The DENIN Dialogue Series is a semiannual lecture series sponsored by the Delaware Environmental Institute (DENIN) that brings experts of international renown in environmental research and policy to address the public at UD's Newark campus. Totten's presentation will be podcast on DENIN's iTunes U site following the lecture.
Totten will address the topic “Water in an Uncertain Climate Future.” Billions of people around the world are mired in poverty, are chronically ill, and lack adequate drinking water and basic sanitation services. Efforts to ensure water security now also contend with the impacts of climate change and the uncertainty in water flow and availability.
Water use is pervasive throughout the global economy but concentrated in agriculture (about 75 percent of water withdrawals worldwide) and thermal power plants (48 percent of off-stream use in the U.S.). A core concern is how to
deliver water services for these needs at least cost and risk while addressing issues of social equity and ecological integrity.
Totten will present the case that there are win-win-win pathways in addressing these multiple crises, and he will highlight
some of the evidence and experience to date in using innovative practices, policies and regulations in delivering water and water-related services.
He has nearly three decades of professional experience in promoting ecologically sustainable economic development at the local, national and international levels. At Conservation International's CELB, he engages corporations and public institutions in adopting strategies to shrink and offset the ecological footprints of goods and services throughout their lifecycle. He has given more than 1,500 presentations and written scores of publications.
Totten is the principal co-author of the 2008 book, A Climate for Life: Meeting the Global Challenge, an interdisciplinary perspective on preventing catastrophic climate change and human-triggered species extinction while providing robust
economic growth. He received the Lewis Mumford Prize for Environment in 2000 for pioneering the creation of interactive multimedia and Internet tools for spurring ecologically sustainable development. As senior adviser to U.S. Rep. Claudine Schneider (R-R.I.), he drafted the 1989 Global Warming Prevention Act, cosponsored by one-third of the House of Representatives.
Howard University Sigma Xi talk Biocomplexity Decisionmaking MP Totten 11-10Michael P Totten
Humanity confronts unprecedented challenges of global and historical magnitude, including climate destabilization, ocean acidification, more absolute poor than any time in human history, and species extinction rate 1000 times the natural background rate. Instead of dealing with each problem separately, there are great gains to be made by looking for common solutions to these inextricably interwoven problems. Green economics offers one such perspective to assessment opportunities.
EDF identifies the top 25 emitters of mercury from the electric sector and finds that a huge amount of mercury pollution is released from a relatively small number of plants – ones that have yet to install readily available pollution controls that other plants are already using.
Howard University Sigma Xi talk Biocomplexity Decisionmaking MP Totten 11-10Michael P Totten
Humanity confronts unprecedented challenges of global and historical magnitude, including climate destabilization, ocean acidification, more absolute poor than any time in human history, and species extinction rate 1000 times the natural background rate. Instead of dealing with each problem separately, there are great gains to be made by looking for common solutions to these inextricably interwoven problems. Green economics offers one such perspective to assessment opportunities.
EDF identifies the top 25 emitters of mercury from the electric sector and finds that a huge amount of mercury pollution is released from a relatively small number of plants – ones that have yet to install readily available pollution controls that other plants are already using.
Slides from lectures and seminars given at Singapore universities and business schools (NUS, SMU, INSEAD) on how Asia Pacific region faces mega-catastrophic socio-ecological challenges that can be largely prevented and resolved through aggressive, ambitious pursuit of clean tech, green economic investment opportunities (e.g, end-use efficiency, solar power, wind power).
GreenATP ucla anderson business school mp totten 06 11Michael P Totten
Slides from seminar. See article for details: http://www.scribd.com/mtotten6756
Summary:
Humanity’s unceasing ingenuity is generating vast economic gain for billions of people with goods unavailable to even kings and queens throughout most of history. Unfortunately, this economic growth has triggered unprecedented se- curity challenges of global and historical magnitude: more absolute poor than any time in human history, the sixth largest extinction spasm of life on earth, climate destabilization with mega-catastrophic consequences, and multi-trillion dollar wars over access to energy. These multiple, inextricably interwoven chal- lenges have low probability of being solved if decision makers maintain the strong propensity to think and act as if life is linear, has no carrying capacity limits, uncertainty is controllable, the future free of surprises, planning is predictable and compartmentalized into silos, and Gaussian distributions are taken as the norm while fat-tail futures are ignored. Although the future holds irreducible uncertainties, it is not fated. The emergence of Internet availability to one-third of humanity and access by most of humanity within a decade has spawned the Web analogue of a ‘Cambrian explosion’ of speciation in knowledge applica- tions. Among the most prodigious have been collaboration innovation networks (COINs) reflecting a diversity of ‘genome’ types, facilitating a myriad of collective intelligence crowd-swarming phenomena (Malone T, Laubacher R, Dellarocas C. The Collective Intelligence Genome. MIT Sloan Management Review, Spring; 2010, Vol. 51). COINs are essential tools for accelerating and scaling transformational solutions (positive tipping points) to the wicked problems confronting humanity. Web COINs enable acceleration of multiple-benefit innovations and solutions to these problems that permeate the nested clusters of linked nonlinear complex adaptive systems comprising the global biosphere and socioeconomy [Raford N. How to build a collective intelligence platform to crowdsource almost anything. Available at: http:news.noahraford.com.
Slides from lectures and seminars given at Singapore universities and business schools (NUS, SMU, INSEAD) on how Asia Pacific region faces mega-catastrophic socio-ecological challenges that can be largely prevented and resolved through aggressive, ambitious pursuit of clean tech, green economic investment opportunities (e.g, end-use efficiency, solar power, wind power).
