During the months following the global recession, many economists (including ones from this organisation) discussed the possibility of a double dip recession. Between the European debt crisis and the US’s high unemployment rate, it seemed likely that the global economy would slip back into recession territory. However, with the exception of the US, recent global economic performance has been better than expected. Fiscal and monetary policy in most countries remains supportive of growth and although another global slowdown looks inevitable, a relapse into recession is unlikely. The Economist Intelligence Unit explains the likelihood of a double dip recesssion in this presentation.
On November 2, 2010, EIU Senior Economist Leila Butt, presented the Economist Intelligence Unit Global Outlook in Boston. Key points in this presentation include:
- Most economies are growing again
- Emerging markets are booming
- Unemployment remains very high
- Consumers are rebuilding balance sheets
- Countries are heavily indebted
- Deflation is a risk in rich countries
- Asset bubbles are a risk in emerging markets
On November 2, 2010, EIU Senior Economist Leila Butt, presented the Economist Intelligence Unit Global Outlook in Boston. Key points in this presentation include:
- Most economies are growing again
- Emerging markets are booming
- Unemployment remains very high
- Consumers are rebuilding balance sheets
- Countries are heavily indebted
- Deflation is a risk in rich countries
- Asset bubbles are a risk in emerging markets
Economic and Structural Report August 2008, extract fromSwedbank
Swedbank was founded in 1820, as Sweden’s first savings bank was established. Today, our heritage is visible in that we truly are a bank for each and every one and in that we still strive to contribute to a sustainable development of society and our environment. We are strongly committed to society as a whole and keen to help bring about a sustainable form of societal development. Our Swedish operations hold an ISO 14001 environmental certification, and environmental work is an integral part of our business activities.
The global financial crisis of 2007-2009 and subsequent Great Recession constituted the worst shocks to the United States economy in generations. Books have been and will be written about the housing bubble and bust, the financial panic that followed, the economic devastation that resulted, and the steps that various arms of the U.S. and foreign governments took to prevent the Great Depression 2.0. But the story can also be told graphically, as these charts aim to do.
What comes quickly into focus is that as the crisis intensified, so did the government’s response. Although the seeds of the harrowing events of 2007-2009 were sown over decades, and the U.S. government was initially slow to act, the combined efforts of the Federal Reserve, Treasury Department, and other agencies were ultimately forceful, flexible, and effective. Federal regulators greatly expanded their crisis management toolkit as the damage unfolded, moving from traditional and domestic measures to actions that were innovative and sometimes even international in reach. As panic spread, so too did their efforts broaden to quell it. In the end, the government was able to stabilize the system, re-start key financial markets, and limit the extent of the harm to the economy.
No collection of charts, even as extensive as this, can convey all the complexities and details of the crisis and the government’s interventions. But these figures capture the essential features of one of the worst episodes in American economic history and the ultimately successful, even if politically unpopular, government response.
In the Inflation Watch series, NAR Research focuses on the price level. We monitor measures of inflation that affect the business of REALTORS® and summarize their impact, highlighting areas of potential concern.
Is the world heading towards an unprecedented zero-interest rate economy? In a globalized world like today’s, where economies are extremely interdependent,
relative prices are one of the most important key driver for increasing exports. An
appreciation of the domestic currency could scuttle export and bring the fragile economy
back to recession. This would happen if all the other countries decide to keep interest
rates steady. Is it rational to increase rates when all the others keep them steady? The
answer is clearly no. Following Dr. Keith Weiner’s theory of interest and price2
, a zero interest rate economy
can be regarded as a singularity point in Astrophysics. Once the interest rate falls to a
certain point known as “event horizon”, the theory says, then it cannot escape and rise.
Once that point is reached it becomes evident that (sovereign and private) debts cannot
be paid off, although the truth is that it was impossible to pay off them since the very
moment they were issued.
In the Inflation Watch series, NAR Research focuses on the price level. We monitor measures of inflation that affect the business of REALTORS® and summarize their impact, highlighting areas of potential concern in a brief, polished presentation.
