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July 2016
Expara Accelerator Program
Discussion slides
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About the lecturer
 Wharton MBA
 JP Morgan – Vice President
IB Technology, GM Internet Marketing
 Parallax Capital Mgmt – Co-founder and MD Private Equity
 Extream Ventures – Co-founder and MD
S$20 million seed fund
 Expara – Founder and MD
IDM Ventures Incubator, advisory, training
 NUS – Adjunct Associate Professor, Business School,
Entrepreneurship
 Sasin – Visiting Professor, Venture Capital
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Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
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Go big or go home
 Introduction to scalable entrepreneurship
 Understanding risk and return
 Let’s fail
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What is an entrepreneur?
 A person who organizes, operates, and assumes the risk for a
business venture.
 From Old French, from entreprendre, to undertake.
 Enterprise: An undertaking, especially one of some scope,
complication, and risk.
 Enterprising: Willingness to undertake new ventures; initiative:
"Through want of enterprise and faith men are where they are,
buying and selling, and spending their lives like serfs" (Henry
David Thoreau).
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What is a scalable business?
 Small business: limited scope, complication and risk. Slow
growth.
 Scalable business: significant scope, complication, and risk.
Rapid growth.
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Present
to
investor
to raise
money
How to build a scalable business?
Identify
idea and
write
business
plan
The new venture creation process
Form a
start-up
company
team
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What are the qualities that make a successful
entrepreneur?
 Intelligent
 Creative problem-solving skills
 Self-starting
 Committed
 Motivated
 Risk taking
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Is entrepreneurship important to the country?
 The development of a thriving entrepreneurial sector is not just an
economic "nice-to-have." In the knowledge- and innovation-driven
globalized economy of the 21st century it is a competitive necessity.
 In one year alone, the small number of venture-backed companies in the
US generated $736 billion in revenues, created 4.3 million new jobs,
accounting for 3.3% of total jobs in the US and 7.4% of GDP.
 The more than 4,000 companies started by MIT grads employ more than
1.1 MM people and generate more than $232 B in revenue p.a.
 Innovative entrepreneurs drive long-term economic growth – creative
destruction
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Why is entrepreneurship important to you?
 What type of life do you want to have?
– An average life or an extraordinary life?
 What do you want to do with your life?
– Create something of value from nothing or just make money?
 Do you want to:
– Make a difference?
– Change the world in some way?
– Leave something of value after you are gone?
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As an entrepreneur, you can:
 Have an extraordinary life
 Create something of value from nothing
 Become rich
 Do something meaningful
 Make a difference
 Change the world in a positive way
 Leave something of value behind after you are gone
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Obstacles to entrepreneurship
 Lack of entrepreneurial skills
 Attitudes toward risk
 Cultural attitudes toward failure
 Entrepreneurial success is difficult
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This could be you - iTwin
 BMA5108 – “Cable-less cable”
remote access device based on
A-Star technology
 Selected for TechCrunch 50 2009
in Silicon Valley
 Spin-off company launched in
2010
 Raised S$2 MM Series A funding
in July 2010
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This could be you - Sparefoot
 2007 – Chuck Gordon takes
TR3002
 2008 –Co-founds Ikatoo –
Winner, IDM Prize S@S and
i.JAM recipient
 2008 – Returns to US and
resumes work on Sparefoot
 2010 – Sparefoot raises
US$3 MM VC
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This could be you: Pirate 3D
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This could be you: Asia’s Top 25 Entrepreneurs
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This could be you: Facebook
 Feb 2004: Mark Zuckerberg, 19, launches The Facebook from
his Harvard dorm room, with ~10K investment. Half of Harvard
signs up in the first month
 June 2004: Facebook receives $500K funding from Peter Thiel
 Mid 2005: Accel partners invests $12.7MM and Greylock
$27.5MM
 Oct 2007: Microsoft buys 1.6% of Facebook for $246MM
 Nov 2007: Li Ka-shing invests $60MM
 2009-10: Elevation partners invests $210MM at valuation $12 -
23B
 2011: Goldman Sachs buys shares in the secondary market at
an implied valuation of $50B
 2012: Goes IPO at valuation ~$100B (now $67B)
“The youngest
billionaire on
earth” - Forbes
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This could be you: Instagram
 2010 - Kevin Systrom and Mike Krieger
focus their multi-featured HTML5 check-
in project Burbn on mobile photography
 Mar 2010 – Close $500K seed funding
round from Baseline Ventures and
Andreessen Horowitz; est. val. $5 MM
 Oct 2010 – Product launches on Apple
App Store
 Feb 2012 – Raise $7MM Series A
funding; valuation $25 MM
 Apr 2012 – Raise $50 MM at $500 MM
valuation; sold to Facebook, val $1 B
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Millions of Users
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This could be you: Google
 1995: Sergey Brin and Larry Page,
two Stanford University graduate
students develop the technology that
will become the Google search engine.
 1998: Sergey and Larry raise $1
million in funding from family, friends,
and angel investors to start Google in a
friend's Menlo Park, Calif. garage with
four employees.
 1999: Google raises $25MM from VCs
and angel investors
 2004: Google goes IPO at a valuation
of US$23.1 billion. Sells 7% to public
for $1.67 billion. Market cap Jan 2007
US$149 billion.
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This could be you: YouTube
 Feb 2005: Chad Hurley, Steve Chen,
and Jawed Karim found YouTube, Inc.
 Nov 2005: YouTube receives funding
from Sequoia Capital
 Dec 2005: YouTube service is officially
launched
 Nov 2006: Google acquires YouTube
for US$1.65 billion, 20 months after the
company was founded
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Founded by undergrads: Dell and Microsoft
 Michael Dell, who founded Dell in
1984 with $1,000 when he was 19
years old. The company now employs
approximately 41,800 people
worldwide and reported revenues of
$38.2 billion for the past four quarters.
 Bill Gates, who founded Microsoft in
1975 while still an undergraduate at
Harvard. Microsoft had revenues of
US$32.19 billion for the fiscal year
ending June 2003, and employs more
than 54,000 people in 85 countries and
regions.
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SEA exit markets at an inflection point
Exit activity in SEA, especially in Singapore, has exploded
• Increased investment in startups since 2007 is beginning to yield results
• Number of exits increased from 5 or less pre-2011 to 60 in last three years
• Singapore alone has had 40 exits since 2007
• Value of exits increased from 51 MM in 2010 to 1.2 B in 2014
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Some recent exits
Company Country Acquiror Price Year
ZopIM Singapore Zendesk US$29.8MM 2014
Non-Stop Games Singapore King US$ 100MM 2014
sgCarMart Singapore SPH S$60 MM 2013
DS3 Singapore Gemalto S$50 MM est. 2013
Asian Food Channel Singapore Scripps Networks Undisclosed 2013
Reebonz Singapore MediaCorp and Existing investors S$250MM 2013
Yfind Singapore Ruckus Wireless Undisclosed 2013
Techsailor Singapore TO THE NEW Undisclosed 2013
travelmob Singapore HomeAway Undisclosed 2013
Catcha Digital Media Singapore Opt Inc Undisclosed 2013
GridBlaze Singapore Undisclosed Silicon Valley Startup Undisclosed 2013
Viki Singapore Rakuten US$200MM 2013
SGE Singapore Tech In Asia Undisclosed 2013
ThoughtBuzz India To The New Undisclosed 2013
AyoPay Indonesia MOL AccessPortal Undisclosed 2013
Tongue in Chic Malaysia PopDigital Undisclosed 2013
Ocision Malaysia Star Publication US$ 4.36MM 2013
Glamybox Vietnam VanityTrove Undisclosed 2013
PaymentLink Singapore Wirecard US$41.2MM 2013
Dealguru Singapore iBuy S$34.28 MM 2013
Buy Together Hong Kong iBuy S$21 MM 2013
Dealmates Malaysia iBuy S$10 MM 2013
PropertyGuru.com Singapore ImmobilienScout24 S$60 MM 2012
HungryGoWhere Singapore Singtel S$12 MM 2012
AdMax Network Singapore Komli Media Undisclosed 2012
TheMobileGamer Singapore Singtel US$1.5 MM 2012
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Go big or go home
 Introduction to scalable entrepreneurship
 Understanding risk and return
 Let’s fail
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What is the relationship between risk and return?
 Risk and return are highly correlated
 You cannot increase return without taking more risk
Return
Risk
Potential outcomes
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Go big or go home
 Introduction to scalable entrepreneurship
 Understanding risk and return
 Let’s fail
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Let’s fail: the importance of failure for innovation
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3 key elements for success
 Do something you love to do – something meaningful
 Create opportunities – don’t wait for them
 Don’t give up – stay the course
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What about luck?
 Luck by definition is random
 In the long run, luck should even out for most
 Luck plays an important role in initial conditions but after that much
less than you imagine
 Don’t wait to get lucky; make your own luck
 Chance favors the prepared mind
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Evolving cultural attitudes toward failure
Failure is
bad; avoid
at all costs
Traditional
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Evolving cultural attitudes toward failure
Failure is
bad; avoid
at all costs
Failure is
acceptable;
leads to
learning
Traditional Current
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Evolving cultural attitudes toward failure
Failure is
bad; avoid
at all costs
Failure is
acceptable;
leads to
learning
Failure is
desirable;
necessary for
innovation
Traditional Current Future
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Why is failure desirable?
 Willingness to fail – allows risk-taking and innovation
 Risk and return – high risk ventures means they are likely to fail
 Innovation – key to scalable ventures – innovators will fail
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Rate of tech change is increasing exponentially
1 10 100 1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 10,000,000
100,000,00
0
First Humanoids
Language
Agriculture
Abacus
Calculating machine
Telegraph
Stock Ticker
Light Bulb
Recording sound
Television
General purpose computer
Stored program computer
Integrated circuit
Mini computer
Microprocessor
Personal computer
IBM PC
Pentium
World Wide Web
Deep Blue defeats Kasparov
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The rate of innovation is increasing
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Ever-shorter product cycles = more innovation
 Phonograph - invented in 1877 by
Thomas Edison
 33 rpm/45 rpm discs - 1948 (71 years)
 Cassette tapes - 1966 (18 years)
 Compact disc - 1982 (16 years)
 MP3 files - 1991 (9 years)
 MP4 files - 1998 (7 years)
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Sometimes failure itself is innovation
 Post-It notes - failed glue
 Scotchgard - spilled on shoes
 Combat - failed additive for cattle feed
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The essence of risk is failure
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Failure is necessary to achieve success
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Why are people afraid to risk failure?
 Fear of the unknown - “Why take a chance?”
 Fear of looking stupid - “What will they think?”
 Judging too quickly - “That will never work”
 Attachment to the old - “We have always done it this way”
 Attachment to past successes - “This approach got us here”
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Do not let fear stop you
 Why are you afraid to try?
 The outcome must be important to you; otherwise no fear
 This makes you afraid to fail
 If you do not try, then you have already failed
 “You miss 100% of the shots you do not take” - Wayne Gretzky
 Fear causes you to fail at the things that are most important to you
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Why fear?
 Fear is good when it helps us stay
alive
 It is rational to be risk-averse in
life-and-death situations
 Most investment decisions are not
life-and-death situations
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Conquering your fear
 Everyone is afraid
 It is OK to be afraid
 Don’t try to eliminate your fear
 Work through your fear
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If you don’t fail, you are not trying hard enough
 Most learning and progress are achieved through failure
 The top scientists in the world fail more than average scientists
 Everyone who is now highly successful took significant risk to get
there
 We don't regret the things that we do and fail at; we regret the
things that we fail to do.
 A life lived in fear is a life half lived
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Success from failure – Apple and Steve Jobs
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Product failures – from Apple III to Apple Newton
 1980 - Apple III - 75k units sold
 1983 – Apple Lisa - 40K units sold in
1984 vs. 80K forecast
 1986 – Pixar Image Computer - <
300 units sold
 1990 – NeXT workstation – 50K
units sold
 1993 – Newton – 100MM spent on
development – 80K units sold
 Apple clones, NeXT software
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Market failure - Apple stock price – 1988 to 1998
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Competitive failure – Apple vs. Microsoft
 1980 – Apple’s share of PC
market 15%
 1996 – 4%
 2005 – 2.2%
 2011 – Microsoft Windows still
has 92% share of operating
system market
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Steve Jobs career timeline
Success - 1977
• Apple II
Failure – 1980
• Apple III
Failure – 1983
• Lisa
Success – 1984
• Macintosh
Failure – 1985
• Ousted from Apple
Failure – 1988
• Pixar Image
Computer
Failure – 1990
• NeXT Workstation
Failure – 1993
• NeXT discontinues
HW
Success – 1995
• Toy Story; Pixar
IPO
Success – 1996
• Apple buys NeXT
Success – 1997
• Return to Apple
Success – 1998
• Apple profitable
Success 2001
• IPod
Success 2007
• Iphone
Success 2010
• iPad
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Success from failure
 Pixar animated films – 1995 (Toy Story)
– 26 Oscars, 7 Golden Globes, 3 Grammies
– Films have earned > $6.3 billion worldwide
 iPod - 2001
– 300 MM units sold
– 90% market share
 iPhone – 2007
– > 75 MM units sold
– 50% of profits from global mobile phone sales
 iPad
– > 15 MM units sold, more than all other tablets combined
– 83% market share
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Apple stock price 2004 – 2015 +7,910%
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What makes Silicon Valley different?