GreenATP ucla anderson business school mp totten 06 11Michael P Totten
Slides from seminar. See article for details: http://www.scribd.com/mtotten6756
Summary:
Humanity’s unceasing ingenuity is generating vast economic gain for billions of people with goods unavailable to even kings and queens throughout most of history. Unfortunately, this economic growth has triggered unprecedented se- curity challenges of global and historical magnitude: more absolute poor than any time in human history, the sixth largest extinction spasm of life on earth, climate destabilization with mega-catastrophic consequences, and multi-trillion dollar wars over access to energy. These multiple, inextricably interwoven chal- lenges have low probability of being solved if decision makers maintain the strong propensity to think and act as if life is linear, has no carrying capacity limits, uncertainty is controllable, the future free of surprises, planning is predictable and compartmentalized into silos, and Gaussian distributions are taken as the norm while fat-tail futures are ignored. Although the future holds irreducible uncertainties, it is not fated. The emergence of Internet availability to one-third of humanity and access by most of humanity within a decade has spawned the Web analogue of a ‘Cambrian explosion’ of speciation in knowledge applica- tions. Among the most prodigious have been collaboration innovation networks (COINs) reflecting a diversity of ‘genome’ types, facilitating a myriad of collective intelligence crowd-swarming phenomena (Malone T, Laubacher R, Dellarocas C. The Collective Intelligence Genome. MIT Sloan Management Review, Spring; 2010, Vol. 51). COINs are essential tools for accelerating and scaling transformational solutions (positive tipping points) to the wicked problems confronting humanity. Web COINs enable acceleration of multiple-benefit innovations and solutions to these problems that permeate the nested clusters of linked nonlinear complex adaptive systems comprising the global biosphere and socioeconomy [Raford N. How to build a collective intelligence platform to crowdsource almost anything. Available at: http:news.noahraford.com.
Michael P Totten A Climate For Life Mesh Talk Bioneer Los Angeles 12 09 09Michael P Totten
Positive vision of win-win-win actions to avoid climate catastrophe, end mass poverty, reduce species extinction, by using web-based social collaboration tools and collective intelligence actions.
pursuing sustainable planetary prosperity chapter 18 US-China 2022Michael P Totten
China and the U.S. are the two largest consuming nations, their combined gross do- mestic products (GDPs) comprising one third of global GDP. The two nations consume one quarter of world natural gas and one third of world oil production, and produce nearly two thirds of world coal. The two nations are also the planet’s largest CO2 emitters, jointly releasing nearly half of the world total.
Business-as-usual scenarios are insufficient to address the acute sustainability challenges that both nations – as well as the community of nations
– are facing. However, collaboration in pursuing solutions through unprecedented statesmanship, leadership and technological advances will simultaneously provide national and global sustainability solutions.
Joint initiatives are in both of our nations’ enlightened self interest – from immediate and sustained economic and environmental gains to long-term well being and prosperity of our peoples – and will make a major, essential contribution to finding global solutions to the devastating risks facing hu- manity and the biosphere.
Technology and Policies are Available to Save Our Environment.Paul H. Carr
OUTLINE: POLICY INFLUENCERS
1. Wall Street Journal - Is climate science settled?
2. Peer-reviewed Climate Science Articles- 99% settled.
3. Forbes – Is carbon-free energy available?
4. Nashua Telegraph – What about China’s coal burning?
5. Risky Business Report - Economics of Global Warming. by Bloomberg, Paulsen, & Steyer
6. Pope Francis’ Moral Responsibility to bequeath a habitable planet to future generations
Plenary 1 - The Science of Climate Changerbulalakaw
Presentation of Dr. Tolentino Moya, Professor, Institute of Environmental Science and Meteorology, University of the Philippines Diliman, during the UP Manila Conference on Global Climate Change, held October 22-23, 2009 at the Pearl Garden Hotel, Manila.
Global Climate Change, Energy & Health: Foreboding Clouds & Silver LiningsOmar Ha-Redeye
Global Climate Change, Energy & Health: Foreboding Clouds & Silver Linings
Talk by Jonathan Patz, MD, MPH
of the Nelson Institute & Dept. Population Health Sciences at the University of Wisconsin - Madison at the 16th World Congress on Disaster and Emergency Medicine on May 12, 2009.
Reproduced here with the author's permission.
Climate Resilience: How forward-looking organisations are taking action to mi...Jeremy Williams
Asia Pacific Centre for Social Enterprise (APCSE), Griffith University, Open Lecture Series. Tuesday 19 February, 2013, 6:00 - 7:30pm
South Bank Graduate Centre (S07), Room 1.23
South Bank campus, Griffith University
Climate change requires a new narrative. Professor Jeremy Williams argues that our primary concern now should not be whether climate change is human-induced, but what we are going to do about it in order that societies might protect themselves from the effects of climate change.
Climate Change: Current Status, Impacts and Solutions by Mario MolinaWILD Foundation
Dr. Mario Molina, Nobel Laureate and Foundation of the Mario Molina Center, presented in the Friday (6 November) WILD9 Plenary on "Climate Change, Energy and Wilderness," specifically speaking on 'Climate Change: The Current Status, Potential Impacts and What we can do."
Climate Change - Impacts and Humanitarian ImplicationsCharles Ehrhart
Climate change: impacts and humanitarian implications. Presentation at the Dubai International Humanitarian Aid & Development Conference (DIHAD), April 2009.
The New Photonomy - offering an exponentially fruitful abundance worldwide, P...Michael P Totten
Elevated solar photovoltaics sited on a fraction of existing cultivated lands, technically referred to as Agrivoltaic microgrids (plus batteries-controls), promises enhanced economic security for farmers, who generate onsite power and export excess power, while continuing to grow crops, pasture grasses and livestock grazing below the solar panels. Energy security is also enhanced as a result of the distributed design, or what the U.S. rural electric cooperatives call the new "agile fractal grid." The model builds upon the U.S. Dept. of Defense decree that all military bases transition to islandable microgrids capable of operation when the grid or pipelines collapse (whether due to physical attacks, cyberterrorism, cybercrime, or climate-triggered catastrophes). Recent analysis found it would only take a couple of percent of existing cultivated lands sited with agrivoltaics to generate nearly 100 of total global energy demand for all purposes. This 84-slide presentation provides both overview and details about this multi-benefits accruing energy service option: collapsing most GHG emissions from the energy sector (which now comprises 3/4th of total global emissions), a dozen other energy-spewed chemical SCARs ("social cost of atmospheric releases), eliminate need for massive land conversion to biofuels and threats to biodiversity destruction, and 90 percent decline in water extraction. All documented with citations and references.