FOMC meeting crucial for forex and commoditiesHantec Markets
After the huge swing in positioning for the Fed to turn dovish, this week's meeting of the FOMC will be crucial for the medium term outlook on financial markets. We look at the impact on forex, equities and commodities markets in the coming days.
The data directive is an Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) report which seeks to explore the degree to which the ongoing data revolution within business is delivering truly strategic change within companies, as opposed to more incremental optimisation gains. Although many of the issues discussed here stray into the realm of so-called “big data”, this report is not explicitly focussed on that topic and not deal with any technology-related issues. Instead, it seeks to explore how the wider trend toward a greater reliance on data is affecting the strategic management of businesses at a C-suite level, across a range of industries. There is also a supplement to this report available that focuses on the strategic impact of data on CFO's and the finance function. http://bit.ly/thedatadirective_mt
Economic and Structural Report August 2008, extract fromSwedbank
Swedbank was founded in 1820, as Sweden’s first savings bank was established. Today, our heritage is visible in that we truly are a bank for each and every one and in that we still strive to contribute to a sustainable development of society and our environment. We are strongly committed to society as a whole and keen to help bring about a sustainable form of societal development. Our Swedish operations hold an ISO 14001 environmental certification, and environmental work is an integral part of our business activities.
The global financial crisis of 2007-2009 and subsequent Great Recession constituted the worst shocks to the United States economy in generations. Books have been and will be written about the housing bubble and bust, the financial panic that followed, the economic devastation that resulted, and the steps that various arms of the U.S. and foreign governments took to prevent the Great Depression 2.0. But the story can also be told graphically, as these charts aim to do.
What comes quickly into focus is that as the crisis intensified, so did the government’s response. Although the seeds of the harrowing events of 2007-2009 were sown over decades, and the U.S. government was initially slow to act, the combined efforts of the Federal Reserve, Treasury Department, and other agencies were ultimately forceful, flexible, and effective. Federal regulators greatly expanded their crisis management toolkit as the damage unfolded, moving from traditional and domestic measures to actions that were innovative and sometimes even international in reach. As panic spread, so too did their efforts broaden to quell it. In the end, the government was able to stabilize the system, re-start key financial markets, and limit the extent of the harm to the economy.
No collection of charts, even as extensive as this, can convey all the complexities and details of the crisis and the government’s interventions. But these figures capture the essential features of one of the worst episodes in American economic history and the ultimately successful, even if politically unpopular, government response.
In the Inflation Watch series, NAR Research focuses on the price level. We monitor measures of inflation that affect the business of REALTORS® and summarize their impact, highlighting areas of potential concern.
Is the world heading towards an unprecedented zero-interest rate economy? In a globalized world like today’s, where economies are extremely interdependent,
relative prices are one of the most important key driver for increasing exports. An
appreciation of the domestic currency could scuttle export and bring the fragile economy
back to recession. This would happen if all the other countries decide to keep interest
rates steady. Is it rational to increase rates when all the others keep them steady? The
answer is clearly no. Following Dr. Keith Weiner’s theory of interest and price2
, a zero interest rate economy
can be regarded as a singularity point in Astrophysics. Once the interest rate falls to a
certain point known as “event horizon”, the theory says, then it cannot escape and rise.
Once that point is reached it becomes evident that (sovereign and private) debts cannot
be paid off, although the truth is that it was impossible to pay off them since the very
moment they were issued.
In the Inflation Watch series, NAR Research focuses on the price level. We monitor measures of inflation that affect the business of REALTORS® and summarize their impact, highlighting areas of potential concern in a brief, polished presentation.
FOMC meeting crucial for forex and commoditiesHantec Markets
After the huge swing in positioning for the Fed to turn dovish, this week's meeting of the FOMC will be crucial for the medium term outlook on financial markets. We look at the impact on forex, equities and commodities markets in the coming days.
