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Does the permitting process in
France need a further overhaul?
MRE Manche 2015
Mike Blanch
Clare Davies
2/16
• Independent consultancy with expertise in technology,
implementation and economics of wind and marine energy
technologies.
• Formed in 2005. We reached our 200th customer in 2014.
• 80% of work is in offshore wind
• Currently we have a team of 14 permanent, full-time
delivery staff plus support staff and network of expert
external associates around the globe.
BVG Associates
BVG Associates
Breadth and integration
Business advisory
• Analysis and forecasting
• Strategic advice
• Business and supply chain development
Technology
• Engineering services
• Due diligence
• Strategy and R&D support
Economics
• Socioeconomics and local benefits
• Technology and project economic modelling
• Policy and local content assessment
© BVG Associates 2015
• Expertise in floating offshore wind turbines
• Owner’s engineer service
• Local content analysis - UK struggled to define – we
derived a simple but robust UK Content methodology -
common across EU?
• Good UK market links
• SME support – run scheme in Scotland for Scottish
Enterprise
• Supply chain development for technology - who can
make where?
• Experience of the UK lessons learnt
• Enabling reports. DECC supply chain plans, BIS and for
The Crown Estate supply chain gap analysis.
• LCOE modelling especially spatial ‘heat maps’
We offer
3/16© BVG Associates 2015
4/16© BVG Associates 2015
All available at www.bvgassociates.co.uk
5/16© BVG Associates 2015
6/16
Introduction
• Four main steps on the project timeline (although different countries do it in different orders)
• Site award – agreement to lease
• Developing – assessing site and preparing to apply for permits
• Permitting – applying to install and connect to grid
• Price support – applying for price support
• Different countries have different approaches and associated risks
• We will consider country permitting to date
• UK
• Germany
• Denmark
• The Netherlands
© BVG Associates 2015
7/16
1. United Kingdom
Getting the balance: Policy drives local content, while subsidy awarded on lowest cost of energy
• Round 3 (R3) sites first scoped though a strategic
environmental assessment ‘SEA’ prepared by The
Department of Energy and Climate Change
• R3 sites then identified and leased by The Crown Estate
• Developers ‘bid’ for R3 sites and awarded development
rights (agreement to lease)
Site award
• Anything over 100MW capacity in England and Wales
goes through national permitting process ‘PINS’
• Scotland projects permitted by Marine Scotland (MS)
• PINS: ~18 months from application to decision
• MS: No statutory timescales from application to decision
• Grid connection permitting included in process
Permitting
• Developer assumes responsibility for undertaking
environmental impact assessment (EIA) and Pre-FEED
studies.
• ~5 years and the cost to application stage ~£40 to 80
million
• JV’s formed to share the risk
• R3 projects only consenting small fractions of total
potential capacity
Development
• Changing from RO (ending March 2017) to Contract for
Difference process. (FiDER subsidy early form of CfD)
• CfD is competitive bidding process with several hurdles,
e.g. increasing local content in the supply chain.
• First CfD subsidies awarded in 2015:
• East Anglia One, 714MW, £119.89 online ‘17-’18
• Neart na Gaoithe, 448MW, £114.39 online ‘18-’19
• Much more capacity being bid in
Subsidy
© BVG Associates 2015
8/16
1. United Kingdom
Recent feedback from industry…
© BVG Associates 2015
De-risking offshore wind projects through export
credit agencies and government infrastructure funds
has already had a positive effect on the cost of capital
for Continental projects. This has not yet happened in
the UK, although plans are well advanced.
Government interventions such as the Electricity
Market Reform process, the Green Investment Bank,
the Offshore Transmission Owner (OFTO) regime and
requirements on the Planning Inspectorate have all
de-risked UK projects for project developers and
investors.
The UK’s system of competitively awarding CfDs after
developers have invested heavily in consenting
projects has higher risks for developers than Danish
and Dutch systems of central development and
permitting prior to auction.
