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Isle of Wight Bat Group
Bats, Maths & Maps
…and a Systems Engineer
Dr Jon Whitehurst
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Lecture Context
• Relating field observations to the habitat and
assessing the impact of habitat change is
perhaps the most difficult job that faces
professional ecologists today…
 Climate change at a global scale
 More direct anthropogenic impact (buildings,
roads, railways, farming practice, wind turbines,
etc.) at a local scale
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Lecture Coverage
• Introduction to bats...
• Bat species recording methods
• The role of advanced mathematics in Ecology
• The role of digital terrain mapping (DTM) and
Geographic Information Systems (GIS) in
Ecology
• Engineering integrated solutions for the
Ecologist…
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Example: Parkhurst Forest
This is just a collection of points on a map…This is the result of linking presence observations to habitat
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Example: Lake District N.P.
Dr Chloe Bellamy, Predictive modelling of bat-habitat relationships on different spatial scales PhD Thesis, Leeds Sep 2011
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Example: Wind Turbine Risk
Hellena Sofiia Viiana dos Santos, Using Species Distribution Modelling to Predict Bat Fatality Risk at Wind Farms, Masters Thesis,
Faculdade de Ciencias da Universidade do Porto, Jun 2011
Isle of Wight Bat Group
First the bats…
• 18 species
• All are small and
insectivorous
Isle of Wight Bat Group
IoW Observed Bat Species
• Rare / Endangered Species
– Barbastelle
– Nathusius’ Pipistrelle*
– Alcathoe
– Bechstein’s bat
– Grey Long Eared bat
– Gtr. Horseshoe bat
– Parti-Coloured Bat*
• Others
– Common Pipistrelle
– Soprano Pipistrelle
– Serotine
– Whiskered bat
– Natterer’s bat
– Brandt’s bat
– Daubenton
– Brown Long Eared bat
– Leislers bat
– Noctule
• Not Observed
– Le. Horseshoe bat
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Basic Bat Biology
• Bats are the only truly flying mammal
• They are highly optimised for flight:
– Light weight bone structure
– Low fat reserve
– Absolutely minimal tissue structure
• Eyesight is reasonable, but like us,
their eyes aren’t much use in the dark!
• All UK species have well developed
echolocation abilities to make up for
this…
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Bat Behaviours
• Different bat species use different roosting strategies
– Tree splits/lifted bark
– Woodpecker holes
– Caves
– Man-made structures
• Different bat species feed in different ways
– Open aerial insect hawking bats
– Canopy aerial insect hawking bats
– Canopy insect gleaning bats
– Water insect gleaning bats
• Each species has evolved to maximise success in
its chosen habitat range
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Feeding
• All UK species feed on insects
• Two principle strategies:
– Hawking
– Gleaning
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Some History
• Bats ability to fly in total darkness was perceived as “supernatural”
until the work of Lazzaro Spallanzani in 1794
• Spallanzani observed that bats could navigate and hunt when
their eyes were disabled
• Charles Jurine confirmed that bats needed their ears in order to
navigate and hunt by blocking their ears with wax in the same
year
• Bats use of sound to navigate and hunt remained just a
hypothesis until 1938 when Donald Griffin was able record
ultrasonic pulses emitted by the bats in navigating flight
• …and so bat echolocation using sonar was confirmed (remember
Langévin only “invented” active sonar in 1915!)
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Pulsed Sonar Detection
• Prey/object distance found from the time taken for the ultrasound
pulse to return: distance = speed of sound x t/2, where t=time taken
between emitting the pulse and receiving the echo.
