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IOSR Journal of Economics and Finance (IOSR-JEF)
e-ISSN: 2321-5933, p-ISSN: 2321-5925.Volume 6, Issue 4. Ver. III (Jul. - Aug. 2015), PP 44-49
www.iosrjournals.org
DOI: 10.9790/5933-06434449 www.iosrjournals.org 44 | Page
Domestic Vs International Remittance flow: Economic Analysis of
the Value of Remittance Transfer from Bangladeshi Migrants
Fahmida Saadia Rahman1
, Estiaque Bari2
, Takrima Sayeda3
1
Lecturer, Department of Economics and Social Sciences, BRAC University, Bangladesh
2
Research Associate, Asian Center for Development, Bangladesh
3
Lecturer, Department of Tourism and Hospitality Management, University of Dhaka, Bangladesh
Abstract : International migration from Bangladesh has become a defining characteristic of the country and is
considered to be an important livelihood earning strategy for the people. Especially since 1980s, large
scale labour migration has become a common phenomenon of Bangladesh. This paper has examined the
financial benefit receipt between the domestic and the international migration. Financial benefit is measured in
terms of the value of remittance transfer from the migrants. An ordinary least square (OLS) model is used to
estimate the objectives of the study. For this purpose secondary dataset has been used from the Household
Income Expenditure Survey (HIES 2010) from Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS). Two types of migration
have been considered in the paper – domestic and International migration. The affiliated cost of holding a
passport, completion of visa procedure, transportation, and accommodation distinguishes international
migration from domestic migration. There has been significant transfer of domestic remittance from urban to
rural/sub-urban areas of Bangladesh but nevertheless the term remittance popularly known as value (both in
cash and kind) transferred from abroad. The paper suggests households receive significantly high remittance
from international migrants than domestic migrants. Hence the rational instinct of a human being is to migrate
himself internationally. Besides, migrants with higher level of education send more remittance to households
regardless of domestic or international migration.
Key Words: Domestic, International, Migration, Remittance, Value Transfer
I. Introduction
Bangladesh is currently enjoying the demographic dividend and United Nations data suggests the
increasing trend will continue at least up to year 2030.It allows Bangladesh to supply significant share of
manpower in global market. It is one of the major labour- exporting countries in the world (Farid et al., 2009).
About eight million international migrants have sent remittance to Bangladesh in June 2015(Bangladesh Bank,
2015). Albeit, international migration of workers in last decade increased on average over 4 percent, Bangladesh
has experienced high domestic and international human migration since late 1980’s (Bangladesh Bank).Human
migration by definition is the movement of people from one place to another for purposes of permanent or
temporary residence and/or employment (Miah et al., 2014). Each year a large number people voluntarily
migrate from rural to urban areas as well as overseas for both long- and short-term employment. The world
economic recession in 1970s’ due to the increase in oil price opened up a vast scope for Bangladeshi migrants in
the Middle East which was later on expanded to the newly industrialized countries of South East Asia (Siddiqui,
2003). Labour migration from Bangladesh has augmented further as the government of Bangladesh is promoting
international labour migration as part of an overall development plan since 1976 (Refugee and Migratory
Movement Research Unit, 2007). Moreover, the country became major source country of migrant workers
during the 1980s (Mannan, 2001). Nowadays, as time passes, the international migration has become an
essential part of the economic, social and political substance of the country. Meanwhile the trend of inter
migration from rural to urban areas has also been increased mentionable due to multidimensional reasons like
land erosion, natural calamities, desire for future prosperous life etc.
However, migration has long been an important livelihood strategy especially for the migrant
people of developing and least developed countries (Siddiqui, 2003). Remittances flow is one of most
visible attributes of migration. Remittance is the transfer share of earning by the migrants. Overseas migration
not only produces large inflows of valuable remittances but also offers an outlet for frustrated
unemployed workers. It is also important in order to reduce unemployment at home and accumulate valuable
foreign exchange to stimulate economic growth (Hadi, 1999).Remittance is a steadily growing external financial
source for developing countries. It also plays a crucial role in alleviating the foreign exchange constraints
and supporting the balance of payments, enabling imports of capital goods and materials for industrial
development. It is a more stable and less volatile source of external finance when compared to the other forms
of flows like as official development assistance and foreign direct investment (Ratha, 2007). In between 1979 to
2008, remittance inflows to Bangladesh have increased at an average annual rate of 19 percent (Hussain
Domestic Vs International Remittance flow: Economic Analysis of the Value of Remittance Transfer…
DOI: 10.9790/5933-06434449 www.iosrjournals.org 45 | Page
and Naeem, 2009). Bangladesh become one of the top 10 remittance-recipient countries in the world, after
India, China, Mexico, Philippines, Poland, Nigeria, Egypt and Romania (Ratha et al., 2008).
People usually migrate from their native place to other areas within or outside the country for
extracting the surplus economic opportunities. People will only migrate if and only if the economic return from
migration is higher than the cost of migration including the opportunity cost of migration. Thus, a migrant
should be indifferent to move within or outside the boundary of a country if he/she manages to transfer
substantial amount of remittance to the relatives at the native place. In this context, the macroeconomic
consequence of remittance flow to Bangladesh from domestic and international has significant difference but
holds subtle difference in individual level. Thus, a comparison between domestic and international remittance
flow is important to understand individual’s tendency to migrate overseas.
