Debbie Madden Budgeting vs Estimating for Agile Projects

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Since 2001, many who use Agile have been estimating stories and tasks. Last year, the #noestimates movement took hold. But, at the end of the day "How Much Is this Going to Cost" is a fair question, and it's up to the technical team and CTOs to answer the question. How? By budgeting. Often, the decision you need to make is a strategic one, not a granular one. Estimates are valuable for iterations and sprints. They aren't valuable for higher level decisions like deciding to build a product or determining how much VC to Raise. In this presentation, I take you through a method to budget and not estimate projects for maximum ROI.

Technology

Budgeting vs.
Estimating
for Agile Projects
Debbie Madden
CEO, Stride
stride.nyc
debbie@stride.nyc
@debbiemadden200

How Much Is This
Going to Cost?
stride.nyc

PART I: ESTIMATING – A HISTORY
PART II: THE PROBLEM
PART III: THE 4 STEP SOLUTION
stride.nyc

2013 – EstimateGate
• #noestimates
• “Estimation is neither good nor bad”
Martin Fowler (Feb)
• “Estimation is Evil”
Ron Jeffries (Feb)
• “Estimation is a Necessary Evil”
Ron Jeffries (April)
stride.nyc

Teams Don’t Like Estimating
Takes a lot of time
There’s uncertainty
Estimates gets abused
Locks team into feature-level
decisions prematurely
stride.nyc

PART III: THE 4 STEP SOLUTION
stride.nyc
Step 1: Identify Decisions

Should We…
• Start this project or kill it?
• Hire more people or outsource?
• Start marketing this feature?
• Build this project next or deprioritize it?
• Launch a startup?
• Allocate budget this quarter?
• Code this set of stories next?
stride.nyc

PART III: THE 4 STEP SOLUTION
Step 2: Match Precision to Decision
stride.nyc

Estimating Budgeting
• < 1,000 foot view
• Iterations
• Sprints
• > 1,000 foot view
• Prioritizing Projects
• Starting Projects
• Hiring/Outsourcing
• Allocate Budget
• Start a Company
stride.nyc

If you can’t identify which
decision you are making,
estimating AND budgeting are
both a waste of time.
stride.nyc

PART III: THE 4 STEP SOLUTION
stride.nyc
Step 3: Budget

Online Book Store
Shopping Cart
Browse Books
Search Books
Manage Inventory
Preview Inside of Book
How Much Is This Going to Cost? ___?____
stride.nyc

Online Book Store
Shopping Cart
Browse Books
Search Books
Manage Inventory
Preview Inside of Book
Title
1 – 2 weeks
Author
Within Book
1 – 2 weeks
?
2 – 4 weeks + ?
How Much Is This Going to Cost? _____________
stride.nyc

Online Book Store
Shopping Cart
Browse Books
Search Books
Manage Inventory
Preview Inside of Book
Title
1 – 2 weeks
Author
Within Book
1 – 2 weeks
4– 16 weeks
6 - 20 weeks
How Much Is This Going to Cost? _____________
stride.nyc

Online Book Store
Shopping Cart
Browse Books
Search Books
Manage Inventory
Preview Inside of Book
Title
1 -2 weeks
Author
Within Book
1 – 2 weeks
How Much Is This Going to Cost? _____________
stride.nyc

PART III: THE 4 STEP SOLUTION
Step 4: Ranges and Confidence Levels
stride.nyc

Online Book Store
Topic
Shopping Cart
Browse Books
Search Books
Manage Inventory
Preview Inside of Book
Time (weeks)
4 - 8
1 - 2
6 - 26
12 - 96
8 - 48
Total: 31 - 180
stride.nyc

Range
• Decision: Should we build this project?
• Data: We expect the project to cost 775k – 4.3M
stride.nyc

Range
• Decision: Should we build this project?
• Data: We expect the project to cost 775k – 4.3M
If Budget = $500k No
If Budget = $5M  Yes
If Budget = $2.5M Maybe
stride.nyc

Online Book Store
Topic
Shopping Cart
Browse Books
Search Books
Manage Inventory
Preview Inside of Book
Money
100k – 200k
25k – 50k
150k – 450k
300k – 2.4M
200k – 1.2M
stride.nyc
Time
4 - 8
1 - 2
6 - 26
12 - 96
8 - 48
Priority
1
2
4
3
5

