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Public Expenditure Trends and
        Patterns - India



                  Nayana RenuKumar
             CENTRE FOR GOOD GOVERNANCE
Indian Economy

   Impressive growth in last two decades
   Recent slow down in response to global cues and internal strains (rising
    inflation, declining investment, structural bottlenecks)
   Latest reforms measures cover FDI, subsidies, tax reforms, innovation and
    open government
   Opportunities: Demographic dividend, innovative and entrepreneurial
    business class
   Key challenges: Making growth more inclusive, addressing widespread poverty
    and rising inequality

       Large share of population employed in informal sector affecting tax collection and in turn, public sending

       Limited access to basic services
State of public finances

 Substantial improvement till 2007-08
    Fiscal deficit down to 4%

    Expansion of Corporate sector and corporate tax receipts

    New tax on services and high proceeds from personal income tax

 Weakening of finances since 2010
    High fiscal deficit from tax cuts, debt write offs, public sector wage

     raise and high subsidies in energy sector
    Regulatory environment characterised by state control, barriers to

     entrepreneurship and obstacles to trade and investment
Public spending for Development : Reducing Poverty
        and Inequality
        Impressive progress in reducing absolute poverty offset by rising inequality since
         1990s especially between rural and urban areas
        India ranks 134 in HDI 2010-11 but has performed better than most (including
         high and very high human development) countries in terms of average annual HDI
         growth rate
        Existing gap in health and education indicators indicates the need for much faster
         and wider spread of basic health and education


                              2011-12
Item                                    Areas       Exp.
                              BE
                                        Education    3.11
Expenditure on social
services as a proportion of   6.74%     Health        1.3
GDP
                                        Others       2.34

Expenditure on social                   Education    11.5
services as a proportion of
                              25%       Health        4.8
total government
expenditure                             Others        8.7
Public expenditure trends and patterns
                    Total investment in infrastructure (roads, railways, ports, airports, electricity,
Infrastructure       telecommunications, oil gas pipelines and irrigation) have increased from 5.7% of
                     GDP in base year of the 11th Plan to around 8.0% in the last year of the Plan

                    India’s public spending at 1.4 % of GDP is among the lowest in the world
                     India spends $43 per head, counterparts in Sri Lanka invest $87, China spends
Health               $155 and Thailand over six times at $261
                    Out-of-pocket costs accounts for 67% of total expenditure on health in India



Education           Public spending on education is about 3.1% of GDP
India’s expenditure on flagships programs for inclusiveness
                                                                                          Total 11th Plan
 Programme                                                  Ministry/ Department
                                                                                          (Rs. In crores)

 Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act Rural Development                           1,56,301
 Indira Awas Yojana                                         Rural Development                         41,486
 National Social Assistance Programme                       Rural Development                         23,536
 Pradhan Mantri Gram Sadak Yojana                           Rural Development                         65,002
 National Rural Health Mission                              Health & Family Welfare                   69,214
 Integrated Child Development Scheme                        Women & Child Development                 38,980
 Mid Day Meal                                               School Education & Literacy               38,602
 Sarva Siksha Abhiyan                                       School Education & Literacy               77,576
 Jawahar Lal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission           Urban Development                         48,485
 Accelerated Irrigation Benefit Programme and Other water
                                                            Water Resources                           46,622
 resources programme
 Rajiv Gandhi Gramin Vidyuti Karan Yojana                   Power                                     25,913
 Rajiv Gandhi Rural Drinking Water Mission and Total
                                                            Drinking Water Supply                     46,722
 Sanitation Campaign
 Rashtriya Krishi Vikas Yojana                              Agriculture & Cooperation                 18,550
 Grand Total (Rupees seventy thousand crores approx.)                                              6,91,976

Eleventh Plan gave special impetus to several programmes aimed at building rural and urban
infrastructure and providing basic services for increasing inclusiveness and reducing poverty
Measures to increase efficiency of public expenditure

 India’s emerging economy with large unmet minimum needs of the masses
   require focus on equity issues and macroeconomic needs. Prudential limits
   on deficits and debts and optimization public expenditure outcomes
   essential
 High-level committee constituted to go into the expenditure classification
   and management in a comprehensive way. Main recommendations :
       Fundamental shift in public expenditure management - budgeting linked to outputs
        and outcomes
       Portal to place information on flow of resources and their utilization on public
        domain
       All States to include information about investment outlays of State Public Sector
        Enterprises and resources of rural and urban local bodies as part of State Plans
       Provide regular updates on Project-wise, Ministry-wise and Sector-wise
        information on Public Private Partnerships in Central and State Budgets
Measures to increase efficiency of public expenditure


 Government’s has evolved a comprehensive strategy in 12 th FYP for
   further lowering poverty and reversing the pattern of growing
   inequality. Key elements:
    Policies to improve health, nutrition and educational outcomes

    Labour market reforms to reduce segmentation between formal
      and informal employment
    Tax reforms to increase redistributive effects of tax

    Making social spending a more powerful tool to deal with rising
      inequality. Social spending, which amounts to about 5% of GDP in
      India, is low including in comparison to other large emerging economies
Key reform measures
 Opening up key sectors to FDI

 Reduction in energy subsidies
 Adoption of open government policies to increase
  transparency and reduce corruption
   National data sharing and accessibility policy

   Right to Public Services
 Measures to promote innovation
   National Innovation Council and National Innovation Strategy

   Decade of Innovation 2010-2020

   Indian Inclusive Innovation Fund
Thank you

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Development strategies public exp - india