II. Rational And Objective Of The Study
In last decade, Bangladesh receives foreign remittance at 33.36 percent growth rate per annum
(Bangladesh Bank). The rate of registered international migration has increased by 4.66 percent per year. On the
other hand, urban population has increased to 30% in 2015, which was 26% and 24% in year 2005 and 2000
respectively (Worldmeter). Albeit, the determinants of domestic and international migration does not mimic but
driven by the rationale expectation of higher economic return from respective status quo. This two dissipate set
of statistics reveal both domestic and international migration has increased over time. There has been significant
transfer of domestic remittance from urban to rural/sub-urban areas of Bangladesh but nevertheless the term
remittance popularly known as value (both in cash and kind) transferred from abroad. Prevalence of such
prevaricate conceptualization of remittance therefore suggests significant distinction of value transfer in
between domestic and foreign remittance. The affiliated cost of holding a passport, completion of visa
procedure, transportation, and accommodation distinguishes international migration from domestic migration.
People who willingly migrate within domestic market (versus migration due to land erosion) anticipate
infinitesimal cost compare to international migrants. Thus, each year the marginal value of remittance transfer
must be significantly high to attain positive economic return till the period they finally decide to return home or
plan to stay permanently. In this context, the paper has attempted to examine-
1. Whether the marginal value on remittance transfer from international migration compared to domestic
migration yields statistically significant difference.
2. Furthermore, the effect of the marginal contribution of education with each additional years of schooling on
the total value of remittance transfers regardless the nature1
of migration.
III. Literature Review
Many valuable studies have been taken on remittance inflows in Bangladesh. Substantive numbers of
studies have attempted to study the impact of remittance on poverty and income level in Bangladesh. There
prevails relatively large debate regarding the impact of remittances in the home country of migrant
workers, though most of the studies have captured the correlation between remittances and growth, but have
not established significant causation. There are various studies that claim that remittances promote growth
through smoothing the investment constraint as it act as a substitute for in-efficient or non-existent credit
markets (Giuliano et al., 2005).
Barua et al (2007) found the macroeconomic determinants of remittance in Bangladesh by using a
balanced panel dataset of bilateral remittance flows from 10 major countries (of Bangladeshi migrants’) to
Bangladesh during 1993-2005. The results of the study show that income differential between host and home
country is positively correlated while inflation differential is negatively correlated. The devaluation of domestic
currency appears to be positively correlated with the inflow of remittances respectively in Bangladesh. Hasan
(2008) has examined the macroeconomic determinants of remittances in Bangladesh and found that if the
domestic interest rate goes up by 1 percent, on average, remittance will increase by 1.94 percent and if GDP of
the five host countries increases by 1 percent, remittance will increase by 3.06 percent. Miah et al (2014) has
investigated the natures and trends of migration and remittance flows of Bangladesh in the last 10 years
considering fiscal year 2001-2002 to fiscal year 2012-2013.
Mahmud (2003) as well as Siddique (2004) claims that remittances has foster growth in Bangladesh.
Paul and Das (2011) find a long-run positive relationship between remittances and GDP, but that there is
no evidence on remittance-led growth in the short run. On the other hand, Rahman et al. (2006) and
Rahman (2009) concludes that remittance seems to have insignificant and ambiguous effects on Bangladesh’s
GDP. Ahmed (2010) argued that flow of remittances to Bangladesh have been statistically significant but
1
Domestic or international migration
Domestic Vs International Remittance flow: Economic Analysis of the Value of Remittance Transfer…
DOI: 10.9790/5933-06434449 www.iosrjournals.org 46 | Page
have a negative impact on growth. Siddique, Selvanathan and Selvanathan (2010) also postulated that growth in
remittances does not lead to economic growth in Bangladesh.
IV. Methodology
In order to examine the objectives of this study, an econometric model has been built where value of
remittance transfer (VRT) is considered as the dependent variable. A secondary dataset has been used that
encloses required variables to estimate the model. The source of data is Household Income Expenditure Survey
(HIES 2010) from Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS). In order to estimate the regression analysis of the
study Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method has been followed. The model on value of remittance transfer is as
below:
VRT = A + α1 𝐑 𝐃𝟏 + α2 𝐑 𝐃𝟐 + α3MM + α4MM2
+ α5PM + α6Age + α7Age2
+ α8Gender + α9Education +
α10 𝐎 𝐃𝟏 + α11 𝐎 𝐃𝟐 + ε ……………………………………………. (1)
Where; VRT = value of remittance transfer, RD0 = own family members (base), RD1 = members of in-
laws house, RD2 = other relatives, OD0 = unskilled (base), OD1 = semi-skilled, OD2 = skilled, MM = month of
migration (dummy), PM = place of migration (dummy), α1 to α11 = coefficients of associated variables,
ε = disturbance term, A = intercept.
V. Discussion and Findings
Undoubtedly international migration is more costly and hazardous than domestic migration. There is no
issue of passport or visa in case of domestic migration. The costs for voluntary domestic migration are
transportation cost from one city/town to another one and the cost of new accommodation in the new city/town.
On the other hand, international migration consists of various types of costs like passport and visa processing
cost, transportation cost (flight fare), accommodation cost in abroad etc. In spite of high migration cost the rate
of international migration is higher by a substantive amount than that of domestic migration. Fig.1 shows that
the HIES2010 survey data captured double the number of international migrants (65 percent) than domestic
migrants (35 percent).
Figure 1: Percentage distribution of migrant populace2
Table 1 shows the average value of remittance transfer by both domestic and international migrants.