 A different attitude toward failure
 Many Silicon Valley VCs will only invest in entrepreneurs who have
already failed
 “I got my education on the mean streets of Silicon Valley, where I
got to see how huge mistakes are made. Knowing what doesn’t
work is perhaps more valuable than knowing what should work.
Failure is just tuition. If you are in a failing start-up, take notes.” -
successful start-up founder
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Only do things that are difficult to do
 Everything that is worth doing is difficult
 If it is easy, it is probably not worth doing
 Therefore, you should never hesitate to do something difficult
 Start-up entrepreneur is one of the most difficult jobs in the world
 The more difficult it is to do, the greater the return when you
succeed (risk/return correlation)
 Returns to successful start-up entrepreneurs are the highest in the
world
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Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
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Investment: why and how
 Why entrepreneurs raise money
 Why investors invest in startups
 How to raise venture funding
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Why should companies raise investment?
 Lifestyle or scalable?
 Paycheck or payout?
 A big piece of a small pie?
 A small piece of a big pie?
Founder
Investors
Investors
Founder
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How to fund growth?
 Internally generated
 Debt
 Hybrid
 Equity
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Cost, control, growth and risk
Internal
Debt
Equity
Source of funds
Cost Lose Control Growth $ Risk
Impact of funding
Low Somewhat High
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Financial leverage and firm value
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Companies founded with venture capital
www.nvca.org
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Industries created by venture capital
www.nvca.org
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Investment: why and how
 Why entrepreneurs raise money
 Why investors invest in startups
 How to raise venture funding
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Why invest in venture capital?
As of 31-Dec 2014 The Cambridge Associates LLC U.S. Venture Capital Index® is an end-to-end calculation based on data compiled from 1,569 U.S. venture capital funds (1,002
early stage, 175 late & expansion stage, 386 multi-stage and 6 venture debt funds), including fully liquidated partnerships, formed between 1981 and 2014.
1Pooled end-to-end return, net of fees, expenses, and carried interest. Sources: Cambridge Associates LLC, Barclays, Dow Jones Indexes, Frank Russell Company, Standard &
Poor's, Thomson Reuters Datastream, and Wilshire Associates, Inc. *Capital change only
Case Shiller Real Estate Index 4.1
Expara IDM Ventures (2) 43.03
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Impact of VC on a diversified portfolio
Private Equity and Strategic Asset Allocation. 2007 Ibbotson Associates
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Early-stage tops long-term performance
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How does early-stage out-perform?
10 years after investment. Data from Sand Hill Road Econometrics. Companies received first financing before 1 January 1999. First non-seed
round investment. Returns are gross - before fees and carry
Gross value multiples at all stages of investment
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65% of the portfolio will deliver less than 1x
Gross value multiples for losers
10 years after investment. Data from Sand Hill Road Econometrics. Companies received first financing before 1 January 1999. First non-seed
round investment. Returns are gross - before fees and carry
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Early-stage winners will have more home-runs
Gross value multiples for winners
10 years after investment. Data from Sand Hill Road Econometrics. Companies received first financing before 1 January 1999. First non-seed
round investment. Returns are gross - before fees and carry
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Early-stage has 450% more 50x and 800% more
100x than later rounds
Gross value multiples for home runs
10 years after investment. Data from Sand Hill Road Econometrics. Companies received first financing before 1 January 1999. First non-seed
round investment. Returns are gross - before fees and carry
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How does a venture capital fund work?
Fund
Investors
VC
8
$ 10 mm
2
$ 10 mm
$ 58 mm
25%
75%
Fund size 10,000,000$
Life of the fund 7
Management fee 2.5%
Investable 8,250,000$
Investment size 1,031,250$
Companies 8
Fail 4 50%
Break even 2 25%
Exit 2 25%
Investor's required ROI 35%
Fund multiple return 5.76
Fund size at exit 57,600,000$
Carry @ 20% 9,520,000
Distribution 48,080,000$
Fund return multiple 4.81
Fund ROI 35%
Required return per exit 28 times
Equity per company F/D 15%
Required value of equity at exit 28,800,000$
Required co value at exit 192,000,000$
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GVMs for all first-round investments
10 years after investment. Data from Sand Hill Road Econometrics. Companies received first financing before 1 January 1999. First non-seed
round investment. Returns are gross - before fees and carry
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How do VCs make money?
 Trade sale – sell to
another company
 IPO – sell to the
public through listing
on an exchange
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Trade sale or IPO?
www.nvca.org
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Investment: why and how
 Why entrepreneurs raise money
 Why investors invest in startups
 How to raise venture funding
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The investor’s decision tree
Innovative?
Yes
Value proposition?
Yes
Fast-growing market?
Yes
Exit
No
No
No
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Product or service: which scales better?
 Product-based start-ups
– Value proposition is delivered
via product
 Service-based start-ups
– Value proposition is delivered
via people
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Getting to gatekeepers
 It’s not what you know; it’s who you know
 Network, network, network
 Strong ties and loose ties
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Connecting to my network
 My company websites: www.expara.com
 My blog: www.douglasabrams.com
 E-mail: dka@expara.com; lanie@expara.com
 Facebook: bizadk@nus.edu.sg
 Linked-In: dka@parallaxcapital.com
 Twitter: twitter.com/douglaskabrams
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Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and
plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
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Key elements for success
 Develop an innovative product – Innovation
 Solve a problem for customers – Value proposition
 Identify your customers – Market identification and analysis
 Reach your customers – Marketing strategy
 Compete when others enter - Sustainable competitive advantage
 Make money – Business model and financial plan
 Team – A team or B team
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Problem Solution
Key Metrics
Cost drivers Revenue model
Innovation
and value
proposition
Sustainable
competitive
advantage
Channels
Customer
segments
Market size
Customer
archetype
High concept
Existing
solutions
Top 1-3 customer
problems
How are these
problems solved
today?
Your solutions to
customer
problems
Key numbers that
tell if you are
succeeding
What is innovative
about your
solution? Why are
you better than
existing solutions?
One sentence that
says it all
How will you
create barriers to
entry for
followers?
How will you get
your product to
customers?
Who are your
target customers?
How big is your
market and how
fast is it growing?
Characteristics of
your key
customers
How do you
generate
revenue?
What are your key
cost drivers?
Expara Business Model Canvas
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Writing a model business plan
1. Executive summary
2. Value proposition and
innovation
3. Market identification and
analysis
4. Marketing and sales strategy
5. Sustainable competitive
advantage
Overview, innovation, market
6. Company products and services
7. Team
8. Expansion plan
9. Operational plan
10. Finances – Revenue and cash
flow, valuation, funding required,
equity offered, ROI
Execution and financials
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Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value
proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
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Innovation and value proposition
 Sources of innovation
– Trend-driven: forces, trends and mega-trends
– Technological, macro, social, demographic, political
 Types of innovation
– Technology, product, process, positioning, paradigm,
operational, cost, customer experience, management, business
model, industry, attribute-driven (Blue Ocean)
 Degrees of innovation
– Incremental, disruptive
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Types of innovation
 Trend-driven: forces, trends and mega-trends
– Technological, macro, social, demographic, political
 Business model: changing market and industry structures & needs
– Market inefficiencies
 Attribute-driven
– Blue Ocean strategy
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Generating innovations
 Alternative approaches to existing innovations
– Second mover advantage
 Personal experience, hobbies and pastimes, personal
passions, annoyances
 De-commoditize a commodity
– Starbucks
 Drive an innovation down-market
– Spinbrush
 Import geographically isolated innovations, cross
regional, discipline or industry
– Red Bull, Starbucks
 Identify small companies with niche products with
broader market appeal potential
– Gyration and Nintendo
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Value propositions
• What value do we deliver to
customers?
• Which one of our customer’s
problems are we helping to solve?
• What bundles of products and
services are we offering to each
Customer Segment?
• Which customer needs are we
satisfying?
Key questions
• Newness
• Performance
• Customization
• Getting the job done
• Design
• Brand/status
• Price
• Cost reduction
• Risk reduction
• Accessibility
• Convenience/usability
Types of values
88
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Value proposition – how much does it hurt?
 Painkiller
 Vitamin
 Candy
89
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Value proposition – degrees of recognition
 Latent problem – they have a problem but don’t know it
 Passive problem – they know they have a problem but not looking
for a solution yet
 Active or urgent problem – they know they have a problem, are
actively looking for a solution but no serious work done yet to solve
 A vision – they have an idea for solving the problem and a home-
grown solution but are prepared to pay for a better solution
90
6XXXX
Business model innovation: Diamond Rio vs iPod
91
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Disruptive business model or disruptive tech
 Diamond is the first mover in
portable MP3 in 1998
 Apple enters in 2003 and
captures 90% of the market
 Business model innovation –
hardware + software + service
92
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Disruptive models from Gillette to Google
 Gillette – razor and blade
 Southwest Airlines – budget airlines
 Dell Computer – mass customization
 Charles Schwab – on-line broker
 Amazon – ecommerce
 eBay – peer to peer marketplace
 Google – search-based advertising
93
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Innovation and value proposition
1. What is your product and what is innovative about it?
2. What is the painful problem you are solving for customers?
3. What are the shortfalls of the current solutions?
4. How do you solve this problem and can you quantify your benefit?
5. How does your innovation enable you to accomplish this?
94
6XXXX
Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and
analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
95
6XXXX
Market and competitive analysis
 Identifying favorable markets
 Analyzing markets
96
6XXXX
Choose an industry favorable to start-ups
 Increasing returns business: up-front costs are high relative to
marginal costs
 Network externalities
 Complementary technologies are important to use
 Producer learning is strong, switching costs are high
97
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Look for fast-growing, segmented markets
 The cost gap between new and established firms is smaller in
larger markets
 In fast-growing markets, new firms can serve new customers
rather than customers of existing firms
 Segmented market provide niches for new firms to enter and
reduce retaliation by existing firms
98
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Market timing – entering at the inflection point
Measure of
performance
Measure of effort invested
The technology adoption S curve
99
6XXXX
Industry life cycles and structures
 Choose a young industry – more demand and less competition
 Enter before a dominant design has been adopted
 Labor intensive rather than capital intensive
 Advertising and branding less important
 Less concentrated industries – smaller competitors
100
6XXXX
Market and competitive analysis
 Identifying favorable markets
 Analyzing markets
101
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Market identification and analysis
1. What is your market type?
2. How big is your market and how fast is it growing?
– Top-down approach
– Bottom-up approach
3. What are trends in your market are favourable for you?
– Technological, social, demographic, regulatory
4. Who are your direct and indirect competitors?
102
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Types of markets
 Existing markets
 Re-segmented markets/niche market
 New market
 Clone market
103
6XXXX
Top-down market sizing
Total addressable market
Target market
Target segment
Market share
104
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Bottom-up market sizing
105
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Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
106
6XXXX
Customer discovery workshop
107
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The customer discovery process
Phase 1
State Hypothesis
Draw Business
model canvas
Phase 2
Test the problem
Phase 4
Verify or pivot
Phase 3
Test the solution
Customer validation
108
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Phase 1: Business model hypothesis
 Market size hypothesis
 Value proposition hypothesis
– Product vision
– Product features and benefits
– Minimum viable product
 Value proposition 1: low fidelity MVP
– Do customers care about the problem?
– Write a user story
109
6XXXX
Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and
strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
110
6XXXX
What are the elements of marketing strategy?
 Differentiation – how is your product different from competition
– Product - superior customer value – better, faster closer
– Cost leadership
 Positioning – market selection + differentiation
– Image for the product that embodies its values
 Marketing Execution – the 4 Ps
– Product, pricing, place, promotion
111
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Marketing strategy
1. How is your product differentiated from your competitors’ product?
Use a comparison matrix to illustrate.
2. What is your position in the market? Use a positioning map or
Blue Ocean Strategy canvas to illustrate
3. What are your price, place, product, promotion and initial sales
plans
4. What is your tagline?
112
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Comparison matrix
Competitor
1
Competitor
2
Competitor
3
Competitor
4
Your
company
Benefit 1     
Benefit 2     
Benefit 3     
Benefit 4     
Benefit 5     
Benefit 6     
113
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Positioning map
Portability
Value
Competitor 2
Your company
Competitor 1
Competitor 3
Competitor 4
114
6XXXX
Value innovation – reduce costs & increase value
Costs
Buyer value
Value innovation
www.blueoceanstrategy.com
115
6XXXX
Four factors model
www.blueoceanstrategy.com
116
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Blue Ocean strategy canvas
www.blueoceanstrategy.com
117
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iPod strategy map
118
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Develop a tagline
 Clear, strong, authentic
 Describes your unique
offering to customers
 Provides focus and
differentiation
119
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Elements of the 4 Ps
 Product
– Name, functionality, styling, quality, safety, packaging, repairs and
support, warranty, accessories and service
 Price
– Pricing strategy, MSRP, volume discounts and wholesale pricing, cash
and early payment discounts, seasonal pricing, bundling, flexibility
 Place
– Distribution channels, market coverage, specific channel members,
inventory management, logistics
 Promotion
– Push/pull, advertising, selling and sales force, sales promotions, PR
and publicity, budget.
– How will you make your first sale?
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Competitors will enter
 How to compete with followers?
 How to compete with existing companies?
 Sustainability of technological lead
– Competitors cannot duplicate the technology
– Firm can innovate as fast or faster than competitors
 First-mover disadvantages
 Last-mover advantage
121
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Competitive advantage – barriers to entry
 Proprietary intellectual property
 Network effects or externalities
 Customer lock-in/switching costs
122
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First mover advantage?