  • 1. Public Expenditure Trends and Patterns - India Nayana RenuKumar CENTRE FOR GOOD GOVERNANCE
  • 2. Indian Economy  Impressive growth in last two decades  Recent slow down in response to global cues and internal strains (rising inflation, declining investment, structural bottlenecks)  Latest reforms measures cover FDI, subsidies, tax reforms, innovation and open government  Opportunities: Demographic dividend, innovative and entrepreneurial business class  Key challenges: Making growth more inclusive, addressing widespread poverty and rising inequality  Large share of population employed in informal sector affecting tax collection and in turn, public sending  Limited access to basic services
  • 3. State of public finances  Substantial improvement till 2007-08  Fiscal deficit down to 4%  Expansion of Corporate sector and corporate tax receipts  New tax on services and high proceeds from personal income tax  Weakening of finances since 2010  High fiscal deficit from tax cuts, debt write offs, public sector wage raise and high subsidies in energy sector  Regulatory environment characterised by state control, barriers to entrepreneurship and obstacles to trade and investment
  • 4. Public spending for Development : Reducing Poverty and Inequality  Impressive progress in reducing absolute poverty offset by rising inequality since 1990s especially between rural and urban areas  India ranks 134 in HDI 2010-11 but has performed better than most (including high and very high human development) countries in terms of average annual HDI growth rate  Existing gap in health and education indicators indicates the need for much faster and wider spread of basic health and education 2011-12 Item Areas Exp. BE Education 3.11 Expenditure on social services as a proportion of 6.74% Health 1.3 GDP Others 2.34 Expenditure on social Education 11.5 services as a proportion of 25% Health 4.8 total government expenditure Others 8.7
  • 5. Public expenditure trends and patterns  Total investment in infrastructure (roads, railways, ports, airports, electricity, Infrastructure telecommunications, oil gas pipelines and irrigation) have increased from 5.7% of GDP in base year of the 11th Plan to around 8.0% in the last year of the Plan  India’s public spending at 1.4 % of GDP is among the lowest in the world  India spends $43 per head, counterparts in Sri Lanka invest $87, China spends Health $155 and Thailand over six times at $261  Out-of-pocket costs accounts for 67% of total expenditure on health in India Education  Public spending on education is about 3.1% of GDP
  • 6. India’s expenditure on flagships programs for inclusiveness Total 11th Plan Programme Ministry/ Department (Rs. In crores) Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act Rural Development 1,56,301 Indira Awas Yojana Rural Development 41,486 National Social Assistance Programme Rural Development 23,536 Pradhan Mantri Gram Sadak Yojana Rural Development 65,002 National Rural Health Mission Health & Family Welfare 69,214 Integrated Child Development Scheme Women & Child Development 38,980 Mid Day Meal School Education & Literacy 38,602 Sarva Siksha Abhiyan School Education & Literacy 77,576 Jawahar Lal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission Urban Development 48,485 Accelerated Irrigation Benefit Programme and Other water Water Resources 46,622 resources programme Rajiv Gandhi Gramin Vidyuti Karan Yojana Power 25,913 Rajiv Gandhi Rural Drinking Water Mission and Total Drinking Water Supply 46,722 Sanitation Campaign Rashtriya Krishi Vikas Yojana Agriculture & Cooperation 18,550 Grand Total (Rupees seventy thousand crores approx.) 6,91,976 Eleventh Plan gave special impetus to several programmes aimed at building rural and urban infrastructure and providing basic services for increasing inclusiveness and reducing poverty
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  • 9. Measures to increase efficiency of public expenditure  India’s emerging economy with large unmet minimum needs of the masses require focus on equity issues and macroeconomic needs. Prudential limits on deficits and debts and optimization public expenditure outcomes essential  High-level committee constituted to go into the expenditure classification and management in a comprehensive way. Main recommendations :  Fundamental shift in public expenditure management - budgeting linked to outputs and outcomes  Portal to place information on flow of resources and their utilization on public domain  All States to include information about investment outlays of State Public Sector Enterprises and resources of rural and urban local bodies as part of State Plans  Provide regular updates on Project-wise, Ministry-wise and Sector-wise information on Public Private Partnerships in Central and State Budgets
  • 10. Measures to increase efficiency of public expenditure  Government’s has evolved a comprehensive strategy in 12 th FYP for further lowering poverty and reversing the pattern of growing inequality. Key elements:  Policies to improve health, nutrition and educational outcomes  Labour market reforms to reduce segmentation between formal and informal employment  Tax reforms to increase redistributive effects of tax  Making social spending a more powerful tool to deal with rising inequality. Social spending, which amounts to about 5% of GDP in India, is low including in comparison to other large emerging economies
  • 11. Key reform measures  Opening up key sectors to FDI  Reduction in energy subsidies  Adoption of open government policies to increase transparency and reduce corruption  National data sharing and accessibility policy  Right to Public Services  Measures to promote innovation  National Innovation Council and National Innovation Strategy  Decade of Innovation 2010-2020  Indian Inclusive Innovation Fund

Editor's Notes

  1. Structural reforms to open up the economy and make it more competitive Internal strains: India which emerged string from global recession 2008 was soon bogged down by the emergence of energy, infrastructure, human capital and institutional bottlenecks. The supply of energy and natural resources, transport infrastructure and skills the key engines of growth has not been able to keep pace. with increased demand. Institutions and public as well as private governance also need to adapt to the development of India and the progressive transformation of its economy.
  2. In 2009-2010, 33.8% of the rural population and 20.9% of the urban population lived below the Government’s official absolute poverty line, down from 42% and 25.5%, respectively, in 2004-2005.