Cash and kind both source of remittance have been considered in the transfer value. On an average, BDT 128
thousand worth value of remittance transfer inflow in Bangladesh economy per annum that consists of average
124 thousand worth of cash and 8 thousand worth of kind remittance. Besides, average domestic remittance
flow is 37.5 thousand where cash transfer is 34 thousand and kind transfer is 3.3 thousand. It implies, on average
international migrants transfer 244 percent higher remittance to their households compare to the domestic
migrants.
Table 1| Average value of remittance in cash and kind by migration nature
Nature of Migration
Nature of
remittance
Number of
migrants
Mean Std. Dev
Domestic
Cash 728 34,096 1,78,092
Kind 728 3,370 15,751
International
Cash 1372 1,24,088 2,01,347
Kind 1372 8,186 17,883
Source: HIES, 2010
2
HIES, 2010
Domestic Vs International Remittance flow: Economic Analysis of the Value of Remittance Transfer…
DOI: 10.9790/5933-06434449 www.iosrjournals.org 47 | Page
Table 2 describes the amount of remittance transferred by the migrants according to their skill level. In
case of domestic migration, the skilled migrants transfer the highest amount of remittance (BDT 61,899 per
year) and the unskilled migrants contribute the second highest amount (BDT 33,472 per year) in this purpose.
The semi-skilled migrants transfer the lowest amount (BDT 28,128 per year) of remittance among the three
types of migrants. The feature regarding the amount of remittance transfer from international migration is
showing subtle difference than domestic migrants. On average, semi-skilled migrants are transferring the highest
share (BDT 1, 70,655 per year) of remittance while skill and unskilled overseas migrants are sending BDT 1,
24,424 and BDT 1.23,707 per year respectively.
Table 1| Value of remittance transfer based on the skill level of migrants
Type of
migrants
Domestic Migration International Migration Ratio Percent
Migrant
Value of
remittance
per capita
remittance
inflow (a)
Migrant
Value of
remittance
per capita
remittance
inflow (b)
(b/a) (b-a)/a
Skilled 139 61898.56 445.31 161 124423.9 772.82 1.73545 74%
Semi-skilled 190 28128.16 325.78 248 170654.8 688.12 2.112224 111%
Unskilled 398 33472.25 84.10 962 123707.1 128.59 1.529036 53%
Source: Estimated by the authors from HIES Dataset, 2010
In addition, Table 2 shows that the per capita remittance transfer from international migrants is higher
from domestic migrants at each homogenous skill group. The skilled international migrants transfer 74 percent
higher amount or remittance than their domestic counterpart. Similarly semi-skilled and unskilled international
migrants transfer 111 percent and 53 percent more remittance respectively over the domestic semi-skilled and
unskilled migrants respectively. It perhaps is revealing that the scope of work for semi-skilled overseas
Bangladeshi migrant allows them to transfer double the value of remittance than the unskilled migrants. Per
capita international remittance inflow by skilled migrants to the domestic economy is six times higher than the
unskilled migrants and the semi-skilled transfer five times higher than the unskilled migrants. In contrast, per
capita domestic remittance transfer by skilled and semi-skilled migrants is more than fivefold and fourfold
higher respectively relative to the unskilled domestic migrants.
Table 3 shows the regression analysis of the generated model. Based on that analysis the estimated model is:
VRT = – 39265.08 – 29845.93 (members of in-laws house) – 39880.24 (other relatives) + 103.91 (month of
migration) – 1.76 (MM square) + 89210 (place of migration) + 1618.72 (age) + 4.91 (age square) + 838.95
(gender) + 2692.11 (education) + 9678.78 (semi-skilled migrants) + 5294.59 (skilled
migrants)……………………... (2)
Table 2| Regression Analysis of Estimated Model
Dependent Variable: Value of remittance transfer
Coefficient Robust Standard Error T-statistics Probability
𝐑 𝐃𝟏(Base: 𝐑 𝐃𝟎)
(relation with HH head dummy)
-29845.93 9847.64 3.03 0.002**
𝐑 𝐃𝟐(Base: 𝐑 𝐃𝟎) -39880.24 21126.99 -1.89 0.059
MM (month of migration) 103.91 199.47 0.52 0.602
MM^2 (MM square) -1.76 1.6579 -1.06 0.290
PM (place of migration dummy) 89210 5640.74 15.82 0.000**
Age 1618.72 1668.36 0.97 0.332
Age^2 4.91 24.80 0.20 0.843
Gender (dummy) 838.95 14652.62 0.06 0.954
Education 2692.11 940.32 2.86 0.004**
𝐎 𝐃𝟏(Base: 𝐎 𝐃𝟎)
(Occupational ‘skill’ dummy)
9678.78 8506.58 1.14 0.255
𝐎 𝐃𝟐(Base: 𝐎 𝐃𝟎) 5294.59 9024.42 0.59 0.557
Constant -39265.08 29287.09 -1.34 0.180
Number of observation 2094 R-square 0.116
Mean VIF 7.61 Probability (F-statistics) 0.000**
White’s test (HSK) 0.97 Ramsey Reset Test 0.092
Mean (Dependent Variable) 99407.64 Standard Deviation (Dep. Variable) 180385
P-value: 1% (**) & 5% (*) Significant level
A rationale migrant send remittance to his own family members or members from in-laws house or to
any relative in the native place. The intensity of relationship between the migrant and recipient determines the
value of transfer. Results from the estimated model in
Domestic Vs International Remittance flow: Economic Analysis of the Value of Remittance Transfer…
DOI: 10.9790/5933-06434449 www.iosrjournals.org 48 | Page
Table 3 shows the regression analysis of the generated model. Based on that analysis the estimated
model is:
VRT = – 39265.08 – 29845.93 (members of in-laws house) – 39880.24 (other relatives) + 103.91 (month of
migration) – 1.76 (MM square) + 89210 (place of migration) + 1618.72 (age) + 4.91 (age square) + 838.95
(gender) + 2692.11 (education) + 9678.78 (semi-skilled migrants) + 5294.59 (skilled
migrants)……………………... (2)
Table 2 suggests that migrants transfer of remittance to the members of in-laws an amount of BDT
29,845 less compared to the members of their own family and this result has been statistically significant at one
percent level of significance. Remittance flow to other relatives is almost BDT 40,000 less compared to the
members of own family by the migrants but it is not statistically significant. Although, the result is not
statistically significant, the model reveals the transfer of remittance diminishes by migrants with the longer
period of migration. The model further illustrates, international migrants’ transfer more than BDT 89, 200 worth
of remittance per annum compared to domestic migrants and this result is statistically significant at 1 percent
level of significance. It reveals the substantive marginal value of remittance transfer that shapes the natural
inclination by an individual for international migration. Migrants with each additional years of schooling
increase the value of remittance transferred by BDT 2690 to the native place and the analysis also proves this
result as statistically significant at 1 percent level of significance. In addition, there is no statistically
significance about the relationship between the transfer of remittance and migrants’ age, gender and occupation
respectively.