123
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Creating last-mover advantage
 Reputation
 Preempting positioning
 Switching costs/Lock-in/Network effects
 Unique channel access
 Move down learning curve
 Favorable access to inputs
 Definition of standards
 Institutional barriers – IP protection
First Mover Advantages
 Pioneering costs
 Demand uncertainty
 Changes in buyer needs
 Specificity of investments
to early generations
 Technological
discontinuities
 Low-cost imitation
Disadvantages
124
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Strategies to create last-mover advantage
 IP strategy – patents, copyrights, trademarks, trade secrets
 Create barriers to entry
– Network effects and externalities
– Lock-in effects
125
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Established company strengths and weaknesses
 Learning curve
 Reputation effect
 Cash flow
 Economies of scale
 Complementary
assets
Advantages
 Difficult to innovate
 They need to satisfy existing customers,
partners and supply chain
 Existing organizational structure is appropriate
to current tasks
 Risk aversion
Weaknesses
126
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Opportunities that favor new firms
 Existing firms frozen in the headlights
 Disruptive technologies and business models
 Uncertainty: existing firms’ advantages in market research are
neutralized; risk propensity
 Technologies: Discrete versus systemic technologies, based on
human capital, general purpose rather than specific
 Bad customers: Enter market that is unattractive to existing
competitors due to established cost structure
127
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Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and
archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
128
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Customer segments
• For whom are we creating value?
• Who are our most important
customers?
Key questions
• Mass market
• Niche market
• Segmented
• Diversified
• Multi-sided platform or market
Types of customer segments
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Customer segments: who/problem
 Customer problem
– Latent
– Passive
– Active or urgent
– Vision
 Customer types
– End user
– Influencer
– Recommender
– Economic buyer
– Decision maker
 Customer archetype
 A day in the life of a customer
 Organizational/influence maps
 Consumer/web influence map
130
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Customer archetype
131
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Customer relationships
• What type of relationships does each of
our customer segments expect us to
establish and maintain with them?
• Which ones have we established?
• How are they integrated with the rest of
our business model?
• How costly are they?
Key questions
• Personal assistance
• Dedicated Personal Assistance
• Self-Service
• Automated Services
• Communities
• Co-creation
Examples
132
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Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
133
6XXXX
Do you love to sell?
134
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Sales and distribution
 Great sales and distribution vs great product
 Best sales is hidden
 Products don’t sell themselves
135
6XXXX
Metrics for effective distribution
 CLV: total net profit earned over the course of relationship with
customer
 CAC: cost to acquire a new customer
 CLV>CAC
136
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Sales channels
137
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Complex sales
 Seven figure deals
 CEO must sell
 50-100% YoY growth over 10 years
 Enterprise sales must start small
138
6XXXX
Personal sales
 10K-100K
 Sales team can sell
 Need to establish a process so sales team can move to mass
139
6XXXX
Sales dead-zone
 Product needs a personal sales effort
 Resources are not available or too expensive
 Underserved SME markets
140
6XXXX
Marketing and advertising
 Work for products with mass appeal but not viral – FMCG
 Can work for start-ups but
 Only when CLV-CAC make all other channels uneconomical
141
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Viral marketing
 Core functionality encourages users to invite their friends
 Move first to dominate most important segment of market with viral
potential
 Get the most valuable users first
 Paypal – initial focus on 20K Ebay PowerSellers
142
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Power law of distribution
 Select one - one distribution
channel will be more powerful than
all others combined
 Most businesses get zero
distribution channels to work
 Poor sales rather than bad product
is most common cause of failure
 Sell your company to the media
 Everyone sells
143
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Channels
• Through which channels do our
customer segments want to be
reached?
• How are we reaching them now?
• How are our channels integrated?
• Which ones work best?
• Which ones are most cost-efficient?
• How are we integrating them with
customer routines?
Key questions
• Awareness: How do we raise awareness
about our company’s products and
services?
• Evaluation: How do we help customers
evaluate our organization’s Value
Proposition?
• Purchase: How do we allow customers to
purchase specific products and services?
• Delivery: How do we deliver a Value
Proposition to customers?
• After sales: How do we provide post-
purchase customer support?
Channel phases
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Channel hypothesis – physical products
 Does your product fit the channel?
 Physical channel choices
– Direct sales
– Independent sales rep firms
– SI/VAR
– Distributors/resellers
– Dealers/Retailers
– Mass merchandisers
– OEMs
 Which channel should I use?
145
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Channel hypothesis – web/mobile
 Pick one distribution channel – use tests to choose
 Web/mobile channel choices
– Dedicated e-commerce – your website
– Two-step e-distribution - Amazon
– Aggregators - Lendingtree
– Platform app store – Apple
– Social commerce - Facebook
– Flash sales - Groupon
– Free-to-paid channel
 Multi-sided markets need unique channel plans
146
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Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
147
6XXXX
Customer relationships hypothesis
148
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Get customers strategy
 Who is your audience and where are they?
 What content will they like?
 Make sure your content works in location
 Participate in their communities
 Create content that people want to link to
149
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Get customers tactics
 Earned or free
– Public relations
– Viral marketing
– SEO
– Social networking
 Paid
– Pay-per-click advertising
– Online or traditional media advertising
– Affiliate marketing
– Online lead generation; permission-based emailing
150
6XXXX
Keep customers
 Interact, retain
 Customization
 User groups
 Blogs
 Online help
 Product tips/bulletins
 Outreach, affiliates
151
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Grow customers
 Get current customers to spend more
– Cross-sell
– Up-sell
– Next selling
– Unbundling
 Get customers to send more customers
– Encourage likes
– Discounts or free trials to share
– Enable email to friends to create mailing lists
– Contests or incentives for viral activities
– Highlight social networking action buttons
– Encourage bloggers to write about the product
152
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Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
153
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Revenue models
• For what value are our
customers really willing to
pay?
• For what do they
currently pay?
• How are they currently
paying?
• How would they prefer to
pay?
• How much does each
Revenue Stream
contribute to overall
revenues?
Key questions
• Asset sale
• Usage fee
• Subscription
Fees
• Lending/Renting/
Leasing
• Licensing
• Brokerage fees
• Advertising
Types
• List price
• Product feature
dependent
• Customer segment
• dependent
• Volume dependent
Fixed pricing
• Negotiation
(bargaining)
• Yield Management
• Real-time-Market
Dynamic pricing
154
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Key revenue model issues
 Subscription/membership
 Volume or unit-based sales
 Advertising-based
 Licensing & syndication
 Transaction fee
 Pay-per-use
 Referrals
 Affiliate/revenue sharing
 Selling data
 Back-end offers
Revenue models
 Single stream
 Multiple streams
 Interdependent
 Loss leader
Revenue streams
 Value pricing
 Competitive
 Volume
 Portfolio
 Razor/blade
 Subscription
 Leasing
 Product based
Pricing models
155
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Other revenue model issues
 Total cost of ownership (TCO)
 Return on investment (ROI)
 Multi-sided markets have multiple revenue models
 Distribution channel affects revenue streams
 Consider lifetime value
156
6XXXX
Revenue diagram – Grateful Dead
From Note on Business Model Analysis for the Entrepreneur – HBS Publishing
157
6XXXX
Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
158
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Cost structure
• What are the most
important costs
inherent in our
business model?
• Which Key
Resources are most
expensive?
• Which Key Activities
are most expensive?
Key questions
• Cost Driven (leanest cost
structure, low price value
proposition, maximum
automation, extensive
outsourcing)
• Value Driven (focused on
value creation, premium
value proposition)
Is your business more
• Fixed Costs (salaries, rents,
utilities)
• Variable costs
• Economies of scale
• Economies of scope
Sample characteristics
159
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Cost drivers
 Payroll-centered (Direct)
 Payroll-centered (Support)
 Inventory
 Space/Rent
 Marketing/advertising
Cost structures
 Fixed
 Semi-variable
 Variable
 Non-recurring
Types of cost drivers
160
6XXXX
Costs diagram – 7-11 Japan
From Note on Business Model Analysis for the Entrepreneur – HBS Publishing
161
6XXXX
Complete business model diagram
162
6XXXX
Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
163
6XXXX
Customer acquisition and activation workshop
164
6XXXX
Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
165
6XXXX
Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
166
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Key roles in a start-up company team
Position Skills
1 CEO (Chief Executive Officer) Leadership, vision, presentation
2 CFO (Chief Finance Officer) Financial
3 COO (Chief Operating Officer) Operations and HR
4 CTO (Chief Technology Officer) Technical/product background
5 CMO (Chief Marketing Officer) Sales and marketing
167
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Beyond the management team
 Board of advisors
 Strategic partners
 Suppliers
168
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Key partnerships
• Who are our key partners?
• Who are our key suppliers?
• Which key resources are we acquiring
from partners?
• Which key activities do partners
perform
Key questions
• Optimization and economy
• Reduction of risk and uncertainty
• Acquisition of particular resources and
activities
Motivations for partnership
169
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Partners hypothesis
 Strategic alliances
 Cooperation with competitors
 Joint business development efforts
 Key supplier relationships
 Traffic partners (web/mobile)
 Other partners – app stores, payment providers
170
6XXXX
Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
171
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IP Strategy
 Patents
 Copyrights
 Trade Marks
 Registered Designs
 Trade secrets
172
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Patents
 Technical inventions
 Novelty, inventiveness & industrial application
 Registration system – national & PCT systems
 Novelty & infringement searches
 20 years, if continuously renewed
 Exclusive monopoly
 Business methods & computer programs, algorithms, ideas
173
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Copyrights
 Exists on creation, no registration procedures
 Searches are therefore not available
 Expression not ideas – words, music, art, film, sound, broadcast,
cable, publishing, live performance
 Life or author/ creator+ 50 years; or 50 years
 Copy, publish, perform, broadcast, cable, adapt
 Software, databases, GUI, multimedia
 International protection e.g.., Berne, TRIPs
174
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Trade Marks
 Registration system – national, CTM & Madrid treaties
 Capable of distinguishing & earlier marks
 Substantive examination
 Searches? – national or CTM
 10 years, renewable indefinitely
 Right to use in the course of trade
 Domain names, marketing, web partnerships
175
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Design registration
 National registration system
 Novelty and mass-produced articles
 Formal examination only
 15 years / 25 years protection, if continuously renewed
 Exclusive monopoly
 Computer icons
 Register or almost no protection, not even copyright
176
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Trade Secrets
 Formula (e.g. Coca Cola formula)
 Pattern, Plan, Customer Lists, etc
 Process, R&D Data
 Device, Apparatus, Machinery etc
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Advantage of Trade Secrets
 No fees
 No time limits
 Information not available to competitor for improvements
 No blocking patents
 Freedom to operate
 Proprietary position
178
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Forms of organization
 Sole proprietorship
 Partnership
 Limited Liability Partnership
 Companies
– Private Limited companies
– Public companies
– Listed public companies
179
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Key agreements
 Shareholder agreement
 Employment agreement
 Director’s responsibilities
 Investment agreement
180
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Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
181
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Who are the players?
 Entrepreneurs
– Lifestyle entrepreneurs - limited scope, complication and
risk. Slow growth.
– High-growth entrepreneurs (scalable business)
Significant scope, complication, and risk. Rapid growth.
 Venture investors
– Venture capitalists (VCs)
– Seed investors/incubators
– Angel investors
– Corporate VCs and investors
– Banks, government
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What roles do they play?
 Identify opportunities
 Provide funding
 Oversee finances
 Assist with growth
 Generate returns for themselves or
their investors
Venture investors
 Create opportunities
 Raise funding
 Manage finances
 Increase value
 Generate returns for investors
Entrepreneurs
183
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VCs invest at multiple stages
Founder’s
Capital
Seed/
Angel
Series
A, B, C
Mezzanine Pre-Exit Exit
VC hurdle rates 60-100% 40-60% 20%
OM
F,F&F
Incubators
corporations
government
Customers, suppliers,
strategic partners
VCs, Banks for VC loans
R&D Establishment GTM/Rollout Accelerated Expansion Maturity
Enablement growth
184
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How much funding is required?
 What are sources of funds – debt, equity, retained earnings
 How much money do you need to raise and how much equity will
the investor receive?
 You should generally be raising around $0.6MM to $1.5MM at this
stage.
 Remember that if you are raising less than $1MM, you will likely be
seeking investment from Angel investors rather than from VCs.
185
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Equity offered – how much do you need?
 What percentage does the company want to sell?
– Often too much or too little
– This is the wrong question
 Set performance and fund-raising milestones
– How much money do you need to achieve the next milestone?
– Divide defensible firm value by funds needed to determine
percentage to sell
 Equity offered in the seed stage should usually be in the range of
15-30%
186
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Use the funds to fuel company growth
 How are you going to use the money you are raising?
 Show a detailed breakdown
 Minimize investment in fixed assets
 No big salaries for founders
187
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Exit strategy and ROI
 How will your investors make money and how much will they
make?
 The most likely exit strategies are IPOs (sell to the public) and
trade sale (sell to another company), with trade sale the first choice
in most cases.
 For VCs, ROI should be at least 10 times and preferably 30-100
times over 5 years.
188
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How do VCs make money?