9/16
1. United Kingdom
A rare case of permitting risk not paying off
© BVG Associates 2015
Developed by EDF and EnecoNavitus Bay
• Developers awarded site in 2009
• A 50-50 Joint Venture between Eneco Wind UK Ltd
(Eneco) and EDF Energy formed 2012
• Refused planning permit consent from DECC in 2015
despite offering a 970MW and a 630 MW sub-set of the
part furthest from shore
• Primarily on visual impact to Jurassic Coastline
• Large cost to developer in site development > €80 million
• Developers may appeal…but…
• Significant timelines involved – challenge to retain
project team
• Still need to get approved supply chain plain
• And to be successful at bidding competitively for CfD
subsidy
= several hurdles each with big risk and additional costs
• Navitus Bay is only second project in UK to not be
awarded permitting. 48 wind farms have consent with 25
already operational. Success rate of application is 96%. 630MW option
10/16
2. Germany
Strict development guidelines to assess environmental impacts
• BSH (Federal Maritime and Hydrographic Agency)
identify and lease areas of seabed.
Site award
• BSH approves projects in EEZ. Cables on the seabed in
the territorial sea approved coastal state.
• Within the 12 nautical mile limit, approval by coastal
states.
• BSH and regional Waterways and Shipping Directorate
permit sites for aspects of navigational safety.
• Permits awarded for 25 years.
Permitting
• Similar to UK
• Developer assumes responsibility for undertaking
environmental impact assessment (EIA) and Pre-FEED
studies.
• Projects with more than 20 turbines need EIA based on
the UVPG (Environmental Impact Assessment Act).
Development
• Option for an initial tariff of 19.4 cent/kWh for eight years
or EUR 15.4 cent/kWh for 12 years
• Depends on water depth and distance to shore.
• The basic tariff for offshore wind energy is EUR 3.9
cent/kWh.
• Subsidy offered by EEG.
Subsidy
© BVG Associates 2015
11/16
3. Denmark
Danish Energy Agency drives process
• Danish Energy Agency (DEA) announce tenders for
projects
• Developers bid a price for the site .
• Priority access to grid given to project to sell and
transmit power in line with connections rules at that time.
• Price is the primary bidding criteria in DEA decision on
who to award sites to.
Site award
• Danish Energy Agency facilitates the necessary permits
in cooperation with all relevant authorities.
• Permits in draft form are provided as part of the tender
material – the developer knows what to expect after
being awarded the site.
Permitting
• Detailed surveys undertaken before tender is offered to
developers by national TSO, Energinet.dk and
completed in ~2 years.
• Immediately after award of site. Winning developers
given permits to do further environmental assessments.
• Energinet.dk establishes offshore grid connection
infrastructures.
• Likely to see some tier 1 suppliers also bid.
Development
• No requirements for local content in the supply chain
• A fixed settlement price (contract for difference) for
~50,000 peak load hours embedded in Danish
legislation.
Subsidy
© BVG Associates 2015
12/16
3. Denmark
Horns Rev 3 project example
© BVG Associates 2015
• Sept:
Contract
notice
published
• Nov:
Deadline for
applications
for pre-
qualification
‘13
• Sept:
Deadline for
submitting
preliminary
tender
• Dec: Final
tender
deadline
‘14 • Q1:
Concession
and
construction
permit
awarded
‘15
• Jan:
Guaranteed
grid
connection
‘16 • Dec: Wind
farm
operational
‘20
13/16
4. The Netherlands
Recent changes have increased certainty in project construction and time frame
• Award is by competitive tender on pre-permitted sites.
• Price is the criterion for award. Bank guarantees are
required.
•
• Failure to complete results in monetary penalties.
• There is no requirement for local content or community
engagement.
Site award
• Sites developed for auction by government come with
relevant permits following the auction process.
Permitting
Development
• Maximum prices per kWh are given for the upcoming
sites before the auction process.
• Prices are competitive and include assumptions of
savings from technology and supply chain
improvements.
Subsidy
© BVG Associates 2015
• Detailed surveys undertaken before tender offered to
developers – allows bids at appropriate price.