Totten 189 slides on Catalyzing Zero Emission Cities - presentation to Colora...Michael P Totten
189 slides discussing a collaborative information network (COIN) to help citizens catalyze combustion-free, emission-free campuses, cities, and companies, and transition to electrification powered by solar, wind, and efficiency gains.
Michael P Totten Half-Century review Professional HighlightsMichael P Totten
17 pages of professional initiatives I have worked on and am currently focused on in creating Internet-based platform networks promoting collaborative innovation and collective intelligence focused on catalyzing accessible knowledge and resource tools to assist cities, campuses, companies and citizens to transform from a fossil-fuel economy to solar-based economy within the next 25 years.
LEAST-COST-&-RISK LIFECYCLE DELIVERED ENERGY SERVICESMichael P Totten
147-slide deck used in seminar at the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB), Nov. 12, 2014, Energy Training Workshop. Whereas the IDB has skewed investment and financial support to South and Central American and Caribbean nations into large-scale hydrodams, and large-scale fossil fuel projects (power plants, pipelines), this presentation focuses on the superior least-cost-and-risk strategy based on end-use efficiency gains, onsite and distributed microgrids, powered with solar and wind power.
287 slide deck from seminar given to Colorado Yale Association, January 2016 on 1) global ruptures occurring from climate destabilization (eruptions) and ecosystem destruction, 2) innovative technologies, policies and behaviors (disruptions) to address, prevent and solve these wicked problems, and 3) the resistance to such positive changes by legacy industries and politicians (corruptions).
IoN - Human-Centric Internet of Networks - Michael P Totten presentation at H...Michael P Totten
Smart LED Solid-State Lighting (SSL) luminaires with color tunable and dimmable capabilities, linked to the Internet offer enhanced benefits for human well-being, health and productivity. Energy savings of 50 to 80% are one monetary advantage, but these savings are eclipsed by the value accruing from increased productivity and wellness benefits.
As a Presidio Fellow in Sustainability and Sports, at the Presidio Graduate School, San Francisco, CA, [http://www.presidio.edu/academics/presidiopro/certificates/sports- sustainability] I presented a class on energy efficiency and solar in sports stadiums and arenas. It covers related issues of advanced BIM (Building Information Modeling or Building Intelligence Management), Internet of Everything (IoT), continuous commissioning over building lifecycle, LED lighting systems, and more.
Great plains win-win-wind strategy 100% renewable US power michael p totten a...Michael P Totten
currently 75% of Great Plains is farmed/ranched, generating 5% of the region's total revenues. Long-term sustainability threatened by increasing frequency severity droughts, heat waves, soil erosion, dust storms - with increasing probability of long-term dust bowl. Placing several million large wind turbines on just three percent of the Great Plains would generate 100% of U.S. current power consumption, while providing farmers/ranchers with royalties twice as large as from ranching/farming. This would enable regenerative restoration of soils and carbon storage by shifting to deep-rooted, drought resistant native prairie grasses. Bison co-evolved with prairie grasses, and offer another source of revenues from healthy meat production. Eco-tourism offers an additional revenue source, given the restoration of migratory bird flyways. And soil carbon storage offers another revenue opportunity. In sharp contrast to business-as-usual, an inevitable Austerity driven future, this win-win-wind strategy is a Prosperity driven future. This is the slide presentation that visualizes an accompanying paper also posted on my slideshare site.
Michael P Totten GreenATP: APPortunities to catalyze local to global positive...Michael P Totten
Humanity’s unceasing ingenuity is generating vast economic gain for billions of people with goods unavailable to even kings and queens throughout most of history. Unfortunately, this economic growth has triggered unprecedented se- curity challenges of global and historical magnitude: more absolute poor than any time in human history, the sixth largest extinction spasm of life on earth, climate destabilization with mega-catastrophic consequences, and multi-trillion dollar wars over access to energy. These multiple, inextricably interwoven chal- lenges have low probability of being solved if decision makers maintain the strong propensity to think and act as if life is linear, has no carrying capacity limits, uncertainty is controllable, the future free of surprises, planning is predictable and compartmentalized into silos, and Gaussian distributions are taken as the norm while fat-tail futures are ignored. Although the future holds irreducible uncertainties, it is not fated. The emergence of Internet availability to one-third of humanity and access by most of humanity within a decade has spawned the Web analogue of a ‘Cambrian explosion’ of speciation in knowledge applica- tions. Among the most prodigious have been collaboration innovation networks (COINs) reflecting a diversity of ‘genome’ types, facilitating a myriad of collective intelligence crowd-swarming phenomena (Malone T, Laubacher R, Dellarocas C. The Collective Intelligence Genome. MIT Sloan Management Review, Spring; 2010, Vol. 51). COINs are essential tools for accelerating and scaling transformational solutions (positive tipping points) to the wicked problems confronting humanity. Web COINs enable acceleration of multiple-benefit innovations and solutions to these problems that permeate the nested clusters of linked nonlinear complex adaptive systems comprising the global biosphere and socioeconomy.
Slides from Michael P Totten TEDx Talk Singapore, April 2012 on need for planetary physicians practitioners network to tackle and resolve multiple mega-catastrophic risks facing the world's citizenry by applying mega-opportunities available in the planet's local communities for promoting health, well-being and prosperous livlihoods for humanity and life on earth now and generations to come.
Michael P Totten presentation Sustainability Opportunities Summit, Denver, Ma...Michael P Totten
Michael P Totten presentation at the 2009 Sustainability Opportunities Summit in Denver. Discusses linkages between rainforest loss, species loss, and positive solutions for preventing greenhouse gas emissions while helping alleviate poverty and preventing biodiversity destruction.
