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MARKET REGULATION
A HELP OR HINDRANCE TO THE GROWTH OF GREEN HEAT?
SIRACH NETWORKING MEETING | LONDON | 16.10.2018
CONTACT:
Lukas Bergmann | lukas.bergmann@delta-ee.com | +44 (0)131 625 3332
© Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018
Contents
► Why do we need regulation?
► What types of regulation are there?
► What makes or breaks a regulation’s
success?
► Which ones work best?
► Do we regulate at the right level?
► What do we want to achieve?
► Is regulation on its own enough?
SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 2
© Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018
Contents
► Why market regulation is a necessary evil in today’s heating market
► Examples of successful market regulation promoting green heat
► What are the criteria for successful market regulation?
3SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018
© Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018
Market regulation – A necessary evil?
SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 4
© Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018
Examples of successful regulation for green(er) heat
SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 5
The UK’s non-
condensing
boiler ban
Source: C. Elwell et al. (2015)
© Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018
Examples of successful regulation for green(er) heat
SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 6
The jump-
start of the
French HP
market...
...and its
revival in new
build
© Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018
Examples of successful regulation for green(er) heat
SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 7
Germany’s
current new
build boom
© Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018
5 Criteria for successful market regulation
SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 8
1. Be ready
Market
Readiness
Workforce
TechnologyFinance
© Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018
5 Criteria for successful market regulation
SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 9
2. Be
consistent
© Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018
5 Criteria for successful market regulation
SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 10
2. Be
consistent
© Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018
5 Criteria for successful market regulation
SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 11
3. Be open to
innovation
© Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018
5 Criteria for successful market regulation
SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 12
4. Be simple,
yet rigorous
3 targets
1 calculation
methodology
available as
software
© Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018
5 Criteria for successful market regulation
SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 13
5. Tackle the
fundamentals
© Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018
Summary
Market regulation is needed for the
growth of green heat, but it needs
to fulfil certain criteria for success:
1. Market readiness
2. Consistency
3. Openness for innovation
4. Simplicity
5. Tackling the fundamentals
SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 14
© Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018
Summary
Market regulation is needed for the
growth of green heat, but it needs
to fulfil certain criteria for success:
1. Market readiness
2. Consistency
3. Openness for innovation
4. Simplicity
5. Tackling the fundamentals
SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 15
© Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018
Summary
Market regulation is needed for the
growth of green heat, but it needs
to fulfil certain criteria for success:
1. Market readiness
2. Consistency
3. Openness for innovation
4. Simplicity
5. Tackling the fundamentals
SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 16

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Delta-ee - Market Regulation - Help or Hindrance for Green Heat

  • 1. MARKET REGULATION A HELP OR HINDRANCE TO THE GROWTH OF GREEN HEAT? SIRACH NETWORKING MEETING | LONDON | 16.10.2018 CONTACT: Lukas Bergmann | lukas.bergmann@delta-ee.com | +44 (0)131 625 3332
  • 2. © Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018 Contents ► Why do we need regulation? ► What types of regulation are there? ► What makes or breaks a regulation’s success? ► Which ones work best? ► Do we regulate at the right level? ► What do we want to achieve? ► Is regulation on its own enough? SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 2
  • 3. © Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018 Contents ► Why market regulation is a necessary evil in today’s heating market ► Examples of successful market regulation promoting green heat ► What are the criteria for successful market regulation? 3SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018
  • 4. © Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018 Market regulation – A necessary evil? SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 4
  • 5. © Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018 Examples of successful regulation for green(er) heat SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 5 The UK’s non- condensing boiler ban Source: C. Elwell et al. (2015)
  • 6. © Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018 Examples of successful regulation for green(er) heat SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 6 The jump- start of the French HP market... ...and its revival in new build
  • 7. © Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018 Examples of successful regulation for green(er) heat SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 7 Germany’s current new build boom
  • 8. © Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018 5 Criteria for successful market regulation SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 8 1. Be ready Market Readiness Workforce TechnologyFinance
  • 9. © Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018 5 Criteria for successful market regulation SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 9 2. Be consistent
  • 10. © Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018 5 Criteria for successful market regulation SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 10 2. Be consistent
  • 11. © Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018 5 Criteria for successful market regulation SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 11 3. Be open to innovation
  • 12. © Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018 5 Criteria for successful market regulation SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 12 4. Be simple, yet rigorous 3 targets 1 calculation methodology available as software
  • 13. © Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018 5 Criteria for successful market regulation SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 13 5. Tackle the fundamentals
  • 14. © Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018 Summary Market regulation is needed for the growth of green heat, but it needs to fulfil certain criteria for success: 1. Market readiness 2. Consistency 3. Openness for innovation 4. Simplicity 5. Tackling the fundamentals SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 14
  • 15. © Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018 Summary Market regulation is needed for the growth of green heat, but it needs to fulfil certain criteria for success: 1. Market readiness 2. Consistency 3. Openness for innovation 4. Simplicity 5. Tackling the fundamentals SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 15
  • 16. © Delta Energy & Environment Ltd 2018 Summary Market regulation is needed for the growth of green heat, but it needs to fulfil certain criteria for success: 1. Market readiness 2. Consistency 3. Openness for innovation 4. Simplicity 5. Tackling the fundamentals SIRACH NETWORKING EVENT | 16.10.2018 16