Online Book Store
Topic
Shopping Cart
Browse Books
Search Books
Author
Title
Within Book
Manage Inventory
Preview Inside Book
Money
100k – 200k
25k – 50k
150k – 450k
300k – 2.4M
200k – 1.2M
stride.nyc
Time
4 - 8
1 - 2
6 - 26
12 - 96
8 - 48
Priority
1
2
4
3
5
Required?
Y
Y
Y
Y
N
Y
Y

PART III: THE 4 STEP SOLUTION
stride.nyc
Step 1: Identify Decisions
Step 2: Match Precision to Decision
Step 3: Budget
Step 4: Ranges and Confidence Levels

Ballpark – For You
• stride.nyc/ballpark
• Code - cto-summit
• Free - 60-minute budgeting session
• Free - Ballpark for 3 months
stride.nyc

Questions?
Debbie Madden
CEO, Stride
stride.nyc
debbie@stride.nyc
@debbiemadden200
stride.nyc

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Monitoring and Managing Anomaly Detection on OpenShift Overview Dive into the world of anomaly detection on edge devices with our comprehensive hands-on tutorial. This SlideShare presentation will guide you through the entire process, from data collection and model training to edge deployment and real-time monitoring. Perfect for those looking to implement robust anomaly detection systems on resource-constrained IoT/edge devices. Key Topics Covered 1. Introduction to Anomaly Detection - Understand the fundamentals of anomaly detection and its importance in identifying unusual behavior or failures in systems. 2. Understanding Edge (IoT) - Learn about edge computing and IoT, and how they enable real-time data processing and decision-making at the source. 3. What is ArgoCD? - Discover ArgoCD, a declarative, GitOps continuous delivery tool for Kubernetes, and its role in deploying applications on edge devices. 4. Deployment Using ArgoCD for Edge Devices - Step-by-step guide on deploying anomaly detection models on edge devices using ArgoCD. 5. Introduction to Apache Kafka and S3 - Explore Apache Kafka for real-time data streaming and Amazon S3 for scalable storage solutions. 6. Viewing Kafka Messages in the Data Lake - Learn how to view and analyze Kafka messages stored in a data lake for better insights. 7. What is Prometheus? - Get to know Prometheus, an open-source monitoring and alerting toolkit, and its application in monitoring edge devices. 8. Monitoring Application Metrics with Prometheus - Detailed instructions on setting up Prometheus to monitor the performance and health of your anomaly detection system. 9. What is Camel K? - Introduction to Camel K, a lightweight integration framework built on Apache Camel, designed for Kubernetes. 10. Configuring Camel K Integrations for Data Pipelines - Learn how to configure Camel K for seamless data pipeline integrations in your anomaly detection workflow. 11. What is a Jupyter Notebook? - Overview of Jupyter Notebooks, an open-source web application for creating and sharing documents with live code, equations, visualizations, and narrative text. 12. Jupyter Notebooks with Code Examples - Hands-on examples and code snippets in Jupyter Notebooks to help you implement and test anomaly detection models.

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Debbie Madden Budgeting vs Estimating for Agile Projects

1. Budgeting vs. Estimating for Agile Projects Debbie Madden CEO, Stride stride.nyc debbie@stride.nyc @debbiemadden200

2. How Much Is This Going to Cost? stride.nyc

3. PART I: ESTIMATING – A HISTORY PART II: THE PROBLEM PART III: THE 4 STEP SOLUTION stride.nyc

4. PART I: ESTIMATING – A HISTORY PART II: THE PROBLEM PART III: THE 4 STEP SOLUTION stride.nyc

5. stride.nyc

6. 2001: Agile Manifesto stride.nyc

7. stride.nyc

8. stride.nyc

9. 2013 – EstimateGate • #noestimates • “Estimation is neither good nor bad” Martin Fowler (Feb) • “Estimation is Evil” Ron Jeffries (Feb) • “Estimation is a Necessary Evil” Ron Jeffries (April) stride.nyc

10. PART I: ESTIMATING – A HISTORY PART II: THE PROBLEM PART III: THE 4 STEP SOLUTION stride.nyc

11. How Much Is This Going to Cost? stride.nyc

12. stride.nyc

13. stride.nyc

14. Teams Don’t Like Estimating Takes a lot of time There’s uncertainty Estimates gets abused Locks team into feature-level decisions prematurely stride.nyc