Michael P Totten presentation on "Biocomplexity Decisionmaking -- Innovative approaches to the inter-connected challenges of Climate destabilization, Species extinction and Mass poverty" at the 2009 Pew Foundation Annual Meeting, Programs in Biomedical Sciences, San Juan, Puerto, Rico. 125 slides showing connections and common solutions for addressing climate catastrophe, mass poverty, species extinction, and resource wars.
Totten Climate For Life Presentation 02 13 09 Duke Symposium Final UpdateMichael P Totten
"A Climate for Life" presentation by Michael P Totten, Chief Advisor, Climate, Freshwater and Ecosystem Services, Conservation International, on Feb. 13, 2009, at the "A World in Conflict: Tacking Issues of Water, Energy and Biodiversity in the Developing World," held at Duke University, Nicholas School of the Environment, Student International Discussion Group. Presentation makes case for viewing and treating these compartmentalized issues (climate, energy, water, biodiversity, poverty) from an inter-disciplinary, integrated perspective in order to avoid lost opportunities and capture synergistic, leveraging opportunities.
Climate for Life Presentation California Academy of SciencesMichael P Totten
Michael P Totten, Conservation International, presentation at the California Academy of Sciences on February 3, 2009, on the new book, A Climate for Life. Presents wide range of positive mitigation options for address threat of climate catastrophe, species extinction, and mass poverty. Roughly 50 slides, 6 Mb pdf file.
Web Mesh Agrobiodiversity Climate Water And Poverty Solutions 01 09Michael P Totten
Presentation on January 22, 2009, by Michael P Totten, Chief Advisor on Climate and Water at Conservation International, given tot the Los Angeles chapter of Bioneers. Interdisciplinary perspectives on solutions to climate catastrophe threat, species extinction threat, mass poverty, water shortages, oil and resource wars, using the Web tools for generating collective intelligence and social collaboration. Very positive outlook on seemingly intractable and irreversible perils confronting humanity this century. 13 Mb file. No voice over, but one with voice is forthcoming.
My presentation at the Washington International Renewable Energy Conference, on the serious problems of biofuel dependency when scaled globally and over this century
Totten Freshwater Challenges And Opportunities 09 26 08Michael P Totten
Freshwaster worldwide faces challenges now and increasingly more severe due to climate change and growing human demand. Are there win-win ways to conserve watersheds and freshwater species, while meeting human demand?
How to Make a Field invisible in Odoo 17Celine George
It is possible to hide or invisible some fields in odoo. Commonly using “invisible” attribute in the field definition to invisible the fields. This slide will show how to make a field invisible in odoo 17.
Acetabularia Information For Class 9 .docxvaibhavrinwa19
Acetabularia acetabulum is a single-celled green alga that in its vegetative state is morphologically differentiated into a basal rhizoid and an axially elongated stalk, which bears whorls of branching hairs. The single diploid nucleus resides in the rhizoid.
Read| The latest issue of The Challenger is here! We are thrilled to announce that our school paper has qualified for the NATIONAL SCHOOLS PRESS CONFERENCE (NSPC) 2024. Thank you for your unwavering support and trust. Dive into the stories that made us stand out!
Francesca Gottschalk - How can education support child empowerment.pptxEduSkills OECD
Francesca Gottschalk from the OECD’s Centre for Educational Research and Innovation presents at the Ask an Expert Webinar: How can education support child empowerment?
Honest Reviews of Tim Han LMA Course Program.pptxtimhan337
Personal development courses are widely available today, with each one promising life-changing outcomes. Tim Han’s Life Mastery Achievers (LMA) Course has drawn a lot of interest. In addition to offering my frank assessment of Success Insider’s LMA Course, this piece examines the course’s effects via a variety of Tim Han LMA course reviews and Success Insider comments.
Macroeconomics- Movie Location
This will be used as part of your Personal Professional Portfolio once graded.
Objective:
Prepare a presentation or a paper using research, basic comparative analysis, data organization and application of economic information. You will make an informed assessment of an economic climate outside of the United States to accomplish an entertainment industry objective.
Introduction to AI for Nonprofits with Tapp NetworkTechSoup
Dive into the world of AI! Experts Jon Hill and Tareq Monaur will guide you through AI's role in enhancing nonprofit websites and basic marketing strategies, making it easy to understand and apply.
"Protectable subject matters, Protection in biotechnology, Protection of othe...
Michael P Totten DENIN talk "Water in an Uncertain Climate Future" focusing on win-win solutions
1. Water in an Uncertain Climate
Future
Michael Totten, Chief Advisor, Climate, Water and Green
Technologies, Conservation International
Denin Dialogue Series
Delaware Environmental Institute
November 30, 2010
2. 2 to 3% Annual Average $1,000 trillion GWP
growth Gross World ~$100,000 per cap
Product (GWP) in 21st # in poverty?
Century (~10 to 20x
today’s GWP)
$500 trillion GWP
~$50,000 per cap
# in poverty?
$50 trillion GWP
~$7,500 per cap
2+ billion in
poverty
2005 2105 2105
3. More absolute poor than any time
Mass poverty
in human history
[alongside more wealth than ever]
4. Where we will be by 2100 900ppm
wierding
Climate
Parts per Million CO2
Past planetary mass extinctions
triggered by high CO2 >550ppm
5. 55 million years since oceans as acidic –
business-as-usual emissions growth
threaten collapse of marine life food web
Acidifying
Oceans
40% decline in phytoplankton – base of
the marine food web -- past 50 years
Bernie et al. 2010. Influence of mitigation policy on ocean acidification, GRL
8. Decline of North American Freshwater Fishes
Fish species 8
times more
threatened
than
mammals or
birds in the
USA
Map source: Jelks, H. J., S. J.
Walsh, N. M. Burkhead, S.
Contreras-Balderas, E. Díaz-
Pardo, D. A. Hendrickson, J.
Lyons, N. E. Mandrak, F.
McCormick, J. S. Nelson, S. P.
Platania, B. A. Porter, C. B.
Renaud, J. J. Schmitter-Soto, E.