• One pulse can have many different echoes…
Image credit: Elizabeth Hagen. (2009, November 4). Bats. ASU - Ask A Biologist. Retrieved November 6, 2016 from http://askabiologist.asu.edu/echolocation
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Bat Acoustics
Convergent acoustic field of view in echolocating bats, Lasse Jakobsen, John M. Ratcliffe & Annemarie Surlykke, Nature 493, 93–96 (03 January 2013)
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Bat Acoustics
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Bat Acoustics: Summary
• Range is determined by the time taken for echoes to
return
• Doppler shift determines forward/backward direction
• Azimuth is determined by time of arrival in L/R ears
• Elevation is determined by ear movement and rolling
flight
• Prey size is determined by the amplitude (loudness) of
the echoes
• Bats also use doppler profiles for prey identification
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Bat Identification
• Remote visual methods
– Size
– Wing shape
– Flight behaviour
• Trapping
– Mist netting
– Harp netting
• Echolocation call recordings
– Start-stop frequency
– Peak frequency
– Call structure
– Pulse repetition rate
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Feeding Adaption
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Echolocation Calls: UK Species Variation
Species Fp
kHz
Fs
kHz
Fe
kHz
Call
Length
mS
PRI
mS
Habitat
Type
Call
Type
Unambiguous
Range
m
Compressed
Range Cell
mm
Update Rate
Hz
Noctule 19.3 23.2 18.3 22.1 807.2 O CF 121.1 34.7 1.2
Leislers 23.1 26.2 21.9 17.1 312.0 O CF 46.8 39.5 3.2
Npip 39.3 51.1 36.9 6.5 129.0 mixed H/CF 19.4 12.0 7.8
Serotine 25.9 58.4 27.5 5.1 126.0 O L/CF 18.9 5.5 7.9
Whiskered 47.5 88.3 32.4 4.2 113.0 C L 17.0 3.0 8.8
Barbastelle 32.9 39.4 28.0 3.4 108.4 mixed L 16.3 14.9 9.2
Grey LE 32.6 43.4 23.6 3.8 105.0 C H 15.8 8.6 9.5
Ppip 46.6 68.8 45.9 5.9 102.5 C H/CF 15.4 7.4 9.8
Bechstein 51.0 116.2 32.9 2.4 96.4 C L 14.5 2.0 10.4
Spip 55.1 79.6 56.8 5.5 89.1 C H/CF 13.4 7.5 11.2
Brandts 46.7 91.6 34.0 3.5 88.0 C L 13.2 3.0 11.4
Natterers 46.9 106.8 22.8 4.7 80.1 C L 12.0 2.0 12.5
Brown LE 33.1 50.0 25.0 2.3 76.8 C H 11.5 6.8 13.0
Daubenton 47.0 81.1 29.4 3.2 75.5 C L 11.3 3.3 13.2
Alcathoe 52.5 110.0 43.0 2.5 55.0 C L 8.3 2.5 18.2
C: Cluttered L: LinearSweep
O: Open CF: Constant Frequency
H: Hybrid H: Hyperbolic
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Echolocation Call Properties: P.aus @ 3m
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Echolocation Call Properties: N.noc @ 50m+
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Ultrasound Propagation: Attenuation in Air
0.00
500.00
1000.00
1500.00
2000.00
2500.00
3000.00
3500.00
4000.00
4500.00
0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0
Attenuationdb/km
FrequencykHz
Sound Attenuation Vs Frequency
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
For example, at 10m and 60% RH:
• Attenuation is 5db at 20kHz
• Attenuation is 36db at 100kHz
Just over
a quarter
of the
level
1/4000th of
the level!
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Impact of Sound Attenuation
5m 10m 15mM.bech Emergence Recording Example, Briddlesford Copse 2013
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Canopy Clutter
What’s the difference..!
P.pip recorded in the Noke Plantation July 2014
Random
reflections from
the canopy
Destructive
interference due
to multipath
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Ground Clutter
What’s the difference..!
The Parkhurst Forest Bat Project
https://sites.google.com/site/parkhurstforestbats/
P.pip recorded at Wydcombe Manor August 2013
Uniform
reflection from a
hard road
surface
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Approximate Detection Range Summary
Genus Effective Detection Range*
In the Clear Cluttered
Plecotus 10m <5m
Pipistrellus 50m 30m
Myotis (except
M.bech)
30m 15m
Nyctalus 60m 40m
Eptesicus 50m 30m
Barbastellus 50m 25m
Rhinolophus 30m 20m
*Effective means: “able to classify the echolocation call”
All ranges are estimates and based on BatLogger average performance in the field.
