This document summarizes the results of a socio-political survey regarding the situation in the Donbas region of Ukraine and the Minsk agreements. Key findings include: - Only 11.4% of respondents were familiar with the content of the Minsk agreements, while 60.3% had superficial knowledge. - Support for Ukraine adhering to the Minsk agreements decreased from 54.9% to 42.3% compared to a previous survey. - Respondents were pessimistic about resolving the Donbas conflict, with 37.5% believing it would be frozen for a decade. - There was no clear consensus on how to solve the problem of occupied Donbas territories.

1. ASSESSMENT OF THE
SITUATION IN THE
DONBAS, MINSK
AGREEMENTS

2. Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Conclusions: Assessment of the situation in the Donbas, Minsk agreements
(1)
● We have asked the respondents whether they are familiar with the text of the Minsk agreements. It
turned out that only 11.4% of respondents are well acquainted with the content of the agreements.
Most of the population (60.3%) has a superficial knowledge or heard about them in the media, and one
in four (25.8%) is absolutely unfamiliar with the contents of the agreements.
● Compared with the results of May, there is a significant decrease in the number of those who believe
that Ukraine should adhere to the implementation of the Minsk agreements (from 54.9% to 42.3%). Also
slightly smaller proportion of respondents believes that the Minsk agreements will solve the problem of
conflict in the Donbas (21.8% - in May, 19.3% - in November).
● Respondents are quite pessimistic about the end of the conflict in the Donbas: 37.5% of respondents
believe that the conflict will be frozen and the search for solution will last for a decade, 38.5% believe
that the conflict will be resolved within 2-5 years, and only 7.1% believe that the Donbas conflict will be
resolved within a year.
● Ukrainians don't have a clear idea on how to solve the problem of the occupied Donbas territories:
 20% believe that a referendum should be held on recognition of the "LNR" and "DNR" as the
occupied territories with termination of social transfers and other liabilities;
 19.6% think that the occupied Donbas territories should be attempted to be brought back by force;
 11.1% - Ukraine should provide autonomy to the "LNR-DNR" in line with the Minsk agreements;
 21% - nothing should be changed fundamentally waiting until the situation changes for the better;
 Only 7,1% support the idea of a referendum on recognition of the "LNR" and "DNR" recognition as
the independent states;
 21.1% did not answer this question at all.
● Compared to the results of the May survey, the number of those who consider it necessary to grant
autonomy to the "LNR" and "DNR" in accordance with Minsk agreements decreased by 7% during the
past six months; 6% fewer are those who chose the option of holding a referendum on recognition of the
"LNR" and "DNR" as the occupied territories with termination of social transfers and other liabilities. In

3. Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Conclusions: Assessment of the situation in the Donbas, Minsk agreements
(2)
● If there was a referendum to be held in the nearest future on recognition of "LDNR" as occupied
territories with termination of social transfers and other liabilities, 38.3% of respondents would
support such an initiative and vote affirmatively. One out of 5 respondents would vote against
(20%), while 27.2% would not go to the referendum. 35.7% of residents of the East indicated that
they would not go to such a referendum, and 20.9% - that they would not support such an
initiative. However, 21.9% would vote affirmatively. For comparison, 49.5% of the residents of the
Western provinces would support such an initiative, 38.6% - of the Southern and the Northern
ones, and 33% - of the population of the Central provinces.
● As for the causes of presence of a large number of people at the funeral of "Motorola" militiaman
in Donetsk, 27.7% of respondents noted that it is difficult to understand what is happening;
18.7% believe that the occupation authorities simply drove state employees together to show a
desired TV picture for the Kremlin; for 17.5% this indicates that some of the people support the
invaders, but this does not mean that everyone does; 15.9% believe that we should not believe
what the invaders broadcast, and 11.8% believe that this is the evidence of formation of the own
identity on the occupied territory of Donbas which is hostile to Ukraine. And if respondents in the
Eastern, Northern, Central and Southern provinces most frequently noted that it is difficult to
understand what is happening there, in the Western ones the respondents tended to believe that
the occupation authorities were creating a TV-picture for the Kremlin by means of the state
employees.

4. 14. Please indicate whether you are familiar with the text of the Minsk
agreements.
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
11.4%
60.3%
25.8%
0.3% 2.1%
Yes, I am familiar with the content of the Minsk
agreements
Superficially familiar, heard about it from the media
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

5. 14. Please indicate whether you are familiar with the text of the Minsk
agreements.
BREAKDOWN BY REGION, %
20.4%
64.8%
13.8%
1.0%
0.0%
13.2%
56.6%
29.0%
0.2%
0.9%
5.3%
65.8%
26.8%
0.0%
2.1%
12.1%
60.4%
26.6%
0.3%
0.5%
8.7%
56.1%
26.9%
0.4%
8.0%
Yes, I am familiar with the content of the Minsk
agreements
Superficially familiar, heard about it from the media
Not familiar
Other
Hard to tell
Region
East West North Center South
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

