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International Journal of Business and Management Invention
ISSN (Online): 2319 – 8028, ISSN (Print): 2319 – 801X
www.ijbmi.org || Volume 5 Issue 8 || August. 2016 || PP—36-44
www.ijbmi.org 36 | Page
Decision-Making
Dr. S. B. M. Marume1
, Prof. D. Ndudzo2
, Dr. A. S. Chikasha3
1
BA, Hons BA, MA, MAdmin, MSocSc,PhD
2
DSW, MBA,DPhil
3
Bed, DPHE, MEd, DEd
Zimbabwe Open University
ABSTRACT: Administrative behaviour does comprise the basic popular element of decision-making. Many
academics and social scientists, in particular public administration scientists, will be aware that Herbert A.
Simon, the foremost decision theorist, defines decision-making as the optimum rational choice between
alternative courses of action. According to him, decision making pervades the entire organisation, that is,
decisions are made at all level of organisation. Hence he perceives an organisation as a structure of decision
makers. He equates administration with decision making as every aspect of administration resolves around
decision-making. Further Simon argues that before one can establish any immutable principles of
administration one must be able to describe, exactly how an administration organisation looks and exactly how
it works. He observes that before a science can develop principles, it must possess concepts. Decision-making
is the most important activity of administration…. An administrative science, like science, is concerned purely
with factual statements, and there is no place for ethical statements in the study of science. To sum up the study,
H.A. Simon’s concept of administration comprises two basic elements; namely,
(a) The emphasis upon decision-making approach as the alternative to the classical thinkers’ principles
approach, that is, structural approach; and
(b) The advocacy of empirical approach, value-free approach, as against the normative approach to the study
of administration.
Keywords: decision-making, alternative course of action, structural-approach, empirical approach, normative
approach, science and administration.
I. INTRODUCTION
In order to understand administrative behaviour, it is important to examine one of its basic elements; namely,
the concept of decision-making with particular reference to Herbert A. Simon.
II. THE PURPOSE OF THE ARTICLE
Through qualitative research which draws data from a variety of sources, including people; organisations or
institutions; texts; settings and environment; events and happenings; and which also includes an array of
interpretive technique that seek to describe, decode, translate, and otherwise come to terms with the meanings,
not the frequency, of certain more of less naturally occurring phenomena in the social world (S. B. M Marume
1986 and 1988), it is aimed in this article to achieve a systematic and scientific in depth understanding of the
commonly used but yet the most complex and elusive concept of decision-making in political science and pubic
administration with reference to Herbert A. Simon, the foremost decision theorist. Thus, this article focuses on
decision-making as one of administrative behaviour‟s basic elements. Its specific objectives which provide also
a reasonable framework of the discussion are to:
a) define decision making;
b) examine, explain and evaluate H.A. Simon’s concept of decision-making;
c) discuss the bases of decision-making;
d) illustrate the process or stages in decision-making;
e) classify various types of decision making by various thinkers;
f) elucidate four models of decision-making in public administration.
III. DECISION MAKING WITH REFERENCE TO H.A. SIMON
To deal with this topic adequately and clearly, recourse needs to be made to the role and scope of related
literature review in any study.
 Firstly, the major purpose of reviewing the literature is to determine what has already been done that relates
to one‟s own topic of study. This knowledge not only prevents one from unintentionally duplicating
research that has already been conducted, but it also affords one the understanding and insight critically
Decision-Making
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needed to situate one‟s topic of study within an existing framework. In this connection D. N. Boore and P.
Beile (2005:3) explain,
 A substantive, thorough, sophisticated literature review is a precondition for doing substantive, thorough,
sophisticated research. Good research is good it advances our collective understanding. To advance our
collective understanding, a researcher, or scholar or scientist need to understand what has been done before,
the strengths and weaknesses of existing studies, and what they might mean.
 A review of literature enables, therefore one to acquire a full understanding of one‟s topic of study; what
has been already said about it; how ideas related to one‟s topic have been researched, applied, and
developed; the key issues surrounding one‟s topic; and the main criticisms that have been made regarding
work on one‟s topic. All this assists us to become experts on our chosen area of inquiry as follows:
1.1. Meanings
The first question that comes to mind is: What is decision making? First and foremost decision making is
viewed by various leading scientist and writers as follows:
 Webster’s Dictionary: the act of determining in one‟s own mind upon an opinion or course of action.
 Robert Tannebaum: involves a conscious choice of selection of one‟s behaviour alternative from among a
group of two or more behaviour alternatives.
 G. R. Terry: the selection of one behaviour alternative from two or more possible alternatives.
 Seckler-Hudson: decision making in the government is a plural activity. One individual may pronounce
the decision, but many contribute to the process of reaching the decision. It is a part of the political
system.
 W. F. and Ivan H. Meyer: a management technique used to reach decision by analyzing information,
evaluating alternatives and, in each case, choosing the best policy or line of action.
(a) identifying the problem;
(b) analyzing the problem;
(c) collecting data;
(d) classifying and analyzing data;
(e) preparing data;
(f) cataloguing alternative solutions;
(g) evaluating the alternatives;
(h) taking the decision;
(i) implementing the decision; and obtaining feedback on the effects of the decision.
3.1.1 Relevant prominent scientist and writers
Relevant prominent scientist and writers to decision making include:
 Fred Luthans
 Seckler- Hudson
 J. D. Millett
 H. A. Simon
 Charles E. Lindblom
 R. Tannebaum
 W. Fox
 Felix Nigro
 D. W. Smithburg
 Amitai Etzioni
 G. R. Terry
 Ivan H. Meyer
 C. I. Beranrd
 V. A. Thompson
 Yehezkel Dror
3.1.2 Relevant scientists. Scholars and writes and their contributions:
A systematic related literature review of decision making as one of the basic elements of administrative
behaviour gives the following eminent scholastic contributions:
3.1.3 Discussion and analysis of the meanings
A careful review of the contributions by the various behaviour, scholars and writers reveals that as one of the
basic elements of administrative behaviour, decision-making means choosing one alternative from various
alternatives and that it is essentially problem solving in nature.
