274 $51,670,007.58
Administration $354 $67,154,391.18
Structure and surface
per parking space
$19,278 $46,710,594
Grand Total $380,383,218.1
Including Site Work Site Work assumed to be 3%
of building costs
$391,794,714.6

Table of example scheduling, based
off of Stanford LBRE
Sample Project Type Typical Project Duration Typical Construction
Duration
Large science / medical project ( (
( |(>25k sf)
3-5 years 2-3 years
Large office / classroom project (
|(>25k sf)
3-4 years 1-2 years
Large housing project (>25k sf) 2-3 years 1-2 years

Mock Schedule

eQuest data for MLK / Highway 99
MLK / Highway 99
Classroom
Electricity Natural Gas
Yearly Energy Usage 419,660 kWh 3302 therms
Bill $62,792 $1988
Total Bill $64,780
MLK / Highway 99
Housing
Yearly Energy Usage 181,200 kWh 0
Bill $26,929
Total Bill $26,929

eQuest data for MLK / Highway 99
MLK / Highway 99
Administrative
Yearly Energy Usage 520,850 kWh 2061.8 therms
Bill $86,276 $1305
Total Bill $87,581
MLK / Highway 99 Library Electricity Natural Gas
Yearly Energy Usage 1,200,800 kWh 10,179 therms
Bill $195,832 $5748
Total Bill $201,580

eQuest data for North Stockton
North Stockton Housing Electricity Natural Gas
Yearly Energy Usage 364,060 kWh 0
Bill $53,533
Total Bill $53,533
North Stockton
Classroom
Yearly Energy Usage 817,310 kWh 6018.2 therms
Bill $121,398 $3483
Total Bill $124,881

eQuest data for North Stockton
North Stockton
Administration
Yearly Energy Usage 1,081,600 kWh 3341.2 therms
Bill $175,767 $2005
Total Bill $177,772
North Stockton Library Electricity Natural Gas
Yearly Energy Usage 1,200,800 kWh 10,179 therms
Bill $195,832 $5748
Total Bill $201,580

Comparison of Yearly Energy Bills
Total Energy Bill (MLK / Highway 99) Electricity Bill Natural Gas Bill
Housing $215,432 $0
Classroom $753,504 $23,856
Administrative $345,104 $5220
Library $195,832 $5748
Total $1,509,872 $34,824
Grand Total (per year) $1,544,696

Comparison of Yearly Energy Bills
Total Energy Bill (North Stockton) Electricity Bill Natural Gas Bill
Housing $214,132 $0
Classroom $728,388 $20,898
Administrative $351,534 $4010
Library $195,832 $5748
Total $1,489,886 $30,656
Grand Total (per year) $1,520,542

Architectural section (scheme)
● Instructional ● Administration

List of Programming / Majors
● Nursing
● Business Administration/Management
● Supply Chain Management/Operations Management
● Education/Liberal Studies/Teaching
● Psychology
● Sociology/Social Work
● Agricultural Studies/AgriBusiness
● Food Science
● Criminal Justice
● Computer Science

Budget / Financial Aid
● < than $90 million for first few years
● Close to 90% will qualify for financial aid
● Average full-time student will have financial aid package around
$8,000
● Undergraduates will qualify for around $6,700 for need-based
grants
● Need-based loan amount around $4,300
● Tuition for academic year around $5,472 for 6 or more units,
$3,174 fewer than 6
● Credit Union along Airport Way can help with funding via loans

Public Relations
● Communicate and advocate with the local community
● Raise awareness on benefits of college education on what needs
to be done to apply to college
● Partner with local elementary/middle schools, high schools, and
community colleges
● Promote as commuter-based institution
● Inform high school counselors
● Promote college fairs

CSU Stockton

Conclusion
● Ideally, this analysis serves as a jumping point for a
feasibility study of a CSU in Stockton.
● Currently, there is an assembly bill on the topic of the
feasibility of a CSU, and this study will hopefully push
CSU Stockton as being chosen and built.
● Higher education attainment is crucial for achieving
many of the other goals mentioned.

Conclusion
● Partnership with other projects
o CSU Study Program to stimulate development of
industries.
o Promote green technologies and lifestyle with
Environmental Resiliency.
o Long term stimulation of development in Stockton,
including along Airport Way.

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