The data directive is an Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) report which seeks to explore the degree to which the ongoing data revolution within business is delivering truly strategic change within companies, as opposed to more incremental optimisation gains. Although many of the issues discussed here stray into the realm of so-called “big data”, this report is not explicitly focussed on that topic and not deal with any technology-related issues. Instead, it seeks to explore how the wider trend toward a greater reliance on data is affecting the strategic management of businesses at a C-suite level, across a range of industries. There is also a supplement to this report available that focuses on the strategic impact of data on CFO's and the finance function. http://bit.ly/thedatadirective_mt
Money doesn’t buy happiness, but it is an important factor—both directly, by providing material comforts, and indirectly, by supporting an active approach to managing health and fitness. Read more>> http://bit.ly/1UjV7hT
Developed by the EIU, this index ranks countries across the world by how much economic opportunity they provide for women. This year's Index ranked Sweden, Belgium and Norway at the top; Chad, Yemen and Sudan filled the bottom slots. This Index is intended to spur debate and research on the factors that affect women’s ability to access jobs and business opportunities. It is also intended to prompt improvements in policy and programmes that will encourage women’s participation in the workplace and thus create more productive economies overall.
What cities make the best destinations for career-oriented professionals? How do locations stack up against each other?
Find out in the Career city index.
The EIU has downgraded its forecast for the US in 2010 to 2.3% (from 2.8%) previously. Read about the latest economic forecast for the world, updated from August.
Talent remains an important component of countries’ and businesses’ long-term competitiveness. How they develop, attract and retain talent should therefore remain high on the agenda of policymakers and business leaders for the foreseeable future. The Global Talent Index Report: The Outlook to 2015 seeks to inform their thinking by assessing talent trends around the world on two dimensions: at the international level through a benchmarking index of talent environments in 60 countries – The Global Talent Index, 2011-2015; and at the enterprise level, determining how executives view the outlook for their own firms’ ability to attract and retain the people they will need.
The Economist Intelligence Unit has updated its global economic forecast. Download this presentation to view slides on economic outlooks for: US, Western Europe, Japan, Emerging Markets, Oil, non-oil commodities, Monetary policy, Currency, and Forecast risks. Visit www.eiu.com/gfs to find out more.
The quest for digital skills is an Economist Intelligence Unit report, sponsored by Cognizant, on the supply and demand of digital skills across four industries: financial services, healthcare, retail and manufacturing.
Hope, headwinds or hurricanes? This presentation from the Economist Intelligence Unit takes a look at the global economy today and in the long-term. Key takeaways: risk of double dip recession is high at 30%, but the EIU thinks that sluggish growth, not negative growth, is the most likely outcome; China will take over the US as the largest economy by 2025; without major economic reform, the euro area may start on a more gradual decline.
For a class assignment on the 2007-08 economic crisis. We focused on the idea of a "Shifting Economic Position" as the major reason for the crisis (as per assignment) - Leave a comment if you download, please!
SunTrust Chief Economist Gregory Miller Briefs Chamber Members on Economic Trends
Gregory Miller, chief economist at SunTrust Bank, gave the keynote address at the 2015 Economic Outlook Briefing presented by Town of Chapel Hill Economic Development, describing trends and the latest economic issues facing the nation and the region.
As SunTrust’s chief economist, Gregory Miller analyzes the U.S. and global economies and forecasts the U.S. national economy. He advises corporate and bank boards of directors, as well as making frequent presentations to SunTrust business and wealth management clients. He sits on committees charged with interest rate setting, corporate investment, and benefits policy. He is a policy advisor for Private Wealth and Corporate Investment Banking groups.
Mr. Miller comments frequently in business media, including CNBC News, Bloomberg News, Fox Business, Reuters, USA Today, Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Blue Chip Financial Forecast, and other local news media platforms.
In addition to Miller’s economic forecast, Chamber President & CEO Aaron Nelson presented the results of the Chamber’s annual Economic Conditions Survey, an online survey that gauges our community’s thoughts on the current economy based on Chamber member response.
For more information, visit carolinachamber.org or contact Kristen Smith at (919) 357-9988.