 Trade sale – sell to
another company
 IPO – sell to the
public through listing
on an exchange
189
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Trade sale or IPO?
www.nvca.org
190
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Exit markets at an inflection point
Exit activity in SEA, especially in Singapore, exploded in 2013
• Increased investment in startups since 2007 is beginning to yield results
• Number of exits increased from 6 in 2010 to 20 in 2013
• Singapore alone has had 30 exits since 2007, 13 in 2013
• Value of exits increased from 51 MM in 2010 to 400 MM in 2013
191
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Recent exits in SEA
Company Country Acquiror Price Year
ZopIM Singapore Zendesk US$29.8MM 2014
Non-Stop Games Singapore King US$ 100MM 2014
sgCarMart Singapore SPH S$60 MM 2013
DS3 Singapore Gemalto S$50 MM est. 2013
Asian Food Channel Singapore Scripps Networks Undisclosed 2013
Reebonz Singapore MediaCorp and Existing investors S$250MM 2013
Yfind Singapore Ruckus Wireless Undisclosed 2013
Techsailor Singapore TO THE NEW Undisclosed 2013
travelmob Singapore HomeAway Undisclosed 2013
Catcha Digital Media Singapore Opt Inc Undisclosed 2013
GridBlaze Singapore Undisclosed Silicon Valley Startup Undisclosed 2013
Viki Singapore Rakuten US$200MM 2013
SGE Singapore Tech In Asia Undisclosed 2013
ThoughtBuzz India To The New Undisclosed 2013
AyoPay Indonesia MOL AccessPortal Undisclosed 2013
Tongue in Chic Malaysia PopDigital Undisclosed 2013
Ocision Malaysia Star Publication US$ 4.36MM 2013
Glamybox Vietnam VanityTrove Undisclosed 2013
PaymentLink Singapore Wirecard US$41.2MM 2013
Dealguru Singapore iBuy S$34.28 MM 2013
Buy Together Hong Kong iBuy S$21 MM 2013
Dealmates Malaysia iBuy S$10 MM 2013
PropertyGuru.com Singapore ImmobilienScout24 S$60 MM 2012
HungryGoWhere Singapore Singtel S$12 MM 2012
AdMax Network Singapore Komli Media Undisclosed 2012
TheMobileGamer Singapore Singtel US$1.5 MM 2012
192
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Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
193
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In the financial section of the business plan
 Business model
 Financial projections
 Valuation
 Funding required and equity offered
 Use of Proceeds
 Exit Strategy and ROI
194
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Business model – how will you make money?
 Revenue sources
 Cost drivers
195
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Complete business model diagram
196
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Create financial projections
 3-5 years of projected balance
sheet, income statement and cash
flow statements.
 Project from bottom up and top
down
 Sales growth and market share are
key
 Project cash requirements using a
detailed budget
Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4
Gross Revenues
Operating Expenses
EBITDA
Metric: Ex: Units sold/leased
Scalability necessary for VC investment - $50MM in annual rev
197
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Pro-forma financial statements
198
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Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
199
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Company valuation methods
 Price to earnings (p/e)
 Dividend yield
 Multiple of book value
 Comparables
 Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
 VC method
200
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Valuation – how much is your business worth?
 How much is your business worth, based on comparables and a
DCF valuation of your projected cash flows at an 80% discount
rate?
 Make sure that you can explain how you arrived at this valuation.
 For seed stage companies, this should generally be in the range of
$2-4 MM.
 Pre-money valuation - worth of the business before VC investment
 Post-money valuation – after VC investment
201
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VC method of valuation
 Variation on NPV/IRR method
 Founders expect to sell company for $25 MM in 4 years
 Need to raise $3MM; investors require 50% return (discount rate)
 Post-money valuation = $4.9 MM ($25MM/(1.54)
 Pre-money valuation = $1.9MM ($4.9MM-$3MM)
 Equity required = $3MM/$4.9MM = 60.75%
202
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How much equity does the investor receive?
 Pre-money valuation
– Amount invested by VC ÷ (Agreed pre-money value of business
+ Amount invested by VC)
– $3MM pre + 1 MM VC = 25% VC equity
 Post-money valuation
– Amount invested by VC ÷ post-money valuation
– $4MM post = 25% VC equity
203
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Pro-forma DCF valuation model
204
6XXXX
Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term
sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
205
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Key elements of the deal
 Board of directors
 Protective provisions
 Drag-along agreement
 Conversion
Control
 Price-per-share
 Valuation
 Amount of financing
 Liquidation preference
 Vesting
 Options pool
 Anti-dilution
 Pay-to-play
Economics
206
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Calculate investor’s ROI including dilution
207
6XXXX
Cap table
208
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Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
209
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VC vs. entrepreneur - interests
 Solve sorting problem
 Minimize agency costs/problems
 Maximize financial returns
 Maintain option to abandon
 Be able to force entrepreneur to
exit and distribute proceeds
 Maintain reputation
VC
 Get outside capital
 Maximize financial gains from
equity stake
 Retain control, minimize
constraints on behavior and
decision making
 Build successful firm
 Build reputation
 Get outside expertise and contacts
Entrepreneur
From Venture Capital Negotiations: VC versus Entrepreneur – HBS Publishing
210
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VC versus entrepreneur
 Entrepreneur compensation increases
when value of VC's stake increases
 Vesting of entrepreneur's stake
 Key-person agreements
 Ability to fire managers
Ways to align incentives
 Due diligence
 Repeated relationships
 Monitoring/information rights
Ways to reduce information asymmetries
From Venture Capital Negotiations: VC versus Entrepreneur – HBS Publishing
211
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VC versus entrepreneur
 Equity stake senior to that of
entrepreneur
 Option to abandon through staging of
investments across financing rounds
 Forcing exit through decision-making
control
 Convertible debt
 Puts rights and anti-dilution provisions
Ways for VC to protect downside
 Seat on board of directors
 Covenants in agreement limiting
entrepreneur's ability to use capital in
undesirable ways
 Involvement in operations
 Super-majority rights
Ways for VC to control decision making
From Venture Capital Negotiations: VC versus Entrepreneur – HBS Publishing
212
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Entrepreneur versus investor
 Maximize financial returns
 Maintain option to abandon
 Be able to force entrepreneur to
exit and distribute proceeds
 Maintain reputation
VC
 Get outside capital
 Maximize financial gains from
equity stake
 Retain control, minimize
constraints on behavior and
decision making
 Build successful firm
 Build reputation
 Get outside expertise and contacts
Entrepreneur
213
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Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
214
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VC-Start-up negotiation workshop
215
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Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation
materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
216
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Communicating with investors
 Business plan
 Executive summary
 Investor presentation
 Formal and informal presentations
217
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Use meaningful titles
 The title of each slide should communicate the key message for
that slide.
 For example, if you have a slide that shows projected sales, do not
make the title "Projected Sales."
 Instead, make the title something like, "Projected Sales in 2003 are
$3 Million."
218
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Less is more
 Your message needs to be clear and concise
 Clean visual design – avoid chart junk and “design-itis”
 On presentation slides, less is more – slides, bullet points, text
 If you can't explain your message simply, you need to re-formulate
your message.
219
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Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
220
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How long does it take to make a first impression?
 First impressions are critical
 You make yours in the first 7
seconds of your presentation
 How long to feel someone is
trust-worthy? 0.1 second
 How can people decide so
quickly? Appearance and
body language.
221
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You can’t judge a book by its cover, can you?
 Appearance counts
 Attractive people are viewed as more interesting, credible,
trustworthy and persuasive
 Good looking people get better jobs, tall men perceived as
powerful
222
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Which one is more likely to be the CEO?
 In the U.S. population, about 14.5 percent
of all men are six feet or over
 Among CEOs of Fortune 500 companies,
that number is 58 percent
 3.9 percent of adult men are 6'2" or taller
 Among CEOs, 30 percent were 6'2" or
taller
 An inch of height is worth $789 a year in
salary
From Blink – Malcolm Gladwell
223
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You can’t judge a book by its cover: Part II
224
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You can’t judge a book by its cover: Part III
 You can’t judge a book by its cover;
appearance doesn’t matter
 Everyone judges books by their
cover; appearance matters a lot
 We can be seriously misled by this
approach – Susan Boyle
 So why does everyone judge a
book by its cover?
225
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All stereotypes are wrong, aren’t they?
 Beauty is not in the eye of the beholder –
standards of beauty are innate
 One-week old babies look longer at attractive
faces
 Beauty is not only skin-deep
 Bi-lateral symmetrical and composite
appearance are correlated with genetic and
developmental fitness
 Tall and strong men were more successful in
our ancestral environment
226
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Presentation dos and don'ts
 Rock back and forth - nervous
 Fidget - nervous
 Shake leg while sitting – bored,
nervous
 Too many um and uh
 Voice too soft – shy; too loud –
overbearing
 Rubbing back of the neck – bored
Don’t
 Stand up straight, open body
language – nothing crossed
 Arms at side - relaxed and proper
gesticulation – hands below chin
and within shoulder ranger
 Be aware of hands and feet
 Face smiling and inviting
 Silent pause – thoughtful and
confident
Do
227
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Maintain proper eye contact
 Too little eye contact – lying
 Too much eye contact – stalker stare
 Look directly at the audience for emphasis or conviction
 Sweep and click to create connections
 Handshake – strong and confident. Pump 2-3 times, then release.
Don’t use two hands
228
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Pitching to VCs
229
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Getting past gatekeepers
 Why are presentations important?
 Understand gatekeepers’ incentives
 Avoid raising red flags
 Attention to detail
 Get it right the first time
230
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Why are presentations important? You’re fired!
231
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What causes choking?
 Top performance under pressure
requires focus and relaxation
 Too much focus on performance
causes skill to break down
 Forget about your bad shots;
remember your good shots
232
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Create takeaway messages
 People remember the first or last things that you say, so start and
end the presentation strong
 Communicate your important points clearly, concisely and
memorably.
 People remember stories more easily than lists of facts, so if you
can make any of your key points in story form, that can be helpful.
233
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Do not read your slides
 Do not just stand and read your presentation slides.
 Makes your presentation redundant and therefore uninteresting,
since the audience can just then read the slides.
 Try to pick out one or two important points on each slide to discuss
in more detail.
234
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Practice and test
 Analyze the details of your presentation, then master those details
by practice, practice, practice.
 Arrive early and if you are using any technology, test it
 If you can not get in early, try to test the night before
 It is OK to be nervous before you begin
235
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Q&A is the most important part
 Audience has a chance to ask you about what is on their mind.
 Q&A is do or die time.
 Prepare for Q&A by studying your material in-depth
 Anticipate likely difficult questions and formulate answers
 Note questions you are asked and if you did not have a good
answer to a specific question, formulate one for next time.
 Don’t disagree - agree
236
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Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation
workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
237
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Presentation workshop
238
6XXXX
Expara Accelerator Program
• Go big or go home
• Investment: why and how
• Business model canvas and plan
Understanding the big
picture
• Innovation and value proposition
• Market identification and analysis
• Customer discovery workshop
• Competitive analysis and strategy
• Customer analysis and archetype
• Channel strategy
• Sales strategy
• Revenue model
• Cost model
• Customer acquisition and
activation workshop
• Low fidelity MVP demo
Key elements for success:
product/market fit
• Team, team and team
• Legal and regulatory issues
Key elements for
success: business
• The fundraising process
• Financial plan and model
• Valuation
• Key deal terms and term sheets
• Negotiating with investors
• VC-startup negotiation
workshop
• Investor presentation materials
• Presenting to investors
• Investor presentation workshop
• Demo Day
Financing and
fundraising
239
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Demo day
240
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Customer discovery process
241
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The customer discovery process
Phase 1
State Hypothesis
Draw Business
model canvas
Phase 2
Test the problem
Phase 4
Verify or pivot
Phase 3
Test the solution
Customer validation
242
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Testing the problem
• Do we really understand the customers
problem?
• Do enough people care about the
problem for the business to scale?
• Will they care enough to tell their
friends?
Key questions
• Designing experiments for customer tests
• Preparing for customer contacts and
engagements
• Testing customers understanding of the
problem and assessing its importance to
customers
• Gaining understanding of customers
• Capturing competitive and market
knowledge
Key steps
243
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Design tests and pass/fail experiments
244
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Prepare for customer contacts – physical
 Start with 50 target customers
 Develop a reference story
 Start the appointment setting process
245
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Build low-fidelity MVP – web/mobile
 Makes sure the problem or need is an urgent one
 Presents the problem
 Asks for a response
 Can use multiple MVPs
246
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Test understanding of problem and assess its
importance - physical
 Develop a problem presentation
 The problem meeting
 Understand how they solve the problem today
 Collect information on everything
 Amalgamate and score customer data
247
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Low fidelity MVP problem test – web/mobile
 Push – push contacts need referral sources
 Pull – pull strategies
 Pay – pay for contacts
 Drive traffic and start counting
 Consider scalability
 Use traffic measurement tools
248
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Gain customer understanding
 Participate in their culture
 Get to know real customers
 Internalize customer experience
 Understand how they discover new ways to spend their time
249
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Contact us
 Douglas Abrams
 Expara Pte. Ltd.
 dka@expara.com
 www.expara.com
 65-6323-3084, 65-9780-5381 (hp)
 Block 71 Ayer Rajah Crescent, #02-10/11 Singapore 139951

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Expara accelerator program

  • 1. July 2016 Expara Accelerator Program Discussion slides
  • 2. 2 6XXXX About the lecturer  Wharton MBA  JP Morgan – Vice President IB Technology, GM Internet Marketing  Parallax Capital Mgmt – Co-founder and MD Private Equity  Extream Ventures – Co-founder and MD S$20 million seed fund  Expara – Founder and MD IDM Ventures Incubator, advisory, training  NUS – Adjunct Associate Professor, Business School, Entrepreneurship  Sasin – Visiting Professor, Venture Capital
  • 3. 3 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 4. 4 6XXXX Go big or go home  Introduction to scalable entrepreneurship  Understanding risk and return  Let’s fail
  • 5. 5 6XXXX What is an entrepreneur?  A person who organizes, operates, and assumes the risk for a business venture.  From Old French, from entreprendre, to undertake.  Enterprise: An undertaking, especially one of some scope, complication, and risk.  Enterprising: Willingness to undertake new ventures; initiative: "Through want of enterprise and faith men are where they are, buying and selling, and spending their lives like serfs" (Henry David Thoreau).
  • 6. 6 6XXXX What is a scalable business?  Small business: limited scope, complication and risk. Slow growth.  Scalable business: significant scope, complication, and risk. Rapid growth.
  • 7. 7 6XXXX Present to investor to raise money How to build a scalable business? Identify idea and write business plan The new venture creation process Form a start-up company team
  • 8. 8 6XXXX What are the qualities that make a successful entrepreneur?  Intelligent  Creative problem-solving skills  Self-starting  Committed  Motivated  Risk taking
  • 9. 9 6XXXX Is entrepreneurship important to the country?  The development of a thriving entrepreneurial sector is not just an economic "nice-to-have." In the knowledge- and innovation-driven globalized economy of the 21st century it is a competitive necessity.  In one year alone, the small number of venture-backed companies in the US generated $736 billion in revenues, created 4.3 million new jobs, accounting for 3.3% of total jobs in the US and 7.4% of GDP.  The more than 4,000 companies started by MIT grads employ more than 1.1 MM people and generate more than $232 B in revenue p.a.  Innovative entrepreneurs drive long-term economic growth – creative destruction
  • 10. 10 6XXXX Why is entrepreneurship important to you?  What type of life do you want to have? – An average life or an extraordinary life?  What do you want to do with your life? – Create something of value from nothing or just make money?  Do you want to: – Make a difference? – Change the world in some way? – Leave something of value after you are gone?
  • 11. 11 6XXXX As an entrepreneur, you can:  Have an extraordinary life  Create something of value from nothing  Become rich  Do something meaningful  Make a difference  Change the world in a positive way  Leave something of value behind after you are gone
  • 12. 12 6XXXX Obstacles to entrepreneurship  Lack of entrepreneurial skills  Attitudes toward risk  Cultural attitudes toward failure  Entrepreneurial success is difficult
  • 13. 13 6XXXX This could be you - iTwin  BMA5108 – “Cable-less cable” remote access device based on A-Star technology  Selected for TechCrunch 50 2009 in Silicon Valley  Spin-off company launched in 2010  Raised S$2 MM Series A funding in July 2010
  • 14. 14 6XXXX This could be you - Sparefoot  2007 – Chuck Gordon takes TR3002  2008 –Co-founds Ikatoo – Winner, IDM Prize S@S and i.JAM recipient  2008 – Returns to US and resumes work on Sparefoot  2010 – Sparefoot raises US$3 MM VC
  • 15. 15 6XXXX This could be you: Pirate 3D
  • 16. 16 6XXXX This could be you: Asia’s Top 25 Entrepreneurs
  • 17. 17 6XXXX This could be you: Facebook  Feb 2004: Mark Zuckerberg, 19, launches The Facebook from his Harvard dorm room, with ~10K investment. Half of Harvard signs up in the first month  June 2004: Facebook receives $500K funding from Peter Thiel  Mid 2005: Accel partners invests $12.7MM and Greylock $27.5MM  Oct 2007: Microsoft buys 1.6% of Facebook for $246MM  Nov 2007: Li Ka-shing invests $60MM  2009-10: Elevation partners invests $210MM at valuation $12 - 23B  2011: Goldman Sachs buys shares in the secondary market at an implied valuation of $50B  2012: Goes IPO at valuation ~$100B (now $67B) “The youngest billionaire on earth” - Forbes
  • 18. 18 6XXXX This could be you: Instagram  2010 - Kevin Systrom and Mike Krieger focus their multi-featured HTML5 check- in project Burbn on mobile photography  Mar 2010 – Close $500K seed funding round from Baseline Ventures and Andreessen Horowitz; est. val. $5 MM  Oct 2010 – Product launches on Apple App Store  Feb 2012 – Raise $7MM Series A funding; valuation $25 MM  Apr 2012 – Raise $50 MM at $500 MM valuation; sold to Facebook, val $1 B 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Millions of Users
  • 19. 19 6XXXX This could be you: Google  1995: Sergey Brin and Larry Page, two Stanford University graduate students develop the technology that will become the Google search engine.  1998: Sergey and Larry raise $1 million in funding from family, friends, and angel investors to start Google in a friend's Menlo Park, Calif. garage with four employees.  1999: Google raises $25MM from VCs and angel investors  2004: Google goes IPO at a valuation of US$23.1 billion. Sells 7% to public for $1.67 billion. Market cap Jan 2007 US$149 billion.
  • 20. 20 6XXXX This could be you: YouTube  Feb 2005: Chad Hurley, Steve Chen, and Jawed Karim found YouTube, Inc.  Nov 2005: YouTube receives funding from Sequoia Capital  Dec 2005: YouTube service is officially launched  Nov 2006: Google acquires YouTube for US$1.65 billion, 20 months after the company was founded
  • 21. 21 6XXXX Founded by undergrads: Dell and Microsoft  Michael Dell, who founded Dell in 1984 with $1,000 when he was 19 years old. The company now employs approximately 41,800 people worldwide and reported revenues of $38.2 billion for the past four quarters.  Bill Gates, who founded Microsoft in 1975 while still an undergraduate at Harvard. Microsoft had revenues of US$32.19 billion for the fiscal year ending June 2003, and employs more than 54,000 people in 85 countries and regions.
  • 22. 22 6XXXX SEA exit markets at an inflection point Exit activity in SEA, especially in Singapore, has exploded • Increased investment in startups since 2007 is beginning to yield results • Number of exits increased from 5 or less pre-2011 to 60 in last three years • Singapore alone has had 40 exits since 2007 • Value of exits increased from 51 MM in 2010 to 1.2 B in 2014
  • 23. 23 6XXXX Some recent exits Company Country Acquiror Price Year ZopIM Singapore Zendesk US$29.8MM 2014 Non-Stop Games Singapore King US$ 100MM 2014 sgCarMart Singapore SPH S$60 MM 2013 DS3 Singapore Gemalto S$50 MM est. 2013 Asian Food Channel Singapore Scripps Networks Undisclosed 2013 Reebonz Singapore MediaCorp and Existing investors S$250MM 2013 Yfind Singapore Ruckus Wireless Undisclosed 2013 Techsailor Singapore TO THE NEW Undisclosed 2013 travelmob Singapore HomeAway Undisclosed 2013 Catcha Digital Media Singapore Opt Inc Undisclosed 2013 GridBlaze Singapore Undisclosed Silicon Valley Startup Undisclosed 2013 Viki Singapore Rakuten US$200MM 2013 SGE Singapore Tech In Asia Undisclosed 2013 ThoughtBuzz India To The New Undisclosed 2013 AyoPay Indonesia MOL AccessPortal Undisclosed 2013 Tongue in Chic Malaysia PopDigital Undisclosed 2013 Ocision Malaysia Star Publication US$ 4.36MM 2013 Glamybox Vietnam VanityTrove Undisclosed 2013 PaymentLink Singapore Wirecard US$41.2MM 2013 Dealguru Singapore iBuy S$34.28 MM 2013 Buy Together Hong Kong iBuy S$21 MM 2013 Dealmates Malaysia iBuy S$10 MM 2013 PropertyGuru.com Singapore ImmobilienScout24 S$60 MM 2012 HungryGoWhere Singapore Singtel S$12 MM 2012 AdMax Network Singapore Komli Media Undisclosed 2012 TheMobileGamer Singapore Singtel US$1.5 MM 2012
  • 24. 24 6XXXX Go big or go home  Introduction to scalable entrepreneurship  Understanding risk and return  Let’s fail
  • 25. 25 6XXXX What is the relationship between risk and return?  Risk and return are highly correlated  You cannot increase return without taking more risk Return Risk Potential outcomes
  • 26. 26 6XXXX Go big or go home  Introduction to scalable entrepreneurship  Understanding risk and return  Let’s fail
  • 27. 27 6XXXX Let’s fail: the importance of failure for innovation
  • 28. 28 6XXXX 3 key elements for success  Do something you love to do – something meaningful  Create opportunities – don’t wait for them  Don’t give up – stay the course
  • 29. 29 6XXXX What about luck?  Luck by definition is random  In the long run, luck should even out for most  Luck plays an important role in initial conditions but after that much less than you imagine  Don’t wait to get lucky; make your own luck  Chance favors the prepared mind
  • 30. 30 6XXXX Evolving cultural attitudes toward failure Failure is bad; avoid at all costs Traditional
  • 31. 31 6XXXX Evolving cultural attitudes toward failure Failure is bad; avoid at all costs Failure is acceptable; leads to learning Traditional Current
  • 32. 32 6XXXX Evolving cultural attitudes toward failure Failure is bad; avoid at all costs Failure is acceptable; leads to learning Failure is desirable; necessary for innovation Traditional Current Future
  • 33. 33 6XXXX Why is failure desirable?  Willingness to fail – allows risk-taking and innovation  Risk and return – high risk ventures means they are likely to fail  Innovation – key to scalable ventures – innovators will fail
  • 34. 34 6XXXX Rate of tech change is increasing exponentially 1 10 100 1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 10,000,000 100,000,00 0 First Humanoids Language Agriculture Abacus Calculating machine Telegraph Stock Ticker Light Bulb Recording sound Television General purpose computer Stored program computer Integrated circuit Mini computer Microprocessor Personal computer IBM PC Pentium World Wide Web Deep Blue defeats Kasparov
  • 35. 35 6XXXX The rate of innovation is increasing
  • 36. 36 6XXXX Ever-shorter product cycles = more innovation  Phonograph - invented in 1877 by Thomas Edison  33 rpm/45 rpm discs - 1948 (71 years)  Cassette tapes - 1966 (18 years)  Compact disc - 1982 (16 years)  MP3 files - 1991 (9 years)  MP4 files - 1998 (7 years)
  • 37. 37 6XXXX Sometimes failure itself is innovation  Post-It notes - failed glue  Scotchgard - spilled on shoes  Combat - failed additive for cattle feed
  • 38. 38 6XXXX The essence of risk is failure
  • 39. 39 6XXXX Failure is necessary to achieve success
  • 40. 40 6XXXX Why are people afraid to risk failure?  Fear of the unknown - “Why take a chance?”  Fear of looking stupid - “What will they think?”  Judging too quickly - “That will never work”  Attachment to the old - “We have always done it this way”  Attachment to past successes - “This approach got us here”
  • 41. 41 6XXXX Do not let fear stop you  Why are you afraid to try?  The outcome must be important to you; otherwise no fear  This makes you afraid to fail  If you do not try, then you have already failed  “You miss 100% of the shots you do not take” - Wayne Gretzky  Fear causes you to fail at the things that are most important to you
  • 42. 42 6XXXX Why fear?  Fear is good when it helps us stay alive  It is rational to be risk-averse in life-and-death situations  Most investment decisions are not life-and-death situations
  • 43. 43 6XXXX Conquering your fear  Everyone is afraid  It is OK to be afraid  Don’t try to eliminate your fear  Work through your fear
  • 44. 44 6XXXX If you don’t fail, you are not trying hard enough  Most learning and progress are achieved through failure  The top scientists in the world fail more than average scientists  Everyone who is now highly successful took significant risk to get there  We don't regret the things that we do and fail at; we regret the things that we fail to do.  A life lived in fear is a life half lived
  • 45. 45 6XXXX Success from failure – Apple and Steve Jobs
  • 46. 46 6XXXX Product failures – from Apple III to Apple Newton  1980 - Apple III - 75k units sold  1983 – Apple Lisa - 40K units sold in 1984 vs. 80K forecast  1986 – Pixar Image Computer - < 300 units sold  1990 – NeXT workstation – 50K units sold  1993 – Newton – 100MM spent on development – 80K units sold  Apple clones, NeXT software
  • 47. 47 6XXXX Market failure - Apple stock price – 1988 to 1998
  • 48. 48 6XXXX Competitive failure – Apple vs. Microsoft  1980 – Apple’s share of PC market 15%  1996 – 4%  2005 – 2.2%  2011 – Microsoft Windows still has 92% share of operating system market
  • 49. 49 6XXXX Steve Jobs career timeline Success - 1977 • Apple II Failure – 1980 • Apple III Failure – 1983 • Lisa Success – 1984 • Macintosh Failure – 1985 • Ousted from Apple Failure – 1988 • Pixar Image Computer Failure – 1990 • NeXT Workstation Failure – 1993 • NeXT discontinues HW Success – 1995 • Toy Story; Pixar IPO Success – 1996 • Apple buys NeXT Success – 1997 • Return to Apple Success – 1998 • Apple profitable Success 2001 • IPod Success 2007 • Iphone Success 2010 • iPad
  • 50. 50 6XXXX Success from failure  Pixar animated films – 1995 (Toy Story) – 26 Oscars, 7 Golden Globes, 3 Grammies – Films have earned > $6.3 billion worldwide  iPod - 2001 – 300 MM units sold – 90% market share  iPhone – 2007 – > 75 MM units sold – 50% of profits from global mobile phone sales  iPad – > 15 MM units sold, more than all other tablets combined – 83% market share
  • 51. 51 6XXXX Apple stock price 2004 – 2015 +7,910%
  • 52. 52 6XXXX What makes Silicon Valley different?  A different attitude toward failure  Many Silicon Valley VCs will only invest in entrepreneurs who have already failed  “I got my education on the mean streets of Silicon Valley, where I got to see how huge mistakes are made. Knowing what doesn’t work is perhaps more valuable than knowing what should work. Failure is just tuition. If you are in a failing start-up, take notes.” - successful start-up founder
  • 53. 53 6XXXX Only do things that are difficult to do  Everything that is worth doing is difficult  If it is easy, it is probably not worth doing  Therefore, you should never hesitate to do something difficult  Start-up entrepreneur is one of the most difficult jobs in the world  The more difficult it is to do, the greater the return when you succeed (risk/return correlation)  Returns to successful start-up entrepreneurs are the highest in the world
  • 54. 54 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 55. 55 6XXXX Investment: why and how  Why entrepreneurs raise money  Why investors invest in startups  How to raise venture funding
