This document summarizes the relationship between global warming, sea level rise, and the melting of sea ice and continental ice sheets. It first discusses how increasing greenhouse gas emissions are causing global warming, which is melting both sea ice and continental ice reserves. However, it notes there is ambiguity about the rate of ice melting compared to the rate of sea level rise. The document then presents a conceptual model that differentiates the roles of sea ice, continental glaciers, and ice sheets in causing global or eustatic sea level rise. It concludes that while melting of continental ice sheets and glaciers, along with thermal expansion of the oceans, are responsible for recent sea level increases, melting of sea ice alone does not contribute to changes in global
Presentation given during the kick-off of the TU Delft Climate Institute on March 1st 2012. Sea level rise is one of the reserach topics of the new institute. Dr Bert Vermeersen explained why.
- The document discusses the effects of global warming on glaciers in the Himalayas. It notes that Himalayan glaciers have been melting at an unprecedented rate in recent decades, which will impact fresh water supplies and have other environmental and economic implications.
- The paper provides background on glaciers and glaciation. It analyzes physical and climate characteristics in the Himalayan region, including variability in precipitation. It also reviews literature on glacial fluctuations and retreat of Himalayan glaciers in recent decades.
Global warming is causing sea levels to rise faster than ever before due to melting ice sheets and glaciers. Over the last 100 years, sea levels have risen approximately 12-22 cm and are predicted to continue rising throughout the 21st century. Contributors to sea level rise include thermal expansion of oceans as they warm, and melting of glaciers and ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica. Management strategies to deal with rising seas include reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow warming, coastal defenses, and proposals to transfer large amounts of water from oceans to land storage.
The document discusses long and short term changes in climate. Long term changes occurring over millions of years are influenced by continental drift and changes in Earth's orbit. Short term changes occurring over decades to thousands of years can be caused by volcanic eruptions, fluctuations in the sun's radiation, and shifts in ocean and air currents. Major long term climate shifts are also linked to variations in Earth's axial tilt, orbital shape, and the wobbling direction of its axis.
The document discusses long and short term changes in climate. Long term changes over millions of years are caused by continental drift and changes in Earth's orbit, which affect ocean currents and heat transfer. Short term changes over decades to thousands of years can be caused by volcanic eruptions, which block sunlight, or changes in ocean currents and air currents driven by uneven heating of the Earth. The cycles of ice ages and interglacial periods that occur every 100,000 years are explained by changes in the Earth's orbit, tilt, and wobble over long time scales.
This document provides information and guidance for a Year 11 Geo exam on extreme natural events. It outlines the exam date, required materials, and examiner expectations. Volcanic eruptions are chosen as the natural event, with case studies of Mt. Tarawera in 1886 and Mt. Pinatubo in 1991 recommended for study. The document provides detailed descriptions of the natural processes leading to volcanic eruptions and the effects on cultural and natural environments. It also discusses characteristics making environments vulnerable and how different groups have responded over the short and long term. Diagrams are suggested to help explain concepts. Students are advised to thoroughly learn facts about two case studies.
West Antarctica and threat of a sea level rise disastercolgan
The document discusses the threat of sea level rise from the potential collapse of the West Antarctic ice sheet due to climate change. It summarizes the history of scientific understanding on this issue, from early warnings in the 1970s to recent evidence that glaciers and ice sheets are melting faster than predicted and contributing over 1 mm/year of sea level rise. The collapse of the West Antarctic ice sheet could lead to over 5 meters of rapid sea level rise and has the potential to significantly impact coastal regions where over a billion people live. Quick action is needed to mitigate the effects of human-caused climate change and sea level rise.
This document summarizes the key causes and effects of sea level rise. The three main causes are thermal expansion of oceans, melting of glaciers and ice caps, and melting of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. Some of the major effects are coastal flooding, increased storm surge damage, coastal erosion, habitat destruction, and challenges for coastal adaptation. Observations show that sea level rose by about 3 mm/yr over the last century, and the rate has increased to about 4-6 mm/yr recently. Predictions estimate 0.05-1m of additional sea level rise by 2100 depending on future greenhouse gas emissions and ice sheet dynamics.
Presentation given during the kick-off of the TU Delft Climate Institute on March 1st 2012. Sea level rise is one of the reserach topics of the new institute. Dr Bert Vermeersen explained why.
- The document discusses the effects of global warming on glaciers in the Himalayas. It notes that Himalayan glaciers have been melting at an unprecedented rate in recent decades, which will impact fresh water supplies and have other environmental and economic implications.
- The paper provides background on glaciers and glaciation. It analyzes physical and climate characteristics in the Himalayan region, including variability in precipitation. It also reviews literature on glacial fluctuations and retreat of Himalayan glaciers in recent decades.
Global warming is causing sea levels to rise faster than ever before due to melting ice sheets and glaciers. Over the last 100 years, sea levels have risen approximately 12-22 cm and are predicted to continue rising throughout the 21st century. Contributors to sea level rise include thermal expansion of oceans as they warm, and melting of glaciers and ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica. Management strategies to deal with rising seas include reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow warming, coastal defenses, and proposals to transfer large amounts of water from oceans to land storage.
The document discusses long and short term changes in climate. Long term changes occurring over millions of years are influenced by continental drift and changes in Earth's orbit. Short term changes occurring over decades to thousands of years can be caused by volcanic eruptions, fluctuations in the sun's radiation, and shifts in ocean and air currents. Major long term climate shifts are also linked to variations in Earth's axial tilt, orbital shape, and the wobbling direction of its axis.
The document discusses long and short term changes in climate. Long term changes over millions of years are caused by continental drift and changes in Earth's orbit, which affect ocean currents and heat transfer. Short term changes over decades to thousands of years can be caused by volcanic eruptions, which block sunlight, or changes in ocean currents and air currents driven by uneven heating of the Earth. The cycles of ice ages and interglacial periods that occur every 100,000 years are explained by changes in the Earth's orbit, tilt, and wobble over long time scales.
This document provides information and guidance for a Year 11 Geo exam on extreme natural events. It outlines the exam date, required materials, and examiner expectations. Volcanic eruptions are chosen as the natural event, with case studies of Mt. Tarawera in 1886 and Mt. Pinatubo in 1991 recommended for study. The document provides detailed descriptions of the natural processes leading to volcanic eruptions and the effects on cultural and natural environments. It also discusses characteristics making environments vulnerable and how different groups have responded over the short and long term. Diagrams are suggested to help explain concepts. Students are advised to thoroughly learn facts about two case studies.
West Antarctica and threat of a sea level rise disastercolgan
The document discusses the threat of sea level rise from the potential collapse of the West Antarctic ice sheet due to climate change. It summarizes the history of scientific understanding on this issue, from early warnings in the 1970s to recent evidence that glaciers and ice sheets are melting faster than predicted and contributing over 1 mm/year of sea level rise. The collapse of the West Antarctic ice sheet could lead to over 5 meters of rapid sea level rise and has the potential to significantly impact coastal regions where over a billion people live. Quick action is needed to mitigate the effects of human-caused climate change and sea level rise.
This document summarizes the key causes and effects of sea level rise. The three main causes are thermal expansion of oceans, melting of glaciers and ice caps, and melting of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. Some of the major effects are coastal flooding, increased storm surge damage, coastal erosion, habitat destruction, and challenges for coastal adaptation. Observations show that sea level rose by about 3 mm/yr over the last century, and the rate has increased to about 4-6 mm/yr recently. Predictions estimate 0.05-1m of additional sea level rise by 2100 depending on future greenhouse gas emissions and ice sheet dynamics.