15. PART I: ESTIMATING – A HISTORY PART II: THE PROBLEM PART III: THE 4 STEP SOLUTION stride.nyc

16. PART III: THE 4 STEP SOLUTION stride.nyc Step 1: Identify Decisions

17. Should We… • Start this project or kill it? • Hire more people or outsource? • Start marketing this feature? • Build this project next or deprioritize it? • Launch a startup? • Allocate budget this quarter? • Code this set of stories next? stride.nyc

18. PART III: THE 4 STEP SOLUTION Step 2: Match Precision to Decision stride.nyc

19. stride.nyc

20. stride.nyc

21. Estimating Budgeting • < 1,000 foot view • Iterations • Sprints • > 1,000 foot view • Prioritizing Projects • Starting Projects • Hiring/Outsourcing • Allocate Budget • Start a Company stride.nyc

22. Estimate When Necessary stride.nyc

23. If you can’t identify which decision you are making, estimating AND budgeting are both a waste of time. stride.nyc

24. PART III: THE 4 STEP SOLUTION stride.nyc Step 3: Budget

25. Time Budget Accuracy stride.nyc

26. Online Book Store Shopping Cart Browse Books Search Books Manage Inventory Preview Inside of Book How Much Is This Going to Cost? ___?____ stride.nyc

27. Online Book Store Shopping Cart Browse Books Search Books Manage Inventory Preview Inside of Book Title 1 – 2 weeks Author Within Book 1 – 2 weeks ? 2 – 4 weeks + ? How Much Is This Going to Cost? _____________ stride.nyc

28. Online Book Store Shopping Cart Browse Books Search Books Manage Inventory Preview Inside of Book Title 1 – 2 weeks Author Within Book 1 – 2 weeks 4– 16 weeks 6 - 20 weeks How Much Is This Going to Cost? _____________ stride.nyc

29. Online Book Store Shopping Cart Browse Books Search Books Manage Inventory Preview Inside of Book Title 1 -2 weeks Author Within Book 1 – 2 weeks How Much Is This Going to Cost? _____________ stride.nyc

30. PART III: THE 4 STEP SOLUTION Step 4: Ranges and Confidence Levels stride.nyc

31. Online Book Store Topic Shopping Cart Browse Books Search Books Manage Inventory Preview Inside of Book Time (weeks) 4 - 8 1 - 2 6 - 26 12 - 96 8 - 48 Total: 31 - 180 stride.nyc

32. Online Book Store Topic Shopping Cart Browse Books Search Books Manage Inventory Preview Inside of Book Time (weeks) 4 - 8 1 - 2 6 - 26 12 - 96 8 - 48 Total: 31 - 180 stride.nyc Money 100k – 200k 25k – 50k 150k – 450k 300k – 2.4M 200k – 1.2M 775k - 4.3M

33. Range • Decision: Should we build this project? • Data: We expect the project to cost 775k – 4.3M stride.nyc

34. Range • Decision: Should we build this project? • Data: We expect the project to cost 775k – 4.3M If Budget = $500k No If Budget = $5M  Yes If Budget = $2.5M Maybe stride.nyc

35. Online Book Store Topic Shopping Cart Browse Books Search Books Manage Inventory Preview Inside of Book Money 100k – 200k 25k – 50k 150k – 450k 300k – 2.4M 200k – 1.2M stride.nyc Time 4 - 8 1 - 2 6 - 26 12 - 96 8 - 48 Priority 1 2 4 3 5

36. Online Book Store Topic Shopping Cart Browse Books Search Books Author Title Within Book Manage Inventory Preview Inside Book Money 100k – 200k 25k – 50k 150k – 450k 300k – 2.4M 200k – 1.2M stride.nyc Time 4 - 8 1 - 2 6 - 26 12 - 96 8 - 48 Priority 1 2 4 3 5 Required? Y Y Y Y N Y Y

37. Nate Silver stride.nyc

38. Ballpark stride.nyc

39. Ballpark stride.nyc

40. Ballpark stride.nyc

41. PART III: THE 4 STEP SOLUTION stride.nyc Step 1: Identify Decisions Step 2: Match Precision to Decision Step 3: Budget Step 4: Ranges and Confidence Levels

42. Ballpark – For You • stride.nyc/ballpark • Code - cto-summit • Free - 60-minute budgeting session • Free - Ballpark for 3 months stride.nyc

43. Questions? Debbie Madden CEO, Stride stride.nyc debbie@stride.nyc @debbiemadden200 stride.nyc

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