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Bolawa Fadojutimi
   CRUDE OIL IN NIGERIA;
         A Blessing or a Curse
Northwestern University, Capstone Presentation
       Masters in Project Management
                  May 2012
CONTENT

 •NIGERIA
   •BACKGROUND INFORMATION
 •HISTORY OF OIL IN NIGERIA
 •IMPACTS OF THE OIL INDUSTRY
   •ECONOMY
   •ENVIRONMENT
   •PEOPLE
   •AGRICULTURE
 •FUTURE OUTLOOK
 • CONCLUSION
NIGERIA – BACKGROUND INFORMATION
NIGERIA – BACKGROUND INFORMATION
LOCATION
Western Africa

POPULATION
170million (7th largest in the world)

CLIMATE
Tropical Region

RESOURCES
Natural Gas, Crude Oil, Tin, Iron Ore, Limestone,
Niobium, Lead and Zinc

AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
Cocoa, Peanuts, Cotton, Palm Oil, Corn, Rice,
Sorghum, Millet, Tapioca (cassava), Yams, and
Rubber
HISTORY OF OIL IN NIGERIA
OIL IN NIGERIA - HISTORY
1908 Exploration commenced
1914 Brought to an abrupt end by WW I
1937 Resumed by Anglo - Dutch consortium
1947 Brought to an abrupt end by WW II
1956 Commercial discovery in the Niger Delta   (5100bpd)

                         CIVIL WAR
                        1967 - 1970
                 •Oil production grossly affected
                •Irregularities in sharing formula
               •Ethnic clashes, 2,000,000 lives lost
OIL IN NIGERIA - HISTORY


                     OIL BOOM
                         70’s              Kaduna Refinery




                •Enormous wealth creation
             •Other sectors took the backseat
          •Refineries built in 1978, 1980 and 1989
OIL IN NIGERIA - PRODUCTION


6th Largest producer of oil in the world
             Produce   2.46m barrels of oil per day
                        Import 33m liters per day
OIL IN NIGERIA

•Job creation through the sector


   In 2011
           90% Foreign earnings
           40% GDP contribution
IMPACTS OF THE OIL INDUSTRY
ECONOMY – BACKGROUND INFORMATION

•Highly dependent on the agricultural sector up until the 70’s

               REVENUE CONTRIBUTION


4.1% I 5.9 %                                      64%
 1963 - 1964                                   1970 – 1985
ECONOMY
                         SECTOR CONTRIBUTION TO GDP
      SECTOR                1960       1970       1980      1990       2000       2002
 AGRICULTURE              64.10%      47.60%     30.80%    39.00%     35.70%     28.35%
 MANUFACTURING             4.80%      8.20%      8.10%      8.20%     3.40%      5.50%
 CRUDE PETROLEUM           0.30%      7.10%      22.00%    12.80%     47.50%    40.60%
 OTHERS                   30.80%      37.10%     39.10%    40.00%     13.40%     25.55%



 •Economic policies have been centered around oil sector

                     Minister of Finance, Dr (Mrs.) Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala,
          “…We have suffered a great deal in this country from our inability or
          unwillingness to manage our oil resources properly. When oil prices are
          high like now, a great deal of optimism sets in and we tend to spend all that
          we earn to meet our admittedly tremendous needs…”
ECONOMY
      EARNED AND PROJECTED VALUE OF EXPORTS




                    EARNINGS
          •2010 – US$ 65.073 billion
          •2011 –US$ - 87.92 billion
ECONOMY
                    BLESSING
                 •Giant of Africa
              •Staggering revenues
          •Access to international loans
                     CURSE
            •Collapse of infrastructure
          •Lack of evident development
            •21% unemployment rate
      •70% of population below poverty line
ENVIRONMENT – BACKGROUND INFORMATION

                  NIGER DELTA REGION


             70,000km2, 800 communities

               Freshwater swamp forests
                    Mangrove forest
                  Lowland rainforests
                  Barrier island forests
          60-80% of all Nigerian plant and animal species

                   Non renewable resources
      Natural gas, Fossil fuels, and Construction materials
                      Renewable resources
 Timber, Vegetables, Fruits, Nuts and Seeds and Medicinal plants
ENVIRONMENT – BACKGROUND INFORMATION

         Oil exploration activities
 •Massive dynamiting for geological excavations
     •Explosions in aquatic environments
        •Burying of oil and gas pipelines



                •OIL SPILLAGE
          •A reduction in habitat area.
        •Death of wildlife and aquatic life
    •Disruption of wildlife breeding patterns
ENVIRONMENT - OIL SPILLAGE STATISTICS
ENVIRONMENT - OIL SPILLAGE