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The Chapel Hill-Carrboro (NC) Chamber of Commerce is a business leadership organization serving the greater Chapel Hill, NC community. The Chamber serves and supports the business interests of its more than 1,200 members and helps create a sustainable community where they can thrive. Chamber members employ more than 80,000 in the Research Triangle region.
Swedbank was founded in 1820, as Sweden’s first savings bank was established. Today, our heritage is visible in that we truly are a bank for each and every one and in that we still strive to contribute to a sustainable development of society and our environment. We are strongly committed to society as a whole and keen to help bring about a sustainable form of societal development. Our Swedish operations hold an ISO 14001 environmental certification, and environmental work is an integral part of our business activities.
Swedbank was founded in 1820, as Sweden’s first savings bank was established. Today, our heritage is visible in that we truly are a bank for each and every one and in that we still strive to contribute to a sustainable development of society and our environment. We are strongly committed to society as a whole and keen to help bring about a sustainable form of societal development. Our Swedish operations hold an ISO 14001 environmental certification, and environmental work is an integral part of our business activities.
Dr. Bruce Yandle presents his Quarterly Economic Update, paying special attention to economic indicators such as unemployment, interest rates, and GDP.
Dr. Bruce Yandle of Clemson University presents his Quarterly Economic Update paying special attention to the unemployment rate, GDP, and interest rates.
Charting the Financial Crisis: A Narrative eBookShavondaBrandon
The global financial crisis of 2007-2009 and subsequent Great Recession constituted the worst shocks to the United States economy in generations. Books have been and will be written about the housing bubble and bust, the financial panic that followed, the economic devastation that resulted, and the steps that various arms of the U.S. and foreign governments took to prevent the Great Depression 2.0. But the story can also be told graphically, as these charts aim to do.
What comes quickly into focus is that as the crisis intensified, so did the government’s response. Although the seeds of the harrowing events of 2007-2009 were sown over decades, and the U.S. government was initially slow to act, the combined efforts of the Federal Reserve, Treasury Department, and other agencies were ultimately forceful, flexible, and effective. Federal regulators greatly expanded their crisis management toolkit as the damage unfolded, moving from traditional and domestic measures to actions that were innovative and sometimes even international in reach. As panic spread, so too did their efforts broaden to quell it. In the end, the government was able to stabilize the system, re-start key financial markets, and limit the extent of the harm to the economy.
No collection of charts, even as extensive as this, can convey all the complexities and details of the crisis and the government’s interventions. But these figures capture the essential features of one of the worst episodes in American economic history and the ultimately successful, even if politically unpopular, government response.
Ziad Abdelnour, Lebanese American author, trader and financier is President & CEO of Blackhawk Partners, Inc., a “private family office” that backs talented operating executives in growing their companies both organically and through acquisitions and trades physical commodities.
http://pwc.to/1cpYR81
En octobre, les décideurs de partout dans le monde se sont réunis à Washington DC pour faire le bilan des perspectives économiques mondiales. Pour la première fois depuis 2010, le pronostic d’une reprise soutenue pour les économies développées devrait être positif.
Decades of economic growth and development along with better governance and nutrition-specific programmes had lifted hundreds of millions of people in Asia out of poverty, as well as starvation and malnutrition. However, due to the uneven development, while a large segment of Asian's population had changed their eating habits to over-nutrition diets and worrying about lifestyle diseases like diabetes, cancer and heart diseases, there are still some countries and regions suffering from lack of nutrition. For example, childhood malnutrition and stunting is still prevalent in South Asia, one Indian survey found that 21% of children suffer wasting, and a further 7.5% of children suffer it severely.
For more details, please visit: https://eiuperspectives.economist.com/sustainability/fixing-asias-food-system/white-paper/food-thought-eating-better?utm_source=OrganicSocial&utm_medium=Slideshare&utm_campaign=Amundi&utm_content=Slideshare_whitepaper
Digital platforms and services stimulate economic growth and development. Countries are looking to the “internet economy” to provide new market opportunities and help achieve the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) such as promoting economic growth and sustainable industralisation, a process often relying on an increase in online access rates and smartphone penetration.