VI. Conclusion
Migration plays a vital role in the national economy mainly in two major ways; firstly it reduces
unemployment and secondly migration results in remittance flows for the country. The migration has shown
steady growth over the year that is favourable to the development of Bangladesh; as inflow of remittance has
increased every year. According to Bangladesh bank data, the remittance inflow in May 2015 is about BDT
102.83 billion. The study is successful to establish its stated objectives that value of remittance transfer by
international migrants are statistically significant then domestic migrants, and with each year of extra schooling
the rate of remittance transfer increased regardless of the place of migration by migrants. Although, the cost of
international migration is substantially high compared to the domestic migration, the information of greater
income opportunities that enables them to transfer significantly greater amount of remittance are revealed to the
international migrants. Hence the rational instinct of a human being is to migrate himself internationally.
According to Bureau of Manpower, Employment and Training (BMET), presently about 7.5million Bangladeshi
migrants are working all over the world. Yearly migration from Bangladesh is about 0.3-0.4million. In the years
of 2010, the migration from Bangladesh was 3, 90,702. Bangladeshi workers are mainly engaged in 143
countries of the world but about 90% of the migration takes place in the Middle East and Malaysia. Libya,
Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, Oman, Malaysia and Singapore are some of the major countries of
destination.
References
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Journal of Bangladesh Agricultural University, 7(2), 2009, 387-394.
[2]. M. Miah, M.A.B.M Khan, M. Rahman, Recent Trends of International Migration and Remittance Flows: An Empirical Evidence of
Bangladesh,IOSR Journal of Economics and Finance (IOSR-JEF), 2(5), 2014, 16-23.
[3]. M.A.Mannan, Bangladeshi Migrants in Saudi Labour Market: An Empirical Analysis, RMMRU, Dhaka, 2001.
[4]. T. Siddiqui. Migration as a Livelihood Strategy of the Poor: The Bangladesh case, Proc. DFID-RMMRU Regional Conference on
Migration, Development and Pro-poor Policy Choices in Asia, Dhaka, 22-24 June, 2003.
[5]. A. Hadi, Overseas Migration and the Well-being of Those Left Behind in Rural Communities of Bangladesh,Asia-Pacific
Population Journal, 14(1), 1999, 43-58.
[6]. D. Ratha, Leveraging Remittances for Development, Policy Brief. Migration Policy Institute. Washington D.C, June 2007.
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[13]. T. Siddiqui, International Labour Migration from Bangladesh: A descent work perspective. Working Paper No.66, Policy Integration
Department, National Policy Group, International Labour Office, Geneva, 2005.
[14]. B.P. Paul, A. Das, The Remittance-GDP Relationship in the Liberalized Regime of Bangladesh: Cointegration and Innovation
Accounting, Theoretical and Applied Economics,18(9), 41-60.
[15]. M. Rahman, M. Mustafa, A. Islan, K. K. Guru-Gharana, Growth and Employment Empirics of Bangladesh. Journal of Developing
Areas, 2006, 99-114.
[16]. M. Rahman, Contribution of Exports, FDI, and Expatriates’ Remittances to Real GDP of Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and Sri Lanka,
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[17]. A. Siddique, E.A. Selvanathan, S. Selvanatha, Remittances and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Bangladesh, India and Sri
Lanka,The University of Western Australia, Economics Department, Crawley, Australia, Discussion Paper, (August).2010, 10-27.