• Immediately after award of site. Winning developers
given permits to do further environmental assessments if
needed.
• National establishment for offshore grid connection
infrastructures by TenneT.
• Likely to see some tier 1 suppliers also bid.
14/16
5. Summary
Headline news
© BVG Associates 2015
Country Site award Permitting Development Subsidy
15/16
8. Concluding remarks
• UK has good record with 28 projects operating, 2 under construction, 1 reached Final investment
decision, 4 consented expect to be built under ROCs, 7 consented FIDER CfD, 2 consented with CfD;
total of 44 projects already have price support . 10.7 GW expected to be operational at end 2020.
• BUT removal of guaranteed subsidy (RO) means 8 projects with 8.1GW chasing next CfD round of
~1GW (?) and 3 projects with 2.4 GW applied for consent.
• Guaranteed subsidy not offered in all European countries
• Early development before site award reduces risk to developer considerably and more efficient as not
tied to any geographical area
• Introduction of processes in Denmark and The Netherlands likely to ‘shake-up’ UK idea of typical
developer, with some Tier 1 contractors expected to bid for sites
• Denmark and The Netherlands effectively take out risk of permitting
© BVG Associates 2015
16/16
Thank you
BVG Associates Ltd
The Blackthorn Centre
Purton Road
Cricklade, Swindon
SN6 6HY UK
tel +44(0)1793 752 308
info@bvgassociates.co.uk
@bvgassociates
www.bvgassociates.co.uk
BVG Associates Ltd
The Boathouse
Silversands
Aberdour, Fife
KY3 0TZ UK
tel +44(0)1383 870 014
© BVG Associates 2015
BVG Associates LLC
Green Garage
Second Avenue
Detroit, MI
48201 USA
tel +1 (313) 462 0673
This presentation and its content is copyright of BVG Associates Limited - © BVG Associates 2015. All rights are reserved.
Any redistribution or reproduction of part or all of the contents of this presentation in any form is prohibited other than the following:
• You may print or download to a local hard disk extracts for your personal and non-commercial use only.
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You may not, except with our express written permission, distribute or commercially exploit the content.

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Does the permitting process in France need a further overhaul?

  • 1. 1/16 Does the permitting process in France need a further overhaul? MRE Manche 2015 Mike Blanch Clare Davies
  • 2. 2/16 • Independent consultancy with expertise in technology, implementation and economics of wind and marine energy technologies. • Formed in 2005. We reached our 200th customer in 2014. • 80% of work is in offshore wind • Currently we have a team of 14 permanent, full-time delivery staff plus support staff and network of expert external associates around the globe. BVG Associates BVG Associates Breadth and integration Business advisory • Analysis and forecasting • Strategic advice • Business and supply chain development Technology • Engineering services • Due diligence • Strategy and R&D support Economics • Socioeconomics and local benefits • Technology and project economic modelling • Policy and local content assessment © BVG Associates 2015 • Expertise in floating offshore wind turbines • Owner’s engineer service • Local content analysis - UK struggled to define – we derived a simple but robust UK Content methodology - common across EU? • Good UK market links • SME support – run scheme in Scotland for Scottish Enterprise • Supply chain development for technology - who can make where? • Experience of the UK lessons learnt • Enabling reports. DECC supply chain plans, BIS and for The Crown Estate supply chain gap analysis. • LCOE modelling especially spatial ‘heat maps’ We offer
  • 4. 4/16© BVG Associates 2015 All available at www.bvgassociates.co.uk
  • 6. 6/16 Introduction • Four main steps on the project timeline (although different countries do it in different orders) • Site award – agreement to lease • Developing – assessing site and preparing to apply for permits • Permitting – applying to install and connect to grid • Price support – applying for price support • Different countries have different approaches and associated risks • We will consider country permitting to date • UK • Germany • Denmark • The Netherlands © BVG Associates 2015