  • 56. 56 6XXXX Why should companies raise investment?  Lifestyle or scalable?  Paycheck or payout?  A big piece of a small pie?  A small piece of a big pie? Founder Investors Investors Founder
  • 57. 57 6XXXX How to fund growth?  Internally generated  Debt  Hybrid  Equity
  • 58. 58 6XXXX Cost, control, growth and risk Internal Debt Equity Source of funds Cost Lose Control Growth $ Risk Impact of funding Low Somewhat High
  • 60. 60 6XXXX Companies founded with venture capital www.nvca.org
  • 61. 61 6XXXX Industries created by venture capital www.nvca.org
  • 62. 62 6XXXX Investment: why and how  Why entrepreneurs raise money  Why investors invest in startups  How to raise venture funding
  • 63. 63 6XXXX Why invest in venture capital? As of 31-Dec 2014 The Cambridge Associates LLC U.S. Venture Capital Index® is an end-to-end calculation based on data compiled from 1,569 U.S. venture capital funds (1,002 early stage, 175 late & expansion stage, 386 multi-stage and 6 venture debt funds), including fully liquidated partnerships, formed between 1981 and 2014. 1Pooled end-to-end return, net of fees, expenses, and carried interest. Sources: Cambridge Associates LLC, Barclays, Dow Jones Indexes, Frank Russell Company, Standard & Poor's, Thomson Reuters Datastream, and Wilshire Associates, Inc. *Capital change only Case Shiller Real Estate Index 4.1 Expara IDM Ventures (2) 43.03
  • 64. 64 6XXXX Impact of VC on a diversified portfolio Private Equity and Strategic Asset Allocation. 2007 Ibbotson Associates
  • 66. 66 6XXXX How does early-stage out-perform? 10 years after investment. Data from Sand Hill Road Econometrics. Companies received first financing before 1 January 1999. First non-seed round investment. Returns are gross - before fees and carry Gross value multiples at all stages of investment
  • 67. 67 6XXXX 65% of the portfolio will deliver less than 1x Gross value multiples for losers 10 years after investment. Data from Sand Hill Road Econometrics. Companies received first financing before 1 January 1999. First non-seed round investment. Returns are gross - before fees and carry
  • 68. 68 6XXXX Early-stage winners will have more home-runs Gross value multiples for winners 10 years after investment. Data from Sand Hill Road Econometrics. Companies received first financing before 1 January 1999. First non-seed round investment. Returns are gross - before fees and carry
  • 69. 69 6XXXX Early-stage has 450% more 50x and 800% more 100x than later rounds Gross value multiples for home runs 10 years after investment. Data from Sand Hill Road Econometrics. Companies received first financing before 1 January 1999. First non-seed round investment. Returns are gross - before fees and carry
  • 70. 70 6XXXX How does a venture capital fund work? Fund Investors VC 8 $ 10 mm 2 $ 10 mm $ 58 mm 25% 75% Fund size 10,000,000$ Life of the fund 7 Management fee 2.5% Investable 8,250,000$ Investment size 1,031,250$ Companies 8 Fail 4 50% Break even 2 25% Exit 2 25% Investor's required ROI 35% Fund multiple return 5.76 Fund size at exit 57,600,000$ Carry @ 20% 9,520,000 Distribution 48,080,000$ Fund return multiple 4.81 Fund ROI 35% Required return per exit 28 times Equity per company F/D 15% Required value of equity at exit 28,800,000$ Required co value at exit 192,000,000$
  • 71. 71 6XXXX GVMs for all first-round investments 10 years after investment. Data from Sand Hill Road Econometrics. Companies received first financing before 1 January 1999. First non-seed round investment. Returns are gross - before fees and carry
  • 72. 72 6XXXX How do VCs make money?  Trade sale – sell to another company  IPO – sell to the public through listing on an exchange
  • 73. 73 6XXXX Trade sale or IPO? www.nvca.org
  • 74. 74 6XXXX Investment: why and how  Why entrepreneurs raise money  Why investors invest in startups  How to raise venture funding
  • 75. 75 6XXXX The investor’s decision tree Innovative? Yes Value proposition? Yes Fast-growing market? Yes Exit No No No
  • 76. 76 6XXXX Product or service: which scales better?  Product-based start-ups – Value proposition is delivered via product  Service-based start-ups – Value proposition is delivered via people
  • 77. 77 6XXXX Getting to gatekeepers  It’s not what you know; it’s who you know  Network, network, network  Strong ties and loose ties
  • 78. 78 6XXXX Connecting to my network  My company websites: www.expara.com  My blog: www.douglasabrams.com  E-mail: dka@expara.com; lanie@expara.com  Facebook: bizadk@nus.edu.sg  Linked-In: dka@parallaxcapital.com  Twitter: twitter.com/douglaskabrams
  • 79. 79 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 80. 80 6XXXX Key elements for success  Develop an innovative product – Innovation  Solve a problem for customers – Value proposition  Identify your customers – Market identification and analysis  Reach your customers – Marketing strategy  Compete when others enter - Sustainable competitive advantage  Make money – Business model and financial plan  Team – A team or B team
  • 81. 81 6XXXX Problem Solution Key Metrics Cost drivers Revenue model Innovation and value proposition Sustainable competitive advantage Channels Customer segments Market size Customer archetype High concept Existing solutions Top 1-3 customer problems How are these problems solved today? Your solutions to customer problems Key numbers that tell if you are succeeding What is innovative about your solution? Why are you better than existing solutions? One sentence that says it all How will you create barriers to entry for followers? How will you get your product to customers? Who are your target customers? How big is your market and how fast is it growing? Characteristics of your key customers How do you generate revenue? What are your key cost drivers? Expara Business Model Canvas
  • 82. 82 6XXXX Writing a model business plan 1. Executive summary 2. Value proposition and innovation 3. Market identification and analysis 4. Marketing and sales strategy 5. Sustainable competitive advantage Overview, innovation, market 6. Company products and services 7. Team 8. Expansion plan 9. Operational plan 10. Finances – Revenue and cash flow, valuation, funding required, equity offered, ROI Execution and financials
  • 83. 83 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 84. 84 6XXXX Innovation and value proposition  Sources of innovation – Trend-driven: forces, trends and mega-trends – Technological, macro, social, demographic, political  Types of innovation – Technology, product, process, positioning, paradigm, operational, cost, customer experience, management, business model, industry, attribute-driven (Blue Ocean)  Degrees of innovation – Incremental, disruptive
  • 85. 85 6XXXX Types of innovation  Trend-driven: forces, trends and mega-trends – Technological, macro, social, demographic, political  Business model: changing market and industry structures & needs – Market inefficiencies  Attribute-driven – Blue Ocean strategy
  • 86. 86 6XXXX Generating innovations  Alternative approaches to existing innovations – Second mover advantage  Personal experience, hobbies and pastimes, personal passions, annoyances  De-commoditize a commodity – Starbucks  Drive an innovation down-market – Spinbrush  Import geographically isolated innovations, cross regional, discipline or industry – Red Bull, Starbucks  Identify small companies with niche products with broader market appeal potential – Gyration and Nintendo
  • 87. 87 6XXXX Value propositions • What value do we deliver to customers? • Which one of our customer’s problems are we helping to solve? • What bundles of products and services are we offering to each Customer Segment? • Which customer needs are we satisfying? Key questions • Newness • Performance • Customization • Getting the job done • Design • Brand/status • Price • Cost reduction • Risk reduction • Accessibility • Convenience/usability Types of values
  • 88. 88 6XXXX Value proposition – how much does it hurt?  Painkiller  Vitamin  Candy
  • 89. 89 6XXXX Value proposition – degrees of recognition  Latent problem – they have a problem but don’t know it  Passive problem – they know they have a problem but not looking for a solution yet  Active or urgent problem – they know they have a problem, are actively looking for a solution but no serious work done yet to solve  A vision – they have an idea for solving the problem and a home- grown solution but are prepared to pay for a better solution
  • 90. 90 6XXXX Business model innovation: Diamond Rio vs iPod
  • 91. 91 6XXXX Disruptive business model or disruptive tech  Diamond is the first mover in portable MP3 in 1998  Apple enters in 2003 and captures 90% of the market  Business model innovation – hardware + software + service
  • 92. 92 6XXXX Disruptive models from Gillette to Google  Gillette – razor and blade  Southwest Airlines – budget airlines  Dell Computer – mass customization  Charles Schwab – on-line broker  Amazon – ecommerce  eBay – peer to peer marketplace  Google – search-based advertising
  • 93. 93 6XXXX Innovation and value proposition 1. What is your product and what is innovative about it? 2. What is the painful problem you are solving for customers? 3. What are the shortfalls of the current solutions? 4. How do you solve this problem and can you quantify your benefit? 5. How does your innovation enable you to accomplish this?
  • 94. 94 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 95. 95 6XXXX Market and competitive analysis  Identifying favorable markets  Analyzing markets
  • 96. 96 6XXXX Choose an industry favorable to start-ups  Increasing returns business: up-front costs are high relative to marginal costs  Network externalities  Complementary technologies are important to use  Producer learning is strong, switching costs are high
  • 97. 97 6XXXX Look for fast-growing, segmented markets  The cost gap between new and established firms is smaller in larger markets  In fast-growing markets, new firms can serve new customers rather than customers of existing firms  Segmented market provide niches for new firms to enter and reduce retaliation by existing firms
  • 98. 98 6XXXX Market timing – entering at the inflection point Measure of performance Measure of effort invested The technology adoption S curve
  • 99. 99 6XXXX Industry life cycles and structures  Choose a young industry – more demand and less competition  Enter before a dominant design has been adopted  Labor intensive rather than capital intensive  Advertising and branding less important  Less concentrated industries – smaller competitors
  • 100. 100 6XXXX Market and competitive analysis  Identifying favorable markets  Analyzing markets
  • 101. 101 6XXXX Market identification and analysis 1. What is your market type? 2. How big is your market and how fast is it growing? – Top-down approach – Bottom-up approach 3. What are trends in your market are favourable for you? – Technological, social, demographic, regulatory 4. Who are your direct and indirect competitors?
  • 102. 102 6XXXX Types of markets  Existing markets  Re-segmented markets/niche market  New market  Clone market
  • 103. 103 6XXXX Top-down market sizing Total addressable market Target market Target segment Market share
  • 105. 105 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 107. 107 6XXXX The customer discovery process Phase 1 State Hypothesis Draw Business model canvas Phase 2 Test the problem Phase 4 Verify or pivot Phase 3 Test the solution Customer validation
  • 108. 108 6XXXX Phase 1: Business model hypothesis  Market size hypothesis  Value proposition hypothesis – Product vision – Product features and benefits – Minimum viable product  Value proposition 1: low fidelity MVP – Do customers care about the problem? – Write a user story
  • 109. 109 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 110. 110 6XXXX What are the elements of marketing strategy?  Differentiation – how is your product different from competition – Product - superior customer value – better, faster closer – Cost leadership  Positioning – market selection + differentiation – Image for the product that embodies its values  Marketing Execution – the 4 Ps – Product, pricing, place, promotion
  • 111. 111 6XXXX Marketing strategy 1. How is your product differentiated from your competitors’ product? Use a comparison matrix to illustrate. 2. What is your position in the market? Use a positioning map or Blue Ocean Strategy canvas to illustrate 3. What are your price, place, product, promotion and initial sales plans 4. What is your tagline?
  • 112. 112 6XXXX Comparison matrix Competitor 1 Competitor 2 Competitor 3 Competitor 4 Your company Benefit 1      Benefit 2      Benefit 3      Benefit 4      Benefit 5      Benefit 6     
  • 113. 113 6XXXX Positioning map Portability Value Competitor 2 Your company Competitor 1 Competitor 3 Competitor 4
  • 114. 114 6XXXX Value innovation – reduce costs & increase value Costs Buyer value Value innovation www.blueoceanstrategy.com
  • 116. 116 6XXXX Blue Ocean strategy canvas www.blueoceanstrategy.com
  • 118. 118 6XXXX Develop a tagline  Clear, strong, authentic  Describes your unique offering to customers  Provides focus and differentiation
  • 119. 119 6XXXX Elements of the 4 Ps  Product – Name, functionality, styling, quality, safety, packaging, repairs and support, warranty, accessories and service  Price – Pricing strategy, MSRP, volume discounts and wholesale pricing, cash and early payment discounts, seasonal pricing, bundling, flexibility  Place – Distribution channels, market coverage, specific channel members, inventory management, logistics  Promotion – Push/pull, advertising, selling and sales force, sales promotions, PR and publicity, budget. – How will you make your first sale?
