Bayesian
statistics
Name : Vincy joel
Roll no: 227r1a7370
Sub: Deep Learning
Class: AIML-B
Introduction to Bayesian Statistics in Deep Learning
• Bayesian statistics provides a probabilistic framework for
modeling uncertainty in data and model parameters.
• In deep learning, it enables the quantification of uncertainty in
predictions, improving model robustness.
• This approach contrasts with traditional point estimates,
offering a more comprehensive understanding of model
behavior.
Foundations of Bayesian Inference
• Bayesian inference combines prior beliefs with observed data
using Bayes' theorem to update probabilities.
• The prior distribution encodes initial assumptions before seeing
data.
• The posterior distribution reflects updated beliefs after
considering the data.
Key Concepts: Prior, Likelihood, and Posterior
• The prior represents initial uncertainty about model parameters
before observing data.
• The likelihood models the probability of observed data given
parameters.
• The posterior is proportional to the product of prior and
likelihood, representing updated beliefs.
Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs)
• BNNs incorporate probability distributions over network
weights instead of fixed values.
• They provide a measure of uncertainty in predictions, useful for
high-stakes applications.
• Training involves approximating the posterior distribution, often
using variational inference or Monte Carlo methods.
Variational Inference in Deep Learning
• Variational inference approximates complex posterior
distributions with simpler, parameterized distributions.
• It turns Bayesian inference into an optimization problem,
making it computationally feasible for large models.
• This approach is widely used in Bayesian deep learning due to
scalability and efficiency.
Monte Carlo Dropout as Approximate Bayesian
Inference
• Monte Carlo Dropout uses dropout at inference time to
approximate Bayesian posterior sampling.
• It provides an easy-to-implement method for estimating
uncertainty without changing the model architecture.
• This technique has been popular for uncertainty quantification
in deep neural networks.
Benefits of Bayesian Deep Learning
• Bayesian methods improve model calibration, making
probabilistic predictions more reliable.
• They enable uncertainty estimation, which is crucial for safety-
critical applications.
• Bayesian approaches can reduce overfitting by incorporating
prior knowledge into the learning process.
Challenges and Limitations
• Bayesian inference in deep learning can be computationally
intensive and complex to implement.
• Approximate methods may introduce biases or understate
uncertainty if not carefully applied.
• Scalability to very large neural networks remains an ongoing
research challenge.
Applications of Bayesian Deep Learning
• Bayesian deep learning is used in medical diagnosis,
autonomous vehicles, and financial forecasting.
• It helps improve decision-making by providing confidence
intervals and uncertainty measures.
• Ongoing research explores integrating Bayesian methods with
other deep learning techniques for enhanced performance.
Conclusion and Future Directions
• Bayesian statistics offers powerful tools for uncertainty
quantification in deep learning models.
• Advances in approximate inference methods are making
Bayesian deep learning more scalable and practical.
• Future research aims to combine Bayesian principles with large-
scale models to enhance reliability and interpretability.
Thank you

Deep_Learning.pptx on model training and evaluating

  • 1.
    Bayesian statistics Name : Vincyjoel Roll no: 227r1a7370 Sub: Deep Learning Class: AIML-B
  • 2.
    Introduction to BayesianStatistics in Deep Learning • Bayesian statistics provides a probabilistic framework for modeling uncertainty in data and model parameters. • In deep learning, it enables the quantification of uncertainty in predictions, improving model robustness. • This approach contrasts with traditional point estimates, offering a more comprehensive understanding of model behavior.
  • 3.
    Foundations of BayesianInference • Bayesian inference combines prior beliefs with observed data using Bayes' theorem to update probabilities. • The prior distribution encodes initial assumptions before seeing data. • The posterior distribution reflects updated beliefs after considering the data.
  • 4.
    Key Concepts: Prior,Likelihood, and Posterior • The prior represents initial uncertainty about model parameters before observing data. • The likelihood models the probability of observed data given parameters. • The posterior is proportional to the product of prior and likelihood, representing updated beliefs.
  • 5.
    Bayesian Neural Networks(BNNs) • BNNs incorporate probability distributions over network weights instead of fixed values. • They provide a measure of uncertainty in predictions, useful for high-stakes applications. • Training involves approximating the posterior distribution, often using variational inference or Monte Carlo methods.
  • 6.
    Variational Inference inDeep Learning • Variational inference approximates complex posterior distributions with simpler, parameterized distributions. • It turns Bayesian inference into an optimization problem, making it computationally feasible for large models. • This approach is widely used in Bayesian deep learning due to scalability and efficiency.
  • 7.
    Monte Carlo Dropoutas Approximate Bayesian Inference • Monte Carlo Dropout uses dropout at inference time to approximate Bayesian posterior sampling. • It provides an easy-to-implement method for estimating uncertainty without changing the model architecture. • This technique has been popular for uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks.
  • 8.
    Benefits of BayesianDeep Learning • Bayesian methods improve model calibration, making probabilistic predictions more reliable. • They enable uncertainty estimation, which is crucial for safety- critical applications. • Bayesian approaches can reduce overfitting by incorporating prior knowledge into the learning process.
  • 9.
    Challenges and Limitations •Bayesian inference in deep learning can be computationally intensive and complex to implement. • Approximate methods may introduce biases or understate uncertainty if not carefully applied. • Scalability to very large neural networks remains an ongoing research challenge.
  • 10.
    Applications of BayesianDeep Learning • Bayesian deep learning is used in medical diagnosis, autonomous vehicles, and financial forecasting. • It helps improve decision-making by providing confidence intervals and uncertainty measures. • Ongoing research explores integrating Bayesian methods with other deep learning techniques for enhanced performance.
  • 11.
    Conclusion and FutureDirections • Bayesian statistics offers powerful tools for uncertainty quantification in deep learning models. • Advances in approximate inference methods are making Bayesian deep learning more scalable and practical. • Future research aims to combine Bayesian principles with large- scale models to enhance reliability and interpretability.
  • 12.