The document analyzes tide gauge data from five locations in the UK to determine historical sea level rise. It finds an average rise of 1.56mm per year over the period of available data for each location. However, sea level rise varies locally due to land movement. GPS data shows southern England is subsiding by up to 1.2mm/year while Scotland rises by 1-2mm/year, influencing relative sea level changes. Accounting for these land movements, sea levels have risen by 0.9-1.1mm/year independently of land movement effects. Rising sea levels are a concern for coastal areas due to potential flooding impacts.
The document discusses both long-term and short-term effects of climate change. Over millions of years, continental drift and changes in Earth's orbit have triggered changes by altering ocean currents, wind patterns, and the distribution of land masses. In the short-term, volcanic eruptions and shifts in air and ocean currents can temporarily cool the climate by blocking sunlight. The Milankovitch cycles of Earth's orbit and axial tilt occurring over tens of thousands of years are linked to recurring ice ages and interglacial periods.
The document discusses evidence that climate change has occurred in the past due to non-anthropogenic or natural causes. It provides examples from geology of past periods of glaciation and warming from factors like variations in the Earth's orbit and volcanic eruptions. While acknowledging natural climate variability, it also notes that the current pace of warming seems to be increasing due to human activity like greenhouse gas emissions. The document concludes by arguing for a comprehensive strategy to mitigate risks from climate change through renewable energy, international agreements, carbon markets and efficiency improvements.
Global mean sea levels have risen significantly since 1901 according to multiple lines of evidence. From 1901-2010, sea levels rose by 0.19 meters and from 1993-2010 the rate of rise increased to 3.2 mm per year. Under a high emissions scenario, sea levels could rise between 0.52 to 0.98 meters by 2100. Contributions to the observed rise in sea levels from 1993-2010 include ocean warming (38%), changes to glaciers (28%), the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets (10% each), and land water storage (14%). Storm surges will also increase in frequency and severity due to sea level rise.
Paleoclimatology is the detailed study of past climates. Scientists use proxy records stored in ice cores, tree rings, coral reefs, ocean sediments, and caves to predict past climates. Ice cores contain annual layers and trapped air bubbles that can be tested to learn about ancient temperatures, greenhouse gas levels, volcanic eruptions, and precipitation over thousands of years. Tree rings, coral growth patterns, pollen samples, and cave formations also provide clues about climatic conditions from the distant past. Understanding these natural archives is crucial for placing current climate change in a long-term context.
Sea level changes over geological timescales are reconstructed using a wide range of techniques. Relative sea level rises are indicated by submerged coastal features, while falls are shown by raised beaches and shorelines. Oxygen isotope records from ocean sediments also reveal changes in global sea level during the Quaternary period, with average sea levels 50-60m lower during glacial periods. More recently, sea levels rose rapidly following the last glacial maximum but have been relatively stable over the past 5,000-6,000 years. Future sea level rise is projected to have significant environmental and economic impacts through coastal flooding and erosion.
Sea Level Rise and Disappearing Islands: Myth or Reality?Greg Briner
Sea level rise and disappearing islands: myth or reality? This document discusses sea level rise and its impacts. It examines how fast sea levels are rising through various measurements from tide gauges and satellite altimetry. Islands like Tuvalu are most at risk from even small rises in sea level as they are very low-lying and could become uninhabitable. The document reviews projections for further sea level rise and its threats to islands and coastal areas over the coming decades and centuries.
This document discusses sea level processes and changes. It aims to provide an understanding of mean sea level, the factors that influence sea level changes, and measurements of sea level change. Key points covered include the difference between geoids and ellipsoids, processes that control mean sea level and cause its changes over various timescales, measuring sea level using tide gauges and satellite altimetry, sea level rise in the last century linked to global warming, and the economic implications of sea level changes. Graphs and tables are presented showing records of sea level change from tide gauge stations over the last century.
The document discusses Earth systems science which considers the interactions between Earth's four main spheres - the atmosphere, hydrosphere, geosphere, and biosphere - as well as human impacts. It defines each sphere, including that the hydrosphere is mostly salt water, the biosphere contains all living things, the lithosphere includes the mantle and core, and the atmosphere surrounds Earth and drives weather.
The largest association of meteorologists and climate scientists issued a fresh statement on the scientific evidence for human-driven climate change and possible impacts. This is an update from the 2007 statement that can be found here: http://www.ametsoc.org/policy/2007climatechange.html
More on climate change on Dot Earth:
http://j.mp/dotBasic http://j.mp/dotBasics
Climate is the statistics of weather over long periods of time, while climate change refers to significant long-term shifts in weather patterns. The document discusses several lines of evidence for rapid climate change, including rising global temperatures and CO2 levels from ice core data. It also outlines theories for what causes climate change such as changes in Earth's orbit, the carbon dioxide level in the atmosphere, and variations in solar activity. The impacts of climate change include rising sea levels, stronger extreme weather events, and threatened plant and animal species.
Sea levels are rising due to multiple factors related to climate change. Thermal expansion caused by warming oceans, melting glaciers and ice sheets, and land ice loss from Greenland and Antarctica are leading to higher sea levels. This poses risks like coastal flooding, erosion, habitat loss, and saline intrusion. Adaptation strategies include protecting coasts through barriers, accommodating the rise through elevated structures, retreating to safer areas, and attacking the problem through land reclamation. Reducing carbon emissions to mitigate further global warming is key to reducing future sea level increases.
Few global trends have been as controversial as climate change and the Earth’s warming. The Earth has gone through many shifts in cooling and warming driven by natural factors like the sun’s energy or variations in its orbit, but the trend scientists have seen over the past 50 years is unmistakable.
Climate change refers to changes in weather patterns over decades or longer. It may involve changes in average conditions or more/fewer extreme weather events. The two major causes of climate change are natural factors like continental drift, ocean currents, volcanic activity, and the Earth's tilt, as well as human-caused increases in greenhouse gases. Continental drift changes land and ocean positions affecting winds and currents over millions of years. Volcanic eruptions eject gases and particles into the atmosphere, and changes in the Earth's tilt can impact season severity.
The document discusses natural causes of climate change, focusing on variations in Earth's orbit. It describes three types of variations: eccentricity, which refers to changes in Earth's elliptical orbit from nearly circular to more elliptical over long time periods; axial tilt, which involves oscillations in Earth's tilt relative to its orbital plane over 41,000 years; and precession, a 26,000 year cycle involving the wobble and rotation of Earth's axis and orbital ellipse. These Milankovitch cycles alter seasonal and latitudinal sunlight distribution, driving climatic variations like glacial-interglacial patterns over thousands of years.
This document discusses both long-term and short-term causes of climate change. Long-term causes occurring over millions of years include continental drift, changes in Earth's orbit and tilt, which affect ocean currents and temperatures. Short-term causes operating over decades to thousands of years include volcanic eruptions, which eject particles that block sunlight, and shifts in ocean and air currents driven by wind and temperature changes. Together, these natural factors have triggered shifts between ice ages and warmer periods throughout Earth's history.
Milankovitch cycles, which describe variations in the Earth's orbit and axis, were originally thought to be the primary driver of glacial cycles during the Quaternary period. However, they cannot fully explain the observed changes, including the shift from 40,000-year to 100,000-year cycles around 0.9 million years ago. Other proposed mechanisms include feedbacks between atmospheric CO2 levels and climate, modulation of precession cycles by eccentricity, changes in ocean circulation like the thermohaline circulation, and switching between extensive and minimal sea ice coverage around ice sheets. While the exact causes are still debated, most scientists agree that orbital forcing alone cannot account for glacial oscillations and that internal feedbacks within the
1) Arsenic contamination of groundwater in Southeast Asia affects tens of millions of people. The document examines the source and transport of arsenic in the Mekong Delta of Cambodia, which has experienced minimal human disturbance.