6. 13.4%
63.3%
20.9%
0.1%
2.4%
9.9%
57.9%
29.8%
0.5%
1.9%
Gender
Male Female
8.0%
46.9%
42.9%
0.6%
1.7%
9.9%
60.6%
28.3%
0.3%
0.9%
13.0%
60.9%
23.6%
0.2%
2.2%
12.1%
63.3%
21.7%
0.3%
2.7%
Yes, I am familiar with
the content of the
Minsk agreements
Superficially familiar,
heard about it from the
media
Not familiar
Other
Hard to tell
Age
18-24 25-34 35-49 50 +
14. Please indicate whether you are familiar with the text of the Minsk
agreements.
BREAKDOWN BY AGE AND GENDER, %
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

7. 15. In your opinion, should Ukraine adhere to the Minsk agreements?
42.3%
26.0%
31.7%
Yes No Hard to tell
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

8. 15. In your opinion, should Ukraine adhere to the Minsk agreements?
42.3%
26.0%
31.7%
Yes
No
Hard to tell
54.9%
27.0%
18.0%
November 2016 May 2016
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

9. 43.8%
28.4%
27.8%
41.0%
24.1%
34.8%
Gender
Male Female
32.6%
21.1%
46.3%
40.1%
31.4%
28.6%
42.0%
25.1%
32.9%
45.9%
25.4%
28.7%
Yes
No
Hard to tell
Age
18-24 25-34 35-49 50 +
15. In your opinion, should Ukraine adhere to the Minsk agreements?
BREAKDOWN BY AGE AND GENDER, %
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

10. 15. In your opinion, should Ukraine adhere to the Minsk agreements?
BREAKDOWN BY GENDER, %
45.9%
25.0%
29.1%
39.5%
38.1%
22.4%
40.1%
23.6%
36.3%
48.9%
15.1%
36.0%
37.9%
25.0%
37.1%
Yes
No
Hard to tell
Region
East West North Center South
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

11. 16. Will Minsk agreements solve a problem of conflict in the Donbas?
19.3%
52.3%
28.4%
Yes No Hard to tell
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

12. 16. Will Minsk agreements solve a problem of conflict in the Donbas?
19.3%
52.3%
28.4%
Yes
No
Hard to tell
21.8%
61.5%
16.7%
November 2016 May 2016
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

13. 19.2%
56.2%
24.6%
19.4%
49.1%
31.5%
Gender
Male Female
11.4%
47.4%
41.1%
17.7%
57.8%
24.5%
18.4%
52.3%
29.2%
22.5%
50.9%
26.5%
Yes
No
Hard to tell
Age
18-24 25-34 35-49 50 +
16. Will Minsk agreements solve a problem of conflict in the Donbas?
BREAKDOWN BY AGE AND GENDER, %
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

14. 17. In your opinion, when will the conflict in the Donbas end?
7.1%
21.7%
16.8%
37.5%
3.1%
13.7%
Within a year
In the nearest 2-3 years
In 5 years
This conflict will be frozen and the
solution won't be found for decade
Other
Hard to tell
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

15. 6.9%
20.7%
15.6%
40.9%
3.1%
12.8%
7.6%
24.0%
19.2%
30.6%
3.0%
15.6%
Within a year
In the nearest 2-3
years
In 5 years
This conflict will be
frozen and the
solution won't be
found for decade
Other
Hard to tell
Type of settlement
Urban Rural
17. In your opinion, when will the conflict in the Donbas end?
BREAKDOWN BY TYPE OF SETTLEMENT AND REGION, %
6.1%
10.7%
17.9%
41.3%
5.1%
18.9%
4.8%
29.0%
21.5%
36.1%
1.4%
7.3%
11.8%
19.8%
12.7%
42.8%
2.4%
10.6%
5.2%
19.2%
17.9%
41.5%
1.6%
14.6%
8.3%
23.9%
12.1%
25.0%
7.2%
23.5%
Region
East West North Center South
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

16. 18. The West demands that Ukraine holds elections in the “LDNR” before
the border with Russia is taken under control. How should Ukraine act?
10.8%
26.4%
45.7%
2.1%
14.9%
Ukraine should comply with this demand
Ukraine should not comply with this
demand until the border with Russia is
taken under control
There is no sence at all for Ukraine to hold
elections on the occupied territories
Other
Hard to tell
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

17. 18. The West demands that Ukraine holds elections in the “LDNR” before the border
with Russia is taken under control. How should Ukraine act?
BREAKDOWN BY REGION, %
7.1%
24.0%
53.6%
3.6%
11.7%
7.8%
31.5%
50.7%
1.6%
8.4%
7.1%
26.8%
51.3%
0.6%
14.2%
19.8%
22.3%
37.4%
1.9%
18.7%
11.0%
25.0%
36.0%
4.2%
23.9%
Ukraine should comply with this demand
Ukraine should not comply with this demand until
the border with Russia is taken under control
There is no sence at all for Ukraine to hold elections
on the occupied territories
Other
Hard to tell
Region
East West North Center South
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