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Domestic Vs International Remittance flow: Economic Analysis of the Value of Remittance Transfer from Bangladeshi Migrants

  • 1. IOSR Journal of Economics and Finance (IOSR-JEF) e-ISSN: 2321-5933, p-ISSN: 2321-5925.Volume 6, Issue 4. Ver. III (Jul. - Aug. 2015), PP 44-49 www.iosrjournals.org DOI: 10.9790/5933-06434449 www.iosrjournals.org 44 | Page Domestic Vs International Remittance flow: Economic Analysis of the Value of Remittance Transfer from Bangladeshi Migrants Fahmida Saadia Rahman1 , Estiaque Bari2 , Takrima Sayeda3 1 Lecturer, Department of Economics and Social Sciences, BRAC University, Bangladesh 2 Research Associate, Asian Center for Development, Bangladesh 3 Lecturer, Department of Tourism and Hospitality Management, University of Dhaka, Bangladesh Abstract : International migration from Bangladesh has become a defining characteristic of the country and is considered to be an important livelihood earning strategy for the people. Especially since 1980s, large scale labour migration has become a common phenomenon of Bangladesh. This paper has examined the financial benefit receipt between the domestic and the international migration. Financial benefit is measured in terms of the value of remittance transfer from the migrants. An ordinary least square (OLS) model is used to estimate the objectives of the study. For this purpose secondary dataset has been used from the Household Income Expenditure Survey (HIES 2010) from Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS). Two types of migration have been considered in the paper – domestic and International migration. The affiliated cost of holding a passport, completion of visa procedure, transportation, and accommodation distinguishes international migration from domestic migration. There has been significant transfer of domestic remittance from urban to rural/sub-urban areas of Bangladesh but nevertheless the term remittance popularly known as value (both in cash and kind) transferred from abroad. The paper suggests households receive significantly high remittance from international migrants than domestic migrants. Hence the rational instinct of a human being is to migrate himself internationally. Besides, migrants with higher level of education send more remittance to households regardless of domestic or international migration. Key Words: Domestic, International, Migration, Remittance, Value Transfer I. Introduction Bangladesh is currently enjoying the demographic dividend and United Nations data suggests the increasing trend will continue at least up to year 2030.It allows Bangladesh to supply significant share of manpower in global market. It is one of the major labour- exporting countries in the world (Farid et al., 2009). About eight million international migrants have sent remittance to Bangladesh in June 2015(Bangladesh Bank, 2015). Albeit, international migration of workers in last decade increased on average over 4 percent, Bangladesh has experienced high domestic and international human migration since late 1980’s (Bangladesh Bank).Human migration by definition is the movement of people from one place to another for purposes of permanent or temporary residence and/or employment (Miah et al., 2014). Each year a large number people voluntarily migrate from rural to urban areas as well as overseas for both long- and short-term employment. The world economic recession in 1970s’ due to the increase in oil price opened up a vast scope for Bangladeshi migrants in the Middle East which was later on expanded to the newly industrialized countries of South East Asia (Siddiqui, 2003). Labour migration from Bangladesh has augmented further as the government of Bangladesh is promoting international labour migration as part of an overall development plan since 1976 (Refugee and Migratory Movement Research Unit, 2007). Moreover, the country became major source country of migrant workers during the 1980s (Mannan, 2001). Nowadays, as time passes, the international migration has become an essential part of the economic, social and political substance of the country. Meanwhile the trend of inter migration from rural to urban areas has also been increased mentionable due to multidimensional reasons like land erosion, natural calamities, desire for future prosperous life etc. However, migration has long been an important livelihood strategy especially for the migrant people of developing and least developed countries (Siddiqui, 2003). Remittances flow is one of most visible attributes of migration. Remittance is the transfer share of earning by the migrants. Overseas migration not only produces large inflows of valuable remittances but also offers an outlet for frustrated unemployed workers. It is also important in order to reduce unemployment at home and accumulate valuable foreign exchange to stimulate economic growth (Hadi, 1999).Remittance is a steadily growing external financial source for developing countries. It also plays a crucial role in alleviating the foreign exchange constraints and supporting the balance of payments, enabling imports of capital goods and materials for industrial development. It is a more stable and less volatile source of external finance when compared to the other forms of flows like as official development assistance and foreign direct investment (Ratha, 2007). In between 1979 to 2008, remittance inflows to Bangladesh have increased at an average annual rate of 19 percent (Hussain