Isle of Wight Bat Group
So what’s the practical impact of all this?
• Survey effort required for 95% detection probability1:
1 Empirical results given in DEFRA Report WC1015 DEVELOPING EFFECTIVE METHODS FOR THE SYSTEMATIC
SURVEILLANCE OF BATS IN WOODLAND HABITATS IN THE UK Final Report August 2014 Chris Scott & John Altringham
Species Relative Survey Effort
Pipistrellus 1
M. brandtii/mystacinus 2
Barbastellus 2
Rhinolophus 4
M.alcathoe 4
M.nattereri 4
M.bechsteinii 6
Plecotus 9
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Technology Enablers…
• For data Capture:
– Linear Dynamic Range Ultrasonic Mics.
– Fast Processor platforms and programmable logic
– Flash memory
– GPS/GLONASS (both for time and spatial coordinates)
– Lithium batteries…
• For data processing:
– Fast processing capability
– Fast graphics capability
– Virtually unlimited storage capability
– Easy access to software tools*
– Easy access to call data libraries*
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Mathematical Enablers…
• For data Capture:
– Sampling theorem
• For data processing/classification:
– Fast Fourier transform
– Pattern recognition algorithms (maximum entropy, random
forests, neural networks, …endless list of these!)
– Noise reduction algorithms (low pass filter, convolution filter,
wavelets, etc)
• In short, nothing is possible without some very
advanced maths!
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Summary so far
• Given the right use of technology we can:
– Make full spectrum bat echolocation call recordings
– Geo-tag where those recordings were made
– Accurately timestamp those recordings
– “Classify” the species on those recordings
So, we can now put species “presences” on a map, but
how do you answer the questions “why are they found
there” and “where else might I find them”?
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Modelling Habitat Use
• The general method is called “Species Distribution
Modelling”.
• The method objective is to take a set of species
presences, habitat variables and habitat constraints
and generate a probability distribution indicating the
likelihood of species presence.
• So what does this process look like..?
Isle of Wight Bat Group
SDM: The Process Steps
Computer Model
Habitat &
Feature Grids
Presence
Samples
Constraints &
Limitations
Sampling &
Modelling
Strategy
Test & Analyse
Results
Ecological
Drivers
Refine/Adapt
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Sampling & Modelling Strategy
Model Scale
• Habitat & Extent
– What is the extent of the habitat?
– What is the granularity of the habitat?
– These factors will drive the sampling density & positional
accuracy
• Examples
– National region, the scale might be 1 or 10km spaced grid
– National park or similar, the scale might be 100m to 1km spaced
grid
– Small niche region, the scale might be 1m to 10m spaced grid
• Key point to remember
– A fine grid (resolution) does not necessarily guarantee a better
result than a model using coarse grid…
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Step 1: Choose data source and set up model area
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Step 2: Define projection extent
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Step 3: Define landscape areas
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Step 4: Subtract these from the background…
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Step 5: Generate “no data” area
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Step 6: Merge the shape files into one
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Grid Examples
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Sampling & Modelling Strategy
Presence Sampling Plan
• Avoid Bias!
– Sampling density needs to be planned and executed to be bias free
– Avoid spatial autocorrelation (don’t just sample along roads or other
features)
– Remove geospatial duplicates
• Examples
– Transects should not overlap
– Repeat transects should not be done at the same time relative to sunset
– Same number of repeats for each transect
– Transects should cover all habitat features being modelled
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Presence Sampling
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Sampling & Modelling Strategy
Environment Grids
• Habitat and Habitat Features
– How many distinctive environments?
– Are habitat “features” important?
– Context of habitat background/features
• Examples
– Forest/woodland plantation plan
– Farming land use (arable, pasture, set-aside, etc)
– Defined edges (forest, hedgerow)
– Water courses and ponds
– Significant gradient/aspect variation
• Key point to remember
– Bats are influenced by habitat discontinuities, and these can
have a stronger influence than the habitat background itself…
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Simple Grid Example
*
* *
* *
*
* *
*
*
* *
*
* * *
*
* *
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
* *
* *
*
* *
* * * *
* * * *
* * * *
* *
* * * * *
* * *
*
7 3
1 1
4 8 3
0 0 0
0 0 0
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Now for the really hard part…
• How do you link the presence locations with the habitat variables?