 Decision making is closely related to policy-making, but they are not the same. G. R. Terry clarifies the
difference between decision and policy as follows:
„a decision is usually made within the guidelines established by policy. A policy is relatively extensive,
affects many problems, and is used again and again. In contrast, a decision applies to a particular problem
and has a non-continuous type of usage‟
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 Classical thinkers, however, did not attach much importance to decision making as an all pervasive
activity related to all management functions like planning, organising, coordinating, controlling, and so
on.
 In the words of Fred Luthans, classical thinkers such as Henri Fayol and Lyndale Urwick were
concerned with decision-making process only to the extent that it affects delegation and authority, while
Frederick W. Taylor alluded to the scientific method only as an ideal approach to making decisions.
 The first comprehensive analysis of decision making process was given by Chester I. Barnard (1886 -
1961) who observed that the processes of decision making are largely techniques for narrowing choice.
 J. D. Millett mentions three factors which should be examined in order to understand the decision making
process:
(a) Personal differences among the individuals that make some decisive and others indecisive.
(b) Role played by knowledge in decision-making
(c) Institutional and personal limitations which circumscribe decision-making.
 But W. Fox and Ivan H. Meyer: argue that in practical real life situations decision are more often made on
reflex, without mush conscious thought, or they are made without systematically and exhaustively
collecting all possible alternatives but deciding on an alternative that satisfies (1955:33).
1.2. H. A. Simon’s Concept of decision making
A closer look at Simon‟s concept of decision-making indicates the following:
3.2.1 Meaning of decision making
Herbert A. Simon, a leading America public administration scientist as the foremost decision theorist looks at
decision-making as the optimum rational choice between alternative courses of action. According to Simon,
decision-making pervades the entire organization, that is, decisions are made at all levels of the organization.
Hence, he views an organisation as a structure of decision makers. Simon equates administration with decision-
making as every aspect of administration revolves around decision-making. He observes that decision-making
is an all embracing activity subsuming all the administrative functions described as „POCCC by Henri Fayol
and POSDCORD by Luther Gulick‟.
H. A. Simon is very critical of the classical approach and its advocacy of principles of administration having
universal application. He challenges their universal validity and describes them as proverbs occurring in
mutually contradictory pairs. He argues that before one can establish any immutable principles of
administration, one must be able to describe, exactly how an administrative institution (organisation) looks and
exactly how it works.
H. A. Simon observes that before a science can develop principles, it must possess concepts. Decision-making
is the most important activity of administration …… An administrative science like any science is concerned
purely with factual statements. There is no place for ethical statements in the study of science.
3.2.2 Summary of Simon’s concept of administration
To sum up, H. A. Simon concept of administration has two basic elements; namely,
(a) The emphasis upon decision-making approach as the alternative to the classical thinkers principles
approach, that is, structural approach and
(b) The advocacy of empirical approach that is, value-free approach, as against the normative approach to
the study of administration.
As rightly observed by N. Umapathy, H. A. Simon’s proposes a new concept of administration that is based
upon theories and methodology of logical positivism with the focus on decision making.
1.3. Bases of factors of decision making
 What then are the bases of decision-making in any situation?
To answer this, contribution by Seckler-Hudson and H. A. Simon, as leading scholars in this area, are
considered.
 Seckler-Hudson: gives a famous list of twelve (12) factors which are considered in decision-making.
These are enumerated as:
(1) Legal limitations;
(2) Budget;
(3) Mores;
(4) Facts;
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(5) History;
(6) Internal morale;
(7) Future as anticipated;
(8) Superiors;
(9) Pressure groups
(10)Staff
(11)Nature of programme; and
(12)Subordinates
 According to Herbert A. Simon, every decision is based upon two premises; namely
(a) The factual premises and
(b) The value premises.
Explanations:
(a) A fact is a statement of reality. A factual premise can be proved by observable and measurable means,
that is, it can be tested empirically to find out its validity.
(b) A value is an expression of preference. A value premise cannot be tested empirically, that is, it can only
be subjectively asserted as valid.
Interpretations:
According to H. A. Simon, the value premises are concerned with the choice of ends of action, which the
factual premises are concerned with the choice of means of action. He maintains that, in so far as decisions lead
to the selection of final goals, they can be called as value judgments, that is, the value component
predominates, and in so far as they (decisions) involve the implementation of such goals, they can be called as
factual judgments that are the factual component predominates.
1.4. Process or stages in decision making
To treat this aspect adequately, we will try to answer the two following questions:
 What is the reasonable sequence of steps in decision-making?
 What does H. A. Simon consider to be stages of decision-making?
Contributions as possible answers:
According to Fox and Ivan Meyer(1995:33), steps in the comprehensive rational decision-making process
include:
 G. R. Terry, a prominent scholar on the subject, lays down the following sequence of steps in decision
making:
(a) Determine the problem.
(b) Acquire general background information and different viewpoints about the problem.
(c) State what appears to be the best course of action.
(d) Investigate the proposition(s) and tentative decisions.
(e) Evaluate tentative decisions
(f) Make the decision and put is to effect.
(g) Institute follow up and if necessary modify decision in the light of result obtained.
 According to H. A. Simon’s stages of decision-making, decision making comprises three principal
stages/phases/processes. These are: intelligence activity, design activities and choice activity. They are
explained separately as follows:
(a) Intelligence activity
Herbert A. Simon calls the first phase of decision-making process as an intelligence activity which involves
finding occasions for making a decision. According to him, the executives spend a large fraction of their time
surveying the economic, technical, political and social environment to identify new conditions that call for new
action.
(b) Design activity:
The second phase, also called the design activity, consists of inventing developing and analyzing possible
courses of action that is, finding alternative courses of action. Simon believe that the executive spend an even
larger fraction of their time, individually or with their associates, seeking to invent, design and develop possible
courses of action for handling situation where a decision is needed.
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(c) Choice activity:
Simon calls the last phase in decision making as the choice activity, which involves selecting a particular
course of action from the given alternatives. He opines (thinks, believes) that the executives spend a small
fraction of their time in choosing among alternative actions already developed and analyzed for their
consequences to meet an identified problem.
IV. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS
According to Herbert A. Simon, these three phases in decision making are closely related to the stages in
problem-solving first described by John Dewey (1910). They are:
(a) What is the problem?
(b) What are the alternatives?
(c) What alternative is best?