For more details, please visit: https://eiuperspectives.economist.com/technology-innovation/digital-platforms-and-services-development-opportunity-asean?utm_source=OrganicSocial&utm_medium=Slideshare&utm_campaign=Amundi&utm_content=Slideshare_whitepaper
The world’s top 100 asset owners (AOs) represent about US$19trn in assets under management. The largest, and potentially most influential, proportion is in Asia—more than a third of the total. Out of the top 20 largest funds, three out of the first five and nearly half of the total are in Asia.
For more insights, please visit: https://eiuperspectives.economist.com/sustainability/sustainable-and-actionable-study-asset-owner-priorities-esg-investing-asia?utm_source=OrganicSocial&utm_medium=Slideshare&utm_campaign=Amundi&utm_content=Slideshare_whitepaper
Internet connectivity has proven to be one of the most profound enablers of social change and economic growth of our time. Beginning with fixed narrowband internet connections and moving through successive generations of increasingly pervasive and powerful networks, connectivity has come to underpin our working and personal lives, empowering businesses to operate more efficiently and with wider reach. In turn, connectivity has sparked and fuelled countless new industries, products and services that are coming to define our modern age. Connectivity has proven to be a vital ingredient for business success.
This report examines the burden of lung cancer in Latin America and how well countries in the region are addressing the challenge. Its particular focus is on 12 countries in Central and South America, chosen for various factors including size and level of economic development: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Mexico, Panama, Paraguay, Peru and Uruguay.
In the cyber world, many are attacked but not all are victims. Some organisations emerge stronger. The most cyber-resilient organisations can respond to an incident, fix the vulnerabilities and apply the lessons to strategies for the future. A key element of their resilience is governance, a task that falls to the board of directors.
To learn more about the challenges of governing a cyber-resilient organisation, The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) conducted a global survey, sponsored by Willis Towers Watson, of 452 large-company board members, C-suite executives and directors with responsibility for cyber-resilience.
Among the findings:
-In the past year, a third of the companies surveyed experienced a serious cyber-incident — one that disrupted operations, impaired financials and damaged reputations — and most placed high odds on another one in the next 12 months.
-Many companies lack confidence in their ability to source talent and develop a cyber-savvy workforce.
-Executives cite the size of the financial and reputational risk as the most important reason for board oversight.
Artificial intelligence (AI) will profoundly affect the ways in which businesses and governments engage with consumers and citizens alike. From advances in genetic diagnostics to industrial automation, these widespread changes will have significant economic, social and civic implications. As such, Intelligent Economies explores the transformative potential of AI on markets and societies across the developed and developing worlds.
This report, developed by The Economist Intelligence Unit and sponsored by Microsoft, draws on a survey of more than 400 senior executives working in various industries, including financial services, healthcare and life sciences, manufacturing,
retail and the public sector. Survey respondents operate in eight markets: France, Germany, Mexico, Poland, South Africa, Thailand, the UK and the US.
As businesses generate and manage vast amounts of data, companies have more opportunities to gather data, incorporate insights into business strategy and continuously expand access to data across the organisation. Doing so effectively—leveraging data for strategic objectives—is often easier said
than done, however. This report, Transforming data into action: the business outlook for data governance, explores the business contributions of data governance at organisations globally and across industries, the challenges faced in creating useful data governance policies and the opportunities to improve such programmes.
It wasn’t long ago that a work meeting meant gathering around a table to discuss an agenda. These days you may be using Slack, Hangouts or other digital collaboration platforms that blend messaging with video and allow real-time editing of
documents. Even with these tools, communication at work can still break down, potentially endangering careers, creating stressful work environments and slowing growth.