B. Taylor, and M. L. Warren, Jr.
2008. Conservation status of
imperiled North American
freshwater and diadromous
fishes. Fisheries 33(8): 372–40
9. 37% Freshwater Fish Species Threatened
%
Sources: IUCN Red List 2009 for species threatened, and
IUCN 2000 for map
10. 2 billion people lack safe water
Ashok Gadgil, Global Water Solutions through Technology, Affordable safe drinking water for poor communities in the developing countries, Purdue
Calumet, 10/23/08, www.purdue.edu/dp/energy/events/great_lakes_water_quality_conference/content/Gadgil_Purdue_Global-water%202008.pdf
11. Every hour 200 children under 5 die from drinking
dirty water. Every year, 60 million children reach
adulthood stunted for good.
Ashok Gadgil, Global Water Solutions through Technology, Affordable safe drinking water for poor communities in the developing countries, Purdue
Calumet, 10/23/08, www.purdue.edu/dp/energy/events/great_lakes_water_quality_conference/content/Gadgil_Purdue_Global-water%202008.pdf
12. 4 billion annual episodes of diarrhea exhaust
physical strength to perform labor -- cost billions of
dollars in lost income to the poor
Ashok Gadgil, Global Water Solutions through Technology, Affordable safe drinking water for poor communities in the developing countries, Purdue
Calumet, 10/23/08, www.purdue.edu/dp/energy/events/great_lakes_water_quality_conference/content/Gadgil_Purdue_Global-water%202008.pdf
13. Incident Human Water Security Threat
Source: C. J. Vorosmarty et al. 2010. Global threats to human water security and river
biodiversity. Nature. V.467 30 Sept. 2010
14. Incident Biodiversity Threat
Source: C. J. Vorosmarty et al. 2010. Global threats to human water security and river biodiversity. Nature. V.467 30 Sept. 2010
15. Threat to Human Water Security & Biodiversity
Source: C. J. Vorosmarty et al. 2010. Global threats to human water security and river biodiversity. Nature. V.467 30 Sept. 2010
16. Intensive farming
and grazing
practices and
deforestation in
China have led to
more frequent dust
storms, like this
one in 2001 that
swept aerosol
particles into the
Great Lakes region
of the US, and even
left a sprinkling in
the Alps mountains
in Europe.
17. Increased dust in the Sahel, which can spread far out to sea (inset), has been linked to
agriculture. Credit: J. Leyrer/NIOZ (photo); NASA (inset)
18. Direction of change in water run-off by 2060
2 C increase
4 C increase
drier areas dry further &
wetter areas become wetter
Source: Fai Fung, Ana Lopez and Mark New. 2010. Water availability in +2°C and +4°C worlds References, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 2011
369, 99-116
19. Seasonal changes Mean Annual Run-off 2060
Nile Ganges Murray Darling
+2 C
+4 C
Danube Mississippi Amazon
+2 C
increasing
to +4 C by
2100
Source: Fai Fung, Ana Lopez and Mark New. 2010. Water availability in +2°C and +4°C worlds References, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 2011
369, 99-116
20. Climate Impact on Agricultural Productivity at +4°C
William Cline, Global Warming and Agriculture, Impacts by Country 2007.
21. Interactions may result in societal impacts that are
greater than the sum of individual sectoral impacts
23. Comparing Cumulative Emissions for 350 ppm CO2 Trajectory
GtCO2 BAU >80 GtCO2 and >850 ppm
Based on 6 Celsius average
global temperature rise due to
greater climate sensitivity
Need to reverse CO2 emissions by 2015
and become negative CO2 by 2050 to
achieve <350 ppm
Main difference between projections is assumption of rate of technology diffusion
Source: F. Ackerman, E.A. Stanton, S.J. DeCanio et al., The Economics of 350: The
Benefits and Costs of Climate Stabilization, October 2009, www.e3network.org/
24. Where the world needs to go:
energy-related CO2 emissions per capita
>$/GDP/cap
Source: WDR, adapted from NRC (National Research Council). 2008. The National Academies Summit on America’s Energy Future: Summary of a Meeting.
Washington, DC: National Academies Press.based on data from World Bank 2008. World Development Indicators 2008.
25. Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) Misleading
… a more illuminating and constructive analysis would be determining
the level of "catastrophe insurance" needed:
"rough comparisons could perhaps be made with
the potentially-huge payoffs, small probabilities,
and significant costs involved in countering
terrorism, building anti-ballistic missile shields, or
neutralizing hostile dictatorships possibly
harboring weapons of mass destruction
Martin Weitzman
…A crude natural metric for calibrating cost estimates of climate-change
environmental insurance policies might be that the U.S. already spends
approximately 3% [~$400 billion in 2010] of national income on the cost
of a clean environment."
MARTIN WEITZMAN. 2008. On Modeling and Interpreting the Economics of Catastrophic Climate Change. REStat FINAL
Version July 7, 2008, http://www.economics.harvard.edu/faculty/weitzman/files/REStatFINAL.pdf.
27. Examples of uncertainties identified in each of 3
knowledge relationships of knowledge
Unpredictability Incomplete knowledge Multiple knowledge frames
Natural system
Technical system
Social system
Brugnach, M., A. Dewulf, C. Pahl-Wostl, and T. Taillieu. 2008. Toward a relational concept of uncertainty: about knowing too little, knowing too
differently, and accepting not to know. Ecology and Society 13(2): 30. [online] URL: http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol13/iss2/art30/
28. USA Water Chart 2004
45% US water use
75% US water consumption
29. A new water disinfector for the
developing world’s poor
DESIGN CRITERIA
• Meet /exceed WHO & EPA criteria for
disinfection
• Energy efficient: 60W UV lamp disinfects 1
ton per hour (1000 liters, 264 gallons, or 1
m3)
• Low cost: 4¢ disinfects 1 ton of water Dr Ashok Gadgil, inventor
• Reliable, Mature components
• Can treat unpressurized water
• Rapid throughput: 12 seconds
• Low maintenance: 4x per year
• No overdose risk
• Fail-safe
Ashok Gadgil, Global Water Solutions through Technology, Affordable safe drinking water for poor communities in the developing countries,
Purdue Calumet, 10/23/08, www.purdue.edu/dp/energy/events/great_lakes_water_quality_conference/content/Gadgil_Purdue_Global-