18. 19. How should Ukraine solve the problem of the occupied Donbas
territories?
11.1%
20.0%
7.1%
21.0%
19.6%
21.1%
Ukriane should grant "LNR-DNR"
autonomy in line with the Minsk
agreements
A referendum should be held on
recognition of the "LNR" and "DNR" as the
occupied territories with termination of…
A referendum should be held on
recognition of the "LNR" and "DNR"
recognition as the independent states
Nothing should be changed fundamentally
waiting until the situation changes for the
better
Occupied Donbas territories should be
attempted to be brought back by force
Hard to tell
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

19. 15.4%
25.8%
20.9%
18.2%
5.2%
14.4%
19. How should Ukraine solve the problem of the occupied Donbas
territories?
21.0%
20.0%
19.6%
11.1%
7.1%
21.1%
Nothing should be changed
fundamentally waiting until the
situation changes for the better
A referendum should be held on
recognition of the "LNR" and "DNR" as
the occupied territories with…
Occupied Donbas territories should be
attempted to be brought back by
force
Ukriane should grant "LNR-DNR"
autonomy in line with the Minsk
agreements
A referendum should be held on
recognition of the "LNR" and "DNR"
recognition as the independent states
Hard to tell
November 2016 May 2016
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

20. 19. How should Ukraine solve the problem of the occupied Donbas
territories?
BREAKDOWN BY REGION, %
9.2%
14.8%
16.3%
23.5%
12.8%
23.5%
5.9%
26.3%
4.3%
24.2%
25.1%
14.2%
8.0%
24.8%
5.9%
19.2%
23.6%
18.6%
17.0%
12.4%
8.0%
19.8%
18.1%
24.7%
17.0%
18.2%
5.3%
18.2%
12.1%
29.2%
Ukriane should grant "LNR-DNR" autonomy in line
with the Minsk agreements
A referendum should be held on recognition of the
"LNR" and "DNR" as the occupied territories with
termination of social transfers and other liabilities
A referendum should be held on recognition of the
"LNR" and "DNR" recognition as the independent
states
Nothing should be changed fundamentally waiting
until the situation changes for the better
Occupied Donbas territories should be attempted
to be brought back by force
Hard to tell
Region
East West North Center South
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

21. 20. If there was a referendum to be held tomorrow on recognition of
"LDNR" as occupied territories with termination of social transfers and
other liabilities, how would you vote?
38.3%
20.0%
27.2%
14.6%
Yes, I would support this initiative
No, I would not support this initiative
I would not participate in such a
referendum
Hard to tell
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

22. 20. If there was a referendum to be held tomorrow on recognition of
"LDNR" as occupied territories with termination of social transfers and
other liabilities, how would you vote?
38.3%
20.0%
27.2%
14.6%
Yes, I would support this
initiative
No, I would not support
this initiative
I would not participate in
such a referendum
Hard to tell
42.2%
24.6%
23.1%
10.1%
November 2016 May 2016
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

23. 36.1%
21.5%
28.8%
13.6%
42.8%
16.9%
23.8%
16.5%
Yes, I would support
this initiative
No, I would not
support this initiative
I would not
participate in such a
referendum
Hard to tell
Type of settlement
Urban Rural
20. If there was a referendum to be held tomorrow on recognition of
"LDNR" as occupied territories with termination of social transfers and
other liabilities, how would you vote?
BREAKDOWN BY TYPE OF SETTLEMENT AND REGION, %
21.9%
20.9%
35.7%
21.4%
49.5%
18.5%
21.5%
10.5%
38.6%
18.9%
33.9%
8.6%
33.0%
24.7%
29.1%
13.2%
38.6%
16.7%
18.9%
25.8%
Region
East West North Center South
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

24. 21. In your opinion, presence of a large number of people at the funeral of
"Motorola" militiaman in Donetsk is the evidence of:
27.7%
18.7%
17.5%
15.9%
11.8%
7.3%
1.1%
Tt is difficult to understand what is
happening there
Occupation authorities drove state
employees together to show a desired TV
picture for the Kremlin
This indicates that some of the people
support the invaders, but this does not
mean that everyone supports them
We should not believe what the invaders
broadcast
Own identity hostile to Ukraine is being
formed of the occupied territory of
Donbas
Hard to tell
Other
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000

25. 21. In your opinion, presence of a large number of people at the funeral of
"Motorola" militiaman in Donetsk is the evidence of:
BREAKDOWN BY REGION, %
29.6%
13.3%
18.4%
16.8%
12.2%
9.7%
0.0%
22.6%
24.7%
18.9%
17.1%
12.8%
3.7%
0.2%
29.5%
15.3%
22.4%
15.0%
9.1%
6.8%
1.8%
26.4%
20.3%
15.9%
15.9%
11.5%
9.3%
0.5%
34.1%
15.2%
10.2%
14.4%
13.6%
9.5%
3.0%
Tt is difficult to understand what is happening there
Occupation authorities drove state employees
together to show a desired TV picture for the Kremlin
This indicates that some of the people support the
invaders, but this does not mean that everyone
supports them
We should not believe what the invaders broadcast
Own identity hostile to Ukraine is being formed of the
occupied territory of Donbas
Hard to tell
Other
Region
East West North Center South
Socio-political survey, 2nd wave
Donbas issue
Reference group: all
respondents, n=2000