  • 2. Domestic Vs International Remittance flow: Economic Analysis of the Value of Remittance Transfer… DOI: 10.9790/5933-06434449 www.iosrjournals.org 45 | Page and Naeem, 2009). Bangladesh become one of the top 10 remittance-recipient countries in the world, after India, China, Mexico, Philippines, Poland, Nigeria, Egypt and Romania (Ratha et al., 2008). People usually migrate from their native place to other areas within or outside the country for extracting the surplus economic opportunities. People will only migrate if and only if the economic return from migration is higher than the cost of migration including the opportunity cost of migration. Thus, a migrant should be indifferent to move within or outside the boundary of a country if he/she manages to transfer substantial amount of remittance to the relatives at the native place. In this context, the macroeconomic consequence of remittance flow to Bangladesh from domestic and international has significant difference but holds subtle difference in individual level. Thus, a comparison between domestic and international remittance flow is important to understand individual’s tendency to migrate overseas. II. Rational And Objective Of The Study In last decade, Bangladesh receives foreign remittance at 33.36 percent growth rate per annum (Bangladesh Bank). The rate of registered international migration has increased by 4.66 percent per year. On the other hand, urban population has increased to 30% in 2015, which was 26% and 24% in year 2005 and 2000 respectively (Worldmeter). Albeit, the determinants of domestic and international migration does not mimic but driven by the rationale expectation of higher economic return from respective status quo. This two dissipate set of statistics reveal both domestic and international migration has increased over time. There has been significant transfer of domestic remittance from urban to rural/sub-urban areas of Bangladesh but nevertheless the term remittance popularly known as value (both in cash and kind) transferred from abroad. Prevalence of such prevaricate conceptualization of remittance therefore suggests significant distinction of value transfer in between domestic and foreign remittance. The affiliated cost of holding a passport, completion of visa procedure, transportation, and accommodation distinguishes international migration from domestic migration. People who willingly migrate within domestic market (versus migration due to land erosion) anticipate infinitesimal cost compare to international migrants. Thus, each year the marginal value of remittance transfer must be significantly high to attain positive economic return till the period they finally decide to return home or plan to stay permanently. In this context, the paper has attempted to examine- 1. Whether the marginal value on remittance transfer from international migration compared to domestic migration yields statistically significant difference. 2. Furthermore, the effect of the marginal contribution of education with each additional years of schooling on the total value of remittance transfers regardless the nature1 of migration. III. Literature Review Many valuable studies have been taken on remittance inflows in Bangladesh. Substantive numbers of studies have attempted to study the impact of remittance on poverty and income level in Bangladesh. There prevails relatively large debate regarding the impact of remittances in the home country of migrant workers, though most of the studies have captured the correlation between remittances and growth, but have not established significant causation. There are various studies that claim that remittances promote growth through smoothing the investment constraint as it act as a substitute for in-efficient or non-existent credit markets (Giuliano et al., 2005). Barua et al (2007) found the macroeconomic determinants of remittance in Bangladesh by using a balanced panel dataset of bilateral remittance flows from 10 major countries (of Bangladeshi migrants’) to Bangladesh during 1993-2005. The results of the study show that income differential between host and home country is positively correlated while inflation differential is negatively correlated. The devaluation of domestic currency appears to be positively correlated with the inflow of remittances respectively in Bangladesh. Hasan (2008) has examined the macroeconomic determinants of remittances in Bangladesh and found that if the domestic interest rate goes up by 1 percent, on average, remittance will increase by 1.94 percent and if GDP of the five host countries increases by 1 percent, remittance will increase by 3.06 percent. Miah et al (2014) has investigated the natures and trends of migration and remittance flows of Bangladesh in the last 10 years considering fiscal year 2001-2002 to fiscal year 2012-2013. Mahmud (2003) as well as Siddique (2004) claims that remittances has foster growth in Bangladesh. Paul and Das (2011) find a long-run positive relationship between remittances and GDP, but that there is no evidence on remittance-led growth in the short run. On the other hand, Rahman et al. (2006) and Rahman (2009) concludes that remittance seems to have insignificant and ambiguous effects on Bangladesh’s GDP. Ahmed (2010) argued that flow of remittances to Bangladesh have been statistically significant but 1 Domestic or international migration
  • 3. Domestic Vs International Remittance flow: Economic Analysis of the Value of Remittance Transfer… DOI: 10.9790/5933-06434449 www.iosrjournals.org 46 | Page have a negative impact on growth. Siddique, Selvanathan and Selvanathan (2010) also postulated that growth in remittances does not lead to economic growth in Bangladesh. IV. Methodology In order to examine the objectives of this study, an econometric model has been built where value of remittance transfer (VRT) is considered as the dependent variable. A secondary dataset has been used that encloses required variables to estimate the model. The source of data is Household Income Expenditure Survey (HIES 2010) from Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS). In order to estimate the regression analysis of the study Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method has been followed. The model on value of remittance transfer is as below: VRT = A + α1 𝐑 𝐃𝟏 + α2 𝐑 𝐃𝟐 + α3MM + α4MM2 + α5PM + α6Age + α7Age2 + α8Gender + α9Education + α10 𝐎 𝐃𝟏 + α11 𝐎 𝐃𝟐 + ε ……………………………………………. (1) Where; VRT = value of remittance transfer, RD0 = own family members (base), RD1 = members of in- laws house, RD2 = other relatives, OD0 = unskilled (base), OD1 = semi-skilled, OD2 = skilled, MM = month of migration (dummy), PM = place of migration (dummy), α1 to α11 = coefficients of associated variables, ε = disturbance term, A = intercept. V. Discussion and Findings Undoubtedly international migration is more costly and hazardous than domestic migration. There is no issue of passport or visa in case of domestic migration. The costs for voluntary domestic migration are transportation cost from one city/town to another one and the cost of new accommodation in the new city/town. On the other hand, international migration consists of various types of costs like passport and visa