water%202008.pdf WaterHealth Intl device
30. WHI’s Investment Cost Advantage vs.
Other Treatment Options
Ashok Gadgil, Global Water Solutions through Technology, Affordable safe drinking water for poor communities in the developing countries, Purdue
Calumet, 10/23/08, www.purdue.edu/dp/energy/events/great_lakes_water_quality_conference/content/Gadgil_Purdue_Global-water%202008.pdf
31. WaterHealth International
The system effectively purifies and disinfects water contaminated with a broad range of
pathogens, including polio and roto viruses, oocysts, such as Cryptosporidium and
Giardia. The standard system is designed to provide 20 liters of potable water per
person, per day, for a community of 3,000 people.
Ashok Gadgil, Global Water Solutions through Technology, Affordable safe drinking water for poor communities in the developing countries, Purdue
Calumet, 10/23/08, www.purdue.edu/dp/energy/events/great_lakes_water_quality_conference/content/Gadgil_Purdue_Global-water%202008.pdf
32. WaterHealth International
Business model reaches underserved by including financing for the purchase and installation of
our systems. User fees for treated water are used to repay loans and to cover the expenses of
operating and maintaining the equipment and facility.
Community members hired to conduct day-to-day maintenance of these “micro-utilities,” thus
creating employment and building capacity, as well as generating entrepreneurial opportunities
for local residents to provide related services, such as sales and distribution of the purified water
to outlying areas.
And because the facilities are owned by the communities in which they are installed, the user
fees become attractive sources of revenue for the community after loans have been repaid.
Ashok Gadgil, Global Water Solutions through Technology, Affordable safe drinking water for poor communities in the developing countries, Purdue
Calumet, 10/23/08, www.purdue.edu/dp/energy/events/great_lakes_water_quality_conference/content/Gadgil_Purdue_Global-water%202008.pdf
33. Soft Water Path
More productive, Less cost, Less damage
Globally, nearly 70% of water withdrawals go to
irrigated agriculture, yet conventional irrigation
can waste as much as 80% of the water.
Such waste is driven by misplaced subsidies and
artificially low water prices, often unconnected to
the amount of water used.
Drip irrigation systems for water intensive crops
such as cotton can mean water savings of up to
80% compared to conventional flood irrigation
systems, but these techniques are out of reach
for most small farmers.
Currently drip irrigation accounts for only 1% of
the world‟s irrigated area.
Gleick, Peter H., Global Freshwater Resources: Soft-Path Solutions for the 21st Century, State of the
Planet Special, Science, Nov. 28, 2003 V. 302, pp.1524-28, www.pacinst.org/
34. Immense Water Waste
The efficiency of irrigation techniques is low and globally up to 1500
trillion liters (~400 trillion gallons) of water are wasted annually
WWF, Dam Right! Rivers at Risk, Dams & Future of Freshwater Ecosystems, 2003
35. Hoekstra, A.Y. (2008) Measuring your water footprint: What’s next in water strategy, Leading Perspectives, Summer 2008, pp. 12-13, 19,
http://www.waterfootprint.org/?page=files/CorporateWaterFootprints.
36. Energy/Water Integration Benefits
during Drought Periods
Source: Andrew Belden, Priscilla Cole, Holly Conte et al. 2008. Integrated Policy and Planning for Water and Energy,
Center for Energy and Environmental Policy, Univ. of Delaware.
37. 1200 100,000+
1000
Water consumption per kWh
(relative to wind power=1)
800
600
1022
400 784
552 541
200
1 4 5 38
0
39. Hydrodams 7% GHG emissions
Tucuruí dam, Brazil
St. Louis VL, Kelly CA, Duchemin E, et al. 2000. Reservoir surfaces as sources of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere: a global estimate. BioScience
50: 766–75,
40. Net Emissions from Brazilian Reservoirs compared with
Combined Cycle Natural Gas
Emissions: Emissions:
Reservoir Generating km2/ Emissions
DAM Hydro CC Gas
Area Capacity Ratio
MW (MtCO2- (MtCO2-
(km2) (MW) Hydro/Gas
eq/yr) eq/yr)
Tucuruí 24330 4240 6 8.60 2.22 4
Curuá-
72 40 2 0.15 0.02 7.5
Una
Balbina 3150 250 13 6.91 0.12 58
Source: Patrick McCully, Tropical Hydropower is a Significant Source of Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Interim response to the International
Hydropower Association, International Rivers Network, June 2004
41. What about Biofuels?
The water requirements of energy
derived from biomass are about 70 to
400 times more than that of other energy
carriers such as fossil fuels, wind, and
solar. More than 90% of the water
needed is used in the production of the
feedstock.
Source: Gerbens-Leenes, P.W., A. Hoekstra, Th. van der Meer. 2008. Water footprint of bio-energy and other primary
energy carriers. Value of Water Research Report Series No. 29. UNESCO-IHE, Delft, the Netherlands..
42. Projections of crop water use and
irrigation withdrawals for bio-energy
Source: De Fraiture, C. & Berndes, G. 2009. Biofuels and water. Pages 139-153 in R.W. Howarth and S. Bringezu (Eds.)
Biofuels: Environmental Consequences and Interactions with Changing Land Use. Proceedings of the Scientific Committee
on Problems of the Environment (SCOPE) International Biofuels Project Rapid Assessment, 22-25 September 2008,
Gummersbach, Germany. Ithaca NY: Cornell University. http://cip.cornell.edu/biofuels/) .
43. Food, Fuel, Species
Tradeoffs?
By 2100, an additional 1700 million ha of
land required for agriculture.
800 MILLION HA OF ADDITIONAL LAND FOR
MEDIUM GROWTH BIOFUEL SCENARIOS.