A survey from The Economist Intelligence Unit and sponsored by Lucidchart reveals some of the perceived causes and effects of these communication breakdowns. The survey, conducted from November 2017 to January 2018, included 403 senior executives, managers and junior staff at US companies divided equally and from companies with annual revenue of less than
US$10m, between US$10m and US$1bn and more than US$1bn. The survey research provides insights about what employees see as the biggest barriers to workplace communication, the causes of the barriers and their impact on work life. Complete survey results are included at the end of
this report.
Successful young entrepreneurial innovators have achieved something akin to rockstar status. They grace magazine covers and keynote global conferences, inspiring burgeoning
start-ups and Fortune 50 companies alike.
Collectively, young entrepreneurs are innovative by nature and their thinking is an important source of growth and job creation across the world. Today, with digital tools in hand, leaders are better positioned to expand their businesses across borders, seize niche opportunities and shape the global economic future.
Yet, most of today’s young entrepreneurs want more than status and a global corporate footprint. Their ideas of success arise from powerful social, political and economic convictions.
To find out what really makes young innovators tick, The Economist Intelligence Unit, sponsored by FedEx, surveyed more than 500 of these young entrepreneurs around the globe about their motivations, ideals and priorities. Our survey respondents were between 25 and 50 years of age and all founders, owners or partners of firms with fewer than 500 employees. They are living in North America, Europe, Middle
East, India and Africa, Asia-Pacific, and Latin America. We surveyed them on matters of globalization, technology and social values.
We then compared their views with a similar survey of the general public in the same regions. Side by side, these surveys enabled us to differentiate the outlooks of today’s young and innovative entrepreneurs.
Our surveys identified four key mindsets that guide young entrepreneurs: leading with passion; thinking globally; embracing social responsibility; and banking on connectivity. This report explores the similarities and divergences of today’s young entrepreneurs and the general public. It seeks insights into the elements of the business environment that matter most to entrepreneurs, as well as their views on a variety of issues including free trade and social responsibility.
Education systems across the world are grappling with the challenge of preparing their students for the rapid changes they will experience during their lifetimes. To this end, schools have a critical role in equipping students with the requisite skills and
competencies that will be in demand, particularly as digital technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI) increasingly transform businesses and influence economies. In this report, The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) discusses the results of a study that explores how to best prepare primary and
secondary school (referred to in this report as “K-12”) students for the 21st century workplace (“the modern workplace”), where
a mix of hard and soft skills are crucial for success. The research, sponsored by Google for Education, draws on a survey of 1,200 educators in 16 countries.1 It looks at the
strategies most effective in developing 21st century skills and how technology can support such efforts.
Gone are the days when marketing chiefs focused solely on the classic 4Ps: Product, Price, Promotions and Place - they now must take an integrated approach to drive company goals.
Corporate and shareholder sentiment towards MA has rebounded since the dark days of 2008. Low borrowing costs have coaxed many new buyers, including acquisitive Chinese conglomerates, into the market. The prices of prized assets have risen accordingly. It remains a sellers market in technology-driven deals, particularly in the consumer-goods, financial services, and media and telecommunications sectors.
Corporate treasury is now a top target for cyber-criminals. Treasury’s trove of personal and corporate data, its authority to make payments and move large amounts of cash quickly, and its often complicated structure make it an appealing choice for discerning fraudsters.
Corporate treasury is now a top target for cyber-criminals. Treasury’s trove of personal and corporate data, its authority to make payments and move large amounts of cash quickly, and its often complicated structure make it an appealing choice for discerning fraudsters.
In today’s low-yield and regulated environment, many Asia-Pacific investors are more actively monitoring their portfolios with a willingness to increase turnover and shift asset allocations for higher returns.
Asia-Pacific institutional investors are struggling to balance long-term liabilities with the need to secure yield in a world where it is increasingly scarce. They are also in the world’s fastest-growing region that has no shortage of volatility. How are they achieving returns while managing risks?
How are institutional investors in North America adapting to increasingly complex risks? Are these risks driving investors to make portfolio changes based on short-term goals or are they making tactical moves to stay focused on long-term objectives?
