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Economies of Scale and
Utilization in the Swiss Electric
 Power Distribution Industry




        Author: Massimo Filippini

              Presenters:
            Arvind K. Yadav
             Rashi Saxena
Electric Utility Industry
• Local monopolies
• Cyclical demand
• Require spare capacity for peak periods
  – Too high?
  – Over-capitalization?
• Swiss electricity distribution industry
  – Economies of scale empirically evident
Cost Structure
• Convention: long-run cost functions
• Implication:
  – static equilibrium
  – Optimal utilization of inputs
• Contention: Absence of static equilibrium
  w.r.t. stock of capital (quasi-fixed)
• Implication: Economies of scale based on
  LR cost function may be imprecise
Suboptimal capacity:
          Supporting arguments
• Costly adjustment to time profile of electricity
  demand
  – Longevity of transformers and distribution lines
  – Long-term load forecasts and distribution
    planning (inaccurate)
• Legal obligation to maintain excess capacity
  – Service guarantee
  – Exclusivity of territorial franchise
Variable Cost Function
• To model production structure
• Takes account of sub optimality
• Physical capital can’t be adjusted to
  minimize TC during observation period

                Production function …
     y= F(x1,x2,…, xg; k1,k2,…ke; q1,q2,…qn; T) ❶
             – Y: output; x: inputs; k: quasi fixed inputs;
              q: operating and o/p characteristics variable;
                         T: vector of time shifts
Variable Cost Function
Properties                                Inputs
• Concave and linearly                    • Labor
  homogenous in i/p prices                • Purchased power
• Non-decreasing in input                 • Quasi fixed input capital
  prices
• Decreasing in quasi fixed
  inputs

     VC function of a Swiss electricity distribution utility
           VC = VC (y, wp, wl, k, T, LF, FDj) ❷
               -y: output (kWh); wp, wl : kWh i/p and labor prices
    -K: stock of capital; T: time; LF: load factor; FD: firm specific variables
Translog function
   Sl = βl + µu ln (wl/wp) + ωyl ln y + πlk ln k +
                    ᵟ ln LF ❸
                     lLF
• Tested for
  – Homotheticity
  – Cobb-Douglas technology
Data/Structure
• Swiss electric power industry
• 1200 firms (public/private)
  – 900: municipals
  – 300: urban/regional
     • Generation/Transmission/Distribution: small amount of
       power generated
• 10 main utilities vertically integrated
  – Generation/Transmission/Distribution: backbone
• 74%: distribution utilities
Caveats and Procedure
• Publically owned
• Data available: 60 utilities
• Utilities with more than 20% of their capital
  invested in generating activities (21 nos.):
  excluded
     39 distribution utilities serving cities were
                      analyzed
• Measures of capital stock:
  – Capacity measure
  – Cost measure (data N.A.)
Results
• Four models:
  – Model 1: Estimates of VC function model
    specified in ❸
  – Model 2: homotheicity assumed
  – Model 3: corresponding to Cobb-Douglas
    technology
  – Model 4: ignores firm-specific effects, biased
• Statistically significant coefficients
• Cost elasticity < 1
Results
Expected                     Estimated
• VC function should be      • Labor cost share is
  increasing w.r.t. output     positive; increasing in
  and input prices             input prices
• Concave w.r.t. input       • Concavity is satisfied
  prices                     • Increase in capital cost
                               with increase in capacity;
• Non-increasing VC w.r.t.     non-increasing VC w.r.t.
  capital stock                capital stock not satisfied
                             • Cobb-Douglas and
                               identical fixed-effects
                               hypothesis: rejected
LR Results
• Marginally increasing in capital stock
  increases (not decreases, as expected in
  cost theory) VC
• Interpretations
  – Positive sign of coeff. of capital stock indicates
    excessive amount of capital stock employed by
    firms
  – Incorrect sign of coeff. of capital stock comes
    from multicollinearity between output and capital
    stock
     • More precise as based on empirical analysis
     • Causes unexplained
LR Results
• Cause of positive sign of coeff. of capital
  stock: empirical difficulty in
  defining/calculating capital stock variable
• Lack of data  SR cost studies use physical
  measures  reflect max. available
  production capacity  highly correlated with
  increasing output  multicollinearity
• Solution: calculate capital stock using capital
  inventory method
     Estimation results are inconclusive to LR
           cost minimization hypothesis
Economies of utilization and scale
• According to results:
  – Utilization and scale economies exist
  – If S/M/L companies increase output with holding
    capacity fixed, VC increases less than
    proportionally
  – Increase in output without holding capacity fixed
    increases TC less than proportionally
  – Importance of utilization and scale economies
    increases with size
     Empirical results confirm economies of scale in
              Swiss electric distribution utilities
Conclusions
• Economies of scale exist for S/M/L utilities
• Inconclusive regarding over-capitalization
• Policy implications:
  – Utilities should operate as local franchised
    monopolies
  – Redesign on economic incentives to promote
    optimal behavior
  – Encourage competition and merger policy
THANK YOU