– Maximum Entropy
– Bayesian Statistics
– Random Forests
– Generalised Linear Model
– Generalised Additive Model
– etc… A full account these techniques is a lecture in itself!
• Fortunately there are both clever mathematicians and broad minded
ecologists who can work with them, so…
– Numerous methods are available and still being developed
– Significant number of open source tools
– One of the most highly tested of these is MaxEnt
Isle of Wight Bat Group
What is “the best” approach in this case?
• E.T. Jaynes 1957. Information theory and statistical mechanics.
Phys. Rev. 106, 620–630.
“The best approach is to ensure that the approximation satisfies any
constraints on the unknown distribution that we are aware of, and
that subject to those constraints, the distribution should have
maximum entropy.”
• This is the fundamental principle for the MaxEnt software package
used (Phillips, Anderson, Schapire, Ecological Modelling, 190:231-
259, 2006.) and for my work.
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Here’s one made earlier…
• This example shows:
• The form the habitat response probability distributions take
• How these probability distributions are ranked
• How the probability distributions are combined to generate the
habitat suitability predictions
• …and most importantly, how to test the results!
Worked Example
Barbastella_-_Barbastellus.html
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Application Examples
• Set-back assessment
• Species richness
• Habitat change impact
• Seasonal habitat use preferences
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Set Back Assessment: Aerial Hawkers
50% Probability
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Set Back Assessment: Edge Specialists
50% Probability
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Species Richness Example
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Habitat Change Example
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Seasonal Habitat Shift Example
Isle of Wight Bat Group
So to Recap…
• Whistle-Stop tour of just one of the modern ecological
methods used to inform us about the habitat preferences
of bats
• It demands a truly cross discipline scientific/engineering
effort:
– Engineered technology for ultrasound reception and high fidelity
digital recording, GPS for time/geospatial tagging and computing
power & engineered software to do the analysis and modelling
– Nothing would be possible without innovative mathematics, and
equally innovative people who can put the mathematics to
practical use…
– Modern ecology is not just about field work… It is system
engineering in disguise!
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Question Time…
• Reference sites for local information
– The Isle of Wight Bat Group
www.iowbatgroup.co.uk
– The Isle of Wight Bat Project
www.sites.google.com/site/iowbatproject/
– The Parkhurst Forest Bat Project
www.sites.google.com/site/parkhurstforestbats/
– The Isle of Wight Bat Hospital
www.iowbathospital.org.uk/
• UK Bats
– www.bats.org.uk
Isle of Wight Bat Group
Many thanks to the following people for the kind use
of their images and footage:
Kay Bott
Patty Briggs
Mike Castle
Hugh Clark
Bob Cornes
Anita Glover
© All images and footage are copyright of the individual photographer and the Bat Conservation Trust.
None of the images can be reproduced, distributed or edited without the prior consent of the Bat
Conservation Trust.