Editor's Notes

  1. Pleasure to be here Topic today very important but also very contentious Regulation = intervention of the state in markets & the behaviour of their actors Often seen as a barrier to innovation and business – the famous red tape Seen by others as safe guard against a free for all society
  2. When preparing the presentation lots of questions were going through my mind: Why do we need regulation? What types of regulation are there? What makes some market interventions more successful than others?
  3. Why do we need intervention by the Government in the heating market? Most people in the UK are adequately warm, the main fuel – natural gas – is cheap and reliable So why intervene? Proverbial elephant in the room is Climate Change But the real issue, the real driver for regulation is an underlying market failure. Climate Change is in most modern societies a generally acknowledged fact The risks of inducing more significant climate change by continuing to burn fossil fuels in the same way as before are getting clearer by the day And yet, we as individuals, as businesses, widely fail to adapt our behaviour. We choose to fly rather than take the train, we choose to waste energy by living in uninsulated homes and we do not choose a lower carbon alternative for our heating even when one is available. And there’s a reason for this: We can afford it, because the hidden costs of fossil fuels are not apparent to us in our day to day spending or on our balance sheets.
  4. Financial support measures on their own are insufficient For support to be successful in the long term the market needs to be ready Market readiness of Workforce, Technology and Finance
  5. This is in particular related to regulations regarding the construction standards Potentially too much of an effort has been
  6. This is in particular related to regulations regarding the construction standards Potentially too much of an effort has been
  7. Valid for all types of regulation, except probably minimum quality standards
  8. This is in particular related to regulations regarding the construction standards Potentially too much of an effort has been
  9. The closer you get to the fundamental issue you are trying to solve, the cheaper and more successful you are going to be. In order to heal the patient we need to be treating the disease, not its symptoms. And the fundamental issue hindering greater energy efficiency and any type of green heat is the current low cost of fossil fuels that is not reflective of their true cost to society. The basic economic truth is that in order to overcome the market failure, these externalised costs will have to be paid by someone, whether through subsidies, higher costs of alternative fuels or a combination of the two. By allocating the cost to the fuels that are the problem, e.g. based on their carbon content, we could use the forces of the market to optimise reaching our goals.
  10. Creating a market against an adverse economic environment will feel like rolling a rock up a hill at best But at current energy price levels we’re not working ourselves up a hill, we’re pushing the rock up an escalator – going down, whereas we really need it to be going up.
  11. Creating a market against an adverse economic environment will feel like rolling a rock up a hill at best But at current energy price levels we’re not working ourselves up a hill, we’re pushing the rock up an escalator – going down, whereas we really need it to be going up.
  12. Creating a market against an adverse economic environment will feel like rolling a rock up a hill at best But at current energy price levels we’re not working ourselves up a hill, we’re pushing the rock up an escalator – going down, whereas we really need it to be going up.