V. CONCLUSION
Herbert A. Simon: concludes that, in general, intelligence activity precedes design and design activity
precedes choice. The cycle of phases is, however, far more complex than this sequence suggests. Each phase
in making a particular decision is in itself a complex decision making process. For example, the design phase
may call for new intelligence activities; problem at any given level generate sub-problems that, in turn, have
their intelligence, design, and choice phases, and so on. There are, therefore, wheels within wheels.
Nevertheless, the three large phases are often clearly discernible as the organisational decision process unfolds.
3.5 Classifications of decisions
 To clearly appreciate this sub-aspect of the research paper it is important to deeply consider the following
research contribution:
 Greater confidence in the social research is warranted if the research scientist is experienced, has a good
reputation in research, and is a person of integrity. Were it possible for the readers of a research
report/study, to obtain sufficient information about the research scientist, this criterion perhaps would be
one of the best bases for judging the degree of confidence a piece of research warrants and the value of an
decision based upon it. For this reason the research report should contain information about the
qualifications of the research (S.B.M. 1982, 1986, and 1988).
 To assist political office bearer executives, public administrators, educational and academic thinkers, and
researchers, decisions may be classified into various typologies by various thinkers and researchers.
According to a critical review of related literature by some of the eminent public administration scientists, a
few classifications are listed below.
3.5.1 Programmed and non programmed decisions
H. A. Simon classifies decisions into programmed and non-programmed.
(a) Decisions are programmed to the extent that they are repetitive and routine so that a definite procedure
has been worked for handling them and they do not have to be treated de novo each time they occur. It is
decision making by precedent.
(b) Decisions are non-programmed to the extent that they are novel, unstructured, and consequential.
There is no cut and dried method for handling the problem because it has not arisen before, or because its
precise nature and structure are elusive or complex or because it is so important that it deserves a custom –
tailored treatment.
H. A. Simon has identified the traditional as well as the modern techniques of programmed and non
programmed decision. These are illustrated below in Table 1.1
Table 1.1 Techniques of programmed and non-programmed decision:
Types of decision Traditional techniques Modern techniques
Programmed:
 Routine, repetitive
decision
 Organisation
develops specific
processes for
handling them
1. Habit
2. Clerical routine
3. Organization structure:
 Common expectations
 A system of sub-goals
well defined
information channels
1. Operations research
 Mathematical analysis
models
 Computer simulation
2. Electronic data
processing
Non programmed:
 One-shot, ill- 1. Judgement intuition
Heuristic problem solving
techniques applied to:
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structured, novel,
policy decisions
 Handed by general
problem-solving
processes
and creativity
2. Rules of thumb
3. Selection and training
of executives
(a) Training human
decision makers
(b) Constructing heuristic
computer
programmes.
Simon and March have stated that the administrator who is responsible for both routine activities and long term
planning devotes greater share of his time on routine activities. This results in either postponement or avoidance
of long term decisions. This phenomenon is called by them as Gresham’s Law of Planning. It implies that
routine drives out non-programmed activity.
3.5.2 Generic and unique decisions
Peter Drucker in his popular book. The Practice of Management classifies decisions into generic and unique
decision. In some way, these resemble programmed and non programmed decisions respectively.
3.5.3 Organisational and personal decisions
Chester 1. Barnard: classifies decision into organisational and personal decisions. The former
(organisational) are taken by an executive in his individual capacity that is, not as a member of his organisation.
3.5.4 Policy and operating decisions
Decisions are further classified into policy decisions and operating decisions
(a) The policy decisions are also known as strategic decisions. These decisions are of fundamental character
affecting the entire organisation. Obviously, they are taken by the top management.
(b) By contrast, the operating decisions are meant for executing the policy decisions. Hence, they are taken
by the lower management cadres. These are also known as tactical decisions.
3.5.5 Individual and group decision
Decisions are also classified into individual and group decisions on the basis of the number of persons
involved in the decision making process.
(a) Individual decisions: are those decisions which are made by individual public administrators or managers
in the organisations. They assume complete responsibility for the consequences of their decisions.
(b) Group decisions: on the other hand, are those decisions which are made by a group of administrators or
mangers in an organisation.
They assume collective responsibilities for the consequences. Cabinet policy decisions are an example of
decisions assuming collective responsibility.
3.6 Models of decision-making
 To understand Simon’s concept of decision making more comprehensibly let us examine another relevant
aspect; namely, models of decision-making.
 There are four models of decision making namely:
(a) H. A. Simon’s bounded rationally model;
(b) Charles E. Lindblom’s incremental model
(c) Amitai Etzioni’s mixed scanning model and
(d) Yehezkel Dror’s optimal model
We analytically examine each model separately as follows:
3.6.1 Simon’s bounded rationality model of decision making
Herbert A. Simon deals comprehensively with the rationality aspect of decision making process. His model of
rational decision making is also known as behaviour alternative model because he proposes an alternative model
as a more realistic alternative to the classical economic rationality model.
Simon views rationality as the selection of preferred behaviour alternatives in terms of values whereby the
consequences of behaviour can be evaluated. He also distinguishes various types of rationality. According to
him, six specific elements must be analytically understood in that a decision is:
(a) Objectively rational if in fact is the correct behaviour for maximizing given values in a given situation.
(b) Subjectively rational; if it maximizes attainment relative to the actual knowledge of the subject.
(c) Consciously rational to the degree that the adjustment of means to ends is a conscious process.
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(d) Deliberately rational to the degree that adjustment of means to ends has been deliberately brought about
by the individual of by the organisation.
(e) Organizationally rational if it is oriented to the organization‟s goals.
(f) Personally rational if it is oriented to the individual‟s goals.
The concepts satisfaction and sufficing and bounded rationality Herbert A. Simon: believes that total
rationality is impossible in administrative behaviour. Hence, maximizing decisions is also not possible. As a
result:
 Simon observes that human behaviour in an organisational setting is characterized by bounded rationality
(Limited rationality) leading to satisficing decisions as against maximizing decisions (optimizing
decisions).
 Satisficing (a term derived from the combination of terms, satisfaction and sufficing) decisions implies
that a decision maker chooses an alternative which is satisfactory or good enough.
 Regarding the term bounded rationality, a number of factors are responsible for bounded rationality
leading to satisficing decisions
(i) Dynamic (rather than static) nature of organisational objectives.
(ii) Imperfect (inadequate) information as well as limited capacity to process (analyse) the available
information.