2) Field measurements show arsenic is released from near-surface river-derived sediments under anaerobic conditions and transported through the underlying aquifer over centuries to the river.
3) The rates of arsenic influx via sediment deposition and efflux via groundwater transport are comparable, indicating release from solids and transport through the aquifer are in balance.
This document summarizes a study of groundwater flow in an arsenic-contaminated aquifer in Cambodia. The authors monitored water levels in a network of over 80 wells and surface water sites covering 50 square kilometers. They found that groundwater flow is dominated by seasonal gradients between the river and inland wetland basins, with flow reversing annually but a net flow from wetlands to the river. Hydraulic modeling estimated flow velocities of 1-13 meters/year horizontally in the aquifer and 0.04-0.4 meters/year downward through overlying clay, indicating aquifer residence times of 100-1000 years. Numerical modeling supported this conceptual model and showed shallow sediments are an important source of arsenic to the
The document analyzes tide gauge data from five locations in the UK to determine historical sea level rise. It finds an average rise of 1.56mm per year over the period of available data for each location. However, sea level rise varies locally due to land movement. GPS data shows southern England is subsiding by up to 1.2mm/year while Scotland rises by 1-2mm/year, influencing relative sea level changes. Accounting for these land movements, sea levels have risen by 0.9-1.1mm/year independently of land movement effects. Rising sea levels are a concern for coastal areas due to potential flooding impacts.
The document discusses both long-term and short-term effects of climate change. Over millions of years, continental drift and changes in Earth's orbit have triggered changes by altering ocean currents, wind patterns, and the distribution of land masses. In the short-term, volcanic eruptions and shifts in air and ocean currents can temporarily cool the climate by blocking sunlight. The Milankovitch cycles of Earth's orbit and axial tilt occurring over tens of thousands of years are linked to recurring ice ages and interglacial periods.
The document discusses evidence that climate change has occurred in the past due to non-anthropogenic or natural causes. It provides examples from geology of past periods of glaciation and warming from factors like variations in the Earth's orbit and volcanic eruptions. While acknowledging natural climate variability, it also notes that the current pace of warming seems to be increasing due to human activity like greenhouse gas emissions. The document concludes by arguing for a comprehensive strategy to mitigate risks from climate change through renewable energy, international agreements, carbon markets and efficiency improvements.
Global mean sea levels have risen significantly since 1901 according to multiple lines of evidence. From 1901-2010, sea levels rose by 0.19 meters and from 1993-2010 the rate of rise increased to 3.2 mm per year. Under a high emissions scenario, sea levels could rise between 0.52 to 0.98 meters by 2100. Contributions to the observed rise in sea levels from 1993-2010 include ocean warming (38%), changes to glaciers (28%), the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets (10% each), and land water storage (14%). Storm surges will also increase in frequency and severity due to sea level rise.
Paleoclimatology is the detailed study of past climates. Scientists use proxy records stored in ice cores, tree rings, coral reefs, ocean sediments, and caves to predict past climates. Ice cores contain annual layers and trapped air bubbles that can be tested to learn about ancient temperatures, greenhouse gas levels, volcanic eruptions, and precipitation over thousands of years. Tree rings, coral growth patterns, pollen samples, and cave formations also provide clues about climatic conditions from the distant past. Understanding these natural archives is crucial for placing current climate change in a long-term context.
Sea level changes over geological timescales are reconstructed using a wide range of techniques. Relative sea level rises are indicated by submerged coastal features, while falls are shown by raised beaches and shorelines. Oxygen isotope records from ocean sediments also reveal changes in global sea level during the Quaternary period, with average sea levels 50-60m lower during glacial periods. More recently, sea levels rose rapidly following the last glacial maximum but have been relatively stable over the past 5,000-6,000 years. Future sea level rise is projected to have significant environmental and economic impacts through coastal flooding and erosion.
Sea Level Rise and Disappearing Islands: Myth or Reality?Greg Briner
Sea level rise and disappearing islands: myth or reality? This document discusses sea level rise and its impacts. It examines how fast sea levels are rising through various measurements from tide gauges and satellite altimetry. Islands like Tuvalu are most at risk from even small rises in sea level as they are very low-lying and could become uninhabitable. The document reviews projections for further sea level rise and its threats to islands and coastal areas over the coming decades and centuries.
This document discusses sea level processes and changes. It aims to provide an understanding of mean sea level, the factors that influence sea level changes, and measurements of sea level change. Key points covered include the difference between geoids and ellipsoids, processes that control mean sea level and cause its changes over various timescales, measuring sea level using tide gauges and satellite altimetry, sea level rise in the last century linked to global warming, and the economic implications of sea level changes. Graphs and tables are presented showing records of sea level change from tide gauge stations over the last century.
The document discusses Earth systems science which considers the interactions between Earth's four main spheres - the atmosphere, hydrosphere, geosphere, and biosphere - as well as human impacts. It defines each sphere, including that the hydrosphere is mostly salt water, the biosphere contains all living things, the lithosphere includes the mantle and core, and the atmosphere surrounds Earth and drives weather.
The largest association of meteorologists and climate scientists issued a fresh statement on the scientific evidence for human-driven climate change and possible impacts. This is an update from the 2007 statement that can be found here: http://www.ametsoc.org/policy/2007climatechange.html
More on climate change on Dot Earth:
http://j.mp/dotBasic http://j.mp/dotBasics
Climate is the statistics of weather over long periods of time, while climate change refers to significant long-term shifts in weather patterns. The document discusses several lines of evidence for rapid climate change, including rising global temperatures and CO2 levels from ice core data. It also outlines theories for what causes climate change such as changes in Earth's orbit, the carbon dioxide level in the atmosphere, and variations in solar activity. The impacts of climate change include rising sea levels, stronger extreme weather events, and threatened plant and animal species.
Sea levels are rising due to multiple factors related to climate change. Thermal expansion caused by warming oceans, melting glaciers and ice sheets, and land ice loss from Greenland and Antarctica are leading to higher sea levels. This poses risks like coastal flooding, erosion, habitat loss, and saline intrusion. Adaptation strategies include protecting coasts through barriers, accommodating the rise through elevated structures, retreating to safer areas, and attacking the problem through land reclamation. Reducing carbon emissions to mitigate further global warming is key to reducing future sea level increases.
Few global trends have been as controversial as climate change and the Earth’s warming. The Earth has gone through many shifts in cooling and warming driven by natural factors like the sun’s energy or variations in its orbit, but the trend scientists have seen over the past 50 years is unmistakable.
Climate change refers to changes in weather patterns over decades or longer. It may involve changes in average conditions or more/fewer extreme weather events. The two major causes of climate change are natural factors like continental drift, ocean currents, volcanic activity, and the Earth's tilt, as well as human-caused increases in greenhouse gases. Continental drift changes land and ocean positions affecting winds and currents over millions of years. Volcanic eruptions eject gases and particles into the atmosphere, and changes in the Earth's tilt can impact season severity.
The document discusses natural causes of climate change, focusing on variations in Earth's orbit. It describes three types of variations: eccentricity, which refers to changes in Earth's elliptical orbit from nearly circular to more elliptical over long time periods; axial tilt, which involves oscillations in Earth's tilt relative to its orbital plane over 41,000 years; and precession, a 26,000 year cycle involving the wobble and rotation of Earth's axis and orbital ellipse. These Milankovitch cycles alter seasonal and latitudinal sunlight distribution, driving climatic variations like glacial-interglacial patterns over thousands of years.