  • 120. 120 6XXXX Competitors will enter  How to compete with followers?  How to compete with existing companies?  Sustainability of technological lead – Competitors cannot duplicate the technology – Firm can innovate as fast or faster than competitors  First-mover disadvantages  Last-mover advantage
  • 121. 121 6XXXX Competitive advantage – barriers to entry  Proprietary intellectual property  Network effects or externalities  Customer lock-in/switching costs
  • 123. 123 6XXXX Creating last-mover advantage  Reputation  Preempting positioning  Switching costs/Lock-in/Network effects  Unique channel access  Move down learning curve  Favorable access to inputs  Definition of standards  Institutional barriers – IP protection First Mover Advantages  Pioneering costs  Demand uncertainty  Changes in buyer needs  Specificity of investments to early generations  Technological discontinuities  Low-cost imitation Disadvantages
  • 124. 124 6XXXX Strategies to create last-mover advantage  IP strategy – patents, copyrights, trademarks, trade secrets  Create barriers to entry – Network effects and externalities – Lock-in effects
  • 125. 125 6XXXX Established company strengths and weaknesses  Learning curve  Reputation effect  Cash flow  Economies of scale  Complementary assets Advantages  Difficult to innovate  They need to satisfy existing customers, partners and supply chain  Existing organizational structure is appropriate to current tasks  Risk aversion Weaknesses
  • 126. 126 6XXXX Opportunities that favor new firms  Existing firms frozen in the headlights  Disruptive technologies and business models  Uncertainty: existing firms’ advantages in market research are neutralized; risk propensity  Technologies: Discrete versus systemic technologies, based on human capital, general purpose rather than specific  Bad customers: Enter market that is unattractive to existing competitors due to established cost structure
  • 127. 127 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 128. 128 6XXXX Customer segments • For whom are we creating value? • Who are our most important customers? Key questions • Mass market • Niche market • Segmented • Diversified • Multi-sided platform or market Types of customer segments
  • 129. 129 6XXXX Customer segments: who/problem  Customer problem – Latent – Passive – Active or urgent – Vision  Customer types – End user – Influencer – Recommender – Economic buyer – Decision maker  Customer archetype  A day in the life of a customer  Organizational/influence maps  Consumer/web influence map
  • 131. 131 6XXXX Customer relationships • What type of relationships does each of our customer segments expect us to establish and maintain with them? • Which ones have we established? • How are they integrated with the rest of our business model? • How costly are they? Key questions • Personal assistance • Dedicated Personal Assistance • Self-Service • Automated Services • Communities • Co-creation Examples
  • 132. 132 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 134. 134 6XXXX Sales and distribution  Great sales and distribution vs great product  Best sales is hidden  Products don’t sell themselves
  • 135. 135 6XXXX Metrics for effective distribution  CLV: total net profit earned over the course of relationship with customer  CAC: cost to acquire a new customer  CLV>CAC
  • 137. 137 6XXXX Complex sales  Seven figure deals  CEO must sell  50-100% YoY growth over 10 years  Enterprise sales must start small
  • 138. 138 6XXXX Personal sales  10K-100K  Sales team can sell  Need to establish a process so sales team can move to mass
  • 139. 139 6XXXX Sales dead-zone  Product needs a personal sales effort  Resources are not available or too expensive  Underserved SME markets
  • 140. 140 6XXXX Marketing and advertising  Work for products with mass appeal but not viral – FMCG  Can work for start-ups but  Only when CLV-CAC make all other channels uneconomical
  • 141. 141 6XXXX Viral marketing  Core functionality encourages users to invite their friends  Move first to dominate most important segment of market with viral potential  Get the most valuable users first  Paypal – initial focus on 20K Ebay PowerSellers
  • 142. 142 6XXXX Power law of distribution  Select one - one distribution channel will be more powerful than all others combined  Most businesses get zero distribution channels to work  Poor sales rather than bad product is most common cause of failure  Sell your company to the media  Everyone sells
  • 143. 143 6XXXX Channels • Through which channels do our customer segments want to be reached? • How are we reaching them now? • How are our channels integrated? • Which ones work best? • Which ones are most cost-efficient? • How are we integrating them with customer routines? Key questions • Awareness: How do we raise awareness about our company’s products and services? • Evaluation: How do we help customers evaluate our organization’s Value Proposition? • Purchase: How do we allow customers to purchase specific products and services? • Delivery: How do we deliver a Value Proposition to customers? • After sales: How do we provide post- purchase customer support? Channel phases
  • 144. 144 6XXXX Channel hypothesis – physical products  Does your product fit the channel?  Physical channel choices – Direct sales – Independent sales rep firms – SI/VAR – Distributors/resellers – Dealers/Retailers – Mass merchandisers – OEMs  Which channel should I use?
  • 145. 145 6XXXX Channel hypothesis – web/mobile  Pick one distribution channel – use tests to choose  Web/mobile channel choices – Dedicated e-commerce – your website – Two-step e-distribution - Amazon – Aggregators - Lendingtree – Platform app store – Apple – Social commerce - Facebook – Flash sales - Groupon – Free-to-paid channel  Multi-sided markets need unique channel plans
  • 146. 146 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 148. 148 6XXXX Get customers strategy  Who is your audience and where are they?  What content will they like?  Make sure your content works in location  Participate in their communities  Create content that people want to link to
  • 149. 149 6XXXX Get customers tactics  Earned or free – Public relations – Viral marketing – SEO – Social networking  Paid – Pay-per-click advertising – Online or traditional media advertising – Affiliate marketing – Online lead generation; permission-based emailing
  • 150. 150 6XXXX Keep customers  Interact, retain  Customization  User groups  Blogs  Online help  Product tips/bulletins  Outreach, affiliates
  • 151. 151 6XXXX Grow customers  Get current customers to spend more – Cross-sell – Up-sell – Next selling – Unbundling  Get customers to send more customers – Encourage likes – Discounts or free trials to share – Enable email to friends to create mailing lists – Contests or incentives for viral activities – Highlight social networking action buttons – Encourage bloggers to write about the product
  • 152. 152 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 153. 153 6XXXX Revenue models • For what value are our customers really willing to pay? • For what do they currently pay? • How are they currently paying? • How would they prefer to pay? • How much does each Revenue Stream contribute to overall revenues? Key questions • Asset sale • Usage fee • Subscription Fees • Lending/Renting/ Leasing • Licensing • Brokerage fees • Advertising Types • List price • Product feature dependent • Customer segment • dependent • Volume dependent Fixed pricing • Negotiation (bargaining) • Yield Management • Real-time-Market Dynamic pricing
  • 154. 154 6XXXX Key revenue model issues  Subscription/membership  Volume or unit-based sales  Advertising-based  Licensing & syndication  Transaction fee  Pay-per-use  Referrals  Affiliate/revenue sharing  Selling data  Back-end offers Revenue models  Single stream  Multiple streams  Interdependent  Loss leader Revenue streams  Value pricing  Competitive  Volume  Portfolio  Razor/blade  Subscription  Leasing  Product based Pricing models
  • 155. 155 6XXXX Other revenue model issues  Total cost of ownership (TCO)  Return on investment (ROI)  Multi-sided markets have multiple revenue models  Distribution channel affects revenue streams  Consider lifetime value
  • 156. 156 6XXXX Revenue diagram – Grateful Dead From Note on Business Model Analysis for the Entrepreneur – HBS Publishing
  • 157. 157 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 158. 158 6XXXX Cost structure • What are the most important costs inherent in our business model? • Which Key Resources are most expensive? • Which Key Activities are most expensive? Key questions • Cost Driven (leanest cost structure, low price value proposition, maximum automation, extensive outsourcing) • Value Driven (focused on value creation, premium value proposition) Is your business more • Fixed Costs (salaries, rents, utilities) • Variable costs • Economies of scale • Economies of scope Sample characteristics
  • 159. 159 6XXXX Cost drivers  Payroll-centered (Direct)  Payroll-centered (Support)  Inventory  Space/Rent  Marketing/advertising Cost structures  Fixed  Semi-variable  Variable  Non-recurring Types of cost drivers
  • 160. 160 6XXXX Costs diagram – 7-11 Japan From Note on Business Model Analysis for the Entrepreneur – HBS Publishing
  • 162. 162 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 163. 163 6XXXX Customer acquisition and activation workshop
  • 164. 164 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 165. 165 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 166. 166 6XXXX Key roles in a start-up company team Position Skills 1 CEO (Chief Executive Officer) Leadership, vision, presentation 2 CFO (Chief Finance Officer) Financial 3 COO (Chief Operating Officer) Operations and HR 4 CTO (Chief Technology Officer) Technical/product background 5 CMO (Chief Marketing Officer) Sales and marketing
  • 167. 167 6XXXX Beyond the management team  Board of advisors  Strategic partners  Suppliers
  • 168. 168 6XXXX Key partnerships • Who are our key partners? • Who are our key suppliers? • Which key resources are we acquiring from partners? • Which key activities do partners perform Key questions • Optimization and economy • Reduction of risk and uncertainty • Acquisition of particular resources and activities Motivations for partnership
  • 169. 169 6XXXX Partners hypothesis  Strategic alliances  Cooperation with competitors  Joint business development efforts  Key supplier relationships  Traffic partners (web/mobile)  Other partners – app stores, payment providers
  • 170. 170 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 171. 171 6XXXX IP Strategy  Patents  Copyrights  Trade Marks  Registered Designs  Trade secrets
  • 172. 172 6XXXX Patents  Technical inventions  Novelty, inventiveness & industrial application  Registration system – national & PCT systems  Novelty & infringement searches  20 years, if continuously renewed  Exclusive monopoly  Business methods & computer programs, algorithms, ideas
  • 173. 173 6XXXX Copyrights  Exists on creation, no registration procedures  Searches are therefore not available  Expression not ideas – words, music, art, film, sound, broadcast, cable, publishing, live performance  Life or author/ creator+ 50 years; or 50 years  Copy, publish, perform, broadcast, cable, adapt  Software, databases, GUI, multimedia  International protection e.g.., Berne, TRIPs
  • 174. 174 6XXXX Trade Marks  Registration system – national, CTM & Madrid treaties  Capable of distinguishing & earlier marks  Substantive examination  Searches? – national or CTM  10 years, renewable indefinitely  Right to use in the course of trade  Domain names, marketing, web partnerships
  • 175. 175 6XXXX Design registration  National registration system  Novelty and mass-produced articles  Formal examination only  15 years / 25 years protection, if continuously renewed  Exclusive monopoly  Computer icons  Register or almost no protection, not even copyright
  • 176. 176 6XXXX Trade Secrets  Formula (e.g. Coca Cola formula)  Pattern, Plan, Customer Lists, etc  Process, R&D Data  Device, Apparatus, Machinery etc
  • 177. 177 6XXXX Advantage of Trade Secrets  No fees  No time limits  Information not available to competitor for improvements  No blocking patents  Freedom to operate  Proprietary position
  • 178. 178 6XXXX Forms of organization  Sole proprietorship  Partnership  Limited Liability Partnership  Companies – Private Limited companies – Public companies – Listed public companies
  • 179. 179 6XXXX Key agreements  Shareholder agreement  Employment agreement  Director’s responsibilities  Investment agreement
  • 180. 180 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 181. 181 6XXXX Who are the players?  Entrepreneurs – Lifestyle entrepreneurs - limited scope, complication and risk. Slow growth. – High-growth entrepreneurs (scalable business) Significant scope, complication, and risk. Rapid growth.  Venture investors – Venture capitalists (VCs) – Seed investors/incubators – Angel investors – Corporate VCs and investors – Banks, government
  • 182. 182 6XXXX What roles do they play?  Identify opportunities  Provide funding  Oversee finances  Assist with growth  Generate returns for themselves or their investors Venture investors  Create opportunities  Raise funding  Manage finances  Increase value  Generate returns for investors Entrepreneurs
  • 183. 183 6XXXX VCs invest at multiple stages Founder’s Capital Seed/ Angel Series A, B, C Mezzanine Pre-Exit Exit VC hurdle rates 60-100% 40-60% 20% OM F,F&F Incubators corporations government Customers, suppliers, strategic partners VCs, Banks for VC loans R&D Establishment GTM/Rollout Accelerated Expansion Maturity Enablement growth
  • 184. 184 6XXXX How much funding is required?  What are sources of funds – debt, equity, retained earnings  How much money do you need to raise and how much equity will the investor receive?  You should generally be raising around $0.6MM to $1.5MM at this stage.  Remember that if you are raising less than $1MM, you will likely be seeking investment from Angel investors rather than from VCs.
  • 185. 185 6XXXX Equity offered – how much do you need?  What percentage does the company want to sell? – Often too much or too little – This is the wrong question  Set performance and fund-raising milestones – How much money do you need to achieve the next milestone? – Divide defensible firm value by funds needed to determine percentage to sell  Equity offered in the seed stage should usually be in the range of 15-30%
  • 186. 186 6XXXX Use the funds to fuel company growth  How are you going to use the money you are raising?  Show a detailed breakdown  Minimize investment in fixed assets  No big salaries for founders
  • 187. 187 6XXXX Exit strategy and ROI  How will your investors make money and how much will they make?  The most likely exit strategies are IPOs (sell to the public) and trade sale (sell to another company), with trade sale the first choice in most cases.  For VCs, ROI should be at least 10 times and preferably 30-100 times over 5 years.