  • 7. 7/16 1. United Kingdom Getting the balance: Policy drives local content, while subsidy awarded on lowest cost of energy • Round 3 (R3) sites first scoped though a strategic environmental assessment ‘SEA’ prepared by The Department of Energy and Climate Change • R3 sites then identified and leased by The Crown Estate • Developers ‘bid’ for R3 sites and awarded development rights (agreement to lease) Site award • Anything over 100MW capacity in England and Wales goes through national permitting process ‘PINS’ • Scotland projects permitted by Marine Scotland (MS) • PINS: ~18 months from application to decision • MS: No statutory timescales from application to decision • Grid connection permitting included in process Permitting • Developer assumes responsibility for undertaking environmental impact assessment (EIA) and Pre-FEED studies. • ~5 years and the cost to application stage ~£40 to 80 million • JV’s formed to share the risk • R3 projects only consenting small fractions of total potential capacity Development • Changing from RO (ending March 2017) to Contract for Difference process. (FiDER subsidy early form of CfD) • CfD is competitive bidding process with several hurdles, e.g. increasing local content in the supply chain. • First CfD subsidies awarded in 2015: • East Anglia One, 714MW, £119.89 online ‘17-’18 • Neart na Gaoithe, 448MW, £114.39 online ‘18-’19 • Much more capacity being bid in Subsidy © BVG Associates 2015
  • 8. 8/16 1. United Kingdom Recent feedback from industry… © BVG Associates 2015 De-risking offshore wind projects through export credit agencies and government infrastructure funds has already had a positive effect on the cost of capital for Continental projects. This has not yet happened in the UK, although plans are well advanced. Government interventions such as the Electricity Market Reform process, the Green Investment Bank, the Offshore Transmission Owner (OFTO) regime and requirements on the Planning Inspectorate have all de-risked UK projects for project developers and investors. The UK’s system of competitively awarding CfDs after developers have invested heavily in consenting projects has higher risks for developers than Danish and Dutch systems of central development and permitting prior to auction.
  • 9. 9/16 1. United Kingdom A rare case of permitting risk not paying off © BVG Associates 2015 Developed by EDF and EnecoNavitus Bay • Developers awarded site in 2009 • A 50-50 Joint Venture between Eneco Wind UK Ltd (Eneco) and EDF Energy formed 2012 • Refused planning permit consent from DECC in 2015 despite offering a 970MW and a 630 MW sub-set of the part furthest from shore • Primarily on visual impact to Jurassic Coastline • Large cost to developer in site development > €80 million • Developers may appeal…but… • Significant timelines involved – challenge to retain project team • Still need to get approved supply chain plain • And to be successful at bidding competitively for CfD subsidy = several hurdles each with big risk and additional costs • Navitus Bay is only second project in UK to not be awarded permitting. 48 wind farms have consent with 25 already operational. Success rate of application is 96%. 630MW option
  • 10. 10/16 2. Germany Strict development guidelines to assess environmental impacts • BSH (Federal Maritime and Hydrographic Agency) identify and lease areas of seabed. Site award • BSH approves projects in EEZ. Cables on the seabed in the territorial sea approved coastal state. • Within the 12 nautical mile limit, approval by coastal states. • BSH and regional Waterways and Shipping Directorate permit sites for aspects of navigational safety. • Permits awarded for 25 years. Permitting • Similar to UK • Developer assumes responsibility for undertaking environmental impact assessment (EIA) and Pre-FEED studies. • Projects with more than 20 turbines need EIA based on the UVPG (Environmental Impact Assessment Act). Development • Option for an initial tariff of 19.4 cent/kWh for eight years or EUR 15.4 cent/kWh for 12 years • Depends on water depth and distance to shore. • The basic tariff for offshore wind energy is EUR 3.9 cent/kWh. • Subsidy offered by EEG. Subsidy © BVG Associates 2015