This document discusses both long-term and short-term causes of climate change. Long-term causes occurring over millions of years include continental drift, changes in Earth's orbit and tilt, which affect ocean currents and temperatures. Short-term causes operating over decades to thousands of years include volcanic eruptions, which eject particles that block sunlight, and shifts in ocean and air currents driven by wind and temperature changes. Together, these natural factors have triggered shifts between ice ages and warmer periods throughout Earth's history.
Milankovitch cycles, which describe variations in the Earth's orbit and axis, were originally thought to be the primary driver of glacial cycles during the Quaternary period. However, they cannot fully explain the observed changes, including the shift from 40,000-year to 100,000-year cycles around 0.9 million years ago. Other proposed mechanisms include feedbacks between atmospheric CO2 levels and climate, modulation of precession cycles by eccentricity, changes in ocean circulation like the thermohaline circulation, and switching between extensive and minimal sea ice coverage around ice sheets. While the exact causes are still debated, most scientists agree that orbital forcing alone cannot account for glacial oscillations and that internal feedbacks within the
1) Arsenic contamination of groundwater in Southeast Asia affects tens of millions of people. The document examines the source and transport of arsenic in the Mekong Delta of Cambodia, which has experienced minimal human disturbance.
2) Field measurements show arsenic is released from near-surface river-derived sediments under anaerobic conditions and transported through the underlying aquifer over centuries to the river.
3) The rates of arsenic influx via sediment deposition and efflux via groundwater transport are comparable, indicating release from solids and transport through the aquifer are in balance.
This document summarizes a study of groundwater flow in an arsenic-contaminated aquifer in Cambodia. The authors monitored water levels in a network of over 80 wells and surface water sites covering 50 square kilometers. They found that groundwater flow is dominated by seasonal gradients between the river and inland wetland basins, with flow reversing annually but a net flow from wetlands to the river. Hydraulic modeling estimated flow velocities of 1-13 meters/year horizontally in the aquifer and 0.04-0.4 meters/year downward through overlying clay, indicating aquifer residence times of 100-1000 years. Numerical modeling supported this conceptual model and showed shallow sediments are an important source of arsenic to the
1) The sandy aquifer in Cambodia's Mekong Delta region contains elevated levels of arsenic in groundwater used for drinking. Both groundwater levels and arsenic concentrations vary seasonally with fluctuations in the Mekong River level.
2) The Mekong River level fluctuates annually between 5-8 meters, with the highest levels in mid-September and lowest in mid-May to early June due to monsoonal rains and Himalayan snowmelt. The gradient between the river and aquifer changes direction twice a year.
3) Numerical groundwater modeling is able to reproduce observed groundwater levels by varying the river boundary condition over time, supporting the hypothesis that seasonal river level changes are the
Chris Bowerman seeks a position and has extensive experience as a gastroenterology technician, clinical consultant, anesthesia technician, and airborne infantryman. He has assisted with procedures, maintained equipment, educated staff, and implemented electronic medical record systems at various medical centers and hospitals in North Carolina, Texas, Nevada, and the U.S. Army. Bowerman is nationally certified, pursing several degrees, and was awarded various honors for his performance.
Napoleon staged a coup in 1799 and established the Consulate government with himself as First Consul for 10 years. In 1802 he was elected First Consul for Life, effectively making France a dictatorship under his rule. During his time in power Napoleon enacted several reforms including restoring order, improving infrastructure, land reform, civil service reform, establishing the Continental System, and creating the Napoleonic Code.
The document discusses the roles of Africa and the Indian Ocean in the development of global trade from 650 C.E. to 1750 C.E. It notes the monsoon seasons in the Indian Ocean from November to February and April to September that impacted trade. The aim is to analyze the changes and continuities in commerce in the Indian Ocean region during this time period.
Investing in Eastern DR Congo: Perspectives and Opportunities, Laure G
The document discusses investment opportunities and challenges in Eastern DR Congo. It provides an overview of the country's economy, noting low human development indicators despite recent GDP growth. Eastern DR Congo has significant opportunities in agriculture, mining, oil/gas, with over 250 investment projects agreed from 2008-2014. However, challenges to long-term investment include ongoing security issues, lack of infrastructure, and improving the business climate. Stakeholders must address these challenges to realize Eastern DR Congo's economic potential.
Brunei is heavily reliant on oil and natural gas revenues, but these resources will be depleted within 30 years. To diversify its economy, Brunei is pursuing plans to become a financial hub and develop other industries. This includes attracting foreign direct investment, strengthening financial reserves and infrastructure, improving human capital, establishing an independent regulatory authority, and positioning itself as an Islamic finance hub for energy-related financial services.
The document discusses key figures of the Scientific Revolution including Copernicus, Brahe, Kepler, Galileo, Newton, Bacon, and Descartes. It outlines their major contributions which challenged the Ptolemaic view of the universe and established new theories of astronomy, physics, and the scientific method through observation, experimentation, and mathematics.
Economics and Peace Consolidation: Focus on The DR CongoLaure G
Presentation delivered on 20 November 2014.
The UN day (20 November 2014) was dedicated to Promotion of Industry as Factor of Stabilization & Peace Consolidation
Mapping Initiatives on Conflict Minerals in Eastern DRC and Opportunities for...Laure G
This document provides an overview of conflict minerals initiatives in eastern DRC and opportunities for engagement. It discusses:
1) The artisanal mining sector and attempts to address conflict minerals since 2002, including the 2010 mining ban and Dodd-Frank Act of 2010.
2) Mapping of current conflict-free minerals initiatives in eastern DRC focused on certification and traceability.
3) Beyond minerals, attempts to address business models of armed groups through security operations, mediation, and addressing root causes.
4) The transition needed from a militarized to a peace economy in eastern DRC, including improving security, governance, infrastructure and attracting investment.
Climate change is a significant change in weather patterns over long periods of time that can be caused by both natural factors and human activities like greenhouse gas emissions. Scientists study climate change by analyzing physical evidence from various climate proxies like ice cores, sediment records, and historical documents to understand past climates and make projections about future climate change. Global warming due to increased greenhouse gases is causing sea levels to rise through thermal expansion of the oceans and melting of glaciers and ice sheets, threatening coastal areas with flooding and erosion.
EUSTATIC CHANGES IN QUATERNARY_083406.pptxKuki Boruah
The eustatic sea level is the distance from the center of the earth to the sea surface.
Eustatic changes refer to global variations in sea level.
Eustatic changes can occur on a range of timescales, from decades to millions of years.
Understanding the causes and effects of eustatic changes is important for predicting and mitigating the impacts of future sea level changes.
One of the primary drivers of eustatic changes over geological time scales is the growth and retreat of ice sheets.
Changes in the eustatic sea level lead to changes in accommodation.
It is our HSS (Humanities and Social Sciences) project.
This document describes how greatly our environment and social life is effected from Global Warming. It describes various perspectives also.
The document discusses several topics related to climate change and the atmosphere:
1. It lists factors that can change climate such as the sun's output, Earth's orbit, drifting continents, and volcanic eruptions.
2. It discusses evidence that climate change is occurring, including present day observations and computer models, and that scientists are very confident that human activities are the main cause of warming over the past 30 years.
3. Potential solutions to address climate change are listed, such as improving vehicle and building efficiency, expanding renewable energy and reducing deforestation.
This document is all about climate change and its related issues like global warming, ice age, effects and causes best for understanding to non scientists.
Are we overlooking potential abrupt climate shifts?