  • 188. 188 6XXXX How do VCs make money?  Trade sale – sell to another company  IPO – sell to the public through listing on an exchange
  • 189. 189 6XXXX Trade sale or IPO? www.nvca.org
  • 190. 190 6XXXX Exit markets at an inflection point Exit activity in SEA, especially in Singapore, exploded in 2013 • Increased investment in startups since 2007 is beginning to yield results • Number of exits increased from 6 in 2010 to 20 in 2013 • Singapore alone has had 30 exits since 2007, 13 in 2013 • Value of exits increased from 51 MM in 2010 to 400 MM in 2013
  • 191. 191 6XXXX Recent exits in SEA Company Country Acquiror Price Year ZopIM Singapore Zendesk US$29.8MM 2014 Non-Stop Games Singapore King US$ 100MM 2014 sgCarMart Singapore SPH S$60 MM 2013 DS3 Singapore Gemalto S$50 MM est. 2013 Asian Food Channel Singapore Scripps Networks Undisclosed 2013 Reebonz Singapore MediaCorp and Existing investors S$250MM 2013 Yfind Singapore Ruckus Wireless Undisclosed 2013 Techsailor Singapore TO THE NEW Undisclosed 2013 travelmob Singapore HomeAway Undisclosed 2013 Catcha Digital Media Singapore Opt Inc Undisclosed 2013 GridBlaze Singapore Undisclosed Silicon Valley Startup Undisclosed 2013 Viki Singapore Rakuten US$200MM 2013 SGE Singapore Tech In Asia Undisclosed 2013 ThoughtBuzz India To The New Undisclosed 2013 AyoPay Indonesia MOL AccessPortal Undisclosed 2013 Tongue in Chic Malaysia PopDigital Undisclosed 2013 Ocision Malaysia Star Publication US$ 4.36MM 2013 Glamybox Vietnam VanityTrove Undisclosed 2013 PaymentLink Singapore Wirecard US$41.2MM 2013 Dealguru Singapore iBuy S$34.28 MM 2013 Buy Together Hong Kong iBuy S$21 MM 2013 Dealmates Malaysia iBuy S$10 MM 2013 PropertyGuru.com Singapore ImmobilienScout24 S$60 MM 2012 HungryGoWhere Singapore Singtel S$12 MM 2012 AdMax Network Singapore Komli Media Undisclosed 2012 TheMobileGamer Singapore Singtel US$1.5 MM 2012
  • 192. 192 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 193. 193 6XXXX In the financial section of the business plan  Business model  Financial projections  Valuation  Funding required and equity offered  Use of Proceeds  Exit Strategy and ROI
  • 194. 194 6XXXX Business model – how will you make money?  Revenue sources  Cost drivers
  • 196. 196 6XXXX Create financial projections  3-5 years of projected balance sheet, income statement and cash flow statements.  Project from bottom up and top down  Sales growth and market share are key  Project cash requirements using a detailed budget Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Gross Revenues Operating Expenses EBITDA Metric: Ex: Units sold/leased Scalability necessary for VC investment - $50MM in annual rev
  • 198. 198 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 199. 199 6XXXX Company valuation methods  Price to earnings (p/e)  Dividend yield  Multiple of book value  Comparables  Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)  VC method
  • 200. 200 6XXXX Valuation – how much is your business worth?  How much is your business worth, based on comparables and a DCF valuation of your projected cash flows at an 80% discount rate?  Make sure that you can explain how you arrived at this valuation.  For seed stage companies, this should generally be in the range of $2-4 MM.  Pre-money valuation - worth of the business before VC investment  Post-money valuation – after VC investment
  • 201. 201 6XXXX VC method of valuation  Variation on NPV/IRR method  Founders expect to sell company for $25 MM in 4 years  Need to raise $3MM; investors require 50% return (discount rate)  Post-money valuation = $4.9 MM ($25MM/(1.54)  Pre-money valuation = $1.9MM ($4.9MM-$3MM)  Equity required = $3MM/$4.9MM = 60.75%
  • 202. 202 6XXXX How much equity does the investor receive?  Pre-money valuation – Amount invested by VC ÷ (Agreed pre-money value of business + Amount invested by VC) – $3MM pre + 1 MM VC = 25% VC equity  Post-money valuation – Amount invested by VC ÷ post-money valuation – $4MM post = 25% VC equity
  • 204. 204 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 205. 205 6XXXX Key elements of the deal  Board of directors  Protective provisions  Drag-along agreement  Conversion Control  Price-per-share  Valuation  Amount of financing  Liquidation preference  Vesting  Options pool  Anti-dilution  Pay-to-play Economics
  • 208. 208 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 209. 209 6XXXX VC vs. entrepreneur - interests  Solve sorting problem  Minimize agency costs/problems  Maximize financial returns  Maintain option to abandon  Be able to force entrepreneur to exit and distribute proceeds  Maintain reputation VC  Get outside capital  Maximize financial gains from equity stake  Retain control, minimize constraints on behavior and decision making  Build successful firm  Build reputation  Get outside expertise and contacts Entrepreneur From Venture Capital Negotiations: VC versus Entrepreneur – HBS Publishing
  • 210. 210 6XXXX VC versus entrepreneur  Entrepreneur compensation increases when value of VC's stake increases  Vesting of entrepreneur's stake  Key-person agreements  Ability to fire managers Ways to align incentives  Due diligence  Repeated relationships  Monitoring/information rights Ways to reduce information asymmetries From Venture Capital Negotiations: VC versus Entrepreneur – HBS Publishing
  • 211. 211 6XXXX VC versus entrepreneur  Equity stake senior to that of entrepreneur  Option to abandon through staging of investments across financing rounds  Forcing exit through decision-making control  Convertible debt  Puts rights and anti-dilution provisions Ways for VC to protect downside  Seat on board of directors  Covenants in agreement limiting entrepreneur's ability to use capital in undesirable ways  Involvement in operations  Super-majority rights Ways for VC to control decision making From Venture Capital Negotiations: VC versus Entrepreneur – HBS Publishing
  • 212. 212 6XXXX Entrepreneur versus investor  Maximize financial returns  Maintain option to abandon  Be able to force entrepreneur to exit and distribute proceeds  Maintain reputation VC  Get outside capital  Maximize financial gains from equity stake  Retain control, minimize constraints on behavior and decision making  Build successful firm  Build reputation  Get outside expertise and contacts Entrepreneur
  • 213. 213 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 215. 215 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 216. 216 6XXXX Communicating with investors  Business plan  Executive summary  Investor presentation  Formal and informal presentations
  • 217. 217 6XXXX Use meaningful titles  The title of each slide should communicate the key message for that slide.  For example, if you have a slide that shows projected sales, do not make the title "Projected Sales."  Instead, make the title something like, "Projected Sales in 2003 are $3 Million."
  • 218. 218 6XXXX Less is more  Your message needs to be clear and concise  Clean visual design – avoid chart junk and “design-itis”  On presentation slides, less is more – slides, bullet points, text  If you can't explain your message simply, you need to re-formulate your message.
  • 219. 219 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 220. 220 6XXXX How long does it take to make a first impression?  First impressions are critical  You make yours in the first 7 seconds of your presentation  How long to feel someone is trust-worthy? 0.1 second  How can people decide so quickly? Appearance and body language.
  • 221. 221 6XXXX You can’t judge a book by its cover, can you?  Appearance counts  Attractive people are viewed as more interesting, credible, trustworthy and persuasive  Good looking people get better jobs, tall men perceived as powerful
  • 222. 222 6XXXX Which one is more likely to be the CEO?  In the U.S. population, about 14.5 percent of all men are six feet or over  Among CEOs of Fortune 500 companies, that number is 58 percent  3.9 percent of adult men are 6'2" or taller  Among CEOs, 30 percent were 6'2" or taller  An inch of height is worth $789 a year in salary From Blink – Malcolm Gladwell
  • 223. 223 6XXXX You can’t judge a book by its cover: Part II
  • 224. 224 6XXXX You can’t judge a book by its cover: Part III  You can’t judge a book by its cover; appearance doesn’t matter  Everyone judges books by their cover; appearance matters a lot  We can be seriously misled by this approach – Susan Boyle  So why does everyone judge a book by its cover?
  • 225. 225 6XXXX All stereotypes are wrong, aren’t they?  Beauty is not in the eye of the beholder – standards of beauty are innate  One-week old babies look longer at attractive faces  Beauty is not only skin-deep  Bi-lateral symmetrical and composite appearance are correlated with genetic and developmental fitness  Tall and strong men were more successful in our ancestral environment
  • 226. 226 6XXXX Presentation dos and don'ts  Rock back and forth - nervous  Fidget - nervous  Shake leg while sitting – bored, nervous  Too many um and uh  Voice too soft – shy; too loud – overbearing  Rubbing back of the neck – bored Don’t  Stand up straight, open body language – nothing crossed  Arms at side - relaxed and proper gesticulation – hands below chin and within shoulder ranger  Be aware of hands and feet  Face smiling and inviting  Silent pause – thoughtful and confident Do
  • 227. 227 6XXXX Maintain proper eye contact  Too little eye contact – lying  Too much eye contact – stalker stare  Look directly at the audience for emphasis or conviction  Sweep and click to create connections  Handshake – strong and confident. Pump 2-3 times, then release. Don’t use two hands
  • 229. 229 6XXXX Getting past gatekeepers  Why are presentations important?  Understand gatekeepers’ incentives  Avoid raising red flags  Attention to detail  Get it right the first time
  • 230. 230 6XXXX Why are presentations important? You’re fired!
  • 231. 231 6XXXX What causes choking?  Top performance under pressure requires focus and relaxation  Too much focus on performance causes skill to break down  Forget about your bad shots; remember your good shots
  • 232. 232 6XXXX Create takeaway messages  People remember the first or last things that you say, so start and end the presentation strong  Communicate your important points clearly, concisely and memorably.  People remember stories more easily than lists of facts, so if you can make any of your key points in story form, that can be helpful.
  • 233. 233 6XXXX Do not read your slides  Do not just stand and read your presentation slides.  Makes your presentation redundant and therefore uninteresting, since the audience can just then read the slides.  Try to pick out one or two important points on each slide to discuss in more detail.
  • 234. 234 6XXXX Practice and test  Analyze the details of your presentation, then master those details by practice, practice, practice.  Arrive early and if you are using any technology, test it  If you can not get in early, try to test the night before  It is OK to be nervous before you begin
  • 235. 235 6XXXX Q&A is the most important part  Audience has a chance to ask you about what is on their mind.  Q&A is do or die time.  Prepare for Q&A by studying your material in-depth  Anticipate likely difficult questions and formulate answers  Note questions you are asked and if you did not have a good answer to a specific question, formulate one for next time.  Don’t disagree - agree
  • 236. 236 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 238. 238 6XXXX Expara Accelerator Program • Go big or go home • Investment: why and how • Business model canvas and plan Understanding the big picture • Innovation and value proposition • Market identification and analysis • Customer discovery workshop • Competitive analysis and strategy • Customer analysis and archetype • Channel strategy • Sales strategy • Revenue model • Cost model • Customer acquisition and activation workshop • Low fidelity MVP demo Key elements for success: product/market fit • Team, team and team • Legal and regulatory issues Key elements for success: business • The fundraising process • Financial plan and model • Valuation • Key deal terms and term sheets • Negotiating with investors • VC-startup negotiation workshop • Investor presentation materials • Presenting to investors • Investor presentation workshop • Demo Day Financing and fundraising
  • 241. 241 6XXXX The customer discovery process Phase 1 State Hypothesis Draw Business model canvas Phase 2 Test the problem Phase 4 Verify or pivot Phase 3 Test the solution Customer validation
  • 242. 242 6XXXX Testing the problem • Do we really understand the customers problem? • Do enough people care about the problem for the business to scale? • Will they care enough to tell their friends? Key questions • Designing experiments for customer tests • Preparing for customer contacts and engagements • Testing customers understanding of the problem and assessing its importance to customers • Gaining understanding of customers • Capturing competitive and market knowledge Key steps
  • 243. 243 6XXXX Design tests and pass/fail experiments
  • 244. 244 6XXXX Prepare for customer contacts – physical  Start with 50 target customers  Develop a reference story  Start the appointment setting process
  • 245. 245 6XXXX Build low-fidelity MVP – web/mobile  Makes sure the problem or need is an urgent one  Presents the problem  Asks for a response  Can use multiple MVPs
  • 246. 246 6XXXX Test understanding of problem and assess its importance - physical  Develop a problem presentation  The problem meeting  Understand how they solve the problem today  Collect information on everything  Amalgamate and score customer data
  • 247. 247 6XXXX Low fidelity MVP problem test – web/mobile  Push – push contacts need referral sources  Pull – pull strategies  Pay – pay for contacts  Drive traffic and start counting  Consider scalability  Use traffic measurement tools
  • 248. 248 6XXXX Gain customer understanding  Participate in their culture  Get to know real customers  Internalize customer experience  Understand how they discover new ways to spend their time
  • 249. 249 6XXXX Contact us  Douglas Abrams  Expara Pte. Ltd.  dka@expara.com  www.expara.com  65-6323-3084, 65-9780-5381 (hp)  Block 71 Ayer Rajah Crescent, #02-10/11 Singapore 139951