Political risks and the search for yield are pushing some North American institutional investors toward more tactical decisions. Investors are focused on reallocating to equities and using alternative investments to mitigate risks.
How are EMEA investors responding to changing macroeconomic and regulatory environments, stakeholder objectives and pressures, and market conditions? Based on a survey of 200 institutional investors in the region, this report takes a detailed look.
role of women and girls in various terror groupssadiakorobi2
Women have three distinct types of involvement: direct involvement in terrorist acts; enabling of others to commit such acts; and facilitating the disengagement of others from violent or extremist groups.
In a May 9, 2024 paper, Juri Opitz from the University of Zurich, along with Shira Wein and Nathan Schneider form Georgetown University, discussed the importance of linguistic expertise in natural language processing (NLP) in an era dominated by large language models (LLMs).
The authors explained that while machine translation (MT) previously relied heavily on linguists, the landscape has shifted. “Linguistics is no longer front and center in the way we build NLP systems,” they said. With the emergence of LLMs, which can generate fluent text without the need for specialized modules to handle grammar or semantic coherence, the need for linguistic expertise in NLP is being questioned.
03062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
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Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
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हम आग्रह करते हैं कि जो भी सत्ता में आए, वह संविधान का पालन करे, उसकी रक्षा करे और उसे बनाए रखे।" प्रस्ताव में कुल तीन प्रमुख हस्तक्षेप और उनके तंत्र भी प्रस्तुत किए गए। पहला हस्तक्षेप स्वतंत्र मीडिया को प्रोत्साहित करके, वास्तविकता पर आधारित काउंटर नैरेटिव का निर्माण करके और सत्तारूढ़ सरकार द्वारा नियोजित मनोवैज्ञानिक हेरफेर की रणनीति का मुकाबला करके लोगों द्वारा निर्धारित कथा को बनाए रखना और उस पर कार्यकरना था।
‘वोटर्स विल मस्ट प्रीवेल’ (मतदाताओं को जीतना होगा) अभियान द्वारा जारी हेल्पलाइन नंबर, 4 जून को सुबह 7 बजे से दोपहर 12 बजे तक मतगणना प्रक्रिया में कहीं भी किसी भी तरह के उल्लंघन की रिपोर्ट करने के लिए खुला रहेगा।
01062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
8. Botox finance smoothes the wrinkles 3-month LIBOR/3-month overnight index swap (OIS) spread, percentage points. A higher spread denotes more market stress . Sources: Haver Analytics; Economist Intelligence Unit. Lehman fails Financial markets crash Fed introduces QE Euro zone woes spook markets
9. The great deleveraging continues in the US… US personal savings rate, % of disposable income. Sources: BEA; EIU.
10. … but this is a long haul US household liabilities to disposable income ratio, %. Source: EIU, CountryData.
12. Stresses in the euro zone will continue 211% of GDP 192% 234% 92% 150% 111% 112% 110% Bank claims on private sector, € bn. (UK bank lending at 213% of GDP in 2009, £3trn.) Sources: IMF, International Financial Statistics; EIU, CountryData .
13. UK: More adjustment for the housing market Mortgage approvals, ’000s. Source: Bank of England.
24. Conclusion—so where’s the growth? Real GDP growth; % change, year on year. ASEAN = Association of South East Asian Nations. CIS = Russia, Ukraine etc. As of July 2010. Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, CountryData .
25. If that was all too much for you, take heart! The seeds of prosperity are sown during the periods of financial depression and the seeds of hard times are just as surely down during the period of business activity and speculative boom . The change from a financial depression to better times comes […] so gradually that for months there is a difference of opinion as to whether a change for the better has actually commenced or not. “ “ L M Holt, economist, Panics and Booms , 1897.
27. Data and analysis from today’s presentation were taken from the EIU’s country analysis and forecasting services. For more information on these services and other EIU capabilities, including risk assessment, economic data, industry briefings / forecastings, and custom client research visit www.eiu.com Holly Donahue Marketing Manager Economist Intelligence Unit [email_address] +44 (0)20 7576 8379 Have a question for our country analysts or industry specialists? Please contact: More Information?
