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Agricultural Intensity 1983
Agricultural Intensity 2013
Agricultural Intensity 1983  2013
Increase in Agricultural Intensity 1983  2012
Agricultural Intensity 1983 v. 2013
Impact of Land Tenure on Agriculture
The development trajectory of unadjudicated is
40 years behind that of adjudicated land
Agriculture replaces the Natural Vegetation
… but at the expense of Herbaceous rather than
Tree cover
Total Tree Cover 1983  2013
Managed trees (aka trees-on-farms aka agro-
forestry) replace natural trees
Increase in Agroforestry 1983  2013
of 215,000 hectares
Woody Crops Ha 29,000
Hedgerows and
Windrows
Ha 62,000
Km 207,000
Woodlots Ha 48,000
Plantations Ha 16,000
Scattered Trees Ha 60,000
Impact of Tenure on Tree Cover
Impact of Tenure on Tree Cover
Adjudicated Land
Impact of Tenure on Tree Cover
Unadjudicated Land
Impact of Land Tenure on Tree Cover
Investment in agro-forestry components
Leasehold Freehold Unadjudicated
% Trees managed 83% 88% 56%
% TOF cash 83% 53% 29%
% TOF landscape 17% 47% 71%
"Cash" Woody crops, woodlots & plantations
"Landscape" Hedgerows, windrows and scattered trees
Are Forests doing a good job?
Perhaps …..
Are Forests doing a good job?
Mount Elgon
Are Forests doing a good job?
Mau Forest
Agriculture in the Mau Forest Reserve 2013
Population Growth and Agricultural Expansion
Agricultural Intensity within
Agro-Ecological Zones
Change in Agricultural Intensity
within Agro-Ecological Zones
Change in Agricultural Landcover with Rainfall
Change in Agricultural Landcover with
Temperature
Drivers of landuse and landcover change in Kenya, 1983 --> 2013

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