Daniel Hargreaves
Austin Hopkirk
Roger Jones
Shirley Thompson
Anne Youngman

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  • 1. Isle of Wight Bat Group Bats, Maths & Maps …and a Systems Engineer Dr Jon Whitehurst Isle of Wight Bat Group
  • 2. Isle of Wight Bat Group Lecture Context • Relating field observations to the habitat and assessing the impact of habitat change is perhaps the most difficult job that faces professional ecologists today…  Climate change at a global scale  More direct anthropogenic impact (buildings, roads, railways, farming practice, wind turbines, etc.) at a local scale
  • 3. Isle of Wight Bat Group Lecture Coverage • Introduction to bats... • Bat species recording methods • The role of advanced mathematics in Ecology • The role of digital terrain mapping (DTM) and Geographic Information Systems (GIS) in Ecology • Engineering integrated solutions for the Ecologist…
  • 4. Isle of Wight Bat Group Example: Parkhurst Forest This is just a collection of points on a map…This is the result of linking presence observations to habitat
  • 5. Isle of Wight Bat Group Example: Lake District N.P. Dr Chloe Bellamy, Predictive modelling of bat-habitat relationships on different spatial scales PhD Thesis, Leeds Sep 2011
  • 6. Isle of Wight Bat Group Example: Wind Turbine Risk Hellena Sofiia Viiana dos Santos, Using Species Distribution Modelling to Predict Bat Fatality Risk at Wind Farms, Masters Thesis, Faculdade de Ciencias da Universidade do Porto, Jun 2011
  • 7. Isle of Wight Bat Group First the bats… • 18 species • All are small and insectivorous
  • 8. Isle of Wight Bat Group IoW Observed Bat Species • Rare / Endangered Species – Barbastelle – Nathusius’ Pipistrelle* – Alcathoe – Bechstein’s bat – Grey Long Eared bat – Gtr. Horseshoe bat – Parti-Coloured Bat* • Others – Common Pipistrelle – Soprano Pipistrelle – Serotine – Whiskered bat – Natterer’s bat – Brandt’s bat – Daubenton – Brown Long Eared bat – Leislers bat – Noctule • Not Observed – Le. Horseshoe bat
  • 9. Isle of Wight Bat Group Basic Bat Biology • Bats are the only truly flying mammal • They are highly optimised for flight: – Light weight bone structure – Low fat reserve – Absolutely minimal tissue structure • Eyesight is reasonable, but like us, their eyes aren’t much use in the dark! • All UK species have well developed echolocation abilities to make up for this…
  • 10. Isle of Wight Bat Group Bat Behaviours • Different bat species use different roosting strategies – Tree splits/lifted bark – Woodpecker holes – Caves – Man-made structures • Different bat species feed in different ways – Open aerial insect hawking bats – Canopy aerial insect hawking bats – Canopy insect gleaning bats – Water insect gleaning bats • Each species has evolved to maximise success in its chosen habitat range
  • 11. Isle of Wight Bat Group Feeding • All UK species feed on insects • Two principle strategies: – Hawking – Gleaning
  • 12. Isle of Wight Bat Group Some History • Bats ability to fly in total darkness was perceived as “supernatural” until the work of Lazzaro Spallanzani in 1794 • Spallanzani observed that bats could navigate and hunt when their eyes were disabled • Charles Jurine confirmed that bats needed their ears in order to navigate and hunt by blocking their ears with wax in the same year • Bats use of sound to navigate and hunt remained just a hypothesis until 1938 when Donald Griffin was able record ultrasonic pulses emitted by the bats in navigating flight • …and so bat echolocation using sonar was confirmed (remember Langévin only “invented” active sonar in 1915!)
  • 13. Isle of Wight Bat Group Pulsed Sonar Detection • Prey/object distance found from the time taken for the ultrasound pulse to return: distance = speed of sound x t/2, where t=time taken between emitting the pulse and receiving the echo. • One pulse can have many different echoes… Image credit: Elizabeth Hagen. (2009, November 4). Bats. ASU - Ask A Biologist. Retrieved November 6, 2016 from http://askabiologist.asu.edu/echolocation