Have downgraded US growth forecast for 2011—well below consensus for 2011 is 2.7%, we have 1.5% Also more pessimistic than the Fed The FOMC suggested that it had reduced its growth projections, but it still expected resource utilisation to rise, implying that GDP growth would be maintained above the 2.5 per cent trend into 2011. Unrealistic The Fed surveys suggest that the ISM survey may drop quite sharply when it is published on 1 September, perhaps to somewhere in the low 50s, compared with recent healthy readings of around 55 Companies sitting on a lot of cash—not cash constrained—rather than spending it If animal spirits change, companies become more confident, they can quickly start driving recovery by investing
Policy is backstopping the global economy QE impact felt in keeping many stress indicators down Not healthy, but relatively stable
Savings rate was revised up in the latest data revision Better reflects what we think is going on—we assume around 5-6% going forward—similar to where it was in the 1980s and 1990s 1988 there were 8,000 pawn shops, now there are 15,000 serving 30m customers
A long way to go—probably needs to go back below 100%
So, does the growth baton pass to Europe? Is Germany now the growth power house? Germany leveraged on global growth—so no
Downgrade to Ireland Greece will probably be defaulting in 2012 Low growth, deflationary pressures Germany doing well, but Q2 will be a peak—exports account for 40% of economy, country highly geared to global growth Longer term face significant demographic challenges Funding gap Contingent liabilities hitting Ireland—not public finances so much (BBB rated by us—AA minus by S+P
Markets pointing to deflation and debt and slow growth Japanese, German and UK govt paper also trading very low
Private-sector needs to create 150,000 jobs a month to keep up with population growth At current rate of progress it will take 7 years to recoup the 7.5m jobs lost since the crisis started Worrying increase in long-term unemployed Over past three months 1m people have joined ranks of those who have given up the hunt for jobs Some of these are the 99ers—those that have received benefits for 99 weeks but now longer qualify As of Q2 2010, 7m were unemployed for 27 weeks or more—45% of all unemployed. Compares with 4m and 30% of total in Q2 2009 If you include those wanting to work full time but who can’t, unemployment is over 15%
A jobless recovery—after each recession the bounceback takes longer Didn’t include 2001—we barely noticed it Who benefits from globalisation This crisis is partly one of globalisation—US needs to create far more mobile, high-tech workforce; more jobs will be sucked out Unemployed workers will be We reckons that unemployment will remain elevated at around 9% this year and next
Total consumer debt down by nearly $900m between peak in 2008 Q3 and 2010 Q2 Home ownership rate declining—66.9% in Q2 this year, down from peak of nearly 70%. Takes us roughly back to 2002 levels
Shadow inventory on bank books Despite adjustment, prices still high One of the Gateway Cities, Nr LA Dr Housing Bubble reckons LA real estate prices are overvalued by 30% after adjusting for inflation
Fiscal spending did have an impact—CBO reckons spending raised GDP by 1.7%-4.5%, increased the no of people employed by 1.4m-3.3m compared with what would have occurred otherwise. Directly funded stimulus jobs around 750,000 in Q2 Poorly targeted fiscal policy—spending money not always positive for economy Washington Post As of June 30 th Washington City had spent $373K of $22m fiscal stimulus in TV ads and billboards promoting new tax on plastic bags Tax highly regressive Cash for clunkers. Housing tax break—massive misallocation of taxpayers funds Great Depression, Fed feared inflation so allowed money stock to fall steeply Japan did it in 1990s—Japanese economy in nominal terms now the same size as it was in 1993 Inflation fears misplaced=does not recognise that money multiplier is dropping Need more QE soon? Bernanke speech at Jackson Hole on Friday may give pointers—sustained return to 2.5% trend growth looks implausible over the next year or so
Jobs market
We are experiencing a natural pause in the recovery But the downside risks are rising To think about This is a transition period—end of the post-world war 2 settlement Who gains from globalisation? Western consumers must face