Most of the studies and debates on potential climate change, along with its ecological and economic impacts, have focused on the ongoing buildup of industrial greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and a gradual increase in global tempera- tures. This line of thinking, however, fails to consider another potentially disruptive climate scenario. It ignores recent and rapidly advancing evidence that Earth’s climate repeatedly has shifted abruptly and dramatically in the past, and is capable of doing so in the future.
Fossil evidence clearly demonstrates that Earth’s climate can shift gears within a decade, establishing new and different patterns that can persist for decades to centuries. In addition, these climate shifts do not necessarily have universal, global effects. They can generate a counterintuitive scenario: Even as the earth as a whole continues to warm gradually, large regions may experience a precipitous and disruptive shift into colder climates.
This new paradigm of abrupt climate change has been well established over the last decade by research of ocean, earth
The global ocean circulation system, often called the Ocean Conveyor, transports heat worldwide. White sections represent warm surface cur- rents. Purple sections represent cold deep currents.
and atmosphere scientists at many institutions worldwide. But the concept remains little known and scarcely appreciated in the wider community of scientists, economists, policy mak- ers, and world political and business leaders. Thus, world lead- ers may be planning for climate scenarios of global warming that are opposite to what might actually occur.1
It is important to clarify that we are not contemplating a situation of either abrupt cooling or global warming. Rather, abrupt regional cooling and gradual global warming can un- fold simultaneously. Indeed, greenhouse warming is a desta- bilizing factor that makes abrupt climate change more prob- able. A 2002 report by the US National Academy of Sciences (NAS) said, “available evidence suggests that abrupt climate changes are not only possible but likely in the future, poten- tially with large impacts on ecosystems and societies.”2
The timing of any abrupt regional cooling in the future also has critical policy implications. An abrupt cooling that hap- pens within the next two decades would produce different climate effects than one that occurs after another century of continuing greenhouse warming.
Are ‘little ice ages’ and ‘megadroughts’ possible?
Scientists are investigating whether changes in ocean circu- lation may have played a role in causing or amplifying the “Little Ice Age” between 1300 and 1850. This period of abruptly shift- ing climate regimes and more severe winters had profound agri- cultural, economic, and political impacts in Europe and North America and changed the course of history.
Long and Short Term Changes of Climate discusses various factors that cause changes in climate over both small and long terms. Small-term changes are caused by volcanic eruptions, small variations in solar radiation, and shifts in air and ocean currents. Long-term changes are influenced by changes in Earth's energy balance, orbital variations, glacial activity, plate tectonics, and human influences like fossil fuel usage. The document also discusses how climate change can affect animals and ecosystems, as well as how scientists monitor and study climate change.
Climate change is a significant and lasting change in the statistical distribution of weather patterns over periods ranging from decades to millions of years. It may be a change in average weather conditions, or in the distribution of weather around the average conditions (i.e., more or fewer extreme weather events). Climate change is caused by factors such as biotic processes, variations in solar radiation received by Earth, plate tectonics, and volcanic eruptions. Certain human activities have also been identified as significant causes of recent climate change, often referred to as "global warming"
Scientists actively work to understand past and future climate by using observations and theoretical models. A climate record — extending deep into the Earth's past — has been assembled, and continues to be built up, based on geological evidence from borehole temperature profiles, cores removed from deep accumulations of ice, floral and faunal records, glacial and periglacial processes, stable-isotope and other analyses of sediment layers, and records of past sea levels. More recent data are provided by the instrumental record. General circulation models, based on the physical sciences, are often used in theoretical approaches to match past climate data, make future projections, and link causes and effects in climate change.
- Climate change occurs on various timescales and is influenced by factors like solar activity, Earth's orbit, atmospheric composition and greenhouse gases, volcanic eruptions, and human activities like fossil fuel burning.
- Evidence from geology and fossils shows past climate changes, including intervals warmer than today and ice ages. The last ice age peaked around 20,000 years ago and glaciers have since retreated.
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Global warming refers to the long-term rise in the average temperature of the Earth from human industrial and agricultural activity. Evidence shows the climate is warming, with land temperatures increasing almost twice as fast as ocean temperatures due to higher heat capacity of oceans. External factors like increased greenhouse gases and changes in solar activity can cause the climate to warm or cool. Human greenhouse gas emissions have likely contributed to changes like sea level rise, extreme weather events, and reduced Arctic sea ice. Long-term global warming will be determined by how much carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases are emitted.
This document discusses the causes and evidence of climate change over different time scales. It notes that climates have constantly changed over local to global scales and both long and short time periods. Evidence of climate change comes from various sources like pollen analysis, tree ring data, isotope analysis of ice cores, historical records, and glaciological evidence. Some of the key natural causes of climate change mentioned are variations in solar activity, changes in Earth's orbit and axis (Milankovitch cycles), plate tectonic movements, albedo effects from ice and snow, ocean currents like El Nino, volcanic eruptions, as well as human factors like pollution and deforestation which have increased atmospheric CO2 and contributed to recent
Impact of climate change in atmosphere of oceanAshish sahu
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3) The ocean cycles gases by absorbing large amounts of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.
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Global warming refers to the rising average temperature of the Earth's atmosphere and oceans over time. The document discusses the causes of global warming, including increased carbon dioxide and methane emissions from human activities like burning fossil fuels and deforestation. The effects of global warming include rising sea levels, more extreme weather events, species extinction, and changes to agricultural yields. While global warming continues to occur, reducing carbon emissions from fossil fuels and preserving carbon sinks can help control the problem.
1) Global warming refers to the long-term rise in the average temperature of the Earth from the greenhouse effect caused by increased carbon dioxide and other human emissions.
2) Evidence shows the climate is warming, with land temperatures increasing about twice as fast as ocean temperatures since 1979.
3) External factors like changes in greenhouse gases, solar activity, and volcanic eruptions can cause the climate to warm or cool by altering the Earth's energy balance. Human emissions have likely contributed to observed changes like sea level rise and declines in Arctic sea ice.
This document is a life skills project on global warming submitted by a student named Sourav Ghosh from Shree Ramkrishna Institute of Science and Technology. It discusses the observed increase in the Earth's average surface temperature of 0.74°C over the period of 1906-2005 according to scientific data. If temperatures continue rising at the current rate, serious consequences are possible, including effects on agriculture, cities, and vulnerable coastal populations. The document aims to analyze scientific studies on global warming published in meteorology journals.
This document discusses both short-term and long-term changes in climate. Short-term changes are caused by volcanic eruptions, small variations in solar radiation, and ocean and air currents. Long-term changes are influenced by changes in the Earth's energy balance, temperature variations due to greenhouse gas emissions, orbital and solar cycles, glacial activity, plate tectonics, and human influences. The document also discusses past climate events like the Medieval Climate Optimum and Little Ice Age, and predicts future climate impacts including increased forest fires in Canada and rising sea levels worldwide due to melting polar ice caps.
The document discusses the causes and effects of global warming. It explains that the climate has naturally changed throughout history, but since the Industrial Revolution human activities like burning fossil fuels have substantially increased greenhouse gas emissions. This has changed the atmosphere's composition and likely influenced temperature, precipitation and sea levels. While climate also varies naturally, determining the proportion caused by human vs natural factors is challenging. The document then outlines specific atmospheric and climate changes observed, such as rising greenhouse gas levels, increasing global temperatures, and rising sea levels. It emphasizes the need for immediate action to address global warming.