         In 2011, SPDC reported

 Oil spillages of   1.68m gallons of oil

        •Spread over 356 square miles
 •Worst oil spill in the region in the last decade
      •Arguments over figures released
ENVIRONMENT - RESTORATION

UNITED NATIONS ENVIRONMENTAL PROGRAMME

           2011 ASSESSMENT


Environmental Restoration


30years, $1bn for first 5years
CURSE
•Extreme levels of pollution
•Arable land heavily contaminated
•Drinking water contains pollutants
PEOPLE – BACKGROUND INFORMATION

                  140 ETHNIC GROUPS


                    •Loss of fishing areas
               •Exposure to varying diseases
         •Child birth defects and chronic illnesses
          •Loss of thousands of coastal lands and
                          farmlands
PEOPLE
                     MILITANT GROUPS
         •Claim to fight for the right of the people
                 •Involved in kidnappings
              •Sabotaging government efforts




                           CURSE
             •Loss of farmland and water bodies
            •Deteriorating state of infrastructure
     •Lack of access to portable water and educational
                           facilities
AGRICULTURE – BACKGROUND INFORMATION

    In the 60’s met
                    95% of nations food needs
                   64.1% GDP contribution
            •Major revenue generator 1914 – 1970’s
         •Employed a large percentage of the population
                    Current Situation
            •Less than 50% of arable land cultivated
              •Small scale, using age old methods
                  •Employs 70% of population
AGRICULTURE


           In 2011
                   $4bn Importation on food
                   35.4% GDP contribution

       SECTOR       1960     1970     1980     1990     2000     2002
  AGRICULTURE       64.10%   47.60%   30.80%   39.00%   35.70%   28.35%
  MANUFACTURING     4.80%    8.20%    8.10%    8.20%    3.40%    5.50%
  CRUDE PETROLEUM   0.30%    7.10%    22.00%   12.80%   47.50%   40.60%
  OTHERS            30.80%   37.10%   39.10%   40.00%   13.40%   25.55%

                     SECTOR CONTRIBUTION TO GDP
AGRICULTURE – SECTOR REVITILIZATION
                 TARGETS AND ASPIRATIONS

                      VISION 2020 &
            MILLENIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS 2015



                            partnering



               •Ensuring local food needs are met
                  •Major exporter of foodstuffs
                       •Boost the sector
AGRICULTURE

                       CURSE
          •4.6% allocation in federal budget
       •Economic policies don’t support sector
     •Loss of arable lands to exploration activities
FUTURE OUTLOOK
FUTURE OUTLOOK
CONCLUSION

           •DECENTRALIZATION OF ECONOMY



 •REVAMPING                       •IMPLEMENTATION
OF ALL SECTORS                        OF GOALS



           •GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTABILITY
THANK YOU

Q&A

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Discovery of Crude Oil in Nigeria; A Blessing or a Curse