  • 14. Isle of Wight Bat Group Bat Acoustics Convergent acoustic field of view in echolocating bats, Lasse Jakobsen, John M. Ratcliffe & Annemarie Surlykke, Nature 493, 93–96 (03 January 2013)
  • 15. Isle of Wight Bat Group Bat Acoustics
  • 16. Isle of Wight Bat Group Bat Acoustics: Summary • Range is determined by the time taken for echoes to return • Doppler shift determines forward/backward direction • Azimuth is determined by time of arrival in L/R ears • Elevation is determined by ear movement and rolling flight • Prey size is determined by the amplitude (loudness) of the echoes • Bats also use doppler profiles for prey identification
  • 17. Isle of Wight Bat Group Bat Identification • Remote visual methods – Size – Wing shape – Flight behaviour • Trapping – Mist netting – Harp netting • Echolocation call recordings – Start-stop frequency – Peak frequency – Call structure – Pulse repetition rate
  • 18. Isle of Wight Bat Group Feeding Adaption
  • 19. Isle of Wight Bat Group Echolocation Calls: UK Species Variation Species Fp kHz Fs kHz Fe kHz Call Length mS PRI mS Habitat Type Call Type Unambiguous Range m Compressed Range Cell mm Update Rate Hz Noctule 19.3 23.2 18.3 22.1 807.2 O CF 121.1 34.7 1.2 Leislers 23.1 26.2 21.9 17.1 312.0 O CF 46.8 39.5 3.2 Npip 39.3 51.1 36.9 6.5 129.0 mixed H/CF 19.4 12.0 7.8 Serotine 25.9 58.4 27.5 5.1 126.0 O L/CF 18.9 5.5 7.9 Whiskered 47.5 88.3 32.4 4.2 113.0 C L 17.0 3.0 8.8 Barbastelle 32.9 39.4 28.0 3.4 108.4 mixed L 16.3 14.9 9.2 Grey LE 32.6 43.4 23.6 3.8 105.0 C H 15.8 8.6 9.5 Ppip 46.6 68.8 45.9 5.9 102.5 C H/CF 15.4 7.4 9.8 Bechstein 51.0 116.2 32.9 2.4 96.4 C L 14.5 2.0 10.4 Spip 55.1 79.6 56.8 5.5 89.1 C H/CF 13.4 7.5 11.2 Brandts 46.7 91.6 34.0 3.5 88.0 C L 13.2 3.0 11.4 Natterers 46.9 106.8 22.8 4.7 80.1 C L 12.0 2.0 12.5 Brown LE 33.1 50.0 25.0 2.3 76.8 C H 11.5 6.8 13.0 Daubenton 47.0 81.1 29.4 3.2 75.5 C L 11.3 3.3 13.2 Alcathoe 52.5 110.0 43.0 2.5 55.0 C L 8.3 2.5 18.2 C: Cluttered L: LinearSweep O: Open CF: Constant Frequency H: Hybrid H: Hyperbolic
  • 20. Isle of Wight Bat Group Echolocation Call Properties: P.aus @ 3m
  • 21. Isle of Wight Bat Group Echolocation Call Properties: N.noc @ 50m+
  • 22. Isle of Wight Bat Group Ultrasound Propagation: Attenuation in Air 0.00 500.00 1000.00 1500.00 2000.00 2500.00 3000.00 3500.00 4000.00 4500.00 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0 Attenuationdb/km FrequencykHz Sound Attenuation Vs Frequency 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 For example, at 10m and 60% RH: • Attenuation is 5db at 20kHz • Attenuation is 36db at 100kHz Just over a quarter of the level 1/4000th of the level!
  • 23. Isle of Wight Bat Group Impact of Sound Attenuation 5m 10m 15mM.bech Emergence Recording Example, Briddlesford Copse 2013
  • 24. Isle of Wight Bat Group Canopy Clutter What’s the difference..! P.pip recorded in the Noke Plantation July 2014 Random reflections from the canopy Destructive interference due to multipath
  • 25. Isle of Wight Bat Group Ground Clutter What’s the difference..! The Parkhurst Forest Bat Project https://sites.google.com/site/parkhurstforestbats/ P.pip recorded at Wydcombe Manor August 2013 Uniform reflection from a hard road surface
  • 26. Isle of Wight Bat Group Approximate Detection Range Summary Genus Effective Detection Range* In the Clear Cluttered Plecotus 10m <5m Pipistrellus 50m 30m Myotis (except M.bech) 30m 15m Nyctalus 60m 40m Eptesicus 50m 30m Barbastellus 50m 25m Rhinolophus 30m 20m *Effective means: “able to classify the echolocation call” All ranges are estimates and based on BatLogger average performance in the field.
  • 27. Isle of Wight Bat Group So what’s the practical impact of all this? • Survey effort required for 95% detection probability1: 1 Empirical results given in DEFRA Report WC1015 DEVELOPING EFFECTIVE METHODS FOR THE SYSTEMATIC SURVEILLANCE OF BATS IN WOODLAND HABITATS IN THE UK Final Report August 2014 Chris Scott & John Altringham Species Relative Survey Effort Pipistrellus 1 M. brandtii/mystacinus 2 Barbastellus 2 Rhinolophus 4 M.alcathoe 4 M.nattereri 4 M.bechsteinii 6 Plecotus 9
  • 28. Isle of Wight Bat Group Technology Enablers… • For data Capture: – Linear Dynamic Range Ultrasonic Mics. – Fast Processor platforms and programmable logic – Flash memory – GPS/GLONASS (both for time and spatial coordinates) – Lithium batteries… • For data processing: – Fast processing capability – Fast graphics capability – Virtually unlimited storage capability – Easy access to software tools* – Easy access to call data libraries*
  • 29. Isle of Wight Bat Group Mathematical Enablers… • For data Capture: – Sampling theorem • For data processing/classification: – Fast Fourier transform – Pattern recognition algorithms (maximum entropy, random forests, neural networks, …endless list of these!) – Noise reduction algorithms (low pass filter, convolution filter, wavelets, etc) • In short, nothing is possible without some very advanced maths!
  • 30. Isle of Wight Bat Group Summary so far • Given the right use of technology we can: – Make full spectrum bat echolocation call recordings – Geo-tag where those recordings were made – Accurately timestamp those recordings – “Classify” the species on those recordings So, we can now put species “presences” on a map, but how do you answer the questions “why are they found there” and “where else might I find them”?
  • 31. Isle of Wight Bat Group Modelling Habitat Use • The general method is called “Species Distribution Modelling”. • The method objective is to take a set of species presences, habitat variables and habitat constraints and generate a probability distribution indicating the likelihood of species presence. • So what does this process look like..?
  • 32. Isle of Wight Bat Group SDM: The Process Steps Computer Model Habitat & Feature Grids Presence Samples Constraints & Limitations Sampling & Modelling Strategy Test & Analyse Results Ecological Drivers Refine/Adapt
  • 33. Isle of Wight Bat Group Sampling & Modelling Strategy Model Scale • Habitat & Extent – What is the extent of the habitat? – What is the granularity of the habitat? – These factors will drive the sampling density & positional accuracy • Examples – National region, the scale might be 1 or 10km spaced grid – National park or similar, the scale might be 100m to 1km spaced grid – Small niche region, the scale might be 1m to 10m spaced grid • Key point to remember – A fine grid (resolution) does not necessarily guarantee a better result than a model using coarse grid…
  • 34. Isle of Wight Bat Group Step 1: Choose data source and set up model area
  • 35. Isle of Wight Bat Group Step 2: Define projection extent
  • 36. Isle of Wight Bat Group Step 3: Define landscape areas
  • 37. Isle of Wight Bat Group Step 4: Subtract these from the background…
  • 38. Isle of Wight Bat Group Step 5: Generate “no data” area
  • 39. Isle of Wight Bat Group Step 6: Merge the shape files into one
  • 40. Isle of Wight Bat Group Grid Examples
  • 41. Isle of Wight Bat Group Sampling & Modelling Strategy Presence Sampling Plan • Avoid Bias! – Sampling density needs to be planned and executed to be bias free – Avoid spatial autocorrelation (don’t just sample along roads or other features) – Remove geospatial duplicates • Examples – Transects should not overlap – Repeat transects should not be done at the same time relative to sunset – Same number of repeats for each transect – Transects should cover all habitat features being modelled
  • 42. Isle of Wight Bat Group Presence Sampling
  • 43. Isle of Wight Bat Group Sampling & Modelling Strategy Environment Grids • Habitat and Habitat Features – How many distinctive environments? – Are habitat “features” important? – Context of habitat background/features • Examples – Forest/woodland plantation plan – Farming land use (arable, pasture, set-aside, etc) – Defined edges (forest, hedgerow) – Water courses and ponds – Significant gradient/aspect variation • Key point to remember – Bats are influenced by habitat discontinuities, and these can have a stronger influence than the habitat background itself…
  • 44. Isle of Wight Bat Group Simple Grid Example * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 7 3 1 1 4 8 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
  • 45. Isle of Wight Bat Group Now for the really hard part… • How do you link the presence locations with the habitat variables? – Maximum Entropy – Bayesian Statistics – Random Forests – Generalised Linear Model – Generalised Additive Model – etc… A full account these techniques is a lecture in itself! • Fortunately there are both clever mathematicians and broad minded ecologists who can work with them, so… – Numerous methods are available and still being developed – Significant number of open source tools – One of the most highly tested of these is MaxEnt
  • 46. Isle of Wight Bat Group What is “the best” approach in this case? • E.T. Jaynes 1957. Information theory and statistical mechanics. Phys. Rev. 106, 620–630. “The best approach is to ensure that the approximation satisfies any constraints on the unknown distribution that we are aware of, and that subject to those constraints, the distribution should have maximum entropy.” • This is the fundamental principle for the MaxEnt software package used (Phillips, Anderson, Schapire, Ecological Modelling, 190:231- 259, 2006.) and for my work.
