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DATA SCIENCE COMPETITION
Conversion Logic @ Whisper
2. 1. 2017
ATTRIBUTION
DATA SCIENCE COMPETITION
Since 1997
2006 - 2009
Since 2010
4
COMPETITION STRUCTURE
Training Data
Test Data
Feature Label
Provided Submission
Public LB
Score
5
COMPETITION STRUCTURE
Training Data
Test Data
Feature Label
Provided Submission
Public LB
Score
Private LB
Score
5
KAGGLE
• 237 competitions since 2010
• 500K+ users
• 50K+ competitors
• $3MM+ prize paid out
6
KAGGLE
7
KAGGLE
8
WHY COMPETITION
9
WHY COMPETITION
• For fun
• For experience
• For learning
• For networking
10
FUN
11
FUN
• Competing with others
11
FUN
• Competing with others
• Incremental improvement
11
EXPERIENCE
12
LEARNING
13
LEARNING
13
LEARNING
13
LEARNING
13
LEARNING
13
LEARNING
13
LEARNING
14
NETWORKING
15
NETWORKING
15
NETWORKING
15
NETWORKING
15
16
BS ON COMPETITIONS
17
BS ON COMPETITIONS
• No ETL
• No EDA
• Not worth it
• Not for production
18
NO ETL?
19
• Deloitte Western Australia Rental Prices
NO ETL?
20
• Outbrain Click Prediction
2B page views. 16.9MM clicks. 700MM users. 560 sites
NO ETL?
21
NO EDA?
• Most of competitions provide actual labels - typical EDA
• Anonymized data - more creative EDA
• People decode age, states, time intervals, income, etc.
22
NO EDA?
• Anonymized data - more creative EDA
23
NOT WORTH IT?
• Performance matters
• You can walk easier once you know how to run
24
NOT FOR PRODUCTION?
• Kaggle Kernel
• Max execution time:10 minutes
• Max file output: 500MB
• Memory limit: 8GB
25
ENSEMBLE PIPELINE AT CL
26
BEST PRACTICES
27
BEST PRACTICES
• Feature Engineering
• Algorithms
• CrossValidation
• Ensemble
28
FEATURE ENGINEERING
• Numerical - Log, Log(1 + x), Normalization, Binarization
• Categorical - One-hot-encode,TF-IDF (text),Weight-of-Evidence
• Timeseries - Stats, FFT, MFCC, ERP (EEG)
• Numerical/Timeseries to Categorical - RF/GBM*
• Dimensionality Reduction - PCA, SVD,Autoencoder
* http://www.csie.ntu.edu.tw/~r01922136/kaggle-2014-criteo.pdf
29
ALGORITHMS
Algorithm Tool Note
Gradient Boosting Machine XGBoost, LightGBM
The most popular algorithm in
competitions
Random Forests Scikit-Learn, randomForest
Extremely RandomTrees Scikit-Learn
Neural Networks/ Deep Learning Keras, MXNet
Blends well with GBM. Best at image
recognition competitions, NLP.
Logistic/Linear Regression Scikit-Learn,Vowpal Wabbit Fastest. Good for ensemble.
SupportVector Machine Scikit-Learn
FTRL Vowpal Wabbit
Competitive solution for CTR
estimation competitions
Factorization Machine libFM Winning solution for KDD Cup 2012
Field-aware Factorization Machine libFFM
Winning solution for CTR estimation
competitions (Criteo,Avazu)
30
CROSSVALIDATION
Training data are split into five folds where the sample size and
dropout rate are preserved (stratified).
31
Ensemble Model Training
32
ENSEMBLE
* for other types of ensemble, see http://mlwave.com/kaggle-ensembling-guide/33
KDDCUP 2015 SOLUTION
34
WHY COMPETITION
• For fun
• For experiences
• For learning
• For networking
35
36

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