Sea levels are rising due to global warming caused by human activities like burning fossil fuels. This is occurring through two main processes: 1) the oceans are warming and expanding as they absorb more heat, and 2) land ice such as glaciers and ice sheets are melting and adding water to the oceans. If warming continues on its current trajectory, sea levels could rise several more meters by 2100, significantly flooding many coastal cities and populations. This will have devastating environmental, economic, and social impacts around the world, especially in highly vulnerable areas like South Florida, Bangladesh, and small island nations.
Similar to Earth_Science_&_Climate_Change_Somenath_Ganguly (20)
2. Citation: Ganguly S, Tiwari S, Bhan U, Mittal S, Rai S, et al. (2015) Melting of Sea Ice Inexplicable for Recent Global Eustatic Sea Level Rise. J Earth
Sci Clim Change 6: 245. doi:10.4172/2157-7617.1000245
Page 2 of 6
Volume 6 • Issue 1 • 1000245
J Earth Sci Clim Change
ISSN:2157-7617 JESCC, an open access journal
to periodic episode of glacial and interglacial period of Pleistocene
age global sea level has changes accordingly. An interglacial period is
marked by rise in global sea level whereas glacial periods are marked by
fall in global sea level [4].
Global Distribution of Mid Oceanic Ridges in Mesozoic
and Associated Global Sea Level Rise
Change in global sea level has also been marked in Mesozoic Era.
Mesozoic Era is marked by global sea level rise resulting in marine
transgression. The Mesozoic Era started around 230 million years ago
and ended around 65 million years ago. Pangaea, the supercontinent
of Paleozoic Era, started breaking during Mesozoic leading to the
onset of proto-Atlantic and proto-Indian Ocean [5]. Sea floor age data
indicate that in Jurassic Period (~200 million years ago) the rate of
sea floor spreading increased rapidly ranging from 2 to 16 centimeter
per year. The generation of Mid Oceanic Ridge reached its maxima
in Cretaceous Period around 110 to 85 million years ago. Generation
of new Mid Oceanic Ridge with relatively higher spreading rates in
Cretaceous period made global sea level rise and resulted in flooding
of low lying areas of the continents. This phenomenon is recorded in
Geologic history by huge accumulation of sedimentary rocks on almost
all the continents of Cretaceous age. Since no oceanic crust is older than
200 million years old, this global sea level rise due to rapid generation
and spreading of Mid Oceanic Ridge cannot be tested for time period
older than 200 million years [6].
Mid Oceanic Ridge is one of the tectonically active margins where
new crust is formed. It is a submarine mountain chain spread globally
having length exceeds 40,000 kilometers. Average elevation of ridge is
2.5 kilometers from abyssal plane. Mid Oceanic Ridge gets its highest
elevation near spreading center where it is hot and buoyant. It extends
to widths from 1000 to 3000 kilometers [7].
Another phenomenon which must happen with rapid spreading of
Mid Oceanic Ridge at Mesozoic was thermal expansion of global sea
water due to increased heat flux from Mid Oceanic Spreading Centre.
It is not possible to quantify exactly how much thermal expansion of
global sea water in Mesozoic was responsible for global sea level rise but
it was one of the factors that influenced the phenomenon.
The Concept of Accommodation Space and Eustatic &
Relative Sea Level
After introduction of concept of sequence stratigraphy the concept
of sea level change has been modified in terms of eustatic sea level and
relative sea level. In sequence stratigraphy the global ocean system has
been named as accommodation space. To understand the concept of
accommodation space earth’s centre has been chosen as an arbitrary
reference point. The distance between this reference horizon and the
sea surface is called accommodation space or eustatic sea level [8].
Accommodation space is filled with sediments and water. The distance
between bottom of the sediment and the sea surface is called relative sea
level. Figure 1 describes the position of eustatic sea level and relative sea
level in terms of the reference point.
Changes in eustatic sea level arise from either changes in the
volume of ocean basins or changes in the volume of water within the
basin. There are several factors which influence the fluctuation of
accommodation space resulting in change in eustatic sea level. The
volume of ocean basin is controlled primarily by the rate of seafloor
spreading as discussed earlier in Mesozoic Era, thermal expansion of
sea water and secondarily by sediment accumulation rate in ocean
basins.
Further, the relative sea level change is primarily controlled by local
tectonics and sediment accumulation rate. Locally the lithosphere can
move up or down relative to the centre of the earth due to tectonic
activity particularly by isostatic adjustments due to increasing vertical
sediment load. The main mechanism of isostatic adjustment are
stretching (Backarc basin), cooling (Passive margin basin) and loading
(Flexural basin). Sediment accumulation has good impact on relative
sea level change particularly by means of local marine transgression
and regression. The phenomenon can be recorded in continuous
sedimentary rock sequences on continents. It should be kept in mind
that this local marine transgression and regression which is alternatively
named as relative sea level change in sequence stratigraphy is exclusively
controlled by local tectonics and local rate of sedimentation and has
nothing to do with eustatic sea level change. For example, due to high
sedimentation rates locally, the shoreline will move seawards, even
though the sea level is rising [9].
The Atmospheric Pollution and Greenhouse Effect
The process of anthropogenic air pollution started when man
first ignited the wood. As civilization progress the process of air
pollution increased, particularly after industrial revolution about
1760 to sometime between 1820 and 1840. There are many sources
that pollute our atmosphere. The main sources of air pollution are
motor vehicle and industrial emissions. Pollutants that are emitted
directly to the atmosphere are known as primary pollutants. Pollution
that occurs due to various physical processes and chemical reactions
in the atmosphere is known as secondary pollution. According to
Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 (US, EPA), most of the emissions,
concentrations, and effect of air pollution have been directed toward six
principal pollutants: Ground-level ozone (O3
), Carbon dioxide (CO2
),
Sulphur dioxide (SO2
), Small particulates (PM10
and PM2.5
), Nitrogen
dioxide (NO2
) and Lead (Pb).
Due to anthropogenic input of different pollutants into the
atmosphere average temperature of Earth is increasing. This process
is known as greenhouse effect. The process of greenhouse effect
can be understood by blackbody radiation. For Earth the average
temperature is 290 K, having spectrum peak at 10.1 µm, whereas for
Figure 1: Eustatic and relative mean sea level in terms of reference point,
which is center of the earth. (Schematic diagram, not according to scale).
3. Citation: Ganguly S, Tiwari S, Bhan U, Mittal S, Rai S, et al. (2015) Melting of Sea Ice Inexplicable for Recent Global Eustatic Sea Level Rise. J Earth
Sci Clim Change 6: 245. doi:10.4172/2157-7617.1000245
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ISSN:2157-7617 JESCC, an open access journal
Sun the temperature is 6000 K and spectrum peak is at 0.5 µm [10,11].
Considering the total solar radiant flux (which is 1,367 W/m2
) all the
incoming solar energy just outside the atmosphere has wavelengths
less than 3 µm, but for the Earth all the outgoing radiant energy has
wavelength greater than 3 µm. Infrared (IR) portion of spectrum starts
about 0.7 µm and extends up to 100 µm. Therefore, for the Earth all
the outgoing radiation is of thermal IR type. The radiant energy while
passing through atmosphere interacts with atmospheric constituents in
terms of scattering and absorption. Earth’s radiant energy absorbed by
atmospheric gases of wavelengths longer than 4 µm is called greenhouse
gases. The process of absorption heats the atmosphere and part of the
heat radiates back to Earth and part to the space. This self-heating
process which is responsible for increasing temperature of Earth is
known as greenhouse effect [12].