(iii) Time and cost constraints
(iv) Environmental forces or external factors.
(v) Alternatives cannot be always quantified in an ordered preference.
(vi) Decision- maker may not be aware of all the possible alternatives available and their consequences.
(vii) Personal factors of the decision maker like preconceived notions, habits, and so on.
(viii) Organizational factors like procedures, rules, channels of communication, and so on.
H. A. Simon’s bounded rationality model of decision making can be illustrated as follows:
Figure 1.2: Herbert A. Simon‟s bounded rationality model of decision -making
Proposition of the model of administrative man
 In view of the above limitations, H. A. Simon proposes the model of administrative man as against the
model of economic man who takes the maximizing decisions. According to him, the administrative
man:
(a) In choosing between alternatives, tries to satisfy or look for the one which is satisfactorily or good enough;
(b) Recognizes that the world he perceives is a drastically simplified model of the real world;
(c) Can make his choice without first determining all possible alternatives and without ascertaining that
these, in fact , are all the alternatives because he satisfies, rather than maximizes; and
(d) Is able to make decisions with retatively simple rule of the thumb because he teats the world as rather
empty.
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 Thus, the ‘satisficing’ administrative man of H. A. Simon is different from the ‘optimising’ economic
man, evolved by the classical economic theorists. He ends up with „satisficing‟ as he does not have the
ability to „optimise‟ (maximise).
 However, Chris Argyris observes that H. A. Simon, by insisting on rationality, has not recognized the
role of intuition, tradition and faith in decision making. He says that Simon’s theory uses „satisficing’
to rationalize incompetence.
 Norton E. Long and Phillip Selznick argue that Simon’s distinction between fact and values revises in a
new guise the discredited politics-administration dichotomy and considers bureaucracy as a neutral
instrument.
3.6.2 Charles E. Lindblom’s incremental model
 Charles E. Lindblom in his article the Science of Muddling through (1959) advocates the incremental
model of decision-making. It is dramatically opposite to Herbert A. Simon‟s rational comprehensive model.
 C. E. Lindblom says that the actual decision making in administration is different from the way it is
generally described in theory. He recognizes the practical problems and challenges in the rational
comprehensive approach. He highlights the various limitations like money, time information, politics,
and others, which govern the actual decision making process in the public administration.
 Lindblom opines that that decision makers always continue the existing policies and programmes with
some additions. Thus, he argues that what actually occurs in administrative decisions is „incrementalism‟
that is virtual continuation of the previous activities with few modifications. The incremental model is
also known as „branch technique’ or „model of successive limited comparisons’ or „step-by-step
decision-making‟.
 Thus, Lindblom assumes that the past activities and experiences are sued by the administrators to make
future decisions. He applies the two concepts to describe the actual decision making process in
administration- (a) „marginal incrementalism’ and (b) „partisan mutual adjustment’.
3.6.3 Amitai Etzioni’s mixed –scanning model
 In his article Mixed scanning: A third approach to Decision making published in 1967, Amitai Etzioni
has suggested an intermediate model that combines the elements of both rational comprehensive model
(rationalism) and incrementalism.
 Etizioni broadly agrees with Lindblom’s criticism of the rational model. However, he also says that
incremental model is having two main drawbacks, viz:
(a) It discourages social innovation, and is thus partisan in approach, and
(b) It cannot be applied to fundamental decision. Hence, he advocates a mixed scanning model.
3.6.4 Yehezkel Dror’s optimal model
 Yehezkel Dror in his book Public Policy making Re-examined suggests an optimal approach to policy
making (decision making) and policy analysis. He claims that his „optimal model‟ is superior to all the
existing normative models of decision making and is a combination f economically rational model and
extra-rational model.
 Dror’s optimal model is a rationalist model of policy making, It has, according to Dror, five major
characteristics; namely:
(a) It is qualitative and not quantitative.
(b) It contains both rational and extra-rational elements
(c) It is basic rational to economically rational
(d) It is concerned with meta-policy making.
(e) It contains built in feedback.
 Dror says that the optimal model has three principal phases that is:
 meta-policy making;
 policy making; and
 post policy making.
 Dror advocates the speedy development of the policy science to adequately solve the critical problems of
society. In his words, “Policy science can be partly described as the discipline that searches for policy
knowledge, that seeks general policy issue knowledge and policy making knowledge, and integrates
them into a distinct study.”
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 Dror, in the words of Rumki Basu, “pleads for the adoption of the best policy by a judicious evaluation
of goals, values, alternatives, costs and benefits based on the maximum use of all available
information and scientific technology. He even recommends extra-rational aids to facilitate effective
policy analysis”.
VI. SUMMARY
Decision making as one of the basic elements of administrative behaviour has been examined with reference to
Herbert A. Simon, the foremost decision theorist in public administration. It means optimally, choosing one
alternative from various alternatives available and is essentially problem solving in nature. It is also closely
related to policy-making and planning, but they are not the same.
Relevant and leading scientists and scholars have been identified and their contributions analyzed. Herbert A.
Simon`s bases of decision making were examined and compared to other leading scholars. Also Simon’s three
principal stages of decision making were looked at and compared to other writers. Further five typologies of
decisions were identified and briefly elaborated upon to shed more clarifications. Again four models of decision
making were identified and briefly substantiated on in order to enhance our scholarly understanding and in all
fairness and honesty, Herbert A. Simon`s understanding of the concept of decision making; his original
analytical ability and skill and his bounded rationality model of decision making in spite of some of its
limitations have been insightful, creative, imaginative, innovative and penetrating.
The analysis of decision- making with reference to Herbert A. Simon does enhance over collective
understanding of this deceptively simple, and yet very complex and elusive concept of decision making in
political science and public administration.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
[1]. Y. Dror: Public policy-making: re-examined
[2]. Amitai Etzioni: Mixed Scanning: A Third Approach to Decision-making 1967
[3]. Charles E. Lindblom; The Science of Muddling Through, 1959
[4]. D.N. Boote and P. Beile: Scholars before researchers: On the centrality of the dissertation literature review in research preparation.