  • 1. Bolawa Fadojutimi CRUDE OIL IN NIGERIA; A Blessing or a Curse Northwestern University, Capstone Presentation Masters in Project Management May 2012
  • 2. CONTENT •NIGERIA •BACKGROUND INFORMATION •HISTORY OF OIL IN NIGERIA •IMPACTS OF THE OIL INDUSTRY •ECONOMY •ENVIRONMENT •PEOPLE •AGRICULTURE •FUTURE OUTLOOK • CONCLUSION
  • 4. NIGERIA – BACKGROUND INFORMATION LOCATION Western Africa POPULATION 170million (7th largest in the world) CLIMATE Tropical Region RESOURCES Natural Gas, Crude Oil, Tin, Iron Ore, Limestone, Niobium, Lead and Zinc AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS Cocoa, Peanuts, Cotton, Palm Oil, Corn, Rice, Sorghum, Millet, Tapioca (cassava), Yams, and Rubber
  • 5. HISTORY OF OIL IN NIGERIA
  • 6. OIL IN NIGERIA - HISTORY 1908 Exploration commenced 1914 Brought to an abrupt end by WW I 1937 Resumed by Anglo - Dutch consortium 1947 Brought to an abrupt end by WW II 1956 Commercial discovery in the Niger Delta (5100bpd) CIVIL WAR 1967 - 1970 •Oil production grossly affected •Irregularities in sharing formula •Ethnic clashes, 2,000,000 lives lost
  • 7. OIL IN NIGERIA - HISTORY OIL BOOM 70’s Kaduna Refinery •Enormous wealth creation •Other sectors took the backseat •Refineries built in 1978, 1980 and 1989
  • 8. OIL IN NIGERIA - PRODUCTION 6th Largest producer of oil in the world Produce 2.46m barrels of oil per day Import 33m liters per day
  • 9. OIL IN NIGERIA •Job creation through the sector In 2011 90% Foreign earnings 40% GDP contribution
  • 10. IMPACTS OF THE OIL INDUSTRY
  • 11. ECONOMY – BACKGROUND INFORMATION •Highly dependent on the agricultural sector up until the 70’s REVENUE CONTRIBUTION 4.1% I 5.9 % 64% 1963 - 1964 1970 – 1985
  • 12. ECONOMY SECTOR CONTRIBUTION TO GDP SECTOR 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2002 AGRICULTURE 64.10% 47.60% 30.80% 39.00% 35.70% 28.35% MANUFACTURING 4.80% 8.20% 8.10% 8.20% 3.40% 5.50% CRUDE PETROLEUM 0.30% 7.10% 22.00% 12.80% 47.50% 40.60% OTHERS 30.80% 37.10% 39.10% 40.00% 13.40% 25.55% •Economic policies have been centered around oil sector Minister of Finance, Dr (Mrs.) Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, “…We have suffered a great deal in this country from our inability or unwillingness to manage our oil resources properly. When oil prices are high like now, a great deal of optimism sets in and we tend to spend all that we earn to meet our admittedly tremendous needs…”
  • 13. ECONOMY EARNED AND PROJECTED VALUE OF EXPORTS EARNINGS •2010 – US$ 65.073 billion •2011 –US$ - 87.92 billion
  • 14. ECONOMY BLESSING •Giant of Africa •Staggering revenues •Access to international loans CURSE •Collapse of infrastructure •Lack of evident development •21% unemployment rate •70% of population below poverty line
  • 15. ENVIRONMENT – BACKGROUND INFORMATION NIGER DELTA REGION 70,000km2, 800 communities Freshwater swamp forests Mangrove forest Lowland rainforests Barrier island forests 60-80% of all Nigerian plant and animal species Non renewable resources Natural gas, Fossil fuels, and Construction materials Renewable resources Timber, Vegetables, Fruits, Nuts and Seeds and Medicinal plants
  • 16. ENVIRONMENT – BACKGROUND INFORMATION Oil exploration activities •Massive dynamiting for geological excavations •Explosions in aquatic environments •Burying of oil and gas pipelines •OIL SPILLAGE •A reduction in habitat area. •Death of wildlife and aquatic life •Disruption of wildlife breeding patterns
  • 17. ENVIRONMENT - OIL SPILLAGE STATISTICS
  • 18. ENVIRONMENT - OIL SPILLAGE In 2011, SPDC reported Oil spillages of 1.68m gallons of oil •Spread over 356 square miles •Worst oil spill in the region in the last decade •Arguments over figures released
  • 19. ENVIRONMENT - RESTORATION UNITED NATIONS ENVIRONMENTAL PROGRAMME 2011 ASSESSMENT Environmental Restoration 30years, $1bn for first 5years CURSE •Extreme levels of pollution •Arable land heavily contaminated •Drinking water contains pollutants
  • 20. PEOPLE – BACKGROUND INFORMATION 140 ETHNIC GROUPS •Loss of fishing areas •Exposure to varying diseases •Child birth defects and chronic illnesses •Loss of thousands of coastal lands and farmlands
  • 21. PEOPLE MILITANT GROUPS •Claim to fight for the right of the people •Involved in kidnappings •Sabotaging government efforts CURSE •Loss of farmland and water bodies •Deteriorating state of infrastructure •Lack of access to portable water and educational facilities
  • 22. AGRICULTURE – BACKGROUND INFORMATION In the 60’s met 95% of nations food needs 64.1% GDP contribution •Major revenue generator 1914 – 1970’s •Employed a large percentage of the population Current Situation •Less than 50% of arable land cultivated •Small scale, using age old methods •Employs 70% of population
  • 23. AGRICULTURE In 2011 $4bn Importation on food 35.4% GDP contribution SECTOR 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2002 AGRICULTURE 64.10% 47.60% 30.80% 39.00% 35.70% 28.35% MANUFACTURING 4.80% 8.20% 8.10% 8.20% 3.40% 5.50% CRUDE PETROLEUM 0.30% 7.10% 22.00% 12.80% 47.50% 40.60% OTHERS 30.80% 37.10% 39.10% 40.00% 13.40% 25.55% SECTOR CONTRIBUTION TO GDP
  • 24. AGRICULTURE – SECTOR REVITILIZATION TARGETS AND ASPIRATIONS VISION 2020 & MILLENIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS 2015 partnering •Ensuring local food needs are met •Major exporter of foodstuffs •Boost the sector
  • 25. AGRICULTURE CURSE •4.6% allocation in federal budget •Economic policies don’t support sector •Loss of arable lands to exploration activities
  • 28. CONCLUSION •DECENTRALIZATION OF ECONOMY •REVAMPING •IMPLEMENTATION OF ALL SECTORS OF GOALS •GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTABILITY