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Power markets in motion:
Competition in the Nordics?
Heine Rønningen,
Montel Nordic Energy Days, 22-23. August 2018
Power markets in motion:
Competition in the Nordics?
8/25/2018© 2017 2
Why:
 Competition is the single most important mechanism of achieving the
objectives of the Energy Union (destination)
 Competition will improve effectiveness (direction): adapting to the new
regulatory regime, innovation, and product development
 Competition will improve efficiency (speed): digitalization, cost, ++
X
motion destination
competition
direction & speed
The «Value proposition» of exchange competition
8/25/2018© 2017 3
Reluctance to change has been the main Nordic problem for the last
decade - the result is all-time low liquidity...
Competition will result in bridging the elements and expanding the
total:
 Bridging client pools - multiple exchanges in each market segment will
increase the total potential: Current Nordic client pool is too small,
clients with multiple exchange access will connect the different pools
 Bridging short term and long term markets – the current structural gap
between Futures, DAM ,and IDM is artificial: It is all electricity contracts
and can be traded on the same platforms
 Bridging European hubs and innovation of relevant hedging – price
convergence in Europe will make long dated System price Futures
redundant: Trading the most liquid hub is more rational if price drivers
are the same
EEX Group
8/25/2018© 2017 4
• Market leader in exchange
traded electricity in Europe
• Strong presence in other
markets like gas and emission
• Futures, DAM, and IDM in a
single clearinghouse
• Large client base with a high
share of financial traders
• Full Nordic entry in 2019
European Energy Exchange
www.eex.com
Heine Rønningen
heine.ronningen@eex.com
+47 90 60 87 74
Current nordic client pool is too small – the result is
a strong liquidity trend - in the wrong direction...
Nordic Liquidity Assessment – Root Cause Analysis:
Risk Capital and Alternative Stronger Trading Hubs
8/25/2018© 2017 7
 The Nordic liquidity decrease can be seen as a function of the Phelix success:
 Solution:
 Use Phelix as a proxy hedge for long dated futures (year ahead +)
 Improve spread trading Phelix and “Nordic hedging contracts”
 Focus product development on short dated futures for Nordic hedging
alternatives (weather driven basis risk materialise short term)
An Energy Union success induces price convergence
8/25/2018© 2017 8
Why trade the illiqiud locations when you can trade the hub?

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Eex montel nordic energy days 2018

  • 1. Power markets in motion: Competition in the Nordics? Heine Rønningen, Montel Nordic Energy Days, 22-23. August 2018
  • 2. Power markets in motion: Competition in the Nordics? 8/25/2018© 2017 2 Why:  Competition is the single most important mechanism of achieving the objectives of the Energy Union (destination)  Competition will improve effectiveness (direction): adapting to the new regulatory regime, innovation, and product development  Competition will improve efficiency (speed): digitalization, cost, ++ X motion destination competition direction & speed
  • 3. The «Value proposition» of exchange competition 8/25/2018© 2017 3 Reluctance to change has been the main Nordic problem for the last decade - the result is all-time low liquidity... Competition will result in bridging the elements and expanding the total:  Bridging client pools - multiple exchanges in each market segment will increase the total potential: Current Nordic client pool is too small, clients with multiple exchange access will connect the different pools  Bridging short term and long term markets – the current structural gap between Futures, DAM ,and IDM is artificial: It is all electricity contracts and can be traded on the same platforms  Bridging European hubs and innovation of relevant hedging – price convergence in Europe will make long dated System price Futures redundant: Trading the most liquid hub is more rational if price drivers are the same
  • 4. EEX Group 8/25/2018© 2017 4 • Market leader in exchange traded electricity in Europe • Strong presence in other markets like gas and emission • Futures, DAM, and IDM in a single clearinghouse • Large client base with a high share of financial traders • Full Nordic entry in 2019
  • 5. European Energy Exchange www.eex.com Heine Rønningen heine.ronningen@eex.com +47 90 60 87 74
  • 6. Current nordic client pool is too small – the result is a strong liquidity trend - in the wrong direction...
  • 7. Nordic Liquidity Assessment – Root Cause Analysis: Risk Capital and Alternative Stronger Trading Hubs 8/25/2018© 2017 7  The Nordic liquidity decrease can be seen as a function of the Phelix success:  Solution:  Use Phelix as a proxy hedge for long dated futures (year ahead +)  Improve spread trading Phelix and “Nordic hedging contracts”  Focus product development on short dated futures for Nordic hedging alternatives (weather driven basis risk materialise short term)
  • 8. An Energy Union success induces price convergence 8/25/2018© 2017 8 Why trade the illiqiud locations when you can trade the hub?