Educational Researcher, 34(6), p. 3-15, 2005
[5]. W. Fox and Ivan H. Meyer: Public Administration Dictionary 1995
[6]. S. B. M. Marume: Epistemological and methodological aspects of African social research studies; unpublished PhD research thesis
proposal, California University for Advanced; 1986 and 1988
[7]. H. A. Simon, D. W. Smithburg, and V. A. Thomson,: Public Administration: Alfred A. Knopf, 1971.

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Decision-Making

  • 1. International Journal of Business and Management Invention ISSN (Online): 2319 – 8028, ISSN (Print): 2319 – 801X www.ijbmi.org || Volume 5 Issue 8 || August. 2016 || PP—36-44 www.ijbmi.org 36 | Page Decision-Making Dr. S. B. M. Marume1 , Prof. D. Ndudzo2 , Dr. A. S. Chikasha3 1 BA, Hons BA, MA, MAdmin, MSocSc,PhD 2 DSW, MBA,DPhil 3 Bed, DPHE, MEd, DEd Zimbabwe Open University ABSTRACT: Administrative behaviour does comprise the basic popular element of decision-making. Many academics and social scientists, in particular public administration scientists, will be aware that Herbert A. Simon, the foremost decision theorist, defines decision-making as the optimum rational choice between alternative courses of action. According to him, decision making pervades the entire organisation, that is, decisions are made at all level of organisation. Hence he perceives an organisation as a structure of decision makers. He equates administration with decision making as every aspect of administration resolves around decision-making. Further Simon argues that before one can establish any immutable principles of administration one must be able to describe, exactly how an administration organisation looks and exactly how it works. He observes that before a science can develop principles, it must possess concepts. Decision-making is the most important activity of administration…. An administrative science, like science, is concerned purely with factual statements, and there is no place for ethical statements in the study of science. To sum up the study, H.A. Simon’s concept of administration comprises two basic elements; namely, (a) The emphasis upon decision-making approach as the alternative to the classical thinkers’ principles approach, that is, structural approach; and (b) The advocacy of empirical approach, value-free approach, as against the normative approach to the study of administration. Keywords: decision-making, alternative course of action, structural-approach, empirical approach, normative approach, science and administration. I. INTRODUCTION In order to understand administrative behaviour, it is important to examine one of its basic elements; namely, the concept of decision-making with particular reference to Herbert A. Simon. II. THE PURPOSE OF THE ARTICLE Through qualitative research which draws data from a variety of sources, including people; organisations or institutions; texts; settings and environment; events and happenings; and which also includes an array of interpretive technique that seek to describe, decode, translate, and otherwise come to terms with the meanings, not the frequency, of certain more of less naturally occurring phenomena in the social world (S. B. M Marume 1986 and 1988), it is aimed in this article to achieve a systematic and scientific in depth understanding of the commonly used but yet the most complex and elusive concept of decision-making in political science and pubic administration with reference to Herbert A. Simon, the foremost decision theorist. Thus, this article focuses on decision-making as one of administrative behaviour‟s basic elements. Its specific objectives which provide also a reasonable framework of the discussion are to: a) define decision making; b) examine, explain and evaluate H.A. Simon’s concept of decision-making; c) discuss the bases of decision-making; d) illustrate the process or stages in decision-making; e) classify various types of decision making by various thinkers; f) elucidate four models of decision-making in public administration. III. DECISION MAKING WITH REFERENCE TO H.A. SIMON To deal with this topic adequately and clearly, recourse needs to be made to the role and scope of related literature review in any study.  Firstly, the major purpose of reviewing the literature is to determine what has already been done that relates to one‟s own topic of study. This knowledge not only prevents one from unintentionally duplicating research that has already been conducted, but it also affords one the understanding and insight critically
  • 2. Decision-Making www.ijbmi.org 37 | Page needed to situate one‟s topic of study within an existing framework. In this connection D. N. Boore and P. Beile (2005:3) explain,  A substantive, thorough, sophisticated literature review is a precondition for doing substantive, thorough, sophisticated research. Good research is good it advances our collective understanding. To advance our collective understanding, a researcher, or scholar or scientist need to understand what has been done before, the strengths and weaknesses of existing studies, and what they might mean.  A review of literature enables, therefore one to acquire a full understanding of one‟s topic of study; what has been already said about it; how ideas related to one‟s topic have been researched, applied, and developed; the key issues surrounding one‟s topic; and the main criticisms that have been made regarding work on one‟s topic. All this assists us to become experts on our chosen area of inquiry as follows: 1.1. Meanings The first question that comes to mind is: What is decision making? First and foremost decision making is viewed by various leading scientist and writers as follows:  Webster’s Dictionary: the act of determining in one‟s own mind upon an opinion or course of action.  Robert Tannebaum: involves a conscious choice of selection of one‟s behaviour alternative from among a group of two or more behaviour alternatives.  G. R. Terry: the selection of one behaviour alternative from two or more possible alternatives.  Seckler-Hudson: decision making in the government is a plural activity. One individual may pronounce the decision, but many contribute to the process of reaching the decision. It is a part of the political system.  W. F. and Ivan H. Meyer: a management technique used to reach decision by analyzing information, evaluating alternatives and, in each case, choosing the best policy or line of action. (a) identifying the problem; (b) analyzing the problem; (c) collecting data; (d) classifying and analyzing data; (e) preparing data; (f) cataloguing alternative solutions; (g) evaluating the alternatives; (h) taking the decision; (i) implementing the decision; and obtaining feedback on the effects of the decision. 3.1.1 Relevant prominent scientist and writers Relevant prominent scientist and writers to decision making include:  Fred Luthans  Seckler- Hudson  J. D. Millett  H. A. Simon  Charles E. Lindblom  R. Tannebaum  W. Fox  Felix Nigro  D. W. Smithburg  Amitai Etzioni  G. R. Terry  Ivan H. Meyer  C. I. Beranrd  V. A. Thompson  Yehezkel Dror 3.1.2 Relevant scientists. Scholars and writes and their contributions: A systematic related literature review of decision making as one of the basic elements of administrative behaviour gives the following eminent scholastic contributions: 3.1.3 Discussion and analysis of the meanings A careful review of the contributions by the various behaviour, scholars and writers reveals that as one of the basic elements of administrative behaviour, decision-making means choosing one alternative from various alternatives and that it is essentially problem solving in nature.  Decision making is closely related to policy-making, but they are not the same. G. R. Terry clarifies the difference between decision and policy as follows: „a decision is usually made within the guidelines established by policy. A policy is relatively extensive, affects many problems, and is used again and again. In contrast, a decision applies to a particular problem and has a non-continuous type of usage‟