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Economies of scale and utilization swiss electricity distribution industry

  • 1. Economies of Scale and Utilization in the Swiss Electric Power Distribution Industry Author: Massimo Filippini Presenters: Arvind K. Yadav Rashi Saxena
  • 2. Electric Utility Industry • Local monopolies • Cyclical demand • Require spare capacity for peak periods – Too high? – Over-capitalization? • Swiss electricity distribution industry – Economies of scale empirically evident
  • 3. Cost Structure • Convention: long-run cost functions • Implication: – static equilibrium – Optimal utilization of inputs • Contention: Absence of static equilibrium w.r.t. stock of capital (quasi-fixed) • Implication: Economies of scale based on LR cost function may be imprecise
  • 4. Suboptimal capacity: Supporting arguments • Costly adjustment to time profile of electricity demand – Longevity of transformers and distribution lines – Long-term load forecasts and distribution planning (inaccurate) • Legal obligation to maintain excess capacity – Service guarantee – Exclusivity of territorial franchise
  • 5. Variable Cost Function • To model production structure • Takes account of sub optimality • Physical capital can’t be adjusted to minimize TC during observation period Production function … y= F(x1,x2,…, xg; k1,k2,…ke; q1,q2,…qn; T) ❶ – Y: output; x: inputs; k: quasi fixed inputs; q: operating and o/p characteristics variable; T: vector of time shifts
  • 6. Variable Cost Function Properties Inputs • Concave and linearly • Labor homogenous in i/p prices • Purchased power • Non-decreasing in input • Quasi fixed input capital prices • Decreasing in quasi fixed inputs VC function of a Swiss electricity distribution utility VC = VC (y, wp, wl, k, T, LF, FDj) ❷ -y: output (kWh); wp, wl : kWh i/p and labor prices -K: stock of capital; T: time; LF: load factor; FD: firm specific variables
  • 7. Translog function Sl = βl + µu ln (wl/wp) + ωyl ln y + πlk ln k + ᵟ ln LF ❸ lLF • Tested for – Homotheticity – Cobb-Douglas technology
  • 8. Data/Structure • Swiss electric power industry • 1200 firms (public/private) – 900: municipals – 300: urban/regional • Generation/Transmission/Distribution: small amount of power generated • 10 main utilities vertically integrated – Generation/Transmission/Distribution: backbone • 74%: distribution utilities
  • 9. Caveats and Procedure • Publically owned • Data available: 60 utilities • Utilities with more than 20% of their capital invested in generating activities (21 nos.): excluded 39 distribution utilities serving cities were analyzed • Measures of capital stock: – Capacity measure – Cost measure (data N.A.)
  • 10. Results • Four models: – Model 1: Estimates of VC function model specified in ❸ – Model 2: homotheicity assumed – Model 3: corresponding to Cobb-Douglas technology – Model 4: ignores firm-specific effects, biased • Statistically significant coefficients • Cost elasticity < 1
  • 11. Results Expected Estimated • VC function should be • Labor cost share is increasing w.r.t. output positive; increasing in and input prices input prices • Concave w.r.t. input • Concavity is satisfied prices • Increase in capital cost with increase in capacity; • Non-increasing VC w.r.t. non-increasing VC w.r.t. capital stock capital stock not satisfied • Cobb-Douglas and identical fixed-effects hypothesis: rejected
  • 12. LR Results • Marginally increasing in capital stock increases (not decreases, as expected in cost theory) VC • Interpretations – Positive sign of coeff. of capital stock indicates excessive amount of capital stock employed by firms – Incorrect sign of coeff. of capital stock comes from multicollinearity between output and capital stock • More precise as based on empirical analysis • Causes unexplained
  • 13. LR Results • Cause of positive sign of coeff. of capital stock: empirical difficulty in defining/calculating capital stock variable • Lack of data  SR cost studies use physical measures  reflect max. available production capacity  highly correlated with increasing output  multicollinearity • Solution: calculate capital stock using capital inventory method Estimation results are inconclusive to LR cost minimization hypothesis
  • 14. Economies of utilization and scale • According to results: – Utilization and scale economies exist – If S/M/L companies increase output with holding capacity fixed, VC increases less than proportionally – Increase in output without holding capacity fixed increases TC less than proportionally – Importance of utilization and scale economies increases with size Empirical results confirm economies of scale in Swiss electric distribution utilities
  • 15. Conclusions • Economies of scale exist for S/M/L utilities • Inconclusive regarding over-capitalization • Policy implications: – Utilities should operate as local franchised monopolies – Redesign on economic incentives to promote optimal behavior – Encourage competition and merger policy

Editor's Notes

  1. T: index of technology
  2. T: time for shift in tech representing change in tech. efficiency