Part of the incoming solar radiation is reflected back to the space
due to back scattering of atmosphere and reflection from cloud not
contributing any change in Earth’s total energy budget. Average
incoming solar radiation that penetrates through the atmosphere to
Earth is equal to 342 W/m2
. Since the albedo is 31%, the amount of
incoming radiation reflected back into space per square meter of the
Earth’s surface is 107 W/m2
. The solar radiation that is not reflected
is absorbed by the Earth and its atmosphere. The amount of absorbed
energy is 235 W/m2
of which 67 W/m2
is absorbed by atmosphere and
remaining 168 W/m2
is absorbed by the surface of the Earth [12].
Among all the greenhouse gases water vapor is most important.
Table 1 describes the absorption wavelength of different greenhouse
gases [1].
Greenhouse Effect and Global Warming
Due to greenhouse effect average temperature of earth is increasing.
This increasing trend of temperature has been observed as increase of
ocean and land temperature. Figure 2 illustrates increase of global land
ocean temperature index from 1880 to recent by means of temperature
anomaly from surface air measurements at meteorological stations, ship
and satellite Sea Surface Temperature (SST) measurements. This value
has been calculated from mean global annual temperature anomaly
referenced to the 14ºC which is estimated average of 1951-1980 [13].
Hansen et al. [14] observed an increase in Earth’s temperature by about
0.4°C between 1880s and 1970s.
Global temperature fluctuation due to variable concentration of
greenhouse gases has been observed in the geologic past. Temperature
fluctuation in geologic past has been estimated by means of stable
isotope fluctuation, particularly of oxygen and hydrogen. Stable isotope
fractionation of oxygen (δ18
O‰) and hydrogen (δD‰) is temperature
dependent [15]. Paleoclimate study based on δ18
O in benthic carbonates
calibrated in terms of Vostok ice core data from Antarctica for past
5 million years indicate cyclic temperature fluctuation in geologic
past. Warmer temperature is determined by decrease in 18
O in oceans
and sediments and increase of 18
O in glacial ice [16]. Temperature
fluctuation recorded from Vostok ice core data in terms of δD‰
indicates cyclic fluctuation of temperature for last 420,000 years around
100,000 years cycle [17]. This 100,000 year cycle of global temperature
fluctuation remarkably coincides with change in Earth’s eccentricity of
100,000 years cycle.
Air bubble data of Vostok ice core of Antarctica indicates strong
correlation of atmospheric carbon dioxide and methane content with
cyclic change of temperature through last 420,000 years of 100,000 year
cycle. Glacial periods are marked by low concentration of greenhouse
gases like carbon- dioxide and methane. Warmer interglacial periods
are marked by high concentration of atmospheric methane and carbon
dioxide. Surprisingly the current carbon- dioxide concentration which
is 390 ppm (2007) is highest in past 650,000 years record [18,19]. The
scenario becomes worst at 16th
December, 2014 when Scripps global
atmospheric carbon-dioxide measurement program reported carbon-
dioxide concentration at Mauna Loa Observatory is 399.35 ppm.
Global Warming and Rising Sea Level
Due to greenhouse effect average temperature of Earth is increasing
resulting in melting of ice sheet, ice caps and sea ice. Another important
factor is thermal expansion of global ocean water due to increase in
ocean water temperature. Thermal expansion of ocean water has been
attributed as one of the important factors of recent global sea level rise of
3.1 millimeter/year [20]. Most of the global non-oceanic fresh water has
been reserved as ice caps and glaciers. Among them the most important
are Antarctic ice sheet and Greenland ice sheet. It is being estimated
that due to global warming these ice sheets will melt resulting in global
sea level rise. International Panel of Climate Change [21], estimated the
rise of sea level due to melting of ice caps and ice sheets which has been
summarized in Table 2.
However, recent studies revealed that Antarctic ice sheet is
projected to grow slightly in the future due to increased precipitation
along with extremely cold climate. Therefore it is assumed that
Antarctic ice sheet will not contribute towards global sea level rise [1].
For Greenland ice sheet, it has also been projected that it will increase
Greenhouse Gases Absorption spectra
Water vapor Less than 8 µm and greater than 18 µm
Carbon dioxide 2.7 µm, 4.3 µm and 15 µm
Methane 7.7 µm
Nitrous oxide 7.8 µm and 8.6 µm
Ozone 9.5 µm and 10.6 µm
Table 1: Absorption spectra associated with different greenhouse gases.
Figure 2: Global land ocean temperature index from 1880 to recent. This
value has been calculated from mean global annual temperature anomaly
referenced to the 14ºC which is estimated average of 1951-1980. (Data
Hansen et al. 2006; From http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/).
Ice Reservoir
Area
(106
km2
)
Volume
(106
km3
)
Sea Level Equivalent
(m)
Antarctic ice sheet 12.1 29 73
Greenland ice sheet 1.71 2.95 7.4
Glaciers and ice caps 0.64 0.1 ± 0.02 0.3 ± 0.05
Table 2: Projected global sea level rise due to melting of ice caps and ice sheets.
(IPCC 1995).
4. Citation: Ganguly S, Tiwari S, Bhan U, Mittal S, Rai S, et al. (2015) Melting of Sea Ice Inexplicable for Recent Global Eustatic Sea Level Rise. J Earth
Sci Clim Change 6: 245. doi:10.4172/2157-7617.1000245
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ISSN:2157-7617 JESCC, an open access journal
in volume slightly but there will be significant melting along the margin
[1]. IPCC has created different projection models for different Special
Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) in terms of Sea-level rise and
carbon dioxide concentrations. But all the projection models involve
several uncertainties to be encountered. Therefore none of them can be
considered as accurate estimate.
Role of Melting of Continental Glacier and Sea Ice in
Recent Global Sea Level Rise
From remote sensing data it has unequivocally been proved that
global ice caps and sheets are melting. For example, Arctic sea ice is
melting rapidly due to increasing global ocean temperature. Figure 3
illustrates the change in sea ice concentration of Arctic for September
2012 and March 2013 (A) and Antarctic for September 2012 and
February 2013 (B). Continental glaciers are also melting. If we take into
account a very simple analogy of melting ice will directly contribute to
global sea level rise it is not happening in terms of rate of melting of ice
and rate of rise of global sea level. From sequence stratigraphy point of
view change in global sea level means change in eustatic sea level. For
eustatic sea level change in accommodation space needs to be modified
or volume of ocean water needs to be increased. As discussed earlier
accommodation space can be modified either by tectonic activity like
rapid growth of mid oceanic ridge and high spreading rate or very high
rate of accumulation of sediments in ocean basin.
If we consider Holocene Period (10,000 years) global mid oceanic
ridge system has been stabilized and continents got there recent
position. Though tectonic activity is still going on in dynamic earth
but not intense enough to change accommodation space like that
happened in Mesozoic. Exogenic forces like erosion, deposition is going
on in nearly constant intensity. Therefore we can consider sediment
accumulation rate in ocean basin has almost stabilized in terms of
isostatic adjustment for vertical accommodation of pile of sediments.
Above mentioned governing factors for alteration of accommodation
space is almost stabilized and in equilibrium for Holocene Period.
Considering melting of sea ice; it has nothing to do with eustatic
sea level change. The principal is very simple. Global Ocean is a single
water body. Sea ice that is floating on global ocean is in equilibrium
with modern day cost line by means of Archimedes principle. Therefore
melting of sea ice will not contribute towards global or eustatic sea level
rise. The phenomenon can be understood by means of very simple real
life analogy. Considering a glass of water with floating ice cube, water
in the glass is in equilibrium with ice cube floating on it in terms of
Archimedes principle. Therefore complete melting of floating ice cube
will not change the water level in the glass. Very same principal is
applicable for global ocean and sea ice floating on it. Therefore complete
melting of sea ice will not make any change in global ocean level.
