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[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Editorial and Scientific Independence:  Misreading the Evidence, Misleading the Public
 
 
 
“ The moment of any new technology is a moment of choice.”  * ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],*Towards 2000.  Raymond Williams  Chatto & Windus, The Hogarth Press,1983 page 146 www.openmedicine.ca
Subscribers  ~ 60,000 Canadian  ~ 99% Physicians ~ 95%  Users per month ~400,000 t per year ~ 2.5 to 3 million Canadian  30% Global non-Canadian 70% Physicians 30% Non-physicians 70%
Hi,  i’m doing this project in school about The E Coli as an example of how water damages things … us.  Can u send me info about E coli and what it is and how it came into the waters and stuff??? But not pages of stuff Just the important points. Thanks, Vanessa Send to fishy_000@….
More Authors ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Skepticism
Falsification Opacity   Errors Sloppiness Incompetence Pyramid of Misleading evidence
 
 
Is a statistically significant result actually true?
Statistical Significance Truth p < 0.05 confidence interval  >1 confirmation
J Nat. Cancer Inst 2004;96:434 PLoS 2005;2(8):0696 e124 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Statistical Significance Truth p < 0.05 confidence interval  >1 confirmation Research Result True Relationship Predictive value True False yes a c + no b d _
J Nat. Cancer Inst 2004;96:434 PLoS 2005;2(8):0696 e124 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],4.  Prior probability Low  Low posterior
Effect size  <2 mammography heart disease risk factors OR= ~ 15 + Effect size <1.5 most drugs being tested.
J Nat. Cancer Inst 2004;96:434 PLoS 2005;2(8):0696 e124 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Primary End Points ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Other observations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Upper GI Event March 10 Myocardial Event February 10 before start near end
 
 
 
 
J Nat. Cancer Inst 2004;96:434 PLoS 2005;2(8):0696 e124 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Research RCT Cohort Case control Meta analyses Reviews Systematic Narrative CME Self-learning Courses Detailing Advertising Size sample effect Simple design Public funding # studies/hypotheses hot fields False   True $ Hierarchy of Evidence `
Probability that result is ‘true’  1.0 0 #  studies pieces of evidence High Low Quality
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],$   conflict of interest Benefits Risks Bias
&quot;Honey, maybe it's time you got off those cholesterol drugs!&quot;
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Evidence Hierarchy
... be neurotically skeptical Skepticism
Thank you

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Editorial and Scientific Independence - Misreading the evidence, misleading the public

  • 1.
  • 2.  
  • 3.  
  • 4.  
  • 5.
  • 6. Subscribers ~ 60,000 Canadian ~ 99% Physicians ~ 95% Users per month ~400,000 t per year ~ 2.5 to 3 million Canadian 30% Global non-Canadian 70% Physicians 30% Non-physicians 70%
  • 7. Hi, i’m doing this project in school about The E Coli as an example of how water damages things … us. Can u send me info about E coli and what it is and how it came into the waters and stuff??? But not pages of stuff Just the important points. Thanks, Vanessa Send to fishy_000@….
  • 8.
  • 10. Falsification Opacity Errors Sloppiness Incompetence Pyramid of Misleading evidence
  • 11.  
  • 12.  
  • 13. Is a statistically significant result actually true?
  • 14. Statistical Significance Truth p < 0.05 confidence interval >1 confirmation
  • 15.
  • 16. Statistical Significance Truth p < 0.05 confidence interval >1 confirmation Research Result True Relationship Predictive value True False yes a c + no b d _
  • 17.
  • 18. Effect size <2 mammography heart disease risk factors OR= ~ 15 + Effect size <1.5 most drugs being tested.
  • 19.
  • 20.  
  • 21.
  • 22.  
  • 23.  
  • 24.  
  • 25.  
  • 26.
  • 27. Research RCT Cohort Case control Meta analyses Reviews Systematic Narrative CME Self-learning Courses Detailing Advertising Size sample effect Simple design Public funding # studies/hypotheses hot fields False True $ Hierarchy of Evidence `
  • 28. Probability that result is ‘true’ 1.0 0 # studies pieces of evidence High Low Quality
  • 29.
  • 30. &quot;Honey, maybe it's time you got off those cholesterol drugs!&quot;
  • 31.
  • 32. ... be neurotically skeptical Skepticism