processing cost, transportation cost (flight fare), accommodation cost in abroad etc. In spite of high migration cost the rate of international migration is higher by a substantive amount than that of domestic migration. Fig.1 shows that the HIES2010 survey data captured double the number of international migrants (65 percent) than domestic migrants (35 percent). Figure 1: Percentage distribution of migrant populace2 Table 1 shows the average value of remittance transfer by both domestic and international migrants. Cash and kind both source of remittance have been considered in the transfer value. On an average, BDT 128 thousand worth value of remittance transfer inflow in Bangladesh economy per annum that consists of average 124 thousand worth of cash and 8 thousand worth of kind remittance. Besides, average domestic remittance flow is 37.5 thousand where cash transfer is 34 thousand and kind transfer is 3.3 thousand. It implies, on average international migrants transfer 244 percent higher remittance to their households compare to the domestic migrants. Table 1| Average value of remittance in cash and kind by migration nature Nature of Migration Nature of remittance Number of migrants Mean Std. Dev Domestic Cash 728 34,096 1,78,092 Kind 728 3,370 15,751 International Cash 1372 1,24,088 2,01,347 Kind 1372 8,186 17,883 Source: HIES, 2010 2 HIES, 2010
  • 4. Domestic Vs International Remittance flow: Economic Analysis of the Value of Remittance Transfer… DOI: 10.9790/5933-06434449 www.iosrjournals.org 47 | Page Table 2 describes the amount of remittance transferred by the migrants according to their skill level. In case of domestic migration, the skilled migrants transfer the highest amount of remittance (BDT 61,899 per year) and the unskilled migrants contribute the second highest amount (BDT 33,472 per year) in this purpose. The semi-skilled migrants transfer the lowest amount (BDT 28,128 per year) of remittance among the three types of migrants. The feature regarding the amount of remittance transfer from international migration is showing subtle difference than domestic migrants. On average, semi-skilled migrants are transferring the highest share (BDT 1, 70,655 per year) of remittance while skill and unskilled overseas migrants are sending BDT 1, 24,424 and BDT 1.23,707 per year respectively. Table 1| Value of remittance transfer based on the skill level of migrants Type of migrants Domestic Migration International Migration Ratio Percent Migrant Value of remittance per capita remittance inflow (a) Migrant Value of remittance per capita remittance inflow (b) (b/a) (b-a)/a Skilled 139 61898.56 445.31 161 124423.9 772.82 1.73545 74% Semi-skilled 190 28128.16 325.78 248 170654.8 688.12 2.112224 111% Unskilled 398 33472.25 84.10 962 123707.1 128.59 1.529036 53% Source: Estimated by the authors from HIES Dataset, 2010 In addition, Table 2 shows that the per capita remittance transfer from international migrants is higher from domestic migrants at each homogenous skill group. The skilled international migrants transfer 74 percent higher amount or remittance than their domestic counterpart. Similarly semi-skilled and unskilled international migrants transfer 111 percent and 53 percent more remittance respectively over the domestic semi-skilled and unskilled migrants respectively. It perhaps is revealing that the scope of work for semi-skilled overseas Bangladeshi migrant allows them to transfer double the value of remittance than the unskilled migrants. Per capita international remittance inflow by skilled migrants to the domestic economy is six times higher than the unskilled migrants and the semi-skilled transfer five times higher than the unskilled migrants. In contrast, per capita domestic remittance transfer by skilled and semi-skilled migrants is more than fivefold and fourfold higher respectively relative to the unskilled domestic migrants. Table 3 shows the regression analysis of the generated model. Based on that analysis the estimated model is: VRT = – 39265.08 – 29845.93 (members of in-laws house) – 39880.24 (other relatives) + 103.91 (month of migration) – 1.76 (MM square) + 89210 (place of migration) + 1618.72 (age) + 4.91 (age square) + 838.95 (gender) + 2692.11 (education) + 9678.78 (semi-skilled migrants) + 5294.59 (skilled migrants)……………………... (2) Table 2| Regression Analysis of Estimated Model Dependent Variable: Value of remittance transfer Coefficient Robust Standard Error T-statistics Probability 𝐑 𝐃𝟏(Base: 𝐑 𝐃𝟎) (relation with HH head dummy) -29845.93 9847.64 3.03 0.002** 𝐑 𝐃𝟐(Base: 𝐑 𝐃𝟎) -39880.24 21126.99 -1.89 0.059 MM (month of migration) 103.91 199.47 0.52 0.602 MM^2 (MM square) -1.76 1.6579 -1.06 0.290 PM (place of migration dummy) 89210 5640.74 15.82 0.000** Age 1618.72 1668.36 0.97 0.332 Age^2 4.91 24.80 0.20 0.843 Gender (dummy) 838.95 14652.62 0.06 0.954 Education 2692.11 940.32 2.86 0.004** 𝐎 𝐃𝟏(Base: 𝐎 𝐃𝟎) (Occupational ‘skill’ dummy) 9678.78 8506.58 1.14 0.255 𝐎 𝐃𝟐(Base: 𝐎 𝐃𝟎) 5294.59 9024.42 0.59 0.557 Constant -39265.08 29287.09 -1.34 0.180 Number of observation 2094 R-square 0.116 Mean VIF 7.61 Probability (F-statistics) 0.000** White’s test (HSK) 0.97 Ramsey Reset Test 0.092 Mean (Dependent Variable) 99407.64 Standard Deviation (Dep. Variable) 180385 P-value: 1% (**) & 5% (*) Significant level A rationale migrant send remittance to his own family members or members from in-laws house or to any relative in the native place. The intensity of relationship between the migrant and recipient determines the value of transfer. Results from the estimated model in