  • 11. 11/16 3. Denmark Danish Energy Agency drives process • Danish Energy Agency (DEA) announce tenders for projects • Developers bid a price for the site . • Priority access to grid given to project to sell and transmit power in line with connections rules at that time. • Price is the primary bidding criteria in DEA decision on who to award sites to. Site award • Danish Energy Agency facilitates the necessary permits in cooperation with all relevant authorities. • Permits in draft form are provided as part of the tender material – the developer knows what to expect after being awarded the site. Permitting • Detailed surveys undertaken before tender is offered to developers by national TSO, Energinet.dk and completed in ~2 years. • Immediately after award of site. Winning developers given permits to do further environmental assessments. • Energinet.dk establishes offshore grid connection infrastructures. • Likely to see some tier 1 suppliers also bid. Development • No requirements for local content in the supply chain • A fixed settlement price (contract for difference) for ~50,000 peak load hours embedded in Danish legislation. Subsidy © BVG Associates 2015
  • 12. 12/16 3. Denmark Horns Rev 3 project example © BVG Associates 2015 • Sept: Contract notice published • Nov: Deadline for applications for pre- qualification ‘13 • Sept: Deadline for submitting preliminary tender • Dec: Final tender deadline ‘14 • Q1: Concession and construction permit awarded ‘15 • Jan: Guaranteed grid connection ‘16 • Dec: Wind farm operational ‘20
  • 13. 13/16 4. The Netherlands Recent changes have increased certainty in project construction and time frame • Award is by competitive tender on pre-permitted sites. • Price is the criterion for award. Bank guarantees are required. • • Failure to complete results in monetary penalties. • There is no requirement for local content or community engagement. Site award • Sites developed for auction by government come with relevant permits following the auction process. Permitting Development • Maximum prices per kWh are given for the upcoming sites before the auction process. • Prices are competitive and include assumptions of savings from technology and supply chain improvements. Subsidy © BVG Associates 2015 • Detailed surveys undertaken before tender offered to developers – allows bids at appropriate price. • Immediately after award of site. Winning developers given permits to do further environmental assessments if needed. • National establishment for offshore grid connection infrastructures by TenneT. • Likely to see some tier 1 suppliers also bid.
  • 14. 14/16 5. Summary Headline news © BVG Associates 2015 Country Site award Permitting Development Subsidy
  • 15. 15/16 8. Concluding remarks • UK has good record with 28 projects operating, 2 under construction, 1 reached Final investment decision, 4 consented expect to be built under ROCs, 7 consented FIDER CfD, 2 consented with CfD; total of 44 projects already have price support . 10.7 GW expected to be operational at end 2020. • BUT removal of guaranteed subsidy (RO) means 8 projects with 8.1GW chasing next CfD round of ~1GW (?) and 3 projects with 2.4 GW applied for consent. • Guaranteed subsidy not offered in all European countries • Early development before site award reduces risk to developer considerably and more efficient as not tied to any geographical area • Introduction of processes in Denmark and The Netherlands likely to ‘shake-up’ UK idea of typical developer, with some Tier 1 contractors expected to bid for sites • Denmark and The Netherlands effectively take out risk of permitting © BVG Associates 2015
  • 16. 16/16 Thank you BVG Associates Ltd The Blackthorn Centre Purton Road Cricklade, Swindon SN6 6HY UK tel +44(0)1793 752 308 info@bvgassociates.co.uk @bvgassociates www.bvgassociates.co.uk BVG Associates Ltd The Boathouse Silversands Aberdour, Fife KY3 0TZ UK tel +44(0)1383 870 014 © BVG Associates 2015 BVG Associates LLC Green Garage Second Avenue Detroit, MI 48201 USA tel +1 (313) 462 0673 This presentation and its content is copyright of BVG Associates Limited - © BVG Associates 2015. All rights are reserved. Any redistribution or reproduction of part or all of the contents of this presentation in any form is prohibited other than the following: • You may print or download to a local hard disk extracts for your personal and non-commercial use only. • You may copy the content to individual third parties for their personal use, but only if you acknowledge BVG Associates as the source of the material. You may not, except with our express written permission, distribute or commercially exploit the content.