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39th Annual Economic Forecast Conference, Thursday, January 13, 2011 (Seattle, WA). 2011 Forecast - Ken Goldstein, The Conference Board
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This document summarizes the key points from a conference on productivity growth and innovation. It discusses that there was consensus around several drivers of productivity including human capital, technological adoption, agglomeration effects, and firm-level management practices. However, there was no consensus around the future of productivity growth, particularly in developed countries. The document also notes areas for future research, including the potential cost of the recent economic crisis on long-term productivity trends and differences in productivity and GDP per capita across regions.
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The document provides an overview of industry trends in the meetings and events industry in 2011 and an outlook for 2012. In 2011, the global economic recovery was uneven and uncertain, but the industry remained confident and saw steady growth. Key markets like the US, Europe, and emerging economies were analyzed. Client sectors like pharmaceuticals, automotive, and financial services were also discussed. Regional variations in the industry across the US, Europe, China, the Middle East, and Australia were covered. For 2012, weak growth was predicted for advanced economies, but the industry expected growing demand and rates based on forward bookings, with increasing differentials between first and second tier cities. Surveys showed 46% of companies expected budgets to stay the same inRecord high earnings to propel stock markets to record high levels
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Olympian Sep2012
The document discusses managing investments by overcoming fears amid market volatility. It notes gains in the S&P 500 and other indexes over the past month. Upcoming events like the US presidential election and ongoing Eurozone issues may impact markets. The author advocates strategies to control risks and create profits despite headline risks over the coming autumn season.
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Weo Imbalancesgg
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The document discusses how the global economic context is changing with the rise of emerging economies like China and India. It outlines some key trends including:
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During the months following the global recession, many economists (including ones from this organisation) discussed the possibility of a double dip recession. Between the European debt crisis and the US’s high unemployment rate, it seemed likely that the global economy would slip back into recession territory. However, with the exception of the US, recent global economic performance has been better than expected. Fiscal and monetary policy in most countries remains supportive of growth and although another global slowdown looks inevitable, a relapse into recession is unlikely. The Economist Intelligence Unit explains the likelihood of a double dip recesssion in this presentation.
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The document discusses the economic outlook for South Florida and the implications for local businesses from 2011-2012. It notes that while the US and global economies are expected to see moderate growth, the recovery will be slow and below potential levels. The document identifies several industries and business opportunities in South Florida that may see growth during this "new normal" period of slower economic activity, such as exports, trade financing, and professional services.
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The document provides an economic forecast for 2013. It finds that:
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The document is a 2013 economic forecast for the Puget Sound region. It summarizes that the Puget Sound region experienced deeper recessions than the nation during the Dot-Com/911 recession and Great Recession due to its industry concentration. The forecast predicts employment and income growth in the Puget Sound region to outpace national averages from 2011-2021 due to factors like international trade, technology companies, and its educated workforce.
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Implicitly or explicitly all competing businesses employ a strategy to select a mix
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enterpriseSeattle Forecast 2011 - Ken Goldstein
- 1. 39th Annual Economic Forecast Conference
- 3. Mike Dueker, Russell Investments
- 4. Dick Conway, Puget Sound Economic Forecasterwww.enterpriseSeattle.org
- 5. PROGRESS, FOR NOW Ken Goldstein WWW.CONFERENCE-BOARD.ORG
- 6. Overview: Recovery Has Some Momentum Ditto Global Economy - Even In Euro-Zone (4.2% in 2011, 4.5% in 2012) Food + Energy + Commodity Prices: Rising Housing Still A Drag Currency Speculation
- 7. Global Economy Coming Back Source: IMF, The Conference Board
- 8. The Changing Make Up Of The Work Force Note: younger = from 16 to 24, older = 55 and over Source: BLS, Statistics Bureau (Japan), The Conference Board
- 9. In All Regions – Even The Euro-Zone Note: Shaded areas represent recessions Source: The Conference Board
- 10. Iffy Prospects For Service Sector Jobs Note: Shaded areas represent recessions Source: TNS, NFO, The Conference Board
- 11. Dimmer Prospects For Incomes Note: Shaded areas represent recessions Source: TNS, The Conference Board
- 12. Housing Still a Drag West Source: Freddie Mac, The Conference Board
- 14. Price Split Source: Department of Energy, The Conference Board
- 15. Wealth destruction phase Cresting Note: Shaded areas represent recessions Source: The Conference Board
- 16. Euro Premium Drowning In Greece Note: Shaded areas represent recessions Source: FRB, The Conference Board
- 17. In A Panicky World – Flight To Safety Note: Shaded areas represent recessions Source: FRB, The Conference Board
- 18. Investment Constrained Source: SBA, The Conference Board