  • 5. Domestic Vs International Remittance flow: Economic Analysis of the Value of Remittance Transfer… DOI: 10.9790/5933-06434449 www.iosrjournals.org 48 | Page Table 3 shows the regression analysis of the generated model. Based on that analysis the estimated model is: VRT = – 39265.08 – 29845.93 (members of in-laws house) – 39880.24 (other relatives) + 103.91 (month of migration) – 1.76 (MM square) + 89210 (place of migration) + 1618.72 (age) + 4.91 (age square) + 838.95 (gender) + 2692.11 (education) + 9678.78 (semi-skilled migrants) + 5294.59 (skilled migrants)……………………... (2) Table 2 suggests that migrants transfer of remittance to the members of in-laws an amount of BDT 29,845 less compared to the members of their own family and this result has been statistically significant at one percent level of significance. Remittance flow to other relatives is almost BDT 40,000 less compared to the members of own family by the migrants but it is not statistically significant. Although, the result is not statistically significant, the model reveals the transfer of remittance diminishes by migrants with the longer period of migration. The model further illustrates, international migrants’ transfer more than BDT 89, 200 worth of remittance per annum compared to domestic migrants and this result is statistically significant at 1 percent level of significance. It reveals the substantive marginal value of remittance transfer that shapes the natural inclination by an individual for international migration. Migrants with each additional years of schooling increase the value of remittance transferred by BDT 2690 to the native place and the analysis also proves this result as statistically significant at 1 percent level of significance. In addition, there is no statistically significance about the relationship between the transfer of remittance and migrants’ age, gender and occupation respectively. VI. Conclusion Migration plays a vital role in the national economy mainly in two major ways; firstly it reduces unemployment and secondly migration results in remittance flows for the country. The migration has shown steady growth over the year that is favourable to the development of Bangladesh; as inflow of remittance has increased every year. According to Bangladesh bank data, the remittance inflow in May 2015 is about BDT 102.83 billion. The study is successful to establish its stated objectives that value of remittance transfer by international migrants are statistically significant then domestic migrants, and with each year of extra schooling the rate of remittance transfer increased regardless of the place of migration by migrants. Although, the cost of international migration is substantially high compared to the domestic migration, the information of greater income opportunities that enables them to transfer significantly greater amount of remittance are revealed to the international migrants. Hence the rational instinct of a human being is to migrate himself internationally. According to Bureau of Manpower, Employment and Training (BMET), presently about 7.5million Bangladeshi migrants are working all over the world. Yearly migration from Bangladesh is about 0.3-0.4million. In the years of 2010, the migration from Bangladesh was 3, 90,702. Bangladeshi workers are mainly engaged in 143 countries of the world but about 90% of the migration takes place in the Middle East and Malaysia. Libya, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, Oman, Malaysia and Singapore are some of the major countries of destination. References [1]. K.S. Farid, L. Mozumdar, M.S. Kabir, and K.B.Hossain, Trends in international migration and remittance flows: Case of Bangladesh, Journal of Bangladesh Agricultural University, 7(2), 2009, 387-394. [2]. M. Miah, M.A.B.M Khan, M. Rahman, Recent Trends of International Migration and Remittance Flows: An Empirical Evidence of Bangladesh,IOSR Journal of Economics and Finance (IOSR-JEF), 2(5), 2014, 16-23. [3]. M.A.Mannan, Bangladeshi Migrants in Saudi Labour Market: An Empirical Analysis, RMMRU, Dhaka, 2001. [4]. T. Siddiqui. Migration as a Livelihood Strategy of the Poor: The Bangladesh case, Proc. DFID-RMMRU Regional Conference on Migration, Development and Pro-poor Policy Choices in Asia, Dhaka, 22-24 June, 2003. [5]. A. Hadi, Overseas Migration and the Well-being of Those Left Behind in Rural Communities of Bangladesh,Asia-Pacific Population Journal, 14(1), 1999, 43-58. [6]. D. Ratha, Leveraging Remittances for Development, Policy Brief. Migration Policy Institute. Washington D.C, June 2007. [7]. Z.Hussain, F. Naeem, Remittances in Bangladesh: Determinants and 2010 Outlook. World Bank, Washington, Blog, July 2009. [8]. T. Siddique, Efficiency of Migrant Workers’ Remittances: The Bangladesh Case. Manila, The Philippines, Asian Development Bank, Research Paper, August 2004. [9]. P. Giuliano, M. Ruiz-Arranz, Remittances, Financial Development, and Growth,IMF Working Paper, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Washington, DC, 2005. [10]. Barua, S. Majumder, M. Alauddin and M. Akhtaruzzaman , ‘Determinants of Workers’ Remittances in Bangladesh: An Empirical Study, MPRA Paper No. 15080, Policy Analysis Unit, Bangladesh Bank, Dhaka,2007 [11]. M.M. Hasan, ‘The macroeconomic determinants of remittances in Bangladesh’ MPRA Paper No. 27744, Policy Analysis Unit, Bangladesh Bank, Dhaka,2008 [12]. W.Mahmud, Bangladesh: Development Outcomes and Challenges in the Context of Globalization,Conference paper on the Future of Globalization at Yale University, October 10-11,2003.
  • 6. Domestic Vs International Remittance flow: Economic Analysis of the Value of Remittance Transfer… DOI: 10.9790/5933-06434449 www.iosrjournals.org 49 | Page [13]. T. Siddiqui, International Labour Migration from Bangladesh: A descent work perspective. Working Paper No.66, Policy Integration Department, National Policy Group, International Labour Office, Geneva, 2005. [14]. B.P. Paul, A. Das, The Remittance-GDP Relationship in the Liberalized Regime of Bangladesh: Cointegration and Innovation Accounting, Theoretical and Applied Economics,18(9), 41-60. [15]. M. Rahman, M. Mustafa, A. Islan, K. K. Guru-Gharana, Growth and Employment Empirics of Bangladesh. Journal of Developing Areas, 2006, 99-114. [16]. M. Rahman, Contribution of Exports, FDI, and Expatriates’ Remittances to Real GDP of Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and Sri Lanka, Southwestern Economic Review, 36(1), 2009, 141-153. [17]. A. Siddique, E.A. Selvanathan, S. Selvanatha, Remittances and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Bangladesh, India and Sri Lanka,The University of Western Australia, Economics Department, Crawley, Australia, Discussion Paper, (August).2010, 10-27. [18]. D. Ratha, S. Mohapatra, ZhimeiXu, Outlook for Remittances Flows 2008-2010, Development Prospect Group, Migration and Development, Policy Brief, No.8, World Bank, Washington, DC, 2008. [19]. Ahmed, Md. Shoaib (2010). Migrant Workers Remittance and Economic Growth: Evidence from Bangladesh. ASA University Review, Vol. 4 No. 1 (January-June), pp. 1-13; available at: http://www.asaub.edu.bd/data/asaubreview/v4n1sl1.pdf.