  • 3. Decision-Making www.ijbmi.org 38 | Page  Classical thinkers, however, did not attach much importance to decision making as an all pervasive activity related to all management functions like planning, organising, coordinating, controlling, and so on.  In the words of Fred Luthans, classical thinkers such as Henri Fayol and Lyndale Urwick were concerned with decision-making process only to the extent that it affects delegation and authority, while Frederick W. Taylor alluded to the scientific method only as an ideal approach to making decisions.  The first comprehensive analysis of decision making process was given by Chester I. Barnard (1886 - 1961) who observed that the processes of decision making are largely techniques for narrowing choice.  J. D. Millett mentions three factors which should be examined in order to understand the decision making process: (a) Personal differences among the individuals that make some decisive and others indecisive. (b) Role played by knowledge in decision-making (c) Institutional and personal limitations which circumscribe decision-making.  But W. Fox and Ivan H. Meyer: argue that in practical real life situations decision are more often made on reflex, without mush conscious thought, or they are made without systematically and exhaustively collecting all possible alternatives but deciding on an alternative that satisfies (1955:33). 1.2. H. A. Simon’s Concept of decision making A closer look at Simon‟s concept of decision-making indicates the following: 3.2.1 Meaning of decision making Herbert A. Simon, a leading America public administration scientist as the foremost decision theorist looks at decision-making as the optimum rational choice between alternative courses of action. According to Simon, decision-making pervades the entire organization, that is, decisions are made at all levels of the organization. Hence, he views an organisation as a structure of decision makers. Simon equates administration with decision- making as every aspect of administration revolves around decision-making. He observes that decision-making is an all embracing activity subsuming all the administrative functions described as „POCCC by Henri Fayol and POSDCORD by Luther Gulick‟. H. A. Simon is very critical of the classical approach and its advocacy of principles of administration having universal application. He challenges their universal validity and describes them as proverbs occurring in mutually contradictory pairs. He argues that before one can establish any immutable principles of administration, one must be able to describe, exactly how an administrative institution (organisation) looks and exactly how it works. H. A. Simon observes that before a science can develop principles, it must possess concepts. Decision-making is the most important activity of administration …… An administrative science like any science is concerned purely with factual statements. There is no place for ethical statements in the study of science. 3.2.2 Summary of Simon’s concept of administration To sum up, H. A. Simon concept of administration has two basic elements; namely, (a) The emphasis upon decision-making approach as the alternative to the classical thinkers principles approach, that is, structural approach and (b) The advocacy of empirical approach that is, value-free approach, as against the normative approach to the study of administration. As rightly observed by N. Umapathy, H. A. Simon’s proposes a new concept of administration that is based upon theories and methodology of logical positivism with the focus on decision making. 1.3. Bases of factors of decision making  What then are the bases of decision-making in any situation? To answer this, contribution by Seckler-Hudson and H. A. Simon, as leading scholars in this area, are considered.  Seckler-Hudson: gives a famous list of twelve (12) factors which are considered in decision-making. These are enumerated as: (1) Legal limitations; (2) Budget; (3) Mores; (4) Facts;
  • 4. Decision-Making www.ijbmi.org 39 | Page (5) History; (6) Internal morale; (7) Future as anticipated; (8) Superiors; (9) Pressure groups (10)Staff (11)Nature of programme; and (12)Subordinates  According to Herbert A. Simon, every decision is based upon two premises; namely (a) The factual premises and (b) The value premises. Explanations: (a) A fact is a statement of reality. A factual premise can be proved by observable and measurable means, that is, it can be tested empirically to find out its validity. (b) A value is an expression of preference. A value premise cannot be tested empirically, that is, it can only be subjectively asserted as valid. Interpretations: According to H. A. Simon, the value premises are concerned with the choice of ends of action, which the factual premises are concerned with the choice of means of action. He maintains that, in so far as decisions lead to the selection of final goals, they can be called as value judgments, that is, the value component predominates, and in so far as they (decisions) involve the implementation of such goals, they can be called as factual judgments that are the factual component predominates. 1.4. Process or stages in decision making To treat this aspect adequately, we will try to answer the two following questions:  What is the reasonable sequence of steps in decision-making?  What does H. A. Simon consider to be stages of decision-making? Contributions as possible answers: According to Fox and Ivan Meyer(1995:33), steps in the comprehensive rational decision-making process include:  G. R. Terry, a prominent scholar on the subject, lays down the following sequence of steps in decision making: (a) Determine the problem. (b) Acquire general background information and different viewpoints about the problem. (c) State what appears to be the best course of action. (d) Investigate the proposition(s) and tentative decisions. (e) Evaluate tentative decisions (f) Make the decision and put is to effect. (g) Institute follow up and if necessary modify decision in the light of result obtained.  According to H. A. Simon’s stages of decision-making, decision making comprises three principal stages/phases/processes. These are: intelligence activity, design activities and choice activity. They are explained separately as follows: (a) Intelligence activity Herbert A. Simon calls the first phase of decision-making process as an intelligence activity which involves finding occasions for making a decision. According to him, the executives spend a large fraction of their time surveying the economic, technical, political and social environment to identify new conditions that call for new action. (b) Design activity: The second phase, also called the design activity, consists of inventing developing and analyzing possible courses of action that is, finding alternative courses of action. Simon believe that the executive spend an even larger fraction of their time, individually or with their associates, seeking to invent, design and develop possible courses of action for handling situation where a decision is needed.