But melting of continental ice sheets has different impact on global
or eustatic sea level rise. Continental ice sheets contain approximately
32.05 ± 0.02×106
km3
of ice by volume. The equivalent amount of water
that are locked as continental ice sheets is kind of reserve volume of
hydrologic cycle which is not part of global ocean water. Due to global
warming if these ice sheets start melting then the water locked in them
will release. Melt water will contribute towards regional ground water
recharge and evapotranspiration. Some part will be locked as inland
surface water body. Excess will be drained to ocean water. Excluding
the melt water part that will contribute towards ground water recharge
and locked as surface water rest of it will contribute towards global
hydrologic cycle in terms of liquid water which will ultimately end up in
global ocean. Therefore melting of continental ice sheets will contribute
towards global or eustatic sea level rise by means of increasing volume
of global ocean water. As discussed earlier Antarctic and Greenland
continental ice sheets are projected to increase in future therefore recent
3.1 mm/year of global sea level rise can be assumed to be contribution
of melting of alpine glaciers of equatorial or near equatorial region
contributing 75%-85% of this trend [20].
Thermal Expansion of Ocean Water due to Increasing
Sea Surface Temperature and Recent Global Eustatic
Sea Level Change
It has unequivocally been proved that ice sheets, ice caps and sea
ice are melting due to increasing temperature of earth. The process of
increasing temperature of earth has been exclusively attributed to the
greenhouse effect. As discussed earlier continental ice sheets and ice
caps are responsible for global or eustatic sea level rise fulfilling other
reservation criteria such as groundwater recharge, locked as surface
water in land, evapotranspiration etc. Sea ice has no effect on global or
eustatic sea level rise since it is already in equilibrium with modern day
coast line configuration due to Archimedes principal.
Recent satellite gravimetric analysis has proved that global or
eustatic sea level is rising. But there is an ambiguity of rate of change of
sea level. For example Lemke et al., [22] reported rate of global sea level
rise is approximately 1 mm/year due to melting of glacier and ice caps.
Meieretal.,[23]reportedlittlehighvalueofriseofglobalsealevelforthe
time span of 2003-2008 which is approximately 1.3 mm/year. Recently
from Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) data it has
been estimated that rate of global sea level rise is approximately 3.1
mm/year in which thermal expansion of global ocean water contributes
approximately 15%-25% of this trend. It has also been reported that rate
of change of sea level from 2003-2008 which is approximately 3.1 mm/
Figure 3: Change in sea ice concentration of Arctic, September 2012 and
March 2013 (A) and Antarctic of September 2012 and February 2013 (B).
(From http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/).
5. Citation: Ganguly S, Tiwari S, Bhan U, Mittal S, Rai S, et al. (2015) Melting of Sea Ice Inexplicable for Recent Global Eustatic Sea Level Rise. J Earth
Sci Clim Change 6: 245. doi:10.4172/2157-7617.1000245
Page 5 of 6
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ISSN:2157-7617 JESCC, an open access journal
year has been reduced in comparison with rate of change of sea level
from 1993-2003 which is approximately 3.5mm/year [20].
The phenomenon can be understood by visualizing the temperature
anomaly of global ocean. Figure 4 illustrates temperature anomaly of
global ocean from 2000-2014 for the month of February. The map has
been constructed for global ocean temperature trend from NCDC/ER_
v3 data source of Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) of NASA
[24]. Surface temperature data has been excluded and marked by gray
color. The projection method followed was of Robinson [25] with 1200
km smoothing radius. Base period of mean global annual temperature
has been referenced to the 14ºC estimated average of 1951-1980 [13].
Temperature distribution of global ocean is not homogeneous.
There is latitudinal temperature variation due to differential incoming
solar radiation along with vertical temperature zonation. For example
ocean temperature can be as high as 30ºC in photic zone of equatorial
region to freezing cold at polar zone. Also vertical zonation of
temperature is there. Vertically ocean water can be divided into three
zones namely; upper layer or photic zone, thermocline and deep ocean
layer. In thermocline, temperature decreases with depth [26-28].
Therefore thermal expansion of ocean water due to increasing ocean
water temperature is mainly restricted to the photic zone or upper layer
of ocean water.
If we consider the temperature anomaly of global ocean as shown in
Figure 4 it shows that temperature of ocean has increased significantly
in the equatorial zone in the time span of 2000-2014. Considering 14ºC
of average of time period of 1951-1980 average temperature anomaly
for the time period of 2000-2014 is approximately 0.32ºC as shown in
Figure 5. Considering thermal expansion coefficient of water at 14ºC
which is 1.3890×10-04
due to increasing temperature of the observation
period of 2000-2014 volume of ocean water increased with increasing
temperature initially. However it became equilibrated in terms of
thermal stability and then the thermal expansion is not happening
according to expectation [20].
Conclusions
It is established fact that due to greenhouse effect, Mean Ocean
and land temperature are increasing. One of the most important
greenhouse gases carbon dioxide reached its maximum concentration
of 399.35 ppm in 2014. Earth has wormed about 0.4°C between the
1880s and 1970 which has caused melting of the ice caps and ice
sheets. Global or eustatic sea level is rising and estimated as ~3.1
millimeter/year. Different models have been proposed to account this
natural phenomenon and have their own uncertainty and ambiguity
in estimating the global sea level rise projection (IPCC). The role of
melting of continental glaciers, ice sheets and sea ice has not been
clearly understood in terms of their role in global sea level rise. Sea
ice, being limited to small thickness and areal coverage, may not be
responsible for global or eustatic sea level rise. Melting of continental
glaciers and ice sheets will contribute towards global sea level rise
keeping all constrains in mind like regional groundwater recharge,
locked as inland surface water and evapotranspiration. Recent global
sea level change of approximately 3.1 mm/year is contributed towards
convoluted effect of thermal expansion of ocean water due to increase
in mean global ocean temperature (contributing approximately 15%-
25% of the increasing trend) and melting of alpine glaciers of equatorial
and near equatorial region (contributing approximately 75%-85%
of the increasing trend). Rate of sea level rise for the time period of
1993-2003 which is 3.5 mm/year has been reduced to 3.1 mm/year for
the time period of 2003-2008. Average temperature anomaly of global
ocean for the time period of 2000-2014 is 0.32ºC with reference to 14ºC
of average temperature of time period of 1951-1980. The phenomenon
of reduction of rate of global sea level rise can be understood by
initial thermal expansion of ocean water happened with increasing
temperature trend. Afterwards thermal expansion has been stabilized
in terms of temperature increment and thermal expansion of ocean
water is not happening according to expectation.
Acknowledgement
We would like to thank ProfessorAvinash Singh, Pro Vice Chancellor,
University of Technology and Management, Shillong, Meghalaya, India
for his moral support throughout. We would also like to pay our gratitude
to Dr Debmalya Bhattacharya, Assistant Dean of College of Technology,
University of Technology & Management, Shillong, Meghalaya, India for
his critical feedbacks for improvement of the manuscript.
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6. Citation: Ganguly S, Tiwari S, Bhan U, Mittal S, Rai S, et al. (2015) Melting of Sea Ice Inexplicable for Recent Global Eustatic Sea Level Rise. J Earth
Sci Clim Change 6: 245. doi:10.4172/2157-7617.1000245
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Citation: Ganguly S, Tiwari S, Bhan U, Mittal S, Rai S, et al. (2015) Melting
of Sea Ice Inexplicable for Recent Global Eustatic Sea Level Rise. J Earth Sci
Clim Change 6: 245. doi:10.4172/2157-7617.1000245
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