  • 47. Isle of Wight Bat Group Here’s one made earlier… • This example shows: • The form the habitat response probability distributions take • How these probability distributions are ranked • How the probability distributions are combined to generate the habitat suitability predictions • …and most importantly, how to test the results! Worked Example Barbastella_-_Barbastellus.html
  • 48. Isle of Wight Bat Group Application Examples • Set-back assessment • Species richness • Habitat change impact • Seasonal habitat use preferences
  • 49. Isle of Wight Bat Group Set Back Assessment: Aerial Hawkers 50% Probability
  • 50. Isle of Wight Bat Group Set Back Assessment: Edge Specialists 50% Probability
  • 51. Isle of Wight Bat Group Species Richness Example
  • 52. Isle of Wight Bat Group Habitat Change Example
  • 53. Isle of Wight Bat Group Seasonal Habitat Shift Example
  • 54. Isle of Wight Bat Group So to Recap… • Whistle-Stop tour of just one of the modern ecological methods used to inform us about the habitat preferences of bats • It demands a truly cross discipline scientific/engineering effort: – Engineered technology for ultrasound reception and high fidelity digital recording, GPS for time/geospatial tagging and computing power & engineered software to do the analysis and modelling – Nothing would be possible without innovative mathematics, and equally innovative people who can put the mathematics to practical use… – Modern ecology is not just about field work… It is system engineering in disguise!
  • 55. Isle of Wight Bat Group Question Time… • Reference sites for local information – The Isle of Wight Bat Group www.iowbatgroup.co.uk – The Isle of Wight Bat Project www.sites.google.com/site/iowbatproject/ – The Parkhurst Forest Bat Project www.sites.google.com/site/parkhurstforestbats/ – The Isle of Wight Bat Hospital www.iowbathospital.org.uk/ • UK Bats – www.bats.org.uk
  • 56. Isle of Wight Bat Group Many thanks to the following people for the kind use of their images and footage: Kay Bott Patty Briggs Mike Castle Hugh Clark Bob Cornes Anita Glover © All images and footage are copyright of the individual photographer and the Bat Conservation Trust. None of the images can be reproduced, distributed or edited without the prior consent of the Bat Conservation Trust. Daniel Hargreaves Austin Hopkirk Roger Jones Shirley Thompson Anne Youngman

Editor's Notes

  1. Introduce yourself and your bat group. Aim of this talk is to give an overview of bats - how they live and what are the threats facing bats in the UK.
  2. In the UK, we have 17 species of bats breeding in the UK (and one extra species, greater mouse-eared represented by a solitary male) That makes up one third of all our mammal species in the British Isles.   In the photo: Noctule – one of the largest bat in Britain. Weighs about 2 x £1 coins. Pipistrelle – commonest bat in Britain. Baby bat can fit into a small matchbox and weighs approx. 2 x 1p coins
  3. Thank the audience for listening to the talk. Check to see if anyone has any questions.