  • 5. Decision-Making www.ijbmi.org 40 | Page (c) Choice activity: Simon calls the last phase in decision making as the choice activity, which involves selecting a particular course of action from the given alternatives. He opines (thinks, believes) that the executives spend a small fraction of their time in choosing among alternative actions already developed and analyzed for their consequences to meet an identified problem. IV. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS According to Herbert A. Simon, these three phases in decision making are closely related to the stages in problem-solving first described by John Dewey (1910). They are: (a) What is the problem? (b) What are the alternatives? (c) What alternative is best? V. CONCLUSION Herbert A. Simon: concludes that, in general, intelligence activity precedes design and design activity precedes choice. The cycle of phases is, however, far more complex than this sequence suggests. Each phase in making a particular decision is in itself a complex decision making process. For example, the design phase may call for new intelligence activities; problem at any given level generate sub-problems that, in turn, have their intelligence, design, and choice phases, and so on. There are, therefore, wheels within wheels. Nevertheless, the three large phases are often clearly discernible as the organisational decision process unfolds. 3.5 Classifications of decisions  To clearly appreciate this sub-aspect of the research paper it is important to deeply consider the following research contribution:  Greater confidence in the social research is warranted if the research scientist is experienced, has a good reputation in research, and is a person of integrity. Were it possible for the readers of a research report/study, to obtain sufficient information about the research scientist, this criterion perhaps would be one of the best bases for judging the degree of confidence a piece of research warrants and the value of an decision based upon it. For this reason the research report should contain information about the qualifications of the research (S.B.M. 1982, 1986, and 1988).  To assist political office bearer executives, public administrators, educational and academic thinkers, and researchers, decisions may be classified into various typologies by various thinkers and researchers. According to a critical review of related literature by some of the eminent public administration scientists, a few classifications are listed below. 3.5.1 Programmed and non programmed decisions H. A. Simon classifies decisions into programmed and non-programmed. (a) Decisions are programmed to the extent that they are repetitive and routine so that a definite procedure has been worked for handling them and they do not have to be treated de novo each time they occur. It is decision making by precedent. (b) Decisions are non-programmed to the extent that they are novel, unstructured, and consequential. There is no cut and dried method for handling the problem because it has not arisen before, or because its precise nature and structure are elusive or complex or because it is so important that it deserves a custom – tailored treatment. H. A. Simon has identified the traditional as well as the modern techniques of programmed and non programmed decision. These are illustrated below in Table 1.1 Table 1.1 Techniques of programmed and non-programmed decision: Types of decision Traditional techniques Modern techniques Programmed:  Routine, repetitive decision  Organisation develops specific processes for handling them 1. Habit 2. Clerical routine 3. Organization structure:  Common expectations  A system of sub-goals well defined information channels 1. Operations research  Mathematical analysis models  Computer simulation 2. Electronic data processing Non programmed:  One-shot, ill- 1. Judgement intuition Heuristic problem solving techniques applied to:
  • 6. Decision-Making www.ijbmi.org 41 | Page structured, novel, policy decisions  Handed by general problem-solving processes and creativity 2. Rules of thumb 3. Selection and training of executives (a) Training human decision makers (b) Constructing heuristic computer programmes. Simon and March have stated that the administrator who is responsible for both routine activities and long term planning devotes greater share of his time on routine activities. This results in either postponement or avoidance of long term decisions. This phenomenon is called by them as Gresham’s Law of Planning. It implies that routine drives out non-programmed activity. 3.5.2 Generic and unique decisions Peter Drucker in his popular book. The Practice of Management classifies decisions into generic and unique decision. In some way, these resemble programmed and non programmed decisions respectively. 3.5.3 Organisational and personal decisions Chester 1. Barnard: classifies decision into organisational and personal decisions. The former (organisational) are taken by an executive in his individual capacity that is, not as a member of his organisation. 3.5.4 Policy and operating decisions Decisions are further classified into policy decisions and operating decisions (a) The policy decisions are also known as strategic decisions. These decisions are of fundamental character affecting the entire organisation. Obviously, they are taken by the top management. (b) By contrast, the operating decisions are meant for executing the policy decisions. Hence, they are taken by the lower management cadres. These are also known as tactical decisions. 3.5.5 Individual and group decision Decisions are also classified into individual and group decisions on the basis of the number of persons involved in the decision making process. (a) Individual decisions: are those decisions which are made by individual public administrators or managers in the organisations. They assume complete responsibility for the consequences of their decisions. (b) Group decisions: on the other hand, are those decisions which are made by a group of administrators or mangers in an organisation. They assume collective responsibilities for the consequences. Cabinet policy decisions are an example of decisions assuming collective responsibility. 3.6 Models of decision-making  To understand Simon’s concept of decision making more comprehensibly let us examine another relevant aspect; namely, models of decision-making.  There are four models of decision making namely: (a) H. A. Simon’s bounded rationally model; (b) Charles E. Lindblom’s incremental model (c) Amitai Etzioni’s mixed scanning model and (d) Yehezkel Dror’s optimal model We analytically examine each model separately as follows: 3.6.1 Simon’s bounded rationality model of decision making Herbert A. Simon deals comprehensively with the rationality aspect of decision making process. His model of rational decision making is also known as behaviour alternative model because he proposes an alternative model as a more realistic alternative to the classical economic rationality model. Simon views rationality as the selection of preferred behaviour alternatives in terms of values whereby the consequences of behaviour can be evaluated. He also distinguishes various types of rationality. According to him, six specific elements must be analytically understood in that a decision is: (a) Objectively rational if in fact is the correct behaviour for maximizing given values in a given situation. (b) Subjectively rational; if it maximizes attainment relative to the actual knowledge of the subject. (c) Consciously rational to the degree that the adjustment of means to ends is a conscious process.
  • 7. Decision-Making www.ijbmi.org 42 | Page (d) Deliberately rational to the degree that adjustment of means to ends has been deliberately brought about by the individual of by the organisation. (e) Organizationally rational if it is oriented to the organization‟s goals. (f) Personally rational if it is oriented to the individual‟s goals. The concepts satisfaction and sufficing and bounded rationality Herbert A. Simon: believes that total rationality is impossible in administrative behaviour. Hence, maximizing decisions is also not possible. As a result:  Simon observes that human behaviour in an organisational setting is characterized by bounded rationality (Limited rationality) leading to satisficing decisions as against maximizing decisions (optimizing decisions).  Satisficing (a term derived from the combination of terms, satisfaction and sufficing) decisions implies that a decision maker chooses an alternative which is satisfactory or good enough.  Regarding the term bounded rationality, a number of factors are responsible for bounded rationality leading to satisficing decisions (i) Dynamic (rather than static) nature of organisational objectives. (ii) Imperfect (inadequate) information as well as limited capacity to process (analyse) the available information. (iii) Time and cost constraints (iv) Environmental forces or external factors. (v) Alternatives cannot be always quantified in an ordered preference. (vi) Decision- maker may not be aware of all the possible alternatives available and their consequences. (vii) Personal factors of the decision maker like preconceived notions, habits, and so on. (viii) Organizational factors like procedures, rules, channels of communication, and so on. H. A. Simon’s bounded rationality model of decision making can be illustrated as follows: Figure 1.2: Herbert A. Simon‟s bounded rationality model of decision -making Proposition of the model of administrative man  In view of the above limitations, H. A. Simon proposes the model of administrative man as against the model of economic man who takes the maximizing decisions. According to him, the administrative man: (a) In choosing between alternatives, tries to satisfy or look for the one which is satisfactorily or good enough; (b) Recognizes that the world he perceives is a drastically simplified model of the real world; (c) Can make his choice without first determining all possible alternatives and without ascertaining that these, in fact , are all the alternatives because he satisfies, rather than maximizes; and (d) Is able to make decisions with retatively simple rule of the thumb because he teats the world as rather empty.