Intact ecosystems and biodiversity-rich
habitats under constant threat.
44. Area to Power 100% of U.S. Onroad Vehicles?
Solar-w/storage
Wind turbines
ground footprint
Wind-w/storage
turbine spacing
Cellulosic ethanol
Corn ethanol
Solar-storage and Wind-storage refer to battery storage of these intermittent renewable resources in
plug-in electric driven vehicles, CAES or other storage technologies
Mark Z. Jacobson, Wind Versus Biofuels for Addressing Climate, Health, and Energy, Atmosphere/Energy Program, Dept. of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Stanford University, March 5,
45. A power source delivered daily and locally everywhere
worldwide, continuously for billions of years, never
failing, never interrupted, never subject to the volatility
afflicting every energy and power source used in driving
economic activity
Solar Fusion Waste as Earth Nutrients –
1336 Watts per m2 in the Photon Bit stream
47. In the USA, cities and residences cover 56 million hectares.
Every kWh of current U.S. energy requirements can be met simply by
applying photovoltaics (PV) to 7% of existing urban area—
on roofs, parking lots, along highway walls, on sides of buildings, and
in dual-uses. Requires 93% less water than fossil fuels.
Experts say we wouldn’t have to appropriate a single acre of new
land to make PV our primary energy source!
48. Solar Photovoltaics (PV) satisfying 90%
total US electricity from brownfields
90% of America’s current electricity could
be supplied with PV systems built in the
“brown-fields”— the estimated 2+
million hectares of abandoned industrial
sites that exist in our nation’s cities.
Cleaning Up
Brownfield
Sites w/
PV solar
Larry Kazmerski, Dispelling the 7 Myths of Solar Electricity, 2001, National Renewable Energy Lab, www.nrel.gov/;
49. China Economics of Commercial BIPV
Building-Integrated Photovoltaics
Net Present Values (NPV), Benefit-Cost Ratios (BCR)
& Payback Periods (PBP) for „Architectural‟ BIPV
(Thin Film, Wall-Mounted PV) in Beijing and
Shanghai (assuming a 15% Investment Tax Credit)
Material Economic
Beijing Shanghai
Replaced Measure
NPV ($) +$18,586 +$14,237
Polished BCR 2.33 2.14
Stone PBP (yrs) 1 1
NPV ($) +$15,373 +$11,024
BCR 1.89 1.70
Aluminum
PBP (yrs) 2 2
SunSlate Building-Integrated
Photovoltaics (BIPV) commercial
building in Switzerland
Byrne et al, Economics of Building Integrated PV in China, July 2001, Univ. of Delaware, Center for Energy and Environmental Policy, Twww.udel.edu/ceep/T]
50. China EconomicsCommercial BIPV
Economics of of Commercial BIPV
Reference costs of facade-cladding materials
BIPV is so economically attractive because it
captures both energy savings and savings from
displacing other expensive building materials.
Eiffert, P., Guidelines for the Economic Evaluation of Building-Integrated Photovoltaic Power Systems, International Energy Agency PVPS Task 7:
Photovoltaic Power Systems in the Built Environment, Jan. 2003, National Renewable Energy Lab, NREL/TP-550-31977, www.nrel.gov/
52. 21GW
Global Cumulative PV Growth 1998-2008
MW
40% annual growth rate
Doubling <22 months
40% annual growth rate through
2030 could provide twice current
total world energy use
Compared to:
Wind power 121,000 MW [158,000 in 2009]
Nuclear power 350,000 MW
Hydro power 770,000 MW
Natural Gas power 1 million MW
Coal power 2 million MW
2009
53. What Annual Growth Rate Can Solar PV Sustain this Century?
16,000,000
14,000,000
Solar PV Growth@ 25% perper year
Solar PV Growth @ 25% year
12,000,000
Megawatts
10,000,000
59
8,000,000
6,000,000
TW
4,000,000
by
2,000,000 2075
0
2000
1 2009
4 2021
7 2033
10 2045
13 2057
16 2089
2069
2069
19
Year
Equal to total world consumption in 2009
16,000,000
Solar PV Growth@ 15% per per year
Solar PV Growth @ 15% year
14,000,000
12,000,000
59
Megawatts
10,000,000
8,000,000 TW
6,000,000 by
4,000,000 2119
2,000,000
0
2000 2009 2029 2049 2069 2089 2109
1 4 7 10 13 16 2109
19
Year
54. Ken Zweibel. 2009. Plug‐in Hybrids, Solar, & Wind, Institute for Analysis of Solar Energy, George Washington University,
zweibel@gwu.edu , http://Solar.gwu.edu/
56. Solar power beats thermal plants within their
construction lead time—at zero carbon price
Source: Amory Lovins, RMI2009 from Ideas to Solutions, Reinventing Fire, Nov. 2009, www.rmi.org/ citing SunPower analysis
57. Federal Research & Development Funds
Billion $ 2008 constant
90 $85
2
80
Civilian Nuclear Power
70
(1948 – 2009)
60
vs. 50
40
Solar Photovoltaics 30
(1975-2009) 20
10 $4.2
1
0 1 2
PV NUCLEAR
58. GIS Mapping the Solar
Potential of Urban Rooftops
100% Total Global Energy Needs -- NO NEW LAND,
WATER, FUELS OR EMISSIONS – Achievable this Century
Germany's SUN-AREA Research Project Uses ArcGIS to calculate the possible solar yield per building for city of Osnabroeck.
59. Solar smart poly-grids
Continuous algorithm measures incoming solar radiation, converts to usable energy
provided by solar photovoltaic (PV) power systems, calculates revenue stream based
on real-time dynamic power market price points, cross integrates data with
administrative and financial programs for installing and maintaining solar PV systems.
60. Smart Grid Web-based Solar Power Auctions
Smart Grid Collective intelligence design based on digital map
algorithms continuously calculating solar gain. Information used to rank
expansion of solar panel locations.
61. Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) & Decoupling sales from
revenues are key to harnessing Efficiency Power Plants
For delivering least-cost & risk electricity, natural gas & water services
USA minus CA & NY
Per Capital
Electricity 165 GW
Consumption Coal
Power
New York Plants
California
[EPPs]
Californian‟s have
net savings of
$1,000 per family
California 30 year proof of IRP value in promoting
lower cost efficiency over new power plants or
hydro dams, and lower GHG emissions.
California signed MOUs with Provinces in China
to share IRP expertise (now underway in Jiangsu).
62. Achieving the 2050 Greenhouse Gas Reduction Goal How Far Can We Reach with Energy Efficiency?, Arthur H. Rosenfeld, Commissioner, California Energy
Commission, (916) 654-4930, ARosenfe@Energy.State.CA.US , http://www.energy.ca.gov/commission/commissioners/rosenfeld.html
63. CO2 Abatement potential & cost for 2020
Breakdown by abatement type:
• 9 Gt terrestrial carbon (forestry & agriculture)
• 6 Gt energy efficiency
• 4 Gt low carbon energy supply
Zero net cost counting efficiency savings. Not counting the efficiency savings the
incremental cost of achieving a 450 ppm path is $66-96 billion per year between 2010–2020 for
developing countries and $48–60 billion for developed countries, or less than 1 % of global GDP, or
about half the $258 billion per year currently spent subsidizing fossil fuels.
64. Universal symbol for Efficiency
eta
η The best thing
about low-
hanging fruit
is that it keeps
growing back.
SHRINKING footprints through Continuous innovation
65. ELECTRIC MOTOR SYSTEMS
Now use 1/2 global power
50% efficiency savings achievable
90% cost savings
66. Cost of new delivered electricity (cents per kWh)
CCS
US current
average
nuclear coal CC gas wind farm CC ind bldg scale recycled end-use
cogen cogen ind cogen efficiency
Amory Lovins & Imran Sheikh, The Nuclear Illusion, May 2008, www.rmi.org
67. How much coal-fired electricity can be displaced by investing
one dollar to make or save delivered electricity 2¢ 50
33
25
nuclear coal CC gas wind farm CC ind bldg scale recycled end-use
cogen cogen ind cogen efficiency
Amory Lovins & Imran Sheikh, The Nuclear Illusion, May 2008, www.rmi.org
68. 2¢ 47
Coal-fired CO2 emissions displaced
per dollar spent on electrical services
1¢: 93 kg
CO2/$
32
23
nuclear coal CC gas wind farm CC ind bldg scale recycled end-use
cogen cogen ind cogen efficiency
Amory Lovins & Imran Sheikh, The Nuclear Illusion, May 2008, www.rmi.org
69.
70.
71.
72.
73. Michael Totten
Conservation International
mtotten@conservation.org
THANK
YOU!
76. Mississippi River Delta
Using Wastewater Pollutants as Feedstock for
Biofuel Production through Algae Systems
Yangtze River Pearl River
77.
78. Small Land footprint
Only Wastewater as Feedstock
Butanol, Biodiesel and Clean Water Outputs
79.
80. Source: Walter Adey, Director, Marine Systems, Smithsonian Institute, email: ADEYW@si.edu ph: 202 633-0923
81. Nutrient Rich Water Clean water
(Sewage, polluted river water) Lower N P P, higher O2 + pH
ATS
+ atmospheric CO2 Less CO2 in atmosphere
(or power plant stack gases)
ALGAL
CO2 BIOMASS
Biobutanol Solvent
Fermenter Extraction
(Clostridium butylicum
Oil
Ethanol
C. Pasteurianum, etc.)
Acetone C6H12O6 C4H9OH + CO2 + …
Transesterification
Lactic Acid
Acetic Acid
Organic Biodiesel
Fertilizer
Source: Walter Adey, Director, Marine Systems, Smithsonian Institute, email: ADEYW@si.edu ph: 202 633-0923
82. Biofuel Production from Algal
Turf Scrubber Biomass
(50 tons per acre or 125 tons per hectare per year, dry)
Estimated Biofuel Production
(gallons per acre or ha per year)
Algae
butanol 1520
+ 2000
biodiesel [3,770 gal/ha/yr]
[5,000 gal/ha/yr]
Corn (ethanol) 500 ----
[1,250 gal/ha/yr]
Soy (biodiesel) ---- 100
[250 gal/ha/yr]
Source: Walter Adey, Director, Marine Systems, Smithsonian Institute, email: ADEYW@si.edu ph: 202 633-0923
83. 95% U.S. terrestrial wind resources in Great Plains
Figures of Merit
Great Plains area
1,200,000 mi2
Provide 100% U.S. electricity
400,000 3MW wind turbines
Platform footprint
6 mi2
Large Wyoming Strip Mine
>6 mi2
Total WindFarm spacing area
37,500 mi2
Still available for farming
and prairie restoration
90%+ (34,000 mi2)
CO2 U.S. electricity sector
40% USA total GHG emissions
84. Wind Farm Royalties – Could Double
farm/ranch income with 30x less land area
Although agriculture controls about 70%
of Great Plains land area, it contributes 4
to 8% of the Gross Regional Product.
Wind farms could enable one of the
greatest economic booms in American
history for Great Plains rural
communities, while also enabling one of
world’s largest restorations of native
prairie ecosystems
How?
The three sub-regions of the Great Plains are: Northern Great Plains = Montana, North Dakota,
South Dakota; Central Great Plains = Wyoming, Nebraska, Colorado, Kansas; Southern Great Plains
= Oklahoma, New Mexico, and Texas. (Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 1998, USDA 1997 Census of Agriculture)
85. Wind Royalties – Sustainable source of
Rural Farm and Ranch Income
US Farm Revenues per hectare
Crop revenue Govt. subsidy
non-wind farm Wind profits
windpower farm
$0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250
windpower farm non-wind farm
govt. subsidy $0 $60
windpower royalty $200 $0
farm commodity revenues $50 $64
Williams, Robert, Nuclear and Alternative Energy Supply Options for an Environmentally Constrained World, April 9, 2001, http://www.nci.org/