This newsletter provides a daily summary of commodity market news and analysis. It discusses trends in gold, silver, crude oil, natural gas, base metals, and other commodities. For each commodity, it provides the outlook, trend, resistance and support levels, and recommended trading strategy. It also includes international market prices and an economic calendar. The document aims to help readers understand commodity market movements and identify trading opportunities.

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17-JULY-2013
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+919200009266
MCX NEWSLETTER- DAILY
Daily MCX Newsletter
17-JULY-2013

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BULLION
The US consumer price index (CPI) for jewelry rose
1 % year on year to 178.73 points in June, which
was the first notable increase since September
2012, a Rapaport report noted.
The jewelry CPI has fallen 1.6 % for the first half of
2013, primarily as a result of lower prices for gold
and platinum.
Nonetheless, the CPI in June maintained a
historically strong trend, registering the 30th
consecutive month of more than 170 points.
The CPI for jewelry reached a record 183 points in
January 2012, but then prices for polished
diamonds, gold and platinum began to decline.
Only diamond prices have since stabilized,
according to Rapaport Research.
Meanwhile, the CPI for all product categories
combined jumped 1.7 % year on year in June to
232.94 points, which was a record high. The
previous index record was 232.77 points posted in
February.
MARKET NEWS
ENERGY
The trend in crude oil futures for July delivery on
India's Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) looks
bullish for the day and traders are advised to stay
on buying side.
“For intra-day, support for the commodity is seen
at 6270 while resistance is seen at 6350. If prices
break the level of 6350 then the commodity is
expected to move towards 6400,” said Amrita
Mashar, Research Analyst at Commodity Online.
MCX crude oil futures for July delivery was seen
trading up by 0.56% at Rs. 6320 per barrel as of
06.33 PM IST on Tuesday.
Crude oil prices in the global market edged up on
Tuesday and touched three month high due to a
fall in inventories, political tensions in the middle
east and higher demand.
Production and supply disruptions in African
countries (in Libya, Nigeria and others) were seen
supporting crude oil prices to certain extent.
BASE METAL
Fears of China slow down have been haunting
the futures for a long time now.
The overly pessimistic market in the past few
weeks and months is making copper vulnerable
to a short-term recovery," Eugen Weinberg,
head of commodity research at Commerzbank
said to Reuters.
"Much of the growth fears are already priced in.
So I don't see much potential to the downside.
But any price increase is going to be gradual.
The Chinese demand situation remains very
challenging," he added.
US consumer price index, registered a jump of
0.5% in June subsequent to a gain of 0.1% in
May.
Even as copper prices on the LME went up on
data suggestive of a climb in inflation in US, the
gains in futures have been limited here on MCX;
thanks to the strengthening of Rupee and
weakening of Dollar.

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GOLD (5 AUGUST)
SILVER (5 JULY)
OUTLOOK:
TREND : -CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 26600, 26800
SUPPORT : - 26350, 26050
STRATEGY : - BUY ON DIPS
TECHNICAL
VIEW
OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 41300, 41600
SUPPORT : - 40850, 40650
STRATEGY : - BUY ON DIPS
BULLION

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CRUDEOIL (19 JULY)
NATURAL GAS (26 JULY)
ENERGY
OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 6300, 6360
SUPPORT : - 6200, 6150
STRATEGY : - SELL ON HIGHS
OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 219.40, 221.90
SUPPORT : - 216.00, 214.00
STRATEGY : - BUY ON DIPS

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COPPER (30 AUG.)
LEAD (31 JULY)
BASE METAL
OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 420.00, 424.00
SUPPORT : - 414.00, 412.00
STRATEGY : - BUY ON DIPS
OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 122.50, 123.50
SUPPORT : - 121.20, 120.70
STRATEGY : - BUY ON DIPS

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ZINC (31 JULY)
ALUMINUM (31 JULY)
NICKEL (31 JULY)
OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 110.60, 111.30
SUPPORT : - 109.40, 108.20
STRATEGY : - BUY ON DIPS
OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 106.10, 107.20
SUPPORT : - 104.40, 103.60
STRATEGY : - BUY ON DIPS
OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 828.00, 845.00
SUPPORT : - 797.00, 790.00
STRATEGY : - BUY ON DIPS

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GOLD 1291.18
SILVER 19.9660
COPPER 03.193
CRUDE OIL 105.80
NATURAL GAS 03.663
PALLADIUM 732.70
PLATINUM 1416.50
USDINR 59.2350
EURUSD 01.3138
USDJPY 99.5000
USDCHF 00.9415
GBPUSD 01.5114
USDCAD 01.0392
INTERNATIONAL
MARKET

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ECONOMIC
CALANDER

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