  • 8. Decision-Making www.ijbmi.org 43 | Page  Thus, the ‘satisficing’ administrative man of H. A. Simon is different from the ‘optimising’ economic man, evolved by the classical economic theorists. He ends up with „satisficing‟ as he does not have the ability to „optimise‟ (maximise).  However, Chris Argyris observes that H. A. Simon, by insisting on rationality, has not recognized the role of intuition, tradition and faith in decision making. He says that Simon’s theory uses „satisficing’ to rationalize incompetence.  Norton E. Long and Phillip Selznick argue that Simon’s distinction between fact and values revises in a new guise the discredited politics-administration dichotomy and considers bureaucracy as a neutral instrument. 3.6.2 Charles E. Lindblom’s incremental model  Charles E. Lindblom in his article the Science of Muddling through (1959) advocates the incremental model of decision-making. It is dramatically opposite to Herbert A. Simon‟s rational comprehensive model.  C. E. Lindblom says that the actual decision making in administration is different from the way it is generally described in theory. He recognizes the practical problems and challenges in the rational comprehensive approach. He highlights the various limitations like money, time information, politics, and others, which govern the actual decision making process in the public administration.  Lindblom opines that that decision makers always continue the existing policies and programmes with some additions. Thus, he argues that what actually occurs in administrative decisions is „incrementalism‟ that is virtual continuation of the previous activities with few modifications. The incremental model is also known as „branch technique’ or „model of successive limited comparisons’ or „step-by-step decision-making‟.  Thus, Lindblom assumes that the past activities and experiences are sued by the administrators to make future decisions. He applies the two concepts to describe the actual decision making process in administration- (a) „marginal incrementalism’ and (b) „partisan mutual adjustment’. 3.6.3 Amitai Etzioni’s mixed –scanning model  In his article Mixed scanning: A third approach to Decision making published in 1967, Amitai Etzioni has suggested an intermediate model that combines the elements of both rational comprehensive model (rationalism) and incrementalism.  Etizioni broadly agrees with Lindblom’s criticism of the rational model. However, he also says that incremental model is having two main drawbacks, viz: (a) It discourages social innovation, and is thus partisan in approach, and (b) It cannot be applied to fundamental decision. Hence, he advocates a mixed scanning model. 3.6.4 Yehezkel Dror’s optimal model  Yehezkel Dror in his book Public Policy making Re-examined suggests an optimal approach to policy making (decision making) and policy analysis. He claims that his „optimal model‟ is superior to all the existing normative models of decision making and is a combination f economically rational model and extra-rational model.  Dror’s optimal model is a rationalist model of policy making, It has, according to Dror, five major characteristics; namely: (a) It is qualitative and not quantitative. (b) It contains both rational and extra-rational elements (c) It is basic rational to economically rational (d) It is concerned with meta-policy making. (e) It contains built in feedback.  Dror says that the optimal model has three principal phases that is:  meta-policy making;  policy making; and  post policy making.  Dror advocates the speedy development of the policy science to adequately solve the critical problems of society. In his words, “Policy science can be partly described as the discipline that searches for policy knowledge, that seeks general policy issue knowledge and policy making knowledge, and integrates them into a distinct study.”
  • 9. Decision-Making www.ijbmi.org 44 | Page  Dror, in the words of Rumki Basu, “pleads for the adoption of the best policy by a judicious evaluation of goals, values, alternatives, costs and benefits based on the maximum use of all available information and scientific technology. He even recommends extra-rational aids to facilitate effective policy analysis”. VI. SUMMARY Decision making as one of the basic elements of administrative behaviour has been examined with reference to Herbert A. Simon, the foremost decision theorist in public administration. It means optimally, choosing one alternative from various alternatives available and is essentially problem solving in nature. It is also closely related to policy-making and planning, but they are not the same. Relevant and leading scientists and scholars have been identified and their contributions analyzed. Herbert A. Simon`s bases of decision making were examined and compared to other leading scholars. Also Simon’s three principal stages of decision making were looked at and compared to other writers. Further five typologies of decisions were identified and briefly elaborated upon to shed more clarifications. Again four models of decision making were identified and briefly substantiated on in order to enhance our scholarly understanding and in all fairness and honesty, Herbert A. Simon`s understanding of the concept of decision making; his original analytical ability and skill and his bounded rationality model of decision making in spite of some of its limitations have been insightful, creative, imaginative, innovative and penetrating. The analysis of decision- making with reference to Herbert A. Simon does enhance over collective understanding of this deceptively simple, and yet very complex and elusive concept of decision making in political science and public administration. BIBLIOGRAPHY [1]. Y. Dror: Public policy-making: re-examined [2]. Amitai Etzioni: Mixed Scanning: A Third Approach to Decision-making 1967 [3]. Charles E. Lindblom; The Science of Muddling Through, 1959 [4]. D.N. Boote and P. Beile: Scholars before researchers: On the centrality of the dissertation literature review in research preparation. Educational Researcher, 34(6), p. 3-15, 2005 [5]. W. Fox and Ivan H. Meyer: Public Administration Dictionary 1995 [6]. S. B. M. Marume: Epistemological and methodological aspects of African social research studies; unpublished PhD research thesis proposal, California University for Advanced; 1986 and 1988 [7]. H. A. Simon, D. W. Smithburg, and V. A. Thomson,: Public Administration: Alfred A. Knopf, 1971.